Andrew Bellatti
P
El Paso Chihuahuas
+0.1
WAR
Age 34
RHP
6'1" / 190 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2026
ERA4.87
FIP4.71
xFIP4.97
SIERA4.47
K%21.8%
BB%11.9%
K-BB%9.9%
IP34
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2026
STUF7070
CTRL4040
CMD5555
K†6060
FB Velo
p4494.1
Whiff%
p9033.9%
K%
p5022.1%
xwOBA vs
p250.341
FB+3.2
SL-6.0
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 23 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 39 | 6 | 74 | 316 | 63 | 25 | 11 | 19.3% | 8.8% | 3.2% | 4.48 | 4.32 | +0.6 |
| 2016 | 24 | AAA | Durham Bulls | 13 | 0 | 14 | 71 | 21 | 9 | 1 | — | — | — | 6.91 | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | AA | Trenton Thunder | 25 | 0 | 38 | 164 | 35 | 11 | 4 | 16.4% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 5.50 | 4.62 | +0.1 |
| 2021 | 29 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 33 | 0 | 36 | 148 | 46 | 13 | 2 | 29.1% | 8.2% | 2.2% | 2.48 | 2.88 | +0.9 |
| 2022 | 30 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | 61 | 1 | 56 | 236 | 81 | 24 | 5 | 33.9% | 10.4% | 2.1% | 3.23 | 2.72 | +1.4 |
| 2023 | 31 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | 56 | 0 | 53 | 234 | 58 | 27 | 6 | 22.4% | 11.8% | 2.6% | 3.59 | 4.12 | +0.5 |
| 2024 | 32 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | 46 | 0 | 43 | 202 | 42 | 33 | 4 | 18.3% | 17.2% | 2.2% | 5.48 | 4.93 | +0.0 |
| 2025 | 33 | AAA | El Paso Chihuahuas | 5 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 0 | — | — | — | 11.57 | — | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 34 | MLB | SD | 34 | — | 34 | 142 | 36 | 17 | 4 | 25.2% | 12.0% | 3.1% | 4.73 | 4.57 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 35 | MLB | SD | 32 | — | 32 | 134 | 33 | 16 | 4 | 24.4% | 12.2% | 3.2% | 4.73 | 4.73 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 36 | MLB | SD | 30 | — | 30 | 125 | 30 | 16 | 4 | 23.7% | 12.5% | 3.3% | 4.83 | 4.89 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 278 | 7 | 318 | 1399 | 326 | 152 | 36 | 23.3% | 10.8% | 2.6% | 4.35 | 3.91 | +5.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 175 | 4 | 200 | 879 | 205 | 95 | 23 | 23.3% | 10.8% | 2.6% | 4.35 | 3.91 | +3.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Andrew Bellatti (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.57 | 25.2% | 12.0% | 3.1% | — | 4.81 | 24.1% | 11.7% | 61 | +0.24 | — | — | — |
| Santiago Casilla R 2027 · 3.50 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.50 | 25.4% | 8.6% | 2.6% | .290 | 3.90 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 161 | +0.40 | 3.50 | 219 | 78 |
| Jim Johnson R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.96 | 23.8% | 8.6% | 3.2% | .309 | 4.52 | 16.8% | 9.0% | 63 | +0.56 | 2.57 | 251 | 78 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2024 · 4.60 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.60 | 23.2% | 14.2% | 3.0% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.33 | 221 | 78 |
| Pedro Strop R 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.10 | 27.5% | 10.7% | 3.6% | .260 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.58 | 277 | 77 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.81 | 22.6% | 9.3% | 2.6% | .230 | 4.45 | 19.4% | 12.7% | 78 | +0.64 | 3.81 | 208 | 77 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2025 · 4.98 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.98 | 23.4% | 10.7% | 4.6% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 122 | 76 |
| Brad Peacock R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.77 | 23.9% | 10.6% | 2.5% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94 | 533 | 74 |
| Diego Moreno R 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.75 | 18.6% | 9.4% | 3.7% | .232 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.31 | 187 | 74 |
| Mark Serrano R 2025 · 5.25 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.25 | 20.2% | 7.9% | 5.2% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 120 | 73 |
| Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.18 | 23.7% | 9.9% | 3.3% | .253 | 5.14 | 25.0% | 13.8% | 32 | +0.96 | 3.38 | 212 | 73 |
| Josh Lueke R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.14 | 20.4% | 6.4% | 3.6% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.32 | 107 | 73 |
| David Hernandez R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.85 | 26.8% | 8.6% | 3.5% | .380 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.56 | 268 | 73 |
| Manny Acosta R 2027 · 4.09 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.09 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.5% | .273 | 3.07 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -1.02 | 3.07 | 102 | 72 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2024 · 3.38 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.38 | 24.3% | 12.4% | 1.4% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.38 | 129 | 72 |
| Bud Norris R 2025 · 3.63 FIP | 33 | SW | 3.63 | 27.3% | 7.3% | 3.5% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.39 | 316 | 72 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.94 | 18.1% | 12.9% | 1.3% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.48 | 147 | 71 |
| Mark Lowe R 2026 · 5.01 FIP | 34 | SU | 5.01 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 3.7% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 153 | 71 |
| Radhames Liz R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.49 | 21.8% | 13.9% | 2.7% | .343 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.73 | 110 | 71 |
| Francisco Rodríguez R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.72 | 22.1% | 8.5% | 2.6% | .248 | 6.54 | 19.5% | 11.0% | 25 | +2.82 | 2.87 | 141 | 71 |
| Rafael Dolis R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.60 | 19.9% | 11.9% | 1.2% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.80 | 162 | 69 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.