Will TurnerOF Portland Sea Dogs
Age 23 L/L 5'11" / 200 lbs AA H +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
2026 ROS PROJECTION242 act + 161 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†81
AVG/OBP/SLG.183 / .306 / .315
PA161
HR4
SB5
K%27
BB%14
BABIP235
ISO132
MLB%2%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -8.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-9BATRUN: +1.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -2.4 runs (Positional adjustment)-2POSREP: +11.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+11REPTotal WAR: +0.20+0.2WAR
0.00.51.00.00.30.50.60.60.5+$17M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 35
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT25
scouting grade only
POWER35
scouting grade only
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED45
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2029
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2034
First FA Year   2035
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.6$2M+$1M
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.6$2M+$1M
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.5$1M+$0.8M
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $3M $5M +$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202421 A+Greenville Drive 9277 5110 11233 31 65209104313 3991 2512 162 -18
202421 A+Greenville Drive 9274 6110 14163 31 81253122374 41102 1715 201 12
202522 A+2 teams 200166 19303 30680 52 114250187437 72162 3415 216 23
202522 A+2 teams 200147 23404 49440 52 156367265633 109184 2224 306 92
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD23 AABOS 242202 354110 35704 144 173307351659 178203 2914 291 81 -5 +1 +0 -1 +7 0.1
YTD23 AABOS 242184 375110 51544 144 201382402784 201223 2221 357 131 +9 +1 +0 -1 +7 1.5
ROS23 AABOS 2% 161136 25414 22442 52 183306315621 132239 2714 291 81 -3 +0 +0 -1 +5 0.0
ROS23 MLBBOS 2% 33 0000 010 00 244 330 285 76 -0 +0 +0 -0 +0 -0.0
FULL23 AABOS 245205 354110 35714 144 171303346650 176200 2914 291 81 -5 +1 +0 -1 +7 0.1
TOT23 AABOS 403338 608214 571146 196 177306337643 160217 2814 291 81 -9 +1 +0 -2 +11 0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202724 MLBBOS 31% 353300 6010210 46934 82 200314347661 147246 2613 297 85 -6 +1 +0 -2 +10 0.3
202825 MLBBOS 45% 400341 6912211 511045 82 202315346661 144250 2613 301 88 -5 +1 +0 -2 +11 0.5
202926 MLBBOS 51% 428366 7413212 541105 82 202313347660 145253 2613 303 90 -5 +1 +0 -3 +12 0.6
203027 MLBBOS 53% 436373 7613213 551125 82 204314354668 150254 2613 303 90 -5 +1 +0 -3 +12 0.6
203128 MLBBOS 53% 439375 7613213 561145 72 203314352666 149253 2613 302 90 -5 +1 -1 -3 +12 0.5
202724 MLBBOS 31% 10993 18303 14291 31 194306323628 129252 2713 292 81 -2 +0 +0 -1 +3 0.0
202825 MLBBOS 45% 178151 32615 23462 41 212324364688 152256 2613 296 84 -3 +0 +0 -1 +5 0.1
202926 MLBBOS 51% 218186 38716 27563 41 204315349664 145258 2612 298 86 -3 +0 +0 -1 +6 0.2
203027 MLBBOS 53% 229195 41717 29593 41 210322364686 154259 2613 298 87 -3 +0 +0 -1 +6 0.2
203128 MLBBOS 53% 234199 42817 30613 41 211323367690 156259 2613 298 86 -4 +0 -0 -1 +7 0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career 971827 17131428 12325212 195 207318356674 149259 2613 297 85 -16 +2 -0 -6 +28 0.7
/ 162G 650554 11521319 821698 133 208318359678 152260 2613 297 85 -11 +1 -0 -4 +18 0.5
Career 25092134 404691266 32566829 5215 189305326630 136239 2713 289 79 -59 +4 -1 -15 +71 0.1
/ 162G 650553 10518317 841738 134 190305325631 136240 2713 289 79 -15 +1 -0 -4 +18 -0.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202421 A+Greenville Drive 9274 6110 14163 31 81253122374 41102 1715 201 12 -9 +0 +3 -0.6
202522 A+Greenville Drive 163124 20403 36360 41 161350266616 105193 2222 296 85 -3 +0 +5 0.2
202522 ROKFCL Red Sox 3723 3001 1380 11 130444261705 130133 2235 350 126 +1 -0 +1 0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA
82,7118155233305399-12-134.14.5
/1626642013-2.9-3.21.0pk7: 5
#2Daniel Vogelbachlast yr '24
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,913 PA
71,913810220342411-29-164.44.4
/162664280-10.2-5.61.5pk7: 4
#3Gregory Polancolast yr '21
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA
83,2209698241309409-34-283.84.4
/1626642020-7.1-5.80.8pk7: 5
#4Tony Kemplast yr '23
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA
72,1983552238326354-4-34.34.3
/1626641116-1.3-0.81.3pk7: 4
#5Dustin Ackleylast yr '16
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA
62,3474631241304367-5+73.83.8
/162664139-1.3+1.91.1pk7: 4
#6Pokey Reeselast yr '04
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA
51,9142978242303347-6+62.72.7
/1626641027-2.0+2.21.0pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons
29742819204311350-6+01.11.1
/1626641913-4.0+0.00.8pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Will Turner (OGILVIE) 23 25 35 45 60 177/306/337 160217 1419 28% 14% 81 +0.2
Anthony Seigler
2023 · A
24 40→39 42→50 46→55 56 195/303/310 115269 911 28% 13% 76 +0.0 199/299/319 120254 1120 24% 12% 76 +0.0 226/317/363137277122821%11%91+0.6
Nolan Fontana
2014 · A
23 42→43 39→40 52→50 58 198/312/287 89285 614 30% 14% 73 -0.1 204/300/291 87305 49 30% 12% 69 -0.4 184/288/308124252111229%12%68-0.2
Jacob Wetzel
2023 · A
23 39→35 44→45 49→50 45 196/278/309 113276 1310 32% 9% 64 -0.8 190/263/303 113285 1013 34% 8% 56 -1.3 175/248/29011527091636%8%43-1.1
Daniel Vellojin
2023 · AA
23 39 46→45 42→45 52 198/293/324 126277 146 32% 12% 75 -0.0 179/260/273 94259 96 32% 9% 47 -1.9 150/237/225752158432%9%24-1.2
Christopher Familia
2023 · A
23 39 45→55 47→45 45 200/277/324 124256 138 27% 7% 68 -0.5 216/273/378 162292 204 32% 6% 80 +0.4 212/264/39618427826033%5%76+0.0
Lance Ray
2013 · A
23 37 45 45 45 191/261/313 122256 136 30% 8% 58 -1.2 198/263/314 116276 106 30% 7% 59 -1.1 148/219/198512124530%8%7-1.0
Austin Davidson
2016 · A
23 37→40 43→45 41→45 43 188/254/291 103226 118 22% 5% 50 -1.8 219/283/334 115270 107 22% 7% 72 -0.2 227/291/35112427911622%7%77+0.1
Ramiro Rodriguez
2021 · AA
23 42 40 50 48 204/285/300 96281 818 28% 9% 64 -0.8 200/261/296 96312 911 36% 7% 53 -1.5 146/208/210642387840%6%4-1.2
Jose Brizuela
2016 · A
23 41→40 43→50 50→45 46 204/274/320 117274 107 28% 8% 65 -0.7 211/268/334 123297 135 32% 7% 66 -0.6 195/247/32513026817133%6%52-0.7
Caleb Roberts
2023 · AA
23 41→42 43→45 50 43 199/278/313 114297 1112 34% 8% 65 -0.7 202/279/326 124295 1111 33% 8% 69 -0.4 187/272/303117258121130%8%58-0.7
Josh Alley
2007 · A
23 45 37→40 45→50 58 211/301/282 72255 510 18% 11% 67 -0.5 235/317/324 89291 510 19% 11% 83 +0.6 258/341/3559731351018%11%98+0.8
Josh Sale
2014 · A
23 43 44→45 46→40 47 211/283/328 117285 118 29% 9% 70 -0.3 202/263/295 93360 74 42% 7% 53 -1.5 182/256/29211030712241%8%47-1.0
Nick Maton
2021 · AA
24 42 41→50 45 44 206/270/300 94283 89 29% 8% 57 -1.2 211/291/339 128285 127 28% 9% 77 +0.1 215/306/36915426518425%10%89+0.6
River Town
2023 · A
24 39→36 44→40 55→50 44 196/275/315 119256 1115 27% 7% 64 -0.8 212/300/304 92266 814 22% 9% 72 -0.2 211/311/2837126161519%10%69-0.2
Luis Santana
2022 · AA
23 39 42→45 47→50 39 198/255/299 101269 1010 30% 5% 51 -1.7 211/272/334 123278 139 28% 6% 67 -0.5 201/263/32112025914727%6%57-0.7
Alexander Campos
2022 · A
22 43 41→40 46→45 48 206/290/308 102278 86 27% 9% 69 -0.4 221/302/309 88318 76 30% 9% 74 -0.1 242/332/316743358627%10%86+0.3
Connor Kokx
2023 · A
23 42 40 48→60 49 204/292/297 93273 814 27% 9% 67 -0.5 205/289/284 79296 524 30% 8% 63 -0.9 193/283/2596628843431%8%51-0.7
Chris Pieters
2018 · A
23 45 41→45 51→55 44 215/279/319 105286 713 26% 7% 66 -0.6 207/259/301 94296 611 30% 6% 53 -1.5 165/200/2195425201533%4%4-0.8
Reese Havens
2010 · A
23 42→40 48→45 44→40 49 215/301/355 139265 155 24% 9% 85 +0.7 220/295/364 144303 164 31% 9% 85 +0.7 205/284/34514030017235%9%72-0.1
Terrin Vavra
2021 · A
24 45→44 41→45 47→50 47 217/272/316 99263 812 21% 7% 62 -0.9 245/319/353 108323 811 24% 9% 92 +1.2 262/341/36810634571124%9%100+0.6