Adriel RadneyOF
DSL Arizona Red
Age 19
R/R
6'3" / 180 lbs
ROK
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
peak 3.1 · 2033
wRC+80
AVG/OBP/SLG.220 / .287 / .355
PA178
HR4
K%28
BB%7
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
20↗50
PWR
30↗55
SPD
55↘50
FLD
40↗50
EYE
48↘40
trajectory · 10 yrs
3.2peak
2033
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2032
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2037
First FA Year 2038
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2031 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +2.9 | $28M | +$27M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +3.1 | $31M | +$30M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +3.1 | $31M | +$30M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $6M | +2.9 | $30M | +$24M |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $9M | +2.7 | $29M | +$20M |
| 2037 | Ext / FA-deal | $12M | +2.5 | $28M | +$15M |
| Totals | $30M | $177M | +$146M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Arizona Red | 130 | 115 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 38 | 4 | 1 | 1 | .148 | .240 | .183 | .423 | .035 | .218 | 29 | 8 | .197 | 9 | -13 | -0 | +0 | -1 | +4 | -1.1 |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | DSL Arizona Red | 209 | 186 | 35 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 60 | 4 | 18 | 3 | .188 | .267 | .274 | .541 | .086 | .260 | 29 | 8 | .240 | 42 | -14 | +2 | +0 | -1 | +6 | -0.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 19 | MLB | — | 178 | 161 | 35 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 49 | 2 | 3 | 1 | .217 | .284 | .342 | .626 | .124 | .289 | 28 | 7 | .290 | 80 | -4 | +0 | -0 | -1 | +5 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB 7% | — | 258 | 231 | 55 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 68 | 3 | 5 | 1 | .238 | .312 | .398 | .711 | .160 | .297 | 26 | 9 | .314 | 99 | -0 | +1 | -0 | -2 | +7 | 0.6 |
| 2028 | 21 | MLB 18% | — | 377 | 335 | 81 | 14 | 2 | 13 | 34 | 96 | 5 | 8 | 2 | .242 | .321 | .412 | .733 | .170 | .298 | 25 | 9 | .326 | 107 | +3 | +1 | -1 | -2 | +11 | 1.2 |
| 2029 | 22 | MLB 27% | — | 463 | 411 | 102 | 18 | 3 | 17 | 43 | 114 | 6 | 10 | 2 | .248 | .328 | .431 | .759 | .182 | .299 | 25 | 9 | .334 | 114 | +7 | +1 | -1 | -3 | +13 | 1.8 |
| 2030 | 23 | MLB 38% | — | 519 | 457 | 115 | 20 | 3 | 20 | 50 | 125 | 7 | 11 | 2 | .252 | .335 | .440 | .774 | .188 | .299 | 24 | 10 | .340 | 118 | +11 | +1 | -1 | -3 | +15 | 2.3 |
| 2031 | 24 | MLB 46% | — | 555 | 488 | 123 | 21 | 3 | 22 | 55 | 132 | 7 | 11 | 2 | .252 | .336 | .443 | .779 | .191 | .299 | 24 | 10 | .344 | 121 | +13 | +1 | -1 | -3 | +16 | 2.7 |
| 2032 | 25 | MLB 53% | — | 577 | 505 | 129 | 22 | 4 | 23 | 59 | 136 | 8 | 11 | 2 | .255 | .343 | .451 | .794 | .196 | .300 | 24 | 10 | .347 | 124 | +15 | +1 | -1 | -3 | +16 | 2.9 |
| 2033 | 26 | MLB 61% | — | 588 | 514 | 130 | 22 | 4 | 23 | 61 | 139 | 8 | 11 | 2 | .253 | .341 | .446 | .787 | .193 | .300 | 24 | 10 | .349 | 125 | +17 | +1 | -1 | -4 | +17 | 3.1 |
| 2034 | 27 | MLB 69% | — | 590 | 515 | 130 | 22 | 4 | 23 | 62 | 140 | 8 | 11 | 2 | .252 | .342 | .445 | .787 | .192 | .300 | 24 | 11 | .349 | 125 | +17 | +1 | -1 | -4 | +17 | 3.1 |
| 2035 | 28 | MLB 70% | — | 587 | 512 | 129 | 22 | 3 | 23 | 62 | 140 | 8 | 11 | 2 | .252 | .342 | .441 | .783 | .189 | .300 | 24 | 11 | .348 | 124 | +16 | +1 | -2 | -4 | +17 | 2.9 |
| 2036 | 29 | MLB 72% | — | 578 | 504 | 127 | 22 | 3 | 23 | 61 | 140 | 8 | 10 | 1 | .252 | .342 | .444 | .787 | .192 | .299 | 24 | 11 | .345 | 123 | +15 | +2 | -2 | -3 | +16 | 2.7 |
| 2037 | 30 | MLB 73% | — | 568 | 496 | 123 | 21 | 3 | 22 | 60 | 139 | 7 | 10 | 1 | .248 | .337 | .435 | .773 | .188 | .298 | 24 | 11 | .342 | 120 | +13 | +2 | -3 | -3 | +16 | 2.5 |
| 2038 | 31 | MLB 74% | — | 554 | 484 | 118 | 20 | 3 | 21 | 58 | 138 | 7 | 8 | 0 | .244 | .333 | .428 | .761 | .184 | .296 | 25 | 10 | .339 | 117 | +11 | +2 | -4 | -3 | +16 | 2.1 |
| 2039 | 32 | MLB 75% | — | 536 | 468 | 113 | 19 | 3 | 20 | 56 | 137 | 7 | 8 | 0 | .241 | .331 | .423 | .755 | .182 | .295 | 26 | 10 | .334 | 114 | +8 | +2 | -4 | -3 | +15 | 1.8 |
| 2040 | 33 | MLB 76% | — | 506 | 442 | 105 | 17 | 3 | 18 | 53 | 132 | 6 | 7 | 0 | .238 | .327 | .412 | .739 | .174 | .293 | 26 | 10 | .328 | 109 | +5 | +1 | -5 | -3 | +14 | 1.3 |
| 2041 | 34 | MLB 76% | — | 460 | 403 | 93 | 15 | 2 | 16 | 48 | 124 | 6 | 7 | 0 | .231 | .322 | .397 | .719 | .166 | .291 | 27 | 10 | .321 | 104 | +2 | +1 | -6 | -3 | +13 | 0.8 |
| 2042 | 35 | MLB 77% | — | 404 | 354 | 80 | 13 | 2 | 13 | 42 | 113 | 5 | 6 | 0 | .226 | .317 | .384 | .701 | .158 | .289 | 28 | 10 | .313 | 98 | -1 | +1 | -6 | -2 | +11 | 0.3 |
| 2043 | 36 | MLB 87% | — | 344 | 302 | 66 | 11 | 2 | 10 | 35 | 100 | 4 | 5 | 0 | .219 | .308 | .368 | .675 | .149 | .286 | 29 | 10 | .304 | 91 | -4 | +1 | -7 | -2 | +10 | -0.2 |
| 2044 | 37 | MLB | — | 280 | 247 | 52 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 84 | 3 | 5 | 0 | .211 | .299 | .348 | .647 | .138 | .282 | 30 | 10 | .293 | 83 | -5 | +1 | -8 | -2 | +8 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9261 | 8130 | 1958 | 330 | 54 | 329 | 928 | 2344 | 123 | 177 | 24 | .241 | .328 | .416 | .744 | .175 | .296 | 25 | 10 | .330 | 111 | +111 | +26 | -54 | -56 | +262 | 29.5 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 571 | 137 | 23 | 4 | 23 | 65 | 165 | 9 | 12 | 2 | .240 | .328 | .415 | .743 | .175 | .295 | 25 | 10 | .330 | 111 | +8 | +2 | -4 | -4 | +18 | 2.1 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Arizona Red | 130 | 111 | 25 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 1 | .225 | .333 | .288 | .622 | .063 | .287 | 19 | 11 | .291 | 81 | -3 | -0 | — | — | +4 | 0.1 |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | DSL Arizona Red | 209 | 177 | 47 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 37 | 4 | 18 | 3 | .266 | .369 | .401 | .770 | .136 | .314 | 18 | 12 | .344 | 122 | +5 | +2 | — | — | +6 | 1.4 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Adriel Radney (OGILVIE) | 19 | 20→50 | 30→55 | 55→50 | 40 | .220/.287/.355 | .135 | .289 | 4 | 3 | 28% | 7% | 80 | +0.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
●Trevor Story 2012 · A |
19 | 42→52 | 43→65 | 54→55 | 44 | .209/.272/.318 | .108 | .282 | 10 | 12 | 29% | 7% | 63 | -0.8 | .193/.253/.326 | .133 | .287 | 13 | 12 | 36% | 7% | 57 | -1.2 | .270/.336/.500 | .231 | .327 | 29 | 25 | 26% | 8% | 134 | +3.6 |
|
●Junior Caminero 2022 · A |
19 | 44→52 | 49→65 | 49→45 | 45 | .226/.283/.369 | .143 | .276 | 17 | 6 | 25% | 7% | 81 | +0.4 | .250/.300/.421 | .171 | .300 | 23 | 7 | 24% | 6% | 102 | +1.8 | .258/.305/.479 | .221 | .284 | 33 | 5 | 22% | 6% | 116 | +2.6 |
|
★Justin Upton 2007 · A |
19 | 44→54 | 44→65 | 46→55 | 45 | .218/.276/.333 | .115 | .274 | 11 | 10 | 25% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .249/.319/.424 | .175 | .316 | 18 | 12 | 26% | 9% | 110 | +2.4 | .279/.359/.480 | .201 | .337 | 22 | 19 | 23% | 10% | 134 | +4.2 |
|
●Teoscar Hernández 2012 · A |
19 | 41→51 | 44→65 | 54→55 | 44 | .206/.265/.330 | .124 | .258 | 11 | 13 | 24% | 7% | 63 | -0.9 | .204/.256/.328 | .124 | .293 | 11 | 14 | 33% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .276/.326/.479 | .204 | .351 | 27 | 8 | 28% | 6% | 126 | +3.6 |
|
★Manny Machado 2012 · A |
20 | 43→53 | 44→65 | 48→50 | 44 | .217/.266/.340 | .124 | .267 | 11 | 10 | 24% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .250/.295/.396 | .146 | .294 | 13 | 8 | 19% | 6% | 92 | +1.2 | .280/.340/.502 | .222 | .295 | 29 | 7 | 16% | 8% | 128 | +4.3 |
|
●Franmil Reyes 2014 · A |
19 | 45→52 | 40→65 | 47→45 | 42 | .213/.271/.311 | .098 | .300 | 7 | 9 | 30% | 7% | 60 | -1.0 | .209/.256/.309 | .100 | .279 | 9 | 4 | 27% | 6% | 53 | -1.5 | .256/.325/.480 | .224 | .314 | 34 | 0 | 29% | 9% | 126 | +2.6 |
|
●Mark Vientos 2019 · A |
19 | 42→50 | 45→60 | 43→30 | 45 | .215/.274/.337 | .122 | .275 | 14 | 3 | 27% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .206/.251/.346 | .140 | .279 | 17 | 2 | 32% | 5% | 62 | -0.9 | .246/.306/.451 | .204 | .321 | 28 | 0 | 31% | 7% | 109 | +2.0 |
|
✕Noelvi Marte 2021 · A |
19 | 44→53 | 44→50 | 50→55 | 42 | .218/.268/.339 | .121 | .285 | 11 | 12 | 27% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .231/.294/.375 | .144 | .300 | 17 | 16 | 27% | 7% | 87 | +0.8 | .236/.302/.381 | .145 | .298 | 17 | 19 | 26% | 8% | 88 | +0.8 |
|
●José A. Martínez 2008 · A |
20 | 44→54 | 42→55 | 50 | 43 | .218/.274/.322 | .104 | .282 | 10 | 9 | 26% | 6% | 65 | -0.7 | .227/.272/.317 | .090 | .295 | 9 | 10 | 25% | 5% | 62 | -0.9 | .296/.363/.466 | .170 | .344 | 21 | 4 | 19% | 9% | 137 | +3.1 |
|
●Davis Schneider 2018 · A |
19 | 40→44 | 41→55 | 48→50 | 50 | .198/.276/.300 | .102 | .259 | 8 | 6 | 26% | 9% | 60 | -1.0 | .193/.268/.290 | .097 | .299 | 8 | 7 | 35% | 8% | 54 | -1.4 | .213/.322/.409 | .196 | .275 | 24 | 9 | 30% | 12% | 106 | +1.6 |
|
●Renato Núñez 2013 · A |
19 | 44→51 | 43→60 | 48→30 | 38 | .215/.262/.330 | .115 | .285 | 9 | 5 | 27% | 4% | 61 | -1.0 | .213/.253/.351 | .138 | .277 | 17 | 3 | 29% | 4% | 64 | -0.8 | .238/.308/.452 | .215 | .278 | 31 | 1 | 26% | 7% | 111 | +1.7 |
|
●Jackson Chourio 2022 · A |
18 | 44→54 | 42→55 | 49→55 | 45 | .217/.279/.319 | .102 | .277 | 10 | 10 | 25% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | .233/.280/.389 | .156 | .311 | 18 | 19 | 30% | 6% | 85 | +0.7 | .261/.307/.430 | .168 | .314 | 19 | 26 | 23% | 6% | 101 | +1.8 |
|
●Gabriel Gonzalez 2023 · A |
19 | 46→56 | 44→50 | 49→45 | 43 | .229/.294/.349 | .120 | .281 | 12 | 9 | 22% | 5% | 81 | +0.4 | .243/.297/.369 | .126 | .293 | 13 | 7 | 21% | 5% | 87 | +0.8 | .254/.307/.383 | .129 | .303 | 13 | 6 | 20% | 5% | 92 | +0.9 |
|
●Isaac Paredes 2018 · A |
19 | 43→51 | 43→60 | 48→40 | 46 | .211/.271/.322 | .111 | .241 | 10 | 4 | 17% | 6% | 64 | -0.8 | .228/.291/.341 | .113 | .267 | 11 | 4 | 18% | 7% | 77 | +0.1 | .245/.349/.440 | .195 | .261 | 25 | 1 | 17% | 11% | 126 | +3.2 |
|
★Austin Meadows 2014 · A |
19 | 45→55 | 43→65 | 49→55 | 43 | .214/.282/.336 | .122 | .308 | 10 | 6 | 32% | 8% | 72 | -0.2 | .242/.292/.362 | .120 | .310 | 9 | 10 | 24% | 6% | 82 | +0.5 | .255/.336/.495 | .240 | .289 | 30 | 8 | 23% | 10% | 129 | +2.7 |
|
●Wil Myers 2010 · A |
19 | 49→54 | 47→60 | 52→55 | 41 | .240/.290/.384 | .144 | .317 | 14 | 7 | 28% | 6% | 88 | +0.9 | .240/.309/.386 | .146 | .310 | 15 | 8 | 26% | 9% | 96 | +1.5 | .241/.320/.442 | .200 | .295 | 25 | 22 | 26% | 10% | 109 | +2.2 |
|
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2012 · A |
19 | 42 | 42→45 | 47→50 | 43 | .205/.277/.309 | .104 | .271 | 9 | 8 | 27% | 6% | 64 | -0.8 | .224/.284/.326 | .102 | .290 | 5 | 11 | 24% | 5% | 70 | -0.3 | .226/.280/.337 | .111 | .291 | 6 | 11 | 23% | 4% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
●Andy Pages 2021 · A |
20 | 41→51 | 47→60 | 46→45 | 46 | .210/.298/.347 | .138 | .263 | 15 | 10 | 26% | 8% | 83 | +0.6 | .215/.301/.412 | .197 | .284 | 25 | 6 | 32% | 9% | 101 | +1.8 | .261/.318/.433 | .172 | .316 | 21 | 10 | 23% | 6% | 110 | +1.8 |
|
✕Ravel Santana 2011 · A |
19 | 43 | 46→50 | 51→55 | 47 | .214/.294/.340 | .125 | .274 | 14 | 15 | 26% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .220/.281/.362 | .142 | .292 | 16 | 13 | 29% | 7% | 79 | +0.3 | .205/.253/.387 | .182 | .264 | 22 | 15 | 31% | 6% | 72 | -0.1 |
|
●Riley Greene 2021 · A |
20 | 44→54 | 44→60 | 53→50 | 39 | .215/.271/.330 | .115 | .305 | 11 | 9 | 32% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .252/.315/.404 | .152 | .357 | 15 | 10 | 31% | 8% | 103 | +1.9 | .263/.332/.466 | .203 | .338 | 25 | 5 | 28% | 9% | 124 | +3.1 |