Gavin FienSS Fredericksburg Nationals
Age 19 R/R 6'3" / 200 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
2026 ROS PROJECTION221 act + 147 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†67
AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .273 / .355
PA147
HR4
K%32
BB%7
BABIP293
ISO140
MLB%4%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -19.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-19BATRUN: +0.9 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: -0.6 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-1FLDPOS: +3.9 runs (Positional adjustment)+4POSREP: +10.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+10REPTotal WAR: -0.50-0.5WAR
0.01.22.40.40.81.21.51.71.91.91.91.8+$83M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 48 / POW 57
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT48
scouting grade only
POWER57
scouting grade only
EYE47
scouting grade only
SPEED46
scouting grade only
DEFENSE49
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.5$9M+$8M
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.7$9M+$9M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.9$10M+$9M
2033Arb-1$4M+1.9$9M+$7M
2034Arb-2$7M+1.9$8M+$5M
2035Arb-3$9M+1.8$7M+$4M
Totals $22M $52M +$43M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202518 AHickory Crawdads — 4542 7210 2160 10 167205262466 95259 364 186 1 — — — — — —
202518 AHickory Crawdads — 4541 9310 3110 10 220273341614 122290 247 269 64 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD19 AWSH — 221203 37616 16880 41 182242310552 128279 407 244 45 -14 +0 +0 +2 +6 -0.5
YTD19 AWSH — 221193 48927 26620 41 249338425763 176325 2812 338 117 +4 +0 +0 +2 +6 1.3
ROS19 AWSH 4% 147135 29514 10471 31 214273355628 140285 327 273 67 -5 +0 -1 +2 +4 -0.0
ROS19 MLBWSH 4% 66 1000 020 00 167167167333 285 330 269 64 -0 +0 -0 +0 +0 -0.0
FULL19 AWSH — 227209 38616 16900 41 182240306546 124278 407 245 45 -14 +0 -0 +2 +6 -0.5
TOT19 AWSH — 368338 6611210 261351 72 195255328583 133285 377 256 54 -19 +1 -1 +4 +10 -0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202720 MLBWSH 36% 332303 661229 241022 51 218280360639 142290 317 286 77 -9 +1 -1 +4 +9 0.4
202821 MLBWSH 49% 435397 8715313 321293 72 219282370653 151291 307 295 84 -8 +1 -2 +5 +12 0.8
202922 MLBWSH 55% 500454 10218316 381464 82 225290383674 159292 298 301 88 -7 +1 -2 +5 +14 1.2
203023 MLBWSH 57% 540490 11320418 411564 92 231295398693 167293 298 305 91 -5 +1 -2 +6 +15 1.5
203124 MLBWSH 57% 564512 11821419 431624 92 230295398694 168294 298 307 93 -4 +1 -2 +6 +16 1.7
203225 MLBWSH 57% 577522 12121420 451655 102 232299402701 170294 298 309 95 -3 +1 -2 +6 +16 1.9
203326 MLBWSH 57% 582527 12221421 451675 103 231298406704 175294 298 310 96 -3 +1 -2 +6 +16 1.9
203427 MLBWSH 55% 580524 12221421 461675 102 233301408709 176294 298 310 96 -3 +1 -2 +6 +16 1.9
203528 MLBWSH 55% 574518 12021420 461665 92 232301403704 172294 298 309 95 -3 +1 -3 +6 +16 1.8
203629 MLBWSH 53% 564510 11620320 451644 92 227295396691 169293 298 308 94 -4 +1 -4 +6 +16 1.6
203730 MLBWSH 53% 552499 11320319 441624 82 226294393687 166292 298 305 92 -5 +1 -4 +6 +16 1.3
203831 MLBWSH 52% 538486 10919318 431594 82 224293387680 163290 308 301 89 -7 +1 -5 +6 +15 1.0
203932 MLBWSH 56% 519469 10317317 411564 72 220288377665 158287 308 296 85 -9 +1 -5 +6 +15 0.7
204033 MLBWSH 59% 490445 9616315 391503 72 216283366650 151283 318 289 80 -11 +1 -6 +5 +14 0.2
204134 MLBWSH 54% 443402 8313213 351383 61 206275346621 139277 318 281 73 -13 +1 -7 +5 +13 -0.2
204235 MLBWSH 50% 388352 7111211 301243 51 202270338608 136271 328 271 66 -15 +1 -7 +4 +11 -0.6
202720 MLBWSH 36% 120109 23413 9371 20 211277349626 138290 318 281 74 -4 +0 -0 +1 +3 0.1
202821 MLBWSH 49% 214194 44817 16642 31 227292387679 160291 307 289 79 -5 +0 -1 +2 +6 0.3
202922 MLBWSH 55% 273248 571029 21802 41 230295395690 165292 298 295 84 -5 +0 -1 +3 +8 0.5
203023 MLBWSH 57% 306278 6311210 23882 51 227290388679 162293 298 299 87 -5 +1 -1 +3 +9 0.7
203124 MLBWSH 57% 319289 6712211 24923 51 232297401699 170294 298 302 89 -4 +1 -1 +3 +9 0.8
203225 MLBWSH 57% 326295 6812211 25933 51 231297397694 166294 298 303 90 -4 +1 -1 +3 +9 0.9
203326 MLBWSH 57% 329298 6912212 25943 61 232298406704 174294 298 304 91 -3 +1 -1 +4 +9 0.9
203427 MLBWSH 55% 322291 6712211 25923 51 230298399696 168294 298 304 91 -3 +1 -1 +3 +9 0.9
203528 MLBWSH 55% 315284 6511211 25913 51 229298398696 169294 298 304 90 -3 +1 -2 +3 +9 0.8
203629 MLBWSH 53% 302273 6311211 24882 51 231298407704 176293 298 302 89 -4 +1 -2 +3 +9 0.7
203730 MLBWSH 53% 291264 6010210 23852 41 227294394688 167292 298 299 87 -4 +0 -2 +3 +8 0.5
203831 MLBWSH 52% 281255 571029 22832 41 224290384675 161290 308 296 84 -5 +0 -3 +3 +8 0.4
203932 MLBWSH 56% 292265 581029 23882 41 219286374660 155287 308 291 81 -6 +0 -3 +3 +8 0.2
204033 MLBWSH 59% 289262 56929 23882 41 214282366649 153283 308 284 76 -8 +0 -4 +3 +8 0.0
204134 MLBWSH 54% 241218 45717 19752 31 206276344620 138277 318 276 69 -8 +0 -4 +3 +7 -0.2
204235 MLBWSH 50% 194176 35515 15621 21 199266324589 125271 328 266 62 -8 +0 -4 +2 +5 -0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 44204005 89815428145 342130235 6615 224291385676 161292 298 295 84 -80 +7 -30 +47 +125 7.1
/ 162G— — 650589 13223421 501915 102 224290384674 160292 298 295 84 -12 +1 -4 +7 +18 1.1
Career— — 83707587 169829353274 649247663 13131 224290385675 161292 308 299 87 -120 +14 -57 +90 +237 16.7
/ 162G— — 650589 13223421 501925 102 224290384674 160293 308 299 87 -9 +1 -4 +7 +18 1.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202518 AHickory Crawdads — 4541 9310 3110 10 220273341614 122290 247 269 64 -2 +0 — — +1 -0.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Rod Barajaslast yr '12
career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA
123,7531342235284407+60+3015.816.0
/162664240+10.7+5.32.8pk7: 16
#2John Bucklast yr '14
career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA
114,0091346234301398+72+716.915.7
/162664221+11.9+1.22.8pk7: 14
#3Rougned Odorlast yr '23
career totals — 10 seasons, 4,424 PA
104,42417870230288422+16+3215.215.0
/1626642711+2.4+4.92.3pk7: 15
career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA
93,1271105235308414+56-1014.114.8
/162664231+11.9-2.13.0pk7: 16
#5Khalil Greenelast yr '09
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA
72,8359025245302422+30+1413.013.0
/162664216+7.1+3.23.0pk7: 13
#6Danny Espinosalast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA
83,2679864221297378+16+3611.011.4
/1626642013+3.2+7.32.2pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons
94,41614769225289388+44-311.49.5
/1626642210+6.6-0.51.7pk7: 8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Gavin Fien (OGILVIE) 19 35→48 40→57 51→46 47 195/255/328 133285 107 37% 7% 54 -0.5 ————————— —————————
✕Aderlin Rodríguez
2011 · A 		19 44→47 49→60 45→30 40 227/269/373 145281 174 26% 5% 76 +0.0 210/245/360 150253 193 26% 4% 63 -0.9 238/283/42718828825127%4%94+0.9
●Dilson Herrera
2014 · A 		20 44→54 47→50 49→50 40 220/272/361 141293 1511 30% 6% 74 -0.1 251/300/391 140316 1513 24% 6% 94 +1.3 258/308/400143315151323%6%96+1.3
●Mark Vientos
2019 · A 		19 42→49 46→60 43→30 45 215/275/340 125273 143 26% 7% 70 -0.3 206/250/349 143284 182 33% 5% 62 -0.9 245/305/44720232528032%7%109+2.0
✕Ravel Santana
2011 · A 		19 43 46→50 51→55 47 216/296/344 128273 1516 26% 8% 81 +0.4 220/281/361 141294 1513 29% 7% 78 +0.2 205/253/387182264221531%6%72-0.1
✕James Triantos
2022 · A 		19 46→56 48→45 45→60 40 232/273/378 146290 168 26% 5% 79 +0.3 240/286/339 99294 818 21% 5% 73 -0.1 263/301/36910730393516%4%85+0.5
●Cheslor Cuthbert
2012 · A 		19 46→56 46→50 49→45 42 228/279/352 124298 144 28% 6% 75 -0.0 216/258/326 110270 116 24% 5% 59 -1.1 258/310/40614830117120%7%100+0.9
✕Hao-Yu Lee
2023 · A 		20 48→47 45→55 48→55 46 233/305/357 125310 1212 27% 8% 87 +0.8 242/305/384 142306 1516 25% 7% 94 +1.3 248/306/416169299181623%6%100+1.2
●Esmerlyn Valdez
2023 · A 		19 41→43 45→55 44→40 43 204/283/326 122290 125 32% 8% 71 -0.3 195/273/328 133307 154 39% 8% 67 -0.5 202/290/39018828626237%9%87+0.6
✕Carter Kieboom
2018 · A 		20 45→50 49→50 43→45 42 229/288/376 147300 165 29% 6% 85 +0.7 233/302/365 132310 156 28% 8% 88 +0.9 229/307/35412530614528%9%84+0.4
✕Jesus Rodriguez
2021 · A 		19 46→55 42→45 49→50 46 224/285/337 113288 99 25% 8% 72 -0.2 235/300/339 104298 612 22% 8% 80 +0.4 254/315/36210830991620%7%88+0.7
●Andy Pages
2021 · A 		20 43→53 46→60 46→50 46 214/297/344 130275 149 26% 8% 82 +0.5 219/304/418 199291 256 32% 9% 104 +2.0 270/324/464194313251022%6%121+2.8
●Gabriel Gonzalez
2023 · A 		19 46→56 45→50 49→45 43 227/292/347 120278 129 23% 5% 80 +0.4 244/297/370 126294 147 21% 5% 88 +0.9 253/307/38212930314621%5%91+0.9
✕Harry Ford
2022 · A 		19 45→47 47→45 52→55 43 223/287/366 143309 149 32% 8% 82 +0.5 211/317/346 135289 1416 29% 11% 91 +1.1 204/318/335131272142128%12%85+0.6
●Moisés Ballesteros
2023 · A 		19 43→53 47→50 45→40 47 217/283/352 135277 155 27% 8% 76 +0.1 243/301/378 135296 164 23% 7% 91 +1.1 266/326/40513931116319%8%106+1.6
●Alonzo Harris
2009 · A 		20 44→52 45→55 49→60 40 221/275/344 123294 1311 29% 6% 71 -0.3 209/247/311 102282 1012 29% 4% 50 -1.8 235/290/392157281183523%7%87+0.7
✕Brady House
2022 · A 		19 45→51 47→50 49→45 42 226/280/358 132303 156 30% 7% 76 +0.1 227/277/345 118349 136 37% 5% 72 -0.2 233/269/37213931917632%4%72-0.1
●Luis Campusano
2018 · A 		19 43→53 41→50 41→30 44 213/267/308 95273 104 25% 6% 58 -1.2 251/303/368 117300 122 20% 6% 89 +0.9 264/328/43216829722119%8%113+1.5
✕Victor Heredia
2019 · A 		19 47 44→50 42→30 39 232/274/353 122292 114 25% 4% 72 -0.2 213/267/301 88291 75 28% 6% 56 -1.3 176/240/214382493228%6%21-1.0
●Daniel Robertson
2013 · A 		19 45→54 46→45 52→40 49 225/297/363 139266 126 20% 8% 85 +0.7 232/296/339 107293 93 23% 7% 79 +0.3 231/336/34511430111425%11%96+0.8
✕Noelvi Marte
2021 · A 		19 44→53 44→50 50→55 42 218/268/339 121285 1112 27% 6% 66 -0.6 230/295/375 145298 1716 27% 8% 88 +0.9 233/300/377144296171926%8%87+0.7