Chazz Martinez

P Omaha Storm Chasers

Age 27 LHP 6'3" / 210 lbs AAA

Overview

AAAPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	24	A+KC	35	51	4.09	3.02	27.2%	15.6%	—	K 21.0% · BB 18.0% · FIP 3.92
2025	25	MIX2 levels	53	74	3.41	2.68	24.1%	8.8%	—	K 20.1% · BB 8.6% · FIP 3.06
2026	26	AAAKC	10	11	7.59	3.29	28.0%	20.0%	—	K 24.1% · BB 18.0% · FIP 3.35
2027PROJ	27	MLBKC	6	6	4.38	4.38	20.7%	10.6%	0.0
2028PROJ43% MLB	28	MLBKC	19	20	4.43	4.46	20.8%	10.6%	0.0
2029PROJ59% MLB	29	MLBKC	22	23	4.52	4.58	20.8%	10.7%	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff45Control60Command55

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.3, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsColton Johnson (age 26) · Ryan Verdugo (age 28) · Kelly Wunsch (age 28)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 100108vR 116

ERA4.38

FIP4.38

K%20.7%

BB%10.6%

K-BB%10.1%

Proj IP60

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 60 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL6060

CMD5555

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	6	0	6	31	5	3	0	0%	1.1	16.1%	9.7%	6.5%	0.0%	8.53	2.96	—
2022	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	6	0	6	31	5	3	0	0%	1.1	16.1%	9.7%	6.5%	0.0%	8.53	2.94	—
2023	23	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	39	0	64	287	86	31	4	0%	1.6	22.2%	12.7%	9.4%	1.7%	4.08	3.76	—
2023	23	A RAW	Columbia Fireflies	39	0	64	287	86	31	4	0%	1.6	30.0%	10.8%	19.2%	1.4%	4.08	2.68	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	35	0	51	224	61	35	1	0%	1.4	21.0%	18.0%	3.0%	0.6%	4.09	3.92	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	35	0	51	224	61	35	1	0%	1.4	21.0%	18.0%	3.0%	0.6%	4.09	3.92	—
2024	24	A+ RAW	Quad Cities River Bandits	35	0	51	224	61	35	1	0%	1.4	27.2%	15.6%	11.6%	0.4%	4.09	3.02	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	53	0	74	319	77	28	3	0%	1.4	20.1%	8.6%	11.5%	1.0%	3.41	3.06	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	53	0	74	319	77	28	3	0%	1.4	20.1%	8.6%	11.5%	1.0%	3.41	3.06	—
2025	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	53	0	74	319	77	28	3	0%	1.4	24.1%	8.8%	15.4%	0.9%	3.41	2.68	—
2026	26	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	10	0	11	50	14	10	0	0%	1.1	24.1%	18.0%	6.1%	0.0%	7.59	3.35	—
2026	26	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	10	0	11	50	14	10	0	0%	1.1	24.1%	18.0%	6.1%	0.0%	7.59	3.35	—
2026	26	AAA RAW	Omaha Storm Chasers	10	0	11	50	14	10	0	0%	1.1	28.0%	20.0%	8.0%	0.0%	7.59	3.29	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	27	MLB	KC	6	0	6	25	5	3	1	0%	1.0	20.7%	10.6%	10.1%	2.4%	4.38	4.38	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	KC	44	0	46	196	41	21	5	0%	1.1	20.8%	10.6%	10.2%	2.5%	4.43	4.46	+0.0
2029	29	MLB MLE	KC	38	0	40	167	35	18	5	0%	1.0	20.8%	10.7%	10.1%	2.7%	4.52	4.58	-0.0
2028	28	MLB CTX	KC	19	0	20	84	18	9	2	0%	1.1	20.8%	10.6%	10.2%	2.5%	4.43	4.46	+0.0
2029	29	MLB CTX	KC	22	0	23	97	20	10	3	0%	1.0	20.8%	10.7%	10.1%	2.7%	4.52	4.58	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		41	0	43	182	38	19	5	0%	1.1	20.8%	10.7%	10.1%	2.6%	4.48	4.15	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	176	88	23	0%	1.1	20.8%	10.7%	10.1%	2.6%	4.48	4.15	+1.0
Career	—	MLE		143	0	206	911	192	116	9	0%	1.4	21.0%	12.8%	8.3%	1.0%	4.16	3.51	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		139	0	200	886	186	113	9	0%	1.4	21.0%	12.8%	8.3%	1.0%	4.16	3.51	+0.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 11 IPFIP 3.27 → 3.35 (+0.08)K% 28.0% → 24.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	28.00%	—	×0.860	24.08%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	20.00%	—	×0.900	18.00%
HR / BF /BF	0.00%	÷1.000	×1.100	0.00%

Factors used: pitcher AAA level factors (Triple-A 2023+ robo-zone set: walks improve on promotion) — K ×0.86, BB ×0.90, HR ×1.10. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).

Result: FIP 3.27 → 3.35, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals · 44 IPFIP 2.07 → 2.58 (+0.51)K% 25.0% → 20.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	25.00%	—	×0.810	20.25%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	6.11%	—	×1.100	6.72%
HR / BF /BF	0.56%	÷1.077	×1.200	0.62%

Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 115).

Result: FIP 2.07 → 2.58, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 30 IPFIP 3.49 → 3.69 (+0.19)K% 23.0% → 19.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	23.02%	—	×0.860	19.80%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	12.23%	—	×0.900	11.01%
HR / BF /BF	1.44%	÷1.003	×1.100	1.58%

Result: FIP 3.49 → 3.69, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Quad Cities River Bandits · 51 IPFIP 3.02 → 3.92 (+0.90)K% 27.2% → 21.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	27.23%	—	×0.770	20.97%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	15.62%	—	×1.150	17.97%
HR / BF /BF	0.45%	÷0.959	×1.250	0.58%

Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 92).

Result: FIP 3.02 → 3.92, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AColumbia Fireflies · 64 IPFIP 2.70 → 3.76 (+1.05)K% 30.0% → 22.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	29.97%	—	×0.740	22.17%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	10.80%	—	×1.180	12.75%
HR / BF /BF	1.39%	÷1.089	×1.300	1.66%

Factors used: pitcher A level factors — K ×0.74, BB ×1.18, HR ×1.30. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 118).

Result: FIP 2.70 → 3.76, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Chazz Martinez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.38	20.7%	10.6%	2.4%	—	4.52	20.8%	10.2%	86	+0.14	—	—	—
Colton Johnson L 2024 · 3.92 FIP	26	SU	3.92	20.8%	11.0%	2.1%	.309	4.53	12.2%	-0.4%	48	+0.61	3.92	106	95
Ryan Verdugo L 2015 · 3.61 FIP	28	SU	3.61	19.8%	10.8%	1.5%	.281	3.36	22.7%	17.3%	82	-0.25	3.36	153	88
Kelly Wunsch L 2000 · 3.65 FIP	28	SU	3.65	19.7%	10.8%	1.5%	.261	4.17	17.6%	5.9%	90	+0.52	3.36	175	86
Aaron Brown L 2019 · 4.04 FIP	27	SU	4.04	22.9%	13.5%	2.1%	.317	4.77	19.4%	6.7%	129	+0.73	4.04	269	85
Juan Grullon L 2016 · 4.64 FIP	26	SU	4.64	19.8%	10.9%	3.3%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.64	134	85
Ashur Tolliver L 2015 · 3.49 FIP	27	SU	3.49	19.8%	12.8%	0.8%	.312	4.58	17.8%	3.7%	76	+1.09	3.49	134	84
Jeff Ibarra L 2016 · 3.75 FIP	28	SU	3.75	17.8%	9.7%	1.7%	.321	3.29	19.2%	13.8%	66	-0.46	2.85	101	84
Haylen Green L 2023 · 4.09 FIP	25	SU	4.09	18.6%	10.8%	2.2%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	104	84
Keith Hessler L 2016 · 3.31 FIP	27	SU	3.31	19.0%	9.3%	1.1%	.305	5.06	17.8%	5.2%	98	+1.75	3.31	228	84
Doug Slaten L 2007 · 4.08 FIP	27	SU	4.08	17.2%	8.6%	2.5%	.316	3.81	17.6%	8.2%	73	-0.27	3.22	139	83
Diego Barrera L 2024 · 3.69 FIP	24	SU	3.69	17.9%	9.2%	1.7%	.310	4.55	17.9%	7.4%	89	+0.86	3.66	155	83
Mitchell Tyranski L 2024 · 4.90 FIP	26	SU	4.90	21.0%	12.3%	3.7%	.234	3.46	20.5%	4.0%	57	-1.44	3.46	145	83
Fabian Williamson L 2016 · 3.39 FIP	27	SU	3.39	23.8%	9.0%	2.1%	.259	5.26	16.5%	-3.3%	54	+1.87	3.39	154	82
Bryan Harper L 2016 · 4.13 FIP	26	SU	4.13	19.3%	9.6%	2.6%	.197	4.63	14.9%	1.0%	46	+0.50	4.13	133	82
Robby Ahlstrom L 2024 · 3.89 FIP	25	SU	3.89	21.9%	11.6%	2.1%	.294	4.02	20.7%	11.1%	120	+0.13	3.79	332	82
Adam Liberatore L 2015 · 3.64 FIP	28	SU	3.64	21.1%	7.3%	2.5%	.267	3.17	23.3%	15.2%	73	-0.47	2.38	124	82
Will Gilbert L 2019 · 4.42 FIP	25	SU	4.42	19.9%	10.3%	3.1%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	141	82
Andrew Magno L 2024 · 4.30 FIP	26	SU	4.30	21.7%	10.4%	3.1%	.341	3.41	21.7%	9.6%	119	-0.89	3.23	328	81
Brad Kuntz L 2018 · 4.10 FIP	26	SU	4.10	20.9%	11.7%	2.4%	.352	—	—	—	—	—	2.35	197	80
Jake Rice L 2024 · 3.75 FIP	27	SU	3.75	21.8%	13.8%	1.4%	.273	5.90	16.5%	0.9%	54	+2.15	3.16	199	80

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,234 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 480 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	48	20.7%	10.6%	0.98	4.43
Yency Almonte ('24)	1.1	45	22.5%	9.9%	1.13	4.44
Chris Resop ('13)	1.2	61	18.6%	10.3%	0.85	4.62
Manny Acosta ('12)	1.2	41	20.5%	10.9%	1.09	3.99
Ed Vosberg ('86-'02, 1 WAR*)	1.2	47	21.0%*	9.6%*	0.86*	4.06*
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Kevin Hickey ('81-'91, 0 WAR*)	1.2	47	17.7%*	10.2%*	1.10*	4.27*