Tate Southisene — OGILVIE

Tate SouthiseneSS Augusta GreenJackets

Age 19 R/R 5'11" / 180 lbs A BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035 peak 3.5 · 2033

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .270 / .335

PA80

HR2

K%32

BB%7

MLB%4%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

20↗42

PWR

30↗50

SPD

60→60

FLD

40↗51

EYE

40→40

trajectory · 10 yrs

3.6peak

2033

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+2.6	$23M	+$23M
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+3.0	$28M	+$27M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+3.3	$32M	+$31M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$7M	+3.5	$34M	+$27M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$12M	+3.5	$35M	+$23M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$17M	+3.3	$34M	+$17M
Totals		$39M		$187M	+$148M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	18	A	Augusta GreenJackets	66	64	9	2	1	0	1	39	1	3	0	.141	.167	.203	.370	.062	.360	59	2	.145	-31	-10	+1	+0	+1	+2	-0.7
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	19	A	Augusta GreenJackets	85	69	15	2	2	3	9	30	7	12	2	.217	.365	.435	.799	.217	.333	35	11	.315	99	-0	+2	+0	+1	+2	0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	20	MLB 14%	ATL	192	169	38	6	2	5	17	52	4	7	1	.225	.311	.373	.683	.148	.287	27	9	.308	94	-1	+1	-1	+2	+5	0.7
2028	21	MLB 31%	ATL	326	285	66	11	3	10	30	86	8	11	2	.232	.322	.396	.718	.165	.288	26	9	.317	101	+0	+1	-1	+3	+9	1.4
2029	22	MLB 51%	ATL	423	370	86	14	3	14	40	108	10	13	2	.232	.324	.400	.724	.168	.289	26	9	.324	106	+3	+2	-1	+5	+12	2.1
2030	23	MLB 73%	ATL	488	426	100	17	4	16	48	122	11	14	2	.235	.328	.406	.734	.171	.289	25	10	.330	111	+6	+2	-1	+5	+14	2.6
2031	24	MLB 89%	ATL	530	460	109	18	4	18	53	131	12	14	2	.237	.331	.411	.742	.174	.290	25	10	.334	114	+8	+2	-1	+6	+15	3.0
2032	25	MLB	ATL	554	479	116	19	5	20	57	136	13	14	2	.242	.339	.428	.767	.186	.290	25	10	.337	116	+10	+2	-2	+6	+16	3.3
2033	26	MLB	ATL	568	491	119	20	5	20	59	139	13	14	2	.242	.339	.426	.765	.183	.291	24	10	.339	118	+11	+2	-2	+6	+16	3.5
2034	27	MLB	ATL	571	493	120	20	5	21	60	141	13	14	2	.243	.341	.432	.773	.189	.291	25	11	.339	118	+11	+2	-2	+6	+16	3.5
2035	28	MLB	ATL	569	490	116	19	4	20	61	141	13	14	2	.237	.337	.414	.751	.178	.290	25	11	.338	117	+11	+2	-2	+6	+16	3.3
2036	29	MLB	ATL	561	483	115	19	4	20	60	141	13	13	1	.238	.338	.418	.756	.180	.290	25	11	.336	115	+10	+2	-3	+6	+16	3.1
2037	30	MLB	ATL	551	475	111	18	4	19	59	140	12	13	1	.234	.333	.408	.742	.175	.288	25	11	.333	113	+8	+2	-4	+6	+16	2.9
2038	31	MLB	ATL	537	463	107	17	4	18	57	139	12	11	0	.231	.331	.402	.733	.171	.287	26	11	.329	110	+6	+2	-4	+6	+15	2.5
2039	32	MLB	ATL	519	448	103	17	4	17	55	137	11	11	0	.230	.329	.400	.728	.170	.285	26	11	.324	106	+4	+2	-5	+6	+15	2.2
2040	33	MLB	ATL	490	424	94	15	4	15	52	133	11	10	0	.222	.322	.382	.704	.160	.283	27	11	.318	102	+1	+2	-6	+5	+14	1.7
2041	34	MLB	ATL	443	384	83	13	3	13	47	124	9	9	0	.216	.316	.367	.683	.151	.282	28	11	.312	97	-2	+2	-6	+5	+13	1.2
2042	35	MLB	ATL	389	337	72	11	3	11	41	112	8	8	0	.214	.313	.362	.675	.148	.279	29	11	.304	91	-4	+2	-7	+4	+11	0.6
2043	36	MLB	ATL	329	285	59	9	2	9	34	99	7	7	0	.207	.307	.347	.654	.140	.276	30	10	.295	84	-6	+1	-7	+4	+9	0.1
2044	37	MLB	ATL	265	231	46	7	2	6	27	82	5	6	0	.199	.297	.325	.621	.126	.272	31	10	.285	76	-7	+1	-8	+3	+8	-0.3
2045	38	MLB	ATL	196	171	32	5	1	4	19	62	4	4	0	.187	.284	.298	.582	.111	.267	32	10	.274	68	-7	+1	-8	+2	+6	-0.7
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			8567	7428	1701	277	67	276	877	2264	190	210	19	.229	.326	.396	.722	.167	.289	26	10	.323	105	+52	+34	-70	+92	+243	35.8
/ 162G	—			650	564	129	21	5	21	67	172	14	16	1	.229	.326	.395	.721	.167	.289	26	10	.323	105	+4	+3	-5	+7	+18	2.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	18	A	Augusta GreenJackets	66	64	14	3	1	0	1	27	1	3	0	.219	.242	.297	.539	.078	.378	41	2	.242	43	-4	+1	—	—	+2	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Tate Southisene (OGILVIE)	19	20→42	30→50	60	40	.207/.270/.335	.128	.289	2	2	32%	7%	68	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Trevor Story 2012 · A	19	42→52	43→65	54→55	44	.209/.272/.318	.108	.282	10	12	29%	7%	63	-0.8	.193/.253/.326	.133	.287	13	12	36%	7%	57	-1.2	.270/.336/.500	.231	.327	29	25	26%	8%	134	+3.6
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45	41→55	55	43	.216/.285/.315	.099	.290	7	13	27%	7%	68	-0.5	.204/.313/.323	.119	.295	10	23	31%	12%	83	+0.6	.202/.308/.336	.135	.284	11	26	30%	12%	81	+0.3
✕Ravel Santana 2011 · A	19	43	46→50	51→55	47	.214/.294/.340	.125	.274	14	15	26%	8%	79	+0.3	.220/.281/.362	.142	.292	16	13	29%	7%	79	+0.3	.205/.253/.387	.182	.264	22	15	31%	6%	72	-0.1
●Jackson Chourio 2023 · AA	19	42→52	49→55	51→55	38	.217/.265/.368	.151	.302	17	12	34%	6%	73	-0.1	.249/.293/.411	.162	.315	18	23	26%	6%	96	+1.5	.261/.307/.430	.168	.314	19	26	23%	6%	101	+1.8
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2011 · A	18	44	44→45	52→50	41	.218/.277/.333	.115	.291	11	9	28%	6%	69	-0.4	.218/.286/.320	.102	.285	6	11	25%	6%	69	-0.4	.226/.280/.337	.111	.291	6	11	23%	4%	69	-0.2
✕Leo Balcazar 2023 · A	19	44→48	44→40	54→45	40	.212/.276/.331	.119	.313	11	14	34%	7%	69	-0.4	.220/.273/.310	.090	.313	8	10	30%	6%	60	-1.0	.223/.267/.300	.077	.281	8	7	23%	5%	52	-1.3
●Jo Adell 2018 · A	19	46→44	42→65	54→50	36	.223/.265/.336	.114	.318	8	9	32%	5%	63	-0.8	.223/.273/.380	.157	.319	17	10	34%	5%	79	+0.3	.218/.285/.446	.228	.252	34	12	29%	7%	101	+1.4
✕Harry Ford 2022 · A	19	45→48	47→45	51→55	43	.223/.287/.361	.138	.312	14	9	32%	8%	81	+0.4	.213/.318/.341	.128	.297	12	16	29%	11%	89	+1.0	.203/.315/.324	.121	.277	12	21	28%	12%	81	+0.4
●Junior Caminero 2022 · A	19	44→52	49→65	49→45	45	.226/.283/.369	.143	.276	17	6	25%	7%	81	+0.4	.250/.300/.421	.171	.300	23	7	24%	6%	102	+1.8	.258/.305/.479	.221	.284	33	5	22%	6%	116	+2.6
●Derek Norris 2009 · A	20	40→50	42→55	49→50	43	.194/.269/.300	.106	.295	9	6	35%	9%	58	-1.2	.209/.301/.372	.163	.281	20	6	31%	11%	91	+1.1	.254/.332/.403	.149	.311	15	5	22%	10%	106	+1.6
✕Ezequiel Duran 2018 · A	19	48→56	45→55	54→50	38	.231/.275/.364	.133	.331	11	10	33%	5%	76	+0.0	.187/.229/.280	.093	.294	8	9	37%	4%	34	-2.8	.235/.283/.404	.168	.313	19	14	30%	5%	88	+0.7
●Dilson Herrera 2013 · A	19	44→54	42→50	51→50	44	.214/.271/.330	.115	.275	9	13	25%	6%	65	-0.7	.235/.285/.365	.130	.305	13	12	26%	6%	80	+0.4	.257/.307/.397	.140	.313	15	13	22%	6%	94	+1.2
●Royce Lewis 2018 · A	19	46→49	41→60	54→50	47	.220/.290/.316	.096	.269	8	15	21%	7%	70	-0.3	.218/.267/.324	.106	.281	10	16	25%	6%	62	-0.9	.261/.323/.483	.222	.300	31	14	24%	8%	123	+1.6
✕Bryan Rincon 2023 · A	19	43→42	45→40	53→65	45	.213/.281/.336	.123	.279	13	11	28%	8%	72	-0.2	.194/.288/.298	.104	.270	9	21	29%	10%	66	-0.6	.165/.260/.259	.093	.238	9	30	32%	10%	44	-1.1
●Alonzo Harris 2009 · A	20	44→50	45→55	50→60	40	.221/.276/.342	.121	.296	13	11	29%	6%	71	-0.3	.205/.243/.307	.102	.275	11	12	29%	4%	46	-2.0	.240/.296/.401	.161	.286	19	35	22%	7%	92	+0.9
●Tyrone Taylor 2013 · A	19	48→52	43→60	51→55	43	.233/.283/.353	.119	.294	8	11	23%	6%	76	+0.0	.238/.282/.338	.100	.277	6	12	16%	5%	71	-0.3	.239/.297/.453	.213	.275	26	12	23%	6%	106	+1.2
✕Carlos Jimenez 2023 · A	20	38→41	46→50	53→55	45	.189/.278/.319	.129	.289	14	15	37%	10%	67	-0.5	.210/.289/.331	.121	.326	12	16	36%	9%	74	-0.1	.216/.296/.349	.133	.314	15	19	33%	9%	78	+0.1
✕Noelvi Marte 2021 · A	19	44→53	44→50	50→55	42	.218/.268/.339	.121	.285	11	12	27%	6%	66	-0.6	.231/.294/.375	.144	.300	17	16	27%	7%	87	+0.8	.236/.302/.381	.145	.298	17	19	26%	8%	88	+0.8
●Esteury Ruiz 2018 · A	19	47→57	43→50	56→70	38	.227/.269/.356	.129	.308	8	18	28%	5%	71	-0.3	.204/.253/.311	.107	.309	9	27	35%	5%	53	-1.5	.264/.338/.396	.132	.327	13	74	22%	6%	108	+1.6
●Renato Núñez 2013 · A	19	44→51	43→60	48→30	38	.215/.262/.330	.115	.285	9	5	27%	4%	61	-1.0	.213/.253/.351	.138	.277	17	3	29%	4%	64	-0.8	.238/.308/.452	.215	.278	31	1	26%	7%	111	+1.7

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)