Brad Hand
P
Atlanta Braves
Age 36
LHP
6'3" / 224 lbs
MLB
peak 0.2 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 39 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 98108vR 117
ERA4.35
FIP4.30
K%22.9%
BB%8.9%
K-BB%14.0%
ROS IP39
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 39 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p2392.6
Whiff%
p2922.3%
K%
p6525.0%
xwOBA vs
p380.326
SL-1.6
FB-2.3
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 25 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 38 | 12 | 93 | 408 | 67 | 31 | 9 | 32% | 2.5 | 16.4% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 2.3% | 5.30 | 3.96 | +1.4 |
| 2015 | 25 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 38 | 12 | 93 | 408 | 67 | 31 | 9 | 32% | 2.5 | 16.4% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 2.2% | 5.30 | 3.91 | +1.5 |
| 2016 | 26 | MLB | San Diego Padres | 82 | 0 | 89 | 364 | 111 | 32 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 30.5% | 8.8% | 21.7% | 2.4% | 2.92 | 2.94 | +2.3 |
| 2016 | 26 | MLB | San Diego Padres | 82 | 0 | 89 | 364 | 111 | 32 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 30.5% | 8.8% | 21.7% | 2.2% | 2.92 | 2.85 | +2.4 |
| 2017 | 27 | MLB | San Diego Padres | 72 | 0 | 79 | 311 | 104 | 19 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 33.4% | 6.1% | 27.3% | 3.1% | 2.16 | 2.76 | +2.0 |
| 2017 | 27 | MLB | San Diego Padres | 72 | 0 | 79 | 311 | 104 | 19 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 33.4% | 6.1% | 27.3% | 2.9% | 2.16 | 2.67 | +2.1 |
| 2018 | 28 | MLB | Cleveland Indians | 69 | 0 | 72 | 301 | 106 | 26 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 35.2% | 8.6% | 26.6% | 2.7% | 2.75 | 2.69 | +1.8 |
| 2018 | 28 | MLB | Cleveland Indians | 69 | 0 | 72 | 301 | 106 | 26 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 35.2% | 8.6% | 26.6% | 2.7% | 2.75 | 2.68 | +1.8 |
| 2019 | 29 | MLB | Cleveland Indians | 60 | 0 | 57 | 242 | 84 | 13 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 34.7% | 5.4% | 29.3% | 2.5% | 3.30 | 2.22 | +1.6 |
| 2019 | 29 | MLB | Cleveland Indians | 60 | 0 | 57 | 242 | 84 | 13 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 34.7% | 5.4% | 29.3% | 2.5% | 3.30 | 2.21 | +1.6 |
| 2020 | 30 | MLB | Cleveland Indians | 23 | 0 | 22 | 86 | 29 | 4 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 33.7% | 4.7% | 29.1% | 0.0% | 2.05 | 0.84 | +1.0 |
| 2020 | 30 | MLB | Cleveland Indians | 23 | 0 | 22 | 86 | 29 | 4 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 33.7% | 4.7% | 29.1% | 0.0% | 2.05 | 1.01 | +0.9 |
| 2021 | 31 | MLB | New York Mets | 68 | 0 | 65 | 278 | 61 | 22 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.9% | 7.9% | 14.0% | 3.3% | 3.90 | 4.04 | +0.5 |
| 2021 | 31 | MLB | New York Mets | 68 | 0 | 65 | 278 | 61 | 22 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.9% | 7.9% | 14.0% | 3.2% | 3.90 | 4.04 | +0.5 |
| 2022 | 32 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | 55 | 0 | 45 | 198 | 38 | 22 | 2 | 0% | 0.8 | 19.2% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 1.0% | 2.80 | 3.42 | +0.6 |
| 2022 | 32 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | 55 | 0 | 45 | 198 | 38 | 22 | 2 | 0% | 0.8 | 19.2% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 1.0% | 2.80 | 3.46 | +0.6 |
| 2023 | 33 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 60 | 0 | 54 | 236 | 59 | 19 | 6 | 0% | 0.9 | 25.0% | 8.1% | 16.9% | 2.5% | 5.53 | 3.40 | +0.7 |
| 2023 | 33 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 60 | 0 | 54 | 236 | 59 | 19 | 6 | 0% | 0.9 | 25.0% | 8.1% | 16.9% | 2.5% | 5.53 | 3.42 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 36 | MLB | ATL | 37 | 0 | 39 | 165 | 38 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 8.9% | 14.0% | 3.0% | 4.35 | 4.30 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 37 | MLB | ATL | 32 | 0 | 34 | 144 | 31 | 14 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.8% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 3.4% | 4.56 | 4.70 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 38 | MLB | ATL | 28 | 0 | 29 | 123 | 26 | 13 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.7% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 3.8% | 4.91 | 5.14 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 37 | MLB | ATL | 32 | 0 | 34 | 144 | 31 | 14 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.8% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 3.4% | 4.56 | 4.70 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 38 | MLB | ATL | 28 | 0 | 29 | 122 | 25 | 13 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.7% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 3.8% | 4.91 | 5.14 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 587 | 12 | 640 | 2691 | 716 | 214 | 67 | 2% | 1.1 | 26.6% | 8.0% | 18.6% | 2.5% | 3.65 | 3.22 | +16.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 184 | 4 | 200 | 841 | 224 | 67 | 21 | 2% | 1.1 | 26.6% | 8.0% | 18.6% | 2.5% | 3.65 | 3.22 | +5.1 | ||
| Career | — | 527 | 12 | 577 | 2424 | 659 | 188 | 59 | 2% | 1.1 | 27.2% | 7.8% | 19.4% | 2.4% | 3.53 | 3.12 | +15.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 183 | 4 | 200 | 841 | 229 | 65 | 20 | 2% | 1.1 | 27.2% | 7.8% | 19.4% | 2.4% | 3.53 | 3.12 | +5.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Brad Hand (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.30 | 22.9% | 8.9% | 3.0% | — | 4.90 | 21.3% | 11.4% | 63 | +0.60 | — | — | — |
| Heriberto Ruelas L 2025 · 3.56 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.56 | 17.2% | 6.7% | 1.9% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.05 | 117 | 78 |
| Fernando Abad L 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.97 | 15.6% | 7.0% | 2.4% | .290 | 4.65 | 22.4% | 17.7% | 38 | +0.68 | 2.35 | 306 | 75 |
| Jorge De La Rosa L 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.03 | 20.5% | 7.8% | 3.1% | .260 | 3.99 | 19.3% | 9.8% | 56 | -0.04 | 3.68 | 405 | 74 |
| Jerry Blevins L 2025 · 4.09 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.09 | 26.2% | 9.9% | 3.5% | .235 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.72 | 166 | 74 |
| Neal Cotts L 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.83 | 18.0% | 6.8% | 4.4% | .290 | 3.24 | 25.5% | 17.5% | 48 | -1.59 | 3.24 | 156 | 74 |
| Tony Sipp L 2026 · 3.28 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.28 | 19.6% | 9.8% | 1.1% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.18 | 195 | 72 |
| Wilfredo Ledezma L 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.47 | 26.7% | 8.3% | 2.9% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.56 | 109 | 72 |
| Craig Breslow L 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.22 | 14.5% | 7.5% | 2.5% | .308 | 5.02 | 17.8% | 2.7% | 19 | +0.80 | 4.22 | 159 | 70 |
| Brandon Mann L 2024 · 3.60 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.60 | 17.8% | 11.4% | 1.0% | .232 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.60 | 190 | 66 |
| Fernando Rodney R 2028 · 4.26 FIP | 38 | SU | 4.26 | 20.9% | 9.4% | 3.2% | .272 | 3.34 | 26.2% | 15.2% | 185 | -0.92 | 2.67 | 295 | 42 |
| Manny Acosta R 2025 · 3.99 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.99 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.3% | .273 | 3.04 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -0.95 | 3.04 | 102 | 41 |
| Jean Machi R 2025 · 3.92 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.92 | 18.6% | 6.6% | 2.8% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.92 | 186 | 40 |
| Joaquín Benoit R 2028 · 3.73 FIP | 38 | SU | 3.73 | 24.8% | 8.7% | 3.0% | .179 | 4.04 | 23.5% | 12.9% | 98 | +0.31 | 3.72 | 164 | 40 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.70 | 27.0% | 7.1% | 3.6% | .278 | 4.06 | 19.8% | 8.7% | 103 | +0.36 | 3.51 | 219 | 40 |
| Jim Johnson R 2025 · 4.58 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.58 | 16.8% | 7.8% | 3.5% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.51 | 251 | 40 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2025 · 4.59 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.59 | 19.4% | 6.7% | 4.2% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.83 | 208 | 40 |
| Matt Albers R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.28 | 22.1% | 10.1% | 3.2% | .269 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.15 | 244 | 40 |
| Juan Sandoval R 2026 · 3.53 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.53 | 16.7% | 7.2% | 1.7% | .298 | 5.49 | 15.9% | 8.7% | 57 | +1.96 | 3.17 | 225 | 39 |
| Josh Lueke R 2024 · 4.79 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.79 | 20.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.50 | 107 | 39 |
| Blaine Boyer R 2026 · 3.21 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.21 | 18.0% | 7.6% | 1.2% | .341 | 7.33 | 8.3% | -0.9% | 22 | +4.12 | 3.21 | 209 | 39 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 34 | 21.9% | 9.5% | 1.30 | 4.58 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |