Adriel Radney

OF ACL D-backs
Age 20 R/R 6'3" / 180 lbs ROK HR -11% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036
OGV OFP35OGV rank#1345ETA2030MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202417ROKDSL Arizona R…130.225/.333/.2880117—.140/.240/.175
202518ROKDSL Arizona R…209.266/.369/.40131839—.168/.257/.234
202619A/ROKARI307.233/.344/.3223441—.177/.262/.236
2027PROJMLE20MLBARI417.217/.284/.3166770-0.3
2028PROJ25% MLB21MLBARI62.229/.297/.3501179-0.1
2029PROJ38% MLB22MLBARI137.235/.303/.3703386-0.0
Next 3 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Arb-1$2M2034Arb-2$4M+1
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A
Z-Con%63
Chase%55
K%50
BB%48
Whiff%43
wOBA14
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 95%
CompsAustin Dean (age 20) · Ceddanne Rafaela (age 20) · David Bote (age 20)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 192 proj PA
wRC+†70
AVG/OBP/SLG.215 / .282 / .313
PA192
HR3
K%26
BB%7
ISO99
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -6.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-7BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: -0.5 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-0FLDPOS: -1.2 runs (Positional adjustment)-1POSREP: +4.2 runs (Replacement-level credit)+4REPTotal WAR: -0.30-0.3WAR
0.00.51.00.10.20.40.40.40.327282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$1M ctrl surplus
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.2$0.6M+$0.0M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.4$1M+$0.6M
2033Arb-1$2M+0.4$1M+$0.0M (cut)
2034Arb-2$4M+0.4$0.9M+$0.0M (cut)
2035Arb-3$4M+0.3$0.7M+$0.0M (cut)
Totals $2M $5M +$0.6M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202417 ROKDSL Arizona Red — 130111 25320 14254 11 225333288622 63287 1911 291 17 — — — — — —
202518 ROKDSL Arizona Red — 209177 47743 25374 183 266369401770 136314 1812 344 39 — — — — — —
202619 AVisalia Rawhide — 11799 21100 14283 01 212328222550 10296 2412 268 36 — — — — — —
202619 ROKACL D-backs — 190159 39733 25522 41 245355384738 138333 2713 329 44 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Arizona Red — 130114 16210 11314 11 140240175416 35187 248 194 17 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Arizona Red — 209184 31521 18484 183 168257234491 65211 239 226 39 — — — — — —
202619 A MLEVisalia Rawhide — 117103 19100 10383 01 184276194470 10289 329 222 36 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEACL D-backs — 190168 29522 16752 41 173253262515 89272 398 233 44 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Arizona Red — 130114 16210 11314 11 140240175416 35190 248 194 17 — — — — — —
202417 ROK RAWDSL Arizona Red — 130111 25320 14254 11 225333288622 63287 1911 291 17 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Arizona Red — 209184 31521 18484 183 168257234491 65217 239 226 39 — — — — — —
202518 ROK RAWDSL Arizona Red — 209177 47743 25374 183 266369401770 136314 1812 344 39 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLE2 teams — 307271 49622 261135 42 181265240505 59294 378 229 41 — — — — — —
202619 ROK RAW2 teams — 307258 60833 39805 42 233344322666 89318 2613 306 41 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Arizona Red — 130114 16210 11314 11 140240175416 35187 248 194 17 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Arizona Red — 209185 31521 18484 183 168257232490 65211 239 226 39 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLE2 teams — 307273 49622 261135 42 179265238503 59278 378 229 41 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Arizona Red — 130114 16210 11314 11 140240175416 35187 248 194 17 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Arizona Red — 209185 31521 18484 183 168257232490 65211 239 226 39 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLE2 teams — 307273 49622 261135 42 179265238503 59278 378 229 41 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202720 MLB MLEARI 0% 417378 821436 311065 72 217284316600 99282 257 272 70 -15 +1 -1 -3 +9 -0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202821 MLB MLEARI 25% 251227 51925 19633 51 223292339631 117284 258 284 79 -6 +1 -1 -2 +5 -0.3
202922 MLB MLEARI 38% 358324 741328 27894 72 229298360658 132286 258 295 86 -6 +1 -1 -2 +8 -0.1
203023 MLB MLEARI 45% 427386 8915311 331045 82 233302376678 143287 248 303 91 -5 +1 -1 -3 +9 0.2
203124 MLB MLEARI 48% 468423 10017314 361146 93 236306387693 151289 248 309 95 -3 +1 -0 -3 +10 0.5
203225 MLB MLEARI 50% 493445 10618315 391196 93 238308394703 156289 248 312 98 -1 +1 +0 -3 +11 0.7
203326 MLB MLEARI 50% 505454 10818316 401226 93 239309398707 159289 248 314 99 -1 +1 +0 -3 +11 0.8
203427 MLB MLEARI 50% 507456 10818316 401236 93 238308396703 158288 248 313 98 -1 +1 +0 -3 +11 0.7
203528 MLB MLEARI 50% 502451 10618315 401236 83 236306391697 155287 258 310 96 -2 +0 -1 -3 +11 0.5
203629 MLB MLEARI 49% 492444 10417315 391226 73 234303384687 151286 258 306 93 -4 +0 -1 -3 +11 0.3
203730 MLB MLEARI 48% 480435 10117314 371215 63 230299377676 146284 258 301 90 -6 +0 -2 -3 +10 -0.0
202821 MLB CTXARI 25% 6256 13211 5161 10 229297350648 121294 268 291 79 -2 +0 -0 -0 +1 -0.1
202922 MLB CTXARI 38% 137124 28513 10342 31 235303370674 136296 257 301 86 -2 +0 -0 -1 +3 -0.0
203023 MLB CTXARI 45% 194175 43825 15472 41 239308385693 146297 248 309 91 -2 +0 -0 -1 +4 0.1
203124 MLB CTXARI 48% 225202 49926 18553 41 242311396707 154299 248 314 95 -1 +0 -0 -1 +5 0.2
203225 MLB CTXARI 50% 245221 541027 19593 51 244313403716 159299 248 318 98 -1 +1 +0 -1 +5 0.4
203326 MLB CTXARI 50% 255230 561028 20623 51 245314407720 162299 248 319 99 -0 +1 +0 -2 +6 0.4
203427 MLB CTXARI 50% 254229 551027 20623 51 243313404716 160298 248 318 98 -1 +1 +0 -2 +6 0.4
203528 MLB CTXARI 50% 250225 541027 20613 41 242311399709 157297 248 315 96 -1 +0 -0 -2 +5 0.3
203629 MLB CTXARI 49% 239215 531027 19593 41 239308392700 153295 258 311 93 -2 +0 -1 -1 +5 0.2
203730 MLB CTXARI 48% 229206 49926 18583 31 236304384688 148293 258 306 90 -3 +0 -1 -1 +5 0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 20901883 454831857 16451326 389 241311395706 154300 258 313 86 -15 +4 -3 -13 +45 1.9
/ 162G— A+C — 650586 14226618 511608 123 242312399711 157302 258 313 86 -5 +1 -1 -4 +14 0.6
Career— MLE — 53214788 108118034135 419134168 10333 226297362659 136283 258 295 86 -42 +5 -7 -28 +101 3.0
/ 162G— MLE — 650585 13122416 511648 134 224295357652 133281 258 295 86 -6 +1 -1 -4 +14 0.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKACL D-backs · 190 PAwOBA .328 → .233 (−95)K% 27.4% → 39.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.37%÷1.000×1.440——39.41%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.16%÷1.000×0.620—×1.0088.22%
HBP% /PA1.05%—×0.720—×1.0080.76%
Singles /BIP24.30%÷1.000×0.820×1.033×1.00820.74%
Doubles /BIP6.54%÷1.000×0.720×1.033×1.0084.90%
Triples /BIP2.80%÷1.000×0.720×1.033×1.0082.10%
Home runs /BIP2.80%÷1.000×0.780—×1.0082.20%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.033.

Result: wOBA .328 → .233; ISO .138 → .097; BABIP .333 → .272. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AVisalia Rawhide · 117 PAwOBA .262 → .222 (−40)K% 23.9% → 32.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.93%÷1.000×1.360——32.55%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.97%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0458.63%
HBP% /PA2.56%—×0.780—×1.0452.09%
Singles /BIP28.17%÷1.000×0.920×1.023×1.04527.70%
Doubles /BIP1.41%÷1.000×0.830×1.023×1.0451.25%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.910×1.023×1.0450.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0450.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.

Result: wOBA .262 → .222; ISO .010 → .008; BABIP .296 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Arizona Red · 209 PAwOBA .341 → .226 (−114)K% 17.7% → 22.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.70%÷0.944×1.220——22.88%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.96%÷0.986×0.700—×1.0088.56%
HBP% /PA1.91%—×0.700—×1.0081.35%
Singles /BIP23.57%÷1.013×0.680×1.032×1.00816.45%
Doubles /BIP5.00%÷0.922×0.600×1.032×1.0083.38%
Triples /BIP2.86%÷1.134×0.600×1.032×1.0081.57%
Home runs /BIP2.14%÷1.121×0.470—×1.0080.91%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 124, 1B 103, 2B 84, 3B 127, K 89, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.032.

Result: wOBA .341 → .226; ISO .136 → .073; BABIP .314 → .211. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Arizona Red · 130 PAwOBA .287 → .194 (−93)K% 19.2% → 24.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.23%÷0.977×1.220——24.01%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.77%÷0.929×0.700—×1.0228.30%
HBP% /PA3.08%—×0.700—×1.0222.20%
Singles /BIP23.26%÷1.044×0.680×1.005×1.02215.55%
Doubles /BIP3.49%÷1.009×0.600×1.005×1.0222.13%
Triples /BIP2.33%÷1.150×0.600×1.005×1.0221.25%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.165×0.470—×1.0220.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 133, 1B 109, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 95, BB 86 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.

Result: wOBA .287 → .194; ISO .063 → .035; BABIP .287 → .187. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).