Tate Southisene — OGILVIE

Tate Southisene2B Augusta GreenJackets

Age 19 R/R 5'11" / 180 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION417 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†93

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%11

BABIP304

ISO133

MLB%4%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$55M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 46 / POW 51

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT46

scouting grade only

POWER51

scouting grade only

EYE44

scouting grade only

SPEED59

scouting grade only

DEFENSE51

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.3	$8M	+$8M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.5	$9M	+$8M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.7	$9M	+$9M
2032	Arb-1	$6M	+1.7	$9M	+$6M
2033	Arb-2	$10M	+1.7	$8M	+$3M
2034	Arb-3	$14M	+1.7	$7M	+$1M
Totals		$33M		$51M	+$35M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	18	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	66	64	14	3	1	0	1	27	1	3	0	219	242	297	539	78	378	41	2	242	50	-4	+1	—	—	+1	-0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	18	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	66	64	9	2	1	0	1	39	1	3	0	141	167	203	370	62	336	59	2	146	-15	-9	+1	—	—	+1	-0.7
2025	18	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	66	64	9	2	1	0	1	39	1	3	0	141	167	203	370	62	360	59	2	146	-15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	A RAW	Augusta GreenJackets	—	66	64	14	3	1	0	1	27	1	3	0	219	242	297	539	78	378	41	2	242	-15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	66	64	9	2	1	0	1	39	1	3	0	141	167	203	370	62	336	59	2	146	-15	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	18	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	66	64	9	2	1	0	1	39	1	3	0	141	167	203	370	62	336	59	2	146	-15	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	A MLE	ATL	—	417	360	83	15	4	10	42	129	11	45	10	231	329	378	707	147	324	31	10	311	97	-2	+5	+0	+1	+9	1.4
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	A RAW	ATL	—	240	192	57	9	3	8	37	51	9	36	7	297	433	500	933	203	363	21	15	412	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	A+ RAW	ATL	—	177	145	37	9	2	4	28	42	2	9	3	255	383	428	810	172	327	24	16	362	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	19	A MLE	ATL	4%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	1	0	125	222	125	347		304	33	11	306	93	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	19	A MLE	ATL	—	426	368	84	15	4	10	43	132	11	46	10	228	327	372	699	144	322	31	10	311	96	-2	+5	-0	+2	+9	1.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	ATL	45%	454	404	93	17	3	11	39	125	8	16	4	230	310	369	679	139	305	28	9	310	96	-2	+2	-0	+2	+10	1.1
2028	21	MLB MLE	ATL	62%	490	435	104	19	4	14	43	131	9	15	4	239	320	398	718	159	305	27	9	318	102	+1	+1	-0	+2	+11	1.5
2029	22	MLB MLE	ATL	68%	522	460	112	20	4	16	47	136	10	15	3	243	327	409	736	165	305	26	9	324	105	+3	+2	-0	+2	+11	1.9
2030	23	MLB MLE	ATL	71%	555	490	119	22	4	17	50	143	10	15	3	243	325	408	734	165	305	26	9	328	108	+5	+2	-0	+2	+12	2.1
2031	24	MLB MLE	ATL	71%	574	506	123	22	4	18	52	147	11	15	3	243	327	409	736	166	306	26	9	330	110	+7	+2	-0	+2	+12	2.3
2032	25	MLB MLE	ATL	71%	584	515	127	23	4	19	53	149	11	15	3	247	330	417	747	171	306	26	9	332	111	+7	+2	-0	+2	+13	2.4
2033	26	MLB MLE	ATL	71%	587	517	127	23	4	19	54	150	11	15	3	246	330	416	746	170	306	26	9	332	111	+8	+2	-0	+2	+13	2.5
2034	27	MLB MLE	ATL	69%	584	514	126	23	4	19	54	149	11	14	3	245	330	416	746	171	306	26	9	333	111	+8	+2	-0	+2	+13	2.4
2035	28	MLB MLE	ATL	69%	577	507	124	22	4	19	54	148	11	14	3	245	330	416	747	172	306	26	9	332	111	+7	+2	-1	+2	+13	2.3
2036	29	MLB MLE	ATL	67%	566	498	121	22	4	18	53	147	10	13	3	243	328	412	740	169	305	26	9	330	109	+6	+1	-2	+2	+12	2.1
2037	30	MLB MLE	ATL	66%	554	487	117	21	4	17	52	145	10	12	3	240	326	405	731	164	304	26	9	327	108	+5	+1	-2	+2	+12	1.8
2038	31	MLB MLE	ATL	65%	539	473	113	20	4	16	51	143	10	11	3	239	326	400	725	161	302	27	9	324	105	+3	+1	-3	+2	+12	1.5
2039	32	MLB MLE	ATL	65%	521	458	107	19	3	15	49	140	9	10	2	234	320	386	706	153	299	27	9	318	101	+1	+1	-4	+2	+11	1.2
2040	33	MLB MLE	ATL	65%	491	433	99	17	3	14	46	134	9	9	2	229	316	379	694	150	295	27	9	311	97	-2	+1	-4	+2	+11	0.7
2041	34	MLB MLE	ATL	60%	444	392	87	14	3	12	41	124	8	8	2	222	308	365	673	143	289	28	9	303	91	-5	+1	-5	+2	+10	0.2
2042	35	MLB MLE	ATL	56%	389	343	74	12	2	10	36	112	7	7	2	216	303	350	653	134	283	29	9	293	84	-7	+1	-6	+1	+8	-0.3
2027	20	MLB CTX	ATL	45%	203	179	43	8	2	5	18	56	4	7	2	240	323	391	714	151	305	28	9	296	96	-1	+1	-0	+1	+4	0.5
2028	21	MLB CTX	ATL	62%	302	266	63	12	2	8	27	81	6	10	2	237	321	387	708	150	305	27	9	305	102	+1	+1	-0	+1	+7	0.9
2029	22	MLB CTX	ATL	68%	357	315	77	14	3	11	32	93	7	10	2	244	328	413	740	168	305	26	9	310	105	+2	+1	-0	+1	+8	1.3
2030	23	MLB CTX	ATL	71%	395	350	84	15	3	12	35	102	7	11	2	240	321	403	724	163	305	26	9	314	108	+4	+1	-0	+1	+9	1.5
2031	24	MLB CTX	ATL	71%	408	360	88	16	3	13	37	104	8	11	2	244	328	414	742	169	306	25	9	317	110	+5	+1	-0	+1	+9	1.7
2032	25	MLB CTX	ATL	71%	414	365	89	16	3	13	38	106	8	10	2	244	328	411	739	167	306	26	9	318	111	+5	+1	-0	+1	+9	1.7
2033	26	MLB CTX	ATL	71%	416	367	90	16	3	14	38	106	8	10	2	245	329	420	749	174	306	25	9	319	111	+6	+1	-0	+1	+9	1.7
2034	27	MLB CTX	ATL	69%	406	357	88	16	3	13	38	104	8	10	2	246	333	417	750	171	306	26	9	319	111	+5	+1	-0	+1	+9	1.7
2035	28	MLB CTX	ATL	69%	397	350	85	15	3	13	37	102	7	9	2	243	327	414	742	171	306	26	9	318	111	+5	+1	-1	+1	+9	1.6
2036	29	MLB CTX	ATL	67%	379	333	82	15	3	12	36	98	7	9	2	246	332	417	750	171	305	26	9	316	109	+4	+1	-1	+1	+8	1.4
2037	30	MLB CTX	ATL	66%	365	321	77	14	2	11	34	95	7	8	2	240	326	399	725	159	304	26	9	314	108	+3	+1	-2	+1	+8	1.2
2038	31	MLB CTX	ATL	65%	351	309	73	13	2	11	33	93	6	7	2	236	322	398	720	162	302	26	9	310	105	+2	+1	-2	+1	+8	1.0
2039	32	MLB CTX	ATL	65%	338	297	69	12	2	10	32	91	6	7	2	232	319	387	707	155	299	27	9	305	101	+1	+1	-2	+1	+7	0.7
2040	33	MLB CTX	ATL	65%	317	278	64	11	2	9	30	87	6	6	1	230	318	381	700	151	295	27	9	298	97	-1	+1	-3	+1	+7	0.5
2041	34	MLB CTX	ATL	60%	267	235	53	9	2	7	25	75	5	5	1	226	313	370	683	145	289	28	9	290	91	-3	+1	-3	+1	+6	0.1
2042	35	MLB CTX	ATL	56%	216	190	40	6	1	5	20	62	4	4	1	211	299	332	631	121	283	29	9	280	84	-4	+0	-3	+1	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	5531	4872	1165	208	39	167	510	1455	104	134	29	239	324	401	725	162	304	26	9	310	104	+34	+15	-18	+20	+120	17.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	573	137	24	5	20	60	171	12	16	3	239	324	403	727	164	304	26	9	310	104	+4	+2	-2	+2	+14	2.1
Career	—	MLE		—	8506	7504	1783	318	59	254	776	2265	156	208	46	238	322	397	719	160	304	27	9	321	104	+46	+23	-28	+30	+183	25.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	573	136	24	5	19	59	173	12	16	4	237	321	396	717	159	305	27	9	321	104	+4	+2	-2	+2	+14	2.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Asdrúbal Cabreralast yr '21 career totals — 15 seasons, 7,401 PA	11.1	7,401	195	91	266	329	423	+58	+11	38.2	32.2
/162	664	17	8	+5.2	+1.0	3.4	pk7: 26
#2Todd Frazierlast yr '20 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,909 PA	7.4	4,909	218	73	242	319	448	+18	+35	27.6	26.2
/162	664	29	10	+2.4	+4.7	3.7	pk7: 25
#3Stephen Drewlast yr '17 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,917 PA	7.4	4,917	123	41	252	318	423	+48	+35	26.3	25.1
/162	664	17	6	+6.5	+4.7	3.5	pk7: 24
#4Ian Desmondlast yr '19 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,944 PA	9.0	5,944	181	181	263	315	427	+30	-4	25.8	25.0
/162	664	20	20	+3.3	-0.4	2.9	pk7: 24
#5Jason Kipnislast yr '20 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,984 PA	7.5	4,984	126	136	260	333	416	+18	-11	22.6	21.9
/162	664	17	18	+2.4	-1.4	3.0	pk7: 21
#6Kelly Johnsonlast yr '16 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,139 PA	7.7	5,139	155	87	251	330	422	+8	-3	22.3	21.3
/162	664	20	11	+1.0	-0.4	2.9	pk7: 20
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	8.3	5,536	169	134	240	321	404	+56	+5	25.9	20.6
/162	664	20	16	+6.7	+0.6	3.1	pk7: 15

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Tate Southisene (OGILVIE)	19	38→46	43→51	58→59	44	227/309/366	139	304	4	10	28%	9%	93	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ravel Santana 2011 · A	19	43	46→50	51→55	47	216/296/344	128	273	15	16	26%	8%	83	+0.1	220/281/361	141	294	15	13	29%	7%	80	-0.1	205/253/387	182	264	22	15	31%	6%	75	-0.2
✕Addison Russell 2014 · A	20	47→53	49→55	58→50	45	233/304/395	162	313	15	16	29%	8%	97	+1.1	240/303/397	157	305	17	9	26%	7%	97	+1.1	239/310/406	168	295	19	5	25%	8%	97	+0.9
●Junior Caminero 2023 · A	20	46→54	50→65	53→45	44	239/293/388	149	284	20	10	24%	6%	91	+0.7	256/302/442	186	299	26	6	23%	6%	107	+1.9	258/322/495	237	270	35	4	20%	8%	121	+2.8
●CJ Abrams 2021 · A	20	50→52	42→60	54→60	45	242/287/364	122	283	8	14	18%	5%	82	+0.0	248/294/362	114	306	9	25	21%	5%	85	+0.2	254/324/453	199	297	22	30	22%	7%	115	+2.5
✕Agustín Ramírez 2023 · A	21	43→46	45→55	51→55	44	214/275/343	129	286	12	11	29%	7%	74	-0.5	230/293/385	155	277	18	13	23%	8%	91	+0.6	230/293/400	170	266	20	16	22%	7%	92	+0.7
✕Tyrone Taylor 2013 · A	19	49→52	43→60	51→55	43	235/284/358	123	294	8	12	23%	6%	80	-0.1	237/280/336	99	277	6	12	16%	5%	74	-0.6	240/298/452	211	277	25	12	23%	6%	107	+1.0
✕Harry Ford 2022 · A	19	45→48	46→45	52→55	43	221/287/358	137	309	13	9	31%	8%	82	+0.0	212/317/339	127	293	12	16	29%	11%	90	+0.6	205/315/325	120	278	12	21	28%	12%	83	+0.1
✕Luke Adams 2023 · A	19	50→36	41→50	55	45	231/306/331	100	330	7	18	30%	8%	83	+0.1	193/323/316	123	270	12	20	30%	11%	89	+0.5	189/341/340	151	235	17	19	25%	12%	100	+0.7
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→44	41→45	56→55	44	216/286/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	206/315/327	121	297	9	23	30%	12%	86	+0.3	203/309/335	132	285	10	26	29%	12%	83	+0.1
✕Daniel Robertson 2013 · A	19	45→54	46→45	52→40	49	225/297/363	139	266	12	6	20%	8%	87	+0.4	237/302/348	111	297	9	3	22%	7%	85	+0.2	232/336/343	111	304	11	4	25%	11%	96	+0.6
●Jackson Chourio 2023 · AA	19	42→52	50→60	51→55	37	215/262/367	152	302	17	12	34%	6%	75	-0.5	250/295/412	162	311	18	23	25%	6%	97	+1.1	274/325/460	186	323	22	21	22%	7%	115	+2.3
✕Ezequiel Duran 2018 · A	19	48→56	46→55	54→50	37	233/275/371	139	333	12	10	33%	5%	80	-0.2	187/231/278	91	295	8	8	37%	4%	42	-2.9	249/290/398	149	316	16	12	26%	5%	89	+0.4
●Julio Rodríguez 2019 · A	18	47→56	43→60	59→55	46	228/289/352	124	291	8	9	24%	7%	81	-0.1	253/308/401	148	329	14	9	26%	6%	99	+1.3	287/348/497	210	352	27	29	25%	7%	132	+3.3
✕Yu Chang 2015 · A	19	48→44	45→50	53→45	44	237/291/367	130	295	12	8	24%	6%	85	+0.2	198/251/325	127	276	12	7	32%	6%	61	-1.5	212/267/370	158	271	20	6	29%	6%	76	-0.2
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2011 · A	18	44	44→45	53→50	41	217/277/335	118	288	11	9	28%	6%	73	-0.6	219/286/320	101	286	6	11	24%	6%	73	-0.6	226/280/337	111	291	6	11	23%	4%	73	-0.3
●Trevor Story 2013 · A	20	41→51	46→65	53→55	42	207/269/342	135	284	12	10	31%	7%	72	-0.7	194/255/330	136	303	13	15	38%	7%	64	-1.3	271/338/502	231	331	28	25	26%	8%	132	+3.2
●Miguel Vargas 2019 · A	19	50→52	39→55	52→50	45	238/294/331	93	306	5	8	23%	7%	78	-0.3	246/298/362	116	303	10	8	21%	6%	86	+0.3	224/326/406	183	249	21	12	19%	12%	105	+1.6
✕Hao-Yu Lee 2023 · A	20	48→44	45→50	48→55	46	232/305/356	123	310	12	12	28%	8%	88	+0.5	236/300/363	127	303	12	16	25%	7%	88	+0.4	241/304/389	148	298	14	15	23%	7%	93	+0.6
●Bo Bichette 2017 · A	19	50→60	47→60	53→55	40	246/288/387	141	326	13	8	28%	6%	88	+0.5	264/309/413	149	329	13	17	23%	6%	103	+1.5	296/337/473	177	345	22	13	20%	5%	126	+3.5
●Jordan Walker 2022 · A	20	51→56	50→55	54→50	40	248/302/408	160	345	16	13	32%	6%	99	+1.3	254/314/410	156	328	16	13	26%	7%	104	+1.6	249/310/402	154	314	16	11	25%	7%	100	+1.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps