Andrew Bellatti
P
El Paso Chihuahuas
Age 34
RHP
6'1" / 190 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 49 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 130121vR 112
ERA4.63
FIP4.93
K%24.0%
BB%14.1%
K-BB%9.9%
ROS IP49
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 49 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p4494.1
Whiff%
p9033.9%
K%
p5022.1%
xwOBA vs
p250.341
FB+3.2
SL-6.0
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 39 | 6 | 74 | 316 | 63 | 25 | 11 | 15% | 1.9 | 19.3% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 3.2% | 4.48 | 4.32 | +0.5 |
| 2015 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 39 | 6 | 74 | 316 | 63 | 25 | 11 | 15% | 1.9 | 19.9% | 7.9% | 12.0% | 3.5% | 4.48 | 4.34 | +0.4 |
| 2016 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 13 | 0 | 14 | 71 | 21 | 9 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 29.6% | 12.7% | 16.9% | 1.4% | 6.91 | 2.98 | — |
| 2016 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 13 | 0 | 14 | 71 | 21 | 9 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 29.6% | 12.7% | 16.9% | 1.4% | 6.91 | 2.96 | — |
| 2019 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 0 | 38 | 164 | 35 | 11 | 4 | 0% | 1.5 | 16.4% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 3.9% | 5.50 | 4.70 | — |
| 2019 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 0 | 38 | 164 | 35 | 11 | 4 | 0% | 1.5 | 21.3% | 6.7% | 14.6% | 2.4% | 5.50 | 3.50 | — |
| 2021 | 29 | MIX | 3 levels | 33 | 0 | 36 | 148 | 46 | 13 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 29.1% | 8.2% | 20.9% | 2.5% | 2.48 | 3.05 | +0.6 |
| 2021 | 29 | MIX | 3 levels | 33 | 0 | 36 | 148 | 46 | 13 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 31.1% | 8.8% | 22.3% | 1.4% | 2.48 | 2.36 | +0.9 |
| 2022 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 61 | 1 | 56 | 236 | 81 | 24 | 5 | 2% | 0.9 | 33.9% | 10.4% | 23.5% | 2.1% | 3.23 | 2.71 | +1.2 |
| 2022 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 61 | 1 | 56 | 236 | 81 | 24 | 5 | 2% | 0.9 | 34.3% | 10.2% | 24.2% | 2.1% | 3.23 | 2.65 | +1.2 |
| 2023 | 31 | MIX | 3 levels | 56 | 0 | 53 | 234 | 58 | 27 | 6 | 0% | 0.9 | 22.4% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 2.6% | 3.59 | 4.15 | +0.2 |
| 2023 | 31 | MIX | 3 levels | 56 | 0 | 53 | 234 | 58 | 27 | 6 | 0% | 0.9 | 24.8% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 2.6% | 3.59 | 3.92 | +0.4 |
| 2024 | 32 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | 46 | 0 | 43 | 202 | 42 | 33 | 4 | 0% | 0.9 | 18.3% | 17.2% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 5.48 | 4.95 | — |
| 2024 | 32 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | 46 | 0 | 43 | 202 | 42 | 33 | 4 | 0% | 0.9 | 20.8% | 16.3% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 5.48 | 4.67 | — |
| 2025 | 33 | AAA | El Paso Chihuahuas | 5 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0% | 0.9 | 17.9% | 17.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.57 | 3.85 | — |
| 2025 | 33 | AAA | El Paso Chihuahuas | 5 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0% | 0.9 | 17.9% | 17.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.57 | 4.17 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 34 | MLB | SD | 47 | 0 | 49 | 209 | 50 | 29 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.0% | 14.1% | 9.9% | 3.1% | 4.63 | 4.93 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 35 | MLB | SD | 42 | 0 | 44 | 187 | 43 | 27 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.0% | 14.6% | 8.4% | 3.4% | 5.01 | 5.27 | -0.4 |
| 2027 | 35 | MLB | SD | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.0% | 14.6% | 8.4% | 3.4% | 5.01 | 5.27 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 108 | 1 | 108 | 467 | 127 | 50 | 13 | 1% | 1.0 | 27.3% | 10.6% | 16.7% | 2.9% | 3.86 | 3.71 | +2.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 200 | 2 | 200 | 865 | 235 | 93 | 24 | 1% | 1.0 | 27.3% | 10.6% | 16.7% | 2.9% | 3.86 | 3.71 | +4.0 | ||
| Career | — | 278 | 7 | 318 | 1399 | 326 | 152 | 37 | 3% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 2.6% | 4.35 | 3.95 | +5.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 175 | 4 | 200 | 879 | 205 | 95 | 23 | 3% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 2.6% | 4.35 | 3.95 | +3.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Andrew Bellatti (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.93 | 24.0% | 14.1% | 3.1% | — | 5.27 | 23.0% | 8.4% | 44 | +0.34 | — | — | — |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2024 · 4.62 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.62 | 23.2% | 14.2% | 3.1% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 221 | 85 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2025 · 4.99 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.99 | 23.4% | 10.7% | 4.6% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 122 | 78 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.83 | 22.6% | 9.3% | 2.6% | .230 | 4.59 | 19.4% | 12.7% | 78 | +0.76 | 3.83 | 208 | 77 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.00 | 18.1% | 12.9% | 1.4% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.56 | 147 | 76 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2026 · 5.83 FIP | 34 | SU | 5.83 | 17.9% | 14.2% | 4.5% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.37 | 170 | 76 |
| Jim Johnson R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.89 | 23.8% | 8.6% | 3.1% | .309 | 4.58 | 16.8% | 9.0% | 63 | +0.69 | 2.51 | 251 | 75 |
| Brad Peacock R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.03 | 23.9% | 10.6% | 2.9% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.88 | 533 | 75 |
| Manny Acosta R 2027 · 3.99 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.99 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.3% | .273 | 3.04 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -0.95 | 3.04 | 102 | 75 |
| Carlos Torres R 2026 · 4.67 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.67 | 17.4% | 9.9% | 3.2% | .304 | 3.59 | 19.8% | 11.6% | 113 | -1.08 | 2.78 | 326 | 74 |
| Mark Lowe R 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.79 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 3.3% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.37 | 153 | 73 |
| Diego Moreno R 2026 · 4.82 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.82 | 18.6% | 9.4% | 3.8% | .232 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.22 | 187 | 72 |
| Radhames Liz R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.31 | 21.8% | 13.9% | 2.3% | .343 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.77 | 110 | 72 |
| Francisco Del Rosario R 2028 · 4.09 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.09 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 2.0% | .267 | 6.61 | 11.9% | -0.6% | 77 | +2.52 | 4.09 | 145 | 71 |
| Pedro Strop R 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.93 | 27.5% | 10.7% | 3.3% | .260 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.48 | 277 | 71 |
| Francisco Rodríguez R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.84 | 22.1% | 8.5% | 2.8% | .248 | 7.10 | 19.5% | 11.0% | 25 | +3.26 | 2.85 | 141 | 70 |
| Mark Serrano R 2025 · 5.21 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.21 | 20.2% | 7.9% | 5.1% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.03 | 120 | 70 |
| Chris Hatcher R 2025 · 5.21 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.21 | 18.0% | 9.6% | 4.4% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.05 | 176 | 69 |
| Scott McGough R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.51 | 18.8% | 13.0% | 2.5% | .289 | 3.82 | 20.6% | 12.7% | 57 | -0.69 | 3.65 | 429 | 69 |
| Jimmy Nelson R 2026 · 5.21 FIP | 34 | SU | 5.21 | 22.7% | 24.7% | 1.7% | .292 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.32 | 650 | 69 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.99 | 18.1% | 11.3% | 1.8% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.99 | 104 | 69 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 47 | 23.5% | 14.4% | 1.25 | 4.81 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Michael Kopech ('24) | 4 | 96 | 26.1% | 12.5% | 1.45 | 4.15 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Lucas Sims ('24) | 6 | 47 | 27.6% | 11.6% | 1.24 | 4.22 |
| Greg Holland ('21) | 6 | 45 | 25.4% | 12.3% | 0.87 | 4.03 |