Kervin Pichardo — OGILVIE

Kervin PichardoSS Harrisburg Senators

Age 24 R/R 5'11" / 195 lbs AA HR -9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 0.6 · 2026

wRC+†79

AVG/OBP/SLG.195 / .258 / .305

PA320

HR7

SB9

K%35

BB%6

MLB%2%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

30→30

PWR

40→40

SPD

45→45

EYE

40↗45

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.6peak

2029

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.6	$3M	+$2M
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+0.5	$2M	+$1M
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+0.4	$2M	+$1.0M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	+0.1	$0.5M	+$0.1M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$5M	—	—	—
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$9M		$5M	-$3M

Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	17	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	164	147	23	3	0	0	10	29	5	5	2	.156	.235	.177	.411	.020	.195	18	6	.191	4	-18	+0	+0	+2	+5	-1.1
2021	19	A	2 teams	102	80	13	4	1	2	18	42	4	2	1	.163	.343	.312	.656	.150	.306	41	18	.305	91	-1	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.3
2022	20	A	2 teams	266	236	33	9	1	5	19	112	8	5	3	.140	.228	.250	.478	.110	.233	42	7	.211	20	-24	-0	+0	+3	+8	-1.4
2023	21	A+	2 teams	313	273	60	6	0	9	28	103	9	8	1	.220	.313	.341	.654	.121	.313	33	9	.289	79	-7	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.6
2024	22	AA	2 teams	526	494	105	13	1	12	22	194	6	10	4	.213	.255	.316	.571	.103	.323	37	4	.246	46	-32	+0	+0	+6	+15	-1.1
2025	23	AA	Altoona Curve	361	324	55	10	2	7	24	130	5	5	3	.170	.238	.278	.516	.108	.250	36	7	.227	32	-28	-0	+0	+4	+10	-1.4
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	24	AA	Harrisburg Senators	41	35	12	3	0	1	6	5	0	3	0	.343	.439	.514	.953	.171	.379	12	15	.407	170	+3	+1	+0	+0	+1	0.6
ROS	24	MLB	WSH	279	254	53	9	1	6	20	92	3	6	1	.209	.274	.323	.597	.114	.295	33	7	.271	66	-11	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.1
TOT	24	MLB	WSH	320	289	65	12	1	7	26	97	3	9	1	.225	.296	.346	.642	.121	.312	30	8	.289	79	-8	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	25	MLB 11%	WSH	367	331	70	11	1	9	28	118	5	7	2	.211	.283	.332	.615	.121	.295	32	8	.277	70	-12	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.3
2028	26	MLB 26%	WSH	405	365	78	13	1	10	32	127	5	8	2	.214	.286	.337	.623	.123	.296	31	8	.282	74	-12	+1	+0	+4	+11	0.5
2029	27	MLB 44%	WSH	418	377	80	13	1	10	33	130	5	8	2	.212	.284	.332	.616	.119	.295	31	8	.284	76	-11	+1	+0	+4	+12	0.6
2030	28	MLB 53%	WSH	424	382	83	14	1	11	34	132	5	7	1	.217	.290	.346	.635	.128	.295	31	8	.284	76	-12	+1	-1	+5	+12	0.5
2031	29	MLB 64%	WSH	419	377	80	13	1	10	34	131	5	6	1	.212	.286	.332	.618	.119	.294	31	8	.282	74	-12	+1	-1	+4	+12	0.4
2032	30	MLB 73%	WSH	414	372	79	13	1	10	34	131	5	5	1	.212	.287	.333	.620	.121	.293	32	8	.279	72	-13	+1	-2	+4	+12	0.1
2033	31	MLB 91%	WSH	401	360	75	12	1	9	33	129	5	4	0	.208	.284	.322	.606	.114	.291	32	8	.275	69	-14	+1	-3	+4	+11	-0.1
2034	32	MLB	WSH	384	346	70	11	1	8	31	125	4	2	0	.202	.276	.309	.585	.107	.290	33	8	.270	65	-15	+0	-4	+4	+11	-0.3
2035	33	MLB	WSH	355	319	64	10	1	7	29	118	4	1	0	.201	.276	.304	.580	.103	.288	33	8	.265	61	-16	+0	-4	+4	+10	-0.6
2036	34	MLB	WSH	311	280	55	9	1	6	25	106	3	0	0	.196	.269	.300	.569	.104	.286	34	8	.259	56	-15	+0	-5	+3	+9	-0.8
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			5909	5317	1076	173	16	131	454	1949	86	89	24	.202	.276	.315	.591	.112	.289	33	8	.266	62	-254	+8	-20	+63	+167	-3.5
/ 162G	—			650	585	118	19	2	14	50	214	9	10	3	.202	.275	.313	.588	.111	.289	33	8	.266	62	-28	+1	-2	+7	+18	-0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	17	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	164	140	30	4	0	0	17	20	5	5	2	.214	.321	.243	.564	.029	.250	12	10	.270	64	-7	+0	—	—	+5	-0.2
2021	19	A	Clearwater Threshers	60	41	6	2	0	1	19	18	0	2	1	.146	.417	.268	.685	.122	.227	30	32	.344	121	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2021	19	ROK	FCL Phillies	42	30	12	4	2	1	8	12	4	0	0	.400	.571	.767	1.338	.367	.647	29	19	.559	286	+9	+0	—	—	+1	1.0
2022	20	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	93	80	17	4	1	4	10	29	1	0	0	.212	.308	.438	.745	.225	.277	31	11	.323	105	+1	+0	—	—	+3	0.3
2022	20	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	173	148	27	9	0	3	16	53	7	5	3	.182	.291	.304	.595	.122	.258	31	9	.276	69	-6	-0	—	—	+5	-0.1
2023	21	AA	San Antonio Missions	51	44	9	1	0	2	3	14	2	2	0	.205	.286	.364	.649	.159	.241	27	6	.283	75	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2023	21	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	262	217	58	7	0	8	36	67	7	6	1	.267	.387	.410	.797	.143	.350	26	14	.362	135	+10	+1	—	—	+7	1.9
2024	22	AA	Altoona Curve	459	421	106	14	2	11	27	128	6	8	4	.252	.305	.373	.678	.121	.337	28	6	.302	90	-5	+0	—	—	+13	0.8
2024	22	INTL	Gigantes del Cibao	67	56	17	5	2	1	11	11	0	2	0	.304	.418	.518	.936	.214	.364	16	16	.411	173	+6	+0	—	—	+2	0.8
2025	23	AA	Altoona Curve	361	313	63	13	2	8	35	97	5	5	3	.201	.292	.332	.624	.131	.258	27	10	.279	72	-11	-0	—	—	+10	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kervin Pichardo (OGILVIE)	24	30	40	45	45	.195/.258/.305	.110	.286	7	5	35%	6%	55	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Chase Strumpf 2022 · AA	24	42→35	44→50	48→45	44	.203/.282/.321	.118	.296	11	7	33%	8%	69	-0.4	.196/.293/.355	.159	.317	19	5	41%	10%	83	+0.6	.180/.284/.345	.165	.293	21	3	42%	11%	73	-0.1
✕Blake Hunt 2023 · AA	24	38	43→50	49→40	38	.190/.248/.301	.111	.281	11	5	35%	6%	49	-1.8	.209/.266/.343	.134	.276	14	5	29%	6%	67	-0.5	.206/.268/.347	.141	.262	15	2	27%	6%	67	-0.3
✕Ismael Alcantara 2023 · AA	24	40→30	46→45	50	37	.202/.259/.333	.131	.288	14	12	34%	6%	62	-0.9	.210/.268/.306	.096	.313	9	17	34%	6%	58	-1.2	.216/.274/.290	.074	.331	7	24	35%	6%	53	-1.0
✕Grae Kessinger 2022 · AA	24	37→29	42→45	48→50	42	.191/.254/.286	.095	.257	11	14	30%	7%	47	-1.9	.192/.267/.310	.118	.259	14	15	30%	8%	59	-1.1	.186/.266/.299	.113	.246	14	14	29%	9%	54	-0.9
✕Tate Blackman 2019 · A	24	37→33	45	43→40	40	.191/.258/.310	.119	.281	14	5	36%	7%	56	-1.3	.178/.247/.269	.091	.312	9	5	43%	7%	40	-2.4	.128/.208/.178	.050	.259	5	1	48%	8%	1	-2.8
✕Carson Blair 2014 · A	24	38	44→50	45→30	40	.187/.254/.308	.121	.292	11	6	38%	8%	53	-1.5	.202/.276/.338	.136	.333	13	4	40%	9%	70	-0.3	.191/.269/.325	.133	.318	14	1	41%	9%	62	-0.4
✕Jimmy Glowenke 2023 · A	24	37→39	46→45	43→45	37	.192/.258/.321	.130	.283	14	3	36%	6%	59	-1.1	.202/.276/.318	.116	.274	12	6	30%	7%	66	-0.6	.195/.276/.303	.107	.255	12	6	27%	7%	60	-0.7
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	37	39→40	49→50	44	.183/.260/.264	.081	.271	8	14	33%	9%	45	-2.1	.205/.286/.296	.091	.292	7	13	29%	9%	63	-0.8	.211/.301/.305	.094	.293	5	13	27%	10%	72	-0.1
✕Toby Welk 2022 · AA	25	39→33	44→45	48→45	42	.196/.263/.315	.118	.271	12	9	31%	7%	59	-1.1	.204/.262/.318	.114	.295	12	7	33%	7%	59	-1.1	.195/.242/.316	.121	.282	13	0	35%	5%	50	-0.5
✕Payton Henry 2021 · A	24	39→31	43→45	42→30	32	.188/.252/.291	.103	.318	11	3	42%	5%	48	-1.9	.221/.284/.326	.105	.332	11	3	35%	6%	70	-0.3	.246/.293/.382	.135	.322	19	1	29%	4%	83	+0.2
✕Willie MacIver 2022 · AA	25	36→35	45	51→55	38	.187/.245/.306	.118	.262	14	14	33%	6%	50	-1.8	.203/.276/.332	.129	.299	15	15	35%	8%	69	-0.4	.230/.309/.359	.129	.323	13	18	30%	8%	87	+0.4
✕Sean Coyle 2017 · AAA	25	36	45→50	48→50	37	.186/.248/.306	.120	.290	14	12	39%	7%	50	-1.7	.185/.245/.287	.102	.286	9	10	36%	7%	43	-2.2	.153/.212/.244	.092	.224	3	6	32%	7%	14	-1.0
✕Jarek Cunningham 2014 · AA	24	35→36	48→50	47→45	36	.187/.239/.325	.137	.259	16	8	34%	5%	52	-1.6	.200/.253/.334	.134	.279	14	7	32%	6%	59	-1.1	.194/.252/.330	.135	.272	13	4	32%	6%	56	-0.7
✕Jayson Langfels 2014 · AA	25	42→32	43→40	46→50	37	.201/.264/.310	.109	.312	11	11	37%	6%	58	-1.2	.206/.279/.294	.088	.335	7	14	38%	7%	60	-1.0	.202/.285/.272	.070	.341	4	17	38%	8%	54	-0.8
✕Rodolfo Durán 2022 · AAA	24	37	45→55	47→40	37	.196/.231/.317	.121	.255	14	5	30%	4%	45	-2.1	.211/.252/.359	.148	.271	17	4	28%	5%	66	-0.6	.224/.267/.382	.158	.275	19	3	26%	5%	74	-0.0
✕Nick Quintana 2022 · A	24	33→40	43→45	47→45	44	.172/.252/.279	.107	.245	11	6	33%	8%	46	-2.0	.191/.275/.301	.110	.267	11	5	30%	9%	61	-1.0	.177/.269/.279	.102	.246	10	3	30%	10%	50	-0.8
✕Marcus Chiu 2021 · A	24	37→27	46→45	47→45	37	.180/.272/.305	.125	.310	14	8	43%	8%	62	-0.9	.192/.267/.316	.124	.305	14	5	39%	6%	62	-0.9	.179/.253/.302	.123	.272	15	2	38%	5%	48	-0.9
✕Pedro Pagés 2023 · AAA	24	40→43	45→50	44→40	41	.202/.265/.317	.115	.296	13	4	35%	7%	60	-1.0	.219/.281/.353	.134	.289	16	4	29%	7%	76	+0.1	.224/.283/.362	.138	.282	18	2	26%	7%	78	+0.1
✕Matt Winn 2017 · AA	24	37→33	47→45	46→30	38	.195/.248/.324	.129	.277	16	4	35%	6%	55	-1.4	.180/.237/.298	.118	.315	13	2	44%	7%	43	-2.2	.152/.215/.263	.110	.291	11	0	48%	7%	22	-1.6
✕Jake Rogers 2019 · AA	24	38→40	47→55	48→45	41	.196/.261/.330	.133	.269	15	9	32%	7%	62	-0.9	.203/.278/.366	.163	.280	20	6	33%	8%	79	+0.3	.206/.283/.412	.206	.265	29	1	33%	8%	91	+0.6

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)