Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | ACL Giants Orange | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 0.5 | 20.0% | 30.0% | -10.0% | 0.0% | 36.00 | 5.21 | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | ACL Giants Orange | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 0.5 | 20.0% | 30.0% | -10.0% | 0.0% | 36.00 | 8.10 | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A | San Jose Giants | 22 | 22 | 86 | 365 | 99 | 39 | 11 | 100% | 3.9 | 20.1% | 12.6% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 5.88 | 4.91 | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A | San Jose Giants | 22 | 22 | 86 | 365 | 99 | 39 | 11 | 100% | 3.9 | 27.1% | 10.7% | 16.4% | 3.0% | 5.88 | 3.82 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 20 | 81 | 367 | 86 | 39 | 7 | 67% | 2.7 | 16.4% | 13.1% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 5.86 | 4.59 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 20 | 81 | 367 | 86 | 39 | 7 | 67% | 2.7 | 23.4% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 1.9% | 5.86 | 3.54 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | 41 | 0 | 59 | 248 | 69 | 22 | 8 | 0% | 1.4 | 22.5% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 4.4% | 4.73 | 4.84 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | 41 | 0 | 59 | 248 | 69 | 22 | 8 | 0% | 1.4 | 27.8% | 8.9% | 19.0% | 3.2% | 4.73 | 3.64 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 4 levels | 11 | 5 | 45 | 182 | 30 | 15 | 4 | 45% | 4.1 | 8.6% | 11.7% | -3.1% | 4.4% | 3.80 | 6.29 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 4 levels | 11 | 5 | 45 | 182 | 30 | 15 | 4 | 45% | 4.1 | 16.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 2.2% | 3.80 | 3.92 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | 24 | 2 | 39 | 184 | 45 | 21 | 7 | 8% | 1.6 | 19.6% | 12.2% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 7.38 | 5.15 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | DET | 24 | 0 | 25 | 106 | 22 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.3% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 3.2% | 4.70 | 4.70 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | DET | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21.3% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 3.2% | 4.70 | 4.70 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 23 | MLB | DET | — | — | 64 | 290 | 67 | 31 | 10 | — | — | 23.3% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 3.6% | 6.34 | 4.97 | -0.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 23 | MLB | DET | — | — | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 21.3% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 3.2% | 4.70 | 4.32 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | DET | 24 | 0 | 26 | 108 | 24 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.0% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 3.2% | 4.59 | 4.54 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | DET | 10 | 0 | 11 | 46 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.0% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 3.2% | 4.59 | 4.54 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 11 | 0 | 12 | 50 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.0% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 3.2% | 4.59 | 4.17 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 188 | 85 | 34 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.0% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 3.2% | 4.59 | 4.17 | +2.9 | ||
| Career | — | 130 | 49 | 311 | 1356 | 243 | 165 | 47 | 38% | 2.4 | 17.9% | 12.2% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 5.64 | 5.03 | +1.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 84 | 32 | 200 | 872 | 156 | 106 | 30 | 38% | 2.4 | 17.9% | 12.2% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 5.64 | 5.03 | +0.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Eric Silva (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.70 | 21.3% | 9.9% | 3.2% | — | 4.54 | 22.0% | 12.7% | 26 | -0.16 | — | — | — |
| Kyle Zimmer R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.89 | 21.8% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .293 | 4.63 | 20.4% | 9.0% | 33 | +0.74 | 2.08 | 276 | 85 |
| Brad Deppermann R 2028 · 4.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.65 | 17.1% | 9.6% | 3.2% | .289 | 3.44 | 20.0% | 7.8% | 45 | -1.21 | 1.94 | 143 | 84 |
| Billy Corcoran R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.25 | 19.5% | 10.0% | 2.8% | .308 | 4.88 | 16.3% | 8.9% | 188 | +0.63 | 4.17 | 257 | 84 |
| Ben Anderson R 2026 · 5.05 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.05 | 19.8% | 9.4% | 4.4% | .309 | 3.93 | 16.2% | 7.7% | 147 | -1.12 | 3.71 | 361 | 83 |
| Brendan Collins R 2025 · 3.60 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.60 | 21.8% | 10.3% | 1.9% | .294 | 3.85 | 20.2% | 5.1% | 54 | +0.25 | 3.60 | 122 | 82 |
| Clark Beeker R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.04 | 20.0% | 7.1% | 3.2% | .270 | 4.35 | 11.6% | 6.4% | 244 | +0.31 | 4.04 | 287 | 82 |
| Luis Romero R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.50 | 22.1% | 11.9% | 3.2% | .367 | 4.16 | 21.6% | 12.5% | 132 | -0.34 | 3.99 | 293 | 81 |
| Todd Peterson R 2026 · 5.37 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.37 | 18.4% | 10.3% | 4.6% | .279 | 4.87 | 15.0% | 4.3% | 124 | -0.50 | 4.46 | 175 | 81 |
| Trent Fennell R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.88 | 20.6% | 12.2% | 1.8% | .328 | 5.38 | 19.4% | 3.5% | 107 | +1.50 | 3.88 | 163 | 81 |
| Yunior Montero R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.60 | 21.9% | 11.9% | 1.5% | .239 | 5.26 | 21.3% | 3.7% | 54 | +1.66 | 3.60 | 127 | 81 |
| Alec Barger R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.33 | 21.7% | 13.6% | 2.5% | .289 | 4.24 | 21.3% | 9.4% | 148 | -0.09 | 3.96 | 242 | 80 |
| Ryan Conroy R 2027 · 3.86 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.86 | 22.2% | 9.8% | 2.5% | .353 | 4.73 | 19.3% | 6.7% | 54 | +0.87 | 3.86 | 106 | 79 |
| Shohei Tomioka R 2028 · 4.06 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.06 | 18.9% | 9.0% | 2.6% | .311 | 4.48 | 17.3% | 3.8% | 141 | +0.42 | 3.63 | 281 | 79 |
| Adam Leverett R 2026 · 5.08 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.08 | 20.6% | 9.3% | 4.6% | .338 | 4.11 | 13.8% | 4.8% | 154 | -0.97 | 3.26 | 376 | 79 |
| Joan Gregorio R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.56 | 18.0% | 10.2% | 3.1% | .269 | 4.23 | 21.1% | 11.1% | 208 | -0.33 | 3.60 | 301 | 79 |
| Patrick Halligan R 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.40 | 18.8% | 11.6% | 2.6% | .330 | 3.82 | 25.6% | 15.0% | 145 | -0.58 | 2.52 | 275 | 78 |
| Parker Curry R 2026 · 3.68 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.68 | 22.5% | 8.2% | 2.6% | .341 | 4.68 | 18.6% | 11.6% | 193 | +1.00 | 3.68 | 256 | 78 |
| John Matthews R 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.88 | 18.6% | 10.4% | 3.7% | .351 | 4.67 | 15.5% | 1.6% | 145 | -0.21 | 4.40 | 213 | 78 |
| Chris Powell R 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.81 | 16.9% | 7.8% | 2.1% | .266 | 3.42 | 18.8% | 15.1% | 28 | -0.39 | 3.31 | 102 | 78 |
| Carlos Espinosa R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.33 | 23.0% | 11.0% | 3.2% | .325 | 4.98 | 23.0% | 10.2% | 42 | +0.65 | 3.69 | 247 | 78 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 25 | 21.7% | 9.6% | 1.24 | 4.64 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |