Harrison Spohn
SS Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 24 | AMIA | 353 | .244/.332/.393 | 10 | 8 | 53 | — | .190/.255/.302 |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA/AA/A+MIA | 385 | .186/.264/.296 | 7 | 6 | 17 | — | .148/.204/.230 |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA/AAMIA | 160 | .175/.289/.204 | 0 | 2 | 3 | — | .131/.214/.151 |
| 2027PROJ10% MLB | 28 | MLBMIA | 11 | .154/.227/.233 | 0 | 0 | 35 | -0.1 | |
| 2028PROJ27% MLB | 29 | MLBMIA | 42 | .156/.228/.236 | 1 | 1 | 36 | -0.2 |
Tools · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | Beloit Sky Carp | — | 19 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 385 | 579 | 615 | 1.194 | 231 | 500 | 21 | 32 | 520 | 182 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | ROK | FCL Marlins | — | 32 | 28 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 250 | 321 | 571 | 179 | 150 | 22 | 12 | 261 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 353 | 308 | 75 | 14 | 1 | 10 | 40 | 76 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 244 | 332 | 393 | 725 | 149 | 288 | 22 | 11 | 324 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 56 | 51 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 216 | 286 | 275 | 560 | 59 | 333 | 32 | 9 | 260 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 313 | 279 | 51 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 30 | 117 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 183 | 265 | 308 | 573 | 125 | 280 | 37 | 10 | 260 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | A+ | Beloit Sky Carp | — | 16 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 133 | 188 | 133 | 321 | 182 | 25 | 6 | 157 | -34 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 123 | 103 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 54 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 155 | 287 | 175 | 462 | 19 | 320 | 44 | 15 | 232 | -3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 37 | 34 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 235 | 297 | 294 | 591 | 59 | 381 | 35 | 8 | 271 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 23 | A+ MLE | Beloit Sky Carp | — | 19 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 333 | 474 | 533 | 1.007 | 200 | 444 | 26 | 21 | 437 | 182 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | ROK MLE | FCL Marlins | — | 32 | 29 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 103 | 188 | 241 | 429 | 138 | 108 | 31 | 9 | 173 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 353 | 321 | 61 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 100 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 190 | 255 | 302 | 557 | 112 | 238 | 28 | 8 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA MLE | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 56 | 53 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 170 | 214 | 208 | 422 | 38 | 305 | 39 | 5 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA MLE | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 313 | 289 | 42 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 137 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 145 | 203 | 239 | 442 | 93 | 242 | 44 | 6 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | A+ MLE | Beloit Sky Carp | — | 16 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 133 | 188 | 133 | 321 | 157 | 31 | 6 | 118 | -34 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA MLE | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 123 | 109 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 66 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 110 | 205 | 119 | 324 | 9 | 266 | 54 | 10 | 164 | -3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA MLE | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 37 | 35 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 200 | 243 | 257 | 500 | 57 | 338 | 43 | 5 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 51 | 44 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 182 | 294 | 341 | 635 | 159 | 222 | 29 | 14 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 51 | 41 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 220 | 373 | 415 | 787 | 195 | 250 | 22 | 20 | 357 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 353 | 321 | 61 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 100 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 190 | 255 | 302 | 557 | 112 | 244 | 28 | 8 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A RAW | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 353 | 308 | 75 | 14 | 1 | 10 | 40 | 76 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 244 | 332 | 393 | 725 | 149 | 288 | 22 | 11 | 324 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 385 | 357 | 53 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 164 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 148 | 204 | 230 | 434 | 81 | 253 | 43 | 6 | 194 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 385 | 345 | 64 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 139 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 186 | 264 | 296 | 560 | 110 | 284 | 36 | 9 | 255 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 160 | 144 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 82 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 125 | 208 | 146 | 353 | 21 | 286 | 51 | 9 | 173 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 160 | 137 | 24 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 67 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 175 | 289 | 204 | 494 | 29 | 338 | 42 | 13 | 241 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 51 | 44 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 182 | 294 | 341 | 635 | 159 | 233 | 29 | 14 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 353 | 322 | 61 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 100 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 189 | 255 | 301 | 556 | 112 | 238 | 28 | 8 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 385 | 357 | 53 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 164 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 148 | 204 | 230 | 434 | 81 | 248 | 43 | 6 | 194 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 160 | 144 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 82 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 125 | 208 | 146 | 353 | 21 | 283 | 51 | 9 | 173 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 25 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 385 | 357 | 53 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 164 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 148 | 204 | 230 | 434 | 81 | 248 | 43 | 6 | 194 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 160 | 144 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 82 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 125 | 208 | 146 | 353 | 21 | 283 | 51 | 9 | 173 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB MLE | MIA | 10% | 210 | 191 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 80 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 159 | 231 | 244 | 475 | 85 | 251 | 38 | 8 | 220 | 35 | -16 | -0 | +0 | +2 | +5 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB CTX | MIA | 10% | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 154 | 227 | 233 | 460 | 80 | 243 | 36 | 9 | 214 | 35 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 29 | MLB MLE | MIA | 27% | 153 | 139 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 58 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 161 | 233 | 247 | 480 | 85 | 252 | 38 | 8 | 222 | 36 | -12 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +3 | -0.8 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB CTX | MIA | 27% | 42 | 39 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 156 | 228 | 236 | 464 | 80 | 244 | 38 | 7 | 215 | 36 | -3 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +1 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 42 | 39 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 154 | 214 | 256 | 471 | 103 | 227 | 38 | 7 | 215 | 32 | -3 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +1 | -0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 604 | 92 | 15 | 0 | 15 | 46 | 248 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 152 | 212 | 252 | 464 | 99 | 226 | 38 | 7 | 215 | 32 | -49 | +3 | -6 | +7 | +14 | -3.2 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1212 | 1104 | 178 | 29 | 5 | 19 | 93 | 461 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 161 | 230 | 248 | 478 | 87 | 251 | 38 | 8 | 216 | 32 | -20 | +0 | -1 | +3 | +6 | -1.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 592 | 96 | 16 | 3 | 10 | 50 | 247 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 162 | 231 | 250 | 481 | 88 | 253 | 38 | 8 | 216 | 32 | -50 | +0 | -3 | +7 | +14 | -3.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2025 AAAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · 123 PAwOBA .229 → .164 (−65)K% 43.9% → 53.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 43.90% | ÷0.978 | ×1.200 | — | — | 53.85% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.63% | ÷1.027 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 9.86% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.81% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.77% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.57% | ÷1.051 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 24.08% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.08% | ÷1.023 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 3.15% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.903 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 81, 1B 110, 2B 105, 3B 130, K 96, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .229 → .164; ISO .019 → .013; BABIP .320 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos · 37 PAwOBA .265 → .205 (−60)K% 35.1% → 43.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 35.14% | ÷0.995 | ×1.220 | — | — | 43.09% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.11% | ÷1.045 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.978 | 5.16% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.33% | ÷1.017 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.978 | 29.48% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.955 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.76% | ÷0.941 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.978 | 4.36% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.103 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 121, 1B 103, 2B 91, 3B 88, K 99, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .265 → .205; ISO .059 → .049; BABIP .381 → .338. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos · 313 PAwOBA .255 → .195 (−60)K% 37.4% → 43.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 37.38% | ÷1.039 | ×1.220 | — | — | 43.88% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.58% | ÷1.016 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.988 | 6.34% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.32% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.988 | 0.27% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.75% | ÷0.989 | ×0.920 | ×0.959 | ×0.988 | 17.41% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.17% | ÷1.034 | ×0.910 | ×0.959 | ×0.988 | 5.15% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.23% | ÷0.909 | ×0.880 | ×0.959 | ×0.988 | 1.13% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.32% | ÷1.064 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 3.21% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 98, 2B 107, 3B 82, K 108, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.959.
Result: wOBA .255 → .195; ISO .125 → .095; BABIP .280 → .242. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · 56 PAwOBA .254 → .207 (−47)K% 32.1% → 38.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.14% | ÷0.999 | ×1.200 | — | — | 38.61% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.93% | ÷1.005 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 6.24% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.24% | ÷1.016 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.018 | 22.58% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷0.970 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.018 | 7.92% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.985 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.925 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 103, 2B 94, 3B 97, K 100, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .254 → .207; ISO .059 → .048; BABIP .333 → .305. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Beloit Sky Carp · 16 PAwOBA .153 → .118 (−35)K% 25.0% → 31.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.00% | ÷1.014 | ×1.270 | — | — | 31.32% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.25% | ÷0.998 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.968 | 4.31% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.18% | ÷1.034 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.968 | 15.66% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.962 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.935 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 107, 2B 92, 3B 130, K 103, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .153 → .118; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .182 → .157. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AJupiter Hammerheads · 353 PAwOBA .319 → .247 (−73)K% 21.5% → 28.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.53% | ÷1.039 | ×1.360 | — | — | 28.19% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.33% | ÷0.996 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.970 | 7.62% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.28% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.970 | 0.21% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.55% | ÷0.985 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.970 | 18.55% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.03% | ÷1.031 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.970 | 4.48% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.43% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×0.970 | 0.31% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.31% | ÷0.924 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.970 | 3.62% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 97, 2B 106, 3B 130, K 108, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.0 → −3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .319 → .247; ISO .149 → .117; BABIP .288 → .238. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ROKFCL Marlins · 32 PAwOBA .254 → .173 (−81)K% 21.9% → 32.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.88% | ÷0.981 | ×1.440 | — | — | 32.11% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.50% | ÷0.942 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.955 | 7.86% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 4.76% | ÷0.983 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.955 | 3.79% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.52% | ÷1.003 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 6.53% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.040 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.76% | ÷0.852 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.955 | 4.16% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 70, 1B 97, 2B 101, 3B 108, K 96, BB 88 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 19.5 → −4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .254 → .173; ISO .179 → .130; BABIP .150 → .108. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Beloit Sky Carp · 19 PAwOBA .509 → .437 (−72)K% 21.1% → 26.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.05% | ÷1.011 | ×1.270 | — | — | 26.45% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 31.58% | ÷0.983 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 22.53% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 44.44% | ÷1.010 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.988 | 40.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.950 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.068 | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 11.11% | ÷0.885 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 9.93% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 102, 2B 90, 3B 114, K 102, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .509 → .437; ISO .231 → .222; BABIP .500 → .444. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).