Paulino Santana — OGILVIE

Paulino SantanaOF Hickory Crawdads

Age 19 R/R 6'1" / 180 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION383 act + 255 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†61

AVG/OBP/SLG.192 / .284 / .285

PA255

HR3

SB7

K%34

BB%9

BABIP298

ISO94

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 54

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER54

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

DEFENSE52

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$6M	+$6M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.4	$8M	+$7M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.5	$8M	+$7M
2033	Arb-1	$3M	+1.6	$8M	+$6M
2034	Arb-2	$5M	+1.6	$7M	+$5M
2035	Arb-3	$7M	+1.4	$6M	+$3M
Totals		$18M		$42M	+$34M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Rangers Red	—	260	213	42	4	2	0	34	58	12	20	5	197	340	235	575	38	269	22	13	270	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Rangers Red	—	260	195	57	6	4	0	52	38	12	20	5	292	467	364	831	72	361	15	20	392	158	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	2 teams	—	306	281	44	6	3	2	15	140	7	11	8	157	218	221	438	64	296	46	5	197	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	2 teams	—	306	271	69	11	6	5	25	94	7	11	8	255	333	395	728	140	366	31	8	325	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	A	TEX	—	383	335	65	13	2	7	35	142	12	14	5	194	293	307	601	113	312	37	9	271	66	-15	+1	+0	-2	+11	-0.6
YTD	19	A	TEX	—	383	314	77	17	2	9	56	100	12	14	5	245	380	398	778	153	332	26	15	355	130	+13	+1	+0	-2	+11	2.3
ROS	19	A	TEX	0%	255	224	43	8	2	3	22	88	7	7	3	192	284	285	570	94	292	34	9	265	61	-11	+0	-0	-2	+7	-0.6
ROS	19	MLB	TEX	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		294	—	—	246	46	—	—	-0	-0	—	—
FULL	19	A	TEX	—	383	336	65	13	2	7	35	142	12	14	5	193	293	307	600	113	310	37	9	271	66	-15	+1	+0	-2	+11	-0.6
TOT	19	A	TEX	—	638	559	108	21	4	10	57	230	19	21	8	193	290	299	588	105	306	36	9	268	64	-26	+1	-0	-4	+18	-1.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	TEX	34%	447	393	79	14	2	9	40	148	11	9	4	201	293	316	608	115	296	33	9	280	72	-14	+0	-1	-3	+13	-0.4
2028	21	MLB	TEX	48%	518	453	97	17	3	13	47	166	13	11	4	214	306	351	657	137	297	32	9	294	83	-10	+1	-1	-3	+15	0.1
2029	22	MLB	TEX	54%	627	550	120	21	3	18	57	195	15	13	5	218	309	365	674	147	298	31	9	304	90	-7	+1	-1	-4	+18	0.7
2030	23	MLB	TEX	57%	638	559	124	22	3	20	59	195	15	14	5	222	313	379	692	157	299	31	9	310	96	-3	+1	-1	-4	+18	1.1
2031	24	MLB	TEX	57%	637	558	126	22	3	21	59	193	15	14	5	226	316	389	705	163	300	30	9	315	99	-1	+1	-1	-4	+18	1.4
2032	25	MLB	TEX	57%	629	550	123	21	3	21	59	190	15	14	5	224	316	387	703	164	300	30	9	317	101	+1	+1	-1	-4	+18	1.5
2033	26	MLB	TEX	56%	627	548	123	21	3	21	59	189	15	14	5	224	317	389	705	164	300	30	9	318	102	+1	+1	-1	-4	+18	1.6
2034	27	MLB	TEX	55%	624	545	122	21	3	21	59	189	15	14	5	224	317	389	706	165	299	30	9	318	102	+1	+1	-1	-4	+18	1.6
2035	28	MLB	TEX	55%	618	539	121	21	3	21	59	188	15	13	5	224	318	391	710	167	299	30	10	317	101	+1	+1	-1	-4	+18	1.4
2036	29	MLB	TEX	53%	606	528	118	20	3	20	59	186	14	12	5	223	318	386	704	163	298	31	10	315	100	-0	+0	-2	-4	+17	1.2
2037	30	MLB	TEX	53%	595	518	114	19	3	19	58	184	14	11	4	220	315	378	694	158	296	31	10	313	97	-2	+1	-3	-4	+17	1.0
2038	31	MLB	TEX	52%	580	505	109	18	3	18	56	181	14	10	4	216	311	370	682	154	294	31	10	309	94	-4	+0	-4	-3	+16	0.6
2027	20	MLB	TEX	34%	154	135	28	5	1	3	14	51	4	3	1	207	301	326	627	119	297	33	9	263	59	-7	+0	-0	-1	+4	-0.4
2028	21	MLB	TEX	48%	251	220	46	8	1	6	23	80	6	5	2	209	301	336	638	127	299	32	9	277	70	-8	+0	-0	-2	+7	-0.3
2029	22	MLB	TEX	54%	340	298	65	11	2	10	31	106	8	7	3	218	309	369	678	151	300	31	9	287	78	-8	+0	-0	-2	+10	-0.1
2030	23	MLB	TEX	57%	361	316	70	12	2	11	33	110	9	8	3	222	313	377	689	155	300	30	9	294	83	-7	+0	-0	-2	+10	0.1
2031	24	MLB	TEX	57%	360	315	71	12	2	12	33	109	9	8	3	225	317	390	707	165	301	30	9	299	87	-5	+0	-0	-2	+10	0.3
2032	25	MLB	TEX	57%	355	310	71	12	2	12	33	107	9	8	3	229	321	397	718	168	302	30	9	301	89	-5	+0	-0	-2	+10	0.3
2033	26	MLB	TEX	56%	354	309	70	12	2	12	33	107	9	8	3	227	319	395	714	168	302	30	9	302	90	-4	+0	-0	-2	+10	0.4
2034	27	MLB	TEX	55%	346	302	69	12	2	12	33	105	8	8	3	228	321	401	721	172	301	30	10	302	90	-4	+0	-0	-2	+10	0.4
2035	28	MLB	TEX	55%	339	295	67	11	2	12	33	103	8	7	3	227	321	400	721	173	301	30	10	301	89	-4	+0	-1	-2	+10	0.3
2036	29	MLB	TEX	53%	324	282	64	11	2	11	31	99	8	7	3	227	321	397	718	170	300	31	10	300	87	-5	+0	-1	-2	+9	0.2
2037	30	MLB	TEX	53%	313	273	60	10	1	10	30	97	7	6	2	220	313	374	687	154	298	31	10	297	85	-5	+0	-1	-2	+9	0.1
2038	31	MLB	TEX	52%	302	263	58	10	1	10	29	94	7	5	2	221	314	380	695	160	296	31	10	293	82	-6	+0	-2	-2	+9	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3799	3319	739	126	20	121	356	1168	92	80	31	223	315	382	697	159	301	31	9	295	84	-69	+4	-8	-23	+108	1.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	568	127	22	3	21	61	200	16	14	5	224	317	384	701	160	302	31	9	295	84	-12	+1	-1	-4	+18	0.2
Career	—			—	7967	6964	1505	255	42	227	742	2490	197	187	72	216	309	363	672	146	298	31	9	303	90	-90	+9	-16	-48	+226	8.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	568	123	21	3	19	61	203	16	15	6	217	310	364	675	148	298	31	9	303	90	-7	+1	-1	-4	+18	0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Rangers Red	—	260	195	57	6	4	0	52	38	12	20	5	292	467	364	831	72	361	15	20	392	158	+17	+2	—	—	+7	2.7
2025	18	A	Hickory Crawdads	—	67	60	13	1	3	0	4	29	3	3	4	217	299	333	632	117	419	43	6	288	78	-2	-1	—	—	+2	-0.1
2025	18	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	239	211	56	10	3	5	21	65	4	8	4	265	343	412	756	147	354	27	9	335	115	+4	+0	—	—	+7	1.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	11	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
	/162	664	24	4	242	316	418	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
#2Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	8	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
	/162	664	17	29	251	317	406	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#3Desmond Jenningslast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,327 PA	6	2,327	55	93	245	323	394	-9	+10	8.1	8.1
	/162	664	16	27	245	323	394	-2.5	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	4,120	122	86	219	308	371	-25	+6	6.0	5.9
	/162	664	20	14	219	308	371	-4.0	+0.9	1.0	pk7: 6
#4Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#5Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#6Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Paulino Santana (OGILVIE)	19	20→40	40→54	55	50	193/290/299	105	306	10	21	36%	9%	64	-1.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Óscar Mercado 2014 · A	19	38→48	37→55	52→60	40	182/239/254	73	261	3	13	30%	6%	32	-3.0	192/241/259	67	240	4	23	21%	5%	33	-2.9	240/303/397	157	276	16	22	19%	7%	94	+1.0
✕Jose Paez 2012 · A	18	36	36→45	51→50	41	173/241/239	66	265	4	16	34%	7%	30	-3.1	220/268/311	91	310	5	12	29%	5%	58	-1.2	226/270/319	93	319	4	12	29%	5%	56	-0.4
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	38→43	42→55	53→50	44	188/268/290	102	278	10	11	34%	8%	55	-1.4	201/284/321	120	321	11	16	37%	9%	69	-0.4	229/308/399	169	310	21	18	31%	9%	95	+0.9
✕Efrain Contreras 2006 · A	19	43	37→45	49→55	41	202/261/275	74	285	4	9	29%	6%	47	-1.9	224/289/333	109	269	10	13	20%	5%	74	-0.1	225/291/340	115	260	12	15	18%	5%	76	+0.0
●Davis Schneider 2018 · A	19	40→43	41→60	48→50	50	195/275/298	102	255	8	6	26%	9%	59	-1.1	195/268/291	96	304	8	7	35%	8%	55	-1.4	212/321/414	202	270	25	9	30%	13%	108	+1.7
✕Maximo Rivera 2012 · A	19	35	41→45	47→60	41	179/238/272	93	242	10	13	30%	6%	37	-2.7	221/272/301	80	287	7	19	24%	6%	58	-1.2	235/283/299	64	302	5	24	23%	5%	60	-0.3
✕Andres Regnault 2018 · A	19	39	38→55	46→45	39	185/252/258	72	287	6	6	36%	7%	39	-2.5	229/289/356	127	293	13	7	25%	6%	80	+0.4	248/309/417	169	290	19	6	21%	6%	103	+0.7
✕Alexander Canario 2019 · A	19	41→34	42→60	47→50	44	201/268/307	106	272	10	12	29%	7%	59	-1.1	209/264/358	149	293	18	11	34%	6%	70	-0.3	205/276/414	209	281	28	13	37%	8%	87	+0.5
●Aaron Altherr 2010 · A	19	41→51	38→55	51→50	43	199/250/275	76	263	5	11	26%	6%	42	-2.3	203/243/284	81	290	6	16	31%	4%	40	-2.4	247/320/435	188	301	20	14	24%	8%	110	+1.8
●Moisés Sierra 2008 · A	19	37→47	41→50	49→50	37	186/237/281	95	256	9	10	30%	4%	39	-2.5	219/266/312	93	298	8	8	28%	4%	59	-1.1	248/314/378	130	302	14	15	22%	7%	93	+0.9
●Joe Benson 2007 · A	19	41→48	42→60	46→50	41	204/254/311	107	275	9	10	28%	6%	53	-1.5	211/280/305	94	316	6	13	33%	7%	63	-0.8	230/308/424	194	312	22	15	32%	8%	104	+1.5
●Derek Hill 2015 · A	19	41→51	40→50	55→60	47	200/269/291	91	259	7	13	25%	8%	55	-1.4	199/251/270	71	293	3	25	31%	6%	40	-2.4	248/301/422	175	338	22	29	32%	6%	100	+0.7
✕Ravel Santana 2010 · A	18	39	42→50	48→55	44	192/269/294	102	269	10	9	31%	8%	56	-1.3	219/288/360	141	283	16	15	27%	8%	81	+0.4	220/291/383	163	271	20	20	26%	8%	85	+0.3
✕Jerar Encarnacion 2017 · A	19	41→44	40→55	50→45	38	202/241/292	90	278	7	6	29%	5%	42	-2.3	190/233/290	100	311	10	5	40%	5%	39	-2.5	225/289/397	172	330	25	6	38%	8%	88	+0.7
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2012 · A	19	41	42→45	47→50	43	203/277/306	103	268	9	7	27%	6%	63	-0.9	224/283/326	102	290	5	11	24%	5%	69	-0.4	226/280/337	111	291	6	11	23%	4%	69	-0.2
✕David Bote 2013 · A	20	42→48	38→55	50→45	43	198/270/283	85	290	4	8	31%	8%	53	-1.5	186/260/267	81	263	5	6	29%	7%	45	-2.1	236/310/400	165	301	20	6	27%	8%	96	+1.1
✕Jesus Vasquez 2011 · A	19	40	43→55	47→55	38	200/249/313	113	263	10	11	28%	4%	52	-1.6	215/279/346	131	293	14	14	30%	6%	74	-0.1	221/297/387	166	294	19	20	30%	8%	97	+0.7
●Christopher Morel 2018 · A	19	37→46	43→60	50	49	188/259/290	102	223	11	17	21%	8%	51	-1.7	203/252/307	104	276	10	10	29%	5%	51	-1.7	224/302/430	206	282	27	10	30%	9%	102	+1.8
✕Luis Liberato 2015 · A	19	37→47	37→55	52→50	43	181/245/254	73	265	4	14	32%	7%	35	-2.8	201/256/305	104	305	6	9	33%	7%	52	-1.6	237/280/389	152	300	18	5	27%	6%	82	+0.3
✕Delino DeShields 2012 · A	19	40→50	40→45	50→65	41	196/253/282	87	272	8	16	30%	6%	45	-2.1	225/290/327	102	307	8	38	27%	7%	72	-0.2	242/320/339	97	323	6	34	25%	10%	85	+0.6