Paulino Santana — OGILVIE

Paulino SantanaLF Hickory Crawdads

Age 19 R/R 6'1" / 180 lbs A HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION566 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†75

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%11

BABIP306

ISO99

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$13M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 54

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER54

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

DEFENSE52

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.9M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2033	Arb-1	$3M	+0.7	$2M	+$0.0M
2034	Arb-2	$6M	+0.7	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-3	$8M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$9M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Rangers Red	—	260	195	57	6	4	0	52	38	12	20	5	292	467	364	831	72	361	15	20	392	151	+16	+2	—	—	+6	2.4
2025	18	A	Hickory Crawdads	—	67	60	13	1	3	0	4	29	3	3	4	217	299	333	632	117	419	43	6	288	81	-2	-1	—	—	+1	-0.1
2025	18	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	239	211	56	10	3	5	21	65	4	8	4	265	343	412	756	147	354	27	9	335	113	+4	+0	—	—	+5	0.9
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	—	260	214	45	4	3	0	33	56	12	20	5	210	347	257	604	47	273	22	13	276	73	-8	+2	—	—	+6	-0.1
2025	18	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	67	62	6	0	1	0	2	42	3	3	4	97	164	129	293	32	371	63	3	168	0	-8	-1	—	—	+1	-0.8
2025	18	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	239	219	39	6	2	3	13	95	4	8	4	178	237	265	502	87	277	40	5	215	32	-19	+0	—	—	+5	-1.5
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	—	260	214	45	4	3	0	33	56	12	20	5	210	347	257	604	47	283	22	13	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers Red	—	260	195	57	6	4	0	52	38	12	20	5	292	467	364	831	72	361	15	20	392	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	306	281	46	7	3	3	15	137	7	11	8	164	224	242	466	78	299	45	5	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	306	271	69	11	6	5	25	94	7	11	8	255	333	395	728	140	366	31	8	325	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	—	260	213	45	4	3	0	33	56	12	20	5	211	347	258	606	47	273	22	13	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	306	281	46	7	3	3	15	137	7	11	8	164	224	242	466	78	298	45	5	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	—	260	213	45	4	3	0	33	56	12	20	5	211	347	258	606	47	273	22	13	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	306	281	46	7	3	3	15	137	7	11	8	164	224	242	466	78	298	45	5	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	A MLE	TEX	—	566	499	105	20	3	12	50	200	15	29	9	210	301	335	636	124	323	35	9	285	79	-14	+2	+0	-6	+12	-0.6
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	A RAW	TEX	—	566	469	124	26	4	15	80	141	15	29	9	264	388	433	821	168	347	25	14	370	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	19	A MLE	TEX	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		303	33	11	279	75	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	19	A MLE	TEX	—	575	507	106	20	3	12	51	203	15	29	9	209	300	331	632	122	321	35	9	285	79	-14	+2	-0	-6	+12	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	TEX	34%	447	395	84	15	3	10	39	146	10	11	4	213	300	342	641	129	307	33	9	291	83	-9	+1	-1	-5	+10	-0.4
2028	21	MLB MLE	TEX	48%	609	535	119	21	4	16	55	192	14	15	5	222	311	366	678	144	307	32	9	303	91	-7	+1	-1	-7	+13	0.0
2029	22	MLB MLE	TEX	54%	627	551	125	22	4	19	57	192	14	15	5	227	315	385	700	158	307	31	9	313	98	-2	+1	-1	-7	+14	0.5
2030	23	MLB MLE	TEX	57%	638	560	130	23	4	21	59	192	14	15	5	232	321	400	721	168	308	30	9	319	102	+2	+1	-1	-7	+14	0.9
2031	24	MLB MLE	TEX	57%	637	559	130	23	4	21	59	190	14	15	5	233	321	401	722	168	309	30	9	323	105	+4	+1	-1	-7	+14	1.1
2032	25	MLB MLE	TEX	57%	629	551	129	22	4	22	59	186	14	14	5	234	324	408	732	174	309	30	9	326	107	+5	+1	-1	-7	+14	1.2
2033	26	MLB MLE	TEX	56%	627	549	129	22	4	22	59	186	14	14	5	235	325	410	735	175	309	30	9	327	107	+5	+1	-1	-7	+14	1.2
2034	27	MLB MLE	TEX	55%	624	545	128	22	4	22	60	185	14	14	5	235	326	411	737	176	308	30	10	327	107	+5	+1	-1	-7	+14	1.2
2035	28	MLB MLE	TEX	55%	618	540	125	22	3	21	59	184	14	13	4	231	323	400	723	169	308	30	10	326	106	+5	+1	-2	-7	+13	1.1
2036	29	MLB MLE	TEX	53%	606	529	122	21	3	21	59	182	13	12	4	231	323	401	724	170	307	30	10	324	105	+4	+1	-3	-6	+13	0.9
2037	30	MLB MLE	TEX	53%	595	519	119	20	3	20	58	180	13	11	4	229	322	395	717	166	305	30	10	321	103	+2	+1	-3	-6	+13	0.6
2038	31	MLB MLE	TEX	52%	580	506	114	19	3	19	56	177	13	10	3	225	318	387	706	162	303	31	10	317	101	+0	+1	-4	-6	+13	0.4
2039	32	MLB MLE	TEX	56%	562	491	109	18	3	18	54	174	12	9	3	222	314	381	695	159	299	31	10	311	97	-2	+1	-5	-6	+12	0.0
2040	33	MLB MLE	TEX	59%	532	465	99	16	2	16	51	168	11	8	3	213	306	359	665	146	295	32	10	304	92	-5	+0	-5	-6	+12	-0.4
2027	20	MLB CTX	TEX	34%	154	135	30	5	1	4	14	50	4	4	1	222	314	363	677	141	309	32	9	279	83	-3	+0	-0	-2	+3	-0.1
2028	21	MLB CTX	TEX	48%	295	260	58	10	2	8	26	93	7	7	2	223	311	369	680	146	310	32	9	291	91	-3	+1	-1	-3	+6	0.0
2029	22	MLB CTX	TEX	54%	340	298	69	12	2	11	31	104	8	8	3	232	320	396	716	164	310	31	9	302	98	-1	+0	-1	-4	+7	0.3
2030	23	MLB CTX	TEX	57%	361	317	75	13	2	13	33	108	8	9	3	237	324	413	737	177	311	30	9	309	102	+1	+1	-1	-4	+8	0.5
2031	24	MLB CTX	TEX	57%	360	316	75	13	2	13	33	107	8	8	3	237	325	415	739	177	312	30	9	313	105	+2	+0	-1	-4	+8	0.6
2032	25	MLB CTX	TEX	57%	355	311	74	13	2	13	33	105	8	8	3	238	327	418	745	180	312	30	9	316	107	+3	+0	-1	-4	+8	0.7
2033	26	MLB CTX	TEX	56%	354	310	74	13	2	13	33	105	8	8	3	239	328	419	747	181	312	30	9	317	107	+3	+0	-1	-4	+8	0.7
2034	27	MLB CTX	TEX	55%	346	302	72	12	2	13	33	103	8	8	3	238	329	421	750	182	311	30	10	317	107	+3	+0	-1	-4	+7	0.7
2035	28	MLB CTX	TEX	55%	339	296	71	12	2	13	33	101	7	7	2	240	330	426	756	186	311	30	10	316	106	+3	+1	-1	-4	+7	0.6
2036	29	MLB CTX	TEX	53%	324	283	67	11	2	12	31	97	7	7	2	237	327	417	744	180	310	30	10	314	105	+2	+1	-1	-3	+7	0.5
2037	30	MLB CTX	TEX	53%	313	273	64	11	2	11	30	95	7	6	2	234	326	410	736	176	308	30	10	311	103	+1	+0	-2	-3	+7	0.3
2038	31	MLB CTX	TEX	52%	302	263	60	10	1	11	29	92	7	5	2	228	321	399	720	171	306	30	10	307	101	+0	+0	-2	-3	+7	0.2
2039	32	MLB CTX	TEX	56%	316	276	63	10	2	11	30	98	7	5	2	228	319	399	718	170	302	31	9	301	97	-1	+0	-3	-3	+7	-0.0
2040	33	MLB CTX	TEX	59%	314	274	60	10	1	10	30	99	7	5	2	219	312	372	684	153	298	32	10	294	92	-3	+0	-3	-3	+7	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4473	3914	912	155	25	156	419	1357	101	95	33	233	323	405	728	172	311	30	9	308	97	+6	+6	-17	-48	+97	4.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	569	134	23	4	23	61	197	15	14	5	236	326	411	737	176	314	30	9	308	97	+1	+1	-2	-7	+14	0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	8906	7798	1754	297	54	271	833	2730	203	207	73	225	316	381	697	156	306	31	9	312	97	+8	+11	-30	-89	+181	8.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	569	129	22	4	20	61	199	15	15	5	227	318	385	703	158	309	31	9	312	97	+1	+1	-2	-7	+14	0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Younglast yr '18 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,316 PA	8.0	5,316	191	142	235	314	428	-0	+3	21.3	20.7
/162	664	24	18	-0.0	+0.4	2.7	pk7: 20
#2Colby Rasmuslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 4,070 PA	6.1	4,070	165	35	242	311	438	-0	+8	16.7	16.2
/162	664	27	6	-0.0	+1.3	2.7	pk7: 16
#3Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	7.5	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
/162	664	24	4	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	7.2	4,794	149	103	227	314	386	-30	+6	10.2	8.8
/162	664	21	14	-4.2	+0.9	1.4	pk7: 7
#4Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
/162	664	17	29	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#5Desmond Jenningslast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,327 PA	3.5	2,327	55	93	245	323	394	-9	+10	8.1	8.1
/162	664	16	27	-2.5	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 8
#6Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Paulino Santana (OGILVIE)	19	20→40	40→54	55	50	203/291/314	112	303	6	13	34%	9%	75	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Davis Schneider 2018 · A	19	40→43	41→55	48→50	50	195/275/298	102	255	8	6	26%	9%	64	-1.3	195/268/291	96	304	8	7	35%	8%	60	-1.6	209/318/396	187	271	23	9	30%	12%	102	+1.1
✕Derek Hill 2015 · A	19	41→51	40→55	55→60	47	200/269/291	91	259	7	13	25%	8%	60	-1.6	202/254/274	72	296	2	25	30%	6%	49	-2.4	242/294/410	167	331	20	27	32%	6%	94	+0.4
●Christopher Morel 2018 · A	19	37→46	43→60	50	49	188/259/290	102	223	11	17	21%	8%	57	-1.8	204/252/308	104	276	9	10	28%	5%	57	-1.8	225/303/429	204	283	27	10	30%	9%	102	+1.4
