Jason MatthewsSS
Charlotte Knights
Age 29
R/R
5'11" / 187 lbs
AAA
BB +6%HR -6%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
wRC+†37
AVG/OBP/SLG.179 / .259 / .262
PA250
HR3
SB5
K%35
BB%8
MLB%10%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
30→30
PWR
30→30
SPD
50→50
EYE
48↗60
trajectory · 10 yrs
-0.6peak
2026
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2028
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2033
First FA Year 2034
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2028 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| 2033 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| Totals | $-17M | $-17M | +$0.0M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 25 | A+ | 2 teams | 480 | 437 | 65 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 210 | 10 | 6 | 2 | .149 | .217 | .199 | .416 | .050 | .276 | 44 | 6 | .191 | 4 | -52 | +0 | +0 | +5 | +14 | -3.3 |
| 2023 | 26 | A+ | 3 teams | 169 | 146 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 81 | 8 | 6 | 2 | .116 | .228 | .185 | .412 | .068 | .219 | 48 | 8 | .198 | 10 | -17 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +5 | -1.0 |
| 2024 | 27 | AA | 2 teams | 577 | 519 | 82 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 37 | 215 | 9 | 14 | 4 | .158 | .227 | .216 | .442 | .058 | .255 | 37 | 6 | .200 | 11 | -58 | +1 | +0 | +6 | +16 | -3.5 |
| 2025 | 28 | AA | 2 teams | 306 | 267 | 49 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 96 | 6 | 8 | 3 | .184 | .276 | .255 | .530 | .071 | .272 | 31 | 9 | .239 | 41 | -20 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +9 | -0.8 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | 17 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | .000 | .125 | .000 | .125 | .000 | .000 | 59 | 6 | .096 | -68 | -3 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | CWS | 233 | 208 | 37 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 82 | 4 | 4 | 1 | .178 | .260 | .255 | .515 | .077 | .275 | 35 | 8 | .243 | 44 | -15 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +7 | -0.5 |
| TOT | 29 | MLB | CWS | 250 | 222 | 37 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 92 | 5 | 5 | 2 | .167 | .251 | .239 | .490 | .072 | .266 | 37 | 8 | .233 | 37 | -18 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +7 | -0.8 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB 20% | CWS | 309 | 276 | 52 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 105 | 5 | 5 | 1 | .188 | .268 | .286 | .554 | .098 | .276 | 34 | 8 | .248 | 48 | -18 | +1 | -2 | +3 | +9 | -0.8 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB 33% | CWS | 314 | 280 | 53 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 106 | 5 | 4 | 1 | .189 | .270 | .286 | .556 | .096 | .276 | 34 | 8 | .250 | 50 | -18 | +0 | -3 | +3 | +9 | -0.8 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB 43% | CWS | 308 | 276 | 51 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 104 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .185 | .262 | .275 | .538 | .091 | .275 | 34 | 8 | .249 | 49 | -18 | +0 | -4 | +3 | +9 | -0.9 |
| 2030 | 33 | MLB 52% | CWS | 287 | 258 | 47 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 98 | 4 | 3 | 0 | .182 | .260 | .264 | .523 | .081 | .274 | 34 | 8 | .246 | 47 | -17 | +1 | -4 | +3 | +8 | -1.0 |
| 2031 | 34 | MLB 64% | CWS | 249 | 224 | 40 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 87 | 3 | 2 | 0 | .179 | .255 | .254 | .510 | .076 | .273 | 35 | 8 | .240 | 42 | -16 | +0 | -5 | +3 | +7 | -1.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3232 | 2891 | 493 | 72 | 14 | 38 | 244 | 1184 | 58 | 55 | 15 | .171 | .249 | .245 | .494 | .074 | .270 | 37 | 8 | .227 | 32 | -249 | +5 | -17 | +35 | +92 | -13.8 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 581 | 99 | 14 | 3 | 8 | 49 | 238 | 12 | 11 | 3 | .170 | .249 | .246 | .495 | .076 | .268 | 37 | 8 | .227 | 32 | -50 | +1 | -4 | +7 | +18 | -2.8 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 25 | A+ | Winston-Salem Dash | 349 | 301 | 63 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 110 | 9 | 6 | 1 | .209 | .312 | .289 | .601 | .080 | .319 | 32 | 10 | .280 | 73 | -11 | +1 | — | — | +10 | -0.0 |
| 2022 | 25 | INTL | Auckland Tuatara | 131 | 114 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .263 | .349 | .447 | .796 | .184 | .298 | 20 | 11 | .350 | 126 | +4 | -0 | — | — | +4 | 0.7 |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .143 | .250 | .357 | .607 | .214 | .125 | 31 | 12 | .274 | 68 | -1 | +0 | — | — | +0 | -0.0 |
| 2023 | 26 | AA | Birmingham Barons | 50 | 43 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 0 | .209 | .320 | .372 | .692 | .163 | .304 | 36 | 8 | .317 | 101 | +0 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.2 |
| 2023 | 26 | A+ | Winston-Salem Dash | 103 | 82 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 36 | 5 | 5 | 2 | .171 | .327 | .220 | .546 | .049 | .277 | 35 | 14 | .269 | 64 | -4 | +0 | — | — | +3 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 27 | AA | Birmingham Barons | 418 | 360 | 70 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 43 | 117 | 6 | 8 | 2 | .194 | .291 | .267 | .558 | .072 | .273 | 28 | 10 | .257 | 55 | -21 | +1 | — | — | +12 | -0.9 |
| 2024 | 27 | INTL | Canberra Cavalry | 159 | 137 | 40 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 36 | 3 | 6 | 2 | .292 | .378 | .467 | .845 | .175 | .371 | 23 | 10 | .370 | 141 | +7 | +0 | — | — | +5 | 1.3 |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | 52 | 43 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 0 | .349 | .451 | .512 | .963 | .163 | .560 | 33 | 12 | .420 | 179 | +5 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.6 |
| 2025 | 28 | AA | Birmingham Barons | 254 | 211 | 38 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 35 | 59 | 4 | 7 | 3 | .180 | .308 | .242 | .550 | .062 | .238 | 23 | 14 | .263 | 59 | -12 | +0 | — | — | +7 | -0.4 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Jason Matthews (OGILVIE) | 29 | 30 | 30 | 50 | 60 | .179/.259/.262 | .082 | .275 | 3 | 4 | 35% | 8% | 44 | -0.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Chris Rabago 2022 · AAA |
29 | 40 | 40 | 47→55 | 44 | .195/.262/.284 | .089 | .273 | 9 | 13 | 30% | 8% | 50 | -1.7 | .197/.263/.291 | .094 | .306 | 9 | 10 | 36% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .156/.228/.224 | .068 | .265 | 5 | 5 | 40% | 6% | 17 | -1.2 |
|
✕Roberto Baldoquin 2022 · AA |
28 | 41 | 39→30 | 47→45 | 38 | .200/.251/.285 | .084 | .287 | 7 | 8 | 31% | 5% | 45 | -2.1 | .218/.292/.290 | .072 | .281 | 5 | 7 | 22% | 7% | 65 | -0.7 | .204/.288/.235 | .031 | .267 | 0 | 2 | 21% | 7% | 45 | -0.8 |
|
✕Joe Hudson 2020 · AAA |
29 | 38 | 44→45 | 47→40 | 40 | .194/.247/.308 | .114 | .270 | 12 | 4 | 32% | 6% | 50 | -1.7 | .198/.255/.324 | .126 | .283 | 16 | 5 | 34% | 7% | 57 | -1.2 | .183/.287/.336 | .152 | .261 | 22 | 8 | 36% | 11% | 73 | -0.0 |
|
✕Gift Ngoepe 2019 · MLB |
29 | 39→42 | 42→45 | 45→50 | 38 | .187/.253/.295 | .107 | .312 | 10 | 7 | 41% | 8% | 49 | -1.8 | .193/.261/.311 | .118 | .350 | 12 | 10 | 44% | 8% | 57 | -1.2 | .150/.222/.265 | .115 | .287 | 14 | 8 | 50% | 8% | 27 | -1.0 |
|
✕Erick Castillo 2022 · AAA |
29 | 43 | 38→30 | 47→30 | 44 | .207/.274/.279 | .072 | .261 | 5 | 6 | 22% | 6% | 54 | -1.4 | .217/.277/.293 | .076 | .275 | 6 | 7 | 22% | 5% | 59 | -1.1 | .220/.270/.235 | .015 | .284 | 0 | 0 | 21% | 3% | 37 | -0.6 |
|
✕Jason Delay 2023 · MLB |
28 | 41 | 39→45 | 42→40 | 39 | .202/.249/.290 | .088 | .280 | 7 | 5 | 30% | 5% | 45 | -2.1 | .221/.277/.307 | .086 | .290 | 5 | 5 | 24% | 6% | 62 | -0.9 | .215/.272/.281 | .066 | .278 | 3 | 2 | 22% | 6% | 49 | -0.6 |
|
✕Jake Wald 2010 · AAA |
29 | 42→43 | 41→45 | 51→50 | 41 | .203/.267/.304 | .100 | .289 | 8 | 10 | 31% | 7% | 57 | -1.2 | .186/.250/.270 | .084 | .313 | 6 | 8 | 39% | 7% | 41 | -2.3 | .127/.198/.171 | .044 | .256 | 2 | 2 | 47% | 8% | -7 | -2.3 |
|
✕Pat Cantwell 2018 · AAA |
28 | 40 | 37→30 | 44→40 | 38 | .194/.249/.261 | .067 | .271 | 5 | 8 | 29% | 5% | 38 | -2.6 | .228/.298/.336 | .108 | .319 | 10 | 10 | 30% | 7% | 79 | +0.3 | .258/.346/.397 | .139 | .332 | 15 | 6 | 25% | 8% | 112 | +0.7 |
|
✕Joseph Odom 2021 · MLB |
29 | 41 | 41→45 | 45→30 | 37 | .200/.249/.295 | .095 | .302 | 9 | 4 | 36% | 6% | 46 | -2.0 | .200/.263/.319 | .119 | .360 | 13 | 6 | 44% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .171/.242/.298 | .127 | .335 | 15 | 3 | 50% | 7% | 43 | -0.6 |
|
✕Pete Kozma 2017 · MLB |
29 | 41→46 | 37→40 | 46→50 | 45 | .196/.251/.265 | .069 | .243 | 5 | 12 | 21% | 6% | 40 | -2.4 | .195/.244/.277 | .082 | .246 | 6 | 10 | 22% | 5% | 40 | -2.4 | .191/.240/.281 | .091 | .237 | 6 | 6 | 22% | 5% | 37 | -1.7 |
|
✕Max McDowell 2023 · AAA |
29 | 41→49 | 39→40 | 48→50 | 44 | .195/.281/.280 | .086 | .270 | 6 | 10 | 28% | 8% | 59 | -1.1 | .195/.278/.296 | .101 | .279 | 12 | 6 | 32% | 7% | 61 | -1.0 | .172/.263/.263 | .091 | .251 | 13 | 1 | 35% | 7% | 45 | -0.8 |
|
✕Tyler Payne 2022 · AA |
29 | 42 | 43→45 | 48→40 | 37 | .209/.250/.322 | .113 | .287 | 11 | 4 | 31% | 4% | 54 | -1.4 | .231/.271/.334 | .103 | .320 | 8 | 5 | 29% | 4% | 66 | -0.6 | .238/.274/.333 | .095 | .312 | 8 | 2 | 25% | 4% | 62 | -0.3 |
|
✕Ali Solis 2018 · AAA |
30 | 37 | 40→45 | 45→30 | 35 | .188/.223/.275 | .087 | .262 | 8 | 5 | 31% | 4% | 30 | -3.1 | .204/.240/.332 | .128 | .284 | 15 | 6 | 33% | 4% | 53 | -1.5 | .196/.230/.353 | .157 | .249 | 23 | 3 | 32% | 4% | 51 | -1.0 |
|
✕Ryan Jorgensen 2008 · MLB |
29 | 40 | 43→45 | 48→30 | 42 | .203/.254/.306 | .103 | .259 | 11 | 5 | 26% | 6% | 52 | -1.6 | .220/.268/.351 | .131 | .283 | 15 | 6 | 27% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .214/.263/.359 | .146 | .274 | 18 | 0 | 29% | 6% | 67 | -0.2 |
|
✕Anderson Machado 2010 · AAA |
29 | 39→43 | 39→40 | 53→45 | 50 | .190/.270/.278 | .088 | .256 | 6 | 14 | 27% | 10% | 52 | -1.6 | .205/.275/.294 | .089 | .287 | 5 | 7 | 28% | 9% | 58 | -1.2 | .225/.294/.316 | .091 | .326 | 2 | 0 | 29% | 9% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
✕Dane Sardinha 2009 · MLB |
30 | 34→32 | 42→45 | 49→30 | 36 | .180/.219/.277 | .098 | .240 | 11 | 4 | 30% | 4% | 30 | -3.1 | .181/.228/.286 | .105 | .253 | 12 | 4 | 32% | 5% | 36 | -2.7 | .155/.214/.240 | .085 | .222 | 10 | 0 | 34% | 6% | 15 | -1.4 |
|
✕Brantley Bell 2023 · AAA |
28 | 41→44 | 39→40 | 52→55 | 40 | .201/.249/.287 | .086 | .275 | 6 | 14 | 28% | 5% | 44 | -2.1 | .207/.256/.314 | .107 | .324 | 9 | 16 | 37% | 5% | 55 | -1.4 | .164/.210/.247 | .083 | .293 | 5 | 25 | 44% | 5% | 16 | -0.7 |
|
✕Angelo Castellano 2023 · AAA |
28 | 38→42 | 41→45 | 47→50 | 43 | .193/.254/.284 | .092 | .249 | 10 | 12 | 26% | 6% | 46 | -2.0 | .221/.284/.356 | .135 | .267 | 16 | 14 | 23% | 8% | 78 | +0.2 | .228/.293/.382 | .154 | .263 | 20 | 15 | 22% | 8% | 85 | +0.3 |
|
✕Ryan Budde 2009 · MLB |
29 | 41 | 43→45 | 47→40 | 40 | .203/.257/.314 | .110 | .269 | 10 | 8 | 28% | 5% | 56 | -1.3 | .196/.254/.290 | .094 | .285 | 9 | 6 | 32% | 7% | 48 | -1.9 | .179/.247/.259 | .080 | .271 | 8 | 2 | 35% | 8% | 35 | -1.2 |
|
✕Eric Stamets 2022 · MLB |
30 | 37→47 | 43→45 | 55→50 | 41 | .189/.250/.298 | .109 | .260 | 11 | 14 | 31% | 6% | 49 | -1.8 | .188/.258/.305 | .117 | .268 | 13 | 13 | 33% | 7% | 55 | -1.4 | .146/.225/.246 | .100 | .213 | 12 | 16 | 36% | 6% | 24 | -1.3 |