Dani Richar P DSL Red Sox Red
Age 20 LHP 5'11" / 160 lbs ROK peak 0.3 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION9 act + 16 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 101110vR 119
ERA4.42
FIP4.42
K%22.6%
BB%10.0%
K-BB%12.6%
ROS IP16
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 25 IP
K: -1.4 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-1KBB: -20.9 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-21BBCONTACT: +26.2 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)+26CONTACTSTAM: +1.0 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+1STAMTotal WAR: +0.51 (25 IP)+0.5WAR
0.00.12627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202519ROKDSL Red Sox Blue992712925190100%3.013.2%18.4%-5.2%0.0%6.074.32
202519ROKDSL Red Sox Blue992712925190100%3.019.4%14.7%4.7%0.0%6.073.36
▸ 2026 Season
202620ROKDSL Red Sox Red51945915020%1.96.75
ROS20MLBBOS150166715720%1.122.6%10.0%12.6%2.9%4.424.42+0.0
ROS20MLBBOS022.6%10.0%12.6%2.9%4.424.42
2026 TOT20MLBBOS251122422221.6%19.4%2.2%1.7%5.282.79+0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202721MLBBOS4420841982100%5.023.1%9.4%13.6%2.8%4.344.29+0.1
202721MLBBOS2210421041100%5.023.1%9.4%13.6%2.8%4.344.29+0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career2210421041100%4.923.1%9.4%13.6%2.8%4.343.91+0.1
/ 200 IP41412008442038120100%4.823.1%9.4%13.6%2.8%4.343.91+3.5
Career1410361742639071%2.614.9%22.3%-7.3%0.0%6.254.66-0.0
/ 200 IP7856200967144215071%2.614.9%22.3%-7.3%0.0%6.254.66+1.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Dani Richar (OGILVIE) 4.42 22.6%10.0%2.9% 4.29 23.1%13.6%20 -0.13
Johan Simon L 2026 · 3.42 FIP 20 SP- 3.42 19.8%10.2%1.3%.302 4.50 17.6%1.1%41 +1.08 3.42 158 83
Blake Townsend L 2026 · 3.96 FIP 20 SP- 3.96 26.7%11.2%3.1%.286 4.11 18.5%4.8%96 +0.15 3.40 263 82
Sonny Vargas L 2026 · 4.43 FIP 20 SP- 4.43 21.0%10.1%3.3%.300 3.20 165 81
Benony Robles L 2026 · 3.58 FIP 20 SP- 3.58 22.3%10.1%2.0%.262 5.00 19.2%4.5%135 +1.42 3.58 271 80
Jordan Woods L 2026 · 4.61 FIP 20 SP 4.61 20.5%10.3%3.5%.329 4.13 20.3%7.4%112 -0.48 3.74 143 78
Tommy Sommer L 2028 · 4.59 FIP 22 SP- 4.59 23.9%9.3%4.2%.196 5.30 18.6%6.1%205 +0.71 4.20 230 78
Aidan Deakins L 2027 · 3.83 FIP 21 SP- 3.83 18.9%8.5%2.3%.323 5.29 17.1%6.0%62 +1.46 3.83 119 77
Bodi Rascon L 2026 · 4.55 FIP 20 SP- 4.55 15.4%8.8%3.0%.271 5.56 15.7%3.9%143 +1.01 4.55 218 77
Thomas Ireland L 2027 · 4.50 FIP 21 SP- 4.50 16.7%8.7%3.1%.286 3.55 17.3%8.3%177 -0.95 2.94 221 77
Fernando Sanchez L 2027 · 4.05 FIP 21 SP 4.05 24.8%11.8%2.8%.318 3.89 17.7%6.9%213 -0.16 3.12 303 76
Luke Little L 2026 · 4.00 FIP 20 SP- 4.00 25.8%12.5%2.7%.200 2.91 28.0%12.2%155 -1.09 2.76 250 76
Ryan Williamson L 2029 · 4.10 FIP 23 SP- 4.10 18.4%5.9%3.3%.286 5.67 18.4%5.8%102 +1.57 4.10 123 76
Matt Osterberg L 2028 · 3.89 FIP 22 SW 3.89 20.2%12.3%1.7%.255 4.14 15.6%9.3%274 +0.25 3.59 294 76
Dalton Pence L 2028 · 3.32 FIP 22 SP- 3.32 23.8%9.6%1.8%.271 3.89 22.0%13.9%71 +0.57 3.32 153 74
Denny Roman L 2025 · 3.24 FIP 19 SW 3.24 25.6%6.9%2.6%.348 5.24 15.7%-1.0%21 +2.00 3.24 109 74
Mac Lardner L 2029 · 4.63 FIP 23 SP- 4.63 18.9%8.5%3.7%.332 4.35 17.5%8.1%119 -0.28 3.54 186 73
Jacob Lopez L 2026 · 3.66 FIP 20 SW 3.66 24.3%7.9%2.9%.302 3.58 30.4%21.6%55 -0.08 3.50 478 73
Bailey Horn L 2029 · 5.16 FIP 23 SP- 5.16 19.7%12.7%3.9%.300 4.71 22.7%9.5%152 -0.45 4.13 265 73
Steven Pérez L 2026 · 4.56 FIP 20 SW 4.56 18.3%11.4%2.8%.305 5.01 20.2%5.6%116 +0.45 3.80 329 73
Antonio Jimenez L 2026 · 3.40 FIP 20 SP- 3.40 23.1%8.8%2.1%.292 4.34 19.4%7.8%248 +0.94 3.31 422 73