Fernando Cruz — OGILVIE

Fernando CruzSS ACL Cubs

Age 19 R/R 5'9" / 155 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION195 act + 130 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†51

AVG/OBP/SLG.185 / .248 / .311

PA130

HR3

K%38

BB%7

BABIP284

ISO126

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE49

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

DEFENSE60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.3	$7M	+$6M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.3	$6M	+$6M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.3	$6M	+$5M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+1.2	$5M	+$4M
2036	Arb-2	$3M	+1.0	$4M	+$3M
2037	Arb-3	$4M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$9M		$28M	+$24M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Red	—	92	83	11	2	0	1	6	39	3	11	1	133	217	193	410	60	233	42	7	187	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Red	—	92	79	17	3	0	2	10	25	3	11	1	215	326	329	655	114	288	27	11	305	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	89	81	6	1	0	2	5	64	2	5	1	74	148	160	308	86	250	72	6	128	-44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	89	79	13	3	0	3	7	42	2	5	1	165	250	316	566	152	286	47	8	256	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	ROK	CHC	—	195	178	28	4	3	6	14	98	2	9	2	157	227	315	541	157	293	50	7	234	37	-14	+1	+0	+2	+6	-0.5
YTD	19	ROK	CHC	—	195	168	43	7	5	9	24	68	2	9	2	256	356	518	874	262	370	35	12	379	148	+11	+1	+0	+2	+6	2.0
ROS	19	ROK	CHC	0%	130	119	22	4	1	3	9	50	1	4	1	185	248	311	559	126	282	38	7	253	51	-7	+0	+1	+1	+4	-0.1
ROS	19	MLB	CHC	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		283	—	—	246	46	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	19	ROK	CHC	—	195	179	28	4	3	6	14	98	2	9	2	156	227	313	540	156	289	50	7	234	37	-14	+1	+0	+2	+6	-0.5
TOT	19	ROK	CHC	—	325	297	50	8	4	9	23	148	3	13	3	168	235	313	548	145	289	46	7	241	43	-21	+1	+1	+3	+9	-0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	CHC	25%	304	276	54	9	3	8	22	111	3	7	2	196	262	337	599	141	284	37	7	264	60	-14	+1	+2	+3	+9	0.1
2028	21	MLB	CHC	38%	413	375	75	13	4	11	30	146	5	10	2	200	268	344	612	144	286	35	7	272	67	-16	+1	+3	+4	+12	0.5
2029	22	MLB	CHC	45%	485	440	89	15	4	14	36	167	6	12	3	202	272	350	622	148	287	34	7	278	71	-16	+1	+4	+5	+14	0.8
2030	23	MLB	CHC	49%	530	479	98	17	5	15	40	181	6	13	3	205	274	355	629	150	288	34	8	281	73	-16	+1	+4	+6	+15	1.1
2031	24	MLB	CHC	50%	558	504	104	18	5	16	42	190	7	14	3	206	277	357	634	151	289	34	8	283	75	-16	+2	+4	+6	+16	1.2
2032	25	MLB	CHC	55%	573	517	107	18	5	17	44	194	7	14	3	207	278	360	638	153	289	34	8	284	75	-16	+2	+5	+6	+16	1.3
2033	26	MLB	CHC	54%	580	524	108	19	5	17	44	197	7	14	3	206	277	359	635	153	289	34	8	284	75	-16	+2	+5	+6	+16	1.3
2034	27	MLB	CHC	52%	580	523	108	19	5	17	45	197	7	14	3	207	278	359	638	153	289	34	8	284	75	-16	+2	+5	+6	+16	1.3
2035	28	MLB	CHC	51%	575	518	106	18	5	17	45	196	7	14	3	205	277	357	634	153	288	34	8	283	75	-16	+2	+4	+6	+16	1.2
2036	29	MLB	CHC	49%	565	508	104	18	5	16	45	194	7	13	3	205	279	354	633	150	287	34	8	281	73	-17	+1	+3	+6	+16	1.0
2037	30	MLB	CHC	53%	554	499	100	17	4	16	44	192	6	12	3	200	273	347	620	146	286	35	8	279	72	-18	+1	+2	+6	+16	0.7
2027	20	MLB	CHC	25%	76	70	13	2	1	2	5	28	1	2	0	186	250	329	579	143	285	37	7	257	55	-4	+0	+1	+1	+2	0.0
2028	21	MLB	CHC	38%	158	143	28	5	1	4	12	56	2	4	1	196	268	329	596	133	287	35	8	265	61	-7	+0	+1	+2	+4	0.1
2029	22	MLB	CHC	45%	220	199	40	7	2	6	16	76	3	5	1	201	271	347	617	146	288	35	7	271	65	-9	+1	+2	+2	+6	0.2
2030	23	MLB	CHC	49%	261	236	48	8	2	8	20	89	3	6	1	203	274	356	630	153	289	34	8	274	68	-9	+1	+2	+3	+7	0.4
2031	24	MLB	CHC	50%	281	255	52	9	2	8	21	96	3	7	2	204	272	349	621	145	290	34	7	276	69	-10	+1	+2	+3	+8	0.4
2032	25	MLB	CHC	55%	315	284	59	10	3	9	24	107	4	8	2	208	279	359	638	151	290	34	8	276	70	-11	+1	+2	+3	+9	0.5
2033	26	MLB	CHC	54%	311	280	58	10	3	9	24	106	4	8	2	207	279	361	640	154	290	34	8	277	70	-11	+1	+2	+3	+9	0.5
2034	27	MLB	CHC	52%	301	271	57	10	3	9	23	102	4	7	2	210	282	369	651	159	290	34	8	277	70	-10	+1	+2	+3	+9	0.5
2035	28	MLB	CHC	51%	293	265	54	9	2	9	23	100	3	7	2	204	275	355	630	151	290	34	8	276	69	-10	+1	+2	+3	+8	0.4
2036	29	MLB	CHC	49%	279	252	51	9	2	8	22	96	3	6	1	202	274	349	624	147	289	34	8	274	68	-10	+1	+2	+3	+8	0.3
2037	30	MLB	CHC	53%	293	265	53	9	2	8	23	101	3	7	1	200	271	340	611	140	288	34	8	272	66	-11	+1	+1	+3	+8	0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2788	2521	513	88	23	80	213	957	33	67	15	203	274	352	626	148	289	34	8	274	68	-102	+7	+20	+30	+79	3.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	120	21	5	19	50	223	8	16	3	204	276	354	630	150	289	34	8	274	68	-24	+2	+5	+7	+18	0.8
Career	—			—	6028	5446	1092	188	51	170	457	2118	74	157	34	201	272	347	619	147	289	35	8	276	69	-209	+18	+42	+65	+171	8.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	117	20	5	18	49	228	8	17	4	199	270	342	612	143	288	35	8	276	69	-22	+2	+5	+7	+18	0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Red	—	92	79	17	3	0	2	10	25	3	11	1	215	326	329	655	114	288	27	11	305	92	-1	+2	—	—	+3	0.4
2025	18	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	89	79	13	3	0	3	7	42	2	5	1	165	250	316	566	152	286	47	8	256	54	-5	+1	—	—	+3	-0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Rougned Odorlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,424 PA	10	4,424	178	70	230	288	422	+16	+32	15.2	15.0
	/162	664	27	11	230	288	422	+2.4	+4.9	2.3	pk7: 15
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#3Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#4Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#4Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#5J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#6Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#6Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	2,929	84	70	205	272	354	+31	+24	2.9	2.8
	/162	664	19	16	205	272	354	+7.1	+5.4	0.7	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Fernando Cruz (OGILVIE)	19	40	50	60	49	168/235/313	145	289	9	13	46%	7%	43	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→46	41→45	56→55	43	214/285/313	99	288	7	14	27%	7%	68	-0.5	203/314/320	117	299	9	23	31%	12%	83	+0.6	201/310/335	134	289	10	26	30%	12%	81	+0.3
✕Orelvis Martinez 2021 · A	19	42→36	47→60	53→40	42	213/270/351	139	273	14	6	27%	6%	71	-0.3	202/270/401	199	257	27	4	33%	7%	85	+0.7	187/258/394	206	226	30	3	33%	7%	76	+0.1
✕George Feliz 2022 · A	19	43	43→50	54→45	40	209/265/321	112	301	11	10	33%	6%	60	-1.0	173/235/266	93	312	9	13	44%	6%	33	-2.9	173/237/300	127	283	16	9	43%	6%	41	-0.8
✕Wendell Rijo 2015 · A	19	42→41	40→55	51→50	44	201/267/302	101	282	7	12	30%	7%	56	-1.3	197/248/287	90	281	7	11	31%	5%	44	-2.1	208/263/371	163	264	20	14	29%	6%	70	-0.2
✕Jorge Alcantara 2011 · A	19	45	41→45	51→50	43	216/278/319	103	302	7	11	30%	7%	66	-0.6	198/267/295	97	299	7	13	33%	8%	55	-1.4	147/226/244	97	221	6	25	34%	8%	24	-0.9
✕Kevin Padlo 2016 · A	20	38→40	45→55	50	46	193/270/323	130	263	12	8	30%	9%	64	-0.8	183/268/311	128	268	12	8	34%	10%	60	-1.0	195/265/371	176	262	22	12	34%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Leo Balcazar 2023 · A	19	44→49	44→40	55→45	39	211/276/328	117	312	11	15	34%	7%	67	-0.5	218/270/304	86	313	7	10	31%	6%	58	-1.2	218/268/302	84	281	9	6	25%	5%	53	-1.1
✕Bryan Rincon 2023 · A	19	42	45	53→60	45	210/279/333	123	274	12	11	27%	8%	70	-0.3	194/289/295	101	275	9	22	30%	11%	66	-0.6	172/263/292	120	248	13	35	34%	10%	51	-0.7
✕Mairoshendrick Martinus 2023 · A	18	41→37	45	51→55	41	205/265/332	127	282	12	11	31%	6%	64	-0.8	178/230/270	92	318	9	13	44%	6%	33	-2.9	192/243/304	112	295	12	19	37%	5%	45	-1.1
✕Yunior Garcia 2019 · A	18	37→47	43→45	52→30	40	187/247/297	110	260	10	10	31%	6%	47	-1.9	196/245/301	105	305	10	7	37%	5%	46	-2.0	224/273/340	115	327	12	2	33%	5%	65	-0.3
✕Gilberto Celestino 2018 · A	19	42→52	39→45	53→55	42	202/258/287	85	283	6	12	30%	7%	48	-1.9	215/267/306	91	282	7	10	25%	6%	56	-1.3	240/311/319	79	317	7	14	25%	9%	75	-0.0
✕Yordalin Peña 2023 · A	18	41→39	40→55	55	37	198/247/291	93	283	6	10	31%	5%	45	-2.1	188/247/280	92	276	6	12	32%	6%	42	-2.3	189/253/317	128	293	11	17	37%	7%	53	-0.7
✕Marcelo Mayer 2022 · A	19	46→45	43→50	53→50	42	216/280/325	108	329	10	12	35%	8%	68	-0.5	216/281/362	146	316	16	12	34%	8%	79	+0.3	231/283/364	133	283	15	10	23%	6%	77	+0.1
✕Jesus Galiz 2023 · A	19	38	43→45	49→40	40	193/254/304	111	268	10	5	31%	6%	53	-1.5	201/260/303	102	309	9	3	36%	6%	54	-1.4	189/250/287	98	295	8	2	37%	6%	45	-1.0
✕José Rodríguez 2021 · A	20	42→52	43→50	52→55	37	212/244/323	111	275	11	11	28%	4%	51	-1.7	239/271/370	131	290	14	24	22%	4%	76	+0.0	235/266/368	133	286	15	29	23%	4%	69	-0.3
✕Joshua Báez 2022 · A	19	40→47	41→55	54→60	38	186/258/282	96	310	8	10	40%	7%	49	-1.8	171/260/277	106	355	10	21	50%	8%	49	-1.8	203/276/380	177	287	24	34	36%	7%	80	+0.2
✕Bryan Ramos 2022 · A	20	39→43	45→50	49→50	40	199/265/323	124	270	13	8	30%	6%	63	-0.9	211/270/351	140	268	18	5	28%	6%	72	-0.2	205/264/342	137	255	19	5	27%	6%	63	-0.6
✕Jonathan Galvez 2010 · A	19	44→46	42→50	50→55	49	212/297/322	110	288	9	12	28%	10%	75	-0.0	215/276/339	124	320	12	16	34%	7%	70	-0.3	230/282/341	111	315	10	15	29%	6%	69	-0.3
✕Cayden Wallace 2023 · A	21	45→42	42→50	56→50	40	218/268/331	113	302	8	15	30%	6%	64	-0.8	215/273/337	122	287	11	12	27%	6%	68	-0.5	225/274/377	152	279	18	13	26%	5%	77	+0.1
✕Che-Hsuan Lin 2008 · A	19	40→50	42→40	56→55	40	199/252/310	111	278	8	14	30%	6%	52	-1.6	223/287/308	85	277	6	19	20%	7%	66	-0.6	232/302/304	72	281	5	22	18%	8%	68	-0.4