Hunter Stratton P Gwinnett Stripers
+0.2 WAR
INJURED · Reassigned to Minors (RM)
Age 29 RHP 6'4" / 225 lbs AAA peak 0.4 · 2027
ERA4.15
FIP4.14
xFIP5.30
SIERA4.45
K%21.5%
BB%8.0%
K-BB%13.5%
IP49
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.4peak
2027
STUF5050
CTRL6060
CMD5050
K†5555
FB Velo
p7196.0
Whiff%
p1720.6%
K%
p2118.0%
xwOBA vs
p100.377
SL+1.4 (29%)
SI (2%)
CT-0.8 (19%)
FB-3.7 (51%)

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR K%BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201720ROKBristol Pirates1211431973832313.1%20.3%2.1%4.815.73-0.4
201821AWest Virginia Power22201024418252813.8%13.9%1.9%4.164.77+0.6
201922A+Bradenton Marauders333723156442415.6%15.3%1.5%4.254.55+0.4
202124AAAIndianapolis Indians380492057025328.5%13.1%1.6%2.393.22+1.0
202225AAAIndianapolis Indians471632828239825.6%14.5%3.1%5.714.47+0.4
202326MLBPittsburgh Pirates552682898434926.9%13.5%2.9%3.694.10+0.7
202427MLBPittsburgh Pirates42045184408320.9%4.4%1.9%3.022.94+1.0
202528MLBAtlanta Braves470562395319519.9%7.9%2.3%3.703.65+0.8
▸ 2026 Season
202629AAAGwinnett Stripers7073511514.91
ROS29MLBATL202083196223.0%7.6%2.7%4.073.99+0.2
2026 Total29MLBATL271183011325.5%9.6%2.8%4.302.90+0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
202730MLBATL47472004516622.5%7.9%2.8%4.114.11+0.5
202831MLBATL46461934216622.0%8.1%2.9%4.194.23+0.4
202932MLBATL44441854015521.4%8.3%3.0%4.294.35+0.3
203033MLBATL42421773715520.8%8.5%3.1%4.404.48+0.2
203134MLBATL40401683415520.1%8.7%3.2%4.534.62+0.1
203235MLBATL38381583114519.4%8.9%3.3%4.674.77+0.1
203336MLBATL35351482814518.6%9.2%3.4%4.834.93+0.0
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career3033750521874412884820.2%13.2%2.2%4.054.26+5.9
/ 200 IP120152008661751141920.2%13.2%2.2%4.054.26+2.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Hunter Stratton (OGILVIE) 3.99 23.0%7.6%2.7% 4.23 22.0%13.9%137 +0.24
Diego Moreno R 2026 · 3.75 FIP 29 SU 3.75 21.0%8.2%2.5%.347 3.12 17.8%11.9%54 -0.63 2.31 187 82
Brandon Morrow R 2028 · 3.51 FIP 31 SU 3.51 18.3%5.6%2.3%.280 3.50 21.2%14.8%153 -0.01 2.67 186 81
Gerardo Sanchez R 2025 · 3.47 FIP 28 SU 3.47 21.6%8.4%2.1%.355 3.57 20.5%15.1%56 +0.10 2.59 137 80
Chris Hatcher R 2027 · 2.93 FIP 30 SU 2.93 27.1%6.6%2.3%.292 4.62 22.6%14.0%137 +1.69 2.93 176 80
David Hernandez R 2027 · 4.62 FIP 30 SU 4.62 22.9%7.6%4.5%.287 3.18 24.9%18.4%192 -1.44 2.56 268 80
Cory Gearrin R 2026 · 3.52 FIP 29 SU 3.52 22.1%7.5%2.4%.283 3.61 22.2%13.6%174 +0.09 3.17 272 80
Jhan Mariñez R 2026 · 4.10 FIP 29 SU 4.10 21.2%7.9%3.2%.331 3.18 253 79
Ryan Brasier R 2025 · 3.68 FIP 28 SW 3.68 25.0%7.7%3.1%.289 3.07 24.2%17.9%130 -0.61 2.31 403 79
Cody Hall R 2026 · 3.95 FIP 29 SU 3.95 26.8%10.0%3.4%.299 3.92 25.9%8.4%19 -0.03 3.51 134 79
Jonathan Broxton R 2028 · 3.73 FIP 31 SW 3.73 24.5%8.2%3.0%.325 3.80 21.7%13.5%76 +0.07 3.65 137 78
Daniel Hudson R 2026 · 3.30 FIP 29 SW 3.30 21.6%7.1%2.1%.319 3.76 23.5%13.9%181 +0.46 1.69 468 78
Ross Ohlendorf R 2029 · 3.33 FIP 32 SW 3.33 23.7%7.2%2.4%.342 4.98 23.4%12.7%66 +1.65 3.33 122 78
Tyler Sturdevant R 2026 · 4.33 FIP 29 SU 4.33 21.3%8.5%3.6%.241 3.99 18.5%11.9%118 -0.34 3.47 149 78
Stephen Fife R 2026 · 3.10 FIP 29 SU 3.10 18.8%8.1%1.0%.329 3.65 14.1%8.3%152 +0.55 3.10 179 77
Mark Serrano R 2027 · 3.10 FIP 30 SU 3.10 17.7%6.5%1.2%.290 4.39 21.1%14.0%88 +1.29 3.10 120 77
Anthony Swarzak R 2026 · 2.83 FIP 29 SU 2.83 21.3%4.9%1.7%.386 3.47 26.1%19.8%181 +0.64 2.35 260 76
Jaye Chapman R 2026 · 3.25 FIP 29 SW 3.25 24.6%6.4%2.6%.274 5.48 13.0%-0.4%31 +2.23 3.25 150 76
Marc Magliaro R 2025 · 4.01 FIP 28 SU 4.01 19.6%7.3%3.0%.307 4.00 125 76
Andrew Robinson R 2026 · 4.33 FIP 29 SU 4.33 23.4%8.8%3.8%.245 3.25 160 76
Erik Davis R 2026 · 3.05 FIP 29 SW 3.05 24.4%9.5%1.5%.329 3.89 19.8%9.8%129 +0.84 3.05 227 76

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.