Eric Silva — OGILVIE

Eric Silva P Erie SeaWolves

Age 23 RHP 6'1" / 185 lbs AA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 25 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128120vR 112

ERA4.98

FIP4.98

K%19.1%

BB%10.9%

K-BB%8.2%

ROS IP25

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 25 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	18	ROK MLE	ACL Giants Orange	2	0	1	10	2	3	0	0%	0.5	20.0%	30.0%	-10.0%	0.0%	36.00	5.21	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	ACL Giants Orange	2	0	1	10	2	3	0	0%	0.5	20.0%	30.0%	-10.0%	0.0%	36.00	8.10	—
2022	19	A MLE	San Jose Giants	22	22	86	365	99	39	11	100%	3.9	20.1%	12.6%	7.5%	3.7%	5.88	5.03	—
2022	19	A RAW	San Jose Giants	22	22	86	365	99	39	11	100%	3.9	27.1%	10.7%	16.4%	3.0%	5.88	3.82	—
2023	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	20	81	367	86	39	7	67%	2.7	16.4%	13.1%	3.3%	2.4%	5.86	4.68	—
2023	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	20	81	367	86	39	7	67%	2.7	16.4%	13.1%	3.3%	2.4%	5.86	4.68	—
2023	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	30	20	81	367	86	39	7	67%	2.7	23.4%	10.6%	12.8%	1.9%	5.86	3.54	—
2024	21	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	41	0	59	248	69	22	8	0%	1.4	22.5%	9.8%	12.8%	4.1%	4.73	4.69	—
2024	21	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	41	0	59	248	69	22	8	0%	1.4	22.5%	9.8%	12.8%	4.1%	4.73	4.69	—
2024	21	AA RAW	Erie SeaWolves	41	0	59	248	69	22	8	0%	1.4	27.8%	8.9%	19.0%	3.2%	4.73	3.64	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	4 levels	11	5	45	182	30	15	4	45%	4.1	8.6%	11.7%	-3.1%	3.7%	3.80	5.91	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	4 levels	11	5	45	182	30	15	4	45%	4.1	8.6%	11.7%	-3.1%	3.7%	3.80	5.91	—
2025	22	MIX RAW	4 levels	11	5	45	182	30	15	4	45%	4.1	16.5%	8.2%	8.2%	2.2%	3.80	3.92	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	36	2	58	269	67	30	12	6%	1.6	19.9%	11.6%	8.3%	4.7%	6.48	5.49	—
YTD	23	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	36	2	58	269	67	30	12	6%	1.6	19.9%	11.6%	8.3%	4.7%	6.48	5.49	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	23	AA RAW	DET	32	2	50	228	56	24	9	6%	1.6	24.6%	10.5%	14.0%	3.9%	5.76	4.53	—
2026	23	AAA RAW	DET	4	0	8	41	11	6	3	0%	2.1	26.8%	14.6%	12.2%	7.3%	10.80	6.70	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	DET	56	0	58	247	50	25	8	0%	1.0	20.3%	10.1%	10.2%	3.1%	4.82	4.75	-0.1
2028	25	MLB MLE	DET	56	0	59	250	53	24	8	0%	1.1	21.0%	9.6%	11.4%	3.1%	4.69	4.62	-0.0
2027	24	MLB CTX	DET	25	0	26	110	22	11	3	0%	1.0	20.3%	10.1%	10.2%	3.1%	4.82	4.75	-0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	DET	38	0	40	169	36	16	5	0%	1.1	21.0%	9.6%	11.4%	3.1%	4.69	4.62	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		62	0	65	275	57	27	9	0%	1.1	20.8%	9.8%	10.9%	3.1%	4.74	4.29	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	175	83	28	0%	1.1	20.8%	9.8%	10.9%	3.1%	4.74	4.29	+0.6
Career	—	MLE		142	49	330	1441	261	174	52	35%	2.3	18.1%	12.1%	6.0%	3.6%	5.59	5.08	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		86	30	200	872	158	105	31	35%	2.3	18.1%	12.1%	6.0%	3.6%	5.59	5.08	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Eric Silva (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.98	19.1%	10.9%	3.2%	—	4.68	20.7%	10.8%	118	-0.30	—	—	—
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	88
Todd Peterson R 2021 · 5.11 FIP	23	SW	5.11	18.4%	10.3%	4.1%	.279	4.83	15.0%	4.3%	124	-0.28	4.45	175	87
Trent Fennell R 2019 · 4.08 FIP	23	SW	4.08	20.6%	12.2%	2.1%	.328	5.52	19.4%	3.5%	107	+1.44	4.08	163	85
Billy Corcoran R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	19.5%	10.0%	2.7%	.308	5.16	16.5%	8.7%	206	+0.96	4.20	275	85
Ben Anderson R 2021 · 4.84 FIP	23	SW	4.84	19.8%	9.4%	4.0%	.309	4.02	16.2%	7.7%	147	-0.82	3.80	399	84
Alec Barger R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SW	4.55	21.7%	13.6%	2.8%	.289	4.17	21.3%	9.4%	148	-0.38	3.85	242	84
Nick Lockhart R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	22	SW	4.63	16.1%	10.6%	2.8%	.274	—	—	—	—	—	4.44	140	83
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	82
Luis Romero R 2017 · 5.00 FIP	23	SU	5.00	22.1%	11.9%	4.1%	.367	4.26	21.6%	12.5%	132	-0.74	4.00	293	82
Joan Gregorio R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	23	SW	4.29	18.0%	10.2%	2.6%	.269	4.18	21.1%	11.1%	208	-0.11	3.69	301	81
Thomas Balboni Jr. R 2023 · 3.99 FIP	23	SU	3.99	17.5%	10.9%	1.8%	.331	3.47	28.1%	14.3%	79	-0.52	2.99	122	81
Zac Ryan R 2017 · 3.83 FIP	23	SU	3.83	20.5%	10.9%	2.0%	.233	3.93	21.6%	6.9%	124	+0.10	3.83	184	81
Josnier Parra R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	21	SU	4.56	15.9%	9.8%	2.9%	.319	5.01	12.1%	2.9%	118	+0.45	3.76	150	81
Josh White R 2023 · 5.12 FIP	22	SW	5.12	17.7%	13.9%	3.2%	.244	3.19	27.2%	16.7%	182	-1.93	1.90	247	80
Colby Morris R 2021 · 4.11 FIP	24	SU	4.11	20.4%	10.7%	2.5%	.291	5.76	16.2%	4.4%	54	+1.65	4.11	105	80
Matt Pidich R 2018 · 4.42 FIP	23	SU	4.42	17.1%	8.3%	3.1%	.303	4.08	20.8%	13.3%	115	-0.34	4.05	196	80
Heath Slatton R 2017 · 5.56 FIP	23	SW	5.56	17.9%	12.9%	4.3%	.382	—	—	—	—	—	2.46	120	80
Jhonny Polanco R 2015 · 4.75 FIP	23	SW	4.75	18.9%	14.2%	2.6%	.283	4.06	21.3%	5.7%	48	-0.69	4.06	116	80
William Kempner R 2023 · 4.02 FIP	22	SU	4.02	21.5%	12.2%	2.2%	.277	3.22	28.3%	14.7%	112	-0.80	3.17	173	79
Ryan Conroy R 2021 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	22.2%	9.8%	2.8%	.353	4.75	19.3%	6.7%	54	+0.74	4.01	106	79

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	48	20.4%	10.0%	1.20	4.79
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43