Gavin Fien — OGILVIE

Gavin FienSS Fredericksburg Nationals

Age 19 R/R 6'3" / 200 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION344 act + 8 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†72

AVG/OBP/SLG.143 / .250 / .143

PA8

HR0

K%25

BB%12

BABIP280

ISO150

MLB%4%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$55M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 52 / POW 59

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT52

scouting grade only

POWER59

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED48

scouting grade only

DEFENSE52

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.3	$8M	+$7M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.4	$8M	+$7M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.5	$8M	+$7M
2033	Arb-1	$5M	+1.6	$8M	+$5M
2034	Arb-2	$9M	+1.5	$7M	+$3M
2035	Arb-3	$12M	+1.4	$6M	+$0.9M
Totals		$29M		$43M	+$30M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	18	A	Hickory Crawdads	—	45	41	9	3	1	0	3	11	0	1	0	220	273	341	614	122	290	24	7	269	68	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	18	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	45	42	7	2	1	0	2	16	0	1	0	167	205	262	466	95	247	36	4	196	19	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2025	18	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	45	42	7	2	1	0	2	16	0	1	0	167	205	262	466	95	259	36	4	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	A RAW	Hickory Crawdads	—	45	41	9	3	1	0	3	11	0	1	0	220	273	341	614	122	290	24	7	269	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	45	43	7	2	1	0	2	16	0	1	0	163	205	256	460	93	247	36	4	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	18	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	45	43	7	2	1	0	2	16	0	1	0	163	205	256	460	93	247	36	4	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	A MLE	WSH	—	344	313	56	9	1	8	28	129	0	6	2	179	246	291	537	112	268	38	8	243	51	-20	+0	+0	+4	+7	-0.9
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	A RAW	WSH	—	344	297	72	13	2	10	44	91	0	6	2	242	340	401	741	158	312	26	13	331	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	19	A MLE	WSH	4%	8	7	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	143	250	143	393		282	25	12	275	72	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	19	A MLE	WSH	—	352	320	57	9	1	8	29	131	0	6	2	178	246	287	534	109	266	37	8	244	51	-20	+0	-0	+4	+8	-0.9
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	WSH	45%	335	304	67	12	2	10	26	100	2	5	1	220	286	372	658	151	288	30	8	292	84	-6	+1	-0	+4	+7	0.5
2028	21	MLB MLE	WSH	62%	437	396	89	16	2	14	35	126	3	7	2	225	293	381	674	157	290	29	8	302	90	-5	+1	-0	+5	+9	1.0
2029	22	MLB MLE	WSH	68%	502	453	105	18	3	18	40	142	4	9	2	232	300	404	704	172	291	28	8	309	95	-3	+1	-0	+5	+11	1.5
2030	23	MLB MLE	WSH	71%	541	488	114	20	3	20	44	151	4	10	3	234	302	410	712	176	292	28	8	314	98	-1	+1	-0	+6	+12	1.8
2031	24	MLB MLE	WSH	71%	565	510	120	21	3	21	46	157	4	10	3	235	304	412	715	176	293	28	8	317	101	+0	+1	-0	+6	+12	2.0
2032	25	MLB MLE	WSH	71%	577	521	122	21	3	22	47	159	4	10	3	234	302	413	715	179	293	28	8	319	102	+1	+1	-0	+6	+13	2.1
2033	26	MLB MLE	WSH	71%	582	525	124	21	3	23	48	161	4	10	3	236	305	419	724	183	293	28	8	320	103	+2	+1	-0	+6	+13	2.2
2034	27	MLB MLE	WSH	69%	580	522	123	21	3	23	49	161	4	10	3	236	306	420	726	184	293	28	8	320	103	+2	+1	-0	+6	+13	2.2
2035	28	MLB MLE	WSH	69%	574	516	121	21	3	22	49	160	4	10	3	234	306	415	721	180	292	28	9	319	102	+2	+1	-1	+6	+12	2.1
2036	29	MLB MLE	WSH	67%	564	507	119	20	3	22	48	158	4	10	3	235	306	416	722	181	292	28	9	318	101	+1	+1	-1	+6	+12	1.9
2037	30	MLB MLE	WSH	66%	552	496	116	20	3	21	47	156	4	9	3	234	305	413	719	179	291	28	9	315	99	-0	+1	-2	+6	+12	1.6
2038	31	MLB MLE	WSH	65%	538	483	111	19	3	20	46	154	4	9	2	230	302	406	708	176	289	29	9	311	97	-2	+1	-3	+6	+12	1.4
2039	32	MLB MLE	WSH	65%	519	466	105	18	2	19	44	150	4	8	2	225	298	395	693	170	286	29	8	306	93	-4	+1	-4	+6	+11	1.0
2040	33	MLB MLE	WSH	65%	490	443	97	16	2	17	41	145	3	7	2	219	290	379	669	160	282	30	8	299	89	-7	+1	-4	+5	+11	0.6
2041	34	MLB MLE	WSH	60%	443	400	85	13	2	15	37	134	3	6	2	212	284	367	652	155	276	30	8	291	83	-9	+0	-5	+5	+10	0.1
2027	20	MLB CTX	WSH	45%	150	136	30	5	1	5	12	45	1	2	1	221	289	382	671	162	287	30	8	286	84	-3	+0	-0	+2	+3	0.2
2028	21	MLB CTX	WSH	62%	269	244	55	10	1	9	21	78	2	4	1	225	292	385	677	160	288	29	8	295	90	-3	+0	-0	+3	+6	0.6
2029	22	MLB CTX	WSH	68%	343	310	71	12	2	12	28	97	2	6	2	229	297	397	694	168	289	28	8	302	95	-2	+0	-0	+4	+7	1.0
2030	23	MLB CTX	WSH	71%	385	348	81	14	2	14	31	107	3	7	2	233	301	405	706	172	290	28	8	307	98	-1	+1	-0	+4	+8	1.3
2031	24	MLB CTX	WSH	71%	401	362	85	15	2	15	33	111	3	7	2	235	304	412	716	177	291	28	8	310	101	+0	+1	-0	+4	+9	1.4
2032	25	MLB CTX	WSH	71%	409	369	87	15	2	16	34	113	3	7	2	236	305	417	723	182	291	28	8	312	102	+1	+1	-0	+4	+9	1.5
2033	26	MLB CTX	WSH	71%	413	373	87	15	2	16	34	114	3	7	2	233	302	413	715	180	291	28	8	313	103	+1	+1	-0	+4	+9	1.6
2034	27	MLB CTX	WSH	69%	403	363	86	15	2	16	34	112	3	7	2	237	307	421	729	185	291	28	8	313	103	+1	+1	-0	+4	+9	1.5
2035	28	MLB CTX	WSH	69%	395	356	83	14	2	15	33	110	3	7	2	233	304	410	714	177	291	28	8	312	102	+1	+1	-1	+4	+9	1.4
2036	29	MLB CTX	WSH	67%	377	339	80	14	2	15	32	106	3	6	2	236	307	422	729	186	290	28	8	311	101	+1	+0	-1	+4	+8	1.2
2037	30	MLB CTX	WSH	66%	363	326	75	13	1	14	31	103	3	6	2	230	303	405	708	175	289	28	9	308	99	-0	+0	-1	+4	+8	1.1
2038	31	MLB CTX	WSH	65%	351	315	71	12	1	13	30	100	3	6	2	225	299	394	693	168	287	28	9	305	97	-1	+0	-2	+4	+8	0.9
2039	32	MLB CTX	WSH	65%	336	303	67	11	1	12	28	97	2	5	1	221	291	383	674	162	284	29	8	300	93	-3	+1	-2	+4	+7	0.7
2040	33	MLB CTX	WSH	65%	316	284	62	10	1	11	27	93	2	5	1	218	291	377	667	158	280	29	9	293	89	-4	+1	-3	+3	+7	0.4
2041	34	MLB CTX	WSH	60%	266	240	51	8	1	9	22	80	2	4	1	212	284	367	651	154	275	30	8	285	83	-5	+0	-3	+3	+6	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	5177	4668	1071	183	23	192	430	1466	38	86	25	229	300	402	702	172	289	28	8	305	96	-17	+7	-13	+55	+112	14.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	586	134	23	3	24	54	184	5	11	3	229	299	401	700	172	289	28	8	305	96	-2	+1	-2	+7	+14	1.9
Career	—	MLE		—	7852	7079	1626	279	41	287	650	2232	55	131	37	230	299	402	702	173	291	28	8	311	96	-30	+11	-21	+84	+169	21.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	134	23	3	24	54	185	5	11	3	229	299	401	700	172	289	28	8	311	96	-2	+1	-2	+7	+14	1.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Didi Gregoriuslast yr '22 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	6.4	4,238	134	37	256	308	421	+45	-10	17.0	17.2
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	-1.5	2.7	pk7: 18
#2Bill Halllast yr '11 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,621 PA	5.5	3,621	123	62	249	308	437	+22	+7	15.9	16.6
/162	664	23	11	+4.1	+1.3	2.9	pk7: 17
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	7.8	5,184	192	87	232	298	406	+54	+8	18.7	15.3
/162	664	25	11	+6.9	+1.0	2.4	pk7: 12
#4Rougned Odorlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,424 PA	6.7	4,424	178	70	230	288	422	+16	+32	15.2	15.0
/162	664	27	11	+2.4	+4.9	2.3	pk7: 15
#5Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
/162	664	23	1	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
#6Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	4.3	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Gavin Fien (OGILVIE)	19	42→52	48→59	51→48	45	207/270/340	132	282	3	2	31%	7%	72	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Junior Caminero 2022 · A	19	43→53	50→65	49→45	44	225/281/373	148	272	18	5	25%	7%	84	+0.1	251/299/413	162	303	21	7	24%	6%	99	+1.3	258/322/495	237	270	35	4	20%	8%	121	+2.8
✕Luis Torres 2023 · A	19	51	50→60	45→50	41	254/302/415	161	312	16	9	24%	5%	101	+1.4	215/280/315	100	345	8	5	37%	7%	70	-0.9	183/261/256	73	332	4	0	42%	8%	46	-0.6
●Gary Sánchez 2013 · A	20	44→50	49→65	48→45	37	224/269/367	143	310	17	8	33%	5%	78	-0.3	229/278/363	134	288	15	5	25%	6%	80	-0.2	240/315/462	222	266	31	4	23%	8%	115	+1.9
✕Ravel Santana 2011 · A	19	43	46→50	51→55	47	216/296/344	128	273	15	16	26%	8%	83	+0.1	220/281/361	141	294	15	13	29%	7%	80	-0.1	205/253/387	182	264	22	15	31%	6%	75	-0.2
✕Agustín Ramírez 2023 · A	21	43→46	45→55	51→55	44	214/275/343	129	286	12	11	29%	7%	74	-0.5	230/293/385	155	277	18	13	23%	8%	91	+0.6	230/293/400	170	266	20	16	22%	7%	92	+0.7
✕Heriberto Hernández 2019 · A	19	43→48	54→60	46→50	55	223/325/414	191	274	20	7	26%	12%	109	+2.0	222/302/389	167	323	18	6	34%	9%	95	+1.0	219/301/418	199	277	26	10	30%	9%	100	+1.0
✕Harry Ford 2022 · A	19	45→48	46→45	52→55	43	221/287/358	137	309	13	9	31%	8%	82	+0.0	212/317/339	127	293	12	16	29%	11%	90	+0.6	205/315/325	120	278	12	21	28%	12%	83	+0.1
✕Ezequiel Duran 2018 · A	19	48→56	46→55	54→50	37	233/275/371	139	333	12	10	33%	5%	80	-0.2	187/231/278	91	295	8	8	37%	4%	42	-2.9	249/290/398	149	316	16	12	26%	5%	89	+0.4
✕Aderlin Rodríguez 2011 · A	19	44→48	49→55	45→30	40	227/269/372	145	280	17	4	26%	5%	78	-0.3	207/243/347	140	252	18	3	26%	4%	63	-1.4	238/283/415	178	287	23	1	26%	4%	92	+0.5
✕Hao-Yu Lee 2023 · A	20	48→44	45→50	48→55	46	232/305/356	123	310	12	12	28%	8%	88	+0.5	236/300/363	127	303	12	16	25%	7%	88	+0.4	241/304/389	148	298	14	15	23%	7%	93	+0.6
✕Daniel Robertson 2013 · A	19	45→54	46→45	52→40	49	225/297/363	139	266	12	6	20%	8%	87	+0.4	237/302/348	111	297	9	3	22%	7%	85	+0.2	232/336/343	111	304	11	4	25%	11%	96	+0.6
●Andy Pages 2021 · A	20	43→53	46→55	46→50	46	214/297/344	130	275	14	9	26%	8%	84	+0.1	213/299/399	186	281	23	6	32%	9%	97	+1.1	266/322/445	180	311	23	10	22%	6%	115	+2.3
✕Addison Russell 2014 · A	20	47→53	49→55	58→50	45	233/304/395	162	313	15	16	29%	8%	97	+1.1	240/303/397	157	305	17	9	26%	7%	97	+1.1	239/310/406	168	295	19	5	25%	8%	97	+0.9
●Jo Adell 2019 · AA	20	45→46	51→65	54→50	37	230/277/399	169	314	18	12	32%	5%	88	+0.4	221/270/375	154	317	17	10	34%	6%	80	-0.2	226/289/423	196	264	28	9	26%	6%	97	+1.0
●Bo Bichette 2017 · A	19	50→60	47→60	53→55	40	246/288/387	141	326	13	8	28%	6%	88	+0.5	264/309/413	149	329	13	17	23%	6%	103	+1.5	296/337/473	177	345	22	13	20%	5%	126	+3.5
✕James Triantos 2022 · A	19	45→55	49→45	45→60	40	232/273/378	146	289	16	8	26%	5%	81	-0.1	239/285/335	96	292	8	18	20%	5%	75	-0.5	258/299/357	99	298	7	36	16%	4%	83	+0.1
✕Edgar Quero 2023 · A	20	48→57	51→50	47→40	51	240/336/412	172	309	18	8	27%	10%	114	+2.3	241/321/361	120	299	12	3	22%	9%	96	+1.0	245/321/344	99	301	10	1	21%	9%	90	+0.4
●Julio Rodríguez 2021 · A	20	49→56	47→60	48→55	41	242/295/387	145	313	13	6	26%	5%	91	+0.7	282/340/472	190	354	23	23	26%	7%	128	+3.3	287/348/497	210	352	27	29	25%	7%	132	+3.3
●Moisés Ballesteros 2023 · A	19	42→52	47→50	45→40	47	215/281/345	130	270	15	5	26%	8%	77	-0.3	241/299/370	129	293	14	4	22%	7%	89	+0.5	255/314/382	127	304	14	3	20%	7%	96	+0.9
✕Tyrone Taylor 2013 · A	19	49→52	43→60	51→55	43	235/284/358	123	294	8	12	23%	6%	80	-0.1	237/280/336	99	277	6	12	16%	5%	74	-0.6	240/298/452	211	277	25	12	23%	6%	107	+1.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps