Alexi Quiroz

C DSL Astros Blue

Age 20 R/R 6'0" / 205 lbs ROK HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#822ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	17	ROKDSL Astros Or…	113	.165/.405/.253	0	2	40	—	.103/.297/.161
2025	18	ROKDSL Astros Bl…	99	.208/.424/.292	1	3	43	—	.139/.313/.203
2027PROJMLE	20	MLBHOU	209	.209/.303/.290	1	2	72	0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	21	MLBHOU	25	.216/.310/.310	0	0	77	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	22	MLBHOU	79	.220/.313/.322	1	1	81	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk

BB%91

Chase%87

Whiff%79

wOBA72

K%72

wRC+66

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 96%

CompsLuis Torrens (age 20) · Jacob Reimer (age 20) · Jakson Reetz (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 37 proj PA

wRC+†72

AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .301 / .287

PA37

HR0

K%26

BB%10

ISO81

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$27M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.9M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.0M
2037	Arb-2	$2M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$5M		$6M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	113	79	13	5	1	0	28	24	4	2	0	165	405	253	659	89	228	21	25	326	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	99	72	15	3	0	1	21	17	6	3	1	208	424	292	716	83	259	17	21	353	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	113	87	9	3	1	0	20	30	4	2	0	103	297	161	458	57	148	27	18	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	99	79	11	2	0	1	14	21	6	3	1	139	313	203	516	63	162	21	14	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	113	87	9	3	1	0	20	30	4	2	0	103	297	161	458	57	153	27	18	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Orange	—	113	79	13	5	1	0	28	24	4	2	0	165	405	253	659	89	228	21	25	326	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	99	79	11	2	0	1	14	21	6	3	1	139	313	203	516	63	175	21	14	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Blue	—	99	72	15	3	0	1	21	17	6	3	1	208	424	292	716	83	259	17	21	353	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	113	88	9	3	1	0	20	30	4	2	0	102	297	159	456	57	148	27	18	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	99	79	11	2	0	1	14	21	6	3	1	139	313	203	516	63	162	21	14	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	113	88	9	3	1	0	20	30	4	2	0	102	297	159	456	57	148	27	18	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	99	79	11	2	0	1	14	21	6	3	1	139	313	203	516	63	162	21	14	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	HOU	0%	209	182	38	7	2	1	21	55	4	2	1	209	303	290	593	81	286	26	10	275	72	-7	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	HOU	34%	73	65	15	3	1	1	7	19	1	1	0	213	307	305	612	92	287	26	10	282	77	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2029	22	MLB MLE	HOU	48%	163	143	31	6	1	2	16	42	3	1	0	217	310	318	628	101	289	26	10	288	81	-4	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.3
2030	23	MLB MLE	HOU	54%	256	224	49	9	2	4	26	65	4	2	1	221	313	329	642	109	290	25	10	293	85	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2031	24	MLB MLE	HOU	55%	345	302	68	13	2	6	34	87	6	3	1	224	315	339	653	115	291	25	10	297	87	-5	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.9
2032	25	MLB MLE	HOU	56%	396	347	79	15	3	7	39	99	7	3	1	226	316	346	662	120	291	25	10	300	89	-5	+0	+0	+7	+9	1.1
2033	26	MLB MLE	HOU	56%	427	375	85	16	3	8	42	107	7	4	1	226	316	349	665	123	291	25	10	302	90	-5	+0	+0	+8	+9	1.3
2034	27	MLB MLE	HOU	55%	440	386	86	16	3	8	44	111	7	4	1	225	315	346	661	121	290	25	10	300	89	-6	+0	+0	+8	+10	1.2
2035	28	MLB MLE	HOU	55%	444	390	87	16	3	8	44	113	7	3	2	223	313	341	654	118	289	25	10	297	87	-7	-0	-1	+8	+10	1.0
2036	29	MLB MLE	HOU	53%	438	385	86	16	3	8	43	112	7	3	2	220	310	334	644	114	288	26	10	294	85	-8	-0	-1	+8	+9	0.8
2037	30	MLB MLE	HOU	53%	428	376	82	15	3	7	42	111	7	3	3	217	306	326	633	109	286	26	10	289	82	-9	-1	-2	+8	+9	0.5
2028	21	MLB CTX	HOU	34%	25	22	4	1	0	0	3	6	0	0	0	216	310	310	620	94	292	24	12	285	77	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.0
2029	22	MLB CTX	HOU	48%	79	70	16	3	1	1	8	20	1	1	0	220	313	322	635	102	293	25	10	291	81	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.2
2030	23	MLB CTX	HOU	54%	139	122	27	5	1	2	14	35	2	1	0	223	315	333	649	110	294	25	10	296	85	-3	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.3
2031	24	MLB CTX	HOU	55%	191	167	37	7	1	3	19	48	3	2	1	226	317	343	660	116	296	25	10	300	87	-3	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.5
2032	25	MLB CTX	HOU	56%	222	194	45	9	2	4	22	55	4	2	1	228	318	350	668	121	296	25	10	303	89	-3	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.6
2033	26	MLB CTX	HOU	56%	240	210	48	9	2	4	24	60	4	2	1	229	318	352	671	124	296	25	10	304	90	-3	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.7
2034	27	MLB CTX	HOU	55%	243	213	48	9	2	4	24	61	4	2	1	228	317	350	667	122	295	25	10	303	89	-3	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.7
2035	28	MLB CTX	HOU	55%	243	213	48	9	2	4	24	62	4	2	1	226	315	345	660	119	294	26	10	300	87	-4	+0	-0	+4	+5	0.6
2036	29	MLB CTX	HOU	53%	234	205	47	9	2	4	23	60	4	2	1	223	312	338	651	115	292	26	10	296	85	-4	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.4
2037	30	MLB CTX	HOU	53%	225	198	43	8	1	4	22	58	3	2	2	220	309	330	639	110	290	26	10	291	82	-5	-0	-1	+4	+5	0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1841	1614	363	69	14	30	183	465	29	16	8	225	315	341	656	116	295	25	10	299	84	-29	+0	-2	+33	+40	4.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	570	128	24	5	11	65	164	10	6	3	225	315	342	657	118	294	25	10	299	84	-10	+0	-1	+12	+14	1.5
Career	—	MLE		—	3659	3191	694	131	25	60	375	927	67	32	13	217	313	331	643	113	285	25	10	292	84	-56	+1	-4	+62	+75	7.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	567	123	23	4	11	67	165	12	6	2	217	313	330	642	113	284	25	10	292	84	-11	+0	-1	+12	+14	1.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 DSLDSL Astros Blue · 99 PAwOBA .346 → .232 (−114)K% 17.2% → 21.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.17%	÷0.976	×1.220	—	—	21.47%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	21.21%	÷1.026	×0.700	—	×0.995	14.40%
HBP% /PA	6.06%	—	×0.700	—	×0.995	4.22%
Singles /BIP	20.00%	÷0.996	×0.680	×0.950	×0.995	12.91%
Doubles /BIP	5.45%	÷0.997	×0.600	×0.950	×0.995	3.10%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.959	×0.600	×0.950	×0.995	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.82%	÷0.938	×0.470	—	×0.995	0.91%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 99, 2B 99, 3B 92, K 95, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .346 → .232; ISO .083 → .048; BABIP .259 → .162. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Astros Orange · 113 PAwOBA .326 → .228 (−98)K% 21.2% → 26.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.24%	÷0.966	×1.220	—	—	26.81%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	24.78%	÷1.011	×0.700	—	×1.008	17.29%
HBP% /PA	3.54%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	2.50%
Singles /BIP	12.73%	÷0.946	×0.680	×0.950	×1.008	8.76%
Doubles /BIP	9.09%	÷0.955	×0.600	×0.950	×1.008	5.47%
Triples /BIP	1.82%	÷0.985	×0.600	×0.950	×1.008	1.06%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.470	—	×1.008	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 89, 2B 91, 3B 97, K 93, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .326 → .228; ISO .089 → .058; BABIP .228 → .148. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#3Mike Fitzgerald'83-'92 * career totals — 9 seasons, 2,667 PA	4.0	2,667	48	31	234*	320*	372*	+43	-1	9.5	9.3
/162	664	12	8	+10.8	-0.3	2.4	pk7: 9
#4Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
/162	664	20	1	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#5Jerry May'64-'73 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,716 PA	2.6	1,716	15	1	236*	314*	355*	+31	+0	5.6	5.6
/162	664	6	0	+11.8	+0.0	2.2	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	2.8	1,879	32	15	223	310	339	+34	+24	5.6	5.2
/162	664	11	5	+11.9	+8.5	2.0	pk7: 5
#6Ben Davis'98-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,698 PA	2.6	1,698	38	9	228*	295*	352*	+30	-0	3.6	3.6
/162	664	15	4	+11.5	-0.0	1.4	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alexi Quiroz (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	207/301/287	81	286	0	0	26%	10%	72	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luis Torrens 2016 · A	20	43→49	39→50	49→40	45	207/279/288	81	285	6	6	28%	8%	63	-1.3	212/273/295	83	270	6	4	22%	7%	62	-1.4	233/290/382	149	292	18	0	26%	7%	89	+0.3
✕Jacob Reimer 2024 · A	20	46→49	40→45	44→50	50	217/316/303	86	302	8	5	28%	10%	82	-0.0	226/307/346	120	303	11	9	27%	9%	87	+0.4	226/302/377	150	302	15	14	28%	8%	90	+0.5
✕Jakson Reetz 2016 · A	20	47→33	38→55	48→45	47	216/306/297	80	310	4	9	29%	9%	76	-0.4	202/282/291	89	302	6	5	32%	7%	65	-1.2	198/277/386	187	246	23	4	29%	6%	83	+0.0
✕Michael Arroyo 2024 · A	19	44→51	40→50	46→50	49	208/316/308	101	279	6	7	25%	9%	84	+0.1	228/322/372	144	297	15	11	27%	8%	99	+1.3	232/324/382	150	294	16	12	25%	8%	100	+1.3
✕Luis Caicuto 2023 · A	20	51	38→45	46→50	46	241/301/323	82	302	5	7	21%	6%	78	-0.3	211/281/274	63	283	2	5	24%	7%	61	-1.5	197/271/279	82	244	7	8	21%	7%	57	-0.7
✕Carlos Pérez 2011 · A	20	46→49	37→55	43→45	52	215/292/293	78	267	3	6	19%	9%	69	-0.9	224/274/313	89	287	5	4	22%	6%	65	-1.2	249/297/366	117	288	10	4	17%	6%	86	+0.2
✕Aidan Miller 2024 · A	20	49→50	38→50	52→65	47	228/303/310	83	316	4	12	27%	8%	77	-0.3	227/310/359	132	312	11	28	28%	9%	91	+0.7	224/315/364	140	306	12	36	28%	10%	91	+0.5
✕Wilfredo Rodriguez 2014 · A	20	48	39→40	47→50	44	231/276/323	91	287	5	5	21%	6%	69	-0.9	235/273/310	75	276	5	6	16%	4%	64	-1.3	240/274/305	65	276	5	5	15%	4%	63	-0.7
✕Jacob Amaya 2019 · A	20	49→47	39→45	48→45	52	232/310/319	87	306	7	11	25%	10%	82	-0.0	216/290/316	100	284	8	6	25%	9%	74	-0.6	218/291/330	112	279	11	6	25%	9%	75	-0.4
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2022 · A	20	44→54	37→45	48→50	52	204/280/284	80	260	3	11	21%	9%	62	-1.4	241/302/355	114	291	9	13	19%	7%	86	+0.3	265/326/372	107	319	9	16	19%	7%	96	+0.8
✕Chris Suero 2024 · A	20	41→38	41→45	50→55	50	196/295/291	95	281	8	8	31%	10%	71	-0.8	193/290/309	116	280	12	20	33%	10%	74	-0.6	181/287/307	126	264	14	27	34%	10%	70	-0.7
✕Kyle Higashioka 2010 · A	20	45→43	40→60	49→45	41	216/268/305	89	291	7	7	28%	6%	62	-1.4	197/249/302	105	243	11	3	23%	6%	55	-2.0	230/276/419	189	272	26	4	26%	6%	93	+0.4
✕Blake Ochoa 2007 · A	21	45	40→45	46→40	44	215/280/307	92	280	6	5	24%	6%	68	-1.0	215/267/309	94	279	7	4	24%	6%	63	-1.4	229/292/365	137	275	15	2	22%	7%	85	+0.1
✕Leo Bernal 2024 · A	20	45→50	42→45	47→50	49	220/293/323	103	283	9	5	25%	9%	76	-0.4	231/296/349	118	296	13	8	25%	8%	83	+0.1	235/299/362	127	292	15	9	24%	8%	85	+0.2
✕Kervin Pichardo 2022 · A	20	43→46	40→45	49→45	52	199/309/297	98	300	6	8	32%	12%	78	-0.3	200/277/314	114	313	12	8	37%	8%	69	-0.9	201/267/310	109	303	14	8	36%	6%	61	-0.9
✕Shawn Zarraga 2009 · A	20	48	40	51→45	49	227/308/323	96	307	7	7	26%	9%	82	+0.0	224/297/299	75	308	5	6	26%	8%	72	-0.7	277/345/359	82	319	4	2	13%	7%	103	+0.5
✕Jancel Villarroel 2024 · A	19	46	40→45	44→50	53	218/308/313	95	272	6	8	21%	10%	80	-0.1	214/289/309	95	287	8	11	26%	7%	72	-0.7	215/287/315	100	285	9	11	26%	6%	70	-0.5
✕Christian Cerda 2023 · A	20	40	39→45	50→40	53	189/279/278	88	244	6	9	23%	10%	61	-1.5	198/297/302	104	263	10	4	26%	12%	74	-0.5	187/288/292	105	240	12	2	26%	12%	67	-0.7
✕Ronald Rosario 2023 · A	20	46→40	37→45	49→40	45	215/292/291	76	301	4	6	28%	8%	69	-0.9	203/260/295	92	302	8	3	33%	6%	57	-1.8	204/252/316	112	262	14	3	28%	5%	56	-1.2
✕Edward Duran 2024 · A	20	47→48	37→40	46→45	52	219/293/294	74	270	4	6	19%	9%	70	-0.9	221/290/300	79	293	5	9	24%	7%	70	-0.9	215/282/294	78	290	5	9	25%	7%	63	-0.8

Alexi Quiroz

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps