Dario Reynoso — OGILVIE

Dario ReynosoIF San Jose Giants

Age 21 R/R 5'10" / 183 lbs A BB -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 2.3 · 2032

wRC+†76

AVG/OBP/SLG.197 / .284 / .339

PA274

HR8

K%37

BB%10

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

40→40

PWR

55→55

SPD

60→60

EYE

60→60

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.2peak

2031

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+2.2	$20M	+$20M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+2.3	$22M	+$21M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+2.1	$21M	+$20M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$4M	+1.9	$19M	+$15M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$6M	+1.7	$18M	+$12M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$7M	+1.4	$15M	+$8M
Totals		$19M		$115M	+$96M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	DSL Giants Orange	137	116	24	6	0	2	18	59	3	12	0	.207	.328	.310	.639	.103	.400	43	13	.291	81	-3	+2	+0	+0	+4	0.3
2024	19	ROK	ACL Giants	202	172	23	5	1	2	24	108	4	8	3	.134	.255	.209	.464	.076	.328	53	12	.208	17	-19	+0	+0	+0	+6	-1.3
2025	20	ROK	2 teams	284	246	42	10	1	6	29	128	7	20	5	.171	.277	.293	.569	.122	.319	45	10	.259	56	-14	+2	+0	+0	+8	-0.4
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	21	A	San Jose Giants	56	46	10	2	0	0	8	27	1	0	0	.217	.345	.261	.606	.043	.526	48	14	.283	75	-2	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.0
ROS	21	MLB	SF	218	191	39	7	1	6	22	83	3	4	1	.204	.296	.346	.642	.141	.315	38	10	.286	77	-6	+0	+0	+0	+6	0.1
TOT	21	MLB	SF	274	237	49	9	1	6	30	110	4	4	1	.207	.306	.329	.635	.122	.352	40	11	.285	76	-7	+0	+0	+0	+8	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	22	MLB 11%	SF	333	290	63	12	1	10	36	107	4	7	2	.217	.312	.369	.681	.152	.303	32	11	.307	93	-3	+1	+0	+0	+9	0.8
2028	23	MLB 28%	SF	414	361	81	15	2	14	45	129	5	10	2	.224	.319	.393	.712	.169	.303	31	11	.317	101	+0	+1	+0	+0	+12	1.4
2029	24	MLB 45%	SF	468	407	92	17	2	16	52	142	6	11	2	.226	.323	.396	.718	.170	.303	30	11	.323	105	+3	+1	+0	+0	+13	1.8
2030	25	MLB 60%	SF	498	433	100	19	2	18	56	149	6	12	3	.231	.327	.409	.736	.178	.304	30	11	.327	108	+5	+1	+0	+0	+14	2.0
2031	26	MLB 77%	SF	513	443	102	19	2	18	58	154	7	12	3	.230	.329	.404	.733	.174	.305	30	11	.329	110	+6	+1	+0	+0	+15	2.2
2032	27	MLB 92%	SF	519	448	104	19	2	19	59	156	7	13	2	.232	.331	.411	.741	.179	.305	30	11	.329	110	+6	+2	+0	+0	+15	2.3
2033	28	MLB	SF	518	446	102	19	2	18	60	157	7	12	2	.229	.329	.401	.731	.173	.304	30	12	.328	109	+5	+2	-1	+0	+15	2.1
2034	29	MLB	SF	510	439	101	19	2	18	59	156	7	11	2	.230	.331	.405	.736	.175	.304	31	12	.326	107	+4	+1	-1	+0	+14	1.9
2035	30	MLB	SF	501	432	97	18	2	17	58	155	6	11	1	.225	.325	.394	.718	.169	.302	31	12	.323	105	+3	+2	-2	+0	+14	1.7
2036	31	MLB	SF	488	422	94	17	2	17	57	153	6	10	1	.223	.324	.393	.717	.171	.300	31	12	.319	102	+1	+2	-3	+0	+14	1.4
2037	32	MLB	SF	470	407	88	16	1	15	54	150	6	9	0	.216	.317	.371	.688	.155	.299	32	11	.314	98	-1	+2	-4	+0	+13	1.1
2038	33	MLB	SF	441	382	82	15	1	14	51	143	5	8	0	.215	.315	.369	.684	.154	.297	32	12	.308	94	-3	+2	-4	+0	+12	0.7
2039	34	MLB	SF	395	342	72	13	1	12	45	132	5	7	0	.211	.311	.360	.671	.149	.295	33	11	.302	89	-5	+1	-5	+0	+11	0.3
2040	35	MLB	SF	342	296	61	11	1	10	39	118	4	7	0	.206	.307	.351	.658	.145	.293	35	11	.294	83	-7	+1	-6	+0	+10	-0.1
2041	36	MLB	SF	283	246	47	8	1	7	32	100	3	6	0	.191	.292	.317	.609	.126	.289	35	11	.285	76	-8	+1	-6	+0	+8	-0.5
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			7534	6519	1414	265	27	239	854	2479	101	190	29	.217	.317	.376	.693	.159	.306	33	11	.311	96	-34	+26	-31	+0	+213	17.8
/ 162G	—			650	562	122	23	2	21	74	214	9	16	3	.217	.318	.377	.695	.160	.306	33	11	.311	96	-3	+2	-3	+0	+18	1.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	DSL Giants Orange	137	104	30	8	1	3	30	41	3	12	0	.288	.460	.471	.931	.183	.450	30	22	.420	180	+12	+2	—	—	+4	1.9
2024	19	ROK	ACL Giants	202	155	32	7	1	3	41	75	4	8	3	.206	.385	.323	.708	.116	.367	37	20	.334	113	+3	+0	—	—	+6	0.9
2025	20	A	San Jose Giants	57	47	6	3	0	0	10	22	0	2	0	.128	.281	.191	.472	.064	.240	39	18	.238	40	-4	+0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2025	20	ROK	ACL Giants	227	178	53	12	2	10	40	72	7	18	5	.298	.444	.556	1.001	.258	.443	32	18	.435	191	+23	+2	—	—	+6	3.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dario Reynoso (OGILVIE)	21	40	55	60	60	.197/.284/.339	.142	.296	8	6	37%	10%	75	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Jerry Sands 2009 · A	21	37→46	49→60	51→45	45	.195/.277/.339	.144	.267	18	8	33%	9%	72	-0.2	.231/.297/.425	.194	.284	25	6	27%	8%	102	+1.9	.233/.299/.438	.204	.278	26	7	26%	8%	105	+1.8
●Coby Mayo 2023 · AA	21	42→46	51→60	52→45	41	.220/.279/.381	.161	.292	20	8	31%	6%	83	+0.6	.228/.303/.416	.188	.302	22	6	31%	8%	102	+1.9	.224/.304/.422	.198	.291	24	4	30%	9%	102	+1.6
✕Carlos Jimenez 2023 · A	20	38→41	46→50	53→55	45	.189/.278/.319	.129	.289	14	15	37%	10%	67	-0.5	.210/.289/.331	.121	.326	12	16	36%	9%	74	-0.1	.216/.296/.349	.133	.314	15	19	33%	9%	78	+0.1
●Jonathan India 2019 · A	22	43→51	45→50	51→50	45	.208/.290/.333	.125	.296	12	10	32%	8%	76	+0.0	.217/.304/.340	.123	.297	12	10	29%	9%	83	+0.6	.243/.342/.393	.150	.294	17	11	22%	10%	107	+1.9
✕Alexander Canario 2021 · A	21	43→34	49→60	48→50	40	.217/.277/.364	.147	.303	17	8	33%	7%	77	+0.1	.205/.259/.386	.181	.288	24	14	36%	7%	76	+0.1	.209/.277/.424	.216	.279	30	13	36%	8%	90	+0.6
✕Kevin Alcántara 2023 · A	21	47→49	47→50	54→50	39	.226/.282/.364	.138	.338	15	10	36%	7%	79	+0.3	.229/.282/.360	.131	.335	14	12	34%	7%	78	+0.2	.229/.284/.360	.131	.331	15	13	34%	7%	75	+0.0
●Jo Adell 2020 · AAA	21	45→44	50→65	53→50	37	.226/.275/.384	.159	.319	17	11	34%	5%	82	+0.5	.216/.265/.378	.162	.312	20	9	36%	5%	76	+0.1	.218/.285/.446	.228	.252	34	12	29%	7%	101	+1.4
✕Oliver Carrillo 2023 · A	21	47→27	51→50	52→45	45	.230/.306/.392	.162	.324	19	7	33%	9%	97	+1.5	.204/.307/.350	.146	.309	17	5	36%	11%	88	+0.9	.169/.276/.297	.128	.264	17	3	39%	10%	60	-0.5
●James Outman 2019 · A	22	40→49	47→60	53→50	39	.203/.260/.335	.132	.285	15	11	34%	6%	63	-0.9	.196/.265/.334	.138	.273	16	13	33%	7%	65	-0.7	.223/.317/.418	.195	.310	25	14	34%	10%	107	+2.0
✕Niko Hulsizer 2019 · A	22	44→30	47→60	51→50	42	.211/.300/.348	.138	.322	15	12	36%	8%	84	+0.6	.206/.285/.382	.176	.328	21	9	41%	8%	86	+0.8	.193/.269/.393	.200	.316	27	12	45%	8%	80	+0.2
●Derek Fisher 2016 · A	22	43→51	49→55	54→55	43	.218/.283/.364	.146	.302	18	18	33%	8%	80	+0.4	.227/.297/.381	.154	.320	18	19	33%	9%	90	+1.0	.226/.302/.402	.176	.310	23	18	33%	9%	95	+1.0
●Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2019 · A	21	41→51	49→60	52→60	35	.208/.255/.354	.145	.313	18	11	38%	6%	65	-0.7	.208/.268/.384	.176	.302	22	16	37%	7%	79	+0.3	.248/.322/.446	.198	.304	27	36	27%	9%	113	+2.3
●Jordan Walker 2022 · A	20	50→54	51→55	53→50	40	.248/.301/.413	.165	.340	18	13	32%	6%	100	+1.7	.251/.311/.412	.161	.326	18	13	27%	7%	105	+2.1	.244/.307/.401	.157	.309	17	11	26%	7%	97	+1.4
✕Aaron Luna 2009 · A	22	43	50	50→45	45	.215/.318/.372	.157	.292	18	8	31%	8%	98	+1.6	.214/.320/.369	.155	.268	17	7	26%	8%	98	+1.6	.212/.320/.363	.151	.264	17	7	25%	8%	94	+0.8
✕Marcus Greene Jr. 2016 · A	21	42	46→50	52→40	44	.205/.283/.341	.136	.298	13	8	34%	9%	74	-0.1	.199/.260/.324	.125	.272	14	4	31%	7%	60	-1.0	.192/.251/.302	.111	.255	13	1	29%	6%	48	-0.7
✕Marcelo Mayer 2023 · A	20	47→46	48→50	55→50	44	.224/.297/.372	.148	.336	15	13	36%	9%	88	+0.9	.223/.279/.372	.149	.303	16	12	30%	7%	80	+0.4	.225/.274/.376	.152	.287	18	10	28%	6%	77	+0.1
✕Agustín Ramírez 2023 · A	21	43→45	45→55	50	43	.213/.273/.339	.126	.289	12	10	30%	7%	69	-0.4	.229/.292/.389	.160	.276	19	13	24%	8%	90	+1.0	.230/.293/.405	.176	.264	22	16	22%	7%	92	+1.1
●Trevor Story 2014 · A	21	37→47	46→65	54→55	37	.188/.245/.318	.129	.283	13	13	37%	6%	52	-1.6	.205/.268/.364	.159	.310	17	16	37%	7%	73	-0.1	.270/.336/.500	.231	.327	29	25	26%	8%	134	+3.6
✕Noelvi Marte 2022 · A	20	45→53	50	51→55	43	.227/.286/.379	.153	.297	17	14	29%	7%	85	+0.7	.232/.294/.366	.134	.298	15	17	26%	7%	85	+0.7	.241/.288/.377	.137	.301	14	21	24%	5%	83	+0.4
●Zack Gelof 2022 · A	22	49→50	49→55	54→55	43	.237/.299/.390	.152	.332	17	16	32%	8%	93	+1.3	.231/.295/.403	.172	.327	21	19	34%	8%	95	+1.4	.226/.292/.399	.173	.315	22	24	34%	8%	90	+0.9

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)