Brady Ebel

SS Wilson Warbirds

Age 20 L/R 6'3" / 195 lbs A HR +10%K +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

APROSPECTFG #63MiLBFA 2036

Scout OFP51ETA2028FG ETA2030MLB%4%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	18	ACarolina Mudc…	66	.241/.333/.259	0	0	49	—	.217/.288/.233
2026	19	A+MIL	44	.152/.364/.242	0	1	47	—	.114/.295/.171
2026	19	AMIL	494	.261/.421/.420	10	39	103	—	.229/.354/.356
2027PROJ4% MLB	20	MLBMIL	13	.224/.336/.345	0	0	99	0.0
2028PROJ50% MLB	21	MLBMIL	290	.230/.341/.366	6	6	105	1.2
2029PROJ69% MLB	22	MLBMIL	418	.235/.344/.381	11	9	109	1.9

Next 3 projected WAR 3.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Arb-1$8M2034Arb-2$13M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

BB%95

Chase%84

Z-Con%46

wOBA32

wRC+27

Whiff%27

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -1 / P90 45, comp-based) · star 12% · didn't stick 65%

CompsJ.P. Crawford (age 20) · Jackson Holliday (age 19) · Sal Stewart (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†99

AVG/OBP/SLG.224 / .336 / .345

PA13

HR0

K%23

BB%15

BABIP284

ISO129

MLB%4%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$104M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 52 / POW 48

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT52

scouting grade only

POWER48

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.3	$15M	+$14M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.5	$15M	+$14M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.6	$15M	+$14M
2033	Arb-1	$8M	+2.6	$14M	+$9M
2034	Arb-2	$13M	+2.5	$12M	+$6M
2035	Arb-3	$17M	+2.4	$10M	+$3M
Totals		$41M		$80M	+$60M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	18	A	Carolina Mudcats	—	66	58	14	1	0	0	6	17	2	0	1	241	333	259	592	17	341	26	9	283	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	44	33	5	3	0	0	9	13	2	1	1	152	364	242	606	91	250	30	20	305	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A	Wilson Warbirds	—	494	383	100	23	4	10	96	101	10	39	3	261	421	420	842	159	325	20	19	381	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	18	A MLE	Carolina Mudcats	—	66	60	13	1	0	0	4	22	2	0	1	217	288	233	521	17	344	33	6	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	44	35	4	2	0	0	7	16	2	1	1	114	295	171	467	57	224	36	16	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	Wilson Warbirds	—	494	410	94	20	4	8	69	137	10	39	3	229	354	356	710	127	313	28	14	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	A MLE	Carolina Mudcats	—	66	60	13	1	0	0	4	22	2	0	1	217	288	233	521	17	342	33	6	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	A RAW	Carolina Mudcats	—	66	58	14	1	0	0	6	17	2	0	1	241	333	259	592	17	341	26	9	283	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	538	445	99	23	4	8	76	154	12	40	4	222	351	346	697	124	316	29	14	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	538	416	105	26	4	10	105	114	12	40	4	252	417	406	823	154	320	21	20	375	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	A MLE	Carolina Mudcats	—	66	60	13	1	0	0	4	22	2	0	1	217	288	233	521	17	344	33	6	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	538	445	99	23	4	8	76	154	12	40	4	222	351	346	697	124	306	29	14	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	18	A MLE	Carolina Mudcats	—	66	60	13	1	0	0	4	22	2	0	1	217	288	233	521	17	344	33	6	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	538	445	99	23	4	8	76	154	12	40	4	222	351	346	697	124	306	29	14	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	MIL	4%	588	499	112	23	3	10	75	137	9	13	2	227	339	348	687	121	290	23	13	314	99	-1	+2	-1	+6	+13	1.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	20	MLB CTX	MIL	4%	13	11	2	0	0	0	2	3	0	0	0	224	336	345	681	121	284	23	15	312	99	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	MIL	50%	581	492	114	23	3	12	74	133	10	13	2	233	344	369	712	136	291	23	13	324	105	+4	+2	-1	+6	+13	2.4
2029	22	MLB MLE	MIL	69%	607	516	123	25	3	15	76	136	10	12	2	237	347	383	730	145	292	22	13	330	109	+7	+2	-0	+7	+13	2.8
2030	23	MLB MLE	MIL	77%	615	523	126	25	3	16	77	136	10	12	2	240	348	392	740	151	292	22	13	334	112	+9	+2	+0	+7	+13	3.1
2031	24	MLB MLE	MIL	78%	627	535	130	26	3	17	77	138	10	11	2	242	348	397	746	155	293	22	12	335	113	+10	+1	+1	+7	+14	3.3
2032	25	MLB MLE	MIL	79%	634	542	131	26	3	17	77	139	10	11	2	243	348	399	747	156	293	22	12	336	113	+10	+1	+1	+7	+14	3.4
2033	26	MLB MLE	MIL	79%	639	546	132	26	3	17	78	140	10	11	2	243	348	399	747	156	293	22	12	336	113	+10	+1	+1	+7	+14	3.4
2034	27	MLB MLE	MIL	78%	637	544	131	26	3	17	78	141	10	10	2	242	347	396	743	155	292	22	12	334	112	+9	+1	+1	+7	+14	3.3
2035	28	MLB MLE	MIL	77%	631	540	130	26	3	17	77	141	9	9	2	240	345	392	737	152	292	22	12	332	111	+8	+1	+0	+7	+14	3.0
2036	29	MLB MLE	MIL	75%	621	532	126	25	3	16	75	140	9	8	2	238	342	385	728	148	291	23	12	328	108	+6	+1	-0	+7	+13	2.7
2037	30	MLB MLE	MIL	74%	609	521	122	24	3	15	74	140	9	7	2	235	339	378	717	143	289	23	12	324	105	+4	+1	-1	+7	+13	2.4
2038	31	MLB MLE	MIL	73%	595	511	118	23	3	14	71	139	8	5	3	231	334	368	702	137	286	23	12	318	101	+1	-0	-2	+6	+13	1.9
2039	32	MLB MLE	MIL	72%	576	495	112	22	2	13	68	137	8	4	8	225	328	355	683	130	283	24	12	311	97	-2	-2	-3	+6	+12	1.2
2040	33	MLB MLE	MIL	79%	547	471	103	20	2	11	64	133	7	3	33	219	321	340	661	121	278	24	12	302	90	-6	-13	-3	+6	+12	-0.5
2028	21	MLB CTX	MIL	50%	290	246	57	11	2	6	37	66	5	6	1	230	341	366	708	136	286	23	13	322	105	+2	+1	-0	+3	+6	1.2
2029	22	MLB CTX	MIL	69%	418	355	84	16	2	11	53	94	7	9	2	235	344	381	726	146	287	22	13	328	109	+5	+1	-0	+4	+9	1.9
2030	23	MLB CTX	MIL	77%	471	401	96	18	3	13	59	104	8	9	2	238	346	391	736	153	287	22	13	332	112	+7	+1	+0	+5	+10	2.3
2031	24	MLB CTX	MIL	78%	489	418	101	19	3	14	60	108	8	9	2	240	346	396	742	156	288	22	12	334	113	+8	+1	+0	+5	+11	2.5
2032	25	MLB CTX	MIL	79%	499	427	103	19	3	14	61	110	8	9	2	241	346	398	744	158	288	22	12	334	113	+8	+1	+1	+5	+11	2.6
2033	26	MLB CTX	MIL	79%	505	430	103	19	3	14	62	111	8	8	2	240	346	398	743	158	288	22	12	334	113	+8	+1	+1	+5	+11	2.6
2034	27	MLB CTX	MIL	78%	494	424	102	19	3	14	60	109	7	8	2	239	345	395	740	156	287	22	12	333	112	+7	+1	+1	+5	+11	2.5
2035	28	MLB CTX	MIL	77%	485	416	97	18	2	13	59	108	7	7	1	238	343	391	733	153	287	22	12	330	111	+6	+1	+0	+5	+11	2.4
2036	29	MLB CTX	MIL	75%	464	398	92	17	2	12	56	105	7	6	1	235	340	384	724	149	286	23	12	327	108	+5	+1	-0	+5	+10	2.1
2037	30	MLB CTX	MIL	74%	448	385	90	17	2	12	54	103	6	5	1	232	337	376	713	144	284	23	12	322	105	+3	+1	-1	+5	+10	1.8
2038	31	MLB CTX	MIL	73%	433	372	85	16	2	11	52	101	6	4	2	228	332	366	698	138	281	23	12	317	101	+1	+0	-1	+5	+9	1.4
2039	32	MLB CTX	MIL	72%	417	359	81	15	2	10	49	99	6	3	6	223	326	354	680	131	278	24	12	309	97	-2	-2	-2	+4	+9	0.8
2040	33	MLB CTX	MIL	79%	430	372	80	14	2	9	50	105	5	3	26	216	319	338	657	122	273	24	12	300	90	-5	-10	-3	+5	+9	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	5843	5003	1171	218	31	153	712	1323	88	86	50	234	340	382	721	148	287	23	12	325	106	+52	-3	-4	+63	+127	23.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	557	130	24	3	17	79	147	10	10	6	233	340	379	718	145	285	23	12	325	106	+6	-0	-0	+7	+14	2.7
Career	—	MLE		—	8843	7544	1773	354	43	211	1087	2044	139	163	70	235	342	377	719	142	293	23	12	325	106	+68	-1	-6	+88	+179	33.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	555	131	26	3	16	80	150	10	12	5	236	343	380	723	144	293	23	12	325	106	+5	-0	-1	+7	+14	2.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jay Bell'86-'03 * career totals — 17 seasons, 8,525 PA	12.8	8,525	195	91	257*	334*	419*	+73	+9	39.1	36.0
/162	664	15	7	+5.7	+0.7	3.0	pk7: 33
#2Eddie Joost'36-'55 * career totals — 15 seasons, 6,783 PA	10.2	6,783	134	61	232*	343*	399*	+64	+30	34.4	32.7
/162	664	13	6	+6.3	+3.0	3.4	pk7: 31
#3Asdrúbal Cabreralast yr '21 career totals — 15 seasons, 7,401 PA	11.1	7,401	195	91	266	329	423	+58	+11	38.2	32.2
/162	664	17	8	+5.2	+1.0	3.4	pk7: 26
#4Freddy Parent'01-'11 * career totals — 10 seasons, 5,563 PA	8.4	5,563	20	184	262*	327*	420*	+51	+27	29.0	27.5
/162	664	2	22	+6.1	+3.2	3.5	pk7: 26
#5Stephen Drewlast yr '17 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,917 PA	7.4	4,917	123	41	252	318	423	+48	+35	26.3	25.1
/162	664	17	6	+6.5	+4.7	3.5	pk7: 24
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	8.8	5,856	146	84	238	339	384	+63	+0	27.4	23.2
/162	664	17	10	+7.1	+0.0	3.1	pk7: 19
#6Jason Kipnislast yr '20 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,984 PA	7.5	4,984	126	136	260	333	416	+18	-11	22.6	21.9
/162	664	17	18	+2.4	-1.4	3.0	pk7: 21

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brady Ebel (OGILVIE)	20	39→52	36→48	47→45	60	225/336/345	120	290	6	7	23%	13%	99	+0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●J.P. Crawford 2015 · A	20	54→57	41→45	46→50	52	258/327/358	100	312	9	15	20%	9%	96	+1.0	243/315/344	101	290	8	10	18%	9%	88	+0.5	261/352/384	123	304	11	2	17%	11%	113	+2.4
●Jackson Holliday 2023 · A	19	51→61	41→50	49→50	60	240/338/346	106	301	8	10	21%	13%	98	+1.2	254/339/391	137	339	12	14	26%	11%	109	+2.0	249/334/388	139	323	13	15	25%	11%	105	+1.7
●Sal Stewart 2024 · A	20	49→53	43→55	48→50	55	236/321/346	110	286	11	10	21%	11%	92	+0.7	249/321/397	148	298	16	12	21%	9%	104	+1.6	255/323/425	170	297	21	13	21%	8%	109	+1.8
●Evan Carter 2022 · A	19	47→55	43→50	52→55	56	220/331/337	117	299	9	18	27%	12%	95	+0.9	240/325/389	149	310	14	20	25%	10%	103	+1.6	241/329/398	157	310	15	21	25%	10%	104	+1.1
✕Adael Amador 2023 · A	20	53→56	46→50	46→55	55	258/340/385	126	301	13	14	18%	10%	108	+1.9	241/316/374	133	282	15	21	19%	9%	97	+1.1	231/310/357	126	266	13	22	18%	9%	88	+0.4
●Kevin McGonigle 2024 · A	19	51→57	39→50	47→50	54	240/319/330	90	294	6	15	20%	10%	87	+0.4	261/339/405	144	289	14	15	14%	10%	112	+2.2	271/359/435	164	294	17	13	14%	12%	126	+2.5
✕Cole Young 2024 · A	21	51→52	45	50	54	244/332/376	133	293	10	12	20%	10%	103	+1.6	242/323/366	124	285	11	11	18%	9%	97	+1.1	242/321/366	124	279	12	9	17%	9%	95	+0.9
●Moisés Ballesteros 2024 · AA	20	46→56	46→50	49→40	50	228/297/354	126	275	14	5	22%	9%	84	+0.2	255/315/385	130	307	14	4	21%	8%	99	+1.2	258/320/384	126	307	14	3	20%	8%	99	+1.1
●Roman Anthony 2024 · AA	20	48→57	47→50	49→50	50	230/314/369	139	322	13	11	31%	10%	95	+0.9	254/340/410	156	347	15	12	28%	11%	114	+2.3	261/352/422	161	350	16	11	27%	12%	119	+2.1
✕Hao-Yu Lee 2023 · A	20	49→51	44→50	48→55	46	237/306/359	122	312	12	12	27%	8%	89	+0.5	247/312/378	131	315	13	16	24%	7%	96	+1.0	253/317/409	156	313	15	15	23%	7%	103	+1.2
✕Juan Brito 2023 · A	21	48→50	45→50	48→45	53	234/319/371	136	287	12	11	22%	10%	97	+1.1	231/311/367	136	281	13	9	21%	10%	93	+0.8	225/308/360	135	270	13	9	21%	10%	89	+0.4
●Josue De Paula 2024 · A	19	52→54	38→50	51→55	52	242/326/327	85	316	5	14	23%	10%	89	+0.5	236/331/360	124	307	12	20	25%	12%	99	+1.3	241/338/391	150	298	16	24	23%	12%	106	+1.5
✕Cooper Ingle 2024 · A	22	51→56	39→50	48→40	60	236/332/330	94	292	5	11	19%	12%	93	+0.8	248/339/379	131	306	11	5	21%	12%	106	+1.8	245/342/386	141	308	13	3	23%	12%	106	+1.4
✕Edgar Quero 2024 · AA	21	50→58	45→50	43→40	53	239/334/366	127	305	12	5	24%	11%	102	+1.5	248/321/358	110	304	12	3	21%	8%	95	+0.9	248/318/344	96	299	11	1	20%	8%	89	+0.3
●Kolten Wong 2012 · A	21	52→58	45→50	48→55	48	253/304/381	129	285	11	12	16%	6%	93	+0.8	259/304/373	114	299	10	19	16%	5%	91	+0.6	272/342/411	139	310	13	20	16%	7%	116	+1.7
●Jackson Merrill 2023 · A	20	53→57	42→60	51→50	42	252/297/366	114	337	9	12	27%	6%	86	+0.3	265/307/431	166	303	18	11	19%	6%	106	+1.8	269/313/462	193	313	22	15	21%	6%	117	+2.5
✕Harry Ford 2024 · A	21	46→53	46→45	52→55	56	220/336/355	135	298	13	15	28%	13%	101	+1.4	227/331/344	117	301	11	16	25%	12%	97	+1.1	223/330/334	111	296	10	16	25%	12%	91	+0.5
●Andy Pages 2021 · A	20	43→53	46→60	46→50	46	215/300/346	131	277	14	9	26%	8%	85	+0.2	217/306/408	191	287	24	6	32%	9%	102	+1.5	269/326/453	184	315	23	10	22%	6%	121	+2.8
✕Victor Ortega 2024 · A	20	46	35→45	47→45	64	212/325/274	62	256	2	7	16%	14%	78	-0.3	218/316/288	70	284	3	6	21%	12%	78	-0.3	222/329/302	80	289	4	3	21%	12%	84	+0.1
●CJ Abrams 2021 · A	20	50→53	43→60	54→60	45	243/288/365	122	284	8	14	18%	5%	83	+0.1	252/298/368	116	311	9	25	21%	5%	88	+0.4	252/319/452	200	292	23	30	22%	7%	117	+2.7

Brady Ebel

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps