Antonio Jimenez P Sacramento River Cats
Age 25 LHP 5'11" / 163 lbs AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 124 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 115124vR 133
ERA5.05
FIP5.05
K%23.0%
BB%15.9%
K-BB%7.1%
ROS IP125
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 124 IP
K: +0.3 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+0KBB: -10.4 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-10BBCONTACT: -2.0 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-2CONTACTSTAM: +16.9 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+17STAMTotal WAR: +0.51 (124 IP)+0.5WAR
0.00.02627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF5555
CTRL2525
CMD4545
K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201817ROKDSL Rays 11101984201300%1.716.2%19.3%-3.2%0.0%2.894.18
201817ROKDSL Rays 11101984201300%1.723.8%15.5%8.3%0.0%2.893.05
201918ROKDSL Rays 21413622596830093%4.417.9%14.5%3.4%0.0%2.903.43
201918ROKDSL Rays 21413622596830093%4.426.3%11.6%14.7%0.0%2.902.36
202120MIX2 levels127481946414358%4.023.1%8.8%14.3%2.1%2.623.40
202120MIX2 levels127481946414358%4.033.0%7.2%25.8%1.5%2.622.12
202221ACharleston RiverDogs261910846312351873%4.219.7%13.0%6.7%2.5%3.744.48
202221ACharleston RiverDogs261910846312351873%4.226.6%11.0%15.6%1.7%3.743.20
202322MIX2 levels362783358235126%2.219.5%11.6%7.8%3.7%3.714.97
202322MIX2 levels362783358235126%2.224.5%10.4%14.0%3.6%3.714.35
202423MIX2 levels41162261582232%1.518.6%9.1%9.5%1.1%3.793.31
202423MIX2 levels41162261582232%1.522.2%8.4%13.8%1.1%3.792.92
202524AAASacramento River Cats293462015635410%1.624.5%18.3%6.2%2.5%3.554.72
202524AAASacramento River Cats293462015635410%1.627.9%17.4%10.4%2.0%3.554.09
▸ 2026 Season
202625MLBSF122012854212486150%1.123.0%15.9%7.1%2.7%5.055.05+0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202726MLBSF122012854212581150%1.123.1%15.0%8.1%2.8%4.954.94+0.7
202827MLBSF120012653412378150%1.123.0%14.6%8.5%2.8%4.924.93+0.7
202726MLBSF59062262613970%1.123.1%15.0%8.1%2.8%4.954.94-0.3
202827MLBSF800843558252100%1.123.0%14.6%8.5%2.8%4.924.93+0.1
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career139014561414291170%1.023.1%14.8%8.3%2.8%4.934.55+1.4
/ 200 IP1900200844195125230%1.023.1%14.8%8.3%2.8%4.934.55+2.0
Career1694542217973592313627%2.520.0%12.8%7.1%2.0%3.434.14+6.2
/ 200 IP80212008521701091727%2.520.0%12.8%7.1%2.0%3.434.14+2.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Antonio Jimenez (OGILVIE) 5.05 23.0%15.9%2.7% 4.94 23.1%8.3%255 -0.11
Tommy Vail L 2026 · 3.91 FIP 25 SW 3.91 27.5%15.3%2.2%.237 5.18 19.7%3.3%81 +1.27 3.91 151 73
Garrett Schoenle L 2026 · 5.35 FIP 25 SP- 5.35 20.5%15.0%3.8%.307 3.48 21.1%12.6%150 -1.87 2.34 338 71
Adam Wolf L 2026 · 4.01 FIP 25 SW 4.01 19.4%10.6%2.2%.292 4.17 16.8%5.9%109 +0.16 3.91 383 70
Zack Thompson L 2026 · 4.59 FIP 25 SP- 4.59 23.2%14.2%3.0%.355 4.75 24.1%10.1%107 +0.16 2.03 402 70
Anderson Polanco L 2026 · 6.02 FIP 25 SW 6.02 19.9%20.9%3.5%.298 5.41 18.9%2.6%47 -0.61 4.00 316 69
Nick Dombkowski L 2026 · 5.37 FIP 25 SW 5.37 16.7%11.9%3.9%.273 6.05 16.6%6.2%129 +0.68 3.58 371 68
Ismael Guillón L 2026 · 4.31 FIP 25 SU 4.31 19.8%14.8%1.8%.342 4.77 20.7%8.4%30 +0.46 4.28 193 68
Lael Lockhart L 2026 · 4.22 FIP 25 SW 4.22 22.6%12.9%2.5%.302 5.47 20.8%8.3%271 +1.25 3.71 484 67
Alec Gamboa L 2026 · 5.37 FIP 25 SW 5.37 14.8%13.1%3.4%.287 4.11 16.6%3.2%169 -1.26 1.46 404 67
Trey Cumbie L 2026 · 4.57 FIP 25 SU 4.57 25.3%15.3%3.0%.284 5.07 23.3%7.2%42 +0.50 3.33 152 67
Chris Murphy L 2026 · 4.07 FIP 25 SW 4.07 22.1%10.7%2.7%.344 4.09 21.0%8.0%93 +0.02 3.83 447 67
Robby Ahlstrom L 2026 · 3.93 FIP 25 SU 3.93 22.0%12.1%2.1%.294 4.22 19.9%7.8%96 +0.29 3.65 308 66
Adam Tulloch L 2026 · 4.79 FIP 25 SU 4.79 17.4%15.7%2.1%.284 5.74 18.7%-4.6%22 +0.95 4.12 234 65
Alex Winkelman L 2025 · 4.24 FIP 24 SW 4.24 18.5%17.4%0.9%.285 3.37 246 65
Nick Swiney L 2026 · 4.84 FIP 25 SU 4.84 19.7%11.2%3.6%.307 4.67 15.1%1.5%49 -0.17 2.29 290 65
Trent Szkutnik L 2026 · 4.35 FIP 25 SU 4.35 18.4%11.8%2.4%.316 3.30 429 65
Andy Oliver L 2028 · 4.08 FIP 27 SU 4.08 23.4%16.9%1.5%.283 5.02 19.2%8.6%108 +0.94 4.08 165 65
Brad Hand L 2026 · 3.96 FIP 25 SW 3.96 16.4%7.6%2.3%.326 2.81 32.9%25.0%241 -1.15 0.84 577 64
Sean Mellen L 2025 · 3.97 FIP 24 SU 3.97 21.3%10.4%2.5%.285 3.97 101 64
Houston Harding L 2026 · 5.80 FIP 25 SU 5.80 17.9%15.0%4.2%.307 4.93 14.8%2.9%135 -0.87 3.39 232 64

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION312823.0%15.2%1.074.97
Tyler Chatwood ('21)510419.2%13.3%0.944.48
Tyson Ross ('19)410721.3%10.8%0.844.31
Francisco Liriano ('19)513022.3%11.2%1.094.30
Ian Anderson ('22)39122.5%10.4%0.963.97
Tom Koehler ('17)314618.1%10.2%1.244.62
Brandon Finnegan ('18)38019.7%11.6%1.574.19