Hunter Stratton P Indianapolis Indians
Age 29 RHP 6'4" / 225 lbs AAA peak 0.2 · 2026 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)
2026 ROS PROJECTION59 act + 44 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 111102vR 93
ERA4.09
FIP4.04
K%21.8%
BB%7.2%
K-BB%14.6%
ROS IP44
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 103 IP
K: -0.5 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-0KBB: -2.2 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-2BBCONTACT: +3.6 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)+4CONTACTSTAM: +14.0 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+14STAMTotal WAR: +1.57 (103 IP)+1.6WAR
0.20.20.0-0.2262829
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF5050
CTRL6060
CMD5050
K†5050
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p7196.0
Whiff%
p1720.6%
K%
p2118.0%
xwOBA vs
p100.377
SL+1.4 (29%)
SI (2%)
CT-0.8 (19%)
FB-3.7 (51%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201720ROKBristol Pirates1211431973832392%3.613.1%20.3%-7.2%2.1%4.815.73
201720ROKBristol Pirates1211431973832392%3.619.3%16.2%3.0%1.5%4.814.47
201821AWest Virginia Power22201024418252891%4.613.8%13.9%-0.2%1.7%4.164.65
201821AWest Virginia Power22201024418252891%4.618.6%11.8%6.8%1.8%4.164.04
201922A+Bradenton Marauders33372315644249%2.215.6%15.3%0.3%1.4%4.254.49
201922A+Bradenton Marauders33372315644249%2.220.3%13.3%7.0%1.3%4.253.79
202124MIX2 levels38049205702530%1.328.5%13.1%15.4%1.6%2.393.21
202124MIX2 levels38049205702530%1.334.1%12.2%22.0%1.5%2.392.57
202225AAAIndianapolis Indians47163282823982%1.325.6%14.5%11.1%3.0%5.714.45
202225AAAIndianapolis Indians47163282823982%1.329.1%13.8%15.2%2.8%5.714.00
202326MIX2 levels55268289843494%1.226.9%13.5%13.5%2.7%3.694.00+0.6
202326MIX2 levels55268289843494%1.229.1%11.8%17.3%3.1%3.693.85+0.7
202427MIX4 levels4204518440830%1.120.9%4.4%16.5%1.9%3.022.95+0.8
202427MIX4 levels4204518440830%1.121.7%4.3%17.4%1.6%3.022.72+1.0
202528MIX3 levels47056239531950%1.219.9%7.9%12.0%2.3%3.703.68+0.6
202528MIX3 levels47056239531950%1.222.2%7.9%14.2%2.1%3.703.39+0.8
▸ 2026 Season
202629MLBPittsburgh Pirates50059264593240%1.219.7%13.7%6.0%1.8%3.974.15+0.3
ROS29MLBATL42044185401350%1.021.8%7.2%14.6%2.7%4.094.04+0.3
ROS29MLBATL42044186411350%1.021.8%7.2%14.6%2.7%4.094.04+0.3
2026 TOT29MLBATL1034499945922.1%10.1%12.0%2.0%4.024.10+1.6
2026 FULL29MLBATL482039945948.9%22.3%26.6%4.4%8.594.23+0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202730MLBATL64067284602280%1.121.3%7.7%13.5%2.9%4.214.28+0.3
202831MLBATL60063265552280%1.020.7%8.2%12.5%3.2%4.394.51+0.1
202932MLBATL55058245492180%1.120.0%8.6%11.4%3.4%4.614.76-0.1
202730MLBATL61064270572180%1.021.3%7.7%13.5%2.9%4.214.28+0.3
202831MLBATL57060253522180%1.120.7%8.2%12.5%3.2%4.394.51+0.0
202932MLBATL52055232462080%1.120.0%8.6%11.4%3.4%4.614.76-0.1
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career2750295125025992370%1.120.7%7.4%13.4%2.9%4.213.90+5.2
/ 200 IP186020084717562250%1.120.7%7.4%13.4%2.9%4.213.90+3.5
Career3463755724164823194911%1.620.0%13.2%6.7%2.0%4.034.21+7.7
/ 200 IP124132008681731151811%1.620.0%13.2%6.7%2.0%4.034.21+2.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Hunter Stratton (OGILVIE) 4.04 21.8%7.2%2.7% 4.50 20.7%12.5%188 +0.46
Diego Moreno R 2026 · 3.76 FIP 29 SU 3.76 21.0%8.2%2.5%.347 2.99 17.8%11.9%54 -0.77 2.22 187 83
David Hernandez R 2027 · 4.32 FIP 30 SU 4.32 22.9%7.6%4.0%.287 3.20 24.9%18.4%192 -1.12 2.56 268 79
Ross Ohlendorf R 2029 · 3.26 FIP 32 SU 3.26 23.7%7.2%2.3%.342 4.99 23.4%12.7%66 +1.73 3.26 122 79
Daniel Hudson R 2026 · 3.35 FIP 29 SU 3.35 21.6%7.1%2.1%.319 3.85 23.5%13.9%181 +0.50 1.74 468 79
Cory Gearrin R 2026 · 3.55 FIP 29 SU 3.55 22.1%7.5%2.5%.283 3.52 22.2%13.6%174 -0.03 3.15 272 79
Gerardo Sanchez R 2025 · 3.49 FIP 28 SU 3.49 21.6%8.4%2.1%.355 3.55 20.5%15.1%56 +0.06 2.51 137 79
Ryan Brasier R 2025 · 4.03 FIP 28 SU 4.03 25.0%7.7%3.8%.289 3.03 24.2%17.9%130 -1.00 2.27 426 79
Mark Serrano R 2027 · 3.03 FIP 30 SU 3.03 17.7%6.5%1.1%.290 4.44 21.1%14.0%88 +1.41 3.03 120 79
Jonathan Broxton R 2028 · 3.57 FIP 31 SU 3.57 24.5%8.2%2.7%.325 3.78 21.7%13.5%76 +0.21 3.57 137 78
Jhan Mariñez R 2026 · 4.16 FIP 29 SU 4.16 21.2%7.9%3.4%.331 3.23 253 78
Tyler Sturdevant R 2026 · 4.07 FIP 29 SU 4.07 21.3%8.5%3.1%.241 4.06 18.5%11.9%118 -0.01 3.28 149 77
Erik Davis R 2026 · 3.07 FIP 29 SU 3.07 24.4%9.5%1.5%.329 3.81 19.8%9.8%129 +0.74 3.07 227 77
Chris Martin R 2026 · 3.28 FIP 29 SU 3.28 18.1%7.0%1.5%.319 3.06 20.9%19.2%42 -0.22 1.76 416 77
Marc Magliaro R 2025 · 3.72 FIP 28 SU 3.72 19.6%7.3%2.5%.307 3.62 125 77
Jaye Chapman R 2026 · 3.27 FIP 29 SU 3.27 24.6%6.4%2.6%.274 5.34 13.0%-0.4%31 +2.07 3.27 150 77
Austin Adams R 2026 · 3.39 FIP 29 SU 3.39 21.1%6.1%2.4%.376 6.16 20.8%10.2%60 +2.77 3.39 162 76
Tom Wilhelmsen R 2028 · 3.09 FIP 31 SU 3.09 22.5%9.7%1.2%.298 5.84 13.8%4.1%86 +2.75 3.09 148 76
Matt Albers R 2029 · 3.18 FIP 32 SU 3.18 18.8%4.7%1.9%.252 4.51 20.4%13.3%147 +1.33 3.15 244 76
Drew Storen R 2026 · 3.86 FIP 29 SU 3.86 19.5%7.3%2.7%.289 4.49 19.4%8.4%10 +0.63 2.36 172 76
Tommy Hunter R 2026 · 3.62 FIP 29 SU 3.62 18.9%4.8%2.7%.295 3.16 21.2%15.9%172 -0.46 2.82 316 76

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION45920.9%8.0%1.194.33
Matt Albers ('19)54920.3%8.3%1.374.21
Fernando Salas ('18)45922.5%6.6%1.224.42
Blaine Hardy ('19)55018.6%7.7%1.113.91
Jim Johnson ('18)46320.7%8.0%0.904.19
Jarlín García ('22)56119.6%7.8%1.333.79
Joe Biagini ('19)48119.1%7.8%1.284.86