Brad Hand — OGILVIE

Brad Hand P Atlanta Braves

Age 36 LHP 6'3" / 224 lbs MLB peak 0.2 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 3 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 99107vR 115

ERA4.35

FIP4.30

K%22.9%

BB%8.9%

K-BB%14.0%

ROS IP3

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 3 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p2392.6

Whiff%

p2922.3%

p6525.0%

xwOBA vs

p380.326

SL-1.6

FB-2.3

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	25	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	38	12	93	408	67	31	9	32%	2.5	16.4%	7.6%	8.8%	2.3%	5.30	3.95	+0.7
2015	25	MLB RAW	Miami Marlins	38	12	93	408	67	31	9	32%	2.5	16.4%	7.6%	8.8%	2.2%	5.30	3.91	+0.7
2016	26	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	82	0	89	364	111	32	8	0%	1.1	30.5%	8.8%	21.7%	2.1%	2.92	2.82	+1.9
2016	26	MLB RAW	San Diego Padres	82	0	89	364	111	32	8	0%	1.1	30.5%	8.8%	21.7%	2.2%	2.92	2.85	+1.8
2017	27	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	72	0	79	311	104	19	9	0%	1.1	33.4%	6.1%	27.3%	2.8%	2.16	2.60	+1.9
2017	27	MLB RAW	San Diego Padres	72	0	79	311	104	19	9	0%	1.1	33.4%	6.1%	27.3%	2.9%	2.16	2.67	+1.8
2018	28	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	69	0	72	301	106	26	8	0%	1.0	35.2%	8.6%	26.6%	2.7%	2.75	2.68	+1.6
2018	28	MLB RAW	Cleveland Indians	69	0	72	301	106	26	8	0%	1.0	35.2%	8.6%	26.6%	2.7%	2.75	2.68	+1.6
2019	29	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	60	0	57	242	84	13	6	0%	1.0	34.7%	5.4%	29.3%	2.5%	3.30	2.21	+1.6
2019	29	MLB RAW	Cleveland Indians	60	0	57	242	84	13	6	0%	1.0	34.7%	5.4%	29.3%	2.5%	3.30	2.21	+1.6
2020	30	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	23	0	22	86	29	4	0	0%	1.0	33.7%	4.7%	29.1%	0.0%	2.05	0.84	+1.0
2020	30	MLB RAW	Cleveland Indians	23	0	22	86	29	4	0	0%	1.0	33.7%	4.7%	29.1%	0.0%	2.05	1.01	+0.9
2021	31	MLB MLE	New York Mets	68	0	65	278	61	22	9	0%	1.0	21.9%	7.9%	14.0%	3.2%	3.90	4.03	+0.4
2021	31	MLB RAW	New York Mets	68	0	65	278	61	22	9	0%	1.0	21.9%	7.9%	14.0%	3.2%	3.90	4.04	+0.4
2022	32	MLB MLE	Philadelphia Phillies	55	0	45	198	38	22	2	0%	0.8	19.2%	11.1%	8.1%	0.9%	2.80	3.40	+0.6
2022	32	MLB RAW	Philadelphia Phillies	55	0	45	198	38	22	2	0%	0.8	19.2%	11.1%	8.1%	1.0%	2.80	3.46	+0.6
2023	33	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	60	0	54	236	59	19	6	0%	0.9	25.0%	8.1%	16.9%	2.5%	5.53	3.40	+0.7
2023	33	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	60	0	54	236	59	19	6	0%	0.9	25.0%	8.1%	16.9%	2.5%	5.53	3.40	+0.7
2023	33	MLB RAW	Atlanta Braves	60	0	54	236	59	19	6	0%	0.9	25.0%	8.1%	16.9%	2.5%	5.53	3.42	+0.7
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			527	12	577	2424	659	188	57	2%	1.1	27.2%	7.8%	19.4%	2.4%	3.53	3.08	+10.1
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	36	MLB	ATL	3	0	3	13	3	1	0	0%	1.0	22.9%	8.9%	14.0%	3.0%	4.35	4.30	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	37	MLB MLE	ATL	32	0	34	144	31	14	5	0%	1.1	21.8%	9.6%	12.3%	3.4%	4.56	4.70	-0.1
2027	37	MLB CTX	ATL	32	0	34	144	31	14	5	0%	1.1	21.8%	9.6%	12.3%	3.4%	4.56	4.70	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		559	12	611	2568	690	202	62	2%	1.1	26.9%	7.9%	19.0%	2.4%	3.58	3.15	+10.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		183	4	200	841	226	66	20	2%	1.1	26.9%	7.9%	19.0%	2.4%	3.58	3.15	+3.3
Career	—	MLE		527	12	577	2424	659	188	57	2%	1.1	27.2%	7.8%	19.4%	2.4%	3.53	3.08	+10.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		183	4	200	841	229	65	20	2%	1.1	27.2%	7.8%	19.4%	2.4%	3.53	3.08	+3.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Brad Hand (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.30	22.9%	8.9%	3.0%	—	4.70	21.8%	12.3%	34	+0.40	—	—	—
Heriberto Ruelas L 2017 · 3.42 FIP	35	SU	3.42	17.2%	6.7%	1.7%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	2.95	117	77
Neal Cotts L 2016 · 4.37 FIP	36	SU	4.37	18.0%	6.8%	3.5%	.290	3.21	25.5%	17.5%	48	-1.16	3.21	156	77
Fernando Abad L 2022 · 4.13 FIP	36	SU	4.13	15.6%	7.0%	2.7%	.290	4.37	21.1%	17.1%	38	+0.24	2.37	306	76
Jerry Blevins L 2019 · 4.09 FIP	35	SU	4.09	26.2%	9.9%	3.5%	.235	—	—	—	—	—	2.71	166	73
Wilfredo Ledezma L 2017 · 3.35 FIP	36	SU	3.35	26.7%	8.3%	2.7%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	2.58	109	72
Tony Sipp L 2019 · 3.28 FIP	36	SU	3.28	19.6%	9.8%	1.1%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	2.22	195	71
Craig Breslow L 2017 · 4.22 FIP	36	SU	4.22	14.5%	7.5%	2.5%	.308	5.13	17.8%	2.7%	19	+0.91	4.22	159	71
Brandon Mann L 2018 · 3.59 FIP	34	SU	3.59	17.8%	11.4%	1.0%	.232	—	—	—	—	—	3.59	190	66
Jorge De La Rosa L 2017 · 4.09 FIP	36	SU	4.09	20.5%	7.8%	3.2%	.260	4.07	19.3%	9.8%	56	-0.02	3.86	405	65
Fernando Rodney R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	38	SU	4.37	20.9%	9.4%	3.4%	.272	3.37	26.2%	15.2%	185	-1.00	2.69	295	42
Manny Acosta R 2016 · 4.19 FIP	35	SU	4.19	18.1%	9.1%	2.7%	.273	3.08	23.2%	9.9%	44	-1.11	3.08	102	41
Jean Machi R 2017 · 4.12 FIP	35	SU	4.12	18.6%	6.6%	3.2%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.12	186	41
Josh Lueke R 2019 · 4.11 FIP	34	SU	4.11	20.4%	6.4%	3.5%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	2.29	107	41
Joaquín Benoit R 2015 · 3.58 FIP	38	SU	3.58	24.8%	8.7%	2.7%	.179	4.11	23.5%	12.9%	98	+0.53	3.58	164	40
Santiago Casilla R 2016 · 3.69 FIP	36	SU	3.69	27.0%	7.1%	3.6%	.278	4.13	19.8%	8.7%	103	+0.44	3.50	219	40
Dustin McGowan R 2017 · 4.58 FIP	35	SU	4.58	19.4%	6.7%	4.2%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	208	40
Matt Albers R 2019 · 4.13 FIP	36	SU	4.13	22.1%	10.1%	2.9%	.269	—	—	—	—	—	3.15	244	39
Juan Sandoval R 2017 · 3.42 FIP	36	SU	3.42	16.7%	7.2%	1.5%	.298	5.41	15.9%	8.7%	57	+1.99	3.24	225	39
Blaine Boyer R 2017 · 3.24 FIP	36	SU	3.24	18.0%	7.6%	1.3%	.341	7.38	8.3%	-0.9%	22	+4.14	3.24	209	39
Jim Johnson R 2018 · 4.48 FIP	35	SU	4.48	16.8%	7.8%	3.3%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	2.56	251	39

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	36	22.4%	9.2%	1.22	4.45
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Mike Mayers ('23)	1.2	47	24.3%	7.8%	1.50	4.47
Colin Poche ('24)	1.0	52	27.0%	9.2%	1.34	3.63
Trevor Gott ('23)	1.0	51	22.0%	7.4%	0.79	3.97
Félix Peña ('20)	1.2	62	23.6%	8.3%	1.37	4.46