Chazz Martinez — OGILVIE

Chazz Martinez P Omaha Storm Chasers

Age 26 LHP 6'3" / 210 lbs AAA peak 0.1 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION11 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 100108vR 116

ERA4.35

FIP4.35

K%19.5%

BB%10.1%

K-BB%9.4%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 17 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL6060

CMD5555

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	6	0	6	31	5	3	0	0%	1.1	16.1%	9.7%	6.5%	0.0%	8.53	2.96	—
2022	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	6	0	6	31	5	3	0	0%	1.1	16.1%	9.7%	6.5%	0.0%	8.53	2.94	—
2023	23	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	39	0	64	287	86	31	4	0%	1.6	22.2%	12.7%	9.4%	1.7%	4.08	3.76	—
2023	23	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	39	0	64	287	86	31	4	0%	1.6	22.2%	12.7%	9.4%	1.7%	4.08	3.76	—
2023	23	A RAW	Columbia Fireflies	39	0	64	287	86	31	4	0%	1.6	30.0%	10.8%	19.2%	1.4%	4.08	2.68	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	35	0	51	224	61	35	1	0%	1.4	21.0%	18.0%	3.0%	0.6%	4.09	3.92	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	35	0	51	224	61	35	1	0%	1.4	21.0%	18.0%	3.0%	0.6%	4.09	3.92	—
2024	24	A+ RAW	Quad Cities River Bandits	35	0	51	224	61	35	1	0%	1.4	27.2%	15.6%	11.6%	0.4%	4.09	3.02	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	53	0	74	319	77	28	3	0%	1.4	19.8%	8.6%	11.2%	1.0%	3.41	3.09	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	53	0	74	319	77	28	3	0%	1.4	19.8%	8.6%	11.2%	1.0%	3.41	3.09	—
2025	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	53	0	74	319	77	28	3	0%	1.4	24.1%	8.8%	15.4%	0.9%	3.41	2.68	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	10	0	11	50	14	10	0	0%	1.1	23.2%	18.0%	5.2%	0.0%	7.59	3.42	—
YTD	26	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	10	0	11	50	14	10	0	0%	1.1	23.2%	18.0%	5.2%	0.0%	7.59	3.42	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	26	AAA RAW	KC	10	0	11	50	14	10	0	0%	1.1	28.0%	20.0%	8.0%	0.0%	7.59	3.27	—
ROS	26	MLB MLE	KC	6	0	6	25	5	2	1	0%	1.0	19.5%	10.1%	9.4%	2.3%	4.35	4.35	+0.0
2026 TOT	26	MLB MLE	KC	—	—	17	75	19	12	1	—	—	25.2%	16.7%	8.5%	0.7%	6.44	3.75	+0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	KC	66	0	69	291	58	29	7	0%	1.0	19.9%	10.1%	9.8%	2.4%	4.37	4.39	+0.1
2028	28	MLB MLE	KC	64	0	67	282	56	29	7	0%	1.0	20.0%	10.2%	9.8%	2.5%	4.42	4.47	+0.1
2029	29	MLB MLE	KC	61	0	64	270	54	28	7	0%	1.0	19.9%	10.3%	9.6%	2.7%	4.52	4.59	-0.0
2027	27	MLB CTX	KC	28	0	29	122	24	12	3	0%	1.0	19.9%	10.1%	9.8%	2.4%	4.37	4.39	+0.1
2028	28	MLB CTX	KC	40	0	42	177	35	18	4	0%	1.1	20.0%	10.2%	9.8%	2.5%	4.42	4.47	+0.0
2029	29	MLB CTX	KC	45	0	47	198	40	21	5	0%	1.0	19.9%	10.3%	9.6%	2.7%	4.52	4.59	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		113	0	118	500	100	51	13	0%	1.0	19.9%	10.2%	9.7%	2.6%	4.45	4.12	+0.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	169	86	22	0%	1.1	19.9%	10.2%	9.7%	2.6%	4.45	4.12	+1.0
Career	—	MLE		143	0	206	911	190	116	9	0%	1.4	20.9%	12.8%	8.1%	1.0%	4.16	3.52	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		139	0	200	886	185	113	9	0%	1.4	20.9%	12.8%	8.1%	1.0%	4.16	3.52	+0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Chazz Martinez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.35	19.5%	10.1%	2.3%	—	4.48	19.9%	9.7%	200	+0.13	—	—	—
Haylen Green L 2023 · 4.09 FIP	25	SU	4.09	18.6%	10.8%	2.2%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	104	87
Ryan Verdugo L 2015 · 3.61 FIP	28	SU	3.61	19.8%	10.8%	1.5%	.281	3.36	22.7%	17.3%	82	-0.25	3.36	153	87
Brian Flynn L 2016 · 3.80 FIP	26	SU	3.80	21.3%	11.1%	2.0%	.258	4.39	16.6%	8.2%	198	+0.59	3.80	277	86
Michael Johnson L 2017 · 4.20 FIP	26	SU	4.20	21.7%	9.5%	3.1%	.272	5.19	13.4%	3.4%	67	+0.99	3.92	256	86
Triston Polley L 2023 · 4.15 FIP	26	SU	4.15	17.8%	8.9%	2.6%	.331	4.53	17.4%	-0.3%	22	+0.38	4.15	151	86
Juan Grullon L 2016 · 4.64 FIP	26	SU	4.64	19.8%	10.9%	3.3%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.64	134	86
Jeremy Horst L 2015 · 4.09 FIP	29	SU	4.09	18.8%	11.2%	2.1%	.291	3.71	15.1%	2.7%	48	-0.38	3.71	108	85
Will Gilbert L 2019 · 4.42 FIP	25	SU	4.42	19.9%	10.3%	3.1%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	141	85
Adam Kolarek L 2015 · 3.80 FIP	26	SU	3.80	17.2%	10.3%	1.5%	.281	2.61	20.9%	12.0%	183	-1.19	2.20	504	84
Hayden Howard L 2019 · 3.76 FIP	25	SU	3.76	17.5%	8.4%	1.9%	.328	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	200	84
Robbie Ross Jr. L 2015 · 3.77 FIP	26	SU	3.77	20.5%	6.9%	2.8%	.287	3.21	22.3%	9.6%	66	-0.56	2.81	159	84
Jason Gurka L 2015 · 3.15 FIP	27	SU	3.15	17.5%	7.0%	1.2%	.303	3.25	23.4%	17.6%	95	+0.10	2.82	183	84
Ashur Tolliver L 2015 · 3.49 FIP	27	SU	3.49	19.8%	12.8%	0.8%	.312	4.58	17.8%	3.7%	76	+1.09	3.49	134	84
Kevin Chapman L 2015 · 3.36 FIP	27	SU	3.36	21.9%	11.1%	1.3%	.368	3.63	21.7%	11.5%	100	+0.27	3.01	153	84
Tom Windle L 2018 · 4.56 FIP	26	SU	4.56	19.0%	11.8%	2.9%	.269	4.37	17.2%	1.8%	74	-0.19	3.68	330	83
Matt Purke L 2016 · 4.25 FIP	26	SU	4.25	19.1%	13.9%	1.8%	.284	3.54	21.4%	8.8%	112	-0.71	3.01	226	83
Bryan Harper L 2016 · 4.13 FIP	26	SU	4.13	19.3%	9.6%	2.6%	.197	4.63	14.9%	1.0%	46	+0.50	4.13	133	83
Greg Nappo L 2015 · 3.37 FIP	26	SU	3.37	22.7%	7.5%	2.2%	.267	5.25	16.5%	5.9%	79	+1.88	3.37	144	83
Mason Melotakis L 2017 · 3.58 FIP	26	SU	3.58	21.9%	10.9%	1.8%	.264	5.66	12.0%	0.6%	30	+2.08	3.32	142	83
Patrick McCoy L 2015 · 3.81 FIP	26	SU	3.81	14.4%	8.0%	1.6%	.336	4.28	15.4%	1.6%	44	+0.47	3.81	113	83

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.3	67	19.8%	10.2%	0.95	4.41
Archie Bradley ('21)	2.2	74	23.2%	9.8%	0.85	3.93
Cory Gearrin ('19)	1.1	57	21.5%	9.8%	0.79	3.42
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Derek Law ('24)	1.5	60	21.5%	8.9%	0.88	3.47
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41