Will Turner

OF Portland Sea Dogs
Age 24 L/L 5'11" / 200 lbs AA HR -5%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
Overview
AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036
OGV OFP35OGV rank#2316ETA2029MLB%2%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202421A+BOS92.081/.253/.12203-13—.076/.198/.114
202522A+/ROKBOS200.156/.367/.2654531—.119/.250/.192
202623AABOS414.193/.368/.417181875—.161/.293/.336
2027PROJMLE24MLBBOS4.196/.313/.34900870.0
2028PROJ31% MLB25MLBBOS78.199/.315/.35522890.0
2029PROJ45% MLB26MLBBOS133.202/.315/.35842900.0
Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Arb-1$0.2M2034Ext$5M+1
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA
Chase%99
BB%98
ISO82
wOBA68
wRC+68
Whiff%68
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.2 / P90 5.8, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 86%
CompsAnthony Seigler (age 24) · Zack Short (age 24) · Drew Robinson (age 24)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†87
AVG/OBP/SLG.196 / .313 / .349
PA4
HR0
K%25
BB%25
BABIP253
ISO152
MLB%2%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -3.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -1.3 runs (Positional adjustment)-1POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: +0.20+0.2WAR
0.00.51.00.00.10.00.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 35
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT25
scouting grade only
POWER35
scouting grade only
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED45
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2033Arb-1$0.2M———
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-0.5M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202421 A+Greenville Drive — 9274 6110 14163 31 81253122374 41102 1715 201 -13 — — — — — —
202522 A+Greenville Drive — 163124 20403 36360 41 161350266616 105193 2222 296 25 — — — — — —
202522 ROKFCL Red Sox — 3723 3001 1380 11 130444261705 130133 2235 350 57 — — — — — —
202623 AAPortland Sea Dogs — 414321 6214218 841036 187 193368417785 224219 2520 355 75 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202421 A+ MLEGreenville Drive — 9279 6110 9223 31 76198114312 3888 2410 149 -13 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLEGreenville Drive — 163139 17302 21500 41 122237187425 65155 3113 205 25 — — — — — —
202522 ROK MLEFCL Red Sox — 3728 3001 8120 11 107306214520 107102 3222 253 57 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLEPortland Sea Dogs — 414348 5612215 591266 187 161293336629 175193 3014 279 75 — — — — — —
202421 A+ MLEGreenville Drive — 9279 6110 9223 31 76198114312 38103 2410 149 -13 — — — — — —
202421 A+ RAWGreenville Drive — 9274 6110 14163 31 81253122374 41102 1715 201 -13 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLE2 teams — 200168 20304 28620 52 119245208453 89151 3114 214 31 — — — — — —
202522 A+ RAW2 teams — 200147 23404 49440 52 156367265633 109184 2224 306 31 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLEPortland Sea Dogs — 414348 5612215 591266 187 161293336629 175197 3014 279 75 — — — — — —
202623 AA RAWPortland Sea Dogs — 414321 6214218 841036 187 193368417785 224219 2520 355 75 — — — — — —
202421 A+ MLEGreenville Drive — 9280 6110 9223 31 75198113310 3888 2410 149 -13 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLE2 teams — 200170 20304 28620 52 118245206451 88145 3114 214 31 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLEPortland Sea Dogs — 414346 5612215 591266 187 162293338631 176193 3014 279 75 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202421 A+ MLEGreenville Drive — 9280 6110 9223 31 75198113310 3888 2410 149 -13 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLE2 teams — 200170 20304 28620 52 118245206451 88145 3114 214 31 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLEPortland Sea Dogs — 414346 5612215 591266 187 162293338631 176193 3014 279 75 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202724 MLB MLEBOS 2% 380322 6213211 511074 93 190308343651 152244 2813 297 87 -6 +1 +0 -2 +8 0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202724 MLB CTXBOS 2% 43 0000 110 00 196313349662 153253 2525 301 87 -0 +0 +0 -0 +0 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202825 MLB MLEBOS 31% 252214 41917 33703 52 194310348658 154247 2813 300 89 -3 +0 +0 -2 +5 0.1
202926 MLB MLEBOS 45% 298254 501019 39823 62 197311351662 155249 2813 301 90 -4 +0 +0 -2 +6 0.1
203027 MLB MLEBOS 49% 317270 531119 41873 52 198310352662 153251 2713 301 90 -4 +0 +0 -2 +7 0.1
203128 MLB MLEBOS 52% 325278 541119 41893 52 199309350658 151252 2713 299 89 -4 +0 -1 -2 +7 0.0
203229 MLB MLEBOS 52% 320274 541119 40883 42 199306346653 148253 2812 297 87 -5 +0 -1 -2 +7 -0.1
203330 MLB MLEBOS 52% 312268 521118 38873 32 195303338641 143250 2812 292 84 -6 -0 -2 -2 +7 -0.4
202825 MLB CTXBOS 31% 7867 13302 10221 21 199315355670 156256 2813 304 89 -1 +0 +0 -0 +2 0.0
202926 MLB CTXBOS 45% 133114 23514 17371 21 202315358673 156258 2813 305 90 -2 +0 +0 -1 +3 0.0
203027 MLB CTXBOS 49% 156133 27614 20432 31 203315358673 155260 2813 305 90 -2 +0 +0 -1 +3 0.1
203128 MLB CTXBOS 52% 168143 30715 21462 21 204313357670 153261 2712 304 89 -2 +0 -0 -1 +4 -0.0
203229 MLB CTXBOS 52% 165142 28614 20452 21 204311353665 149262 2712 302 87 -3 +0 -1 -1 +4 -0.1
203330 MLB CTXBOS 52% 161139 28614 20451 21 201307345653 144260 2812 297 84 -3 +0 -1 -1 +3 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 861738 14933523 1082389 136 202311354665 152261 2813 303 78 -13 +0 -2 -5 +19 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650557 11225417 821807 105 201312352664 151261 2813 303 78 -9 +0 -2 -4 +14 -0.1
Career— MLE — 27402331 420861076 35677229 5924 180296323620 143229 2813 284 78 -30 +1 -4 -12 +44 -0.1
/ 162G— MLE — 650553 9920218 841837 146 179295320615 141228 2813 284 78 -9 +0 -1 -4 +14 -0.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAPortland Sea Dogs · 414 PAwOBA .347 → .279 (−68)K% 24.9% → 30.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.88%÷1.000×1.220——30.35%
BB% (unintentional) /PA20.05%÷1.000×0.700—×1.01214.20%
HBP% /PA1.45%—×0.850—×1.0121.25%
Singles /BIP12.84%÷1.000×0.970×0.950×1.01211.98%
Doubles /BIP6.42%÷1.000×0.860×0.950×1.0125.31%
Triples /BIP0.92%÷1.000×0.950×0.950×1.0120.84%
Home runs /BIP8.26%÷1.000×0.780—×1.0126.52%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .347 → .279; ISO .224 → .186; BABIP .219 → .193. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Greenville Drive · 163 PAwOBA .295 → .205 (−91)K% 22.1% → 30.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.09%÷0.936×1.310——30.92%
BB% (unintentional) /PA22.09%÷1.050×0.600—×0.99812.60%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.770—×0.9980.00%
Singles /BIP14.77%÷0.974×0.870×0.950×0.99812.51%
Doubles /BIP4.55%÷1.099×0.780×0.950×0.9983.06%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.011×0.850×0.950×0.9980.00%
Home runs /BIP3.41%÷1.117×0.880—×0.9982.68%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 95, 2B 120, 3B 102, K 87, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .295 → .205; ISO .105 → .082; BABIP .193 → .155. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKFCL Red Sox · 37 PAwOBA .354 → .253 (−101)K% 21.6% → 32.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.62%÷0.965×1.440——32.27%
BB% (unintentional) /PA35.14%÷0.988×0.620—×0.96521.29%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×0.9650.00%
Singles /BIP13.33%÷1.033×0.820—×0.96510.21%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.101×0.720—×0.9650.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.720—×0.9650.00%
Home runs /BIP6.67%÷0.815×0.780—×0.9656.16%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 63, 1B 107, 2B 120, 3B 80, K 93, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .354 → .253; ISO .130 → .138; BABIP .133 → .102. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Greenville Drive · 92 PAwOBA .200 → .149 (−50)K% 17.4% → 23.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.39%÷0.960×1.310——23.73%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.22%÷0.924×0.600—×1.01210.00%
HBP% /PA3.26%—×0.770—×1.0122.54%
Singles /BIP6.90%÷1.013×0.870×1.003×1.0126.01%
Doubles /BIP1.72%÷1.037×0.780×1.003×1.0121.32%
Triples /BIP1.72%÷0.927×0.850×1.003×1.0121.60%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.043×0.880—×1.0120.00%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 103, 2B 107, 3B 85, K 92, BB 85 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.

Result: wOBA .200 → .149; ISO .041 → .036; BABIP .102 → .088. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).