Alexi Quiroz — OGILVIE

Alexi QuirozC DSL Astros Blue

Age 19 R/R 6'0" / 205 lbs ROK HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 86 proj PA

wRC+†71

AVG/OBP/SLG.201 / .297 / .288

PA7

HR0

K%27

BB%10

ISO87

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$41M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 42 / POW 36

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT42

scouting grade only

POWER36

scouting grade only

EYE75

scouting grade only

SPEED52

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.5M
2036	Arb-2	$5M	+0.8	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$6M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$11M	+$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	113	79	13	5	1	0	28	24	4	2	0	165	405	253	659	89	228	21	25	326	107	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.4
2025	18	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	99	72	15	3	0	1	21	17	6	3	1	208	424	292	716	83	259	17	21	353	125	+3	+0	—	—	+2	0.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	113	90	11	4	1	0	17	36	4	2	0	122	288	189	477	67	176	32	15	225	38	-8	+0	—	—	+2	-0.6
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	99	80	12	2	0	1	13	25	6	3	1	150	313	212	526	62	197	25	13	243	51	-6	+0	—	—	+2	-0.4
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	113	90	11	4	1	0	17	36	4	2	0	122	288	189	477	67	196	32	15	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Orange	—	113	79	13	5	1	0	28	24	4	2	0	165	405	253	659	89	228	21	25	326	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	99	80	12	2	0	1	13	25	6	3	1	150	313	212	526	62	204	25	13	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Blue	—	99	72	15	3	0	1	21	17	6	3	1	208	424	292	716	83	259	17	21	353	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	113	91	11	4	1	0	17	36	4	2	0	121	288	187	475	66	176	32	15	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	99	80	12	2	0	1	13	25	6	3	1	150	313	212	526	62	197	25	13	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	113	91	11	4	1	0	17	36	4	2	0	121	288	187	475	66	176	32	15	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	99	80	12	2	0	1	13	25	6	3	1	150	313	212	526	62	197	25	13	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	19	MLB MLE	HOU	0%	7	6	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	167	286	167	452		279	29	14	273	71	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	HOU	34%	176	153	32	6	1	2	18	46	3	3	1	209	305	301	605	92	282	26	10	283	78	-5	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.3
2028	21	MLB MLE	HOU	48%	314	273	59	11	2	5	32	81	6	6	2	216	312	326	638	110	284	26	10	290	82	-7	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.6
2029	22	MLB MLE	HOU	54%	415	363	79	15	3	7	42	106	7	8	2	218	311	333	644	116	285	26	10	294	85	-7	+1	+0	+7	+9	1.0
2030	23	MLB MLE	HOU	57%	482	421	92	18	3	8	49	122	9	10	3	219	313	333	646	114	286	25	10	297	87	-7	+1	+0	+9	+10	1.3
2031	24	MLB MLE	HOU	57%	520	453	100	19	3	9	53	131	9	10	3	221	315	336	650	115	287	25	10	298	88	-7	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.4
2032	25	MLB MLE	HOU	57%	520	453	101	19	3	10	53	131	9	10	3	223	317	344	661	121	287	25	10	299	89	-7	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.5
2033	26	MLB MLE	HOU	60%	520	453	100	19	3	10	53	131	9	10	3	221	315	342	657	121	287	25	10	300	89	-7	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.5
2034	27	MLB MLE	HOU	62%	520	453	100	19	3	10	53	132	9	10	3	221	315	342	657	121	287	25	10	300	89	-7	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.5
2035	28	MLB MLE	HOU	63%	520	452	100	19	3	10	54	132	9	10	3	221	317	343	659	122	286	25	10	299	88	-7	+1	-1	+9	+11	1.4
2036	29	MLB MLE	HOU	64%	520	452	99	19	3	9	54	133	9	10	3	219	315	334	649	115	285	26	10	297	87	-8	+1	-1	+9	+11	1.2
2037	30	MLB MLE	HOU	65%	520	452	97	18	3	9	54	135	9	10	3	215	311	327	638	113	284	26	10	294	85	-9	+1	-2	+9	+11	1.0
2038	31	MLB MLE	HOU	65%	504	438	94	18	3	8	52	132	9	9	3	215	311	324	635	110	282	26	10	290	82	-11	+1	-3	+9	+11	0.7
2039	32	MLB MLE	HOU	65%	489	426	89	16	3	8	51	130	9	8	2	209	307	317	623	108	278	27	10	284	79	-12	+1	-4	+9	+11	0.4
2040	33	MLB MLE	HOU	65%	447	390	78	14	2	6	46	121	8	7	2	200	297	292	590	92	274	27	10	278	74	-14	+1	-4	+8	+10	0.0
2041	34	MLB MLE	HOU	60%	391	341	67	12	2	5	40	108	7	6	2	196	294	287	581	91	268	28	10	269	69	-15	+0	-5	+7	+8	-0.4
2027	20	MLB CTX	HOU	34%	60	53	11	2	0	1	6	16	1	1	0	208	300	302	602	94	284	27	10	271	78	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2028	21	MLB CTX	HOU	48%	152	133	29	6	1	2	15	39	3	3	1	218	311	323	635	105	286	26	10	277	82	-3	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.3
2029	22	MLB CTX	HOU	54%	225	196	43	8	1	4	23	57	4	4	1	219	314	332	646	112	287	25	10	281	85	-4	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2030	23	MLB CTX	HOU	57%	273	239	53	10	2	5	27	69	5	5	2	222	314	343	657	121	288	25	10	284	87	-4	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2031	24	MLB CTX	HOU	57%	294	257	57	11	2	5	30	74	5	6	2	222	315	339	654	117	289	25	10	286	88	-4	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.8
2032	25	MLB CTX	HOU	57%	294	257	57	11	2	5	30	74	5	6	2	222	315	339	654	117	289	25	10	287	89	-4	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.8
2033	26	MLB CTX	HOU	60%	314	273	62	12	2	6	32	79	6	6	2	227	322	352	673	125	289	25	10	287	89	-4	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.9
2034	27	MLB CTX	HOU	62%	323	281	63	12	2	6	33	82	6	6	2	224	319	345	664	121	289	25	10	287	89	-4	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.9
2035	28	MLB CTX	HOU	63%	329	286	63	12	2	6	34	84	6	6	2	220	316	339	655	119	288	26	10	286	88	-5	+0	-0	+6	+7	0.9
2036	29	MLB CTX	HOU	64%	332	288	63	12	2	6	35	85	6	6	2	219	316	337	653	118	287	26	11	284	87	-5	+0	-1	+6	+7	0.8
2037	30	MLB CTX	HOU	65%	338	294	64	12	2	6	35	88	6	6	2	218	313	333	647	116	286	26	10	281	85	-6	+0	-1	+6	+7	0.7
2038	31	MLB CTX	HOU	65%	328	285	61	12	2	5	34	86	6	6	2	214	311	323	634	109	284	26	10	277	82	-7	+0	-2	+6	+7	0.5
2039	32	MLB CTX	HOU	65%	318	276	59	11	2	5	33	85	6	5	2	214	311	322	634	109	280	27	10	272	79	-8	+0	-2	+6	+7	0.2
2040	33	MLB CTX	HOU	65%	291	254	52	9	2	4	30	79	5	5	1	205	301	303	604	98	276	27	10	266	74	-9	+1	-3	+5	+6	0.0
2041	34	MLB CTX	HOU	60%	237	207	40	7	1	3	24	66	4	4	1	193	289	280	570	87	270	28	10	258	69	-9	+0	-3	+4	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4108	3579	777	147	25	69	421	1063	74	75	24	217	312	330	642	113	287	26	10	280	83	-78	+5	-13	+73	+89	7.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	566	123	23	4	11	67	168	12	12	4	217	313	330	644	113	287	26	10	280	83	-12	+1	-2	+12	+14	1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	7077	6149	1311	248	41	117	735	1834	131	132	39	213	310	324	634	111	282	26	10	291	83	-131	+10	-20	+123	+149	13.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	565	121	23	4	11	68	168	12	12	4	214	312	327	640	113	282	26	10	291	83	-12	+1	-2	+12	+14	1.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jason Castrolast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,381 PA	5.1	3,381	97	6	227	312	387	+60	+77	22.5	21.6
/162	664	19	1	+11.9	+15.1	4.4	pk7: 21
#2Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#5Brendan Ryanlast yr '15 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,872 PA	4.3	2,872	19	67	234	295	315	+30	+85	10.6	11.0
/162	664	4	15	+6.9	+19.7	2.4	pk7: 11
#6Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	6.3	4,192	70	78	216	308	329	+75	+40	11.3	9.3
/162	664	11	12	+11.9	+6.3	1.8	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alexi Quiroz (OGILVIE)	19	37→42	31→36	47→52	75	201/297/288	86	279	1	1	27%	10%	71	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Oswaldo Linares 2022 · A	19	42	36→40	47→40	55	196/303/262	65	273	4	8	27%	12%	68	-1.0	197/297/284	87	275	8	5	28%	11%	70	-0.8	175/284/254	79	245	9	2	29%	12%	58	-0.6
✕Juan Mora 2019 · A	19	45	38→45	46→55	49	211/291/293	83	275	4	8	23%	9%	69	-0.9	213/293/326	113	268	10	14	23%	8%	78	-0.3	212/279/323	110	272	10	12	25%	6%	70	-0.4
✕Enmanuel Tejeda 2023 · A	18	45→37	40	52→60	57	212/316/313	100	269	5	12	21%	12%	83	+0.1	225/310/312	87	311	7	23	27%	10%	80	-0.1	226/313/303	78	310	7	32	27%	10%	77	-0.1
✕Chris Suero 2023 · A	19	41→37	38→45	47→55	49	191/288/272	81	291	5	8	32%	10%	64	-1.3	194/290/296	102	287	9	14	33%	10%	70	-0.8	175/281/296	121	259	13	27	34%	10%	66	-0.9
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2022 · A	19	43→41	41→50	47→50	51	206/290/306	101	284	7	8	28%	10%	72	-0.7	190/261/308	118	286	11	9	35%	8%	61	-1.5	219/271/366	148	290	19	9	30%	5%	75	-0.3
✕Luis Perez 2010 · A	19	49	37→30	45→50	58	225/321/310	84	276	3	7	18%	11%	84	+0.2	226/294/321	95	269	6	10	17%	7%	76	-0.4	228/288/337	109	268	7	11	17%	6%	75	-0.1
✕Deiber Olivera 2012 · A	19	44	38→40	50→45	44	210/259/296	86	269	4	8	23%	6%	56	-1.9	236/277/312	76	275	3	7	15%	4%	67	-1.1	255/291/322	67	289	2	7	12%	3%	73	-0.2
✕Andy Paz 2012 · A	19	50	36→40	44→45	50	231/310/298	67	290	3	8	20%	8%	77	-0.3	208/273/281	73	275	4	5	24%	8%	59	-1.7	214/269/283	68	275	5	4	23%	7%	54	-0.5
✕Alexander Albertus 2023 · A	18	50	36→45	55→45	57	230/329/297	67	301	2	9	22%	12%	84	+0.2	231/325/325	94	288	8	10	21%	11%	89	+0.5	229/319/329	99	290	10	8	22%	11%	86	+0.1
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	46→55	42→45	49→50	46	224/285/337	113	288	9	9	25%	8%	76	-0.4	235/301/339	104	297	6	12	21%	8%	82	+0.0	256/318/360	105	310	9	16	19%	7%	92	+0.5
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2023 · A	20	50→52	39→40	54→50	56	234/323/325	91	290	6	14	20%	11%	88	+0.4	239/315/327	88	307	7	14	23%	8%	86	+0.3	239/316/323	84	307	7	14	23%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Jonathan Galvez 2009 · A	18	45→48	39→45	51→55	53	209/310/290	81	290	7	9	27%	11%	76	-0.4	212/285/327	115	307	10	14	32%	8%	74	-0.5	235/283/350	115	329	10	23	30%	5%	76	-0.3
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→44	41→45	56→55	44	216/286/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	206/315/327	121	297	9	23	30%	12%	86	+0.3	203/309/335	132	285	10	26	29%	12%	83	+0.1
✕Onil Perez 2022 · A	19	47	39→30	45→55	55	225/305/313	88	271	7	10	19%	10%	78	-0.3	213/272/287	74	273	3	14	21%	7%	59	-1.6	211/278/275	64	260	3	21	19%	7%	57	-0.9
✕Enmanuel Terrero 2022 · A	19	43	36→45	46→55	53	200/285/268	68	260	3	9	23%	10%	61	-1.5	217/295/305	88	312	7	14	30%	10%	73	-0.6	206/286/298	92	317	9	17	35%	10%	65	-0.5
✕Graviel Andres 2007 · A	19	46	37→40	44→50	54	213/299/292	78	266	3	9	20%	10%	72	-0.7	194/283/255	61	246	3	9	20%	9%	58	-1.7	127/246/133	6	158	0	12	17%	10%	20	-1.2
✕Jeferson Morales 2019 · A	20	47→48	38→45	50	54	218/320/316	97	274	3	15	20%	10%	86	+0.3	207/295/325	118	259	9	9	22%	9%	78	-0.3	221/295/347	125	275	11	8	22%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2022 · A	19	39	41→45	46→45	48	183/286/282	99	291	8	6	36%	11%	66	-1.1	184/261/262	78	291	6	6	35%	9%	51	-2.3	177/255/266	89	258	8	2	32%	9%	47	-1.0
✕Jenner Emeterio 2013 · A	20	45	38→30	48→60	46	214/278/297	83	284	5	13	26%	8%	64	-1.3	217/304/278	61	289	3	24	23%	10%	70	-0.8	216/317/260	44	285	1	34	22%	12%	69	-0.4
✕Jacob Amaya 2018 · A	19	44→45	39→45	48→45	46	210/278/294	84	284	6	8	27%	8%	64	-1.3	223/301/315	92	295	6	8	24%	10%	77	-0.3	207/279/322	115	260	13	5	25%	9%	69	-0.8

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps