Hunter Stratton — OGILVIE

Hunter Stratton P El Paso Chihuahuas

Age 29 RHP 6'4" / 225 lbs AAA peak 0.3 · 2026 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION53 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 110101vR 93

ERA4.08

FIP4.02

K%21.4%

BB%6.7%

K-BB%14.7%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 59 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL6060

CMD5050

K†5050

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p7196.0

Whiff%

p1720.6%

p2118.0%

xwOBA vs

p100.377

SL+1.4 (29%)

SI (2%)

CT-0.8 (19%)

FB-3.7 (51%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2017	20	ROK MLE	Bristol Pirates	12	11	43	197	38	32	3	92%	3.6	13.1%	20.3%	-7.2%	2.1%	4.81	5.73	—
2017	20	ROK RAW	Bristol Pirates	12	11	43	197	38	32	3	92%	3.6	19.3%	16.2%	3.0%	1.5%	4.81	4.47	—
2018	21	A MLE	West Virginia Power	22	20	102	441	82	52	8	91%	4.6	13.8%	13.9%	-0.2%	2.0%	4.16	4.80	—
2018	21	A RAW	West Virginia Power	22	20	102	441	82	52	8	91%	4.6	18.6%	11.8%	6.8%	1.8%	4.16	4.04	—
2019	22	A+ MLE	Bradenton Marauders	33	3	72	315	64	42	4	9%	2.2	15.6%	15.3%	0.3%	1.5%	4.25	4.54	—
2019	22	A+ RAW	Bradenton Marauders	33	3	72	315	64	42	4	9%	2.2	20.3%	13.3%	7.0%	1.3%	4.25	3.79	—
2021	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	38	0	49	205	70	25	3	0%	1.3	28.5%	13.1%	15.4%	1.6%	2.39	3.23	—
2021	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	38	0	49	205	70	25	3	0%	1.3	34.1%	12.2%	22.0%	1.5%	2.39	2.57	—
2022	25	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	47	1	63	282	82	39	8	2%	1.3	25.6%	14.5%	11.1%	3.1%	5.71	4.47	—
2022	25	AAA RAW	Indianapolis Indians	47	1	63	282	82	39	8	2%	1.3	29.1%	13.8%	15.2%	2.8%	5.71	4.00	—
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	55	2	68	289	84	34	9	4%	1.2	25.4%	11.5%	13.9%	2.9%	3.69	4.01	+0.4
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	55	2	68	289	84	34	9	4%	1.2	25.4%	11.5%	13.9%	2.9%	3.69	4.01	+0.4
2023	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	55	2	68	289	84	34	9	4%	1.2	29.1%	11.8%	17.3%	3.1%	3.69	3.85	+0.6
2024	27	MIX MLE	4 levels	42	0	45	184	40	8	3	0%	1.1	20.9%	4.4%	16.5%	2.1%	3.02	3.02	+0.8
2024	27	MIX MLE	4 levels	42	0	45	184	40	8	3	0%	1.1	20.9%	4.4%	16.5%	2.1%	3.02	3.02	+0.8
2024	27	MIX RAW	4 levels	42	0	45	184	40	8	3	0%	1.1	21.7%	4.3%	17.4%	1.6%	3.02	2.72	+1.0
2025	28	MIX MLE	3 levels	47	0	56	239	53	19	5	0%	1.2	19.2%	7.2%	12.0%	2.3%	3.70	3.63	+0.6
2025	28	MIX MLE	3 levels	47	0	56	239	53	19	5	0%	1.2	19.2%	7.2%	12.0%	2.3%	3.70	3.63	+0.6
2025	28	MIX RAW	3 levels	47	0	56	239	53	19	5	0%	1.2	22.2%	7.9%	14.2%	2.1%	3.70	3.39	+0.8
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			62	0	72	309	62	17	8	0%	1.2	20.1%	5.5%	14.6%	2.6%	3.88	3.53	+0.9
▸ 2026 season
YTD	29	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	44	0	53	227	50	25	3	0%	1.2	18.4%	10.6%	7.8%	1.6%	3.08	3.74	—
YTD	29	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	44	0	53	227	50	25	3	0%	1.2	18.4%	10.6%	7.8%	1.6%	3.08	3.74	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	29	AAA RAW	PIT	41	0	49	212	47	25	3	0%	1.2	22.2%	11.8%	10.4%	1.4%	2.92	3.50	—
2026	29	MLB RAW	PIT	3	0	3	15	3	0	0	0%	1.1	20.0%	0.0%	20.0%	0.0%	5.40	1.41	—
SO FAR	29	MLB RAW	PIT	3	0	3	15	3	0	0	0%	1.1	20.0%	0.0%	20.0%	0.0%	5.40	1.41	—
ROS	29	MLB MLE	PIT	6	0	6	25	5	2	1	0%	1.0	21.4%	6.7%	14.7%	2.7%	4.08	4.02	+0.0
ROS	29	MLB CTX	PIT	6	0	6	25	5	2	1	0%	1.0	21.4%	6.7%	14.7%	2.7%	4.08	4.02	+0.0
2026 TOT	29	MLB MLE	PIT	—	—	59	252	55	27	4	—	—	22.0%	10.6%	11.4%	1.5%	3.18	3.77	+0.5
FULL	29	MLB A+C	PIT	—	—	9	39	55	27	4	—	—	142.6%	68.8%	73.8%	9.5%	20.24	4.97	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	PIT	64	0	67	284	59	21	8	0%	1.1	20.9%	7.3%	13.6%	2.9%	4.20	4.26	+0.2
2028	31	MLB MLE	PIT	60	0	63	265	54	21	8	0%	1.0	20.3%	7.8%	12.6%	3.2%	4.37	4.49	+0.0
2027	30	MLB CTX	PIT	61	0	64	270	56	20	8	0%	1.0	20.9%	7.3%	13.6%	2.9%	4.20	4.26	+0.2
2028	31	MLB CTX	PIT	57	0	60	253	52	20	8	0%	1.1	20.3%	7.8%	12.6%	3.2%	4.37	4.49	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		185	0	201	855	175	58	25	0%	1.1	20.4%	6.8%	13.7%	2.9%	4.13	3.81	+1.8
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		184	0	200	849	174	58	25	0%	1.1	20.4%	6.8%	13.7%	2.9%	4.13	3.81	+1.8
Career	—	MLE		340	37	550	2379	466	300	51	11%	1.6	19.6%	12.6%	7.0%	2.1%	3.94	4.22	+1.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		124	13	200	865	169	109	18	11%	1.6	19.6%	12.6%	7.0%	2.1%	3.94	4.22	+1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Hunter Stratton (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.02	21.4%	6.7%	2.7%	—	4.37	20.6%	13.1%	130	+0.35	—	—	—
Diego Moreno R 2016 · 3.75 FIP	29	SU	3.75	21.0%	8.2%	2.5%	.347	3.13	17.8%	11.9%	54	-0.62	2.29	187	82
Daniel Hudson R 2016 · 3.39 FIP	29	SU	3.39	21.6%	7.1%	2.2%	.319	3.84	23.5%	13.9%	181	+0.45	1.68	468	81
Mark Serrano R 2016 · 3.16 FIP	30	SU	3.16	17.7%	6.5%	1.3%	.290	4.36	21.1%	14.0%	88	+1.20	3.16	120	80
Ryan Brasier R 2016 · 3.68 FIP	28	SU	3.68	25.0%	7.7%	3.1%	.289	3.09	24.2%	17.9%	130	-0.59	2.31	426	79
Ross Ohlendorf R 2015 · 3.30 FIP	32	SU	3.30	23.7%	7.2%	2.3%	.342	4.93	23.4%	12.7%	66	+1.63	3.30	122	79
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.55	17.5%	6.5%	168	+0.67	3.88	202	79
Cory Gearrin R 2015 · 3.52 FIP	29	SU	3.52	22.1%	7.5%	2.5%	.283	3.54	22.2%	13.6%	174	+0.02	3.15	272	79
David Hernandez R 2015 · 4.40 FIP	30	SU	4.40	22.9%	7.6%	4.1%	.287	3.17	24.9%	18.4%	192	-1.23	2.60	268	78
Jhan Mariñez R 2018 · 4.09 FIP	29	SU	4.09	21.2%	7.9%	3.2%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	253	78
Gerardo Sanchez R 2017 · 3.47 FIP	28	SU	3.47	21.6%	8.4%	2.1%	.355	3.58	20.5%	15.1%	56	+0.11	2.65	137	78
Austin Adams R 2016 · 3.40 FIP	29	SU	3.40	21.1%	6.1%	2.4%	.376	5.80	20.8%	10.2%	60	+2.40	3.40	162	78
Jonathan Broxton R 2015 · 3.67 FIP	31	SU	3.67	24.5%	8.2%	2.9%	.325	3.89	21.7%	13.5%	76	+0.22	3.67	137	77
Anthony Swarzak R 2015 · 2.83 FIP	29	SU	2.83	21.3%	4.9%	1.6%	.386	3.60	26.1%	19.8%	181	+0.77	2.35	260	77
Matt Albers R 2015 · 3.19 FIP	32	SU	3.19	18.8%	4.7%	2.0%	.252	4.45	20.4%	13.3%	147	+1.26	3.15	244	77
Tommy Hunter R 2015 · 3.72 FIP	29	SU	3.72	18.9%	4.8%	2.9%	.295	3.14	21.2%	15.9%	172	-0.58	2.78	316	77
Jaye Chapman R 2016 · 3.25 FIP	29	SU	3.25	24.6%	6.4%	2.6%	.274	5.51	13.0%	-0.4%	31	+2.26	3.25	150	77
Marc Magliaro R 2018 · 3.94 FIP	28	SU	3.94	19.6%	7.3%	2.9%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.94	125	77
Drew Storen R 2017 · 3.83 FIP	29	SU	3.83	19.5%	7.3%	2.6%	.289	4.31	19.4%	8.4%	10	+0.48	2.36	172	76
Chris Martin R 2015 · 3.24 FIP	29	SU	3.24	18.1%	7.0%	1.4%	.319	3.04	20.9%	19.2%	42	-0.20	1.76	416	76
Tony Barnette R 2016 · 3.05 FIP	32	SU	3.05	19.9%	6.1%	1.6%	.281	3.26	23.4%	17.0%	84	+0.21	2.61	144	76

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	65	20.9%	7.2%	1.14	4.21
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
Trevor Gott ('23)	1.0	51	22.0%	7.4%	0.79	3.97
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Eli Morgan ('24)	1.3	66	23.8%	6.4%	1.46	3.97