Tate Southisene — OGILVIE

Tate SouthiseneSS Augusta GreenJackets

Age 19 R/R 5'11" / 180 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION376 act + 250 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†91

AVG/OBP/SLG.226 / .310 / .370

PA250

HR6

SB17

K%28

BB%9

BABIP302

ISO144

MLB%4%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 51

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER51

scouting grade only

EYE44

scouting grade only

SPEED58

scouting grade only

DEFENSE51

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.9	$18M	+$18M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+3.1	$18M	+$18M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+3.2	$18M	+$17M
2032	Arb-1	$7M	+3.3	$17M	+$13M
2033	Arb-2	$11M	+3.2	$15M	+$10M
2034	Arb-3	$16M	+3.2	$14M	+$7M
Totals		$36M		$100M	+$83M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	18	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	66	64	9	2	1	0	1	40	1	3	0	141	167	203	370	62	375	61	2	141	-34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	66	64	14	3	1	0	1	27	1	3	0	219	242	297	539	78	378	41	2	242	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	A	ATL	—	376	324	73	14	4	9	39	118	11	43	10	225	329	377	705	151	322	31	10	309	95	-2	+5	+0	+4	+11	1.7
YTD	19	A	ATL	—	376	303	83	17	5	11	60	85	11	43	10	274	412	472	884	198	344	23	16	394	159	+25	+5	+0	+4	+11	4.5
ROS	19	A	ATL	4%	250	221	50	10	2	6	22	71	5	17	4	226	310	370	680	144	301	28	9	304	91	-3	+2	-0	+3	+7	0.9
ROS	19	MLB	ATL	4%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	1	0	111	200	111	311		301	30	10	288	79	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	19	A	ATL	—	386	333	74	14	4	9	40	121	11	44	10	222	326	369	695	147	317	31	10	309	95	-2	+5	-0	+4	+11	1.8
TOT	19	A	ATL	—	626	545	123	24	6	15	61	189	16	60	14	225	321	374	695	148	313	30	10	307	93	-5	+6	-0	+7	+18	2.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	ATL	45%	581	515	117	22	5	14	50	164	11	21	5	227	309	371	680	144	301	28	9	306	93	-5	+2	-0	+6	+16	2.0
2028	21	MLB	ATL	62%	609	539	126	23	5	17	53	166	12	19	5	234	316	390	706	156	302	27	9	314	99	-1	+2	-0	+7	+17	2.5
2029	22	MLB	ATL	68%	627	555	131	24	5	18	55	168	12	18	4	236	318	395	713	159	302	27	9	320	103	+2	+2	-0	+7	+18	2.9
2030	23	MLB	ATL	71%	638	564	135	25	5	20	57	168	12	17	4	239	322	408	730	168	302	26	9	324	106	+4	+2	-0	+7	+18	3.1
2031	24	MLB	ATL	71%	637	563	136	25	5	20	57	167	12	16	4	242	324	410	735	169	303	26	9	326	108	+6	+2	-0	+7	+18	3.2
2032	25	MLB	ATL	71%	629	555	135	25	5	20	57	164	12	16	4	243	327	414	741	171	303	26	9	328	109	+6	+2	-0	+7	+18	3.3
2033	26	MLB	ATL	71%	619	546	132	24	5	20	56	162	12	15	4	242	326	414	740	172	303	26	9	328	109	+6	+1	-0	+7	+18	3.2
2034	27	MLB	ATL	69%	609	536	129	24	5	19	56	159	12	15	4	241	326	410	737	170	303	26	9	328	109	+6	+1	-0	+7	+17	3.2
2035	28	MLB	ATL	69%	598	526	126	23	4	19	55	157	12	14	3	240	325	407	732	167	303	26	9	327	109	+6	+2	-1	+6	+17	3.0
2036	29	MLB	ATL	67%	587	516	123	23	4	18	55	156	11	13	3	238	325	403	728	165	302	27	9	326	107	+5	+1	-2	+6	+17	2.8
2037	30	MLB	ATL	66%	576	506	120	22	4	18	54	154	11	13	3	237	324	403	727	166	301	27	9	323	105	+3	+1	-3	+6	+16	2.5
2038	31	MLB	ATL	65%	564	495	116	21	4	17	53	153	11	12	3	234	322	396	718	162	299	27	9	319	102	+2	+1	-3	+6	+16	2.2
2039	32	MLB	ATL	65%	553	487	112	20	4	16	51	152	10	11	3	230	316	386	702	156	296	27	9	314	98	-1	+1	-4	+6	+16	1.8
2040	33	MLB	ATL	65%	491	434	97	17	3	14	45	137	9	9	2	224	309	373	683	150	292	28	9	307	93	-4	+1	-5	+5	+14	1.2
2041	34	MLB	ATL	60%	444	392	85	14	3	12	41	127	8	8	2	217	304	360	664	143	286	29	9	299	87	-7	+1	-5	+5	+13	0.6
2042	35	MLB	ATL	56%	389	344	73	12	3	10	35	114	7	7	2	212	298	352	650	140	280	29	9	289	79	-9	+1	-6	+4	+11	0.1
2043	36	MLB	ATL	47%	329	291	58	9	2	7	29	99	6	5	1	199	285	316	601	117	274	30	9	279	71	-11	+1	-7	+4	+9	-0.4
2027	20	MLB	ATL	45%	260	231	52	10	2	6	22	73	5	9	2	225	306	364	670	139	301	28	8	292	82	-5	+1	-0	+3	+7	0.6
2028	21	MLB	ATL	62%	375	332	77	14	3	10	33	102	7	12	3	232	315	383	697	151	302	27	9	300	88	-5	+1	-0	+4	+11	1.1
2029	22	MLB	ATL	68%	429	380	90	17	3	13	38	115	8	12	3	237	319	400	719	163	302	27	9	306	92	-4	+1	-0	+5	+12	1.4
2030	23	MLB	ATL	71%	454	402	96	18	3	14	40	120	9	12	3	239	322	403	724	164	302	26	9	310	95	-3	+1	-0	+5	+13	1.6
2031	24	MLB	ATL	71%	452	399	96	18	3	14	41	118	9	12	3	241	325	406	731	165	303	26	9	312	97	-2	+1	-0	+5	+13	1.7
2032	25	MLB	ATL	71%	446	394	94	17	3	14	40	116	9	11	3	239	323	404	726	165	303	26	9	313	98	-1	+1	-0	+5	+13	1.7
2033	26	MLB	ATL	71%	439	388	93	17	3	14	40	115	8	11	3	240	323	407	731	168	303	26	9	314	98	-1	+1	-0	+5	+12	1.7
2034	27	MLB	ATL	69%	423	373	91	17	3	14	39	111	8	10	2	244	329	418	747	174	303	26	9	314	98	-1	+1	-0	+5	+12	1.7
2035	28	MLB	ATL	69%	411	362	87	16	3	13	38	108	8	10	2	240	326	409	735	169	303	26	9	313	98	-1	+1	-1	+4	+12	1.6
2036	29	MLB	ATL	67%	393	345	82	15	3	12	37	104	8	9	2	238	326	403	729	165	302	26	9	311	97	-2	+1	-1	+4	+11	1.4
2037	30	MLB	ATL	66%	379	334	79	14	3	12	35	101	7	8	2	237	322	404	726	168	301	27	9	309	95	-2	+1	-2	+4	+11	1.2
2038	31	MLB	ATL	65%	368	324	76	14	3	11	34	100	7	8	2	235	321	398	719	164	299	27	9	305	92	-3	+1	-2	+4	+10	1.0
2039	32	MLB	ATL	65%	358	315	72	13	2	10	33	98	7	7	2	229	315	378	693	149	296	27	9	300	88	-5	+1	-3	+4	+10	0.7
2040	33	MLB	ATL	65%	317	279	63	11	2	9	29	89	6	6	1	226	312	376	688	151	292	28	9	294	83	-6	+1	-3	+3	+9	0.4
2041	34	MLB	ATL	60%	267	235	52	9	2	7	25	76	5	5	1	221	309	366	675	145	286	28	9	285	77	-7	+1	-3	+3	+8	0.1
2042	35	MLB	ATL	56%	216	190	39	6	1	5	20	63	4	4	1	205	294	326	621	121	280	29	9	276	69	-8	+0	-3	+2	+6	-0.2
2043	36	MLB	ATL	47%	153	135	27	4	1	3	14	46	3	2	1	200	289	311	601	111	274	30	9	266	62	-7	+0	-3	+2	+4	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	6150	5427	1267	230	43	181	559	1658	118	149	36	233	318	392	710	158	300	27	9	304	91	-62	+15	-23	+66	+174	17.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	574	134	24	5	19	59	175	12	16	4	233	318	392	710	159	300	27	9	304	91	-7	+2	-2	+7	+18	1.8
Career	—			—	9796	8649	2010	365	74	285	882	2678	186	249	60	232	317	391	707	158	301	27	9	316	100	-3	+26	-39	+105	+278	37.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	574	133	24	5	19	59	178	12	17	4	232	316	390	707	159	300	27	9	316	100	-0	+2	-3	+7	+18	2.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	18	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	66	64	14	3	1	0	1	27	1	3	0	219	242	297	539	78	378	41	2	242	43	-4	+1	—	—	+2	-0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Stephen Drewlast yr '17 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,917 PA	12	4,917	123	41	252	318	423	+48	+35	26.2	25.1
	/162	664	17	6	252	318	423	+6.5	+4.7	3.5	pk7: 24
#2Ian Desmondlast yr '19 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,944 PA	11	5,944	181	181	263	315	427	+30	-4	25.8	24.9
	/162	664	20	20	263	315	427	+3.3	-0.4	2.9	pk7: 24
#3Jason Kipnislast yr '20 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,984 PA	10	4,984	126	136	260	333	416	+18	-11	22.6	21.9
	/162	664	17	18	260	333	416	+2.4	-1.4	3.0	pk7: 21
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 11 projected seasons	11	6,147	182	148	235	316	396	+61	+8	26.1	20.9
	/162	664	20	16	235	316	396	+6.6	+0.9	2.8	pk7: 16
#4Didi Gregoriuslast yr '22 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	10	4,238	134	37	256	308	421	+45	-10	17.0	17.2
	/162	664	21	6	256	308	421	+7.1	-1.5	2.7	pk7: 18
#5Bill Halllast yr '11 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,621 PA	9	3,621	123	62	249	308	437	+22	+7	15.9	16.6
#5Bill Halllast yr '11 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,621 PA	/162	664	23	11	249	308	437	+4.1	+1.3	2.9	pk7: 17
#6Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	7	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
	/162	664	21	6	245	302	422	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Tate Southisene (OGILVIE)	19	30→45	33→51	58	44	225/321/374	148	313	15	60	30%	10%	93	+2.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Trevor Story 2012 · A	19	42→49	43→60	54→55	44	208/271/317	109	280	11	13	29%	7%	63	-0.9	191/252/319	128	296	13	13	38%	7%	56	-1.3	247/315/451	204	301	24	25	26%	8%	113	+2.3
✕Ravel Santana 2011 · A	19	43	46→50	51→55	47	216/296/344	128	273	15	16	26%	8%	81	+0.4	220/281/361	141	294	15	13	29%	7%	78	+0.2	205/253/387	182	264	22	15	31%	6%	72	-0.1
●Royce Lewis 2018 · A	19	45→49	41→60	55→50	47	217/288/313	96	267	8	16	21%	7%	69	-0.4	215/262/314	99	286	8	16	27%	5%	57	-1.2	261/322/478	218	301	31	14	24%	8%	123	+1.6
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→46	41→45	56→55	43	214/285/313	99	288	7	14	27%	7%	68	-0.5	203/314/320	117	299	9	23	31%	12%	83	+0.6	201/310/335	134	289	10	26	30%	12%	81	+0.3
✕Harry Ford 2022 · A	19	45→47	47→45	52→55	43	223/287/366	143	309	14	9	32%	8%	82	+0.5	211/317/346	135	289	14	16	29%	11%	91	+1.1	204/318/335	131	272	14	21	28%	12%	85	+0.6
●Dilson Herrera 2013 · A	19	44→54	43→50	51→50	43	214/269/331	117	274	9	13	25%	6%	65	-0.7	241/291/379	138	314	14	12	26%	6%	86	+0.8	258/308/400	143	315	15	13	23%	6%	96	+1.3
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2011 · A	18	44	44→45	53→50	41	217/277/335	118	288	11	9	28%	6%	69	-0.4	219/286/320	101	286	6	11	24%	6%	69	-0.4	226/280/337	111	291	6	11	23%	4%	69	-0.2
✕Addison Russell 2014 · A	20	47→52	48→55	58→50	45	232/302/389	157	310	14	16	28%	8%	94	+1.3	239/303/395	156	305	17	9	26%	7%	96	+1.5	237/308/399	162	294	18	5	25%	8%	94	+1.1
●Daniel Robertson 2013 · A	19	45→54	46→45	52→40	49	225/297/363	139	266	12	6	20%	8%	85	+0.7	232/296/339	107	293	9	3	23%	7%	79	+0.3	231/336/345	114	301	11	4	25%	11%	96	+0.8
●Jo Adell 2018 · A	19	46→44	42→65	55→50	36	223/264/339	116	318	8	9	32%	4%	64	-0.8	220/270/375	155	316	17	10	34%	5%	77	+0.1	218/285/448	231	251	34	12	29%	7%	102	+1.5
✕Hao-Yu Lee 2023 · A	20	48→47	45→55	48→55	46	233/305/357	125	310	12	12	27%	8%	87	+0.8	242/305/384	142	306	15	16	25%	7%	94	+1.3	248/306/416	169	299	18	16	23%	6%	100	+1.2
●Jackson Chourio 2023 · AA	19	40→50	49→60	50→55	37	208/257/357	149	297	17	12	35%	6%	67	-0.5	252/297/423	171	319	19	23	26%	6%	101	+1.8	273/321/471	198	320	23	21	22%	6%	120	+2.5
●Tyrone Taylor 2013 · A	19	49→52	43→65	51→55	43	235/284/358	123	294	8	12	23%	6%	78	+0.2	236/278/335	99	278	6	12	17%	4%	69	-0.4	248/305/477	229	283	28	12	23%	6%	117	+1.6
✕Ezequiel Duran 2018 · A	19	48→55	46→55	54→50	37	233/275/371	139	333	12	10	33%	5%	77	+0.1	187/231/278	91	295	8	8	37%	4%	34	-2.8	251/292/407	156	316	18	12	26%	5%	92	+0.9
●Evan Carter 2022 · A	19	45→53	42→50	52→55	54	215/320/330	115	290	9	18	26%	12%	88	+0.9	235/321/384	149	306	13	20	25%	10%	101	+1.8	236/324/395	159	305	15	21	26%	10%	102	+1.2
✕Yu Chang 2015 · A	19	48→46	45→50	53→45	44	237/291/367	130	295	12	8	24%	6%	83	+0.6	199/251/326	127	280	13	7	32%	5%	56	-1.3	215/275/364	149	282	17	4	29%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	46→55	42→45	49→50	46	224/285/337	113	288	9	9	25%	8%	72	-0.2	235/300/339	104	298	6	12	22%	8%	80	+0.4	254/315/362	108	309	9	16	20%	7%	88	+0.7
✕Noelvi Marte 2021 · A	19	44→53	44→50	50→55	42	218/268/339	121	285	11	12	27%	6%	66	-0.6	230/295/375	145	298	17	16	27%	8%	88	+0.9	233/300/377	144	296	17	19	26%	8%	87	+0.7
●Esteury Ruiz 2018 · A	19	47→57	43→50	57→70	38	227/269/358	131	311	8	19	29%	5%	71	-0.3	199/249/302	103	312	8	27	37%	5%	49	-1.8	268/342/410	142	331	14	74	22%	7%	114	+1.8
✕Agustín Ramírez 2023 · A	21	43→45	45→55	51→55	44	215/274/342	127	287	12	11	29%	7%	70	-0.3	231/293/393	162	278	19	13	24%	7%	92	+1.2	232/295/411	179	268	22	16	22%	7%	94	+1.3