Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 17 | ROK | DSL Dodgers Robinson | 12 | 6 | 37 | 176 | 33 | 29 | 1 | 50% | 3.1 | 12.8% | 20.6% | -7.8% | 0.8% | 5.30 | 5.07 | — |
| 2018 | 17 | ROK | DSL Dodgers Robinson | 12 | 6 | 37 | 176 | 33 | 29 | 1 | 50% | 3.1 | 18.8% | 16.5% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 5.30 | 4.01 | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | DSL Dodgers Shoemaker | 15 | 15 | 54 | 238 | 51 | 27 | 2 | 100% | 3.6 | 14.6% | 14.2% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 4.19 | 4.31 | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | DSL Dodgers Shoemaker | 15 | 15 | 54 | 238 | 51 | 27 | 2 | 100% | 3.6 | 21.4% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 0.8% | 4.19 | 3.19 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 9 | 49 | 202 | 61 | 17 | 4 | 64% | 3.5 | 22.3% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 2.0% | 3.33 | 3.58 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 9 | 49 | 202 | 61 | 17 | 4 | 64% | 3.5 | 30.2% | 8.4% | 21.8% | 2.0% | 3.33 | 2.71 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | 25 | 6 | 78 | 365 | 79 | 42 | 10 | 24% | 3.1 | 16.0% | 13.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 5.86 | 4.78 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | 25 | 6 | 78 | 365 | 79 | 42 | 10 | 24% | 3.1 | 21.6% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 2.7% | 5.86 | 4.35 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | 33 | 1 | 33 | 137 | 53 | 18 | 3 | 3% | 1.0 | 29.8% | 15.1% | 14.7% | 3.0% | 3.86 | 4.16 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | 33 | 1 | 33 | 137 | 53 | 18 | 3 | 3% | 1.0 | 38.7% | 13.1% | 25.5% | 2.2% | 3.86 | 2.70 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 0 | 25 | 126 | 26 | 19 | 5 | 0% | 1.2 | 15.4% | 18.0% | -2.6% | 5.1% | 6.75 | 6.88 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 0 | 25 | 126 | 26 | 19 | 5 | 0% | 1.2 | 20.6% | 15.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 6.75 | 5.86 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | PHI | 15 | 0 | 15 | 65 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.9% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 3.1% | 4.56 | 4.56 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | PHI | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 3.1% | 4.53 | 4.52 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | PHI | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.1% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 3.1% | 4.53 | 4.52 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 8 | 0 | 9 | 36 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 3.1% | 4.53 | 4.14 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 186 | 93 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 3.1% | 4.53 | 4.14 | +3.0 | ||
| Career | — | 120 | 37 | 276 | 1244 | 221 | 183 | 27 | 31% | 2.3 | 17.8% | 14.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 4.86 | 4.68 | +2.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 87 | 27 | 200 | 901 | 160 | 133 | 20 | 31% | 2.3 | 17.8% | 14.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 4.86 | 4.68 | +1.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Benony Robles (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.56 | 22.9% | 10.4% | 3.1% | — | 4.52 | 23.1% | 12.9% | 20 | -0.04 | — | — | — |
| Sean Mellen L 2025 · 3.97 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.97 | 21.3% | 10.4% | 2.5% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.97 | 101 | 76 |
| Paul Fry L 2026 · 5.00 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.00 | 21.2% | 11.7% | 4.0% | .338 | 3.46 | 24.6% | 14.6% | 159 | -1.54 | 1.78 | 560 | 75 |
| Tony Cingrani L 2027 · 3.61 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.61 | 25.8% | 12.9% | 1.9% | .305 | 3.97 | 25.4% | 15.7% | 128 | +0.36 | 1.79 | 186 | 73 |
| Braulio Lara L 2027 · 4.10 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.10 | 16.7% | 8.7% | 2.4% | .367 | 5.20 | 18.9% | 3.9% | 67 | +1.10 | 4.10 | 118 | 72 |
| Shinnosuke Ogasawara L 2028 · 4.83 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.83 | 16.6% | 9.0% | 3.6% | .308 | 3.98 | 22.0% | 15.2% | 59 | -0.85 | 3.98 | 122 | 71 |
| Parker Mushinski L 2026 · 3.50 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.50 | 24.7% | 9.0% | 2.5% | .357 | 4.17 | 22.0% | 11.4% | 143 | +0.67 | 3.21 | 439 | 71 |
| Brandon Hughes L 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.62 | 27.0% | 11.1% | 2.5% | .300 | 4.49 | 24.4% | 14.8% | 149 | +0.87 | 3.62 | 206 | 71 |
| Tommy Vail L 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.91 | 27.5% | 15.3% | 2.2% | .237 | 5.18 | 19.7% | 3.3% | 81 | +1.27 | 3.91 | 151 | 71 |
| Bryan Warzek L 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.98 | 22.1% | 15.0% | 3.4% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.84 | 138 | 70 |
| Jackson Lancaster L 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.45 | 24.0% | 11.1% | 3.6% | .355 | 5.10 | 17.6% | 4.9% | 78 | +0.65 | 4.28 | 127 | 70 |
| Garrett Gainey L 2026 · 3.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.65 | 17.6% | 6.0% | 2.3% | .257 | 5.52 | 17.8% | 9.6% | 53 | +1.87 | 3.65 | 116 | 70 |
| Trey Cumbie L 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.57 | 25.3% | 15.3% | 3.0% | .284 | 5.07 | 23.3% | 7.2% | 42 | +0.50 | 3.33 | 152 | 70 |
| Brian Flynn L 2027 · 3.78 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.78 | 21.3% | 11.1% | 2.0% | .258 | 4.41 | 16.6% | 8.2% | 198 | +0.63 | 3.78 | 277 | 70 |
| Will Gilbert L 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.26 | 19.9% | 10.3% | 2.8% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.85 | 141 | 70 |
| Josh Trentadue L 2025 · 4.99 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.99 | 21.5% | 12.3% | 3.9% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 196 | 70 |
| Jake Kalish L 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.96 | 17.8% | 6.9% | 2.7% | .231 | 3.85 | 17.0% | 11.9% | 352 | -0.11 | 2.68 | 740 | 69 |
| Colton Johnson L 2027 · 4.04 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.04 | 20.8% | 11.0% | 2.4% | .309 | 4.49 | 12.2% | -0.4% | 48 | +0.45 | 4.04 | 106 | 69 |
| Kyle Bird L 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.73 | 24.4% | 11.3% | 2.3% | .250 | 5.55 | 20.6% | 6.3% | 47 | +1.82 | 2.68 | 379 | 69 |
| Erik Rivera L 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.69 | 25.3% | 15.4% | 3.2% | .330 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.69 | 122 | 68 |
| Nick Maronde L 2026 · 3.67 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.67 | 18.3% | 8.9% | 1.8% | .359 | 3.64 | 16.3% | 8.9% | 48 | -0.03 | 3.64 | 133 | 68 |