Henry Valencio
P
Jupiter Hammerheads
Age 27
RHP
6'1" / 170 lbs
A
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 11 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119109vR 100
ERA4.38
FIP4.38
K%23.2%
BB%9.6%
K-BB%13.5%
ROS IP12
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 11 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 18 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 5 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 13.0% | 13.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.20 | 3.65 | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 5 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 13.0% | 13.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.20 | 3.70 | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 13 | 10 | 52 | 212 | 38 | 14 | 1 | 77% | 4.0 | 12.2% | 8.3% | 3.9% | 0.7% | 2.79 | 3.48 | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 13 | 10 | 52 | 212 | 38 | 14 | 1 | 77% | 4.0 | 17.9% | 6.6% | 11.3% | 0.5% | 2.79 | 2.69 | — |
| 2019 | 20 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 14 | 8 | 51 | 212 | 51 | 18 | 3 | 57% | 3.7 | 16.4% | 10.6% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 2.63 | 4.15 | — |
| 2019 | 20 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 14 | 8 | 51 | 212 | 51 | 18 | 3 | 57% | 3.7 | 24.1% | 8.5% | 15.6% | 1.4% | 2.63 | 2.92 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | ROK | FCL Marlins | 10 | 0 | 14 | 63 | 11 | 12 | 0 | 0% | 1.4 | 11.9% | 23.8% | -11.9% | 0.0% | 5.93 | 5.11 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | ROK | FCL Marlins | 10 | 0 | 14 | 63 | 11 | 12 | 0 | 0% | 1.4 | 17.5% | 19.0% | -1.6% | 0.0% | 5.93 | 4.12 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 0 | 32 | 145 | 24 | 26 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 12.6% | 28.3% | -15.7% | 1.5% | 5.68 | 6.47 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 0 | 32 | 145 | 24 | 26 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 16.6% | 17.9% | -1.4% | 0.7% | 5.68 | 4.46 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | MIA | 11 | 0 | 12 | 49 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 3.0% | 4.38 | 4.38 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | MIA | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 3.1% | 4.43 | 4.46 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | MIA | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.1% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 3.1% | 4.43 | 4.46 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.1% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 3.1% | 4.43 | 4.08 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 193 | 83 | 28 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 3.1% | 4.43 | 4.08 | +3.1 | ||
| Career | — | 67 | 18 | 153 | 655 | 89 | 99 | 8 | 27% | 2.3 | 13.6% | 15.1% | -1.5% | 1.2% | 3.76 | 4.52 | +1.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 87 | 23 | 200 | 854 | 116 | 129 | 10 | 27% | 2.3 | 13.6% | 15.1% | -1.5% | 1.2% | 3.76 | 4.52 | +2.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Henry Valencio (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.38 | 23.2% | 9.6% | 3.0% | — | 4.46 | 23.1% | 13.3% | 20 | +0.08 | — | — | — |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2027 · 4.14 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.14 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% | .348 | 3.66 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.48 | 2.38 | 160 | 75 |
| Caleb Bolden R 2026 · 3.55 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.55 | 23.0% | 10.0% | 2.1% | .346 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 222 | 73 |
| Edwin Quirarte R 2027 · 3.59 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.59 | 16.7% | 6.2% | 2.0% | .311 | 3.45 | 12.7% | 4.9% | 83 | -0.14 | 3.21 | 157 | 73 |
| Tanner Kohlhepp R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.74 | 23.4% | 7.6% | 3.0% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 150 | 73 |
| Jake Stinnett R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.07 | 21.1% | 12.2% | 2.2% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.88 | 356 | 73 |
| Dakota Hawkins R 2025 · 3.90 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.90 | 16.7% | 6.8% | 2.5% | .243 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 167 | 72 |
| Derek Gordon R 2024 · 4.72 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.72 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.72 | 146 | 72 |
| Taylor Grover R 2025 · 4.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.89 | 20.0% | 10.9% | 3.8% | .320 | 4.92 | 16.2% | 8.9% | 14 | +0.03 | 3.63 | 239 | 72 |
| Esmil Rogers R 2028 · 3.51 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.51 | 18.5% | 8.9% | 1.6% | .348 | 2.88 | 21.7% | 17.9% | 40 | -0.63 | 2.88 | 199 | 72 |
| Trevin Michael R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.08 | 23.0% | 9.1% | 3.2% | .230 | 3.59 | 23.5% | 7.2% | 40 | -0.49 | 2.74 | 188 | 71 |
| Brad Deppermann R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.99 | 22.7% | 9.4% | 2.9% | .417 | 2.87 | 19.5% | 13.2% | 71 | -1.12 | 1.94 | 143 | 71 |
| Grant Black R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.49 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +0.97 | 4.49 | 215 | 71 |
| Dylan King R 2024 · 4.28 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.28 | 26.7% | 9.8% | 4.0% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.28 | 121 | 71 |
| Nick Hull R 2025 · 3.93 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.93 | 19.3% | 8.2% | 2.6% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.93 | 268 | 71 |
| Luis Mateo R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.33 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.4% | .309 | 5.34 | 8.6% | -4.8% | 43 | +1.01 | 3.43 | 160 | 71 |
| Cristofer Ogando R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.96 | 26.8% | 10.9% | 5.0% | .281 | 4.83 | 20.6% | 9.0% | 53 | -0.13 | 3.23 | 179 | 71 |
| Nick Altermatt R 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.51 | 23.2% | 8.5% | 4.2% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.25 | 121 | 71 |
| Austin Ross R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.86 | 22.9% | 8.0% | 3.1% | .295 | 3.60 | 12.4% | 5.2% | 127 | -0.26 | 3.19 | 269 | 71 |
| Linder Castro R 2025 · 4.55 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.55 | 18.9% | 10.7% | 3.1% | .305 | 5.45 | 21.1% | 6.3% | 62 | +0.90 | 4.27 | 279 | 70 |
| Sam Lewis R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.43 | 21.0% | 10.8% | 1.3% | .246 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.10 | 224 | 70 |