Henry Valencio — OGILVIE

Henry Valencio P Jupiter Hammerheads

Age 27 RHP 6'1" / 170 lbs A

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129121vR 113

ERA5.04

FIP5.04

K%22.1%

BB%14.2%

K-BB%8.0%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2017	18	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	5	0	5	23	3	3	0	0%	1.0	13.0%	13.0%	0.0%	0.0%	7.20	3.65	—
2017	18	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	5	0	5	23	3	3	0	0%	1.0	13.0%	13.0%	0.0%	0.0%	7.20	3.70	—
2018	19	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	13	10	52	212	38	14	1	77%	4.0	12.2%	8.3%	3.9%	0.7%	2.79	3.48	—
2018	19	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	13	10	52	212	38	14	1	77%	4.0	17.9%	6.6%	11.3%	0.5%	2.79	2.69	—
2019	20	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	14	8	51	212	51	18	3	57%	3.7	16.4%	10.6%	5.7%	2.0%	2.63	4.15	—
2019	20	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	14	8	51	212	51	18	3	57%	3.7	24.1%	8.5%	15.6%	1.4%	2.63	2.92	—
2022	23	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	10	0	14	63	11	12	0	0%	1.4	11.9%	23.8%	-11.9%	0.0%	5.93	5.11	—
2022	23	ROK RAW	FCL Marlins	10	0	14	63	11	12	0	0%	1.4	17.5%	19.0%	-1.6%	0.0%	5.93	4.12	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	0	32	145	24	26	1	0%	1.3	12.6%	28.3%	-15.7%	1.4%	5.68	6.40	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	0	32	145	24	26	1	0%	1.3	12.6%	28.3%	-15.7%	1.4%	5.68	6.40	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	0	32	145	24	26	1	0%	1.3	16.6%	17.9%	-1.4%	0.7%	5.68	4.46	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	27	MLB	MIA	1	0	1	4	1	1	0	0%	1.0	22.1%	14.2%	8.0%	3.0%	5.04	5.04	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	MIA	19	0	20	84	19	12	3	0%	1.1	22.1%	13.8%	8.3%	3.1%	5.02	5.05	-0.1
2027	28	MLB CTX	MIA	7	0	7	30	7	4	1	0%	1.0	22.1%	13.8%	8.3%	3.1%	5.02	5.05	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	7	31	7	4	1	0%	1.0	22.1%	13.8%	8.3%	3.1%	5.02	4.67	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	193	110	28	0%	1.1	22.1%	13.8%	8.3%	3.1%	5.02	4.67	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		67	18	153	655	89	99	8	27%	2.3	13.6%	15.1%	-1.5%	1.2%	3.76	4.51	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		87	23	200	854	116	129	10	27%	2.3	13.6%	15.1%	-1.5%	1.2%	3.76	4.51	-1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Henry Valencio (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.04	22.1%	14.2%	3.0%	—	5.05	22.1%	8.3%	20	+0.01	—	—	—
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.37	14.7%	3.6%	156	+0.91	4.46	215	80
Sam Gardner R 2023 · 4.04 FIP	26	SU	4.04	23.8%	15.1%	1.9%	.298	3.07	26.7%	16.7%	73	-0.97	2.28	118	76
Jake Stinnett R 2019 · 4.23 FIP	27	SW	4.23	21.1%	12.2%	2.5%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	2.88	356	75
Jarret Whorff R 2023 · 4.24 FIP	24	SW	4.24	19.5%	14.2%	1.8%	.287	4.36	19.2%	10.6%	193	+0.12	3.92	257	75
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.86	18.0%	10.2%	272	-1.00	3.52	390	75
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	74
Noah Denoyer R 2023 · 5.30 FIP	25	SW	5.30	21.4%	14.0%	4.1%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	3.26	181	73
Logan Taylor R 2018 · 4.79 FIP	26	SU	4.79	17.2%	12.1%	2.9%	.316	—	—	—	—	—	3.55	300	73
Sean Isaac R 2018 · 4.20 FIP	25	SW	4.20	24.2%	16.3%	2.0%	.292	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	155	72
Ryan Conroy R 2022 · 4.75 FIP	25	SU	4.75	19.3%	12.6%	3.1%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	106	72
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.21	22.0%	8.7%	119	-0.35	2.12	165	72
Taylor Grover R 2017 · 4.93 FIP	26	SW	4.93	20.0%	10.9%	3.9%	.320	4.89	16.2%	8.9%	14	-0.04	3.68	239	72
Dustin Antolin R 2017 · 4.35 FIP	27	SW	4.35	16.2%	14.4%	1.4%	.368	—	—	—	—	—	2.95	159	71
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	71
Travis Hissong R 2017 · 4.17 FIP	26	SU	4.17	20.3%	13.5%	2.0%	.308	—	—	—	—	—	3.01	122	71
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	71
Derek Eitel R 2015 · 4.35 FIP	27	SU	4.35	18.1%	13.9%	1.8%	.338	4.26	19.7%	5.0%	113	-0.09	3.96	138	71
Ronald Peña R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	27	SU	4.55	20.5%	12.6%	2.9%	.355	4.49	16.5%	6.1%	39	-0.06	3.72	187	71
Jacob Bosiokovic R 2021 · 3.93 FIP	27	SU	3.93	26.4%	14.3%	2.3%	.274	4.86	21.0%	9.6%	69	+0.93	3.84	181	71
Brian Glowicki R 2022 · 5.39 FIP	27	SU	5.39	18.2%	15.9%	3.3%	.229	—	—	—	—	—	2.31	189	71