Alexi Quiroz — OGILVIE

Alexi QuirozC DSL Astros Blue

Age 19 R/R 6'0" / 205 lbs ROK HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 86 proj PA

wRC+†65

AVG/OBP/SLG.198 / .294 / .284

PA86

HR1

K%28

BB%10

ISO87

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 36

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER36

scouting grade only

EYE74

scouting grade only

SPEED52

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.7	$9M	+$8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.7	$8M	+$8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.7	$7M	+$7M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+1.5	$6M	+$5M
2036	Arb-2	$4M	+1.4	$5M	+$4M
2037	Arb-3	$5M	+1.2	$4M	+$2M
Totals		$16M		$40M	+$34M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	113	90	11	4	1	0	17	37	4	2	0	122	288	189	477	67	200	33	15	227	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	113	79	13	5	1	0	28	24	4	2	0	165	405	253	659	89	228	21	25	326	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	99	81	12	2	0	1	12	26	6	3	1	148	303	210	513	62	204	26	12	242	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	99	72	15	3	0	1	21	17	6	3	1	208	424	292	716	83	259	17	21	353	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	19	MLB	HOU	—	86	75	16	3	1	1	9	24	2	1	0	213	314	320	634	107	278	28	10	270	65	-3	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	HOU	34%	176	153	31	6	1	2	18	47	3	3	1	203	299	294	593	92	281	27	10	280	73	-5	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.3
2028	21	MLB	HOU	48%	314	274	58	11	2	5	31	83	6	6	2	212	305	321	627	109	283	26	10	287	78	-8	+0	+0	+6	+9	0.7
2029	22	MLB	HOU	54%	415	364	79	15	3	7	41	108	7	8	2	217	308	332	641	115	284	26	10	292	81	-9	+1	+0	+7	+12	1.1
2030	23	MLB	HOU	57%	482	422	92	18	3	8	48	124	9	10	3	218	311	332	643	114	285	26	10	294	83	-9	+1	+0	+9	+14	1.4
2031	24	MLB	HOU	57%	520	454	99	19	3	9	52	134	9	10	3	218	311	333	643	115	286	26	10	296	85	-9	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.6
2032	25	MLB	HOU	57%	520	454	100	19	3	10	52	134	9	10	3	220	313	341	654	121	286	26	10	297	85	-9	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.7
2033	26	MLB	HOU	60%	520	454	100	19	3	10	52	134	9	10	3	220	313	341	654	121	286	26	10	297	86	-8	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.7
2034	27	MLB	HOU	62%	520	453	100	19	3	10	53	134	9	10	3	221	315	342	657	121	286	26	10	297	86	-8	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.7
2035	28	MLB	HOU	63%	520	453	98	19	3	9	53	135	9	10	3	216	311	331	642	115	285	26	10	296	85	-9	+1	-1	+9	+15	1.5
2036	29	MLB	HOU	64%	520	452	98	19	3	9	54	136	9	10	3	217	313	332	644	115	284	26	10	294	83	-10	+1	-1	+9	+15	1.4
2037	30	MLB	HOU	65%	520	452	97	18	3	9	54	137	9	10	3	215	311	327	638	113	283	26	10	291	81	-11	+1	-2	+9	+15	1.2
2038	31	MLB	HOU	65%	504	438	92	17	3	8	52	134	9	9	3	210	307	317	624	107	280	27	10	287	78	-12	+1	-3	+9	+14	0.9
2039	32	MLB	HOU	65%	489	428	89	16	3	8	50	132	8	8	2	208	302	315	618	107	277	27	10	282	74	-14	+1	-4	+9	+14	0.6
2027	20	MLB	HOU	34%	60	53	11	2	0	1	6	16	1	1	0	208	300	302	602	94	283	27	10	269	64	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2028	21	MLB	HOU	48%	152	133	29	6	1	2	15	40	3	3	1	218	311	323	635	105	285	26	10	276	70	-5	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.2
2029	22	MLB	HOU	54%	225	197	42	8	1	4	22	59	4	4	1	213	305	325	630	112	287	26	10	281	73	-7	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.4
2030	23	MLB	HOU	57%	273	239	53	10	2	5	27	70	5	5	2	222	314	343	657	121	288	26	10	284	75	-8	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.5
2031	24	MLB	HOU	57%	294	258	57	11	2	5	29	76	5	6	2	221	312	337	649	116	289	26	10	285	77	-8	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.6
2032	25	MLB	HOU	57%	294	258	58	11	2	6	29	76	5	6	2	225	315	353	668	128	289	26	10	286	77	-8	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.7
2033	26	MLB	HOU	60%	314	273	61	12	2	6	32	81	6	6	2	223	318	348	666	125	289	26	10	287	77	-8	+0	+0	+6	+9	0.7
2034	27	MLB	HOU	62%	323	281	62	12	2	6	33	83	6	6	2	221	316	342	657	121	288	26	10	287	78	-8	+0	+0	+6	+9	0.7
2035	28	MLB	HOU	63%	329	286	63	12	2	6	34	85	6	6	2	220	316	339	655	119	288	26	10	286	77	-9	+0	-0	+6	+9	0.7
2036	29	MLB	HOU	64%	332	289	63	12	2	6	34	87	6	6	2	218	313	336	649	118	287	26	10	284	75	-9	+0	-1	+6	+9	0.6
2037	30	MLB	HOU	65%	338	294	64	12	2	6	35	89	6	6	2	218	313	333	647	116	286	26	10	281	73	-10	+0	-1	+6	+10	0.5
2038	31	MLB	HOU	65%	328	285	62	12	2	6	34	87	6	6	2	218	314	337	651	119	283	27	10	277	70	-11	+0	-2	+6	+9	0.3
2039	32	MLB	HOU	65%	318	276	58	11	2	5	33	86	6	5	2	210	308	319	627	109	280	27	10	272	66	-12	+0	-2	+6	+9	0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3580	3122	683	131	22	64	363	935	65	66	22	219	313	336	649	118	289	26	10	282	74	-105	+4	-7	+64	+101	5.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	567	125	24	4	12	66	170	12	12	4	220	315	340	655	120	291	26	10	282	74	-19	+1	-1	+12	+18	1.1
Career	—			—	6318	5497	1172	224	38	106	648	1659	117	120	35	213	309	326	635	112	283	26	10	290	80	-141	+10	-10	+113	+179	15.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	566	121	23	4	11	67	171	12	12	4	214	311	327	637	113	284	26	10	290	80	-14	+1	-1	+12	+18	1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	113	79	13	5	1	0	28	24	4	2	0	165	405	253	659	89	228	21	25	326	108	+1	+0	—	—	+3	0.5
2025	18	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	99	72	15	3	0	1	21	17	6	3	1	208	424	292	716	83	259	17	21	353	128	+3	+0	—	—	+3	0.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jason Castrolast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,381 PA	12	3,381	97	6	227	312	387	+60	+77	22.5	21.6
	/162	664	19	1	227	312	387	+11.9	+15.1	4.4	pk7: 21
#2Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	11	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.6	16.1
	/162	664	11	2	241	318	351	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Brad Ausmuslast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA	11	4,296	39	39	244	319	326	+39	+43	12.4	12.0
	/162	664	6	6	244	319	326	+6.1	+6.6	1.9	pk7: 12
#5Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#6Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	10	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	3,665	63	70	216	307	331	+65	+36	9.7	8.2
	/162	664	11	13	216	307	331	+11.9	+6.5	1.8	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alexi Quiroz (OGILVIE)	19	35→40	31→36	47→52	74	198/294/284	86	278	1	1	28%	10%	65	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Oswaldo Linares 2022 · A	19	42	36→40	47→40	54	195/298/259	64	275	4	8	28%	12%	60	-1.0	196/296/284	88	277	8	5	29%	11%	66	-0.6	173/283/253	79	246	9	2	30%	12%	51	-0.6
✕Juan Mora 2019 · A	19	45	38→45	46→55	49	211/291/293	83	275	4	8	23%	9%	65	-0.7	213/293/327	114	268	10	14	23%	8%	75	-0.0	214/280/327	113	274	11	12	25%	6%	67	-0.2
✕Enmanuel Tejeda 2023 · A	18	44	38→40	51→60	58	207/313/298	91	265	4	12	22%	12%	76	+0.1	218/305/301	83	307	6	23	28%	10%	73	-0.1	216/305/292	77	301	7	32	28%	10%	68	-0.2
✕Chris Suero 2023 · A	19	41→37	38→45	47→55	49	191/290/273	82	290	5	8	32%	11%	61	-1.0	192/289/292	100	287	9	14	33%	10%	65	-0.7	175/282/297	122	265	13	26	36%	10%	62	-0.6
✕Andy Paz 2012 · A	19	50	36→40	44→45	50	231/310/298	67	290	3	8	20%	8%	74	-0.1	208/273/281	73	275	4	5	24%	8%	53	-1.5	208/262/276	68	271	6	4	24%	7%	43	-0.5
✕Deiber Olivera 2012 · A	19	44	38→40	50→45	44	210/259/296	86	269	4	8	23%	6%	50	-1.7	236/277/312	76	275	3	7	15%	4%	63	-0.9	255/291/322	67	289	2	7	12%	3%	69	-0.1
✕Jose Astudillo 2023 · A	19	44	37→30	54→50	47	207/264/281	74	251	3	14	19%	6%	50	-1.8	245/295/318	73	283	3	14	14%	5%	72	-0.2	293/336/390	97	320	8	19	10%	4%	104	+0.6
✕Edward Duran 2023 · A	19	43→45	35→40	48→50	47	200/268/269	69	262	2	7	23%	7%	49	-1.8	224/299/299	75	294	4	8	23%	8%	69	-0.4	225/304/305	79	304	5	8	25%	8%	70	-0.2
✕Enmanuel Terrero 2022 · A	19	42	36→45	46→55	52	196/279/261	65	256	3	9	23%	10%	52	-1.6	220/298/308	88	314	7	14	29%	10%	71	-0.3	212/292/305	93	325	9	17	34%	10%	65	-0.3
✕Luis Perez 2010 · A	19	49	37→30	45→50	58	225/321/310	84	276	3	7	18%	11%	82	+0.5	226/294/321	95	269	6	10	17%	7%	73	-0.1	228/288/337	109	268	7	11	17%	6%	72	-0.1
✕Jacob Amaya 2018 · A	19	44→46	39→45	48→45	46	210/278/294	84	284	6	8	27%	8%	59	-1.1	225/302/319	94	296	6	8	24%	10%	76	+0.0	210/281/328	118	268	13	6	25%	8%	68	-0.4
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2022 · A	19	42→41	39→55	47→50	50	201/285/293	92	282	6	8	29%	10%	63	-0.9	187/257/303	116	284	10	9	35%	7%	53	-1.5	217/272/375	157	286	21	10	31%	5%	75	+0.0
✕Ricardo Hurtado 2023 · A	20	43	36→45	47→40	54	196/312/270	74	246	3	7	19%	10%	71	-0.3	190/286/298	108	283	10	4	34%	9%	66	-0.6	174/281/288	113	266	12	2	36%	10%	59	-0.5
✕Alexander Campos 2018 · A	18	46	37→40	39→45	51	214/291/283	68	279	4	8	23%	9%	62	-0.9	195/266/265	70	306	4	9	34%	8%	46	-2.0	215/312/294	79	295	8	4	27%	11%	72	-0.1
✕Jenner Emeterio 2013 · A	20	45	38→30	48→60	46	214/278/297	83	284	5	13	26%	8%	59	-1.1	217/304/278	61	289	3	24	23%	10%	66	-0.6	216/317/260	44	285	1	34	22%	12%	65	-0.3
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→46	41→45	56→55	43	214/285/313	99	288	7	14	27%	7%	68	-0.5	203/314/320	117	299	9	23	31%	12%	83	+0.6	201/310/335	134	289	10	26	30%	12%	81	+0.3
✕Graviel Andres 2007 · A	19	46	37→40	44→50	54	213/299/292	78	266	3	9	20%	10%	68	-0.5	194/283/255	61	246	3	9	20%	9%	53	-1.5	127/246/133	6	158	0	12	17%	10%	10	-1.2
✕Aroon Escobar 2023 · A	18	43→46	38→45	47→55	49	203/297/279	76	256	6	12	22%	8%	66	-0.6	211/299/308	97	254	9	16	20%	9%	72	-0.2	216/299/322	106	259	12	19	21%	8%	75	-0.0
✕Jeferson Quero 2022 · A	19	48→42	43→50	47→45	50	230/306/345	115	283	9	10	21%	8%	85	+0.7	221/273/345	124	289	14	8	27%	6%	70	-0.3	225/289/370	145	269	18	4	23%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2022 · A	20	47→55	38→45	48→50	49	218/288/307	89	289	3	11	24%	9%	66	-0.6	244/304/360	116	301	9	13	21%	7%	87	+0.8	254/315/362	108	309	9	16	20%	7%	88	+0.7