Adriel Radney — OGILVIE

Adriel RadneyOF ACL D-backs

Age 19 R/R 6'3" / 180 lbs ROK HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION164 act + 109 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†53

AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .258 / .289

PA109

HR1

K%32

BB%6

BABIP291

ISO90

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER55

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2033	Arb-1	$2M	+0.9	$2M	+$1M
2034	Arb-2	$3M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.7M
2035	Arb-3	$3M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.1M
Totals		$11M		$10M	+$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Arizona Red	—	130	115	17	2	1	0	10	38	4	1	1	148	240	183	423	35	218	29	8	197	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Arizona Red	—	130	111	25	3	2	0	14	25	4	1	1	225	333	288	622	63	287	19	11	291	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Arizona Red	—	209	186	35	6	2	2	16	60	4	18	3	188	267	274	541	86	260	29	8	240	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Arizona Red	—	209	177	47	7	4	3	25	37	4	18	3	266	369	401	770	136	314	18	12	344	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	ROK	ARI	—	164	148	26	5	2	1	10	66	2	3	1	176	237	257	494	81	294	40	6	222	28	-13	+0	+0	-1	+5	-1.0
YTD	19	ROK	ARI	—	164	142	35	7	3	2	16	46	2	3	1	246	331	380	712	134	337	28	10	314	98	-0	+0	+0	-1	+5	0.4
ROS	19	ROK	ARI	0%	109	100	20	4	1	1	7	35	1	2	1	199	258	289	547	90	288	32	6	255	53	-6	+0	-0	-1	+3	-0.4
ROS	19	MLB	ARI	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		290	—	—	248	48	—	—	-0	-0	—	—
FULL	19	ROK	ARI	—	164	149	26	5	2	1	10	66	2	3	1	174	237	255	493	81	291	40	6	222	28	-13	+0	+0	-1	+5	-1.0
TOT	19	ROK	ARI	—	273	248	46	9	3	2	17	101	3	5	2	185	246	270	516	85	293	37	6	235	38	-19	+0	-0	-2	+8	-1.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	ARI	25%	297	271	56	10	2	6	20	91	4	5	1	207	271	325	596	118	290	31	7	272	66	-11	+1	-1	-2	+8	-0.5
2028	21	MLB	ARI	38%	407	370	80	14	3	10	29	121	5	7	2	216	282	351	634	135	291	30	7	284	76	-11	+1	-1	-2	+12	-0.2
2029	22	MLB	ARI	45%	484	440	97	17	4	13	35	141	6	9	2	220	287	366	653	145	293	29	7	293	82	-10	+1	-1	-3	+14	0.1
2030	23	MLB	ARI	49%	533	482	108	19	4	15	39	154	7	10	3	224	292	373	665	149	294	29	7	299	87	-8	+1	-1	-3	+15	0.4
2031	24	MLB	ARI	50%	565	511	115	20	4	17	42	163	7	11	3	225	293	380	673	155	295	29	7	302	90	-7	+1	-1	-3	+16	0.6
2032	25	MLB	ARI	51%	583	527	122	21	5	19	43	167	8	11	3	231	299	398	698	167	295	29	7	305	92	-6	+1	-1	-3	+17	0.8
2033	26	MLB	ARI	51%	592	535	123	21	5	19	44	170	8	11	3	230	298	394	693	164	295	29	7	307	93	-5	+1	-1	-4	+17	0.9
2034	27	MLB	ARI	50%	592	534	123	21	5	19	45	170	8	11	3	230	300	395	695	165	295	29	8	307	93	-5	+1	-1	-4	+17	0.9
2035	28	MLB	ARI	50%	588	530	122	21	5	19	45	170	8	11	3	230	300	396	696	166	294	29	8	306	92	-5	+1	-2	-4	+17	0.7
2036	29	MLB	ARI	49%	579	522	117	20	4	18	45	168	7	10	3	224	294	381	676	157	293	29	8	304	91	-6	+1	-2	-3	+16	0.5
2037	30	MLB	ARI	48%	568	512	114	19	4	18	44	167	7	10	3	223	293	381	674	158	292	29	8	301	88	-7	+1	-3	-3	+16	0.3
2027	20	MLB	ARI	25%	74	68	15	3	1	1	5	23	1	1	0	221	284	338	622	118	292	31	7	266	61	-3	+0	-0	-0	+2	-0.2
2028	21	MLB	ARI	38%	156	142	31	6	1	4	11	46	2	3	1	218	284	359	643	141	294	29	7	278	71	-5	+0	-0	-1	+4	-0.2
2029	22	MLB	ARI	45%	220	199	45	8	2	6	16	64	3	4	1	226	294	377	670	151	295	29	7	286	77	-6	+0	-0	-1	+6	-0.1
2030	23	MLB	ARI	49%	263	239	55	10	2	8	19	76	3	5	1	230	295	389	684	159	296	29	7	292	82	-5	+1	-0	-2	+7	0.1
2031	24	MLB	ARI	50%	284	257	59	10	2	9	21	82	4	5	1	230	298	389	687	160	297	29	7	296	85	-5	+1	-1	-2	+8	0.2
2032	25	MLB	ARI	51%	297	269	62	11	2	10	22	85	4	6	2	230	298	398	696	167	297	29	7	298	86	-5	+0	-1	-2	+8	0.2
2033	26	MLB	ARI	51%	303	273	63	11	2	10	23	87	4	6	2	231	300	396	696	165	297	29	8	300	88	-4	+0	-1	-2	+9	0.2
2034	27	MLB	ARI	50%	299	270	62	11	2	10	23	86	4	6	2	230	300	396	696	167	297	29	8	300	88	-4	+0	-1	-2	+8	0.2
2035	28	MLB	ARI	50%	294	266	62	11	2	10	22	85	4	5	1	233	301	402	704	169	296	29	7	299	87	-4	+1	-1	-2	+8	0.2
2036	29	MLB	ARI	49%	282	254	58	10	2	9	22	82	4	5	1	228	300	390	690	161	296	29	8	297	86	-5	+1	-1	-2	+8	0.1
2037	30	MLB	ARI	48%	272	246	55	9	2	9	21	80	3	5	1	224	293	386	679	163	294	29	8	294	83	-5	+1	-1	-2	+8	0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2744	2484	567	100	20	86	205	796	36	51	13	228	297	388	685	160	298	29	7	294	83	-51	+5	-7	-16	+78	0.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	135	24	5	20	49	189	9	12	3	230	299	389	689	160	301	29	8	294	83	-12	+1	-2	-4	+18	0.2
Career	—			—	6236	5635	1249	215	49	176	464	1815	84	127	34	222	291	371	661	149	292	29	7	295	84	-114	+12	-15	-37	+177	2.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	129	22	5	18	48	189	9	13	4	220	289	366	655	147	289	29	7	295	84	-12	+1	-2	-4	+18	0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Arizona Red	—	130	111	25	3	2	0	14	25	4	1	1	225	333	288	622	63	287	19	11	291	81	-3	-0	—	—	+4	0.1
2025	18	ROK	DSL Arizona Red	—	209	177	47	7	4	3	25	37	4	18	3	266	369	401	770	136	314	18	12	344	122	+5	+2	—	—	+6	1.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#3Shane Halterlast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,744 PA	5	1,744	41	11	247	305	396	-6	+8	3.9	3.9
	/162	664	16	4	247	305	396	-2.1	+3.0	1.5	pk7: 4
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	8	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
	/162	664	23	9	238	296	413	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#6Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	2,949	87	54	226	290	380	-18	+0	2.6	2.7
	/162	664	20	12	226	290	380	-4.0	+0.0	0.6	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Adriel Radney (OGILVIE)	19	20→50	30→55	55→50	40	185/246/270	85	293	2	5	37%	6%	38	-1.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Moisés Sierra 2008 · A	19	37→47	41→50	49→50	37	186/237/281	95	256	9	10	30%	4%	39	-2.5	219/266/312	93	298	8	8	28%	4%	59	-1.1	248/314/378	130	302	14	15	22%	7%	93	+0.9
✕Noelvi Marte 2021 · A	19	44→53	44→50	50→55	42	218/268/339	121	285	11	12	27%	6%	66	-0.6	230/295/375	145	298	17	16	27%	8%	88	+0.9	233/300/377	144	296	17	19	26%	8%	87	+0.7
●Jorge Bonifacio 2012 · A	19	43→51	42→55	47→45	38	209/257/320	111	296	7	8	31%	5%	56	-1.3	219/264/318	99	297	7	5	27%	5%	59	-1.1	245/310/400	155	318	17	3	27%	8%	97	+1.1
✕Jerar Encarnacion 2017 · A	19	41→44	40→55	50→45	38	202/241/292	90	278	7	6	29%	5%	42	-2.3	190/233/290	100	311	10	5	40%	5%	39	-2.5	225/289/397	172	330	25	6	38%	8%	88	+0.7
●Derek Hill 2015 · A	19	41→51	40→50	55→60	47	200/269/291	91	259	7	13	25%	8%	55	-1.4	199/251/270	71	293	3	25	31%	6%	40	-2.4	248/301/422	175	338	22	29	32%	6%	100	+0.7
✕Jesus Vasquez 2011 · A	19	40	43→55	47→55	38	200/249/313	113	263	10	11	28%	4%	52	-1.6	215/279/346	131	293	14	14	30%	6%	74	-0.1	221/297/387	166	294	19	20	30%	8%	97	+0.7
✕Robert Perez Jr. 2019 · A	19	37→47	41→55	42→45	37	183/244/280	97	279	9	6	36%	6%	42	-2.3	211/270/336	125	325	13	4	37%	6%	67	-0.5	221/290/405	184	307	25	2	35%	6%	92	+1.0
●Joe Benson 2007 · A	19	41→48	42→60	46→50	41	204/254/311	107	275	9	10	28%	6%	53	-1.5	211/280/305	94	316	6	13	33%	7%	63	-0.8	230/308/424	194	312	22	15	32%	8%	104	+1.5
✕Eguy Rosario 2019 · A	19	40→50	41→50	47→55	38	197/248/296	99	280	8	13	32%	5%	46	-2.0	223/270/347	124	311	11	16	30%	5%	69	-0.4	219/282/363	144	293	15	21	29%	7%	76	+0.1
✕Alexander Canario 2019 · A	19	41→34	42→60	47→50	44	201/268/307	106	272	10	12	29%	7%	59	-1.1	209/264/358	149	293	18	11	34%	6%	70	-0.3	205/276/414	209	281	28	13	37%	8%	87	+0.5
✕Delino DeShields 2012 · A	19	40→50	40→45	50→65	41	196/253/282	87	272	8	16	30%	6%	45	-2.1	225/290/327	102	307	8	38	27%	7%	72	-0.2	242/320/339	97	323	6	34	25%	10%	85	+0.6
●Austin Dean 2013 · A	19	40→50	39→55	44→45	45	192/263/277	85	266	5	5	28%	8%	49	-1.8	227/283/320	93	296	7	6	24%	6%	68	-0.5	250/302/412	163	300	18	6	23%	6%	97	+1.2
✕Kevin Alcántara 2021 · A	19	41→49	37→50	48→50	37	198/245/275	77	283	4	8	30%	5%	40	-2.4	222/274/348	126	339	12	10	36%	6%	71	-0.3	229/292/381	152	335	20	12	36%	8%	84	+0.4
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2012 · A	19	41	42→45	47→50	43	203/277/306	103	268	9	7	27%	6%	63	-0.9	224/283/326	102	290	5	11	24%	5%	69	-0.4	226/280/337	111	291	6	11	23%	4%	69	-0.2
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2021 · A	20	41→48	42→55	52→55	41	203/255/306	103	257	10	13	25%	5%	53	-1.5	230/269/385	155	293	16	19	27%	4%	79	+0.3	247/287/396	150	298	15	20	22%	4%	88	+0.7
●Dilson Herrera 2013 · A	19	44→54	43→50	51→50	43	214/269/331	117	274	9	13	25%	6%	65	-0.7	241/291/379	138	314	14	12	26%	6%	86	+0.8	258/308/400	143	315	15	13	23%	6%	96	+1.3
✕Agustín Ramírez 2021 · A	19	40→45	41→55	46→55	40	199/248/293	95	266	8	5	28%	5%	46	-2.0	209/269/336	127	287	13	8	30%	7%	66	-0.6	232/295/411	179	268	22	16	22%	7%	94	+1.3
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	38→43	42→55	53→50	44	188/268/290	102	278	10	11	34%	8%	55	-1.4	201/284/321	120	321	11	16	37%	9%	69	-0.4	229/308/399	169	310	21	18	31%	9%	95	+0.9
✕Maximo Rivera 2012 · A	19	35	41→45	47→60	41	179/238/272	93	242	10	13	30%	6%	37	-2.7	221/272/301	80	287	7	19	24%	6%	58	-1.2	235/283/299	64	302	5	24	23%	5%	60	-0.3
✕Darell Hernaiz 2021 · A	19	45→55	39→45	52→50	44	211/276/297	86	310	7	9	32%	8%	59	-1.1	239/285/329	90	301	8	17	22%	5%	70	-0.3	252/302/359	107	305	10	17	20%	6%	82	+0.4