✕Maximo Rivera 2012 · A	19	35	41→45	47→60	41	179/238/272	93	242	10	13	30%	6%	44	-2.8	221/272/301	80	288	7	19	24%	6%	63	-1.4	235/283/299	64	303	5	24	23%	5%	64	-0.4
✕Jesus Vasquez 2011 · A	19	40	43→55	47→55	38	200/249/313	113	263	10	11	28%	4%	57	-1.8	215/279/346	131	293	14	14	30%	6%	77	-0.3	221/297/387	166	294	19	20	30%	8%	97	+0.5
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	38→41	42→50	53→55	44	186/268/288	102	275	10	11	34%	9%	60	-1.6	201/285/320	119	319	11	16	37%	10%	73	-0.6	220/298/374	155	300	18	18	31%	9%	87	+0.3
✕Masyn Winn 2022 · A	20	42→52	39→50	57→55	42	201/259/292	90	285	6	22	30%	7%	56	-1.9	230/286/359	129	289	11	21	23%	7%	82	-0.0	252/312/373	121	300	11	11	19%	7%	93	+0.8
●Aaron Altherr 2010 · A	19	41→51	38→55	51→50	43	199/250/275	76	263	5	11	26%	6%	49	-2.4	202/243/281	79	288	5	16	30%	4%	47	-2.5	244/317/420	177	301	18	14	24%	8%	104	+1.2
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2012 · A	19	41	42→45	47→50	43	203/277/306	103	268	9	7	27%	6%	67	-1.1	224/283/326	102	290	5	11	24%	5%	73	-0.6	226/280/337	111	291	6	11	23%	4%	73	-0.3
✕Ravel Santana 2010 · A	18	39	42→50	48→55	44	192/269/294	102	269	10	9	31%	8%	61	-1.5	219/288/360	141	283	16	15	27%	8%	83	+0.1	220/291/383	163	271	20	20	26%	8%	87	+0.1
✕Alexander Canario 2019 · A	19	41→34	42→60	47→50	44	201/268/307	106	272	10	12	29%	7%	63	-1.3	210/265/358	148	294	18	11	33%	6%	74	-0.5	201/270/393	193	274	26	13	36%	8%	82	-0.0
●Steven Souza Jr. 2008 · A	19	36→46	41→60	48→55	38	178/245/274	96	285	9	7	38%	7%	47	-2.5	194/256/285	91	293	7	14	34%	7%	53	-2.1	235/325/427	192	317	26	14	32%	11%	111	+1.8
●Moisés Sierra 2008 · A	19	37→47	41→50	49→50	37	186/237/281	95	256	9	10	30%	4%	46	-2.6	219/266/312	93	298	8	8	28%	4%	63	-1.4	249/315/369	120	307	12	15	22%	7%	92	+0.6
✕Joe Benson 2007 · A	19	41→50	42→55	46→50	41	204/254/311	107	275	9	10	28%	6%	59	-1.7	211/280/305	94	316	6	13	33%	7%	68	-1.0	229/306/401	172	313	18	15	31%	8%	97	+0.8
✕Joshua Báez 2022 · A	19	39→46	41→55	54→60	38	185/258/281	96	309	8	10	40%	7%	54	-2.0	176/263/284	108	354	10	21	48%	8%	57	-1.8	204/273/381	176	282	23	33	35%	7%	82	-0.0
●Edward Olivares 2016 · A	20	43→53	40→55	55	43	203/292/296	93	267	6	17	25%	6%	71	-0.8	214/269/338	124	276	11	13	26%	5%	71	-0.8	262/319/433	171	298	19	16	19%	6%	108	+1.2
✕Andres Regnault 2018 · A	19	39	38→55	46→45	39	185/252/258	72	287	6	6	36%	7%	46	-2.6	229/289/356	127	293	13	7	25%	6%	82	+0.0	248/309/417	169	290	19	6	21%	6%	103	+0.6
●Jo Adell 2018 · A	19	46	42→65	55→50	36	223/264/339	116	318	8	9	32%	4%	68	-1.0	222/272/373	151	319	16	10	34%	5%	80	-0.1	226/289/423	196	264	28	9	26%	6%	97	+1.0
✕Abraham Almonte 2008 · A	19	42→52	42→55	50→55	49	206/280/312	106	268	10	19	26%	9%	69	-0.9	213/262/309	96	284	7	19	26%	6%	60	-1.6	228/326/410	182	278	20	11	24%	12%	106	+1.0
✕Yunior Garcia 2019 · A	18	37→47	43→50	52→30	40	187/247/297	110	260	10	10	31%	6%	53	-2.1	196/245/302	106	303	10	7	37%	5%	53	-2.1	225/276/346	121	319	13	2	32%	5%	71	-0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps