Coy James — OGILVIE

Coy JamesLF Fredericksburg Nationals

Age 19 R/R 6'0" / 185 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION514 act + 8 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†75

AVG/OBP/SLG.143 / .250 / .143

PA8

HR0

K%25

BB%12

BABIP251

ISO158

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$10M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 44 / POW 51

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT44

scouting grade only

POWER51

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED54

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2034	Arb-1	$2M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.2M
2035	Arb-2	$3M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-3	$3M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$5M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
YTD	19	A MLE	WSH	—	514	456	78	11	3	16	41	171	10	35	4	171	254	314	568	143	225	33	8	252	57	-26	+5	+0	-6	+11	-1.6
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	A RAW	WSH	—	514	432	95	15	4	19	65	120	10	35	4	220	335	405	740	185	253	23	13	330	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	19	A MLE	WSH	0%	8	7	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	143	250	143	393		253	25	12	279	75	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	19	A MLE	WSH	—	522	463	79	11	3	16	42	173	10	35	4	171	254	311	565	140	224	33	8	252	57	-27	+5	-0	-6	+11	-1.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	WSH	48%	555	496	102	17	3	18	45	157	9	15	2	206	284	361	645	155	260	28	8	291	83	-11	+2	-1	-6	+12	-0.4
2028	21	MLB MLE	WSH	68%	597	533	113	19	3	20	49	164	10	15	2	212	291	371	662	159	264	27	8	299	88	-8	+2	-1	-6	+13	-0.1
2029	22	MLB MLE	WSH	76%	627	559	122	21	4	22	53	168	10	15	2	218	297	388	686	170	266	27	8	304	92	-6	+2	-1	-7	+14	0.2
2030	23	MLB MLE	WSH	80%	638	569	125	21	4	23	54	168	10	15	2	220	299	392	690	172	267	26	8	308	95	-4	+2	-1	-7	+14	0.4
2031	24	MLB MLE	WSH	79%	634	565	125	21	4	23	54	166	10	14	2	221	300	395	695	173	268	26	9	310	96	-3	+2	-1	-7	+14	0.5
2032	25	MLB MLE	WSH	79%	639	568	127	21	4	24	55	167	11	14	2	224	304	401	706	178	268	26	9	312	97	-2	+2	-1	-7	+14	0.6
2033	26	MLB MLE	WSH	79%	642	571	128	22	4	24	55	168	11	14	2	224	305	403	707	179	268	26	9	312	98	-2	+2	-1	-7	+14	0.6
2034	27	MLB MLE	WSH	78%	639	567	126	21	4	24	56	168	11	14	2	222	304	400	705	178	268	26	9	313	98	-2	+2	-1	-7	+14	0.6
2035	28	MLB MLE	WSH	77%	633	561	124	21	3	24	56	167	11	13	2	221	304	398	702	176	267	26	9	312	97	-2	+2	-2	-7	+14	0.5
2036	29	MLB MLE	WSH	75%	621	551	120	20	3	23	55	165	10	12	2	218	300	390	691	172	267	27	9	310	96	-3	+2	-3	-7	+13	0.3
2037	30	MLB MLE	WSH	74%	610	541	118	20	3	22	54	164	10	12	2	218	301	388	689	170	266	27	9	307	94	-4	+2	-3	-7	+13	0.1
2038	31	MLB MLE	WSH	79%	595	527	113	19	3	21	53	161	10	11	2	214	298	381	680	167	264	27	9	304	92	-6	+1	-4	-6	+13	-0.2
2039	32	MLB MLE	WSH	83%	577	512	109	18	3	20	51	159	9	10	1	213	295	377	672	164	261	28	9	298	88	-8	+2	-5	-6	+13	-0.5
2040	33	MLB MLE	WSH	86%	547	485	100	16	3	18	48	153	9	9	1	206	290	363	653	157	257	28	9	292	84	-11	+1	-5	-6	+12	-0.9
2041	34	MLB MLE	WSH	82%	499	444	89	14	2	16	44	143	8	8	1	200	284	349	633	149	251	29	9	283	78	-13	+1	-6	-5	+11	-1.3
2027	20	MLB CTX	WSH	48%	268	240	49	8	1	9	22	76	4	7	1	204	282	358	640	154	259	28	8	277	83	-5	+1	-1	-3	+6	-0.2
2028	21	MLB CTX	WSH	68%	407	363	77	13	2	14	34	112	7	10	1	212	292	375	667	163	262	28	8	285	88	-6	+2	-1	-4	+9	-0.0
2029	22	MLB CTX	WSH	76%	478	427	92	16	2	17	40	128	8	11	2	215	295	382	676	166	264	27	8	291	92	-4	+1	-1	-5	+10	0.1
2030	23	MLB CTX	WSH	80%	508	452	98	17	2	18	43	134	8	12	2	217	296	383	679	166	266	26	8	294	95	-3	+2	-1	-5	+11	0.3
2031	24	MLB CTX	WSH	79%	504	448	99	17	2	19	43	132	8	11	2	221	301	395	696	174	266	26	9	297	96	-2	+1	-1	-5	+11	0.4
2032	25	MLB CTX	WSH	79%	507	450	100	17	2	19	44	133	8	11	2	222	303	396	698	173	266	26	9	298	97	-2	+1	-1	-5	+11	0.4
2033	26	MLB CTX	WSH	79%	509	452	100	17	2	19	44	133	8	11	2	221	302	394	695	173	266	26	9	299	98	-1	+1	-1	-5	+11	0.4
2034	27	MLB CTX	WSH	78%	497	443	98	17	2	19	43	130	8	11	1	221	302	397	699	176	266	26	9	299	98	-1	+2	-1	-5	+11	0.5
2035	28	MLB CTX	WSH	77%	487	433	95	16	2	18	43	128	8	10	1	219	302	390	692	171	266	26	9	298	97	-2	+2	-2	-5	+11	0.4
2036	29	MLB CTX	WSH	75%	464	412	90	15	2	17	41	123	8	9	1	218	302	388	690	170	265	27	9	296	96	-2	+1	-2	-5	+10	0.2
2037	30	MLB CTX	WSH	74%	449	399	87	15	2	16	40	120	7	9	1	218	300	386	686	168	264	27	9	294	94	-3	+1	-3	-5	+10	0.1
2038	31	MLB CTX	WSH	79%	472	419	90	15	2	17	42	128	8	9	1	215	299	382	680	167	262	27	9	290	92	-5	+1	-3	-5	+10	-0.1
2039	32	MLB CTX	WSH	83%	481	427	90	15	2	17	43	132	8	8	1	211	295	375	670	164	259	27	9	285	88	-7	+1	-4	-5	+10	-0.4
2040	33	MLB CTX	WSH	86%	471	419	87	14	2	16	42	132	7	8	1	208	291	365	656	158	255	28	9	279	84	-9	+1	-5	-5	+10	-0.8
2041	34	MLB CTX	WSH	82%	407	362	72	11	2	13	36	117	6	6	1	199	282	348	630	149	250	29	9	271	78	-11	+1	-5	-4	+9	-1.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	6909	6146	1324	223	29	248	600	1858	111	143	20	215	297	382	679	167	264	27	9	291	92	-64	+21	-31	-74	+150	0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	578	125	21	3	23	56	175	10	13	2	216	296	382	678	166	266	27	9	291	92	-6	+2	-3	-7	+14	0.0
Career	—	MLE		—	9061	8056	1742	291	50	322	783	2440	149	191	27	216	298	385	682	168	266	27	9	304	92	-86	+27	-39	-97	+196	0.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	578	125	21	4	23	56	175	11	14	2	216	298	386	683	170	266	27	9	304	92	-6	+2	-3	-7	+14	0.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	5.9	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
/162	664	24	9	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 12 projected seasons	10.9	7,230	257	151	218	296	387	+68	+0	23.0	18.1
/162	664	24	14	+6.2	+0.0	2.1	pk7: 13
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Rougned Odorlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,424 PA	6.7	4,424	178	70	230	288	422	+16	+32	15.2	15.0
/162	664	27	11	+2.4	+4.9	2.3	pk7: 15
#4Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
/162	664	23	1	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
#5Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	4.3	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13
#6Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Coy James (OGILVIE)	19	20→44	35→51	60→54	45	196/272/343	148	253	10	15	30%	8%	75	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ravel Santana 2011 · A	19	43	46→50	51→55	47	216/296/344	128	273	15	16	26%	8%	83	+0.1	220/281/361	141	294	15	13	29%	7%	80	-0.1	205/253/387	182	264	22	15	31%	6%	75	-0.2
✕Harry Ford 2022 · A	19	45→48	46→45	52→55	43	221/287/358	137	309	13	9	31%	8%	82	+0.0	212/317/339	127	293	12	16	29%	11%	90	+0.6	205/315/325	120	278	12	21	28%	12%	83	+0.1
✕Addison Russell 2014 · A	20	47→53	49→55	58→50	45	233/304/395	162	313	15	16	29%	8%	97	+1.1	240/303/397	157	305	17	9	26%	7%	97	+1.1	239/310/406	168	295	19	5	25%	8%	97	+0.9
✕Daniel Robertson 2013 · A	19	45→54	46→45	52→40	49	225/297/363	139	266	12	6	20%	8%	87	+0.4	237/302/348	111	297	9	3	22%	7%	85	+0.2	232/336/343	111	304	11	4	25%	11%	96	+0.6
✕Hao-Yu Lee 2023 · A	20	48→44	45→50	48→55	46	232/305/356	123	310	12	12	28%	8%	88	+0.5	236/300/363	127	303	12	16	25%	7%	88	+0.4	241/304/389	148	298	14	15	23%	7%	93	+0.6
✕Kevin Padlo 2015 · A	19	45→40	49→50	53→50	47	222/300/380	158	294	15	8	28%	9%	92	+0.7	187/271/315	128	269	12	8	33%	10%	67	-1.1	190/261/345	156	258	19	12	33%	8%	68	-0.7
●Moisés Ballesteros 2023 · A	19	42→52	47→50	45→40	47	215/281/345	130	270	15	5	26%	8%	77	-0.3	241/299/370	129	293	14	4	22%	7%	89	+0.5	255/314/382	127	304	14	3	20%	7%	96	+0.9
✕Yu Chang 2015 · A	19	48→44	45→50	53→45	44	237/291/367	130	295	12	8	24%	6%	85	+0.2	198/251/325	127	276	12	7	32%	6%	61	-1.5	212/267/370	158	271	20	6	29%	6%	76	-0.2
✕Heriberto Hernández 2019 · A	19	43→48	54→60	46→50	55	223/325/414	191	274	20	7	26%	12%	109	+2.0	222/302/389	167	323	18	6	34%	9%	95	+1.0	219/301/418	199	277	26	10	30%	9%	100	+1.0
✕James Triantos 2022 · A	19	45→55	49→45	45→60	40	232/273/378	146	289	16	8	26%	5%	81	-0.1	239/285/335	96	292	8	18	20%	5%	75	-0.5	258/299/357	99	298	7	36	16%	4%	83	+0.1
●Jo Adell 2019 · AA	20	45→46	51→65	54→50	37	230/277/399	169	314	18	12	32%	5%	88	+0.4	221/270/375	154	317	17	10	34%	6%	80	-0.2	226/289/423	196	264	28	9	26%	6%	97	+1.0
✕Marco Luciano 2021 · A	19	46→47	50	46→45	45	227/301/381	153	314	17	10	32%	8%	93	+0.8	206/269/350	144	298	17	5	35%	7%	74	-0.5	203/289/345	142	291	18	7	34%	10%	78	-0.2
●Andy Pages 2021 · A	20	43→53	46→55	46→50	46	214/297/344	130	275	14	9	26%	8%	84	+0.1	213/299/399	186	281	23	6	32%	9%	97	+1.1	266/322/445	180	311	23	10	22%	6%	115	+2.3
✕Francisco Murillo 2007 · A	20	42	47→50	49→50	43	213/279/346	134	292	15	8	32%	8%	76	-0.4	199/260/320	121	303	12	6	36%	7%	63	-1.3	150/210/278	128	229	14	3	40%	6%	34	-1.2
✕Coby Mayo 2022 · A	20	48→45	49→60	55→45	47	241/312/393	152	305	17	13	26%	8%	99	+1.3	222/293/388	166	300	19	6	31%	8%	92	+0.7	216/298/397	181	285	21	4	30%	9%	93	+0.7
●Junior Caminero 2023 · A	20	46→54	50→65	53→45	44	239/293/388	149	284	20	10	24%	6%	91	+0.7	256/302/442	186	299	26	6	23%	6%	107	+1.9	258/322/495	237	270	35	4	20%	8%	121	+2.8
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	46→55	42→45	49→50	46	224/285/337	113	288	9	9	25%	8%	76	-0.4	235/301/339	104	297	6	12	21%	8%	82	+0.0	256/318/360	105	310	9	16	19%	7%	92	+0.5
✕Jorge Bishop 2010 · A	19	47	44→45	53→55	44	235/276/350	115	275	13	17	20%	5%	76	-0.4	201/245/299	98	246	9	14	22%	5%	52	-2.2	187/221/300	113	230	9	16	23%	3%	40	-1.0
✕Eric Campbell 2006 · A	20	43→49	55	50	39	228/278/420	192	294	23	12	31%	6%	94	+0.9	226/272/395	169	257	22	9	22%	5%	86	+0.3	227/289/374	147	255	18	3	18%	7%	85	+0.2
✕Ezequiel Duran 2018 · A	19	48→56	46→55	54→50	37	233/275/371	139	333	12	10	33%	5%	80	-0.2	187/231/278	91	295	8	8	37%	4%	42	-2.9	249/290/398	149	316	16	12	26%	5%	89	+0.4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps