Gavin FienSS Fredericksburg Nationals
Age 19 R/R 6'3" / 200 lbs A HR -9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035 peak 3.7 · 2033
wRC+†39
AVG/OBP/SLG.215 / .283 / .354
PA67
HR2
K%31
BB%8
MLB%4%
BAT: -4.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-5BATRUN: +0.5 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: -0.1 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-0FLDPOS: +0.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +1.9 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: -0.20-0.2WAR
Scouting · nowfuture
HIT
3950
PWR
4358
SPD
5046
FLD
3949
EYE
5152
trajectory · 10 yrs
3.9peak
2033

Contract

ESTIMATED  ·  service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Arb-2$0.9M+2.8$25M+$24M
2031Arb-3$0.9M+3.2$30M+$29M
2032Ext / FA-deal$0.9M+3.6$34M+$33M
2033Ext / FA-deal$8M+3.7$36M+$29M
2034Ext / FA-deal$13M+3.7$37M+$24M
2035Ext / FA-deal$19M+3.7$39M+$20M
Totals $42M $202M +$159M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202518 AHickory Crawdads 4542 7210 2160 10 .167.205.262.466 .095.259 364 .193 6 -5 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.3
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
202619 AFredericksburg Nationals 1918 2100 1130 10 .111.158.167.325 .056.400 685 .106 -61 -3 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.3
ROS19 MLBWSH 4844 9201 4150 10 .205.271.318.589 .114.292 318 .287 78 -1 +0 -0 +1 +1 0.1
TOT19 MLBWSH 6762 11301 5280 20 .177.239.274.513 .097.303 427 .236 39 -5 +0 -0 +1 +2 -0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
202720 MLB 14%WSH 181161 37616 16522 31 .230.307.391.699 .161.301 299 .313 98 -0 +0 -0 +2 +5 0.7
202821 MLB 31%WSH 317281 6711211 29894 61 .238.318.409.728 .171.302 289 .324 106 +2 +1 -1 +3 +9 1.5
202922 MLB 51%WSH 417370 9015316 391145 82 .243.324.430.753 .186.303 279 .331 111 +5 +1 -1 +4 +12 2.2
203023 MLB 73%WSH 483428 10417319 461306 92 .243.325.430.755 .187.304 2710 .337 116 +9 +1 -1 +5 +14 2.8
203124 MLB 89%WSH 526463 11619422 521406 92 .251.334.451.785 .201.304 2710 .342 120 +12 +1 -1 +6 +15 3.2
203225 MLBWSH 552484 12220423 561467 102 .252.338.452.791 .200.305 2610 .345 122 +14 +1 -1 +6 +16 3.6
203326 MLBWSH 566496 12420424 581497 102 .250.337.452.789 .202.305 2610 .346 123 +15 +1 -2 +6 +16 3.7
203427 MLBWSH 570499 12520424 591517 92 .251.338.451.789 .200.305 2610 .346 123 +15 +1 -2 +6 +16 3.7
203528 MLBWSH 568496 12420424 601527 91 .250.339.452.791 .202.305 2711 .345 122 +14 +1 -2 +6 +16 3.7
203629 MLBWSH 559489 12119423 591516 91 .247.336.444.780 .196.304 2711 .343 121 +13 +1 -3 +6 +16 3.4
203730 MLBWSH 550481 11719322 581506 80 .243.332.432.765 .189.303 2711 .340 118 +11 +2 -4 +6 +16 3.2
203831 MLBWSH 536469 11218321 561496 70 .239.328.424.752 .186.301 2810 .336 116 +9 +1 -4 +6 +15 2.8
203932 MLBWSH 518453 10717320 541466 70 .236.326.419.745 .183.300 2810 .332 112 +7 +1 -5 +6 +15 2.4
204033 MLBWSH 489430 10016318 511415 60 .233.321.409.730 .177.298 2910 .326 108 +4 +1 -6 +5 +14 1.9
204134 MLBWSH 442388 8914316 461325 60 .229.319.405.724 .175.297 3010 .319 102 +1 +1 -6 +5 +13 1.4
204235 MLBWSH 388341 7511213 401194 50 .220.309.378.687 .158.294 3110 .311 96 -2 +1 -7 +4 +11 0.8
204336 MLBWSH 328289 629211 331043 50 .215.302.374.675 .159.292 3210 .302 89 -4 +1 -7 +4 +9 0.3
204437 MLBWSH 264233 48718 26873 40 .206.294.348.642 .142.287 3310 .291 81 -6 +1 -8 +3 +7 -0.2
204538 MLBWSH 195172 34515 19652 30 .198.285.326.611 .128.282 3310 .280 73 -6 +1 -8 +2 +6 -0.6
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career 85427509 179028755327 863239897 13516 .238.325.422.747 .184.303 2810 .331 111 +109 +21 -69 +92 +242 40.2
/ 162G 650571 13622425 661827 101 .238.324.422.746 .184.302 2810 .331 111 +8 +2 -5 +7 +18 3.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202518 AHickory Crawdads 4541 9310 3110 10 .220.273.341.614 .122.290 247 .269 64 -2 +0 +1 -0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Gavin Fien (OGILVIE) 19 39→50 43→58 50→46 52 .215/.283/.354 .139.292 21 31% 8% 78 +0.0
Junior Caminero
2022 · A
19 44→52 49→65 49→45 45 .226/.283/.369 .143.276 176 25% 7% 81 +0.4 .250/.300/.421 .171.300 237 24% 6% 102 +1.8 .258/.305/.479.221.28433522%6%116+2.6
Gary Sánchez
2012 · A
19 43→51 51→65 45 38 .220/.269/.377 .157.304 204 34% 6% 78 +0.2 .225/.273/.367 .142.295 176 29% 5% 76 +0.1 .232/.315/.480.248.25437126%9%119+2.3
Austin Riley
2016 · A
19 44→54 49→65 45→40 38 .218/.279/.361 .143.320 175 36% 6% 78 +0.2 .214/.260/.366 .152.309 183 36% 5% 71 -0.3 .273/.345/.498.224.32530125%8%136+4.9
Mark Vientos
2019 · A
19 42→50 45→60 43→30 45 .215/.274/.337 .122.275 143 27% 7% 69 -0.4 .206/.251/.346 .140.279 172 32% 5% 62 -0.9 .246/.306/.451.204.32128031%7%109+2.0
Andy Pages
2021 · A
20 41→51 47→60 46→45 46 .210/.298/.347 .138.263 1510 26% 8% 83 +0.6 .215/.301/.412 .197.284 256 32% 9% 101 +1.8 .261/.318/.433.172.316211023%6%110+1.8
Luis Torres
2023 · A
19 51 51→60 46→50 41 .257/.304/.425 .168.315 179 24% 5% 105 +2.1 .220/.283/.330 .110.348 95 36% 7% 71 -0.3 .183/.261/.257.074.3375043%8%40-0.6
Xander Bogaerts
2012 · A
19 43→53 49→60 42→55 41 .222/.273/.365 .143.281 174 27% 6% 76 +0.0 .244/.297/.396 .152.312 175 26% 6% 94 +1.3 .293/.370/.507.214.32527718%10%148+4.3
Miguel Sanó
2012 · A
19 40→50 52→70 45 36 .209/.255/.376 .167.298 205 36% 6% 71 -0.3 .215/.290/.419 .204.296 266 35% 9% 98 +1.6 .243/.334/.470.227.34031235%11%124+3.1
Willy Adames
2015 · A
19 48→53 41→60 47→50 46 .224/.293/.338 .114.316 66 29% 8% 76 +0.1 .224/.290/.335 .111.332 78 32% 8% 75 -0.0 .263/.332/.462.199.34124528%9%122+2.4
Aderlin Rodríguez
2011 · A
19 44→49 48→60 46→30 40 .226/.269/.368 .142.281 165 26% 5% 75 -0.0 .206/.240/.352 .146.247 193 25% 4% 58 -1.2 .243/.288/.435.192.29226126%4%98+1.2
Jackson Chourio
2023 · AA
19 42→52 49→55 51→55 38 .217/.265/.368 .151.302 1712 34% 6% 73 -0.1 .249/.293/.411 .162.315 1823 26% 6% 96 +1.5 .261/.307/.430.168.314192623%6%101+1.8
Trevor Story
2013 · A
20 40→50 46→65 53→55 41 .204/.264/.340 .136.276 1311 30% 7% 66 -0.6 .192/.252/.330 .138.298 1415 38% 7% 58 -1.2 .270/.336/.500.231.327292526%8%134+3.6
Julio Rodríguez
2021 · A
20 48→56 47→60 50→55 41 .239/.291/.385 .146.305 146 26% 5% 89 +0.9 .279/.337/.469 .190.351 2322 26% 7% 130 +3.8 .288/.348/.497.209.353272925%7%136+3.8
Bo Bichette
2017 · A
19 50→60 46→60 53→55 40 .243/.287/.379 .136.324 138 28% 6% 85 +0.7 .267/.312/.417 .150.332 1317 23% 6% 105 +2.1 .305/.346/.482.177.358221320%5%135+4.6
Moisés Ballesteros
2023 · A
19 43→53 46→50 46→40 47 .216/.283/.346 .130.273 145 26% 8% 75 -0.0 .241/.299/.377 .136.292 164 22% 7% 90 +1.0 .259/.317/.396.137.30516320%7%100+1.5
Manny Machado
2012 · A
20 43→53 44→65 48→50 44 .217/.266/.340 .124.267 1110 24% 6% 66 -0.6 .250/.295/.396 .146.294 138 19% 6% 92 +1.2 .280/.340/.502.222.29529716%8%128+4.3
Eloy Jiménez
2017 · A
20 50→56 46→65 48→40 37 .245/.277/.382 .138.317 127 27% 4% 82 +0.5 .258/.295/.433 .175.319 213 25% 5% 103 +1.9 .273/.314/.492.219.31430023%5%125+2.3
Adam Jones
2006 · AA
20 51→57 47→60 48→50 43 .248/.304/.390 .143.319 1410 26% 6% 95 +1.4 .244/.293/.395 .151.310 1612 26% 5% 92 +1.2 .281/.319/.480.199.312261119%4%122+3.8
Gleyber Torres
2017 · A
20 48→54 41→60 47→50 43 .230/.287/.330 .100.315 713 28% 7% 72 -0.2 .252/.314/.415 .163.319 1911 26% 8% 106 +2.2 .258/.343/.395.138.29316617%11%111+2.7
Justin Upton
2007 · A
19 44→54 44→65 46→55 45 .218/.276/.333 .115.274 1110 25% 7% 69 -0.4 .249/.319/.424 .175.316 1812 26% 9% 110 +2.4 .279/.359/.480.201.337221923%10%134+4.2