Colin Barber — OGILVIE

Colin BarberLF Sugar Land Space Cowboys

Age 25 L/L 5'11" / 200 lbs AAA HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 0 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†52

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA3

HR0

K%33

BB%8

BABIP266

ISO42

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-4M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	18	ROK	GCL Astros	—	119	99	26	5	1	2	19	29	1	2	1	263	387	394	780	131	353	24	16	357	128	+4	+0	—	—	+3	0.7
2021	20	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	53	42	9	1	0	3	9	22	1	1	1	214	358	452	811	238	353	42	17	360	130	+2	-0	—	—	+1	0.3
2022	21	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	260	218	65	10	1	7	30	57	11	7	4	298	409	450	859	151	374	22	12	387	148	+15	-0	—	—	+6	2.1
2023	22	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	321	270	66	16	1	11	45	73	4	5	2	244	361	433	794	189	293	23	14	354	126	+10	+0	—	—	+7	1.7
2024	23	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	282	252	56	9	0	8	21	85	4	4	2	222	292	353	646	131	293	30	7	288	81	-6	+0	—	—	+6	-0.0
2025	24	AAA	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	223	191	39	9	3	2	27	61	3	3	1	204	312	314	626	110	285	27	12	288	81	-5	+0	—	—	+5	0.0
2025	24	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	163	149	33	7	2	4	10	45	2	1	1	221	280	376	655	154	284	28	6	289	82	-4	-0	—	—	+4	-0.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	18	ROK MLE	GCL Astros	—	119	106	18	3	1	1	12	42	1	2	1	170	261	245	506	75	265	35	10	234	45	-8	+0	—	—	+3	-0.5
2021	20	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	53	46	7	1	0	2	6	30	1	1	1	152	264	304	568	152	302	57	11	235	45	-3	-0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2022	21	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	260	227	51	7	1	5	21	82	11	7	4	225	320	330	651	106	318	32	8	289	82	-6	-0	—	—	+6	-0.0
2023	22	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	321	284	57	14	1	7	31	85	4	5	2	201	288	331	619	130	255	26	10	273	71	-11	+0	—	—	+7	-0.4
2024	23	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	282	258	49	8	0	6	15	103	4	4	2	190	245	291	536	101	266	37	5	236	46	-18	+0	—	—	+6	-1.2
2025	24	AAA MLE	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	223	200	34	8	3	2	18	79	3	3	1	170	249	270	519	100	255	35	8	226	39	-16	+0	—	—	+5	-1.1
2025	24	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	163	152	29	6	2	3	7	53	2	1	1	191	236	316	552	125	255	33	4	235	45	-11	-0	—	—	+4	-0.7
2019	18	ROK MLE	GCL Astros	—	119	106	18	3	1	1	12	42	1	2	1	170	261	245	506	75	270	35	10	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	GCL Astros	—	119	99	26	5	1	2	19	29	1	2	1	263	387	394	780	131	353	24	16	357	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	53	46	7	1	0	2	6	30	1	1	1	152	264	304	568	152	357	57	11	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A+ RAW	Asheville Tourists	—	53	42	9	1	0	3	9	22	1	1	1	214	358	452	811	238	353	42	17	360	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	260	227	51	7	1	5	21	82	11	7	4	225	320	330	651	106	326	32	8	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+ RAW	Asheville Tourists	—	260	218	65	10	1	7	30	57	11	7	4	298	409	450	859	151	374	22	12	387	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	321	284	57	14	1	7	31	85	4	5	2	201	288	331	619	130	258	26	10	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA RAW	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	321	270	66	16	1	11	45	73	4	5	2	244	361	433	794	189	293	23	14	354	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	282	258	49	8	0	6	15	103	4	4	2	190	245	291	536	101	279	37	5	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA RAW	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	282	252	56	9	0	8	21	85	4	4	2	222	292	353	646	131	293	30	7	288	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	386	352	61	14	4	4	25	132	5	4	2	173	238	270	508	97	259	34	6	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	386	340	72	16	5	6	37	106	5	4	2	212	298	341	640	129	284	27	10	288	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK MLE	GCL Astros	—	119	105	18	3	1	1	12	42	1	2	1	171	261	248	508	76	265	35	10	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	53	46	7	1	0	2	6	30	1	1	1	152	264	304	568	152	302	57	11	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	260	226	51	7	1	5	21	82	11	7	4	226	320	332	652	106	318	32	8	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	321	283	57	14	1	7	31	85	4	5	2	201	288	332	621	131	255	26	10	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	282	261	49	8	0	6	15	103	4	4	2	188	245	287	533	100	266	37	5	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	386	353	61	14	4	4	25	132	5	4	2	173	238	269	507	96	255	34	6	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	321	283	57	14	1	7	31	85	4	5	2	201	288	332	621	131	255	26	10	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	282	261	49	8	0	6	15	103	4	4	2	188	245	287	533	100	266	37	5	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	386	353	61	14	4	4	25	132	5	4	2	173	238	269	507	96	255	34	6	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	25	MLB MLE	HOU	10%	26	24	4	1	0	0	2	9	0	0	0	167	231	208	439	42	264	35	8	245	52	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	-1.3
▸ 2026 — real world (MLB)
2026	25	MLB CTX	HOU	10%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						266	33	0	237	52	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	HOU	35%	363	330	63	13	2	7	26	116	4	4	2	191	258	306	564	115	267	32	7	255	58	-18	+0	+0	-4	+8	-1.4
2028	27	MLB MLE	HOU	44%	387	352	69	14	2	8	28	121	4	4	2	196	263	315	578	119	269	31	7	260	62	-18	+0	+0	-4	+8	-1.4
2029	28	MLB MLE	HOU	49%	400	362	71	15	2	8	30	124	5	4	2	196	267	315	582	119	269	31	8	262	63	-17	+0	-1	-4	+9	-1.4
2027	26	MLB CTX	HOU	35%	126	115	22	5	1	2	9	40	1	1	1	191	256	304	560	113	269	32	7	246	58	-6	-0	+0	-1	+3	-0.5
2028	27	MLB CTX	HOU	44%	170	154	30	6	1	3	12	53	2	2	1	195	262	305	567	110	271	31	7	252	62	-8	+0	+0	-2	+4	-0.6
2029	28	MLB CTX	HOU	49%	196	177	35	7	1	4	15	61	2	2	1	198	268	316	584	119	272	31	8	254	63	-9	+0	-0	-2	+4	-0.7
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	492	446	87	18	3	9	36	154	5	5	3	195	263	309	572	114	273	31	7	251	59	-22	-0	-0	-5	+11	-1.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	589	115	24	4	12	48	203	7	7	4	195	264	311	575	115	272	31	7	251	59	-30	-0	-0	-7	+14	-2.4
Career	—	MLE		—	2597	2341	450	90	13	48	196	844	39	35	18	192	266	303	569	111	274	32	8	255	59	-54	+0	-1	-13	+25	-4.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	113	23	3	12	49	211	10	9	5	193	267	304	571	111	274	32	8	255	59	-30	+0	-0	-7	+14	-2.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#2Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#3Hunter Dozierlast yr '23 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,294 PA	3.5	2,294	73	19	238	305	421	-23	-45	0.0	0.0
/162	664	21	5	-6.5	-13.2	0.0	pk7: 0
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.8	524	10	6	194	260	310	-6	-1	-1.6	-0.8
/162	664	13	7	-7.1	-1.3	-2.0	pk7: 0
#4Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
#5Brennan Boeschlast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,713 PA	2.6	1,713	48	22	250	303	400	-17	-35	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	19	9	-6.6	-13.6	-0.4	pk7: -1
#6Domonic Brownlast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,748 PA	2.6	1,748	54	23	246	305	405	-19	-39	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	21	9	-7.1	-14.7	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Colin Barber (OGILVIE)	25	35	40	45	55	182/248/286	104	264	5	4	33%	7%	52	-1.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Justin Toerner 2022 · AAA	25	40	43→40	45→50	44	196/281/302	106	288	11	8	34%	9%	68	-1.0	189/284/296	107	281	11	11	34%	10%	68	-1.0	162/272/259	97	241	10	12	34%	11%	55	-0.9
✕Jameson Fisher 2019 · AA	25	40→37	41→45	42→45	42	194/266/293	98	285	8	6	33%	8%	60	-1.6	200/265/302	102	296	9	6	33%	7%	61	-1.5	201/263/307	106	288	10	4	32%	7%	60	-1.2
✕Scott Hurst 2021 · AA	25	42→32	39→40	44→50	41	202/258/288	86	292	7	6	32%	7%	55	-2.0	205/273/295	90	297	8	15	31%	8%	63	-1.4	204/278/292	87	288	9	17	30%	8%	60	-0.9
✕Eric Jagielo 2018 · AAA	26	39→36	40→45	42→30	42	190/260/275	85	269	8	2	31%	7%	53	-2.1	188/244/292	104	275	10	4	34%	6%	51	-2.3	162/209/266	104	239	11	1	36%	5%	30	-2.8
✕Devin Foyle 2022 · AA	25	41→39	46→45	48→45	44	208/274/339	131	274	14	10	29%	7%	73	-0.6	216/286/327	111	276	10	7	24%	8%	75	-0.5	200/287/269	68	252	5	0	21%	9%	59	-0.6
✕Brendon Sanger 2019 · AA	25	42	43→45	41→45	46	210/279/319	109	279	11	5	28%	8%	70	-0.8	192/264/301	109	281	12	7	34%	8%	61	-1.5	147/228/243	96	221	12	4	37%	8%	33	-2.4
✕Mark Contreras 2021 · AA	26	36→38	43→50	47→55	38	183/247/294	111	267	11	13	34%	6%	53	-2.1	200/261/334	134	292	15	19	35%	6%	68	-1.0	196/258/325	129	284	15	24	35%	6%	61	-1.1
✕Matt Winaker 2021 · A	25	38→40	41→45	46→45	43	189/269/291	102	256	8	7	28%	7%	61	-1.5	197/290/280	83	270	6	6	27%	9%	67	-1.1	177/283/251	73	242	5	3	26%	9%	56	-0.8
✕Jackson Cluff 2022 · AA	25	40→30	40→45	49→60	38	194/261/281	86	283	7	12	32%	5%	55	-1.9	180/256/281	101	278	9	16	36%	8%	53	-2.1	179/271/301	122	264	12	28	34%	10%	62	-0.8
✕Greyson Jenista 2021 · AA	24	41→35	41→45	40→45	41	200/261/298	98	302	9	5	35%	8%	59	-1.7	187/251/337	150	300	20	7	42%	7%	65	-1.2	166/231/321	155	255	23	6	43%	7%	51	-1.3
✕Ricky Oropesa 2015 · AA	25	43	43→45	45→30	39	215/263/321	106	296	11	2	31%	6%	64	-1.3	213/261/335	122	292	15	3	31%	6%	67	-1.1	203/252/332	129	274	17	1	32%	5%	60	-1.0
✕Shayne Fontana 2022 · AA	25	41	42→45	48→55	46	196/275/302	106	285	8	8	32%	9%	65	-1.2	214/296/317	103	297	10	14	29%	8%	76	-0.4	217/300/310	94	291	10	19	27%	8%	75	-0.3
✕Samir Dueñez 2021 · AAA	25	39→49	42→45	47→50	41	198/243/300	102	255	11	5	27%	5%	52	-2.2	209/265/336	127	302	15	8	34%	7%	69	-0.9	165/224/287	122	237	19	3	38%	7%	40	-0.8
✕Seth Gray 2023 · AA	25	37→36	44→40	47→50	37	181/259/288	107	301	13	8	42%	7%	57	-1.8	210/285/315	105	347	11	13	39%	8%	72	-0.7	215/296/309	95	358	10	19	39%	9%	72	-0.4
✕Shane Matheny 2022 · AA	26	39→41	43→45	47→50	41	191/258/297	106	298	10	6	38%	8%	57	-1.8	201/284/322	121	316	13	9	37%	10%	74	-0.6	190/280/310	120	295	13	9	37%	10%	67	-0.7
✕Julian Escobedo 2023 · AA	25	38→36	41→40	48→50	41	189/253/285	96	258	8	14	29%	6%	53	-2.1	205/270/318	113	284	10	14	30%	6%	67	-1.1	179/250/307	128	258	11	20	33%	6%	54	-0.5
✕Will Robertson 2023 · AA	25	38→41	46→50	39→45	38	193/255/322	130	282	13	4	35%	6%	63	-1.4	199/260/350	151	283	17	6	34%	7%	71	-0.8	194/259/348	154	271	18	5	34%	7%	68	-0.7
✕Nick Quintana 2023 · AA	25	38→40	43→45	42→45	48	191/276/299	108	261	11	5	30%	10%	65	-1.2	196/278/300	104	279	9	7	31%	9%	66	-1.1	110/223/191	81	162	7	0	33%	9%	22	-1.0
✕Kacy Clemens 2019 · A	25	40→37	43→45	47→45	45	198/272/308	110	287	10	4	33%	9%	65	-1.2	178/249/272	94	284	9	6	37%	8%	49	-2.4	133/209/207	74	216	9	4	40%	9%	19	-3.3
✕Trevor Schwecke 2023 · AAA	25	39	43→45	41→50	39	194/254/302	108	288	10	6	35%	6%	57	-1.8	221/278/332	111	314	9	14	31%	6%	72	-0.7	228/287/337	109	320	8	17	29%	6%	75	-0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps