Ronald Rosario — OGILVIE

Ronald RosarioC Portland Sea Dogs

Age 23 R/R 5'11" / 175 lbs AA H +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION170 act + 150 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†53

AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .255 / .314

PA150

HR3

K%30

BB%5

BABIP280

ISO107

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.5	$2M	+$1.0M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2032	Arb-1	$0.4M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.5M
2033	Arb-2	$5M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$6M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	DSL BOS Blue	—	20	18	6	1	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	333	400	389	789	56	375	10	10	402	166	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK	DSL BOS Blue	—	20	16	8	1	0	1	4	1	0	0	0	500	600	750	1.350	250	500	5	20	579	301	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	51	44	7	1	0	0	4	16	3	0	0	159	275	182	456	23	250	31	8	213	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	51	41	10	2	0	0	7	11	3	0	0	244	392	293	685	49	333	22	14	331	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+	2 teams	—	319	287	54	13	2	3	23	136	4	1	0	188	258	279	537	91	333	43	7	244	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+	2 teams	—	319	271	70	17	3	4	39	96	4	1	0	258	360	387	747	129	375	30	12	335	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+	Greenville Drive	—	427	397	78	14	1	6	25	120	2	2	1	196	248	282	530	86	263	28	6	232	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+	Greenville Drive	—	427	390	95	19	1	8	32	82	2	2	1	244	304	359	663	115	287	19	7	298	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	402	370	64	7	0	8	21	128	6	5	3	173	229	257	486	84	236	32	5	213	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	402	358	72	10	0	11	33	95	6	5	3	201	280	321	601	120	239	24	8	272	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	AA	BOS	—	170	161	38	5	1	6	7	53	1	2	1	236	272	391	663	155	311	31	4	285	76	-5	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.3
YTD	23	AA	BOS	—	170	158	44	6	1	7	10	41	1	2	1	278	325	462	787	184	333	24	6	346	123	+4	+0	+0	+3	+5	1.2
ROS	23	AA	BOS	2%	150	140	29	4	1	3	8	45	1	2	1	207	255	314	569	107	275	30	5	254	53	-8	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.1
ROS	23	MLB	BOS	2%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						280	33	0	252	51	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	23	AA	BOS	—	173	164	38	5	1	6	7	54	1	2	1	232	267	384	652	152	305	31	4	284	76	-5	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.3
TOT	23	AA	BOS	—	320	301	67	9	2	9	15	98	2	4	2	223	264	355	620	133	296	31	5	271	65	-13	+0	+0	+6	+9	0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	BOS	31%	458	426	91	14	2	11	25	133	4	5	2	214	264	333	597	120	277	29	5	263	60	-21	+0	+0	+8	+13	0.1
2028	25	MLB	BOS	45%	489	454	97	15	2	12	28	139	4	6	3	214	265	335	600	121	279	28	6	270	65	-19	+0	+0	+9	+14	0.3
2029	26	MLB	BOS	51%	507	467	102	16	2	13	31	142	4	6	3	218	273	345	618	126	279	28	6	274	68	-18	+0	+0	+9	+14	0.5
2030	27	MLB	BOS	53%	513	472	102	16	2	13	32	144	4	7	3	216	272	341	613	125	279	28	6	276	69	-18	+0	+0	+9	+15	0.6
2031	28	MLB	BOS	53%	513	472	102	16	2	13	32	144	4	6	3	216	272	341	613	125	279	28	6	275	68	-18	+0	-1	+9	+15	0.5
2032	29	MLB	BOS	53%	506	465	101	16	2	13	32	143	4	6	3	217	273	344	618	127	278	28	6	273	67	-19	+0	-1	+9	+14	0.3
2033	30	MLB	BOS	52%	497	458	96	15	1	12	32	142	4	6	3	210	267	325	593	116	277	29	6	270	65	-20	+0	-2	+9	+14	0.1
2027	24	MLB	BOS	31%	142	132	28	5	0	3	8	41	1	1	1	212	262	318	581	106	283	29	6	261	58	-7	-0	+0	+3	+4	-0.0
2028	25	MLB	BOS	45%	218	201	44	7	1	5	13	62	2	2	1	219	273	338	611	119	285	28	6	268	64	-9	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.1
2029	26	MLB	BOS	51%	258	238	53	9	1	7	16	72	2	3	1	223	277	357	634	134	285	28	6	272	66	-10	+0	+0	+5	+7	0.2
2030	27	MLB	BOS	53%	269	248	55	9	1	7	17	75	2	3	2	222	277	351	628	129	285	28	6	273	67	-10	-0	+0	+5	+8	0.2
2031	28	MLB	BOS	53%	274	253	56	9	1	7	17	77	2	3	2	221	276	348	624	126	285	28	6	272	67	-10	-0	-0	+5	+8	0.2
2032	29	MLB	BOS	53%	266	245	54	9	1	7	17	75	2	3	2	220	277	351	628	131	284	28	6	270	65	-10	-0	-1	+5	+8	0.1
2033	30	MLB	BOS	52%	259	238	51	8	1	6	17	74	2	3	1	214	272	332	604	118	283	29	7	268	63	-11	+0	-1	+5	+7	0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1689	1558	341	56	6	42	105	477	13	18	10	219	274	343	617	125	286	28	6	270	65	-67	-0	-2	+30	+48	0.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	600	131	22	2	16	40	184	5	7	4	218	273	342	615	123	285	28	6	270	65	-26	-0	-1	+12	+18	0.3
Career	—			—	4852	4470	929	148	17	107	295	1434	44	52	25	208	264	320	584	113	278	30	6	261	58	-231	+0	-4	+87	+137	-1.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	599	124	20	2	14	40	192	6	7	3	207	264	317	581	110	277	30	6	261	58	-31	+0	-1	+12	+18	-0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	DSL BOS Blue	—	20	16	8	1	0	1	4	1	0	0	0	500	600	750	1.350	250	500	5	20	579	301	+5	+0	—	—	+1	0.5
2022	19	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	51	41	10	2	0	0	7	11	3	0	0	244	392	293	685	49	333	22	14	331	112	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2023	20	A+	Greenville Drive	—	247	215	56	12	2	3	27	74	2	1	0	260	348	377	725	116	376	30	11	326	108	+2	+0	—	—	+7	0.9
2023	20	A	Salem Red Sox	—	72	56	14	5	1	1	12	22	2	0	0	250	400	429	829	179	371	31	17	365	138	+3	+0	—	—	+2	0.5
2024	21	A+	Greenville Drive	—	427	390	95	19	1	8	32	82	2	2	1	244	304	359	663	115	287	19	7	298	86	-7	+0	—	—	+12	0.5
2025	22	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	402	358	72	10	0	11	33	95	6	5	3	201	280	321	601	120	239	24	8	272	66	-15	-0	—	—	+11	-0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	11	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
	/162	664	24	9	241	275	417	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Derek Norrislast yr '17 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,195 PA	6	2,195	63	26	230	304	380	+39	+50	13.7	13.7
	/162	664	19	8	230	304	380	+11.9	+15.1	4.1	pk7: 14
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#5Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	1,693	42	20	216	268	339	+30	+12	1.3	1.3
	/162	664	17	8	216	268	339	+11.9	+4.7	0.5	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ronald Rosario (OGILVIE)	23	35	40	45	40	223/264/355	133	296	9	4	31%	5%	65	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Alex Lavisky 2014 · AA	23	38	42→40	46→30	37	191/238/289	98	271	10	3	33%	5%	41	-2.3	205/252/301	96	261	10	4	25%	5%	50	-1.8	194/238/278	84	237	10	1	23%	5%	34	-1.0
✕Ramón Rodríguez 2022 · AA	23	43	42→40	47→45	40	213/257/317	104	272	10	5	26%	5%	56	-1.3	225/280/319	94	262	9	8	18%	6%	66	-0.6	215/285/319	104	236	12	5	15%	8%	66	-0.2
✕Blake Hunt 2022 · AA	23	35	43→50	48→40	39	178/241/285	107	272	11	4	37%	7%	42	-2.3	203/260/325	122	275	13	4	30%	6%	60	-1.0	207/268/341	134	263	14	2	26%	6%	65	-0.3
✕Claudio Finol 2023 · AA	23	38	37→40	50→45	40	187/240/263	77	259	4	8	29%	5%	35	-2.8	204/263/296	92	292	8	10	31%	7%	53	-1.5	181/246/258	77	260	9	12	32%	7%	35	-0.7
✕Jose Gil 2010 · AA	23	41	39→50	45	38	203/239/290	86	267	6	7	26%	4%	40	-2.4	222/270/354	132	273	15	7	24%	5%	72	-0.2	218/271/355	138	257	17	6	23%	6%	70	-0.2
✕Luis Santana 2022 · AA	23	39	42→45	47→50	39	198/255/299	101	269	10	10	30%	5%	51	-1.7	211/272/334	123	278	13	9	28%	6%	67	-0.5	201/263/321	120	259	14	7	27%	6%	57	-0.7
✕Bryan Holaday 2012 · AA	24	41	41→45	48→40	40	201/257/296	95	274	9	7	29%	6%	51	-1.7	214/263/302	88	270	7	5	23%	5%	55	-1.4	223/289/353	130	256	14	2	19%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Jacob Amaya 2022 · AA	23	39→46	44→45	48→45	45	198/261/314	116	258	13	6	28%	8%	57	-1.2	214/281/337	123	274	14	7	26%	8%	72	-0.2	210/281/328	118	268	13	6	25%	8%	68	-0.4
✕Will Banfield 2023 · AA	23	34→35	44→50	45→30	34	182/222/296	114	253	12	3	33%	4%	36	-2.7	197/235/324	127	272	15	3	33%	4%	49	-1.8	194/236/296	102	269	12	0	32%	4%	39	-1.2
✕Brian Valichka 2007 · A	23	39	41→40	46→45	39	196/244/292	96	255	9	8	27%	4%	44	-2.1	213/261/306	93	290	6	7	27%	5%	54	-1.4	216/261/301	85	297	4	5	27%	5%	50	-0.5
✕Juan Zabala 2022 · AA	23	40	44→40	45→50	37	198/253/312	114	299	12	7	36%	6%	53	-1.5	214/277/311	97	297	10	16	29%	7%	63	-0.8	203/266/291	88	284	10	16	30%	7%	50	-0.7
✕J.C. Millan 2019 · AA	23	43	40→45	48→30	43	212/261/306	94	267	8	8	23%	6%	55	-1.4	226/271/332	106	278	11	6	22%	6%	66	-0.6	227/267/326	98	272	11	2	20%	5%	58	-0.6
✕Wendell Rijo 2019 · AA	23	41	39→55	42→50	44	198/257/281	83	259	7	8	25%	6%	47	-1.9	212/265/353	141	275	17	8	29%	6%	69	-0.4	208/263/371	163	264	20	14	29%	6%	70	-0.2
✕Alejandro Torres 2012 · A	23	37	37→40	46→40	35	182/219/253	71	267	4	5	33%	4%	22	-3.7	205/260/281	76	311	5	6	33%	6%	48	-1.9	198/265/228	30	313	0	0	34%	8%	37	-0.5
✕Mike Nickeas 2006 · AA	23	39	43→40	45→40	44	198/247/300	102	236	11	5	22%	6%	47	-1.9	203/272/285	82	262	6	4	23%	7%	55	-1.4	219/286/299	80	264	7	1	18%	8%	62	-0.4
✕Claudio Bautista 2017 · AA	23	40→43	42→45	43→45	38	202/242/304	102	276	10	8	30%	5%	46	-2.0	207/257/325	118	293	13	6	33%	5%	59	-1.1	186/234/314	128	255	18	0	34%	4%	43	-0.9
✕Max Burt 2021 · AA	24	39	40→45	44→55	34	192/239/277	84	280	9	6	34%	4%	38	-2.6	202/254/321	119	291	13	16	34%	5%	56	-1.3	193/249/316	123	274	14	21	34%	6%	50	-0.9
✕Santiago Nessy 2016 · AA	23	40	42→45	43→45	38	201/250/308	107	278	9	3	31%	5%	51	-1.7	203/259/302	99	282	9	6	29%	6%	53	-1.5	161/224/221	60	222	5	0	28%	8%	14	-1.0
✕Luis De La Cruz 2011 · A	22	39	40	47→30	38	193/229/294	101	252	6	6	26%	4%	37	-2.6	234/265/316	82	286	5	6	19%	4%	58	-1.2	263/286/335	71	310	4	4	16%	3%	67	-0.2
✕Jarek Cunningham 2013 · AA	23	35→38	44→55	46→45	37	182/238/300	118	260	11	6	34%	5%	44	-2.1	192/243/341	149	270	18	7	35%	5%	57	-1.2	186/236/344	158	258	20	7	36%	5%	52	-1.0