Kyle Higashioka
C Texas Rangers| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 34 | MLBSD | 263 | .220/.264/.476 | 17 | 2 | 102 | 1.8 | |
| 2025 | 35 | MLBTEX | 327 | .241/.292/.403 | 11 | 3 | 91 | 1.5 | |
| 2026 | 36 | AAATEX | 52 | .239/.327/.413 | 2 | 1 | 52 | — | .188/.250/.292 |
| 2026 | 36 | MLBTEX | 186 | .218/.306/.370 | 7 | 0 | 89 | 0.5 | |
| 2027PROJ | 37 | MLBTEX | 138 | .217/.284/.397 | 6 | 1 | 87 | 0.3 | |
| 2028PROJ | 38 | MLBTEX | 80 | .206/.272/.370 | 3 | 0 | 76 | -0.7 |
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 50
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2008 | 18 | ROK | GCL Yankees | — | 50 | 46 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 261 | 306 | 348 | 654 | 87 | 289 | 16 | 4 | 291 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 20 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 359 | 320 | 72 | 18 | 0 | 6 | 31 | 64 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 225 | 303 | 338 | 641 | 113 | 263 | 18 | 9 | 291 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | A+ | Tampa Yankees | — | 180 | 164 | 39 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 22 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 238 | 302 | 372 | 674 | 134 | 252 | 12 | 8 | 302 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 144 | 130 | 29 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 223 | 284 | 362 | 645 | 138 | 229 | 13 | 6 | 285 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | AA | Trenton Thunder | — | 26 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 87 | 160 | 87 | 247 | 125 | 31 | 8 | 123 | -37 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2012 | 22 | A+ | Tampa Yankees | — | 139 | 124 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 34 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 185 | 244 | 371 | 615 | 185 | 198 | 24 | 7 | 264 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | AA | Trenton Thunder | — | 26 | 25 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 320 | 320 | 560 | 880 | 240 | 368 | 19 | 0 | 367 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | A+ | Tampa Yankees | — | 31 | 26 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 231 | 333 | 462 | 795 | 231 | 227 | 13 | 13 | 340 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | ROK | GCL Yankees1 | — | 27 | 23 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 217 | 308 | 261 | 569 | 43 | 294 | 26 | 11 | 259 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | INTL | Scottsdale Scorpions | — | 25 | 22 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 409 | 480 | 682 | 1.162 | 273 | 421 | 8 | 12 | 502 | 226 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 17 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 176 | 176 | 235 | 412 | 59 | 231 | 24 | 0 | 182 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | A+ | Tampa Yankees | — | 331 | 307 | 78 | 18 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 49 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 254 | 306 | 375 | 681 | 121 | 287 | 15 | 7 | 305 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 160 | 148 | 37 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 12 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 250 | 306 | 514 | 820 | 264 | 252 | 19 | 8 | 356 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AA | Trenton Thunder | — | 256 | 222 | 65 | 15 | 0 | 11 | 26 | 42 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 293 | 367 | 509 | 876 | 216 | 305 | 16 | 10 | 373 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | MLB | New York Yankees | — | 20 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 100 | 30 | 10 | 70 | -67 | -4 | +0 | +1 | +1 | +0 | -0.1 | ||||
| 2017 | 27 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 57 | 53 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 264 | 316 | 453 | 769 | 189 | 273 | 12 | 7 | 339 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 28 | MLB | New York Yankees | — | 79 | 72 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 241 | 319 | 560 | 153 | 170 | 20 | 8 | 254 | 55 | -4 | +0 | +4 | +5 | +2 | 0.7 |
| 2018 | 28 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 211 | 188 | 38 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 44 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 202 | 278 | 346 | 623 | 144 | 234 | 21 | 8 | 279 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | MLB | New York Yankees | — | 57 | 56 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 214 | 464 | 679 | 250 | 321 | 46 | 0 | 286 | 76 | -2 | +0 | +3 | +6 | +1 | 0.9 |
| 2019 | 29 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 270 | 241 | 67 | 13 | 0 | 20 | 24 | 53 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 278 | 351 | 581 | 932 | 303 | 276 | 20 | 9 | 400 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 30 | MLB | New York Yankees | — | 48 | 48 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 250 | 521 | 771 | 271 | 242 | 23 | 0 | 332 | 104 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +1 | +1 | 0.5 |
| 2021 | 31 | MLB | New York Yankees | — | 211 | 193 | 35 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 17 | 59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 181 | 248 | 389 | 636 | 207 | 200 | 28 | 8 | 280 | 72 | -7 | +0 | +8 | +4 | +5 | 0.9 |
| 2022 | 32 | MLB | New York Yankees | — | 248 | 229 | 52 | 7 | 0 | 10 | 12 | 52 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 227 | 269 | 389 | 657 | 162 | 246 | 21 | 5 | 285 | 75 | -7 | -0 | +13 | +4 | +5 | 1.6 |
| 2023 | 33 | MLB | New York Yankees | — | 260 | 242 | 57 | 13 | 0 | 10 | 14 | 74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 236 | 277 | 413 | 691 | 178 | 292 | 28 | 5 | 300 | 86 | -4 | +0 | +10 | +5 | +6 | 1.7 |
| 2024 | 34 | MLB | San Diego Padres | — | 263 | 246 | 54 | 10 | 1 | 17 | 15 | 74 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 220 | 264 | 476 | 740 | 256 | 237 | 28 | 6 | 319 | 102 | +1 | +0 | +6 | +5 | +6 | 1.8 |
| 2025 | 35 | MLB | Texas Rangers | — | 327 | 303 | 73 | 14 | 1 | 11 | 20 | 72 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 241 | 292 | 403 | 695 | 162 | 279 | 22 | 6 | 307 | 91 | -3 | +0 | +5 | +6 | +7 | 1.5 |
| 2026 | 36 | MLB | Texas Rangers | — | 186 | 165 | 36 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 19 | 47 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 218 | 306 | 370 | 676 | 152 | 261 | 25 | 10 | 307 | 89 | -2 | +0 | -1 | +4 | +4 | 0.5 |
| 2026 | 36 | AAA | Round Rock Express | — | 52 | 46 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 239 | 327 | 413 | 740 | 174 | 257 | 17 | 12 | 332 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 1699 | 1572 | 343 | 66 | 2 | 75 | 105 | 437 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 218 | 270 | 406 | 676 | 188 | 250 | 26 | 6 | 296 | 86 | -28 | +0 | +53 | +41 | +37 | 10.5 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2008 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Yankees | — | 50 | 47 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 213 | 245 | 298 | 543 | 85 | 238 | 24 | 2 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 20 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 359 | 329 | 62 | 15 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 81 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 188 | 250 | 280 | 530 | 91 | 229 | 23 | 6 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | A+ MLE | Tampa Yankees | — | 180 | 167 | 35 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 30 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 210 | 263 | 335 | 598 | 126 | 235 | 17 | 6 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 144 | 134 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 187 | 227 | 291 | 518 | 104 | 201 | 18 | 3 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | AA MLE | Trenton Thunder | — | 26 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 87 | 160 | 87 | 247 | 129 | 38 | 8 | 113 | -37 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2012 | 22 | A+ MLE | Tampa Yankees | — | 139 | 128 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 49 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 148 | 193 | 297 | 489 | 148 | 170 | 35 | 5 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | AA MLE | Trenton Thunder | — | 26 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 280 | 280 | 480 | 760 | 200 | 323 | 23 | 0 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | A+ MLE | Tampa Yankees | — | 31 | 27 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 222 | 300 | 444 | 744 | 222 | 210 | 19 | 10 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | ROK MLE | GCL Yankees1 | — | 27 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 231 | 208 | 439 | 42 | 224 | 37 | 7 | 179 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AAA MLE | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 17 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 176 | 176 | 235 | 412 | 59 | 219 | 29 | 0 | 157 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | A+ MLE | Tampa Yankees | — | 331 | 313 | 62 | 15 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 69 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 198 | 239 | 300 | 540 | 102 | 236 | 21 | 5 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA MLE | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 160 | 153 | 31 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 203 | 237 | 405 | 643 | 203 | 214 | 23 | 4 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AA MLE | Trenton Thunder | — | 256 | 231 | 60 | 13 | 0 | 9 | 17 | 51 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 260 | 310 | 433 | 743 | 173 | 272 | 20 | 7 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | MLB MLE | New York Yankees | — | 20 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 100 | 30 | 10 | 70 | -67 | -4 | +0 | +1 | +1 | +0 | -0.1 | ||||
| 2017 | 27 | AAA MLE | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 57 | 54 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 204 | 246 | 315 | 560 | 111 | 237 | 14 | 5 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 28 | MLB MLE | New York Yankees | — | 79 | 72 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 241 | 319 | 560 | 153 | 170 | 20 | 8 | 249 | 55 | -4 | +0 | +4 | +5 | +2 | 0.7 |
| 2018 | 28 | AAA MLE | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 211 | 195 | 32 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 53 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 164 | 220 | 277 | 497 | 113 | 192 | 25 | 5 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | MLB MLE | New York Yankees | — | 57 | 56 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 214 | 464 | 679 | 250 | 321 | 46 | 0 | 280 | 76 | -2 | +0 | +3 | +6 | +1 | 0.9 |
| 2019 | 29 | AAA MLE | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 270 | 250 | 54 | 10 | 0 | 15 | 15 | 63 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 216 | 269 | 436 | 705 | 220 | 223 | 23 | 6 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 30 | MLB MLE | New York Yankees | — | 48 | 48 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 250 | 521 | 771 | 271 | 242 | 23 | 0 | 322 | 104 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +1 | +1 | 0.5 |
| 2021 | 31 | MLB MLE | New York Yankees | — | 211 | 193 | 34 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 17 | 59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 176 | 243 | 368 | 611 | 192 | 200 | 28 | 8 | 275 | 72 | -7 | +0 | +8 | +4 | +5 | 0.9 |
| 2022 | 32 | MLB MLE | New York Yankees | — | 248 | 229 | 51 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 12 | 52 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 223 | 264 | 371 | 636 | 148 | 246 | 21 | 5 | 280 | 75 | -7 | -0 | +13 | +4 | +5 | 1.6 |
| 2023 | 33 | MLB MLE | New York Yankees | — | 260 | 242 | 56 | 13 | 0 | 9 | 14 | 74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 231 | 273 | 397 | 670 | 165 | 292 | 28 | 5 | 296 | 86 | -4 | +0 | +10 | +5 | +6 | 1.7 |
| 2024 | 34 | MLB MLE | San Diego Padres | — | 263 | 246 | 55 | 11 | 1 | 17 | 15 | 74 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 224 | 268 | 484 | 752 | 260 | 237 | 28 | 6 | 320 | 102 | +1 | +0 | +6 | +5 | +6 | 1.8 |
| 2025 | 35 | MLB MLE | Texas Rangers | — | 327 | 303 | 73 | 15 | 1 | 10 | 20 | 72 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 241 | 292 | 396 | 688 | 155 | 279 | 22 | 6 | 303 | 91 | -3 | +0 | +5 | +6 | +7 | 1.5 |
| 2026 | 36 | MLB MLE | Texas Rangers | — | 186 | 165 | 36 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 19 | 47 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 218 | 306 | 370 | 676 | 152 | 261 | 25 | 10 | 300 | 89 | -2 | +0 | -1 | +4 | +4 | 0.5 |
| 2026 | 36 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 52 | 48 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 188 | 250 | 292 | 542 | 104 | 215 | 21 | 8 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Yankees | — | 50 | 47 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 213 | 245 | 298 | 543 | 85 | 257 | 24 | 2 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 18 | ROK RAW | GCL Yankees | — | 50 | 46 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 261 | 306 | 348 | 654 | 87 | 289 | 16 | 4 | 291 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 20 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 359 | 329 | 62 | 15 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 81 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 188 | 250 | 280 | 530 | 91 | 234 | 23 | 6 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 20 | A RAW | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 359 | 320 | 72 | 18 | 0 | 6 | 31 | 64 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 225 | 303 | 338 | 641 | 113 | 263 | 18 | 9 | 291 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 324 | 301 | 61 | 14 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 56 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 203 | 250 | 319 | 569 | 116 | 224 | 17 | 5 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 324 | 294 | 68 | 16 | 0 | 8 | 23 | 41 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 231 | 294 | 367 | 661 | 136 | 242 | 13 | 7 | 294 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 165 | 152 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 59 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 138 | 181 | 263 | 444 | 125 | 176 | 36 | 5 | 192 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 165 | 147 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 42 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 170 | 231 | 327 | 558 | 156 | 186 | 25 | 7 | 242 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | AA MLE | Trenton Thunder | — | 26 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 280 | 280 | 480 | 760 | 200 | 333 | 23 | 0 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | AA RAW | Trenton Thunder | — | 26 | 25 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 320 | 320 | 560 | 880 | 240 | 368 | 19 | 0 | 367 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 83 | 74 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 176 | 247 | 284 | 531 | 108 | 231 | 28 | 8 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 83 | 71 | 20 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 282 | 370 | 465 | 835 | 183 | 310 | 16 | 12 | 362 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 348 | 330 | 65 | 16 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 73 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 197 | 236 | 297 | 533 | 100 | 237 | 21 | 5 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 348 | 324 | 81 | 19 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 53 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 300 | 367 | 667 | 117 | 285 | 15 | 6 | 299 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 416 | 384 | 91 | 20 | 0 | 17 | 24 | 89 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 237 | 282 | 422 | 704 | 185 | 259 | 21 | 6 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 416 | 370 | 102 | 24 | 0 | 21 | 38 | 73 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 276 | 343 | 511 | 854 | 235 | 285 | 18 | 9 | 367 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 77 | 72 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 153 | 208 | 236 | 444 | 83 | 175 | 18 | 6 | 212 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 77 | 71 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 197 | 260 | 338 | 598 | 141 | 214 | 17 | 8 | 269 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 290 | 267 | 44 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 69 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 165 | 226 | 288 | 514 | 124 | 192 | 24 | 6 | 225 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 28 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 290 | 260 | 50 | 12 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 60 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 192 | 267 | 338 | 606 | 146 | 216 | 21 | 8 | 272 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 327 | 306 | 66 | 15 | 0 | 18 | 15 | 89 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 216 | 259 | 441 | 700 | 225 | 238 | 27 | 5 | 299 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 327 | 297 | 79 | 18 | 0 | 23 | 24 | 79 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 266 | 327 | 559 | 886 | 293 | 283 | 24 | 7 | 380 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 30 | MLB MLE | New York Yankees | — | 48 | 48 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 250 | 521 | 771 | 271 | 242 | 23 | 0 | 322 | 104 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +1 | +1 | 0.5 |
| 2020 | 30 | MLB RAW | New York Yankees | — | 48 | 48 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 250 | 521 | 771 | 271 | 242 | 23 | 0 | 332 | 104 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +1 | +1 | 0.5 |
| 2021 | 31 | MLB MLE | New York Yankees | — | 211 | 193 | 34 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 17 | 59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 176 | 243 | 368 | 611 | 192 | 198 | 28 | 8 | 275 | 72 | -7 | +0 | +8 | +4 | +5 | 0.9 |
| 2021 | 31 | MLB RAW | New York Yankees | — | 211 | 193 | 35 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 17 | 59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 181 | 248 | 389 | 636 | 207 | 200 | 28 | 8 | 280 | 72 | -7 | +0 | +8 | +4 | +5 | 0.9 |
| 2022 | 32 | MLB MLE | New York Yankees | — | 248 | 229 | 51 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 12 | 52 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 223 | 264 | 371 | 636 | 148 | 244 | 21 | 5 | 280 | 75 | -7 | -0 | +13 | +4 | +5 | 1.6 |
| 2022 | 32 | MLB RAW | New York Yankees | — | 248 | 229 | 52 | 7 | 0 | 10 | 12 | 52 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 227 | 269 | 389 | 657 | 162 | 246 | 21 | 5 | 285 | 75 | -7 | -0 | +13 | +4 | +5 | 1.6 |
| 2023 | 33 | MLB MLE | New York Yankees | — | 260 | 242 | 56 | 13 | 0 | 9 | 14 | 74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 231 | 273 | 397 | 670 | 165 | 290 | 28 | 5 | 296 | 86 | -4 | +0 | +10 | +5 | +6 | 1.7 |
| 2023 | 33 | MLB RAW | New York Yankees | — | 260 | 242 | 57 | 13 | 0 | 10 | 14 | 74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 236 | 277 | 413 | 691 | 178 | 292 | 28 | 5 | 300 | 86 | -4 | +0 | +10 | +5 | +6 | 1.7 |
| 2024 | 34 | MLB MLE | San Diego Padres | — | 263 | 246 | 55 | 11 | 1 | 17 | 15 | 74 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 224 | 268 | 484 | 752 | 260 | 244 | 28 | 6 | 320 | 102 | +1 | +0 | +6 | +5 | +6 | 1.8 |
| 2024 | 34 | MLB RAW | San Diego Padres | — | 263 | 246 | 54 | 10 | 1 | 17 | 15 | 74 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 220 | 264 | 476 | 740 | 256 | 237 | 28 | 6 | 319 | 102 | +1 | +0 | +6 | +5 | +6 | 1.8 |
| 2025 | 35 | MLB MLE | Texas Rangers | — | 327 | 303 | 73 | 15 | 1 | 10 | 20 | 72 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 241 | 292 | 396 | 688 | 155 | 283 | 22 | 6 | 303 | 91 | -3 | +0 | +5 | +6 | +7 | 1.5 |
| 2025 | 35 | MLB RAW | Texas Rangers | — | 327 | 303 | 73 | 14 | 1 | 11 | 20 | 72 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 241 | 292 | 403 | 695 | 162 | 279 | 22 | 6 | 307 | 91 | -3 | +0 | +5 | +6 | +7 | 1.5 |
| 2026 | 36 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 238 | 213 | 45 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 23 | 58 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 211 | 294 | 352 | 646 | 141 | 252 | 24 | 10 | 288 | 81 | -5 | +0 | -1 | +4 | +5 | 0.3 |
| 2026 | 36 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 238 | 211 | 47 | 6 | 0 | 9 | 25 | 56 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 223 | 311 | 379 | 690 | 156 | 260 | 24 | 11 | 312 | 81 | -5 | +0 | -1 | +4 | +5 | 0.3 |
| 2008 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Yankees | — | 50 | 48 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 208 | 245 | 292 | 537 | 83 | 238 | 24 | 2 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 20 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 359 | 329 | 62 | 15 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 81 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 188 | 250 | 280 | 530 | 91 | 229 | 23 | 6 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 324 | 302 | 61 | 14 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 56 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 202 | 250 | 318 | 568 | 116 | 220 | 17 | 5 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 165 | 156 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 59 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 135 | 181 | 256 | 438 | 122 | 164 | 36 | 5 | 192 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | AA MLE | Trenton Thunder | — | 26 | 26 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 269 | 280 | 462 | 742 | 192 | 323 | 23 | 0 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 83 | 76 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 171 | 247 | 276 | 523 | 105 | 217 | 28 | 8 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 348 | 328 | 65 | 16 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 73 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 198 | 236 | 299 | 535 | 101 | 235 | 21 | 5 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 416 | 389 | 91 | 20 | 0 | 17 | 24 | 89 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 234 | 282 | 416 | 698 | 183 | 250 | 21 | 6 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 77 | 72 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 153 | 208 | 236 | 444 | 83 | 175 | 18 | 6 | 212 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 290 | 267 | 44 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 69 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 165 | 226 | 288 | 514 | 124 | 186 | 24 | 6 | 225 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 327 | 306 | 66 | 15 | 0 | 18 | 15 | 89 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 216 | 259 | 441 | 700 | 225 | 240 | 27 | 5 | 299 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 30 | MLB MLE | New York Yankees | — | 48 | 48 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 250 | 521 | 771 | 271 | 242 | 23 | 0 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 31 | MLB MLE | New York Yankees | — | 211 | 192 | 34 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 17 | 59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 177 | 243 | 370 | 613 | 193 | 200 | 28 | 8 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 32 | MLB MLE | New York Yankees | — | 248 | 233 | 51 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 12 | 52 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 219 | 264 | 365 | 629 | 146 | 246 | 21 | 5 | 280 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 33 | MLB MLE | New York Yankees | — | 260 | 244 | 56 | 13 | 0 | 9 | 14 | 74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 230 | 273 | 393 | 667 | 164 | 292 | 28 | 5 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 34 | MLB MLE | San Diego Padres | — | 263 | 246 | 55 | 11 | 1 | 17 | 15 | 74 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 224 | 268 | 484 | 752 | 260 | 237 | 28 | 6 | 320 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 35 | MLB MLE | Texas Rangers | — | 327 | 302 | 73 | 15 | 1 | 10 | 20 | 72 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 242 | 292 | 397 | 690 | 156 | 279 | 22 | 6 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 36 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 238 | 211 | 45 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 23 | 58 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 213 | 294 | 355 | 650 | 142 | 251 | 24 | 10 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 34 | MLB MLE | San Diego Padres | — | 263 | 246 | 55 | 11 | 1 | 17 | 15 | 74 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 224 | 268 | 484 | 752 | 260 | 237 | 28 | 6 | 320 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 35 | MLB MLE | Texas Rangers | — | 327 | 302 | 73 | 15 | 1 | 10 | 20 | 72 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 242 | 292 | 397 | 690 | 156 | 279 | 22 | 6 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 36 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 238 | 211 | 45 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 23 | 58 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 213 | 294 | 355 | 650 | 142 | 251 | 24 | 10 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 37 | MLB MLE | TEX | 100% | 223 | 202 | 44 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 52 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 215 | 282 | 387 | 669 | 172 | 243 | 23 | 8 | 297 | 87 | -3 | +0 | -1 | +4 | +5 | 0.2 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 37 | MLB CTX | TEX | 100% | 138 | 125 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 217 | 284 | 397 | 682 | 180 | 243 | 23 | 8 | 301 | 87 | -2 | +0 | -0 | +2 | +3 | 0.3 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 38 | MLB MLE | TEX | 100% | 80 | 73 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 204 | 270 | 360 | 630 | 156 | 233 | 24 | 8 | 281 | 76 | -2 | +0 | -8 | +1 | +2 | -0.7 |
| 2028 | 38 | MLB CTX | TEX | 100% | 80 | 73 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 206 | 272 | 370 | 642 | 164 | 233 | 24 | 8 | 285 | 76 | -2 | +0 | -8 | +1 | +2 | -0.7 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1779 | 1645 | 357 | 68 | 2 | 78 | 111 | 456 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 217 | 269 | 403 | 672 | 186 | 248 | 26 | 6 | 295 | 69 | -30 | +0 | +45 | +42 | +39 | 9.8 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 601 | 130 | 25 | 1 | 28 | 41 | 167 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 216 | 270 | 401 | 671 | 185 | 249 | 26 | 6 | 295 | 69 | -11 | +0 | +16 | +15 | +14 | 3.6 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4278 | 3959 | 818 | 176 | 4 | 142 | 249 | 1022 | 24 | 12 | 8 | 207 | 258 | 361 | 618 | 154 | 239 | 24 | 6 | 270 | 69 | -32 | +0 | +44 | +45 | +42 | 10.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 602 | 125 | 27 | 1 | 22 | 38 | 155 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 208 | 260 | 365 | 625 | 158 | 240 | 24 | 6 | 270 | 69 | -11 | +0 | +15 | +15 | +14 | 3.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAARound Rock Express · 52 PAwOBA .323 → .245 (−78)K% 17.3% → 20.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.31% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.77% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.54% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 7.48% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.92% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.940 | 16.54% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.41% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.940 | 4.22% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.41% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 3.56% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 36 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (8.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .323 → .245; ISO .174 → .121; BABIP .257 → .215. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 270 PAwOBA .390 → .303 (−87)K% 19.6% → 23.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.63% | ÷1.007 | ×1.200 | — | — | 23.40% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.52% | ÷1.066 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 5.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.11% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 1.03% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.09% | ÷1.019 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×0.982 | 15.39% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.91% | ÷1.009 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.982 | 5.30% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.938 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.64% | ÷1.087 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.982 | 8.07% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 104, 2B 102, 3B 88, K 101, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .390 → .303; ISO .303 → .232; BABIP .276 → .223. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 211 PAwOBA .274 → .216 (−58)K% 20.9% → 25.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.85% | ÷1.002 | ×1.200 | — | — | 24.98% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.06% | ÷1.034 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 5.33% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.42% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 1.33% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.28% | ÷1.032 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | 12.98% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.94% | ÷1.004 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | 5.41% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.69% | ÷1.130 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | 0.56% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.47% | ÷1.046 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.992 | 2.77% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 106, 2B 101, 3B 126, K 100, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .274 → .216; ISO .144 → .114; BABIP .234 → .192. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 57 PAwOBA .330 → .262 (−67)K% 12.3% → 14.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.28% | ÷0.995 | ×1.200 | — | — | 14.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.02% | ÷1.105 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 4.40% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.39% | ÷0.980 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 15.73% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.70% | ÷0.951 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 7.23% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.35% | ÷1.247 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.003 | 2.94% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 149, 1B 96, 2B 90, 3B 130, K 99, BB 121 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .330 → .262; ISO .189 → .139; BABIP .273 → .237. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AATrenton Thunder · 256 PAwOBA .375 → .317 (−58)K% 16.4% → 20.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.41% | ÷0.997 | ×1.220 | — | — | 20.08% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.16% | ÷1.061 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 6.62% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.67% | ÷0.981 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 20.11% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷0.962 | ×0.860 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 6.99% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.039 | ×0.950 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.11% | ÷1.015 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 4.64% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 96, 2B 92, 3B 108, K 99, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .375 → .317; ISO .216 → .177; BABIP .305 → .272. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 160 PAwOBA .342 → .282 (−60)K% 19.4% → 23.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.38% | ÷0.994 | ×1.200 | — | — | 23.38% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.25% | ÷0.977 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 4.49% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.38% | ÷0.991 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 13.97% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.059 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 5.83% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.55% | ÷0.996 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 7.34% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 98, 2B 112, 3B 80, K 99, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .342 → .282; ISO .264 → .217; BABIP .252 → .214. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 A+Tampa Yankees · 331 PAwOBA .297 → .236 (−61)K% 14.8% → 20.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.80% | ÷1.016 | ×1.420 | — | — | 20.69% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.65% | ÷1.015 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.978 | 4.80% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.30% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.978 | 0.27% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.54% | ÷1.046 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.978 | 16.79% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.98% | ÷1.044 | ×0.960 | ×0.950 | ×0.978 | 5.96% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.78% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×0.978 | 0.51% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.94% | ÷0.832 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.978 | 2.00% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 66, 1B 109, 2B 109, 3B 130, K 103, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .297 → .236; ISO .121 → .104; BABIP .287 → .236. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 17 PAwOBA .177 → .157 (−20)K% 23.5% → 28.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.53% | ÷0.991 | ×1.200 | — | — | 28.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷1.139 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.38% | ÷1.011 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.033 | 14.62% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷0.903 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.033 | 7.30% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.878 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 102, 2B 81, 3B 130, K 98, BB 128 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .177 → .157; ISO .059 → .052; BABIP .231 → .219. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).