Eiver Mosquera — OGILVIE

Eiver Mosquera P Jupiter Hammerheads

Age 19 RHP 6'2" / 175 lbs A peak 0.5 · 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 17 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 116108vR 100

ERA4.37

FIP4.37

K%21.7%

BB%8.4%

K-BB%13.3%

ROS IP18

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 17 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	9	6	29	123	33	8	4	67%	3.3	18.2%	8.1%	10.1%	3.2%	2.45	4.35	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	9	6	29	123	33	8	4	67%	3.3	18.2%	8.1%	10.1%	3.2%	2.45	4.35	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Miami	9	6	29	123	33	8	4	67%	3.3	26.8%	6.5%	20.3%	3.3%	2.45	3.44	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	12	9	38	172	30	16	4	75%	3.2	12.5%	11.1%	1.4%	3.0%	4.50	5.11	—
YTD	19	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	12	9	38	172	30	16	4	75%	3.2	12.5%	11.1%	1.4%	3.0%	4.50	5.11	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	19	ROK RAW	MIA	4	4	14	60	12	2	0	100%	3.5	20.0%	3.3%	16.7%	0.0%	5.14	1.83	—
2026	19	A RAW	MIA	8	5	24	112	18	14	4	62%	3.0	16.1%	12.5%	3.6%	3.6%	4.12	5.29	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	MIA	9	9	39	165	37	14	5	100%	4.3	22.3%	8.3%	14.0%	2.9%	4.31	4.27	+0.3
2027	20	MLB CTX	MIA	4	4	19	80	18	7	2	100%	4.8	22.3%	8.3%	14.0%	2.9%	4.31	4.27	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		4	4	19	81	18	7	2	100%	4.8	22.3%	8.3%	14.0%	2.9%	4.31	3.89	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		43	43	200	844	187	73	21	100%	4.6	22.3%	8.3%	14.0%	2.9%	4.31	3.89	+2.4
Career	—	MLE		21	15	67	295	44	29	9	71%	3.2	14.9%	9.8%	5.1%	3.1%	3.61	4.79	+0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		62	45	200	876	130	86	27	71%	3.2	14.9%	9.8%	5.1%	3.1%	3.61	4.79	+1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Eiver Mosquera (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.37	21.7%	8.4%	3.0%	—	4.27	22.3%	14.0%	39	-0.10	—	—	—
Edwin Jimenez R 2021 · 4.03 FIP	19	SP-	4.03	19.3%	8.9%	2.6%	.330	4.79	16.5%	8.0%	277	+0.76	4.03	406	87
Luis Arejula R 2021 · 3.52 FIP	19	SP	3.52	21.9%	8.7%	2.1%	.318	4.46	15.7%	3.5%	71	+0.94	3.52	115	86
Kyle Glogoski R 2018 · 3.46 FIP	19	SP-	3.46	19.9%	8.5%	1.7%	.277	3.92	20.6%	9.1%	93	+0.46	3.32	206	84
Gilberto Batista R 2023 · 3.63 FIP	18	SP-	3.63	22.8%	6.2%	3.0%	.323	5.53	15.1%	5.0%	210	+1.90	3.63	250	83
Juan Bello R 2022 · 4.02 FIP	18	SP	4.02	18.3%	6.9%	2.9%	.256	3.93	18.2%	7.6%	155	-0.09	3.77	187	83
Miguel Díaz R 2015 · 3.40 FIP	20	SP-	3.40	19.3%	7.7%	1.7%	.365	4.40	19.4%	8.2%	233	+1.00	2.18	573	82
Gabe Bierman R 2021 · 4.80 FIP	21	SP-	4.80	21.3%	11.8%	3.6%	.277	4.51	16.2%	4.0%	187	-0.29	4.03	328	81
David Lorduy R 2023 · 4.01 FIP	19	SP-	4.01	20.4%	7.1%	3.2%	.267	4.79	17.4%	7.1%	184	+0.78	3.38	269	81
Porter Hodge R 2021 · 4.20 FIP	20	SP-	4.20	19.3%	8.8%	2.9%	.336	3.40	24.2%	10.6%	249	-0.80	2.97	349	81
Jose Montero R 2022 · 3.72 FIP	19	SP	3.72	20.8%	7.9%	2.5%	.377	4.03	15.8%	4.6%	234	+0.31	3.72	375	80
Ryan Fernandez R 2018 · 4.44 FIP	20	SP-	4.44	19.2%	6.8%	3.8%	.357	3.37	20.8%	13.2%	53	-1.07	3.02	360	79
Jordany Ventura R 2019 · 4.08 FIP	19	SP	4.08	16.8%	8.9%	2.3%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.08	219	79
Dualvert Gutierrez R 2021 · 3.22 FIP	20	SP-	3.22	23.5%	9.1%	1.7%	.352	4.29	15.9%	2.2%	78	+1.07	3.22	130	79
Andry Rondon R 2015 · 3.46 FIP	19	SP	3.46	19.8%	8.2%	1.8%	.283	3.98	15.6%	1.1%	49	+0.52	3.26	105	79
Dario Gardea R 2018 · 3.46 FIP	19	SP-	3.46	18.6%	8.7%	1.5%	.250	3.45	19.5%	12.4%	50	-0.01	3.12	205	79
Angel Jimenez R 2022 · 3.24 FIP	19	SP-	3.24	20.2%	5.5%	2.1%	.257	3.41	21.3%	12.4%	99	+0.17	3.24	223	79
Chad Donato R 2017 · 3.85 FIP	22	SP-	3.85	20.9%	11.4%	2.0%	.333	3.99	21.4%	12.6%	184	+0.14	2.89	439	78
Miguel Rondon R 2019 · 4.47 FIP	18	SP-	4.47	18.9%	9.4%	3.2%	.361	7.30	18.1%	2.1%	88	+2.83	2.62	179	78
Yorman Gómez R 2022 · 3.36 FIP	19	SP	3.36	18.7%	6.2%	1.9%	.311	3.88	18.0%	6.7%	346	+0.52	3.18	490	78
Carlos Jimenez R 2021 · 4.08 FIP	19	SP-	4.08	20.6%	12.9%	2.0%	.274	5.21	20.4%	-0.0%	141	+1.13	4.07	257	78

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	28	22.1%	8.3%	1.15	4.33
Trevor Gott ('23)	1.0	51	22.0%	7.4%	0.79	3.97
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Mike Mayers ('23)	1.2	47	24.3%	7.8%	1.50	4.47
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21