Matt Winaker
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 23 | A+NYM | 308 | .195/.302/.291 | 2 | 6 | 26 | — | .139/.236/.199 |
| 2021 | 25 | AA/A+NYM | 252 | .263/.401/.356 | 2 | 1 | 74 | — | .216/.321/.294 |
| 2022 | 26 | AANYM | 252 | .163/.316/.257 | 3 | 2 | 35 | — | .145/.259/.229 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 22 | A | Columbia Fireflies | — | 516 | 425 | 108 | 23 | 7 | 13 | 62 | 88 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 254 | 376 | 433 | 809 | 179 | 286 | 17 | 12 | 359 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ | St. Lucie Mets | — | 308 | 261 | 51 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 26 | 62 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 195 | 302 | 291 | 594 | 96 | 245 | 20 | 8 | 272 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 219 | 181 | 47 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 47 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 260 | 388 | 359 | 747 | 99 | 341 | 21 | 13 | 348 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | A+ | Brooklyn Cyclones | — | 33 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 292 | 485 | 333 | 818 | 42 | 368 | 15 | 24 | 395 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AA | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 252 | 202 | 33 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 34 | 57 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 163 | 316 | 257 | 573 | 94 | 207 | 23 | 13 | 273 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 22 | A MLE | Columbia Fireflies | — | 516 | 451 | 91 | 19 | 6 | 11 | 36 | 123 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 202 | 291 | 344 | 635 | 142 | 238 | 24 | 7 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ MLE | St. Lucie Mets | — | 308 | 267 | 37 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 96 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 139 | 236 | 199 | 434 | 60 | 203 | 31 | 6 | 206 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA MLE | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 219 | 191 | 40 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 56 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 209 | 311 | 293 | 604 | 84 | 285 | 26 | 9 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | A+ MLE | Brooklyn Cyclones | — | 33 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 259 | 394 | 296 | 690 | 37 | 336 | 21 | 15 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AA MLE | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 252 | 214 | 31 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 68 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 145 | 259 | 229 | 488 | 84 | 183 | 27 | 9 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A MLE | Columbia Fireflies | — | 516 | 451 | 91 | 19 | 6 | 11 | 36 | 123 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 202 | 291 | 344 | 635 | 142 | 246 | 24 | 7 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A RAW | Columbia Fireflies | — | 516 | 425 | 108 | 23 | 7 | 13 | 62 | 88 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 254 | 376 | 433 | 809 | 179 | 286 | 17 | 12 | 359 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ MLE | St. Lucie Mets | — | 308 | 267 | 37 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 96 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 139 | 236 | 199 | 434 | 60 | 208 | 31 | 6 | 206 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ RAW | St. Lucie Mets | — | 308 | 261 | 51 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 26 | 62 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 195 | 302 | 291 | 594 | 96 | 245 | 20 | 8 | 272 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 252 | 218 | 47 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 63 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 216 | 321 | 294 | 615 | 78 | 294 | 25 | 10 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 252 | 205 | 54 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 37 | 52 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 263 | 401 | 356 | 757 | 93 | 344 | 21 | 15 | 354 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AA MLE | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 252 | 214 | 31 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 68 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 145 | 259 | 229 | 488 | 84 | 192 | 27 | 9 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AA RAW | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 252 | 202 | 33 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 34 | 57 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 163 | 316 | 257 | 573 | 94 | 207 | 23 | 13 | 273 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A MLE | Columbia Fireflies | — | 516 | 454 | 91 | 19 | 6 | 11 | 36 | 123 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 200 | 291 | 341 | 633 | 141 | 238 | 24 | 7 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ MLE | St. Lucie Mets | — | 308 | 271 | 37 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 96 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 137 | 236 | 196 | 431 | 59 | 203 | 31 | 6 | 206 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 252 | 216 | 47 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 63 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 218 | 321 | 296 | 618 | 79 | 292 | 25 | 10 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AA MLE | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 252 | 217 | 31 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 68 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 143 | 259 | 226 | 485 | 83 | 183 | 27 | 9 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1328 | 1150 | 206 | 38 | 13 | 17 | 102 | 350 | 56 | 13 | 10 | 179 | 278 | 279 | 557 | 100 | 237 | 26 | 8 | 250 | 55 | -70 | -1 | +0 | -24 | +29 | -6.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 563 | 101 | 19 | 6 | 8 | 50 | 171 | 27 | 6 | 5 | 179 | 278 | 277 | 555 | 98 | 238 | 26 | 8 | 250 | 55 | -34 | -1 | +0 | -12 | +14 | -3.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2022 AABinghamton Rumble Ponies · 252 PAwOBA .271 → .220 (−51)K% 22.6% → 27.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.62% | ÷1.017 | ×1.220 | — | — | 27.12% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.49% | ÷1.057 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 8.74% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.37% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.978 | 3.63% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.17% | ÷0.983 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×0.978 | 13.91% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.14% | ÷0.988 | ×0.860 | ×0.950 | ×0.978 | 3.35% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.38% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×0.950 | ×0.978 | 1.06% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.07% | ÷0.895 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.978 | 1.76% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 97, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 103, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .271 → .220; ISO .094 → .081; BABIP .207 → .183. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AABinghamton Rumble Ponies · 219 PAwOBA .338 → .270 (−68)K% 21.5% → 25.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.46% | ÷1.017 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.74% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.79% | ÷1.018 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.988 | 8.56% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.11% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 3.45% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.12% | ÷1.045 | ×0.940 | ×0.959 | ×0.988 | 22.26% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.97% | ÷1.053 | ×0.870 | ×0.959 | ×0.988 | 4.67% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.49% | ÷1.060 | ×0.920 | ×0.959 | ×0.988 | 1.23% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.49% | ÷0.995 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 1.16% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 109, 2B 111, 3B 112, K 103, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.959.
Result: wOBA .338 → .270; ISO .099 → .080; BABIP .341 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Brooklyn Cyclones · 33 PAwOBA .387 → .323 (−64)K% 15.2% → 19.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.15% | ÷1.041 | ×1.350 | — | — | 19.65% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 24.24% | ÷1.006 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.968 | 16.57% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.03% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.968 | 2.38% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.58% | ÷0.957 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.968 | 29.07% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.26% | ÷0.930 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.968 | 4.55% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.028 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.925 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 91, 2B 86, 3B 106, K 108, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .387 → .323; ISO .042 → .038; BABIP .368 → .336. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 A+St. Lucie Mets · 308 PAwOBA .269 → .206 (−62)K% 20.1% → 31.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.13% | ÷0.917 | ×1.420 | — | — | 31.16% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.44% | ÷0.975 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.988 | 6.41% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.55% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.988 | 4.18% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.59% | ÷1.048 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 14.50% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.52% | ÷0.978 | ×0.960 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 4.17% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.51% | ÷1.062 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 1.80% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.01% | ÷1.122 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 0.78% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 124, 1B 110, 2B 96, 3B 112, K 83, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .269 → .206; ISO .096 → .069; BABIP .245 → .203. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AColumbia Fireflies · 516 PAwOBA .353 → .278 (−75)K% 17.1% → 23.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.05% | ÷0.956 | ×1.340 | — | — | 23.89% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.24% | ÷1.054 | ×0.660 | — | ×0.990 | 6.97% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.07% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.990 | 3.10% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.29% | ÷1.042 | ×0.920 | ×0.966 | ×0.990 | 16.28% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.82% | ÷0.957 | ×0.820 | ×0.966 | ×0.990 | 5.59% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.08% | ÷1.066 | ×0.940 | ×0.966 | ×0.990 | 1.75% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.86% | ÷0.976 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.990 | 3.21% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 108, 2B 91, 3B 113, K 91, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.966.
Result: wOBA .353 → .278; ISO .179 → .150; BABIP .286 → .238. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).