Colin BarberLF
Sugar Land Space Cowboys
Age 25
L/L
5'11" / 200 lbs
AAA
H +4%HR -3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
wRC+†60
AVG/OBP/SLG.194 / .264 / .315
PA320
HR7
K%34
BB%8
MLB%10%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
35→35
PWR
40→40
SPD
45→45
EYE
43↗55
trajectory · 10 yrs
-0.7peak
2027
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2028
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2033
First FA Year 2034
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2028 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $-13M | $-27M | -$14M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | GCL Astros | 119 | 106 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 42 | 1 | 2 | 1 | .170 | .261 | .245 | .506 | .075 | .270 | 35 | 10 | .234 | 37 | -8 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +3 | -0.6 |
| 2021 | 20 | A+ | Asheville Tourists | 53 | 46 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 1 | 1 | 1 | .152 | .264 | .304 | .568 | .152 | .357 | 57 | 11 | .227 | 32 | -4 | -0 | +0 | -1 | +2 | -0.3 |
| 2022 | 21 | A+ | Asheville Tourists | 260 | 228 | 50 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 81 | 11 | 7 | 4 | .219 | .313 | .333 | .646 | .114 | .310 | 31 | 8 | .282 | 74 | -8 | -0 | +0 | -3 | +7 | -0.3 |
| 2023 | 22 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | 321 | 284 | 55 | 13 | 1 | 8 | 31 | 91 | 4 | 5 | 2 | .194 | .282 | .331 | .613 | .137 | .251 | 28 | 10 | .273 | 67 | -12 | +0 | +0 | -3 | +9 | -0.6 |
| 2024 | 23 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | 282 | 258 | 46 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 110 | 4 | 4 | 2 | .178 | .235 | .287 | .521 | .109 | .267 | 39 | 5 | .232 | 36 | -20 | +0 | +0 | -3 | +8 | -1.6 |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA | 2 teams | 386 | 351 | 62 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 26 | 134 | 5 | 4 | 2 | .177 | .243 | .288 | .531 | .111 | .264 | 35 | 7 | .232 | 35 | -28 | +0 | +0 | -4 | +11 | -2.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | HOU | 320 | 289 | 57 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 24 | 109 | 4 | 4 | 2 | .197 | .268 | .325 | .593 | .128 | .283 | 34 | 8 | .264 | 60 | -14 | +0 | +0 | -3 | +9 | -0.9 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB 25% | HOU | 363 | 328 | 65 | 13 | 2 | 8 | 28 | 119 | 4 | 5 | 2 | .198 | .269 | .323 | .593 | .125 | .285 | 33 | 8 | .272 | 66 | -14 | +0 | +0 | -4 | +10 | -0.7 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB 43% | HOU | 387 | 348 | 71 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 31 | 124 | 5 | 5 | 2 | .204 | .279 | .333 | .612 | .129 | .285 | 32 | 8 | .276 | 69 | -13 | +0 | +0 | -4 | +11 | -0.7 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB 52% | HOU | 400 | 360 | 73 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 32 | 127 | 5 | 5 | 2 | .203 | .277 | .331 | .608 | .128 | .285 | 32 | 8 | .277 | 70 | -13 | +0 | -1 | -4 | +11 | -0.7 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB 63% | HOU | 400 | 359 | 73 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 33 | 128 | 5 | 4 | 2 | .203 | .280 | .331 | .611 | .128 | .285 | 32 | 8 | .276 | 69 | -14 | +0 | -1 | -4 | +11 | -0.8 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB 81% | HOU | 398 | 358 | 73 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 33 | 128 | 4 | 4 | 1 | .204 | .278 | .332 | .611 | .128 | .283 | 32 | 8 | .273 | 67 | -15 | +0 | -2 | -4 | +11 | -1.0 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB | HOU | 386 | 347 | 69 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 126 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .199 | .274 | .320 | .594 | .121 | .282 | 33 | 8 | .269 | 64 | -16 | +0 | -3 | -4 | +11 | -1.2 |
| 2033 | 32 | MLB | HOU | 370 | 333 | 65 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 30 | 123 | 4 | 2 | 1 | .195 | .270 | .309 | .579 | .114 | .280 | 33 | 8 | .265 | 61 | -16 | +0 | -4 | -4 | +10 | -1.4 |
| 2034 | 33 | MLB | HOU | 341 | 306 | 60 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 28 | 116 | 4 | 1 | 0 | .196 | .272 | .317 | .589 | .121 | .278 | 34 | 8 | .259 | 57 | -17 | +0 | -4 | -4 | +10 | -1.5 |
| 2035 | 34 | MLB | HOU | 298 | 269 | 49 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 103 | 3 | 1 | 0 | .182 | .257 | .283 | .539 | .100 | .276 | 35 | 8 | .253 | 52 | -16 | +0 | -5 | -3 | +8 | -1.6 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 5084 | 4570 | 893 | 177 | 27 | 107 | 405 | 1691 | 68 | 57 | 25 | .195 | .271 | .316 | .587 | .121 | .280 | 33 | 8 | .264 | 60 | -230 | +1 | -20 | -54 | +144 | -16.2 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 584 | 114 | 23 | 3 | 14 | 52 | 216 | 9 | 7 | 3 | .195 | .271 | .317 | .588 | .122 | .279 | 33 | 8 | .264 | 60 | -29 | +0 | -3 | -7 | +18 | -2.1 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | GCL Astros | 119 | 99 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 29 | 1 | 2 | 1 | .263 | .387 | .394 | .780 | .131 | .353 | 24 | 16 | .357 | 131 | +4 | +0 | — | — | +3 | 0.8 |
| 2021 | 20 | A+ | Asheville Tourists | 53 | 42 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 1 | 1 | 1 | .214 | .358 | .452 | .811 | .238 | .353 | 42 | 17 | .360 | 133 | +2 | -0 | — | — | +2 | 0.3 |
| 2022 | 21 | A+ | Asheville Tourists | 260 | 218 | 65 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 57 | 11 | 7 | 4 | .298 | .409 | .450 | .859 | .151 | .374 | 22 | 12 | .387 | 154 | +16 | -0 | — | — | +7 | 2.4 |
| 2023 | 22 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | 321 | 270 | 66 | 16 | 1 | 11 | 45 | 73 | 4 | 5 | 2 | .244 | .361 | .433 | .794 | .189 | .293 | 23 | 14 | .354 | 129 | +11 | +0 | — | — | +9 | 2.0 |
| 2024 | 23 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | 282 | 252 | 56 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 21 | 85 | 4 | 4 | 2 | .222 | .292 | .353 | .646 | .131 | .293 | 30 | 7 | .288 | 78 | -7 | +0 | — | — | +8 | 0.1 |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | 223 | 191 | 39 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 27 | 61 | 3 | 3 | 1 | .204 | .312 | .314 | .626 | .110 | .285 | 27 | 12 | .288 | 79 | -5 | +0 | — | — | +6 | 0.1 |
| 2025 | 24 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | 163 | 149 | 33 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 45 | 2 | 1 | 1 | .221 | .280 | .376 | .655 | .154 | .284 | 28 | 6 | .289 | 79 | -4 | -0 | — | — | +5 | 0.1 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Colin Barber (OGILVIE) | 25 | 35 | 40 | 45 | 55 | .194/.264/.315 | .121 | .283 | 7 | 4 | 34% | 8% | 60 | -0.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Justin Toerner 2022 · AAA |
25 | 39 | 44→45 | 45→50 | 44 | .194/.280/.302 | .108 | .290 | 12 | 9 | 35% | 9% | 64 | -0.8 | .186/.282/.297 | .111 | .284 | 12 | 10 | 36% | 10% | 64 | -0.8 | .157/.270/.260 | .103 | .237 | 12 | 12 | 35% | 11% | 49 | -0.8 |
|
✕Orlando Martinez 2023 · AAA |
25 | 43→44 | 45→50 | 44→45 | 38 | .214/.258/.334 | .120 | .292 | 12 | 9 | 31% | 5% | 61 | -1.0 | .222/.274/.341 | .119 | .283 | 11 | 8 | 25% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .224/.282/.338 | .114 | .277 | 10 | 7 | 22% | 7% | 71 | -0.2 |
|
✕Dillon Paulson 2022 · AA |
25 | 45→36 | 45→50 | 45→30 | 46 | .215/.290/.340 | .125 | .311 | 12 | 5 | 33% | 10% | 76 | +0.1 | .223/.290/.346 | .123 | .284 | 12 | 5 | 25% | 8% | 78 | +0.2 | .219/.282/.320 | .101 | .286 | 8 | 0 | 25% | 8% | 64 | -0.3 |
|
✕Devin Foyle 2022 · AA |
25 | 40→37 | 46→45 | 48→45 | 44 | .205/.275/.336 | .132 | .274 | 14 | 11 | 30% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .212/.284/.329 | .117 | .274 | 12 | 7 | 26% | 8% | 71 | -0.3 | .192/.282/.265 | .072 | .245 | 6 | 0 | 22% | 10% | 51 | -0.6 |
|
✕Shayne Fontana 2022 · AA |
25 | 41 | 42→45 | 48→55 | 46 | .197/.276/.303 | .106 | .284 | 9 | 9 | 32% | 9% | 61 | -1.0 | .215/.297/.325 | .110 | .300 | 11 | 14 | 30% | 9% | 76 | +0.1 | .222/.305/.326 | .104 | .296 | 11 | 19 | 27% | 8% | 77 | +0.1 |
|
✕Stefan Welch 2014 · AA |
25 | 42→43 | 45 | 45→40 | 44 | .212/.279/.331 | .119 | .283 | 13 | 5 | 29% | 7% | 70 | -0.3 | .205/.280/.321 | .116 | .287 | 11 | 5 | 31% | 8% | 68 | -0.5 | .180/.265/.291 | .112 | .258 | 11 | 1 | 32% | 8% | 54 | -1.0 |
|
✕Brandon Wagner 2021 · AA |
25 | 38→46 | 44→45 | 47→30 | 41 | .186/.271/.295 | .109 | .301 | 12 | 4 | 39% | 8% | 58 | -1.2 | .190/.271/.284 | .094 | .349 | 10 | 7 | 44% | 9% | 55 | -1.4 | .139/.241/.201 | .062 | .279 | 9 | 3 | 48% | 11% | 20 | -1.2 |
|
✕Gabe Matthews 2023 · AAA |
25 | 37→41 | 48→50 | 47→40 | 41 | .188/.271/.327 | .138 | .287 | 15 | 5 | 38% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .206/.299/.338 | .132 | .309 | 15 | 5 | 35% | 9% | 82 | +0.5 | .200/.311/.326 | .126 | .298 | 15 | 2 | 34% | 11% | 81 | +0.3 |
|
✕Jameson Fisher 2019 · AA |
25 | 40→36 | 41→45 | 42→45 | 41 | .194/.264/.293 | .099 | .285 | 9 | 6 | 33% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .196/.261/.298 | .102 | .295 | 10 | 5 | 34% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .200/.262/.311 | .111 | .288 | 11 | 4 | 33% | 7% | 55 | -1.0 |
|
✕Ross Adolph 2022 · AA |
25 | 41→33 | 44→45 | 44→50 | 39 | .192/.273/.308 | .117 | .318 | 12 | 8 | 40% | 8% | 62 | -0.9 | .208/.312/.331 | .123 | .364 | 12 | 11 | 42% | 10% | 85 | +0.7 | .191/.333/.297 | .106 | .358 | 9 | 16 | 41% | 13% | 84 | +0.3 |
|
✕Conner Capel 2022 · AAA |
25 | 42→45 | 47→45 | 47→55 | 42 | .214/.265/.348 | .133 | .268 | 16 | 10 | 26% | 6% | 68 | -0.5 | .218/.289/.347 | .129 | .274 | 14 | 19 | 24% | 9% | 78 | +0.2 | .207/.288/.330 | .122 | .263 | 13 | 22 | 25% | 9% | 69 | -0.3 |
|
✕Richie Robnett 2009 · AAA |
25 | 43 | 46→50 | 45 | 40 | .214/.268/.342 | .127 | .302 | 13 | 5 | 33% | 6% | 67 | -0.5 | .212/.260/.324 | .112 | .295 | 9 | 9 | 30% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .203/.241/.315 | .112 | .273 | 7 | 11 | 28% | 5% | 45 | -1.0 |
|
✕Brendon Sanger 2019 · AA |
25 | 42→41 | 43→45 | 41→45 | 46 | .208/.276/.317 | .109 | .276 | 11 | 4 | 28% | 8% | 65 | -0.7 | .189/.261/.306 | .117 | .282 | 13 | 6 | 36% | 8% | 56 | -1.3 | .143/.222/.248 | .105 | .219 | 14 | 4 | 40% | 7% | 24 | -2.4 |
|
✕Mike Papi 2018 · AAA |
25 | 43→47 | 44→45 | 43→45 | 48 | .211/.289/.328 | .117 | .281 | 12 | 6 | 28% | 9% | 73 | -0.1 | .219/.293/.332 | .113 | .300 | 11 | 5 | 28% | 9% | 76 | +0.1 | .204/.285/.311 | .107 | .295 | 8 | 1 | 31% | 9% | 65 | -0.2 |
|
✕Eric Jagielo 2017 · AA |
25 | 40→35 | 46→45 | 46→30 | 38 | .201/.265/.327 | .126 | .295 | 15 | 2 | 36% | 6% | 63 | -0.8 | .183/.246/.281 | .098 | .271 | 10 | 3 | 34% | 6% | 43 | -2.2 | .160/.225/.251 | .090 | .235 | 10 | 1 | 35% | 6% | 24 | -2.4 |
|
✕Will Robertson 2023 · AA |
25 | 39→42 | 47→55 | 39→45 | 37 | .196/.258/.331 | .135 | .292 | 14 | 5 | 36% | 6% | 61 | -1.0 | .202/.263/.363 | .161 | .288 | 19 | 6 | 35% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .198/.263/.366 | .168 | .274 | 20 | 5 | 35% | 7% | 70 | -0.2 |
|
✕Chantz Mack 2016 · AA |
25 | 44→47 | 42→45 | 45 | 45 | .215/.277/.322 | .106 | .284 | 9 | 7 | 27% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | .219/.293/.330 | .111 | .299 | 11 | 5 | 28% | 9% | 75 | -0.0 | .216/.298/.325 | .108 | .293 | 12 | 3 | 28% | 10% | 73 | -0.1 |
|
✕Shane Matheny 2022 · AA |
26 | 38→42 | 43→45 | 47→50 | 39 | .187/.250/.294 | .107 | .292 | 11 | 6 | 38% | 7% | 48 | -1.9 | .201/.285/.328 | .127 | .324 | 14 | 9 | 38% | 10% | 72 | -0.2 | .191/.281/.316 | .125 | .300 | 14 | 9 | 38% | 10% | 64 | -0.5 |
|
✕Brock Lundquist 2021 · AA |
25 | 43→45 | 44→50 | 45 | 41 | .213/.275/.332 | .119 | .291 | 12 | 6 | 30% | 7% | 68 | -0.5 | .205/.273/.320 | .115 | .355 | 12 | 7 | 42% | 7% | 64 | -0.8 | .150/.234/.245 | .096 | .295 | 15 | 0 | 50% | 8% | 30 | -0.7 |
|
✕Seth Gray 2023 · AA |
25 | 38 | 44→45 | 47→50 | 38 | .186/.263/.294 | .108 | .300 | 13 | 8 | 40% | 7% | 54 | -1.4 | .205/.282/.312 | .107 | .343 | 12 | 13 | 40% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .202/.287/.300 | .098 | .353 | 11 | 19 | 41% | 9% | 62 | -0.5 |