Eric Silva — OGILVIE

Eric Silva P Erie SeaWolves

+0.1 WAR

Age 23 RHP 6'1" / 185 lbs AA peak 0.2 · 2027

ERA4.67

FIP4.67

xFIP—

SIERA—

K%21.3%

BB%9.9%

K-BB%11.4%

IP36

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.2peak

2027

K†5055

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	K%	BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	ACL Giants Orange	2	0	1	10	2	3	0	—	—	—	36.00	—	—
2022	19	A	San Jose Giants	22	22	86	365	99	39	11	20.1%	12.6%	3.7%	5.88	5.01	+0.2
2023	20	A+	Eugene Emeralds	30	20	81	367	86	39	7	16.4%	13.1%	2.4%	5.86	4.71	+0.4
2024	21	AA	Erie SeaWolves	41	0	59	248	69	22	8	22.5%	9.8%	4.2%	4.73	4.74	+0.1
2025	22	AA	Erie SeaWolves	11	5	45	182	30	15	4	8.6%	11.7%	3.7%	3.80	5.88	-0.5
▸ 2026 Season
2026	23	AA	Erie SeaWolves	3	2	4	29	5	5	2	—	—	—	34.36	—	—
ROS	23	MLB	DET	36	—	36	151	32	15	5	21.3%	9.9%	3.2%	4.67	4.67	+0.1
2026 Total	23	MLB	DET	—	—	39	180	37	20	7	20.6%	11.1%	3.8%	7.43	4.24	+0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
2027	24	MLB	DET	37	—	37	155	34	14	5	22.0%	9.3%	3.1%	4.56	4.51	+0.2
2028	25	MLB	DET	37	—	37	157	35	14	5	22.5%	9.1%	3.1%	4.48	4.43	+0.2
2029	26	MLB	DET	37	—	37	157	36	14	5	22.8%	9.0%	3.1%	4.43	4.40	+0.2
2030	27	MLB	DET	37	—	37	156	36	14	5	22.8%	9.1%	3.1%	4.41	4.41	+0.2
2031	28	MLB	DET	36	—	36	153	35	14	5	22.7%	9.1%	3.1%	4.42	4.43	+0.2
2032	29	MLB	DET	36	—	36	150	34	14	5	22.6%	9.2%	3.2%	4.45	4.48	+0.2
2033	30	MLB	DET	34	—	34	145	33	13	5	22.4%	9.3%	3.2%	4.50	4.54	+0.2
2034	31	MLB	DET	33	—	33	140	31	13	5	22.2%	9.4%	3.3%	4.57	4.62	+0.1
2035	32	MLB	DET	32	—	32	135	29	13	5	21.9%	9.6%	3.4%	4.65	4.70	+0.1
2036	33	MLB	DET	30	—	30	129	28	13	4	21.6%	9.7%	3.5%	4.74	4.80	+0.1
2037	34	MLB	DET	29	—	29	122	26	12	4	21.2%	9.9%	3.6%	4.84	4.91	+0.0
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career	—			109	49	276	1201	212	148	41	17.7%	12.3%	3.4%	5.78	5.06	+0.8
/ 200 IP	—			79	36	200	871	154	107	30	17.7%	12.3%	3.4%	5.78	5.06	+0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Eric Silva (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.67	21.3%	9.9%	3.2%	—	4.45	22.4%	13.3%	111	-0.22	—	—	—
Heath Holder R 2026 · 4.16 FIP	23	SU	4.16	21.1%	10.1%	2.8%	.287	3.30	22.3%	13.1%	247	-0.86	2.92	367	97
Austin Smith R 2026 · 3.85 FIP	23	SU	3.85	22.7%	10.0%	2.6%	.274	5.19	16.3%	0.7%	52	+1.34	3.85	100	92
Ricardo Velez R 2027 · 4.43 FIP	24	SU	4.43	22.4%	10.9%	3.3%	.261	3.88	20.1%	9.3%	114	-0.55	3.82	142	92
Chad Patrick R 2026 · 3.82 FIP	23	SU	3.82	20.3%	9.9%	2.1%	.315	4.23	22.3%	13.8%	422	+0.41	3.72	483	91
Owen Holt R 2026 · 3.81 FIP	23	SU	3.81	20.7%	10.2%	2.1%	.258	4.53	18.7%	6.4%	107	+0.72	3.81	145	91
Peyton Williams R 2026 · 3.66 FIP	23	SU	3.66	22.3%	10.3%	2.1%	.311	4.87	22.2%	10.2%	100	+1.21	3.66	123	91
Tyler Bray R 2026 · 4.06 FIP	23	SU	4.06	22.3%	9.1%	3.1%	.356	3.22	17.9%	7.6%	114	-0.84	2.82	152	90
Vince Vannelle R 2027 · 3.72 FIP	24	SU	3.72	19.9%	8.6%	2.2%	.282	5.28	15.3%	4.5%	76	+1.56	3.72	105	90
Jonathan Brand R 2026 · 3.95 FIP	23	SU	3.95	22.7%	10.8%	2.5%	.236	3.95	18.2%	9.1%	96	-0.00	3.37	134	90
Casey Legumina R 2027 · 4.06 FIP	24	SU	4.06	23.3%	9.3%	3.2%	.260	4.36	20.5%	11.0%	189	+0.30	4.01	283	89
Andrew Quezada R 2027 · 4.37 FIP	24	SU	4.37	18.1%	8.1%	3.2%	.312	4.86	14.6%	6.1%	291	+0.49	4.37	412	89
Reilly Hovis R 2026 · 4.33 FIP	23	SU	4.33	21.1%	7.7%	3.7%	.250	4.37	19.8%	6.4%	50	+0.04	4.33	130	88
Clark Beeker R 2026 · 4.04 FIP	23	SU	4.04	20.0%	7.1%	3.2%	.270	4.34	11.6%	6.4%	244	+0.30	4.04	287	88
Ryan Atkinson R 2026 · 4.58 FIP	23	SU	4.58	18.4%	11.3%	2.9%	.315	4.48	21.6%	9.0%	305	-0.10	4.15	338	88
Todd Peterson R 2026 · 5.15 FIP	23	SU	5.15	18.4%	10.3%	4.2%	.279	4.82	15.0%	4.3%	124	-0.33	4.45	175	88
Kyle Schepel R 2027 · 4.62 FIP	24	SU	4.62	23.1%	10.7%	3.8%	.233	3.64	22.1%	10.4%	120	-0.98	3.54	156	88
Cre Finfrock R 2026 · 4.69 FIP	23	SU	4.69	23.0%	11.7%	3.7%	.278	6.32	16.7%	-8.5%	36	+1.63	4.27	103	88
Kyle Martin R 2027 · 3.61 FIP	24	SU	3.61	21.2%	9.6%	2.0%	.345	3.53	22.4%	12.5%	172	-0.08	3.01	214	88
Matt Pidich R 2026 · 4.42 FIP	23	SU	4.42	17.1%	8.3%	3.1%	.303	4.09	20.8%	13.3%	115	-0.33	4.07	196	88
Tyler Mitzel R 2026 · 4.31 FIP	23	SU	4.31	24.1%	12.0%	3.2%	.245	4.11	22.4%	14.3%	96	-0.20	4.01	142	88

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.