Paulino Santana
LF Hickory Crawdads| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ROKDSL Rangers R… | 260 | .292/.467/.364 | 0 | 20 | 65 | — | .182/.340/.220 |
| 2025 | 18 | A/ROKTEX | 306 | .255/.333/.395 | 5 | 11 | 29 | — | .171/.234/.257 |
| 2026 | 19 | ATEX | 566 | .264/.388/.433 | 15 | 29 | 84 | — | .220/.319/.352 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 20 | MLBTEX | 640 | .197/.284/.308 | 11 | 15 | 70 | -0.3 | |
| 2028PROJ34% MLB | 21 | MLBTEX | 173 | .206/.293/.337 | 4 | 4 | 78 | -0.3 | |
| 2029PROJ48% MLB | 22 | MLBTEX | 260 | .214/.301/.361 | 7 | 7 | 86 | -0.1 |
Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Rangers Red | — | 260 | 195 | 57 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 52 | 38 | 12 | 20 | 5 | 292 | 467 | 364 | 831 | 72 | 361 | 15 | 20 | 392 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | A | Hickory Crawdads | — | 67 | 60 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 217 | 299 | 333 | 632 | 117 | 419 | 43 | 6 | 288 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | ACL Rangers | — | 239 | 211 | 56 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 65 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 265 | 343 | 412 | 756 | 147 | 354 | 27 | 9 | 335 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A | Hickory Crawdads | — | 566 | 469 | 124 | 26 | 4 | 15 | 80 | 141 | 15 | 29 | 9 | 264 | 388 | 433 | 821 | 168 | 347 | 25 | 14 | 370 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Rangers Red | — | 260 | 209 | 38 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 38 | 48 | 12 | 20 | 5 | 182 | 340 | 220 | 560 | 38 | 229 | 18 | 15 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | A MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 67 | 61 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 40 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 148 | 224 | 230 | 453 | 82 | 392 | 60 | 4 | 188 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Rangers | — | 239 | 219 | 39 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 95 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 178 | 237 | 265 | 502 | 87 | 279 | 40 | 5 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 566 | 492 | 108 | 21 | 4 | 12 | 57 | 192 | 15 | 29 | 9 | 220 | 319 | 352 | 671 | 132 | 326 | 34 | 10 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Rangers Red | — | 260 | 209 | 38 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 38 | 48 | 12 | 20 | 5 | 182 | 340 | 220 | 560 | 38 | 235 | 18 | 15 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Rangers Red | — | 260 | 195 | 57 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 52 | 38 | 12 | 20 | 5 | 292 | 467 | 364 | 831 | 72 | 361 | 15 | 20 | 392 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 306 | 280 | 48 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 136 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 171 | 234 | 257 | 491 | 86 | 312 | 44 | 5 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 306 | 271 | 69 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 94 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 255 | 333 | 395 | 728 | 140 | 366 | 31 | 8 | 325 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 566 | 492 | 108 | 21 | 4 | 12 | 57 | 192 | 15 | 29 | 9 | 220 | 319 | 352 | 671 | 132 | 332 | 34 | 10 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A RAW | Hickory Crawdads | — | 566 | 469 | 124 | 26 | 4 | 15 | 80 | 141 | 15 | 29 | 9 | 264 | 388 | 433 | 821 | 168 | 347 | 25 | 14 | 370 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Rangers Red | — | 260 | 208 | 38 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 38 | 48 | 12 | 20 | 5 | 183 | 340 | 221 | 561 | 38 | 229 | 18 | 15 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 306 | 280 | 48 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 136 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 171 | 234 | 257 | 491 | 86 | 304 | 44 | 5 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 566 | 489 | 108 | 21 | 4 | 12 | 57 | 192 | 15 | 29 | 9 | 221 | 319 | 354 | 673 | 133 | 326 | 34 | 10 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Rangers Red | — | 260 | 208 | 38 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 38 | 48 | 12 | 20 | 5 | 183 | 340 | 221 | 561 | 38 | 229 | 18 | 15 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 306 | 280 | 48 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 136 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 171 | 234 | 257 | 491 | 86 | 304 | 44 | 5 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 566 | 489 | 108 | 21 | 4 | 12 | 57 | 192 | 15 | 29 | 9 | 221 | 319 | 354 | 673 | 133 | 326 | 34 | 10 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB MLE | TEX | 0% | 640 | 566 | 111 | 21 | 4 | 11 | 56 | 203 | 13 | 15 | 6 | 197 | 284 | 308 | 592 | 110 | 282 | 32 | 9 | 271 | 70 | -23 | +1 | -2 | -7 | +14 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 21 | MLB MLE | TEX | 34% | 504 | 444 | 91 | 17 | 3 | 11 | 45 | 156 | 10 | 13 | 4 | 205 | 292 | 332 | 624 | 127 | 284 | 31 | 9 | 283 | 78 | -13 | +1 | -1 | -5 | +11 | -0.8 |
| 2029 | 22 | MLB MLE | TEX | 48% | 537 | 473 | 101 | 18 | 4 | 14 | 49 | 161 | 10 | 14 | 5 | 212 | 299 | 355 | 654 | 142 | 285 | 30 | 9 | 295 | 86 | -9 | +1 | -1 | -6 | +12 | -0.3 |
| 2030 | 23 | MLB MLE | TEX | 54% | 578 | 509 | 111 | 20 | 4 | 17 | 53 | 169 | 11 | 14 | 5 | 218 | 304 | 370 | 675 | 153 | 287 | 29 | 9 | 303 | 91 | -6 | +1 | -0 | -6 | +13 | 0.1 |
| 2031 | 24 | MLB MLE | TEX | 55% | 597 | 526 | 117 | 21 | 4 | 18 | 55 | 172 | 11 | 14 | 5 | 222 | 308 | 381 | 689 | 159 | 288 | 29 | 9 | 309 | 95 | -4 | +1 | +1 | -6 | +13 | 0.4 |
| 2032 | 25 | MLB MLE | TEX | 56% | 603 | 532 | 119 | 21 | 4 | 19 | 55 | 171 | 11 | 14 | 5 | 224 | 310 | 387 | 697 | 163 | 288 | 28 | 9 | 312 | 97 | -2 | +1 | +1 | -6 | +13 | 0.6 |
| 2033 | 26 | MLB MLE | TEX | 56% | 599 | 528 | 118 | 21 | 4 | 19 | 55 | 170 | 11 | 14 | 5 | 224 | 310 | 389 | 699 | 165 | 288 | 28 | 9 | 312 | 98 | -2 | +1 | +1 | -6 | +13 | 0.6 |
| 2034 | 27 | MLB MLE | TEX | 55% | 596 | 525 | 118 | 21 | 4 | 19 | 55 | 170 | 11 | 13 | 5 | 223 | 309 | 386 | 696 | 163 | 287 | 29 | 9 | 311 | 97 | -2 | +1 | +1 | -6 | +13 | 0.5 |
| 2035 | 28 | MLB MLE | TEX | 55% | 585 | 516 | 113 | 20 | 3 | 18 | 54 | 168 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 221 | 307 | 381 | 689 | 160 | 286 | 29 | 9 | 308 | 95 | -4 | +1 | -0 | -6 | +13 | 0.3 |
| 2036 | 29 | MLB MLE | TEX | 53% | 568 | 501 | 109 | 19 | 3 | 17 | 52 | 165 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 219 | 304 | 375 | 679 | 156 | 285 | 29 | 9 | 305 | 92 | -5 | +0 | -1 | -6 | +12 | 0.0 |
| 2037 | 30 | MLB MLE | TEX | 57% | 552 | 488 | 104 | 18 | 3 | 16 | 50 | 162 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 215 | 301 | 367 | 667 | 151 | 282 | 29 | 9 | 300 | 89 | -7 | +0 | -2 | -6 | +12 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 21 | MLB CTX | TEX | 34% | 173 | 153 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 53 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 206 | 293 | 337 | 630 | 131 | 283 | 31 | 9 | 286 | 78 | -5 | +0 | -0 | -2 | +4 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 22 | MLB CTX | TEX | 48% | 260 | 229 | 49 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 24 | 78 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 214 | 301 | 361 | 662 | 148 | 285 | 30 | 9 | 298 | 86 | -4 | +1 | -0 | -3 | +6 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 23 | MLB CTX | TEX | 54% | 313 | 275 | 60 | 10 | 2 | 10 | 29 | 92 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 219 | 306 | 378 | 684 | 159 | 286 | 29 | 9 | 306 | 91 | -3 | +0 | -0 | -3 | +7 | 0.1 |
| 2031 | 24 | MLB CTX | TEX | 55% | 331 | 292 | 65 | 11 | 2 | 11 | 30 | 95 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 223 | 310 | 389 | 699 | 166 | 288 | 29 | 9 | 312 | 95 | -2 | +0 | +0 | -4 | +7 | 0.2 |
| 2032 | 25 | MLB CTX | TEX | 56% | 338 | 298 | 67 | 11 | 2 | 12 | 31 | 96 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 226 | 312 | 396 | 707 | 170 | 288 | 28 | 9 | 315 | 97 | -1 | +0 | +0 | -4 | +7 | 0.3 |
| 2033 | 26 | MLB CTX | TEX | 56% | 337 | 297 | 67 | 11 | 2 | 12 | 31 | 96 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 226 | 312 | 398 | 710 | 172 | 288 | 28 | 9 | 316 | 98 | -1 | +0 | +0 | -4 | +7 | 0.4 |
| 2034 | 27 | MLB CTX | TEX | 55% | 330 | 291 | 65 | 11 | 2 | 11 | 30 | 94 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 225 | 311 | 395 | 706 | 170 | 287 | 28 | 9 | 315 | 97 | -1 | +0 | +0 | -4 | +7 | 0.3 |
| 2035 | 28 | MLB CTX | TEX | 55% | 321 | 282 | 64 | 11 | 2 | 11 | 30 | 92 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 223 | 309 | 390 | 699 | 167 | 286 | 29 | 9 | 312 | 95 | -2 | +0 | -0 | -3 | +7 | 0.2 |
| 2036 | 29 | MLB CTX | TEX | 53% | 303 | 267 | 59 | 10 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 88 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 220 | 306 | 383 | 689 | 163 | 285 | 29 | 9 | 308 | 92 | -3 | +0 | -0 | -3 | +7 | 0.0 |
| 2037 | 30 | MLB CTX | TEX | 57% | 315 | 278 | 61 | 10 | 2 | 10 | 29 | 93 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 217 | 302 | 375 | 677 | 158 | 282 | 30 | 9 | 303 | 89 | -4 | +0 | -1 | -3 | +7 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 3021 | 2662 | 589 | 99 | 19 | 98 | 277 | 877 | 54 | 66 | 25 | 221 | 307 | 383 | 691 | 162 | 288 | 29 | 9 | 309 | 87 | -27 | +3 | -1 | -32 | +65 | 0.9 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 573 | 126 | 21 | 4 | 21 | 60 | 189 | 12 | 14 | 5 | 220 | 307 | 380 | 688 | 161 | 286 | 29 | 9 | 309 | 87 | -6 | +1 | -0 | -7 | +14 | 0.2 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 7061 | 6209 | 1332 | 235 | 47 | 187 | 652 | 2107 | 142 | 189 | 70 | 215 | 304 | 358 | 661 | 143 | 290 | 30 | 9 | 297 | 87 | -62 | +7 | -3 | -64 | +128 | 0.7 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 572 | 122 | 22 | 4 | 17 | 60 | 194 | 13 | 17 | 6 | 213 | 302 | 355 | 657 | 142 | 288 | 30 | 9 | 297 | 87 | -7 | +1 | -0 | -7 | +14 | 0.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AHickory Crawdads · 566 PAwOBA .362 → .293 (−68)K% 24.9% → 33.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.91% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 33.88% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.13% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 10.05% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.65% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 2.13% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.09% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.025 | ×1.030 | 23.38% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.93% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.025 | ×1.030 | 6.94% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.22% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.025 | ×1.030 | 1.17% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.57% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 3.77% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.025.
Result: wOBA .362 → .293; ISO .168 → .134; BABIP .347 → .326. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ROKACL Rangers · 239 PAwOBA .330 → .217 (−114)K% 27.2% → 39.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.20% | ÷0.981 | ×1.440 | — | — | 39.93% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.79% | ÷1.016 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 5.40% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.67% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 1.21% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.03% | ÷0.991 | ×0.820 | ×1.002 | ×1.008 | 21.74% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.85% | ÷1.017 | ×0.720 | ×1.002 | ×1.008 | 4.89% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.05% | ÷1.138 | ×0.720 | ×1.002 | ×1.008 | 1.31% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.42% | ÷1.302 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 2.07% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 160, 1B 98, 2B 103, 3B 128, K 96, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.
Result: wOBA .330 → .217; ISO .147 → .083; BABIP .354 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AHickory Crawdads · 67 PAwOBA .281 → .188 (−92)K% 43.3% → 60.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 43.28% | ÷0.981 | ×1.360 | — | — | 60.01% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.97% | ÷1.051 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.045 | 4.10% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.48% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.045 | 3.65% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.03% | ÷1.002 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.045 | 27.85% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.23% | ÷1.123 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.045 | 2.49% |
| Triples /BIP | 9.68% | ÷1.039 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.045 | 8.85% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.037 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.045 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 100, 2B 125, 3B 108, K 96, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .281 → .188; ISO .117 → .073; BABIP .419 → .392. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 DSLDSL Rangers Red · 260 PAwOBA .385 → .264 (−120)K% 14.6% → 18.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.62% | ÷0.969 | ×1.220 | — | — | 18.41% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 20.00% | ÷0.976 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 14.45% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.62% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 3.26% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.94% | ÷1.025 | ×0.680 | ×0.975 | ×1.008 | 19.50% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.82% | ÷1.032 | ×0.600 | ×0.975 | ×1.008 | 2.18% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.55% | ÷1.150 | ×0.600 | ×0.975 | ×1.008 | 1.31% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.333 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 167, 1B 105, 2B 106, 3B 130, K 94, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.975.
Result: wOBA .385 → .264; ISO .072 → .041; BABIP .361 → .229. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).