Alexis Hernandez

Alexis HernandezLF Vancouver Canadians

Age 23 R/R 6'1" / 210 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION431 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†84

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%22

BB%11

BABIP282

ISO121

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.4M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	18	ROK	DSL BOS Blue	—	137	117	30	7	1	3	17	14	2	6	2	256	360	410	771	154	267	10	12	346	120	+3	+0	—	—	+3	0.7
2022	19	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	92	78	17	4	0	1	10	17	3	5	3	218	330	308	637	90	262	18	11	296	87	-1	-0	—	—	+2	0.0
2023	20	A	Salem Red Sox	—	174	151	38	8	0	3	20	38	2	11	1	252	347	364	711	113	315	22	11	324	105	+1	+2	—	—	+4	0.7
2023	20	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	18	10	5	1	0	0	8	0	0	2	0	500	722	600	1.322	100	500	0	44	583	280	+4	+0	—	—	+0	0.5
2024	21	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	177	151	33	5	0	4	21	42	5	17	1	219	333	331	664	113	276	24	12	310	96	-1	+3	—	—	+4	0.6
2025	22	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	106	92	27	5	1	3	10	18	1	4	1	293	369	467	836	174	324	17	9	361	131	+4	+0	—	—	+2	0.7
2025	22	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	204	172	42	12	0	5	26	47	5	10	3	244	360	401	761	157	308	23	13	344	119	+5	+1	—	—	+4	1.0
2025	22	INTL	Navegantes del Magallanes	—	27	23	7	1	0	1	2	6	1	0	0	304	385	478	863	174	353	22	7	371	137	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL BOS Blue	—	137	124	24	5	1	2	10	21	2	6	2	194	265	298	563	105	205	15	7	239	48	-8	+0	—	—	+3	-0.5
2022	19	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	92	82	12	2	0	1	6	24	3	5	3	146	231	207	438	61	188	26	7	196	19	-9	-0	—	—	+2	-0.7
2023	20	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	174	159	34	7	0	3	12	55	2	11	1	214	277	314	592	101	299	32	7	256	59	-8	+2	—	—	+4	-0.3
2023	20	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	18	13	5	1	0	0	5	0	0	2	0	385	556	462	1.017	77	403	0	28	464	200	+2	+0	—	—	+0	0.3
2024	21	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	177	156	27	4	0	3	16	57	5	17	1	173	271	256	528	83	260	32	9	251	56	-9	+3	—	—	+4	-0.2
2025	22	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	106	96	23	4	1	3	6	26	1	4	1	240	291	396	687	156	280	25	6	296	86	-2	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
2025	22	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	204	179	33	10	0	3	19	69	5	10	3	184	281	291	571	106	279	34	9	259	61	-9	+1	—	—	+4	-0.4
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL BOS Blue	—	137	124	24	5	1	2	10	21	2	6	2	194	265	298	563	105	216	15	7	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	DSL BOS Blue	—	137	117	30	7	1	3	17	14	2	6	2	256	360	410	771	154	267	10	12	346	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	92	82	12	2	0	1	6	24	3	5	3	146	231	207	438	61	190	26	7	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	FCL Red Sox	—	92	78	17	4	0	1	10	17	3	5	3	218	330	308	637	90	262	18	11	296	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	192	172	40	8	0	3	17	55	2	13	1	233	309	331	640	99	322	29	9	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	192	161	43	9	0	3	28	38	2	13	1	267	382	379	761	112	331	20	15	348	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	177	156	27	4	0	3	16	57	5	17	1	173	271	256	528	83	250	32	9	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A RAW	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	177	151	33	5	0	4	21	42	5	17	1	219	333	331	664	113	276	24	12	310	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	3 teams	—	337	298	61	15	1	6	27	104	7	14	4	205	286	322	608	117	286	31	8	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A RAW	3 teams	—	337	287	76	18	1	9	38	71	7	14	4	265	364	429	793	164	318	21	11	352	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL BOS Blue	—	137	124	24	5	1	2	10	21	2	6	2	194	265	298	563	105	205	15	7	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	92	83	12	2	0	1	6	24	3	5	3	145	231	205	436	60	188	26	7	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	192	171	40	8	0	3	17	55	2	13	1	234	309	333	642	99	309	29	9	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	177	154	27	4	0	3	16	57	5	17	1	175	271	260	531	84	260	32	9	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	3 teams	—	337	300	61	15	1	6	27	104	7	14	4	203	286	320	606	117	279	31	8	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	192	171	40	8	0	3	17	55	2	13	1	234	309	333	642	99	309	29	9	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	177	154	27	4	0	3	16	57	5	17	1	175	271	260	531	84	260	32	9	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	3 teams	—	337	300	61	15	1	6	27	104	7	14	4	203	286	320	606	117	279	31	8	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	A+ MLE	TOR	—	431	382	94	19	2	12	29	112	11	15	5	246	318	401	718	154	313	26	7	305	92	-4	+1	+0	-5	+9	0.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	A+ RAW	TOR	—	329	275	78	17	2	14	36	66	10	11	3	284	386	513	899	229	322	20	11	387	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	AA RAW	TOR	—	102	91	31	7	0	1	9	16	1	4	2	341	406	451	856	110	405	16	9	381	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	23	A+ MLE	TOR	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		281	22	11	292	84	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	23	A+ MLE	TOR	—	440	390	95	19	2	12	30	114	11	15	5	244	316	395	710	151	310	26	7	304	92	-4	+1	+0	-5	+10	0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	TOR	30%	412	371	82	17	1	11	31	108	7	11	3	221	293	361	655	140	280	26	8	294	85	-7	+1	+0	-4	+9	-0.2
2028	25	MLB MLE	TOR	44%	444	399	90	18	2	12	34	115	8	11	3	226	299	371	670	145	281	26	8	299	89	-6	+1	+0	-5	+10	-0.0
2029	26	MLB MLE	TOR	51%	505	452	102	20	2	14	39	129	9	13	4	226	300	372	672	146	281	26	8	301	90	-6	+1	+0	-5	+11	0.1
2030	27	MLB MLE	TOR	52%	504	450	102	20	2	14	40	129	9	13	4	227	303	373	676	147	281	26	8	302	91	-6	+1	+0	-5	+11	0.1
2031	28	MLB MLE	TOR	53%	500	447	101	20	2	14	40	129	9	12	3	226	302	374	676	148	281	26	8	301	90	-6	+1	-1	-5	+11	-0.0
2032	29	MLB MLE	TOR	53%	460	412	91	18	1	13	37	119	8	10	3	221	298	364	662	143	279	26	8	299	88	-6	+1	-1	-5	+10	-0.2
2033	30	MLB MLE	TOR	52%	450	403	89	18	1	12	36	118	8	9	2	221	298	360	657	139	278	26	8	296	86	-7	+1	-2	-5	+10	-0.4
2027	24	MLB CTX	TOR	30%	125	113	24	5	0	3	9	33	2	3	1	212	282	336	619	124	281	26	7	282	85	-2	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	TOR	44%	196	176	40	8	1	5	15	51	3	5	1	227	299	369	668	142	282	26	8	287	89	-3	+1	+0	-2	+4	0.0
2029	26	MLB CTX	TOR	51%	256	230	52	10	1	7	20	66	4	7	2	226	299	370	669	143	283	26	8	290	90	-3	+1	+0	-3	+6	0.0
2030	27	MLB CTX	TOR	52%	264	236	54	11	1	7	21	68	5	7	2	229	305	373	678	144	283	26	8	290	91	-3	+1	+0	-3	+6	0.1
2031	28	MLB CTX	TOR	53%	267	239	54	11	1	7	21	69	5	7	2	226	302	368	670	142	282	26	8	289	90	-3	+1	-0	-3	+6	-0.0
2032	29	MLB CTX	TOR	53%	242	216	49	10	1	7	20	63	4	6	1	227	304	380	684	153	281	26	8	287	88	-3	+1	-1	-3	+5	-0.1
2033	30	MLB CTX	TOR	52%	234	209	46	9	1	6	19	61	4	5	1	220	297	359	656	139	279	26	8	284	86	-4	+1	-1	-3	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1584	1419	319	64	6	42	125	411	27	40	10	225	300	367	667	142	285	26	8	287	82	-21	+4	-2	-17	+34	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	582	130	26	2	17	51	169	11	16	4	223	298	363	660	139	283	26	8	287	82	-9	+2	-1	-7	+14	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	4219	3774	822	165	13	105	334	1110	77	134	33	218	295	352	647	134	278	26	8	290	82	-45	+7	-4	-35	+71	-0.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	581	126	25	2	16	51	171	12	21	5	217	293	349	643	133	276	26	8	290	82	-9	+1	-1	-7	+14	-0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	7.5	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
/162	664	24	4	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Nomar Mazaralast yr '22 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,690 PA	4.1	2,690	85	7	256	315	414	-29	-21	3.7	3.7
/162	664	21	2	-7.1	-5.3	0.9	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	2.4	1,586	44	39	225	297	370	-17	-3	0.8	0.8
/162	664	18	16	-7.1	-1.3	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Hunter Dozierlast yr '23 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,294 PA	3.5	2,294	73	19	238	305	421	-23	-45	0.0	0.0
/162	664	21	5	-6.5	-13.2	0.0	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alexis Hernandez (OGILVIE)	23	35	40	50	50	217/291/352	135	281	8	10	27%	7%	84	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luis Santana 2022 · AA	23	40	43→45	47→50	40	201/259/308	107	270	11	10	29%	6%	60	-1.6	217/276/340	123	279	13	9	26%	6%	74	-0.5	208/269/326	118	262	13	7	25%	5%	65	-0.7
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2019 · AA	23	40→38	47→50	54→55	44	202/275/339	137	273	14	17	30%	8%	74	-0.6	192/271/310	118	266	11	17	30%	8%	66	-1.1	166/252/265	99	226	9	19	29%	8%	47	-1.4
✕Daz Cameron 2020 · AAA	23	40→45	44→50	52→55	42	198/271/320	122	284	10	17	33%	7%	68	-1.0	206/272/329	123	293	11	18	32%	7%	70	-0.8	225/296/393	168	284	19	27	27%	8%	91	+0.3
✕Kyler Fedko 2023 · A	23	43→42	42→50	51→55	47	210/284/319	109	280	9	10	27%	8%	72	-0.7	203/288/320	117	266	12	14	26%	10%	74	-0.5	197/276/341	144	245	18	22	27%	9%	73	-0.4
✕Ryan Bliss 2023 · A	23	35→45	44→45	52→60	39	184/241/293	109	256	12	21	32%	6%	50	-2.3	221/288/352	131	295	12	39	28%	8%	81	-0.1	221/289/349	127	292	11	41	26%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Stuart Fairchild 2019 · A	23	44→42	40→50	53→55	40	211/273/310	98	303	7	14	31%	6%	65	-1.2	216/283/342	126	287	11	10	27%	7%	78	-0.3	218/314/364	146	281	15	27	26%	9%	91	+0.4
✕Sean Bouchard 2019 · A	23	39→44	44→55	48→50	38	198/249/313	115	283	11	13	33%	6%	57	-1.8	206/259/338	132	302	13	10	34%	6%	67	-1.1	223/323/414	192	292	21	16	29%	12%	107	+0.9
✕Connor Kokx 2023 · A	23	42	41→40	48→60	48	203/291/301	98	272	9	14	27%	9%	72	-0.7	205/289/282	77	288	5	24	28%	8%	66	-1.1	195/285/255	60	281	3	34	29%	8%	56	-0.8
✕Jeremy Rathjen 2014 · A	24	44→40	42→45	51→50	47	212/287/316	104	274	9	17	25%	8%	73	-0.6	207/267/342	135	274	15	11	29%	6%	72	-0.7	196/253/347	151	253	19	7	30%	6%	64	-0.7
✕Luis Hidalgo 2017 · A	21	37	44→45	47→45	43	190/252/303	113	229	13	12	24%	6%	57	-1.8	224/274/348	124	267	13	8	21%	5%	75	-0.5	259/302/380	121	288	12	8	14%	4%	90	+0.3
✕Michael Guldberg 2022 · A	23	45	44→45	55	44	221/288/339	118	278	11	16	24%	6%	78	-0.3	214/270/297	83	283	6	12	25%	6%	61	-1.5	205/257/264	59	274	3	10	25%	6%	46	-0.7
✕Michael Suiter 2015 · A	23	43→39	41→45	52→50	43	211/279/308	98	266	9	15	24%	6%	68	-1.0	203/255/282	79	275	6	10	27%	5%	52	-2.2	195/245/266	70	265	6	10	28%	4%	41	-1.7
✕Samad Taylor 2021 · A	23	37→47	41→45	53→65	43	182/258/286	104	274	8	22	34%	8%	55	-1.9	228/299/361	133	324	14	34	32%	8%	87	+0.4	235/311/365	130	323	13	46	29%	9%	92	+0.4
✕Jabari Henry 2014 · A	23	42→41	46→55	45	49	209/282/340	131	262	12	7	25%	9%	76	-0.4	200/278/360	160	268	19	6	31%	9%	80	-0.1	182/263/345	163	243	21	5	33%	9%	68	-0.7
✕Johan Lopez 2023 · AA	23	39	43→45	51→55	41	193/269/299	106	293	11	13	36%	8%	63	-1.4	203/273/300	97	309	8	12	34%	8%	64	-1.3	170/256/241	71	275	3	11	36%	10%	43	-0.6
✕River Town 2023 · A	24	40→38	45→40	55→50	46	202/283/328	125	257	12	15	26%	8%	75	-0.5	216/303/308	92	269	8	14	21%	9%	78	-0.3	215/312/285	70	264	6	15	19%	9%	74	-0.3
✕Phillip Ervin 2015 · A	23	42→51	43→50	56→55	43	208/263/326	118	266	9	16	25%	6%	65	-1.2	209/282/325	116	264	11	24	24%	8%	73	-0.6	235/299/371	136	298	13	21	24%	7%	86	+0.3
✕Tim Tawa 2023 · AA	24	42→44	45→55	49→50	46	211/275/328	117	264	14	12	25%	8%	70	-0.8	213/275/347	134	274	15	11	27%	7%	76	-0.4	224/287/394	170	271	21	14	25%	7%	89	+0.4
✕Mariel Bautista 2021 · A	23	41→36	42→45	49→50	39	204/254/301	97	266	10	15	27%	5%	57	-1.8	211/256/332	121	306	12	11	34%	5%	64	-1.3	186/219/331	145	265	16	11	36%	3%	51	-0.5
✕Buddy Kennedy 2022 · AA	23	43→51	48→45	50	44	220/286/355	135	294	17	12	30%	8%	81	-0.1	223/304/336	113	290	10	8	25%	9%	84	+0.1	227/314/338	111	280	9	4	21%	9%	86	+0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps