Coy James — OGILVIE

Coy JamesSS Fredericksburg Nationals

Age 19 R/R 6'0" / 185 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION342 act + 228 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†68

AVG/OBP/SLG.196 / .274 / .328

PA228

HR6

SB10

K%32

BB%8

BABIP268

ISO132

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 44 / POW 51

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT44

scouting grade only

POWER51

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED54

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.9	$10M	+$10M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.9	$10M	+$9M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.0	$9M	+$9M
2034	Arb-1	$4M	+2.0	$9M	+$7M
2035	Arb-2	$6M	+1.8	$7M	+$5M
2036	Arb-3	$8M	+1.6	$6M	+$3M
Totals		$21M		$51M	+$43M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	A	WSH	—	342	304	50	8	1	9	29	127	8	24	2	164	255	286	541	122	243	37	8	243	44	-22	+4	+0	+4	+10	-0.4
YTD	19	A	WSH	—	342	287	63	11	2	11	46	89	8	24	2	220	343	387	730	167	277	26	13	332	112	+5	+4	+0	+4	+10	2.3
ROS	19	A	WSH	0%	228	204	40	7	1	6	18	72	4	10	1	196	274	328	603	132	267	32	8	274	68	-8	+2	-1	+2	+6	0.2
ROS	19	MLB	WSH	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		267	—	—	261	58	—	—	-0	+0	—	—
FULL	19	A	WSH	—	342	305	50	8	1	9	29	127	8	24	2	164	255	285	540	121	241	37	8	243	44	-22	+4	+0	+4	+10	-0.4
TOT	19	A	WSH	—	570	508	90	15	2	15	47	199	12	34	3	177	263	303	566	126	253	35	8	255	54	-30	+6	-1	+6	+16	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	WSH	43%	570	509	105	18	3	16	46	172	10	15	2	206	285	348	633	141	272	30	8	286	77	-15	+2	-1	+6	+16	0.8
2028	21	MLB	WSH	61%	597	533	113	20	3	18	49	174	10	14	2	212	291	362	653	150	275	29	8	293	83	-12	+2	-1	+6	+17	1.2
2029	22	MLB	WSH	68%	615	549	118	21	3	19	51	176	10	14	2	215	293	368	661	153	277	29	8	298	87	-9	+2	-2	+7	+17	1.5
2030	23	MLB	WSH	71%	638	568	125	22	3	21	54	180	11	14	2	220	300	380	680	160	278	28	8	302	89	-8	+2	-2	+7	+18	1.8
2031	24	MLB	WSH	71%	637	567	125	22	3	21	54	179	11	14	2	220	301	381	682	160	279	28	8	304	90	-7	+2	-2	+7	+18	1.9
2032	25	MLB	WSH	71%	639	569	125	22	3	21	54	179	11	14	2	220	300	380	679	160	279	28	8	305	91	-6	+2	-2	+7	+18	1.9
2033	26	MLB	WSH	71%	642	571	125	22	3	21	55	180	11	14	2	219	300	378	678	159	278	28	9	305	92	-6	+2	-2	+7	+18	2.0
2034	27	MLB	WSH	69%	639	568	125	22	3	21	55	180	11	14	2	220	301	380	682	160	278	28	9	305	92	-6	+2	-2	+7	+18	2.0
2035	28	MLB	WSH	69%	633	562	123	21	3	21	55	179	11	13	2	219	301	379	680	160	278	28	9	304	91	-6	+2	-2	+7	+18	1.8
2036	29	MLB	WSH	67%	621	551	120	21	3	20	55	177	10	12	2	218	300	376	676	158	277	29	9	303	90	-7	+2	-3	+7	+18	1.6
2037	30	MLB	WSH	66%	610	541	116	20	3	19	54	175	10	12	2	214	298	368	665	153	276	29	9	300	88	-8	+2	-4	+7	+17	1.4
2038	31	MLB	WSH	71%	595	528	112	19	3	18	52	173	10	11	1	212	295	362	657	150	274	29	9	296	85	-10	+2	-4	+6	+17	1.1
2039	32	MLB	WSH	74%	577	512	107	18	3	17	51	170	9	10	1	209	292	355	647	146	271	29	9	291	81	-12	+2	-5	+6	+16	0.7
2027	20	MLB	WSH	43%	246	220	45	8	1	7	20	74	4	6	1	205	283	345	628	141	272	30	8	273	67	-9	+1	-1	+3	+7	0.1
2028	21	MLB	WSH	61%	363	324	69	12	2	11	30	106	6	9	1	213	292	364	656	151	275	29	8	281	73	-11	+1	-1	+4	+10	0.4
