Kervin Pichardo — OGILVIE

Kervin PichardoSS Harrisburg Senators

Age 24 R/R 5'11" / 195 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION266 act + 177 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†58

AVG/OBP/SLG.198 / .262 / .304

PA177

HR4

K%32

BB%7

BABIP276

ISO105

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1.0M	+$0.3M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.9M	+$0.3M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$2M	+$0.6M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	17	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	—	164	147	23	3	0	0	10	29	5	5	2	156	235	177	411	20	195	18	6	191	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	—	164	140	30	4	0	0	17	20	5	5	2	214	321	243	564	29	250	12	10	270	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	A	2 teams	—	102	79	13	5	1	1	19	42	4	2	1	165	353	291	644	127	333	41	19	306	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	A	2 teams	—	102	71	18	6	2	2	27	30	4	2	1	254	480	479	959	225	410	29	26	432	189	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A	2 teams	—	266	236	30	7	1	5	19	117	8	5	3	127	217	229	446	102	217	44	7	198	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A	2 teams	—	266	228	44	13	1	7	26	82	8	5	3	193	297	351	647	158	264	31	10	292	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+	2 teams	—	313	272	63	5	0	12	29	107	9	8	1	232	326	382	708	151	329	34	9	308	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+	2 teams	—	313	261	67	8	0	10	39	81	9	8	1	257	371	402	773	146	331	26	12	349	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA	2 teams	—	526	495	102	14	1	15	21	206	6	10	4	206	247	329	576	123	318	39	4	249	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA	2 teams	—	526	477	123	19	4	12	38	139	6	10	4	258	320	390	710	132	340	26	7	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	Altoona Curve	—	361	325	50	9	1	8	23	140	5	5	3	154	221	262	483	108	231	39	6	219	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	Altoona Curve	—	361	313	63	13	2	8	35	97	5	5	3	201	292	332	624	131	258	27	10	279	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	AA	WSH	—	266	240	50	7	0	6	21	76	2	4	1	208	278	312	590	104	273	29	8	268	63	-11	+0	+0	+3	+8	-0.0
YTD	24	AA	WSH	—	266	229	54	8	0	7	32	59	2	4	1	236	335	362	697	127	283	22	12	316	100	-0	+0	+0	+3	+8	1.1
ROS	24	AA	WSH	2%	177	161	32	5	0	4	12	57	2	2	1	198	262	304	566	105	274	32	7	261	58	-8	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.2
ROS	24	MLB	WSH	2%	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	250	250	250	500		274	25	0	254	52	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	24	AA	WSH	—	270	244	51	7	0	6	21	77	2	4	1	209	277	311	589	102	274	29	8	268	63	-11	+0	+0	+3	+8	-0.0
TOT	24	AA	WSH	—	443	401	82	12	0	10	33	133	4	6	2	204	271	309	580	105	274	30	7	265	61	-19	+0	+0	+5	+13	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	WSH	31%	369	336	70	11	1	10	26	115	4	5	2	208	273	336	610	128	277	31	7	271	66	-14	+0	+0	+4	+10	0.0
2028	26	MLB	WSH	45%	406	369	77	12	1	11	30	123	4	5	2	209	275	336	611	127	279	30	7	276	70	-14	+0	+0	+4	+12	0.2
2029	27	MLB	WSH	49%	420	381	81	13	1	12	32	126	4	5	2	213	281	346	627	134	279	30	8	279	72	-13	+0	+0	+4	+12	0.3
2030	28	MLB	WSH	52%	424	385	81	13	1	12	32	127	4	5	2	210	278	343	621	132	279	30	8	279	72	-13	+0	-1	+5	+12	0.3
2031	29	MLB	WSH	52%	420	381	80	13	1	11	32	127	4	5	2	210	278	336	614	126	279	30	8	278	71	-14	+0	-1	+4	+12	0.1
2027	25	MLB	WSH	31%	114	104	21	3	0	3	8	35	1	1	0	202	265	317	583	115	277	31	7	264	60	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.0
2028	26	MLB	WSH	45%	181	164	34	5	0	5	13	55	2	2	1	207	274	329	603	122	279	30	7	269	64	-7	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.0
2029	27	MLB	WSH	49%	207	187	39	6	0	6	16	62	2	3	1	209	278	337	615	128	279	30	8	272	66	-8	+0	+0	+2	+6	0.0
2030	28	MLB	WSH	52%	219	198	43	7	1	6	17	66	2	3	1	217	286	354	639	136	279	30	8	272	66	-8	+0	-0	+2	+6	0.0
2031	29	MLB	WSH	52%	217	196	41	7	0	6	17	66	2	2	1	209	279	337	616	128	279	30	8	270	65	-9	+0	-1	+2	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	942	853	179	28	1	26	71	285	9	11	4	210	278	336	614	127	280	30	8	270	65	-38	+1	-1	+10	+27	-0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	124	19	1	18	49	197	6	8	3	211	278	338	616	127	281	30	8	270	65	-26	+0	-1	+7	+18	-0.1
Career	—			—	3948	3567	702	110	9	101	285	1316	59	62	25	197	267	318	585	121	277	33	7	262	58	-186	+2	-2	+42	+112	-3.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	115	18	1	17	47	217	10	10	4	196	267	317	584	121	275	33	7	262	58	-31	+0	-0	+7	+18	-0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	17	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	—	164	140	30	4	0	0	17	20	5	5	2	214	321	243	564	29	250	12	10	270	64	-7	+0	—	—	+5	-0.2
2021	19	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	60	41	6	2	0	1	19	18	0	2	1	146	417	268	685	122	227	30	32	344	121	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2021	19	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	42	30	12	4	2	1	8	12	4	0	0	400	571	767	1.338	367	647	29	19	559	286	+9	+0	—	—	+1	1.0
2022	20	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	93	80	17	4	1	4	10	29	1	0	0	212	308	438	745	225	277	31	11	323	105	+1	+0	—	—	+3	0.3
2022	20	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	173	148	27	9	0	3	16	53	7	5	3	182	291	304	595	122	258	31	9	276	69	-6	-0	—	—	+5	-0.1
2023	21	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	51	44	9	1	0	2	3	14	2	2	0	205	286	364	649	159	241	27	6	283	75	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2023	21	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	262	217	58	7	0	8	36	67	7	6	1	267	387	410	797	143	350	26	14	362	135	+10	+1	—	—	+7	1.9
2024	22	AA	Altoona Curve	—	459	421	106	14	2	11	27	128	6	8	4	252	305	373	678	121	337	28	6	302	90	-5	+0	—	—	+13	0.8
2024	22	INTL	Gigantes del Cibao	—	67	56	17	5	2	1	11	11	0	2	0	304	418	518	936	214	364	16	16	411	173	+6	+0	—	—	+2	0.8
2025	23	AA	Altoona Curve	—	361	313	63	13	2	8	35	97	5	5	3	201	292	332	624	131	258	27	10	279	72	-11	-0	—	—	+10	-0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#3J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	944	26	12	211	275	340	+10	+6	0.5	0.5
	/162	664	18	8	211	275	340	+7.1	+4.2	0.3	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kervin Pichardo (OGILVIE)	24	30	40	45	45	204/271/309	105	274	10	6	30%	7%	61	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ismael Alcantara 2023 · AA	24	38→28	45	50	37	195/254/318	123	282	13	12	35%	6%	56	-1.3	212/270/305	93	320	9	17	34%	6%	59	-1.1	219/278/292	73	339	7	24	35%	6%	54	-0.9
✕Blake Hunt 2023 · AA	24	38	43→50	50→40	39	192/251/299	107	277	11	5	34%	6%	50	-1.8	211/268/341	130	275	14	5	28%	6%	67	-0.5	207/268/341	134	263	14	2	26%	6%	65	-0.3
✕Chase Strumpf 2022 · AA	24	42→36	43→50	48→45	44	203/282/318	115	297	11	7	33%	8%	68	-0.5	193/294/347	154	320	18	5	41%	11%	82	+0.5	177/286/336	158	296	20	3	43%	11%	72	-0.1
✕Will Wilson 2022 · AA	24	36→38	47→50	51→45	39	189/255/321	133	280	16	8	37%	7%	57	-1.2	201/261/333	132	277	17	6	32%	7%	63	-0.8	194/254/308	114	254	15	4	29%	7%	50	-1.2
✕Jimmy Glowenke 2023 · A	24	37→38	45	43→45	36	187/251/309	122	283	13	3	37%	6%	53	-1.5	199/274/313	114	267	12	6	29%	7%	63	-0.8	191/273/299	108	247	12	6	26%	7%	58	-0.8
✕Grae Kessinger 2022 · AA	24	37→28	42→45	48→50	40	187/248/281	94	262	11	15	32%	6%	43	-2.2	194/265/312	118	265	14	14	31%	8%	59	-1.1	189/267/300	111	249	11	7	27%	9%	56	-0.5
✕Wil Dalton 2022 · AA	24	34	47→50	44→50	39	182/241/314	133	260	16	6	36%	7%	50	-1.8	185/248/307	122	306	13	10	41%	6%	51	-1.7	136/206/250	114	245	13	12	48%	5%	17	-1.5
✕Carson Blair 2014 · A	24	37	44→50	45→30	40	186/252/307	121	288	11	6	38%	8%	52	-1.6	203/274/338	135	336	14	3	40%	8%	69	-0.4	193/269/328	135	322	14	1	41%	9%	62	-0.4
✕Johan Mieses 2019 · AA	24	32→33	51→55	44→50	33	182/226/333	152	252	20	3	37%	4%	49	-1.8	200/259/358	158	255	22	6	31%	6%	69	-0.4	195/270/377	182	237	27	7	30%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Kendall Simmons 2023 · A	23	36	47→50	49→50	38	189/255/325	136	272	15	10	35%	6%	59	-1.1	206/270/351	145	304	16	9	36%	6%	72	-0.2	198/264/347	149	294	17	7	37%	6%	65	-0.2
✕Rodolfo Durán 2022 · AAA	24	37	45→55	47→40	37	193/228/312	120	251	13	5	30%	4%	43	-2.2	212/253/363	151	272	17	4	28%	5%	67	-0.5	225/266/386	161	276	19	3	26%	4%	75	-0.0
✕Connor Kaiser 2022 · AA	25	36	44→45	47→50	43	187/255/303	116	259	12	5	32%	8%	53	-1.5	191/267/312	121	296	14	14	37%	9%	60	-1.0	169/257/271	103	275	11	16	40%	10%	43	-1.1
✕Nick Quintana 2022 · A	24	33→39	43→45	47→45	45	172/254/283	111	243	11	6	33%	9%	47	-1.9	188/273/293	105	265	11	5	31%	9%	58	-1.2	172/265/268	95	240	10	3	30%	10%	45	-1.0
✕Sean Coyle 2017 · AAA	25	35→34	45→50	47→50	37	180/243/296	116	289	13	11	40%	7%	46	-2.0	189/248/293	104	291	9	10	36%	7%	46	-2.0	146/203/235	89	219	3	6	33%	7%	8	-1.2
✕Tate Blackman 2019 · A	24	37→34	44→45	43→40	40	187/260/298	112	287	13	5	37%	8%	54	-1.4	177/248/262	85	324	8	5	44%	7%	40	-2.4	124/203/169	45	259	4	1	50%	8%	-4	-3.0
✕Jeff Arnold 2012 · A	24	36	45→50	49→40	37	188/243/307	119	268	12	5	34%	6%	49	-1.8	209/267/348	139	309	13	5	35%	6%	69	-0.4	200/257/342	141	301	13	3	36%	5%	59	-0.5
✕Willie MacIver 2022 · AA	25	35→33	44→45	51→55	37	184/244/295	111	265	12	16	35%	6%	46	-2.0	200/274/327	127	297	14	15	35%	8%	67	-0.5	225/305/348	123	321	11	18	31%	8%	83	+0.3
✕Trevor Schwecke 2023 · AAA	25	39	44→45	41→50	39	195/257/308	113	291	11	6	35%	7%	54	-1.4	218/275/332	114	316	10	14	32%	6%	68	-0.5	223/280/335	112	320	9	17	31%	6%	68	-0.3
✕Juan Zabala 2022 · AA	23	40	44→40	45→50	37	198/253/312	114	299	12	7	36%	6%	53	-1.5	214/277/311	97	297	10	16	29%	7%	63	-0.8	203/266/291	88	284	10	16	30%	7%	50	-0.7
✕Quincy McAfee 2023 · AA	25	38	43→45	42→45	46	189/279/295	106	260	11	6	30%	9%	62	-0.9	198/275/331	133	251	15	10	27%	7%	69	-0.4	185/264/327	142	224	17	12	25%	7%	61	-0.5