Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | DSL LAD Mega | 12 | 7 | 31 | 136 | 36 | 24 | 2 | 58% | 2.6 | 18.0% | 22.1% | -4.1% | 1.7% | 3.77 | 5.32 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | DSL LAD Mega | 12 | 7 | 31 | 136 | 36 | 24 | 2 | 58% | 2.6 | 26.5% | 17.6% | 8.8% | 1.5% | 3.77 | 3.94 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK | DSL LAD Mega | 10 | 10 | 38 | 150 | 31 | 16 | 2 | 100% | 3.8 | 14.1% | 13.3% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.39 | 4.60 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK | DSL LAD Mega | 10 | 10 | 38 | 150 | 31 | 16 | 2 | 100% | 3.8 | 20.7% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 1.3% | 2.39 | 3.42 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | MLB | — | 4 | 4 | 21 | 89 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 100% | 5.3 | 22.4% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 2.9% | 4.48 | 4.48 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | — | 4 | 4 | 22 | 94 | 22 | 9 | 3 | 100% | 5.5 | 23.4% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 2.9% | 4.35 | 4.27 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | — | 2 | 2 | 11 | 46 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 5.5 | 23.4% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 2.9% | 4.35 | 4.27 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 11 | 46 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 5.5 | 23.4% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 2.9% | 4.35 | 3.89 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 39 | 39 | 200 | 844 | 202 | 73 | 18 | 100% | 5.1 | 23.4% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 2.9% | 4.35 | 3.89 | +3.5 | ||
| Career | — | 22 | 17 | 69 | 286 | 46 | 50 | 5 | 77% | 3.1 | 15.9% | 17.5% | -1.6% | 1.8% | 3.01 | 4.95 | -0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 64 | 50 | 200 | 833 | 133 | 146 | 15 | 77% | 3.1 | 15.9% | 17.5% | -1.6% | 1.8% | 3.01 | 4.95 | +1.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Williams Salazar (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.48 | 22.4% | 10.1% | 2.9% | — | 4.27 | 23.4% | 14.0% | 22 | -0.21 | — | — | — |
| Ryan Rolison L 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 21 | SP | 3.88 | 21.2% | 9.2% | 2.6% | .200 | 4.10 | 19.1% | 11.5% | 191 | +0.22 | 3.63 | 362 | 81 |
| Kash Mayfield L 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 21 | SP | 4.36 | 23.3% | 11.4% | 3.3% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.23 | 109 | 81 |
| Avery Short L 2026 · 5.04 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.04 | 20.1% | 11.4% | 4.0% | .346 | 4.76 | 15.0% | 6.4% | 271 | -0.28 | 4.31 | 460 | 81 |
| Dalton Lehnen L 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 21 | SP | 3.95 | 19.8% | 7.6% | 2.8% | .398 | 4.61 | 15.8% | 2.9% | 189 | +0.66 | 3.95 | 222 | 81 |
| Tommy Sommer L 2027 · 4.59 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.59 | 23.9% | 9.3% | 4.2% | .196 | 5.30 | 18.6% | 6.1% | 205 | +0.71 | 4.20 | 230 | 81 |
| Hogan Harris L 2027 · 3.73 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.73 | 20.5% | 10.6% | 1.9% | .235 | 3.64 | 27.4% | 12.7% | 74 | -0.09 | 3.14 | 473 | 79 |
| Sonny Vargas L 2025 · 4.43 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.43 | 21.0% | 10.1% | 3.3% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.20 | 165 | 78 |
| Ryan Williamson L 2028 · 4.10 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.10 | 18.4% | 5.9% | 3.3% | .286 | 5.67 | 18.4% | 5.8% | 102 | +1.57 | 4.10 | 123 | 78 |
| Aidan Deakins L 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.83 | 18.9% | 8.5% | 2.3% | .323 | 5.29 | 17.1% | 6.0% | 62 | +1.46 | 3.83 | 119 | 78 |
| Riley Frey L 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 21 | SP | 4.04 | 22.5% | 7.5% | 3.5% | .417 | 4.68 | 17.8% | 10.6% | 180 | +0.64 | 4.00 | 198 | 77 |
| Fernando Sanchez L 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 21 | SP | 4.05 | 24.8% | 11.8% | 2.8% | .318 | 3.89 | 17.7% | 6.9% | 213 | -0.16 | 3.12 | 303 | 77 |
| Mac Lardner L 2028 · 4.63 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.63 | 18.9% | 8.5% | 3.7% | .332 | 4.35 | 17.5% | 8.1% | 119 | -0.28 | 3.54 | 186 | 76 |
| Hunter Barco L 2028 · 3.51 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.51 | 23.4% | 10.0% | 2.0% | .275 | 3.79 | 22.7% | 10.5% | 150 | +0.28 | 3.51 | 212 | 76 |
| T.J. Sikkema L 2029 · 4.71 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.71 | 21.9% | 9.0% | 4.2% | .298 | 4.64 | 16.9% | 7.4% | 231 | -0.07 | 3.39 | 300 | 75 |
| Allen Facundo L 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 21 | SP | 3.47 | 22.3% | 13.1% | 1.1% | .233 | 3.54 | 23.2% | 7.7% | 107 | +0.07 | 2.84 | 216 | 75 |
| Jimmy Robbins L 2029 · 3.89 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.89 | 23.3% | 11.3% | 2.4% | .286 | 4.89 | 18.1% | 2.5% | 99 | +1.00 | 3.89 | 176 | 75 |
| Develson Aria L 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.07 | 19.9% | 12.2% | 2.0% | .346 | 6.50 | 16.7% | -11.9% | 47 | +2.43 | 4.07 | 137 | 75 |
| Rylan Kaufman L 2027 · 4.35 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.35 | 19.3% | 12.1% | 2.4% | .305 | 4.69 | 18.9% | 4.5% | 131 | +0.34 | 4.01 | 212 | 75 |
| Bryan Sammons L 2027 · 3.60 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.60 | 22.7% | 10.5% | 2.0% | .275 | 3.91 | 18.4% | 8.4% | 228 | +0.31 | 3.53 | 688 | 74 |
| Bailey Horn L 2028 · 5.16 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.16 | 19.7% | 12.7% | 3.9% | .300 | 4.71 | 22.7% | 9.5% | 152 | -0.45 | 4.13 | 265 | 74 |