Paulino Santana — OGILVIE

Paulino SantanaOF Hickory Crawdads

Age 19 R/R 6'1" / 180 lbs A K +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 3.2 · 2033

wRC+†82

AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .287 / .342

PA300

HR8

SB15

K%32

BB%8

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

20↗40

PWR

40↗54

SPD

55→55

FLD

40↗52

EYE

54↘50

trajectory · 10 yrs

3.3peak

2033

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+2.8	$26M	+$25M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+3.1	$30M	+$29M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+3.2	$31M	+$31M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$6M	+3.2	$32M	+$26M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$10M	+3.0	$31M	+$21M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$14M	+2.8	$30M	+$16M
Totals		$33M		$181M	+$148M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Rangers Red	260	213	43	4	2	0	34	58	12	20	5	.202	.344	.239	.583	.038	.276	22	13	.269	64	-11	+2	+0	-2	+7	-0.3
2025	18	ROK	2 teams	306	281	46	7	3	3	15	138	7	11	8	.164	.224	.242	.466	.078	.301	45	5	.204	15	-30	-1	+0	-2	+9	-2.4
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	19	A	Hickory Crawdads	84	69	14	2	0	1	11	33	4	8	1	.203	.345	.275	.621	.072	.371	39	13	.297	85	-1	+1	+0	-1	+2	0.2
ROS	19	MLB	TEX	216	189	40	7	1	5	20	72	5	7	2	.212	.304	.339	.642	.127	.303	33	9	.290	80	-5	+1	-0	-1	+6	0.0
TOT	19	MLB	TEX	300	258	54	9	1	6	31	105	9	15	3	.209	.315	.322	.637	.112	.324	35	10	.292	82	-6	+2	-0	-2	+8	0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	20	MLB 11%	TEX	366	320	73	13	2	10	35	107	8	12	3	.228	.320	.375	.695	.147	.303	29	10	.310	96	-2	+1	-0	-2	+10	0.7
2028	21	MLB 28%	TEX	460	401	93	16	2	14	46	130	10	14	3	.232	.326	.387	.713	.155	.304	28	10	.322	105	+2	+2	-1	-3	+13	1.4
2029	22	MLB 48%	TEX	525	454	109	19	2	18	54	143	12	15	3	.240	.337	.410	.746	.170	.305	27	10	.332	112	+7	+2	-1	-3	+15	2.0
2030	23	MLB 65%	TEX	569	491	120	21	3	20	61	152	12	15	3	.244	.342	.422	.764	.177	.305	27	11	.338	117	+11	+2	-1	-3	+16	2.5
2031	24	MLB 82%	TEX	597	514	126	22	3	22	65	157	13	15	3	.245	.345	.428	.773	.183	.305	26	11	.342	120	+13	+2	-1	-4	+17	2.8
2032	25	MLB	TEX	612	526	129	22	3	23	68	160	13	15	3	.245	.346	.430	.776	.184	.306	26	11	.345	122	+15	+2	-1	-4	+17	3.1
2033	26	MLB	TEX	620	531	130	22	3	23	70	162	14	14	3	.245	.348	.427	.775	.183	.307	26	11	.347	124	+17	+2	-1	-4	+18	3.2
2034	27	MLB	TEX	619	529	130	22	3	23	71	163	14	14	3	.246	.350	.429	.779	.183	.307	26	11	.347	124	+17	+2	-1	-4	+18	3.2
2035	28	MLB	TEX	614	524	129	22	3	23	71	163	14	13	2	.246	.351	.431	.783	.185	.306	27	12	.346	123	+16	+2	-1	-4	+17	3.0
2036	29	MLB	TEX	604	516	125	21	3	22	70	162	13	12	2	.242	.347	.422	.770	.180	.305	27	12	.344	121	+14	+2	-2	-4	+17	2.8
2037	30	MLB	TEX	594	507	121	21	2	21	69	161	13	11	1	.239	.345	.412	.757	.174	.304	27	12	.341	119	+13	+2	-3	-4	+17	2.5
2038	31	MLB	TEX	580	495	117	20	2	20	67	160	13	10	0	.236	.343	.406	.749	.170	.303	28	12	.337	116	+10	+2	-4	-3	+16	2.2
2039	32	MLB	TEX	561	479	112	19	2	19	65	157	12	9	0	.234	.340	.401	.741	.167	.301	28	12	.332	112	+8	+2	-4	-3	+16	1.8
2040	33	MLB	TEX	531	454	103	17	2	17	61	153	11	8	0	.227	.333	.385	.718	.159	.299	29	11	.326	108	+5	+2	-5	-3	+15	1.4
2041	34	MLB	TEX	484	416	93	15	2	15	55	143	10	8	0	.224	.328	.377	.706	.154	.298	30	11	.320	103	+2	+2	-5	-3	+14	0.9
2042	35	MLB	TEX	428	368	81	13	2	13	48	131	9	7	0	.220	.325	.372	.697	.152	.295	31	11	.312	97	-2	+1	-6	-3	+12	0.3
2043	36	MLB	TEX	368	317	66	11	1	10	41	116	7	6	0	.208	.312	.344	.656	.136	.292	32	11	.302	90	-4	+1	-7	-2	+10	-0.2
2044	37	MLB	TEX	303	261	53	8	1	8	33	99	6	5	0	.203	.307	.333	.640	.130	.288	33	11	.292	82	-6	+1	-7	-2	+9	-0.6
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			10217	8786	2039	342	47	329	1119	2887	228	241	44	.232	.334	.394	.728	.162	.304	28	11	.326	108	+91	+31	-50	-61	+289	30.5
/ 162G	—			650	559	130	22	3	21	71	184	15	15	3	.233	.335	.395	.730	.163	.305	28	11	.326	108	+6	+2	-3	-4	+18	1.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Rangers Red	260	195	57	6	4	0	52	38	12	20	5	.292	.467	.364	.831	.072	.361	15	20	.392	158	+17	+2	—	—	+7	2.7
2025	18	A	Hickory Crawdads	67	60	13	1	3	0	4	29	3	3	4	.217	.299	.333	.632	.117	.419	43	6	.288	78	-2	-1	—	—	+2	-0.1
2025	18	ROK	ACL Rangers	239	211	56	10	3	5	21	65	4	8	4	.265	.343	.412	.756	.147	.354	27	9	.335	115	+4	+0	—	—	+7	1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Paulino Santana (OGILVIE)	19	20→40	40→54	55	50	.207/.287/.342	.134	.291	8	6	32%	8%	77	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ravel Santana 2011 · A	19	43	46→50	51→55	47	.214/.294/.340	.125	.274	14	15	26%	8%	79	+0.3	.220/.281/.362	.142	.292	16	13	29%	7%	79	+0.3	.205/.253/.387	.182	.264	22	15	31%	6%	72	-0.1
●Trevor Story 2013 · A	20	40→50	46→65	53→55	41	.204/.264/.340	.136	.276	13	11	30%	7%	66	-0.6	.192/.252/.330	.138	.298	14	15	38%	7%	58	-1.2	.270/.336/.500	.231	.327	29	25	26%	8%	134	+3.6
✕Carlos Jimenez 2023 · A	20	38→41	46→50	53→55	45	.189/.278/.319	.129	.289	14	15	37%	10%	67	-0.5	.210/.289/.331	.121	.326	12	16	36%	9%	74	-0.1	.216/.296/.349	.133	.314	15	19	33%	9%	78	+0.1
●Jackson Chourio 2023 · AA	19	42→52	49→55	51→55	38	.217/.265/.368	.151	.302	17	12	34%	6%	73	-0.1	.249/.293/.411	.162	.315	18	23	26%	6%	96	+1.5	.261/.307/.430	.168	.314	19	26	23%	6%	101	+1.8
●Teoscar Hernández 2012 · A	19	41→51	44→65	54→55	44	.206/.265/.330	.124	.258	11	13	24%	7%	63	-0.9	.204/.256/.328	.124	.293	11	14	33%	6%	59	-1.1	.276/.326/.479	.204	.351	27	8	28%	6%	126	+3.6
✕Esmerlyn Valdez 2023 · A	19	42	45→55	45→40	43	.206/.283/.328	.122	.292	13	5	32%	8%	71	-0.3	.197/.275/.334	.137	.303	16	4	38%	8%	69	-0.4	.194/.284/.363	.169	.278	23	2	37%	9%	78	+0.1
●Junior Caminero 2022 · A	19	44→52	49→65	49→45	45	.226/.283/.369	.143	.276	17	6	25%	7%	81	+0.4	.250/.300/.421	.171	.300	23	7	24%	6%	102	+1.8	.258/.305/.479	.221	.284	33	5	22%	6%	116	+2.6
✕Alexander Canario 2019 · A	19	41→34	42→60	47→50	44	.203/.269/.309	.106	.273	10	12	28%	7%	59	-1.1	.209/.266/.356	.147	.291	17	11	33%	7%	70	-0.3	.209/.277/.424	.216	.279	30	13	36%	8%	90	+0.6
●Jerry Sands 2009 · A	21	37→46	49→60	51→45	45	.195/.277/.339	.144	.267	18	8	33%	9%	72	-0.2	.231/.297/.425	.194	.284	25	6	27%	8%	102	+1.9	.233/.299/.438	.204	.278	26	7	26%	8%	105	+1.8
●Davis Schneider 2018 · A	19	40→44	41→55	48→50	50	.198/.276/.300	.102	.259	8	6	26%	9%	60	-1.0	.193/.268/.290	.097	.299	8	7	35%	8%	54	-1.4	.213/.322/.409	.196	.275	24	9	30%	12%	106	+1.6
✕Kevin Padlo 2016 · A	20	39→40	46→55	50	46	.198/.273/.333	.136	.268	13	8	30%	8%	68	-0.5	.186/.271/.313	.127	.268	12	8	33%	10%	63	-0.9	.191/.263/.361	.170	.260	21	12	35%	8%	69	-0.3
●Heliot Ramos 2019 · A	19	41→51	43→55	47→50	33	.202/.246/.317	.115	.301	11	8	36%	4%	52	-1.6	.215/.268/.348	.133	.317	15	9	35%	6%	69	-0.4	.256/.322/.432	.177	.319	22	8	26%	7%	112	+2.4
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2011 · A	18	44	44→45	52→50	41	.218/.277/.333	.115	.291	11	9	28%	6%	69	-0.4	.218/.286/.320	.102	.285	6	11	25%	6%	69	-0.4	.226/.280/.337	.111	.291	6	11	23%	4%	69	-0.2
✕Jesus Vasquez 2011 · A	19	40	43→55	47→55	38	.201/.250/.313	.113	.265	10	10	28%	5%	52	-1.6	.214/.278/.346	.132	.291	14	14	30%	6%	73	-0.1	.221/.297/.387	.166	.294	19	20	30%	8%	97	+0.7
●Randal Grichuk 2011 · A	19	45→51	48→70	53→45	33	.227/.257/.381	.155	.314	14	7	32%	3%	73	-0.1	.224/.256/.378	.154	.283	15	7	26%	3%	71	-0.3	.248/.296/.503	.256	.306	32	6	30%	6%	119	+2.4
●Christopher Morel 2018 · A	19	38→46	42→60	50	48	.191/.261/.293	.102	.228	11	17	22%	8%	53	-1.5	.202/.253/.303	.101	.268	9	11	27%	5%	51	-1.7	.224/.302/.431	.208	.280	28	10	30%	9%	102	+1.8
✕Noelvi Marte 2021 · A	19	44→53	44→50	50→55	42	.218/.268/.339	.121	.285	11	12	27%	6%	66	-0.6	.231/.294/.375	.144	.300	17	16	27%	7%	87	+0.8	.236/.302/.381	.145	.298	17	19	26%	8%	88	+0.8
●Wil Myers 2010 · A	19	49→54	47→60	52→55	41	.240/.290/.384	.144	.317	14	7	28%	6%	88	+0.9	.240/.309/.386	.146	.310	15	8	26%	9%	96	+1.5	.241/.320/.442	.200	.295	25	22	26%	10%	109	+2.2
●Riley Greene 2021 · A	20	44→54	44→60	53→50	39	.215/.271/.330	.115	.305	11	9	32%	6%	66	-0.6	.252/.315/.404	.152	.357	15	10	31%	8%	103	+1.9	.263/.332/.466	.203	.338	25	5	28%	9%	124	+3.1
●Jo Adell 2018 · A	19	46→44	42→65	54→50	36	.223/.265/.336	.114	.318	8	9	32%	5%	63	-0.8	.223/.273/.380	.157	.319	17	10	34%	5%	79	+0.3	.218/.285/.446	.228	.252	34	12	29%	7%	101	+1.4

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)