Chazz Martinez
P
Omaha Storm Chasers
+0.6
WAR
Age 26
LHP
6'3" / 210 lbs
AAA
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
peak 0.6 · 2026
ERA4.23
FIP4.23
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%21.6%
BB%10.5%
K-BB%11.1%
IP66
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.6peak
2026
K†5050
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 22 | A+ | Quad Cities River Bandits | 6 | 0 | 6 | 31 | 5 | 3 | 0 | — | — | — | 8.53 | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A | Columbia Fireflies | 39 | 0 | 64 | 287 | 86 | 31 | 4 | 22.2% | 12.7% | 1.7% | 4.08 | 3.77 | +0.9 |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Quad Cities River Bandits | 35 | 0 | 51 | 224 | 61 | 35 | 1 | 21.0% | 18.0% | 0.6% | 4.09 | 3.93 | +0.6 |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | 53 | 0 | 74 | 319 | 77 | 28 | 3 | 20.3% | 9.4% | 1.0% | 3.41 | 3.15 | +1.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | KC | 12 | 12 | 66 | 279 | 60 | 29 | 6 | 21.6% | 10.5% | 2.3% | 4.23 | 4.23 | +0.6 |
| 2026 Total | 26 | MLB | KC | — | — | 70 | 293 | 66 | 31 | 6 | 22.7% | 10.7% | 2.1% | 3.99 | 3.99 | +0.8 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | KC | 12 | 12 | 66 | 277 | 60 | 29 | 6 | 21.8% | 10.4% | 2.3% | 4.24 | 4.24 | +0.6 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | KC | 12 | 12 | 64 | 272 | 60 | 28 | 7 | 21.9% | 10.4% | 2.4% | 4.26 | 4.28 | +0.5 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | KC | 11 | 11 | 63 | 266 | 58 | 28 | 7 | 21.9% | 10.4% | 2.5% | 4.30 | 4.32 | +0.5 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB | KC | 11 | 11 | 61 | 258 | 56 | 27 | 7 | 21.7% | 10.5% | 2.6% | 4.35 | 4.38 | +0.4 |
| 2031 | 31 | MLB | KC | 59 | — | 59 | 249 | 53 | 26 | 7 | 21.5% | 10.6% | 2.6% | 4.42 | 4.46 | +0.3 |
| 2032 | 32 | MLB | KC | 57 | — | 57 | 239 | 51 | 26 | 7 | 21.2% | 10.8% | 2.7% | 4.50 | 4.55 | +0.3 |
| 2033 | 33 | MLB | KC | 54 | — | 54 | 228 | 48 | 25 | 6 | 20.9% | 10.9% | 2.8% | 4.59 | 4.64 | +0.2 |
| 2034 | 34 | MLB | KC | 51 | — | 51 | 217 | 45 | 24 | 6 | 20.5% | 11.1% | 2.9% | 4.69 | 4.75 | +0.1 |
| 2035 | 35 | MLB | KC | 48 | — | 48 | 204 | 41 | 23 | 6 | 20.1% | 11.3% | 3.0% | 4.80 | 4.87 | +0.0 |
| 2036 | 36 | MLB | KC | 45 | — | 45 | 191 | 38 | 22 | 6 | 19.7% | 11.6% | 3.1% | 4.92 | 5.01 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 136 | 0 | 199 | 875 | 186 | 112 | 9 | 21.3% | 12.8% | 1.1% | 3.89 | 3.51 | +4.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 137 | 0 | 200 | 879 | 187 | 113 | 9 | 21.3% | 12.8% | 1.1% | 3.89 | 3.51 | +4.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Chazz Martinez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.23 | 21.6% | 10.5% | 2.3% | — | 4.28 | 21.9% | 11.5% | 193 | +0.05 | — | — | — |
| Colton Johnson L 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.91 | 20.8% | 11.0% | 2.1% | .309 | 4.53 | 12.2% | -0.4% | 48 | +0.62 | 3.91 | 106 | 94 |
| Brian Flynn L 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.82 | 21.3% | 11.1% | 2.0% | .258 | 4.38 | 16.6% | 8.2% | 198 | +0.56 | 3.82 | 277 | 89 |
| Michael Johnson L 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.26 | 21.7% | 9.5% | 3.2% | .272 | 5.26 | 13.4% | 3.4% | 67 | +1.00 | 3.88 | 256 | 88 |
| James Paxton L 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.31 | 18.9% | 9.4% | 2.9% | .288 | 2.87 | 27.7% | 21.7% | 468 | -1.44 | 2.40 | 924 | 88 |
| Greg Nappo L 2026 · 3.36 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.36 | 22.7% | 7.5% | 2.2% | .267 | 5.28 | 16.5% | 5.9% | 79 | +1.92 | 3.36 | 144 | 88 |
| Robbie Ross Jr. L 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.83 | 20.5% | 6.9% | 2.9% | .287 | 3.19 | 22.3% | 9.6% | 66 | -0.64 | 2.79 | 159 | 88 |
| Ryan Verdugo L 2028 · 3.61 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.61 | 19.8% | 10.8% | 1.5% | .281 | 3.36 | 22.7% | 17.3% | 82 | -0.25 | 3.36 | 153 | 87 |
| Aríel Miranda L 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.47 | 18.3% | 10.2% | 1.1% | .280 | 5.07 | 19.2% | 10.2% | 364 | +1.60 | 3.47 | 431 | 86 |
| Juan Grullon L 2026 · 4.67 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.67 | 19.8% | 10.9% | 3.4% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.67 | 134 | 86 |
| Carson Skipper L 2025 · 3.79 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.79 | 19.9% | 9.1% | 2.2% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.01 | 176 | 86 |
| Logan Darnell L 2026 · 3.15 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.15 | 17.8% | 7.7% | 1.0% | .316 | 4.60 | 12.2% | 5.5% | 305 | +1.45 | 3.15 | 430 | 86 |
| Kevin Chapman L 2027 · 3.35 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.35 | 21.9% | 11.1% | 1.3% | .368 | 3.62 | 21.7% | 11.5% | 100 | +0.27 | 3.02 | 153 | 85 |
| Will Gilbert L 2025 · 4.40 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.40 | 19.9% | 10.3% | 3.0% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.92 | 141 | 85 |
| Ben Holmes L 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.05 | 19.1% | 9.3% | 2.5% | .264 | 5.57 | 19.7% | 8.6% | 61 | +1.52 | 3.09 | 451 | 85 |
| Wandy Peralta L 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.91 | 21.7% | 8.7% | 2.8% | .257 | 4.72 | 17.1% | 6.7% | 127 | +0.81 | 2.70 | 655 | 85 |
| Sean Mellen L 2024 · 4.01 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.01 | 21.3% | 10.4% | 2.5% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.01 | 101 | 85 |
| Jason Gurka L 2027 · 3.14 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.14 | 17.5% | 7.0% | 1.1% | .303 | 3.27 | 23.4% | 17.6% | 95 | +0.13 | 2.91 | 183 | 84 |
| Jordan Carr L 2026 · 3.48 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.48 | 17.2% | 8.5% | 1.4% | .270 | 4.47 | 13.1% | 4.3% | 91 | +0.99 | 3.48 | 223 | 84 |
| Adam Liberatore L 2028 · 3.69 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.69 | 21.1% | 7.3% | 2.6% | .267 | 3.20 | 23.3% | 15.2% | 73 | -0.49 | 2.44 | 124 | 84 |
| Triston Polley L 2026 · 4.15 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.15 | 17.8% | 8.9% | 2.6% | .331 | 4.53 | 17.4% | -0.3% | 22 | +0.38 | 4.15 | 151 | 84 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2028
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2033
First FA Year 2034
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2028 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | +0.5 | $2M | +$1M |
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +0.5 | $2M | +$1M |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +0.4 | $2M | +$0.9M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.8M | +0.3 | $1M | +$0.6M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $1M | +0.3 | $1M | +$0.4M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +0.2 | $1.0M | -$0.0M |
| Totals | $5M | $10M | +$5M | ||