2029	22	MLB	WSH	68%	419	374	80	14	2	13	35	120	7	10	1	214	293	366	660	152	277	29	8	286	77	-11	+2	-1	+4	+12	0.6
2030	23	MLB	WSH	71%	454	405	88	15	2	15	38	128	8	10	1	217	297	375	672	158	278	28	8	289	80	-10	+2	-1	+5	+13	0.8
2031	24	MLB	WSH	71%	452	403	88	15	2	15	38	127	8	10	1	218	298	377	676	159	279	28	8	291	81	-10	+2	-1	+5	+13	0.9
2032	25	MLB	WSH	71%	453	403	88	15	2	15	39	127	8	10	1	218	300	377	677	159	279	28	9	292	82	-9	+2	-1	+5	+13	0.9
2033	26	MLB	WSH	71%	455	405	88	15	2	15	39	128	8	10	1	217	299	375	674	158	278	28	9	293	82	-9	+2	-1	+5	+13	0.9
2034	27	MLB	WSH	69%	444	395	87	15	2	15	38	125	8	9	1	220	302	382	684	162	278	28	9	293	82	-9	+1	-1	+5	+13	0.9
2035	28	MLB	WSH	69%	435	387	84	15	2	14	38	123	7	9	1	217	299	375	673	158	278	28	9	292	82	-9	+1	-2	+5	+12	0.8
2036	29	MLB	WSH	67%	415	368	80	14	2	13	37	118	7	8	1	217	301	372	673	155	277	28	9	290	80	-9	+1	-2	+4	+12	0.6
2037	30	MLB	WSH	66%	401	356	77	13	2	13	35	115	7	8	1	216	299	374	673	157	276	29	9	288	78	-10	+1	-2	+4	+11	0.5
2038	31	MLB	WSH	71%	422	375	80	14	2	13	37	122	7	8	1	213	296	365	661	152	274	29	9	284	76	-12	+1	-3	+5	+12	0.3
2039	32	MLB	WSH	74%	429	381	79	13	2	13	38	126	7	8	1	207	291	354	645	147	271	29	9	279	72	-14	+1	-4	+5	+12	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	5388	4797	1033	178	25	172	462	1539	92	115	13	215	297	370	667	155	277	29	9	288	78	-132	+18	-21	+58	+153	7.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	124	21	3	21	56	186	11	14	2	214	296	370	666	155	275	29	9	288	78	-16	+2	-2	+7	+18	0.9
Career	—			—	8241	7332	1579	275	40	259	703	2366	139	181	25	215	296	370	666	154	278	29	9	299	87	-122	+26	-31	+88	+233	19.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	578	124	22	3	20	55	187	11	14	2	215	295	367	661	152	278	29	8	299	87	-10	+2	-2	+7	+18	1.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#2Rougned Odorlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,424 PA	10	4,424	178	70	230	288	422	+16	+32	15.2	15.0
	/162	664	27	11	230	288	422	+2.4	+4.9	2.3	pk7: 15
#3Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	9	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
	/162	664	23	1	235	308	414	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
#4Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	7	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
	/162	664	21	6	245	302	422	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	10	5,709	181	121	218	294	374	+61	+0	15.6	12.7
	/162	664	21	14	218	294	374	+7.1	+0.0	1.8	pk7: 10
#5Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#6Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Coy James (OGILVIE)	19	20→44	35→51	60→54	45	177/263/303	126	253	15	34	35%	8%	54	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ravel Santana 2011 · A	19	43	46→50	51→55	47	216/296/344	128	273	15	16	26%	8%	81	+0.4	220/281/361	141	294	15	13	29%	7%	78	+0.2	205/253/387	182	264	22	15	31%	6%	72	-0.1
✕Harry Ford 2022 · A	19	45→47	47→45	52→55	43	223/287/366	143	309	14	9	32%	8%	82	+0.5	211/317/346	135	289	14	16	29%	11%	91	+1.1	204/318/335	131	272	14	21	28%	12%	85	+0.6
✕Max Muncy 2023 · A	20	38→45	48→55	50	41	195/268/337	143	297	17	12	38%	8%	67	-0.5	211/276/338	127	323	13	9	36%	7%	70	-0.3	226/295/388	162	313	20	6	32%	6%	90	+0.5
●Daniel Robertson 2013 · A	19	45→54	46→45	52→40	49	225/297/363	139	266	12	6	20%	8%	85	+0.7	232/296/339	107	293	9	3	23%	7%	79	+0.3	231/336/345	114	301	11	4	25%	11%	96	+0.8
✕Yu Chang 2015 · A	19	48→46	45→50	53→45	44	237/291/367	130	295	12	8	24%	6%	83	+0.6	199/251/326	127	280	13	7	32%	5%	56	-1.3	215/275/364	149	282	17	4	29%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Kevin Padlo 2015 · A	19	45→40	49→55	53→50	47	222/300/380	158	294	15	8	28%	9%	91	+1.1	187/271/315	128	267	12	8	32%	10%	63	-0.9	195/265/371	176	262	22	12	34%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	46→55	42→45	49→50	46	224/285/337	113	288	9	9	25%	8%	72	-0.2	235/300/339	104	298	6	12	22%	8%	80	+0.4	254/315/362	108	309	9	16	20%	7%	88	+0.7
✕Jeferson Quero 2023 · A	20	44→42	44→50	49→45	41	219/269/335	116	284	12	9	27%	6%	66	-0.6	226/283/364	138	283	16	7	25%	7%	79	+0.3	225/289/370	145	269	18	4	23%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Orelvis Martinez 2021 · A	19	42→36	47→60	53→40	42	213/270/351	139	273	14	6	27%	6%	71	-0.3	202/270/401	199	257	27	4	33%	7%	85	+0.7	187/258/394	206	226	30	3	33%	7%	76	+0.1
●Dilson Herrera 2014 · A	20	44→54	47→50	49→50	40	220/272/361	141	293	15	11	30%	6%	74	-0.1	251/300/391	140	316	15	13	24%	6%	94	+1.3	258/308/400	143	315	15	13	23%	6%	96	+1.3
✕Jeral Perez 2023 · A	18	42→41	47→50	49→45	47	214/282/352	138	263	14	7	24%	8%	76	+0.1	208/286/358	150	281	18	7	31%	9%	80	+0.4	201/277/358	157	269	20	6	32%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Agustín Ramírez 2023 · A	21	43→45	45→55	51→55	44	215/274/342	127	287	12	11	29%	7%	70	-0.3	231/293/393	162	278	19	13	24%	7%	92	+1.2	232/295/411	179	268	22	16	22%	7%	94	+1.3
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→46	41→45	56→55	43	214/285/313	99	288	7	14	27%	7%	68	-0.5	203/314/320	117	299	9	23	31%	12%	83	+0.6	201/310/335	134	289	10	26	30%	12%	81	+0.3
✕Addison Russell 2014 · A	20	47→52	48→55	58→50	45	232/302/389	157	310	14	16	28%	8%	94	+1.3	239/303/395	156	305	17	9	26%	7%	96	+1.5	237/308/399	162	294	18	5	25%	8%	94	+1.1
●Alonzo Harris 2009 · A	20	44→52	45→55	49→60	40	221/275/344	123	294	13	11	29%	6%	71	-0.3	209/247/311	102	282	10	12	29%	4%	50	-1.8	235/290/392	157	281	18	35	23%	7%	87	+0.7
✕Ezequiel Duran 2018 · A	19	48→55	46→55	54→50	37	233/275/371	139	333	12	10	33%	5%	77	+0.1	187/231/278	91	295	8	8	37%	4%	34	-2.8	251/292/407	156	316	18	12	26%	5%	92	+0.9
●Gabriel Gonzalez 2023 · A	19	46→56	45→50	49→45	43	227/292/347	120	278	12	9	23%	5%	80	+0.4	244/297/370	126	294	14	7	21%	5%	88	+0.9	253/307/382	129	303	14	6	21%	5%	91	+0.9
✕Noelvi Marte 2022 · A	20	45→53	51→50	51→55	44	228/290/389	161	299	19	14	30%	7%	89	+1.0	230/292/361	131	296	15	18	26%	7%	82	+0.5	242/290/380	137	303	15	21	25%	5%	84	+0.4
✕Hao-Yu Lee 2023 · A	20	48→47	45→55	48→55	46	233/305/357	125	310	12	12	27%	8%	87	+0.8	242/305/384	142	306	15	16	25%	7%	94	+1.3	248/306/416	169	299	18	16	23%	6%	100	+1.2
●Trevor Story 2012 · A	19	42→49	43→60	54→55	44	208/271/317	109	280	11	13	29%	7%	63	-0.9	191/252/319	128	296	13	13	38%	7%	56	-1.3	247/315/451	204	301	24	25	26%	8%	113	+2.3