Eiver Mosquera

P Jupiter Hammerheads

Age 20 RHP 6'2" / 175 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 0.2 · 2028

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

OGV OFP40OGV rank#362ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	18	ROKDSL Miami	9	6	29	2.45	3.44	26.8%	6.5%	—	K 18.2% · BB 8.1% · FIP 4.35
2026	19	MIX2 levels	12	9	38	4.50	4.15	17.4%	9.3%	—	K 12.5% · BB 11.1% · FIP 5.11
2027PROJ	20	MLBMIA	—	—	0	4.98	4.98	18.0%	10.6%	—
2028PROJ49% MLB	21	MLBMIA	8	8	40	4.81	4.80	18.8%	10.6%	0.2
2029PROJ73% MLB	22	MLBMIA	15	15	77	4.57	4.45	21.3%	9.8%	0.8

Next 3 projected WAR 1.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 1.3, comp-based) · star 3% · didn't stick 93%

CompsTanner Hall (age 22) · Jairo Garcia (age 20) · Shane Davis (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128120vR 112

ERA4.98

FIP4.98

K%18.0%

BB%10.6%

K-BB%7.4%

Proj IP68

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 68 IP

Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	9	6	29	123	33	8	4	67%	3.3	18.2%	8.1%	10.1%	3.2%	2.45	4.35	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	9	6	29	123	33	8	4	67%	3.3	18.2%	8.1%	10.1%	3.2%	2.45	4.35	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Miami	9	6	29	123	33	8	4	67%	3.3	26.8%	6.5%	20.3%	3.3%	2.45	3.44	—
2026	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	9	38	172	30	16	4	75%	3.2	12.5%	11.1%	1.4%	3.0%	4.50	5.11	—
2026	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	9	38	172	30	16	4	75%	3.2	12.5%	11.1%	1.4%	3.0%	4.50	5.11	—
2026	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	12	9	38	172	30	16	4	75%	3.2	17.4%	9.3%	8.1%	2.3%	4.50	4.15	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	MIA	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	18.0%	10.6%	7.4%	3.1%	4.98	4.98	—
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	MIA	17	17	81	343	65	36	10	100%	4.8	18.8%	10.6%	8.2%	3.0%	4.89	4.88	+0.5
2029	22	MLB MLE	MIA	21	21	105	445	95	44	13	100%	5.0	21.3%	9.8%	11.5%	2.9%	4.65	4.53	+1.1
2030	23	MLB MLE	MIA	23	23	123	518	119	48	15	100%	5.3	23.0%	9.3%	13.7%	2.9%	4.43	4.30	+1.6
2031	24	MLB MLE	MIA	22	22	124	525	126	47	15	100%	5.6	24.1%	9.0%	15.0%	2.9%	4.27	4.16	+1.8
2032	25	MLB MLE	MIA	21	21	123	519	129	46	15	100%	5.9	24.8%	8.9%	15.8%	2.8%	4.16	4.08	+1.9
2033	26	MLB MLE	MIA	21	21	124	523	131	46	15	100%	5.9	25.1%	8.9%	16.2%	2.8%	4.09	4.04	+2.0
2034	27	MLB MLE	MIA	20	20	121	511	128	46	15	100%	6.1	25.1%	8.9%	16.2%	2.9%	4.09	4.08	+1.9
2035	28	MLB MLE	MIA	19	19	116	489	122	44	15	100%	6.1	25.0%	9.1%	15.9%	3.0%	4.14	4.17	+1.7
2036	29	MLB MLE	MIA	18	18	108	455	113	42	14	100%	6.0	24.7%	9.3%	15.4%	3.1%	4.24	4.30	+1.4
2037	30	MLB MLE	MIA	16	16	98	414	101	40	14	100%	6.1	24.4%	9.6%	14.8%	3.3%	4.38	4.48	+1.1
2038	31	MLB MLE	MIA	15	15	88	371	89	37	13	100%	5.9	24.0%	10.0%	14.0%	3.6%	4.56	4.68	+0.7
2039	32	MLB MLE	MIA	13	13	78	329	77	34	13	100%	6.0	23.5%	10.4%	13.2%	3.8%	4.77	4.90	+0.4
2040	33	MLB MLE	MIA	11	11	69	290	67	31	12	100%	6.3	23.0%	10.8%	12.2%	4.1%	5.00	5.15	+0.2
2028	21	MLB CTX	MIA	8	8	40	169	32	18	5	100%	5.0	18.8%	10.6%	8.2%	2.8%	4.81	4.80	+0.2
2029	22	MLB CTX	MIA	15	15	77	325	69	32	9	100%	5.1	21.3%	9.8%	11.5%	2.8%	4.57	4.45	+0.8
2030	23	MLB CTX	MIA	19	19	103	435	100	40	12	100%	5.4	23.0%	9.3%	13.7%	2.7%	4.35	4.22	+1.3
2031	24	MLB CTX	MIA	20	20	111	469	113	42	13	100%	5.5	24.1%	9.0%	15.0%	2.7%	4.19	4.08	+1.6
2032	25	MLB CTX	MIA	19	19	113	477	118	43	13	100%	5.9	24.8%	8.9%	15.8%	2.7%	4.08	4.00	+1.8
2033	26	MLB CTX	MIA	19	19	115	486	122	43	13	100%	6.1	25.1%	8.9%	16.2%	2.7%	4.01	3.96	+1.9
2034	27	MLB CTX	MIA	19	19	115	486	122	43	13	100%	6.1	25.1%	8.9%	16.2%	2.8%	4.01	4.00	+1.8
2035	28	MLB CTX	MIA	18	18	110	464	116	42	13	100%	6.1	25.0%	9.1%	15.9%	2.8%	4.06	4.09	+1.6
2036	29	MLB CTX	MIA	17	17	102	431	107	40	13	100%	6.0	24.7%	9.3%	15.4%	3.0%	4.15	4.21	+1.3
2037	30	MLB CTX	MIA	16	16	93	393	96	38	12	100%	5.8	24.4%	9.6%	14.8%	3.2%	4.29	4.39	+1.0
2038	31	MLB CTX	MIA	14	14	84	355	85	35	12	100%	6.0	24.0%	10.0%	14.0%	3.4%	4.46	4.58	+0.7
2039	32	MLB CTX	MIA	12	12	74	312	74	32	11	100%	6.2	23.5%	10.4%	13.2%	3.6%	4.67	4.80	+0.4
2040	33	MLB CTX	MIA	11	11	65	274	63	30	11	100%	5.9	23.0%	10.8%	12.2%	3.9%	4.89	5.04	+0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		208	208	1203	5078	1217	480	151	100%	5.8	24.0%	9.4%	14.5%	3.0%	4.28	3.90	+21.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		35	35	200	844	202	80	25	100%	5.8	24.0%	9.4%	14.5%	3.0%	4.28	3.90	+3.6
Career	—	MLE		21	15	67	295	44	29	9	71%	3.2	14.9%	9.8%	5.1%	3.1%	3.61	4.79	+16.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		62	45	200	876	130	86	27	71%	3.2	14.9%	9.8%	5.1%	3.1%	3.61	4.79	+2.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AJupiter Hammerheads · 24 IPFIP 5.29 → 6.51 (+1.23)K% 16.1% → 11.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	16.07%	—	×0.740	11.89%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	12.50%	—	×1.180	14.75%
HR / BF /BF	3.57%	÷1.000	×1.300	4.64%

Factors used: pitcher A level factors — K ×0.74, BB ×1.18, HR ×1.30. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).

Result: FIP 5.29 → 6.51, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 ROKFCL Marlins · 14 IPFIP 1.83 → 2.48 (+0.65)K% 20.0% → 13.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	20.00%	—	×0.680	13.60%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	3.33%	—	×1.250	4.17%
HR / BF /BF	0.00%	÷1.000	×1.400	0.00%

Factors used: pitcher ROK level factors — K ×0.68, BB ×1.25, HR ×1.40. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).

Result: FIP 1.83 → 2.48, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKDSL Miami · 29 IPFIP 3.44 → 4.35 (+0.90)K% 26.8% → 18.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	26.83%	—	×0.680	18.24%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	6.50%	—	×1.250	8.13%
HR / BF /BF	3.25%	÷1.423	×1.400	3.20%

Result: FIP 3.44 → 4.35, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Eiver Mosquera (OGILVIE)	—	—	—	—	—	3.1%	—	4.53	21.3%	11.5%	309	-0.45	—	—	—
Tanner Hall R 2024 · 4.67 FIP	22	SP-	4.67	18.8%	11.2%	3.2%	.295	5.33	10.1%	-4.6%	72	+0.66	4.67	137	89
Jairo Garcia R 2015 · 4.47 FIP	20	SP-	4.47	16.4%	11.3%	2.4%	.298	5.25	10.1%	-1.9%	96	+0.78	3.88	148	88
Shane Davis R 2021 · 5.21 FIP	21	SP-	5.21	17.3%	9.8%	4.2%	.313	4.19	20.9%	6.7%	55	-1.02	4.19	129	87
Moises Castillo R 2024 · 4.58 FIP	19	SP-	4.58	18.1%	11.7%	2.8%	.269	4.06	19.4%	4.9%	67	-0.52	3.76	104	86
Tyler McKay R 2019 · 5.32 FIP	21	SP-	5.32	15.1%	10.2%	4.0%	.262	4.64	13.2%	2.2%	106	-0.68	3.10	275	86
Nick Garcia R 2021 · 4.59 FIP	22	SP-	4.59	18.3%	12.3%	2.7%	.274	5.03	17.3%	6.2%	265	+0.44	3.20	411	85
Jordany Ventura R 2019 · 4.08 FIP	19	SP	4.08	16.8%	8.9%	2.3%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.08	219	85
Henry Valencio R 2019 · 4.15 FIP	20	SP-	4.15	16.4%	10.6%	2.0%	.293	5.11	11.9%	-11.9%	14	+0.96	3.48	136	84
Johnathan Harmon R 2023 · 4.30 FIP	22	SP-	4.30	17.8%	10.2%	2.6%	.293	5.14	15.2%	6.4%	193	+0.84	3.52	282	84
Ulices Campos R 2022 · 4.58 FIP	20	SP-	4.58	17.9%	11.5%	2.8%	.253	5.32	12.0%	1.0%	65	+0.74	4.11	153	84
Jared Karros R 2023 · 4.77 FIP	22	SP	4.77	19.0%	8.9%	3.9%	.290	5.26	17.8%	8.3%	120	+0.49	3.36	191	83
Devereaux Harrison R 2023 · 5.04 FIP	22	SP-	5.04	17.6%	11.3%	3.6%	.252	4.82	16.7%	4.6%	295	-0.22	4.72	389	83
Reibyn Corona R 2021 · 5.02 FIP	19	SP-	5.02	17.0%	13.1%	3.1%	.290	5.53	14.5%	1.7%	63	+0.51	4.48	190	83
Porter Hodge R 2021 · 4.20 FIP	20	SP-	4.20	19.3%	8.8%	2.9%	.336	3.39	24.3%	10.6%	249	-0.81	2.95	349	83
Luis Cohen R 2023 · 4.11 FIP	20	SP-	4.11	17.2%	11.4%	1.9%	.263	4.98	14.1%	3.9%	247	+0.87	3.00	333	82
Jeremy Lee R 2024 · 4.17 FIP	22	SP-	4.17	16.8%	11.5%	1.9%	.318	5.21	11.2%	-0.5%	46	+1.04	4.17	125	82
Eric Silva R 2023 · 4.68 FIP	20	SP-	4.68	16.4%	13.1%	2.4%	.318	5.19	18.6%	7.9%	139	+0.51	4.68	301	82
Nicholas Economos R 2015 · 4.95 FIP	20	SP-	4.95	15.3%	10.7%	3.3%	.233	5.28	10.4%	0.6%	57	+0.33	4.40	223	82
Cale Lansville R 2024 · 3.90 FIP	21	SP-	3.90	15.1%	7.7%	2.0%	.325	5.07	12.8%	0.1%	38	+1.17	3.90	113	82
Gilberto Batista R 2024 · 4.00 FIP	19	SP-	4.00	16.9%	11.4%	1.6%	.308	5.86	14.7%	4.9%	172	+1.86	3.63	250	82

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 2,161 pitcher careers (1,251 from 1990-2025 + 910 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	7.1	102	23.5%	9.5%	1.20	4.42
Rich Hill ('25)	7.1	101	23.9%	9.2%	1.12	4.02
Diego Segui ('62-'77, 10 WAR*)	9.0	121	22.2%*	9.9%*	1.19*	4.40*
Bobby Bolin ('61-'73, 12 WAR*)	7.9	121	22.7%*	9.6%*	1.33*	4.11*
Skip Lockwood ('69-'80, 11 WAR*)	6.2	103	22.5%*	9.1%*	1.06*	4.28*
Bud Norris ('18)	6.1	122	21.7%	9.1%	1.15	4.45
Jorge De La Rosa ('18)	7.6	109	19.1%	10.3%	1.05	4.58