Coy James

LF Fredericksburg Nationals

Age 20 R/R 6'0" / 185 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

OGV OFP35OGV rank#699ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	19	AWSH	514	.220/.335/.405	19	35	63	—	.178/.270/.318
2027PROJMLE	20	MLBWSH	624	.224/.301/.377	18	15	91	0.6
2028PROJ43% MLB	21	MLBWSH	210	.228/.306/.386	7	5	96	0.1
2029PROJ61% MLB	22	MLBWSH	327	.232/.310/.394	11	8	99	0.4

Next 3 projected WAR 1.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Arb-1$3M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

Speed90

ISO75

Z-Con%59

K%54

BB%54

wRC+47

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.3 / P90 5.2, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 87%

CompsLuke Adams (age 20) · Hao-Yu Lee (age 20) · Agustín Ramírez (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 210 proj PA

wRC+†91

AVG/OBP/SLG.223 / .299 / .374

PA210

HR6

SB5

K%25

BB%8

ISO153

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$24M ctrl surplus

Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2034	Arb-1	$3M	+0.7	$2M	+$0.3M
2035	Arb-2	$4M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-3	$4M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$9M	+$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	19	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	514	432	95	15	4	19	65	120	10	35	4	220	335	405	740	185	253	23	13	330	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	19	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	514	450	80	12	3	15	47	163	10	35	4	178	270	318	588	140	225	32	9	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	514	450	80	12	3	15	47	163	10	35	4	178	270	318	588	140	233	32	9	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A RAW	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	514	432	95	15	4	19	65	120	10	35	4	220	335	405	740	185	253	23	13	330	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	514	452	80	12	3	15	47	163	10	35	4	177	270	316	587	139	225	32	9	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	19	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	514	452	80	12	3	15	47	163	10	35	4	177	270	316	587	139	225	32	9	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	WSH	0%	624	558	125	22	4	18	53	156	8	15	3	224	301	377	679	153	275	25	8	303	91	-6	+2	-2	-7	+14	0.6
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	WSH	43%	486	434	99	18	3	15	42	119	7	12	2	229	307	389	695	160	277	24	9	310	96	-2	+2	-2	-5	+11	0.3
2029	22	MLB MLE	WSH	61%	537	477	111	20	3	17	47	129	8	13	2	232	311	396	707	164	278	24	9	315	99	-1	+2	-1	-6	+12	0.6
2030	23	MLB MLE	WSH	68%	560	498	117	21	3	19	49	133	8	13	2	235	313	402	715	167	280	24	9	318	101	+1	+2	-1	-6	+12	0.8
2031	24	MLB MLE	WSH	70%	578	514	121	22	3	19	51	136	8	13	2	237	315	406	721	169	281	24	9	320	103	+2	+2	-0	-6	+13	1.0
2032	25	MLB MLE	WSH	70%	590	525	124	22	3	20	52	138	8	13	2	237	316	407	723	170	282	23	9	321	103	+2	+2	+0	-6	+13	1.1
2033	26	MLB MLE	WSH	71%	599	533	126	23	3	20	53	140	8	13	2	237	316	407	722	169	281	23	9	321	103	+2	+2	+0	-6	+13	1.1
2034	27	MLB MLE	WSH	69%	596	530	124	22	3	20	53	140	8	12	2	236	315	404	719	168	281	23	9	320	102	+2	+2	+0	-6	+13	1.0
2035	28	MLB MLE	WSH	69%	585	520	122	22	3	19	52	139	8	11	2	234	313	400	713	165	280	24	9	317	101	+0	+1	-1	-6	+13	0.8
2036	29	MLB MLE	WSH	73%	568	506	117	21	3	18	50	137	7	10	2	232	310	394	704	161	279	24	9	314	98	-1	+1	-1	-6	+12	0.5
2037	30	MLB MLE	WSH	76%	552	492	113	20	3	17	48	134	7	9	2	229	307	386	693	157	277	24	9	309	95	-3	+1	-2	-6	+12	0.2
2038	31	MLB MLE	WSH	78%	534	477	108	19	3	16	46	132	6	7	2	225	302	377	679	151	275	25	9	303	92	-5	+1	-3	-6	+12	-0.2
2039	32	MLB MLE	WSH	79%	511	456	101	18	2	15	44	129	6	6	4	220	296	364	661	144	271	25	9	296	87	-8	-0	-3	-5	+11	-0.7
2040	33	MLB MLE	WSH	80%	476	428	92	16	2	13	40	123	5	5	7	214	289	350	638	136	266	26	8	287	80	-11	-2	-4	-5	+10	-1.2
2028	21	MLB CTX	WSH	43%	210	187	43	8	1	7	18	51	3	5	1	228	306	386	693	158	276	24	9	309	96	-1	+1	-1	-2	+5	0.1
2029	22	MLB CTX	WSH	61%	327	290	68	12	2	11	29	78	5	8	1	232	310	394	704	163	278	24	9	314	99	-0	+1	-1	-4	+7	0.4
2030	23	MLB CTX	WSH	68%	381	340	79	14	2	13	33	90	5	9	2	234	313	400	712	166	279	24	9	317	101	+1	+1	-1	-4	+8	0.5
2031	24	MLB CTX	WSH	70%	402	359	85	15	2	14	35	94	5	9	2	236	315	403	718	167	280	23	9	319	103	+1	+1	-0	-4	+9	0.7
2032	25	MLB CTX	WSH	70%	414	368	87	16	2	14	37	97	6	9	2	237	315	405	720	168	281	23	9	320	103	+2	+1	+0	-4	+9	0.7
2033	26	MLB CTX	WSH	71%	423	376	89	16	2	14	38	99	6	9	2	237	315	405	720	168	281	23	9	320	103	+2	+1	+0	-5	+9	0.8
2034	27	MLB CTX	WSH	69%	413	368	87	16	2	14	37	97	5	9	2	236	314	402	717	166	280	23	9	319	102	+1	+1	+0	-4	+9	0.7
2035	28	MLB CTX	WSH	69%	402	358	83	15	2	13	36	95	5	8	2	234	313	398	710	164	280	24	9	316	101	+0	+1	-0	-4	+9	0.5
2036	29	MLB CTX	WSH	73%	414	369	86	16	2	13	37	99	5	7	2	232	310	392	702	160	278	24	9	313	98	-1	+1	-1	-4	+9	0.3
2037	30	MLB CTX	WSH	76%	418	373	86	16	2	13	37	102	5	7	2	229	307	385	691	156	277	24	9	309	95	-2	+1	-1	-4	+9	0.1
2038	31	MLB CTX	WSH	78%	415	371	83	15	2	12	36	103	5	5	2	225	302	375	677	150	274	25	9	303	92	-4	+0	-2	-4	+9	-0.2
2039	32	MLB CTX	WSH	79%	404	362	79	14	2	11	34	102	5	5	3	220	296	363	659	143	271	25	8	295	87	-6	-0	-3	-4	+9	-0.5
2040	33	MLB CTX	WSH	80%	381	342	73	13	1	10	32	98	4	4	6	214	289	348	637	134	266	26	8	286	80	-9	-2	-3	-4	+8	-1.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	5004	4463	1028	186	24	159	439	1205	64	94	29	230	308	390	698	159	278	24	9	311	95	-17	+7	-13	-54	+108	3.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	580	134	24	3	21	57	157	8	12	4	231	309	391	700	160	279	24	9	311	95	-2	+1	-2	-7	+14	0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	7896	7027	1597	284	41	249	692	1945	107	177	38	227	306	386	692	158	276	25	9	309	95	-24	+15	-19	-79	+160	5.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	578	130	23	3	20	57	160	9	15	3	225	304	379	683	154	274	25	9	309	95	-2	+1	-2	-7	+14	0.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AFredericksburg Nationals · 514 PAwOBA .326 → .261 (−65)K% 23.3% → 31.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.35%	÷1.000	×1.360	—	—	31.75%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.65%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×1.045	9.12%
HBP% /PA	1.95%	—	×0.780	—	×1.045	1.59%
Singles /BIP	18.27%	÷1.000	×0.920	×0.955	×1.045	16.78%
Doubles /BIP	4.81%	÷1.000	×0.830	×0.955	×1.045	3.98%
Triples /BIP	1.28%	÷1.000	×0.910	×0.955	×1.045	1.16%
Home runs /BIP	6.09%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×1.045	5.09%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.955.

Result: wOBA .326 → .261; ISO .185 → .148; BABIP .253 → .225. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tom Tresh'61-'69 * career totals — 8 seasons, 4,895 PA	7.4	4,895	153	45	252*	342*	448*	-3	+7	25.2	25.3
/162	664	21	6	-0.5	+1.0	3.4	pk7: 25
#2B. J. Surhoff'87-'05 * career totals — 19 seasons, 9,106 PA	13.7	9,106	188	141	273*	323*	413*	-13	-13	24.3	20.9
/162	664	14	10	-0.9	-1.0	1.8	pk7: 18
#3Evan Gattislast yr '18 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,662 PA	4.0	2,662	139	3	248	300	476	+30	+20	17.0	17.0
/162	664	35	1	+7.6	+4.9	4.2	pk7: 17
#4Chris Taylorlast yr '25 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,909 PA	5.9	3,909	110	91	248	327	419	-9	+4	15.9	16.4
/162	664	19	15	-1.6	+0.6	2.7	pk7: 17
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	7.9	5,214	165	97	232	306	392	+51	+0	18.9	15.8
/162	664	21	12	+6.5	+0.0	2.4	pk7: 13
#5Mike Davis'80-'89 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,298 PA	5.0	3,298	91	134	256*	313*	432*	-31	+13	11.4	12.4
/162	664	18	27	-6.2	+2.5	2.3	pk7: 13
#6Chas McCormicklast yr '25 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,567 PA	2.4	1,567	56	37	247	321	413	+2	+14	7.3	7.3
/162	664	24	16	+0.8	+6.0	3.1	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Coy James (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	223/299/374	151	275	6	5	25%	8%	91	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luke Adams 2024 · A	20	42→39	44→50	53→55	51	201/318/323	122	288	11	21	31%	11%	88	+0.4	207/347/351	144	268	15	19	27%	12%	106	+1.8	200/355/358	159	246	17	19	24%	12%	108	+1.1
✕Hao-Yu Lee 2023 · A	20	49→51	44→50	48→55	46	237/306/359	122	312	12	12	27%	8%	89	+0.5	247/312/378	131	315	13	16	24%	7%	96	+1.0	253/317/409	156	313	15	15	23%	7%	103	+1.2
✕Agustín Ramírez 2023 · A	21	43→48	45→55	51→55	44	213/272/340	128	284	12	11	29%	7%	72	-0.7	233/294/390	157	279	18	13	23%	7%	93	+0.8	236/301/405	169	279	19	20	22%	7%	97	+1.1
✕Noelvi Marte 2022 · A	20	45→55	48→50	51→55	44	224/289/369	144	298	16	14	29%	8%	86	+0.3	237/299/368	131	306	15	18	26%	7%	88	+0.5	247/296/385	137	310	14	21	24%	5%	91	+0.4
✕Addison Russell 2014 · A	20	49→52	50→55	58→50	46	241/313/409	168	325	15	16	29%	8%	103	+1.6	243/305/404	161	309	18	9	26%	7%	99	+1.3	236/301/401	165	290	19	5	25%	7%	99	+1.1
●Royce Lewis 2019 · A	20	49→51	43→60	53→50	45	240/293/355	115	293	11	17	22%	6%	83	+0.1	213/260/318	105	291	9	15	29%	5%	62	-1.4	262/323/475	213	304	29	14	24%	8%	123	+1.4
✕Harry Ford 2023 · A	20	48→53	46→45	53→55	51	224/330/360	136	328	13	14	32%	11%	99	+1.3	225/334/351	126	300	12	18	26%	12%	99	+1.3	226/338/346	120	294	12	19	24%	12%	96	+0.9
●Andy Pages 2021 · A	20	43→53	46→60	46→50	46	215/300/346	131	277	14	9	26%	8%	85	+0.2	217/306/408	191	287	24	6	32%	9%	102	+1.5	269/326/453	184	315	23	10	22%	6%	121	+2.8
✕Miguel Amaya 2019 · A	20	43	44→50	48→40	45	215/283/328	113	270	12	4	24%	7%	74	-0.5	216/296/343	127	275	13	4	25%	8%	83	+0.1	216/325/362	146	296	16	3	30%	10%	98	+0.3
●Coby Mayo 2022 · A	20	49→48	49→60	55→45	47	243/314/397	154	308	17	13	26%	8%	101	+1.4	228/301/402	174	307	20	6	31%	8%	98	+1.2	225/308/413	188	297	21	4	30%	9%	101	+1.2
●Sal Stewart 2024 · A	20	49→53	43→55	48→50	55	236/321/346	110	286	11	10	21%	11%	92	+0.7	249/321/397	148	298	16	12	21%	9%	104	+1.6	255/323/425	170	297	21	13	21%	8%	109	+1.8
✕Ezequiel Tovar 2022 · A	20	48→49	45→55	52→50	40	237/268/365	129	269	13	15	18%	3%	76	-0.4	249/287/399	150	313	16	13	25%	4%	91	+0.7	251/287/411	161	323	17	11	27%	4%	94	+0.8
●Jo Adell 2019 · AA	20	47	52→65	54→50	37	238/286/414	176	325	19	12	32%	5%	95	+0.9	228/279/388	160	328	18	10	34%	6%	86	+0.3	228/290/425	197	264	28	9	26%	6%	101	+1.3
●Junior Caminero 2023 · A	20	46→55	48→65	53→45	45	233/290/368	135	275	17	10	22%	6%	86	+0.3	260/306/451	191	302	26	6	23%	6%	111	+2.1	256/314/491	234	268	35	4	20%	7%	124	+3.1
✕Sean Coyle 2012 · A	20	41→38	49→50	53→50	44	205/287/362	157	291	15	13	33%	8%	84	+0.1	207/268/354	147	298	16	14	35%	6%	74	-0.5	204/267/368	165	294	22	15	37%	7%	75	-0.2
✕Juan Apodaca 2006 · A	20	42→52	49→45	46→40	40	221/262/358	137	268	18	4	25%	5%	72	-0.7	226/281/329	103	287	11	5	24%	6%	73	-0.6	269/334/371	102	330	9	3	20%	8%	100	+0.7
●Thomas Saggese 2022 · A	20	44→54	47→55	51→50	43	210/288/352	142	333	15	12	39%	9%	81	-0.1	238/289/390	152	322	16	10	30%	6%	91	+0.6	242/297/376	134	324	14	8	29%	6%	88	+0.4
✕Jeferson Quero 2023 · A	20	47	44→50	49→45	43	230/281/347	117	293	11	9	25%	6%	77	-0.3	232/290/369	137	282	16	7	23%	7%	86	+0.3	222/285/355	133	266	16	4	23%	7%	79	-0.1
●Daniel Robertson 2013 · A	19	46→56	46→45	52→40	49	227/301/367	141	268	12	6	20%	8%	90	+0.6	245/312/360	115	307	10	3	22%	7%	92	+0.7	256/329/366	110	321	8	2	21%	8%	96	+0.9
●Sean Rodríguez 2006 · A	21	44→51	46→60	49→50	53	217/301/350	133	262	13	15	22%	10%	86	+0.3	235/307/404	169	301	19	11	27%	8%	101	+1.4	244/318/452	208	301	26	12	27%	7%	113	+1.7

Coy James

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps