Colin Barber

LF Sugar Land Space Cowboys
Age 26 L/L 5'11" / 200 lbs AAA HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
Overview
AAAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2035
MLB%10%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202322AAHOU321.244/.361/.43311574—.201/.292/.332
202423AAHOU282.222/.292/.3538446—.186/.242/.287
202524AAA/AAHOU386.212/.298/.3416449—.185/.249/.289
2027PROJ10% MLB26MLBHOU16.198/.264/.3020058-0.1
2028PROJ31% MLB27MLBHOU70.199/.266/.3051160-0.2
Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.8M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$3M2033Ext$5M2034Ext$7M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 AAA
Max EV95
Chase%72
Speed72
BB%66
Whiff%61
Z-Con%52
CompsJustin Toerner (age 26) · Matt Winaker (age 26) · Kody Eaves (age 26)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†58
AVG/OBP/SLG.198 / .264 / .302
PA16
HR0
K%31
BB%6
BABIP269
ISO67
MLB%10%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -7.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-8BATRUN: +0.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -1.7 runs (Positional adjustment)-2POSREP: +3.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: -0.50-0.5WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.5-0.22728
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 40
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT35
scouting grade only
POWER40
scouting grade only
EYE55
scouting grade only
SPEED45
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2029
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2034
First FA Year   2035
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201918 ROKGCL Astros — 11999 26512 19291 21 263387394780 131353 2416 357 46 — — — — — —
202120 A+Asheville Tourists — 5342 9103 9221 11 214358452811 238353 4217 360 48 — — — — — —
202221 A+Asheville Tourists — 260218 651017 305711 74 298409450859 151374 2212 387 80 — — — — — —
202322 AACorpus Christi Hooks — 321270 6616111 45734 52 244361433794 189293 2314 354 74 — — — — — —
202423 AACorpus Christi Hooks — 282252 56908 21854 42 222292353646 131293 307 288 46 — — — — — —
202524 AAASugar Land Space Cowboys — 223191 39932 27613 31 204312314626 110285 2712 288 53 — — — — — —
202524 AACorpus Christi Hooks — 163149 33724 10452 11 221280376655 154284 286 289 44 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201918 ROK MLEGCL Astros — 119106 18311 12421 21 170261245506 75267 3510 236 46 — — — — — —
202120 A+ MLEAsheville Tourists — 5346 7102 6301 11 152264304568 152311 5711 239 48 — — — — — —
202221 A+ MLEAsheville Tourists — 260228 50616 208111 74 219313333646 114305 318 286 80 — — — — — —
202322 AA MLECorpus Christi Hooks — 321283 571417 32854 52 201292332624 131256 2610 277 74 — — — — — —
202423 AA MLECorpus Christi Hooks — 282258 48806 151034 42 186242287529 101264 375 236 46 — — — — — —
202524 AAA MLESugar Land Space Cowboys — 223200 37931 18743 31 185262275537 90275 338 246 53 — — — — — —
202524 AA MLECorpus Christi Hooks — 163152 28623 7532 11 184230309539 125249 334 233 44 — — — — — —
201918 ROK MLEGCL Astros — 119106 18311 12421 21 170261245506 75270 3510 236 46 — — — — — —
201918 ROK RAWGCL Astros — 11999 26512 19291 21 263387394780 131353 2416 357 46 — — — — — —
202120 A+ MLEAsheville Tourists — 5346 7102 6301 11 152264304568 152357 5711 239 48 — — — — — —
202120 A+ RAWAsheville Tourists — 5342 9103 9221 11 214358452811 238353 4217 360 48 — — — — — —
202221 A+ MLEAsheville Tourists — 260228 50616 208111 74 219313333646 114310 318 286 80 — — — — — —
202221 A+ RAWAsheville Tourists — 260218 651017 305711 74 298409450859 151374 2212 387 80 — — — — — —
202322 AA MLECorpus Christi Hooks — 321283 571417 32854 52 201292332624 131259 2610 277 74 — — — — — —
202322 AA RAWCorpus Christi Hooks — 321270 6616111 45734 52 244361433794 189293 2314 354 74 — — — — — —
202423 AA MLECorpus Christi Hooks — 282258 48806 151034 42 186242287529 101273 375 236 46 — — — — — —
202423 AA RAWCorpus Christi Hooks — 282252 56908 21854 42 222292353646 131293 307 288 46 — — — — — —
202524 AAA MLE2 teams — 386351 641454 261275 42 182249285534 103268 337 241 49 — — — — — —
202524 AAA RAW2 teams — 386340 721656 371065 42 212298341640 129284 2710 288 49 — — — — — —
201918 ROK MLEGCL Astros — 119105 18311 12421 21 171261248508 76267 3510 236 46 — — — — — —
202120 A+ MLEAsheville Tourists — 5346 7102 6301 11 152264304568 152311 5711 239 48 — — — — — —
202221 A+ MLEAsheville Tourists — 260227 50616 208111 74 220313335648 115305 318 286 80 — — — — — —
202322 AA MLECorpus Christi Hooks — 321282 571417 32854 52 202292333625 131256 2610 277 74 — — — — — —
202423 AA MLECorpus Christi Hooks — 282261 48806 151034 42 184242284525 100264 375 236 46 — — — — — —
202524 AAA MLE2 teams — 386352 641454 261275 42 182249284533 102264 337 241 49 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202423 AA MLECorpus Christi Hooks — 282261 48806 151034 42 184242284525 100264 375 236 46 — — — — — —
202524 AAA MLE2 teams — 386352 641454 261275 42 182249284533 102264 337 241 49 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202726 MLB MLEHOU 10% 380345 681436 271095 62 195262298560 103264 297 254 58 -19 +0 +0 -4 +8 -0.5
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202726 MLB CTXHOU 10% 1615 3100 150 00 198264302567 105269 316 257 58 -1 +0 +0 -0 +0 -0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202827 MLB MLEHOU 31% 225204 39813 16643 31 196264301565 105265 287 256 60 -11 +0 +0 -2 +5 -0.8
202827 MLB CTXHOU 31% 7064 12301 5201 10 199266305571 106270 297 259 60 -3 +0 +0 -1 +2 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 7064 12301 5201 10 188257281538 94256 297 259 59 -3 +0 +0 -1 +2 -0.2
/ 162G— A+C — 650594 1112809 461869 90 187255279535 93256 297 259 59 -31 +2 +0 -7 +14 -2.3
Career— MLE — 18011617 310601031 13857731 2814 192268299567 107273 328 256 59 -19 +0 +0 -4 +8 -1.4
/ 162G— MLE — 650584 11222411 5020811 105 192268300568 108273 328 256 59 -32 +0 +0 -7 +14 -2.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 AAASugar Land Space Cowboys · 223 PAwOBA .284 → .246 (−38)K% 27.4% → 33.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.35%÷0.995×1.200——33.01%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.11%÷1.056×0.690—×1.0338.18%
HBP% /PA1.35%—×0.940—×1.0331.31%
Singles /BIP19.23%÷1.012×0.930×1.006×1.03318.36%
Doubles /BIP6.92%÷0.891×0.830×1.006×1.0336.70%
Triples /BIP2.31%÷0.900×0.970×1.006×1.0332.59%
Home runs /BIP1.54%÷0.961×0.700—×1.0331.16%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 102, 2B 78, 3B 80, K 99, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.

Result: wOBA .284 → .246; ISO .110 → .103; BABIP .285 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AACorpus Christi Hooks · 163 PAwOBA .285 → .233 (−52)K% 27.6% → 32.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.61%÷1.036×1.220——32.52%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.13%÷0.948×0.700—×0.9984.52%
HBP% /PA1.23%—×0.870—×0.9981.07%
Singles /BIP19.23%÷0.982×0.920×0.951×0.99817.09%
Doubles /BIP6.73%÷0.930×0.840×0.951×0.9985.77%
Triples /BIP1.92%÷0.949×0.940×0.951×0.9981.81%
Home runs /BIP3.85%÷1.057×0.800—×0.9982.91%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 96, 2B 86, 3B 90, K 107, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.951.

Result: wOBA .285 → .233; ISO .154 → .123; BABIP .284 → .249. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AACorpus Christi Hooks · 282 PAwOBA .285 → .236 (−49)K% 30.1% → 36.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA30.14%÷1.003×1.220——36.68%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.45%÷0.974×0.700—×1.0125.42%
HBP% /PA1.42%—×0.870—×1.0121.25%
Singles /BIP23.35%÷0.968×0.920×0.950×1.01221.33%
Doubles /BIP5.39%÷0.908×0.840×0.950×1.0124.79%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.908×0.940×0.950×1.0120.00%
Home runs /BIP4.79%÷0.970×0.800—×1.0124.00%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 94, 2B 82, 3B 82, K 101, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .285 → .236; ISO .131 → .106; BABIP .293 → .264. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AACorpus Christi Hooks · 321 PAwOBA .348 → .277 (−71)K% 22.7% → 26.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.74%÷1.049×1.220——26.46%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.02%÷1.011×0.700—×1.0279.97%
HBP% /PA1.25%—×0.870—×1.0271.11%
Singles /BIP19.29%÷1.018×0.920×0.977×1.02717.48%
Doubles /BIP8.12%÷0.975×0.840×0.977×1.0277.02%
Triples /BIP0.51%÷1.058×0.940×0.977×1.0270.45%
Home runs /BIP5.58%÷1.322×0.800—×1.0273.47%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 164, 1B 104, 2B 95, 3B 112, K 110, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.977.

Result: wOBA .348 → .277; ISO .189 → .136; BABIP .293 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 A+Asheville Tourists · 260 PAwOBA .379 → .286 (−93)K% 21.9% → 31.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.92%÷0.927×1.310——30.99%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.54%÷0.933×0.600—×1.0127.51%
HBP% /PA4.23%—×0.770—×1.0123.30%
Singles /BIP29.19%÷1.031×0.870×0.987×1.01224.62%
Doubles /BIP6.21%÷1.131×0.780×0.987×1.0124.28%
Triples /BIP0.62%÷0.900×0.850×0.987×1.0120.59%
Home runs /BIP4.35%÷0.972×0.880—×1.0123.98%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 106, 2B 126, 3B 80, K 85, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.987.

Result: wOBA .379 → .286; ISO .151 → .121; BABIP .374 → .305. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 A+Asheville Tourists · 53 PAwOBA .351 → .239 (−111)K% 41.5% → 56.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA41.51%÷0.995×1.350——56.35%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.98%÷1.044×0.710—×1.02711.86%
HBP% /PA1.89%—×0.810—×1.0271.57%
Singles /BIP25.00%÷0.983×0.910—×1.02723.77%
Doubles /BIP5.00%÷1.111×0.830—×1.0273.84%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.910×0.820—×1.0270.00%
Home runs /BIP15.00%÷1.131×0.830—×1.02711.31%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 126, 1B 97, 2B 122, 3B 82, K 99, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .351 → .239; ISO .238 → .144; BABIP .353 → .311. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 ROKGCL Astros · 119 PAwOBA .349 → .236 (−113)K% 24.4% → 35.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.37%÷1.000×1.440——35.09%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.97%÷1.000×0.620—×1.0089.97%
HBP% /PA0.84%—×0.720—×1.0080.61%
Singles /BIP25.71%÷1.000×0.820×0.950×1.00820.18%
Doubles /BIP7.14%÷1.000×0.720×0.950×1.0084.92%
Triples /BIP1.43%÷1.000×0.720×0.950×1.0080.98%
Home runs /BIP2.86%÷1.000×0.780—×1.0082.25%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .349 → .236; ISO .131 → .089; BABIP .353 → .267. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).