Paulino Santana

LF Hickory Crawdads
Age 20 R/R 6'1" / 180 lbs A HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2036
OGV OFP35OGV rank#1755ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202417ROKDSL Rangers R…260.292/.467/.36402065—.182/.340/.220
202518A/ROKTEX306.255/.333/.39551129—.171/.234/.257
202619ATEX566.264/.388/.433152984—.220/.319/.352
2027PROJMLE20MLBTEX640.197/.284/.308111570-0.3
2028PROJ34% MLB21MLBTEX173.206/.293/.3374478-0.3
2029PROJ48% MLB22MLBTEX260.214/.301/.3617786-0.1
Next 3 projected WAR -0.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Arb-1$2M2034Arb-2$3M+1
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A
wRC+81
wOBA77
ISO68
Speed67
BB%66
Chase%57
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.2 / P90 13, comp-based) · star 6% · didn't stick 77%
CompsCarlos Jimenez (age 20) · Max Muncy (age 20) · Sean Henry (age 20)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 210 proj PA
wRC+†70
AVG/OBP/SLG.196 / .282 / .305
PA210
HR4
SB5
K%32
BB%9
ISO110
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -7.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-8BATRUN: +0.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: -0.6 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-1FLDPOS: -2.2 runs (Positional adjustment)-2POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -0.30-0.3WAR
0.00.51.00.10.20.30.40.30.227282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$0M ctrl surplus
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.2$0.6M+$0.0M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.3$0.8M+$0.3M
2033Arb-1$2M+0.4$1M+$0.0M (cut)
2034Arb-2$3M+0.3$0.7M+$0.0M (cut)
2035Arb-3$3M+0.2$0.4M+$0.0M (cut)
Totals $2M $4M +$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202417 ROKDSL Rangers Red — 260195 57640 523812 205 292467364831 72361 1520 392 65 — — — — — —
202518 AHickory Crawdads — 6760 13130 4293 34 217299333632 117419 436 288 13 — — — — — —
202518 ROKACL Rangers — 239211 561035 21654 84 265343412756 147354 279 335 33 — — — — — —
202619 AHickory Crawdads — 566469 12426415 8014115 299 264388433821 168347 2514 370 84 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Rangers Red — 260209 38420 384812 205 182340220560 38229 1815 264 65 — — — — — —
202518 A MLEHickory Crawdads — 6761 9120 3403 34 148224230453 82392 604 188 13 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEACL Rangers — 239219 39623 13954 84 178237265502 87279 405 217 33 — — — — — —
202619 A MLEHickory Crawdads — 566492 10821412 5719215 299 220319352671 132326 3410 293 84 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Rangers Red — 260209 38420 384812 205 182340220560 38235 1815 264 65 — — — — — —
202417 ROK RAWDSL Rangers Red — 260195 57640 523812 205 292467364831 72361 1520 392 65 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLE2 teams — 306280 48743 161367 118 171234257491 86312 445 211 29 — — — — — —
202518 ROK RAW2 teams — 306271 691165 25947 118 255333395728 140366 318 325 29 — — — — — —
202619 A MLEHickory Crawdads — 566492 10821412 5719215 299 220319352671 132332 3410 293 84 — — — — — —
202619 A RAWHickory Crawdads — 566469 12426415 8014115 299 264388433821 168347 2514 370 84 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Rangers Red — 260208 38420 384812 205 183340221561 38229 1815 264 65 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLE2 teams — 306280 48743 161367 118 171234257491 86304 445 211 29 — — — — — —
202619 A MLEHickory Crawdads — 566489 10821412 5719215 299 221319354673 133326 3410 293 84 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Rangers Red — 260208 38420 384812 205 183340221561 38229 1815 264 65 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLE2 teams — 306280 48743 161367 118 171234257491 86304 445 211 29 — — — — — —
202619 A MLEHickory Crawdads — 566489 10821412 5719215 299 221319354673 133326 3410 293 84 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202720 MLB MLETEX 0% 640566 11121411 5620313 156 197284308592 110282 329 271 70 -23 +1 -2 -7 +14 -0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202821 MLB MLETEX 34% 504444 9117311 4515610 134 205292332624 127284 319 283 78 -13 +1 -1 -5 +11 -0.8
202922 MLB MLETEX 48% 537473 10118414 4916110 145 212299355654 142285 309 295 86 -9 +1 -1 -6 +12 -0.3
203023 MLB MLETEX 54% 578509 11120417 5316911 145 218304370675 153287 299 303 91 -6 +1 -0 -6 +13 0.1
203124 MLB MLETEX 55% 597526 11721418 5517211 145 222308381689 159288 299 309 95 -4 +1 +1 -6 +13 0.4
203225 MLB MLETEX 56% 603532 11921419 5517111 145 224310387697 163288 289 312 97 -2 +1 +1 -6 +13 0.6
203326 MLB MLETEX 56% 599528 11821419 5517011 145 224310389699 165288 289 312 98 -2 +1 +1 -6 +13 0.6
203427 MLB MLETEX 55% 596525 11821419 5517011 135 223309386696 163287 299 311 97 -2 +1 +1 -6 +13 0.5
203528 MLB MLETEX 55% 585516 11320318 5416810 114 221307381689 160286 299 308 95 -4 +1 -0 -6 +13 0.3
203629 MLB MLETEX 53% 568501 10919317 5216510 94 219304375679 156285 299 305 92 -5 +0 -1 -6 +12 0.0
203730 MLB MLETEX 57% 552488 10418316 501629 84 215301367667 151282 299 300 89 -7 +0 -2 -6 +12 -0.3
202821 MLB CTXTEX 34% 173153 32614 15533 42 206293337630 131283 319 286 78 -5 +0 -0 -2 +4 -0.3
202922 MLB CTXTEX 48% 260229 49827 24785 72 214301361662 148285 309 298 86 -4 +1 -0 -3 +6 -0.1
203023 MLB CTXTEX 54% 313275 6010210 29926 83 219306378684 159286 299 306 91 -3 +0 -0 -3 +7 0.1
203124 MLB CTXTEX 55% 331292 6511211 30956 83 223310389699 166288 299 312 95 -2 +0 +0 -4 +7 0.2
203225 MLB CTXTEX 56% 338298 6711212 31966 83 226312396707 170288 289 315 97 -1 +0 +0 -4 +7 0.3
203326 MLB CTXTEX 56% 337297 6711212 31966 83 226312398710 172288 289 316 98 -1 +0 +0 -4 +7 0.4
203427 MLB CTXTEX 55% 330291 6511211 30946 73 225311395706 170287 289 315 97 -1 +0 +0 -4 +7 0.3
203528 MLB CTXTEX 55% 321282 6411211 30926 62 223309390699 167286 299 312 95 -2 +0 -0 -3 +7 0.2
203629 MLB CTXTEX 53% 303267 5910210 28885 52 220306383689 163285 299 308 92 -3 +0 -0 -3 +7 0.0
203730 MLB CTXTEX 57% 315278 6110210 29935 52 217302375677 158282 309 303 89 -4 +0 -1 -3 +7 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 30212662 589991998 27787754 6625 221307383691 162288 299 309 87 -27 +3 -1 -32 +65 0.9
/ 162G— A+C — 650573 12621421 6018912 145 220307380688 161286 299 309 87 -6 +1 -0 -7 +14 0.2
Career— MLE — 70616209 133223547187 6522107142 18970 215304358661 143290 309 297 87 -62 +7 -3 -64 +128 0.7
/ 162G— MLE — 650572 12222417 6019413 176 213302355657 142288 309 297 87 -7 +1 -0 -7 +14 0.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AHickory Crawdads · 566 PAwOBA .362 → .293 (−68)K% 24.9% → 33.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.91%÷1.000×1.360——33.88%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.13%÷1.000×0.690—×1.03010.05%
HBP% /PA2.65%—×0.780—×1.0302.13%
Singles /BIP24.09%÷1.000×0.920×1.025×1.03023.38%
Doubles /BIP7.93%÷1.000×0.830×1.025×1.0306.94%
Triples /BIP1.22%÷1.000×0.910×1.025×1.0301.17%
Home runs /BIP4.57%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0303.77%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.025.

Result: wOBA .362 → .293; ISO .168 → .134; BABIP .347 → .326. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKACL Rangers · 239 PAwOBA .330 → .217 (−114)K% 27.2% → 39.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.20%÷0.981×1.440——39.93%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.79%÷1.016×0.620—×1.0085.40%
HBP% /PA1.67%—×0.720—×1.0081.21%
Singles /BIP26.03%÷0.991×0.820×1.002×1.00821.74%
Doubles /BIP6.85%÷1.017×0.720×1.002×1.0084.89%
Triples /BIP2.05%÷1.138×0.720×1.002×1.0081.31%
Home runs /BIP3.42%÷1.302×0.780—×1.0082.07%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 160, 1B 98, 2B 103, 3B 128, K 96, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.

Result: wOBA .330 → .217; ISO .147 → .083; BABIP .354 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AHickory Crawdads · 67 PAwOBA .281 → .188 (−92)K% 43.3% → 60.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA43.28%÷0.981×1.360——60.01%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.97%÷1.051×0.690—×1.0454.10%
HBP% /PA4.48%—×0.780—×1.0453.65%
Singles /BIP29.03%÷1.002×0.920—×1.04527.85%
Doubles /BIP3.23%÷1.123×0.830—×1.0452.49%
Triples /BIP9.68%÷1.039×0.910—×1.0458.85%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.037×0.800—×1.0450.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 100, 2B 125, 3B 108, K 96, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .281 → .188; ISO .117 → .073; BABIP .419 → .392. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Rangers Red · 260 PAwOBA .385 → .264 (−120)K% 14.6% → 18.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.62%÷0.969×1.220——18.41%
BB% (unintentional) /PA20.00%÷0.976×0.700—×1.00814.45%
HBP% /PA4.62%—×0.700—×1.0083.26%
Singles /BIP29.94%÷1.025×0.680×0.975×1.00819.50%
Doubles /BIP3.82%÷1.032×0.600×0.975×1.0082.18%
Triples /BIP2.55%÷1.150×0.600×0.975×1.0081.31%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.333×0.470—×1.0080.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 167, 1B 105, 2B 106, 3B 130, K 94, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.975.

Result: wOBA .385 → .264; ISO .072 → .041; BABIP .361 → .229. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).