Andrew Bellatti — OGILVIE

Andrew Bellatti P El Paso Chihuahuas

Age 34 RHP 6'1" / 190 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 4 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124116vR 108

ERA4.56

FIP4.79

K%23.4%

BB%12.6%

K-BB%10.8%

ROS IP4

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 4 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF7070

CTRL4040

CMD5555

K†5555

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p4494.1

Whiff%

p9033.9%

p5022.1%

xwOBA vs

p250.341

FB+3.2

SL-6.0

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	39	6	74	316	63	25	11	15%	1.9	19.3%	8.8%	10.5%	3.2%	4.48	4.34	+0.2
2015	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	39	6	74	316	63	25	11	15%	1.9	19.9%	7.9%	12.0%	3.5%	4.48	4.34	+0.2
2016	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	13	0	14	71	21	9	1	0%	1.1	29.6%	12.7%	16.9%	1.4%	6.91	2.98	—
2016	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	13	0	14	71	21	9	1	0%	1.1	29.6%	12.7%	16.9%	1.4%	6.91	2.96	—
2019	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	0	38	164	35	11	4	0%	1.5	16.4%	6.6%	9.8%	3.8%	5.50	4.61	—
2019	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	0	38	164	35	11	4	0%	1.5	21.3%	6.7%	14.6%	2.4%	5.50	3.50	—
2021	29	MIX MLE	3 levels	33	0	36	148	46	13	2	0%	1.1	29.1%	8.2%	20.9%	2.2%	2.48	2.87	+0.7
2021	29	MIX RAW	3 levels	33	0	36	148	46	13	2	0%	1.1	31.1%	8.8%	22.3%	1.4%	2.48	2.36	+1.0
2022	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	61	1	56	236	81	24	5	2%	0.9	33.9%	10.4%	23.5%	2.0%	3.23	2.67	+1.3
2022	30	MIX RAW	2 levels	61	1	56	236	81	24	5	2%	0.9	34.3%	10.2%	24.2%	2.1%	3.23	2.65	+1.3
2023	31	MIX MLE	3 levels	56	0	53	234	58	27	6	0%	0.9	21.7%	10.9%	10.8%	2.6%	3.59	4.07	+0.3
2023	31	MIX MLE	3 levels	56	0	53	234	58	27	6	0%	0.9	21.7%	10.9%	10.8%	2.6%	3.59	4.07	+0.3
2023	31	MIX RAW	3 levels	56	0	53	234	58	27	6	0%	0.9	24.8%	11.5%	13.2%	2.6%	3.59	3.92	+0.4
2024	32	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	46	0	43	202	42	33	4	0%	0.9	17.3%	14.7%	2.6%	2.2%	5.48	4.71	—
2024	32	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	46	0	43	202	42	33	4	0%	0.9	17.3%	14.7%	2.6%	2.2%	5.48	4.71	—
2024	32	AAA RAW	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	46	0	43	202	42	33	4	0%	0.9	20.8%	16.3%	4.5%	2.0%	5.48	4.67	—
2025	33	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	5	0	5	28	5	5	0	0%	0.9	17.9%	17.9%	0.0%	0.0%	11.57	3.85	—
2025	33	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	5	0	5	28	5	5	0	0%	0.9	17.9%	17.9%	0.0%	0.0%	11.57	3.85	—
2025	33	AAA RAW	El Paso Chihuahuas	5	0	5	28	5	5	0	0%	0.9	17.9%	17.9%	0.0%	0.0%	11.57	4.17	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			106	1	106	457	125	48	13	1%	1.0	27.4%	10.5%	16.8%	2.8%	3.83	3.70	+1.1
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	34	MLB	SD	4	0	4	17	4	2	1	0%	1.0	23.4%	12.6%	10.8%	3.1%	4.56	4.79	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	35	MLB MLE	SD	42	0	44	187	42	25	6	0%	1.1	22.4%	13.1%	9.3%	3.4%	4.90	5.13	-0.3
2027	35	MLB CTX	SD	2	0	2	8	2	1	0	0%	1.0	22.4%	13.1%	9.3%	3.4%	4.90	5.13	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		108	1	108	467	127	49	13	1%	1.0	27.2%	10.6%	16.7%	2.9%	3.86	3.71	+1.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		200	2	200	865	235	91	24	1%	1.0	27.2%	10.6%	16.7%	2.9%	3.86	3.71	+2.0
Career	—	MLE		278	7	318	1399	323	144	36	3%	1.1	23.1%	10.3%	12.7%	2.6%	4.35	3.86	+0.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		175	4	200	879	203	91	22	3%	1.1	23.1%	10.3%	12.7%	2.6%	4.35	3.86	+1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Andrew Bellatti (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.79	23.4%	12.6%	3.1%	—	5.13	22.4%	9.3%	44	+0.34	—	—	—
Clayton Mortensen R 2017 · 4.59 FIP	32	SU	4.59	23.2%	14.2%	3.0%	.258	—	—	—	—	—	4.31	221	84
Ross Ohlendorf R 2016 · 4.93 FIP	33	SU	4.93	23.4%	10.7%	4.5%	.254	—	—	—	—	—	3.30	122	81
Dustin McGowan R 2016 · 3.82 FIP	34	SU	3.82	22.6%	9.3%	2.6%	.230	4.58	19.4%	12.7%	78	+0.76	3.82	208	81
Manny Acosta R 2016 · 4.19 FIP	35	SU	4.19	18.1%	9.1%	2.7%	.273	3.08	23.2%	9.9%	44	-1.11	3.08	102	79
Jim Johnson R 2017 · 3.89 FIP	34	SU	3.89	23.8%	8.6%	3.1%	.309	4.48	16.8%	9.0%	63	+0.59	2.56	251	77
Brad Peacock R 2022 · 3.82 FIP	34	SU	3.82	23.9%	10.6%	2.5%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	2.97	533	76
Carlos Fisher R 2017 · 3.91 FIP	34	SU	3.91	18.1%	12.9%	1.3%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	2.48	147	76
Diego Moreno R 2021 · 4.75 FIP	34	SU	4.75	18.6%	9.4%	3.7%	.232	—	—	—	—	—	2.29	187	76
Mark Lowe R 2017 · 5.03 FIP	34	SU	5.03	16.4%	10.0%	3.7%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	2.37	153	75
Francisco Del Rosario R 2017 · 4.15 FIP	36	SU	4.15	16.4%	10.0%	2.1%	.267	6.35	11.9%	-0.6%	77	+2.20	4.15	145	75
Carlos Torres R 2017 · 4.51 FIP	34	SU	4.51	17.4%	9.9%	3.0%	.304	3.66	19.8%	11.6%	113	-0.85	2.89	326	74
Mark Serrano R 2019 · 5.25 FIP	33	SU	5.25	20.2%	7.9%	5.2%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	120	73
Francisco Rodríguez R 2016 · 3.77 FIP	34	SU	3.77	22.1%	8.5%	2.7%	.248	6.90	19.5%	11.0%	25	+3.13	2.71	141	73
Jean Machi R 2016 · 4.36 FIP	34	SU	4.36	18.3%	6.6%	3.6%	.282	4.12	18.6%	12.0%	67	-0.24	4.12	186	73
Josh Lueke R 2019 · 4.11 FIP	34	SU	4.11	20.4%	6.4%	3.5%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	2.29	107	73
Radhames Liz R 2018 · 4.45 FIP	34	SU	4.45	21.8%	13.9%	2.6%	.343	—	—	—	—	—	2.81	110	72
Rafael Dolis R 2022 · 3.61 FIP	34	SU	3.61	19.9%	11.9%	1.2%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	2.80	162	71
Ramon E Ramirez R 2016 · 3.60 FIP	34	SU	3.60	18.4%	6.0%	2.4%	.262	3.49	14.0%	8.2%	40	-0.11	2.37	140	71
Austin Adams R 2019 · 5.80 FIP	32	SU	5.80	20.8%	10.6%	5.7%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	162	71
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2022 · 4.02 FIP	34	SU	4.02	18.1%	11.3%	1.9%	.270	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	104	70

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.5	47	22.9%	12.9%	1.25	4.72
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22