Cale Lansville

P Eugene Emeralds

Age 24 RHP 6'0" / 212 lbs A+ peak 0.2 · 2027

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	20	MIX2 levels	6	3	11	4.09	2.83	26.4%	7.5%	—	K 26.4% · BB 7.5% · FIP 2.86
2024	21	MIX2 levels	22	16	77	4.32	3.01	20.5%	6.8%	—	K 15.1% · BB 7.7% · FIP 3.90
2025	22	MIX2 levels	11	5	38	7.04	4.40	16.9%	10.9%	—	K 12.8% · BB 12.7% · FIP 5.07
2026	23	No MLB games played
2027PROJ	24	MLBSF	—	—	0	4.94	4.94	17.6%	10.4%	—
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBSF	2	2	13	4.79	4.74	19.1%	9.8%	0.1

Next 2 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsCarlos Torres (age 26) · Andrew Quezada (age 24) · Alfredo Figaro (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127119vR 111

ERA4.94

FIP4.94

K%17.6%

BB%10.4%

K-BB%7.2%

Proj IP28

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 28 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	6	3	11	53	14	4	1	50%	1.8	26.4%	7.5%	18.9%	1.9%	4.09	2.86	—
2023	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	6	3	11	53	14	4	1	50%	1.8	26.4%	7.5%	18.9%	1.9%	4.09	2.83	—
2024	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	16	77	352	72	24	5	73%	3.5	15.1%	7.7%	7.4%	2.0%	4.32	3.90	—
2024	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	16	77	352	72	24	5	73%	3.5	15.1%	7.7%	7.4%	2.0%	4.32	3.90	—
2024	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	16	77	352	72	24	5	73%	3.5	20.5%	6.8%	13.6%	1.4%	4.32	3.01	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	11	5	38	183	31	20	4	45%	3.5	12.8%	12.7%	0.0%	2.6%	7.04	5.07	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	11	5	38	183	31	20	4	45%	3.5	12.8%	12.7%	0.0%	2.6%	7.04	5.07	—
2025	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	11	5	38	183	31	20	4	45%	3.5	16.9%	10.9%	6.0%	2.2%	7.04	4.40	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	SF	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	17.6%	10.4%	7.2%	3.0%	4.94	4.94	—
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	SF	5	5	31	132	25	13	4	100%	6.2	19.1%	9.8%	9.2%	3.0%	4.79	4.74	+0.2
2028	25	MLB CTX	SF	2	2	13	55	10	5	2	100%	6.5	19.1%	9.8%	9.2%	3.0%	4.79	4.74	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		2	2	13	56	11	6	2	100%	6.7	19.1%	9.8%	9.2%	3.0%	4.79	4.36	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	165	90	30	100%	5.9	19.1%	9.8%	9.2%	3.0%	4.79	4.36	+2.4
Career	—	MLE		39	24	126	588	90	54	13	62%	3.2	15.4%	9.2%	6.1%	2.2%	5.13	4.17	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		62	38	200	931	143	86	20	62%	3.2	15.4%	9.2%	6.1%	2.2%	5.13	4.17	+1.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 A+Eugene Emeralds · 18 IPFIP 5.10 → 6.10 (+1.00)K% 15.1% → 11.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	15.05%	—	×0.770	11.59%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	11.83%	—	×1.150	13.60%
HR / BF /BF	3.23%	÷0.980	×1.250	4.11%

Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 96).

Result: FIP 5.10 → 6.10, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ASan Jose Giants · 20 IPFIP 3.38 → 4.00 (+0.62)K% 18.9% → 14.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	18.89%	—	×0.740	13.98%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	10.00%	—	×1.180	11.80%
HR / BF /BF	1.11%	÷1.358	×1.300	1.06%

Factors used: pitcher A level factors — K ×0.74, BB ×1.18, HR ×1.30. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 172).

Result: FIP 3.38 → 4.00, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ASan Jose Giants · 74 IPFIP 3.01 → 3.90 (+0.88)K% 20.4% → 15.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	20.35%	—	×0.740	15.06%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	6.49%	—	×1.180	7.66%
HR / BF /BF	1.47%	÷0.959	×1.300	2.00%

Result: FIP 3.01 → 3.90, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ASan Jose Giants · 7 IPFIP 1.53 → 2.42 (+0.89)K% 31.4% → 23.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	31.43%	—	×0.740	23.26%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	8.57%	—	×1.180	10.11%
HR / BF /BF	0.00%	÷0.890	×1.300	0.00%

Result: FIP 1.53 → 2.42, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Cale Lansville (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.94	17.6%	10.4%	3.0%	—	4.74	19.1%	9.2%	31	-0.20	—	—	—
Carlos Torres R 2009 · 5.24 FIP	26	SP-	5.24	16.9%	11.5%	3.9%	.284	3.59	18.2%	7.3%	67	-1.65	2.89	604	86
Andrew Quezada R 2021 · 4.40 FIP	24	SP-	4.40	18.1%	8.1%	3.3%	.312	4.86	14.6%	6.1%	291	+0.46	4.40	412	85
Alfredo Figaro R 2009 · 4.98 FIP	25	SP-	4.98	19.3%	12.0%	3.6%	.370	4.42	7.2%	-1.5%	15	-0.56	3.75	143	85
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.34	18.3%	5.8%	123	-0.51	3.84	164	84
Tanner Hall R 2024 · 4.67 FIP	22	SP-	4.67	18.8%	11.2%	3.2%	.295	5.33	10.1%	-4.6%	72	+0.66	4.67	137	84
Daniel Corcino R 2014 · 4.37 FIP	23	SP-	4.37	18.8%	12.5%	2.3%	.208	4.14	19.6%	10.0%	76	-0.23	3.84	318	83
Jeff Niemann R 2008 · 5.04 FIP	25	SW	5.04	18.4%	10.5%	4.0%	.294	4.16	17.4%	10.3%	490	-0.88	2.96	544	83
Jeff Manship R 2009 · 4.69 FIP	24	SW	4.69	14.4%	10.3%	2.7%	.330	4.23	14.9%	9.5%	51	-0.46	2.83	250	82
Chad Bettis R 2013 · 4.38 FIP	24	SP-	4.38	14.4%	8.7%	2.6%	.318	3.81	17.4%	10.4%	365	-0.57	3.67	672	80
Blair Henley R 2021 · 5.02 FIP	24	SP-	5.02	20.8%	12.2%	3.9%	.450	4.51	17.7%	5.4%	170	-0.51	3.97	187	80
Ricky Castro R 2024 · 3.99 FIP	24	SP-	3.99	20.4%	8.6%	2.8%	.287	5.11	19.0%	10.6%	178	+1.12	3.99	241	80
Angel Guzman R 2006 · 4.73 FIP	24	SP-	4.73	22.1%	13.2%	3.3%	.353	3.88	19.6%	12.0%	91	-0.85	3.13	147	79
Casey Legumina R 2021 · 4.08 FIP	24	SP-	4.08	23.3%	9.3%	3.2%	.260	4.33	20.2%	11.3%	189	+0.25	3.54	355	78
Lisalverto Bonilla R 2014 · 4.32 FIP	24	SP-	4.32	20.5%	13.3%	2.3%	.208	3.88	19.8%	10.2%	210	-0.44	3.22	242	78
Cooper Chandler R 2023 · 4.33 FIP	24	SP-	4.33	17.8%	9.3%	2.9%	.300	3.78	23.5%	17.1%	18	-0.55	3.78	107	78
Darrell Rasner R 2006 · 4.07 FIP	25	SP-	4.07	13.3%	6.0%	2.4%	.246	4.56	12.5%	5.2%	138	+0.49	4.07	158	78
Greyfer Eregua R 2017 · 4.87 FIP	23	SP-	4.87	18.3%	9.3%	3.9%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	3.73	126	77
David Rodriguez R 2024 · 4.50 FIP	22	SP-	4.50	13.5%	11.7%	1.9%	.316	3.85	16.9%	9.9%	125	-0.65	3.80	184	77
Burke Badenhop R 2008 · 4.67 FIP	25	SP-	4.67	16.1%	9.2%	3.2%	.308	3.13	18.0%	11.5%	203	-1.54	2.67	512	77
Cha Seung Baek R 2004 · 4.77 FIP	24	SP-	4.77	14.4%	7.2%	3.6%	.288	3.95	15.7%	10.0%	108	-0.82	3.35	280	77

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,234 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 480 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	30	18.4%	10.1%	1.15	4.86
Sam Long ('25)	1.1	42	19.5%	9.7%	1.28	4.65
Kevin Hickey ('81-'91, 0 WAR*)	1.2	47	17.7%*	10.2%*	1.10*	4.27*
Jeff Manship ('16)	1.1	32	16.5%	9.3%	1.05	4.82
Pedro Borbón ('03)	1.4	45	18.5%	11.1%	1.10	4.68
Bob Macdonald ('90-'96, 1 WAR*)	1.2	59	18.3%*	9.8%*	1.20*	4.32*
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*