Grady Emerson — OGILVIE

Grady EmersonSS Charleston RiverDogs

Age 19 L/R A HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 0 ros · stats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†74

AVG/OBP/SLG.226 / .295 / .324

PA8

HR0

K%25

BB%12

BABIP306

ISO100

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$23M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 61 / POW 49

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT61

scouting grade only

POWER49

scouting grade only

EYE70

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

DEFENSE56

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2034	Arb-1	$4M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.2M
2035	Arb-2	$6M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-3	$8M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$7M		$12M	+$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	18	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	60	51	9	0	1	0	8	13	0	2	0	176	288	216	504	39	231	22	13	241	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	18	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	60	53	9	0	1	0	6	18	0	2	0	170	254	208	462	38	234	30	10	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	60	53	9	0	1	0	6	18	0	2	0	170	254	208	462	38	250	30	10	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	A RAW	Charleston RiverDogs	—	60	51	9	0	1	0	8	13	0	2	0	176	288	216	504	39	231	22	13	241	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	60	54	9	0	1	0	6	18	0	2	0	167	254	204	458	37	234	30	10	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	18	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	60	54	9	0	1	0	6	18	0	2	0	167	254	204	458	37	234	30	10	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	TB	10%	170	153	34	4	2	2	14	47	1	3	1	223	292	321	613	98	301	28	8	277	74	-5	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	19	MLB CTX	TB	10%	8	7	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	226	295	324	618	97	306	25	12	280	74	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	TB	43%	188	169	39	5	2	3	16	51	1	4	1	226	296	330	627	104	302	27	9	283	78	-5	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.2
2029	21	MLB MLE	TB	54%	323	290	66	8	4	5	27	86	3	7	2	229	300	339	639	110	303	27	8	288	81	-7	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.4
2030	22	MLB MLE	TB	58%	421	380	88	11	5	8	35	110	3	9	3	231	303	346	648	115	303	26	8	292	84	-8	+1	+1	+5	+9	0.7
2031	23	MLB MLE	TB	59%	487	439	101	13	5	9	41	126	4	11	3	233	305	352	657	119	303	26	8	295	86	-8	+1	+1	+5	+11	1.0
2032	24	MLB MLE	TB	59%	529	475	112	15	6	11	45	136	4	12	3	235	306	357	664	122	304	26	9	298	88	-8	+1	+2	+6	+11	1.3
2033	25	MLB MLE	TB	58%	554	497	117	16	6	11	47	142	5	12	3	235	307	358	665	123	304	26	8	299	88	-8	+1	+4	+6	+12	1.5
2034	26	MLB MLE	TB	58%	567	509	120	16	6	12	48	146	5	12	4	235	307	358	665	123	303	26	8	299	88	-8	+1	+4	+6	+12	1.5
2035	27	MLB MLE	TB	57%	571	513	120	16	6	11	48	148	5	12	4	234	306	356	662	122	303	26	8	297	87	-9	+1	+4	+6	+12	1.5
2036	28	MLB MLE	TB	57%	569	512	119	16	6	11	48	148	4	11	4	233	304	352	655	119	302	26	8	295	86	-10	+1	+3	+6	+12	1.3
2037	29	MLB MLE	TB	55%	561	505	116	15	6	10	47	148	4	10	4	230	301	346	647	115	301	26	8	291	83	-11	+0	+2	+6	+12	1.0
2038	30	MLB MLE	TB	59%	551	496	114	15	6	10	46	147	4	10	4	228	298	338	636	111	300	27	8	287	80	-13	+0	+1	+6	+12	0.7
2039	31	MLB MLE	TB	61%	537	484	108	14	5	9	44	145	4	8	5	224	294	329	623	105	298	27	8	282	77	-15	-0	+1	+6	+12	0.3
2028	20	MLB CTX	TB	43%	81	73	17	2	1	1	7	22	1	2	0	229	299	333	632	103	307	27	9	286	78	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2029	21	MLB CTX	TB	54%	175	157	36	4	2	3	15	46	1	4	1	232	303	341	643	109	307	26	9	290	81	-4	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.2
2030	22	MLB CTX	TB	58%	244	220	51	6	3	4	20	64	2	5	2	234	305	348	653	114	308	26	8	294	84	-5	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.4
2031	23	MLB CTX	TB	59%	289	261	61	8	3	5	24	75	2	6	2	236	307	354	661	118	308	26	8	297	86	-5	+0	+1	+3	+6	0.6
2032	24	MLB CTX	TB	59%	311	279	67	9	4	6	26	80	3	7	2	238	309	359	667	121	308	26	8	300	88	-4	+1	+1	+3	+7	0.8
2033	25	MLB CTX	TB	58%	324	291	69	9	4	6	27	83	3	7	2	238	309	360	669	122	308	26	8	300	88	-5	+1	+2	+3	+7	0.9
2034	26	MLB CTX	TB	58%	331	297	71	9	4	7	28	85	3	7	2	238	309	360	669	122	308	26	8	300	88	-5	+1	+2	+4	+7	0.9
2035	27	MLB CTX	TB	57%	327	293	70	9	4	6	28	85	3	7	2	237	308	357	666	120	307	26	9	299	87	-5	+1	+2	+4	+7	0.9
2036	28	MLB CTX	TB	57%	323	290	69	9	4	6	27	84	3	6	2	235	306	353	659	118	307	26	8	297	86	-6	+0	+2	+3	+7	0.7
2037	29	MLB CTX	TB	55%	310	279	65	8	3	6	26	82	2	6	2	233	304	347	651	114	306	26	8	293	83	-6	+0	+1	+3	+7	0.6
2038	30	MLB CTX	TB	59%	324	292	68	9	3	6	27	86	2	6	2	230	301	340	641	110	305	27	8	289	80	-8	+0	+1	+3	+7	0.4
2039	31	MLB CTX	TB	61%	328	296	66	8	3	5	27	89	2	5	3	227	296	331	627	104	302	27	8	283	77	-9	-0	+0	+4	+7	0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3367	3028	710	90	38	61	282	881	27	68	22	234	305	350	655	115	308	26	8	295	84	-62	+5	+13	+36	+73	6.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	137	17	7	12	54	170	5	13	4	234	304	349	653	115	307	26	8	295	84	-12	+1	+3	+7	+14	1.3
Career	—	MLE		—	5994	5392	1245	162	65	111	504	1572	46	121	40	231	302	347	649	116	303	26	8	292	84	-111	+8	+23	+64	+129	11.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	135	18	7	12	55	170	5	13	4	231	302	347	649	116	303	26	8	292	84	-12	+1	+2	+7	+14	1.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#4Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	5.0	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.8
/162	664	7	7	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
#5Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	5.1	3,373	63	68	233	300	350	+36	+19	7.2	6.4
/162	664	12	13	+7.1	+3.8	1.4	pk7: 6
#6Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
/162	664	8	8	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Grady Emerson (OGILVIE)	19	25→61	32→49	55	70	221/289/318	97	301	1	1	27%	8%	74	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Termarr Johnson 2023 · A	19	46→53	41→45	52→55	47	212/293/316	104	323	7	14	34%	10%	75	-0.5	217/315/345	128	302	15	12	30%	12%	91	+0.6	218/312/337	119	292	14	14	28%	11%	85	+0.2
✕Cam Maron 2010 · A	19	47→57	40	50→40	47	223/290/317	95	292	7	7	25%	8%	74	-0.6	241/309/329	88	308	7	5	22%	8%	83	+0.1	245/318/319	74	316	4	2	22%	9%	82	-0.0
✕Max Clark 2024 · A	19	44→53	42→45	51→55	48	207/292/314	106	308	9	11	33%	10%	74	-0.5	238/314/357	119	306	11	17	24%	9%	92	+0.7	245/323/369	124	304	11	19	22%	10%	96	+0.9
✕Bo Naylor 2019 · A	19	45→46	39→55	52→50	46	212/280/301	90	299	6	9	30%	9%	66	-1.1	196/254/318	122	282	11	8	33%	7%	60	-1.6	218/311/396	178	274	21	12	27%	11%	100	+1.0
✕Jonathan Galvez 2010 · A	19	43→51	42→50	50→55	51	209/299/315	106	278	8	12	26%	10%	77	-0.3	225/289/347	122	328	11	16	32%	7%	80	-0.1	244/294/364	120	343	10	23	30%	5%	83	+0.1
✕Ronny Hernandez 2024 · A	19	44→53	39→40	49→30	46	211/281/302	91	288	6	4	28%	8%	67	-1.1	227/301/310	83	296	7	3	24%	9%	76	-0.4	229/306/323	94	287	11	1	22%	10%	79	-0.1
✕Aron Estrada 2024 · A	19	47→54	41→50	52→55	54	220/310/327	107	272	6	9	20%	10%	84	+0.2	247/301/365	118	304	11	21	22%	6%	88	+0.5	258/306/387	130	312	14	21	21%	5%	93	+0.7
✕Hoy Park 2016 · A	20	40→50	41→45	47→55	46	197/270/297	100	265	8	11	28%	8%	62	-1.4	207/284/295	88	286	5	16	27%	9%	67	-1.1	234/324/332	98	306	8	17	24%	11%	88	+0.3
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→48	41→50	56→55	44	216/287/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	213/317/337	124	303	10	23	29%	12%	90	+0.6	212/316/350	138	296	11	26	29%	12%	89	+0.4
✕Carlos Jimenez 2023 · A	20	35→44	42→50	53→55	51	176/278/284	108	252	10	16	32%	11%	63	-1.3	209/288/321	112	322	10	16	35%	9%	74	-0.5	223/303/376	153	308	17	18	31%	10%	89	+0.4
✕Jonathan Ornelas 2019 · A	19	46→56	40→45	53→50	44	219/282/318	99	308	7	14	30%	8%	70	-0.8	209/265/301	92	294	7	10	29%	6%	60	-1.6	251/312/338	87	342	8	12	27%	7%	83	+0.1
✕Jose Escobar 2024 · A	19	46→56	39→40	55→45	42	220/276/306	85	277	6	14	22%	5%	65	-1.2	227/297/326	99	296	8	9	24%	7%	78	-0.3	236/304/334	98	303	8	8	23%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Canaan Smith-Njigba 2019 · A	20	46→51	41→45	46→55	51	218/304/317	98	298	9	7	28%	10%	79	-0.2	237/308/353	116	333	10	11	29%	9%	88	+0.5	242/319/359	118	343	9	15	29%	10%	91	+0.4
✕Marcelo Mayer 2022 · A	19	46→47	42→50	53→50	42	215/279/322	107	328	10	12	35%	8%	71	-0.8	225/292/370	145	321	15	12	32%	8%	86	+0.3	229/294/381	151	313	16	14	30%	8%	88	+0.3
✕Carlos Sanchez 2024 · A	19	49→54	37→40	50	56	218/326/301	83	327	4	13	30%	13%	84	+0.2	217/305/303	86	356	6	12	36%	11%	76	-0.4	225/310/326	101	351	8	14	35%	11%	79	-0.1
✕Rio Ruiz 2014 · A	20	45→54	44→50	50→40	45	221/278/350	129	289	10	8	27%	7%	76	-0.4	241/308/352	111	311	9	4	23%	9%	88	+0.4	246/316/351	105	316	8	2	23%	9%	88	+0.4
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	45→55	40→45	49→50	48	215/278/314	99	274	7	9	23%	8%	68	-1.0	227/295/327	100	280	6	12	20%	8%	78	-0.3	265/326/372	107	319	9	16	19%	7%	96	+0.8
✕Randy Florentino 2019 · A	19	43	41→45	45	56	204/303/316	112	273	7	8	26%	12%	79	-0.2	186/265/271	85	280	6	5	33%	9%	55	-2.0	183/231/259	76	238	8	4	26%	5%	37	-1.0
✕Akil Baddoo 2018 · A	19	46→53	42→50	52→55	49	220/298/335	114	290	7	10	25%	9%	80	-0.1	201/274/317	116	305	8	13	34%	9%	68	-1.0	238/319/386	148	309	15	24	26%	11%	100	+0.9
✕Kevyn Castillo 2024 · A	19	49→46	38→50	54→55	53	227/310/317	91	295	4	19	23%	10%	81	-0.1	232/306/336	104	327	8	14	29%	9%	84	+0.1	232/311/351	119	315	11	14	28%	9%	86	+0.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps