Dario Reynoso — OGILVIE

Dario ReynosoIF San Jose Giants

Age 21 R/R 5'10" / 183 lbs A HR -8%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION313 act + 208 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†76

AVG/OBP/SLG.193 / .290 / .330

PA208

HR5

SB7

K%40

BB%11

BABIP320

ISO138

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER55

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.7	$9M	+$9M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.7	$9M	+$8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.5	$7M	+$7M
2034	Arb-1	$3M	+1.3	$6M	+$5M
2035	Arb-2	$3M	+1.0	$4M	+$3M
2036	Arb-3	$3M	+0.8	$1M	+$0.3M
Totals		$12M		$36M	+$31M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	DSL Giants Orange	—	137	116	25	6	1	2	18	59	3	12	0	216	336	336	672	121	418	43	13	293	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Giants Orange	—	137	104	30	8	1	3	30	41	3	12	0	288	460	471	931	183	450	30	22	420	180	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	ACL Giants	—	202	173	22	5	1	1	23	109	4	8	3	127	245	185	430	58	323	54	11	207	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	ACL Giants	—	202	155	32	7	1	3	41	75	4	8	3	206	385	323	708	116	367	37	20	334	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	2 teams	—	284	247	42	10	1	6	28	127	7	20	5	170	273	291	565	121	313	45	10	255	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	2 teams	—	284	225	59	15	2	10	50	94	7	20	5	262	411	480	891	218	402	33	18	395	161	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	21	A	SF	—	313	274	61	15	2	9	33	129	4	15	5	223	315	391	706	168	380	41	11	308	94	-2	+1	+0	+0	+9	0.8
YTD	21	A	SF	—	313	261	76	20	3	11	46	96	4	15	5	291	405	517	922	226	419	31	15	404	167	+24	+1	+0	+0	+9	3.4
ROS	21	A	SF	0%	208	181	35	8	1	5	22	84	3	7	2	193	290	330	621	138	325	40	11	285	76	-6	+1	+0	+0	+6	0.1
ROS	21	MLB	SF	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		319	—	—	270	65	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	21	A	SF	—	313	275	61	15	2	9	33	129	4	15	5	222	315	389	704	167	377	41	11	308	94	-2	+1	+0	+0	+9	0.8
TOT	21	A	SF	—	521	455	96	23	3	14	55	213	7	22	7	211	305	366	672	156	355	41	11	299	87	-8	+2	+0	+0	+15	0.9
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	SF	34%	422	370	75	17	2	11	44	165	5	11	3	203	296	349	645	146	325	39	10	292	82	-9	+1	+0	+0	+12	0.4
2028	23	MLB	SF	48%	591	518	108	24	3	17	61	223	7	15	4	208	300	365	665	156	324	38	10	301	88	-8	+1	+0	+0	+17	1.1
2029	24	MLB	SF	53%	597	523	112	24	3	19	62	220	7	15	4	214	306	380	686	166	323	37	10	307	93	-5	+1	+0	+0	+17	1.4
2030	25	MLB	SF	55%	596	522	113	24	3	20	62	217	7	15	4	216	308	389	697	172	322	36	10	311	96	-3	+1	+0	+0	+17	1.6
2031	26	MLB	SF	56%	591	518	113	24	3	20	61	215	7	15	4	218	309	392	701	174	322	36	10	313	97	-2	+1	+0	+0	+17	1.7
2032	27	MLB	SF	55%	583	510	111	24	3	20	61	212	7	15	4	218	310	394	704	176	322	36	10	313	97	-2	+1	+0	+0	+17	1.7
2033	28	MLB	SF	55%	574	501	108	23	3	19	61	210	7	14	4	216	309	387	697	172	321	37	11	312	97	-2	+1	-1	+0	+16	1.5
2034	29	MLB	SF	53%	565	493	107	23	3	19	60	208	7	13	4	217	311	391	702	174	320	37	11	310	95	-3	+1	-1	+0	+16	1.3
2035	30	MLB	SF	53%	555	484	102	22	2	18	59	205	7	12	4	211	305	376	681	165	319	37	11	307	93	-4	+1	-2	+0	+16	1.0
2036	31	MLB	SF	52%	544	474	98	21	2	17	58	203	7	11	3	207	302	367	670	160	316	37	11	303	90	-6	+1	-3	+0	+15	0.8
2027	22	MLB	SF	34%	145	127	26	6	1	4	15	57	2	4	1	205	299	362	661	157	318	39	10	278	71	-5	+0	+0	+0	+4	-0.0
2028	23	MLB	SF	48%	286	250	52	11	2	8	30	108	4	7	2	208	303	364	667	156	317	38	10	286	77	-7	+1	+0	+0	+8	0.1
2029	24	MLB	SF	53%	315	275	57	12	2	9	33	116	4	8	2	207	301	364	665	156	316	37	10	292	82	-6	+1	+0	+0	+9	0.3
2030	25	MLB	SF	55%	326	285	61	13	2	10	34	119	4	8	2	214	307	379	685	165	316	37	10	296	85	-6	+1	+0	+0	+9	0.5
2031	26	MLB	SF	56%	329	288	62	13	2	11	34	120	4	8	2	215	307	389	696	174	316	36	10	298	86	-5	+1	+0	+0	+9	0.5
2032	27	MLB	SF	55%	321	280	60	13	2	10	34	117	4	8	2	214	308	382	690	168	316	36	11	298	86	-5	+1	+0	+0	+9	0.5
2033	28	MLB	SF	55%	314	274	58	12	2	10	33	115	4	8	2	212	305	380	685	168	315	37	11	297	85	-5	+1	-0	+0	+9	0.4
2034	29	MLB	SF	53%	301	262	55	12	1	10	32	111	4	7	2	210	305	378	683	168	314	37	11	295	84	-5	+1	-1	+0	+9	0.3
2035	30	MLB	SF	53%	292	255	52	11	1	9	31	108	4	6	2	204	300	361	661	157	312	37	11	292	82	-6	+0	-1	+0	+8	0.2
2036	31	MLB	SF	52%	283	248	51	11	1	9	30	106	3	6	2	206	299	367	666	161	310	37	11	289	79	-7	+0	-1	+0	+8	0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2912	2545	534	114	16	90	306	1077	37	70	19	210	304	373	677	163	319	37	11	293	82	-58	+6	-4	+0	+83	2.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	568	119	25	4	20	68	240	8	16	4	210	303	373	676	164	317	37	10	293	82	-13	+2	-1	+0	+18	0.6
Career	—			—	6449	5630	1171	255	31	194	680	2457	85	183	48	208	303	368	670	160	324	38	11	301	88	-85	+17	-7	+0	+183	11.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	567	119	26	3	20	69	248	9	18	5	210	305	372	678	162	328	38	11	301	88	-9	+2	-1	+0	+18	1.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	DSL Giants Orange	—	137	104	30	8	1	3	30	41	3	12	0	288	460	471	931	183	450	30	22	420	180	+12	+2	—	—	+4	1.9
2024	19	ROK	ACL Giants	—	202	155	32	7	1	3	41	75	4	8	3	206	385	323	708	116	367	37	20	334	113	+3	+0	—	—	+6	0.9
2025	20	A	San Jose Giants	—	57	47	6	3	0	0	10	22	0	2	0	128	281	191	472	64	240	39	18	238	40	-4	+0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2025	20	ROK	ACL Giants	—	227	178	53	12	2	10	40	72	7	18	5	298	444	556	1.001	258	443	32	18	435	191	+23	+2	—	—	+6	3.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Rougned Odorlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,424 PA	10	4,424	178	70	230	288	422	+16	+32	15.2	15.0
	/162	664	27	11	230	288	422	+2.4	+4.9	2.3	pk7: 15
#2Drew Stubbslast yr '16 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,143 PA	8	3,143	92	161	244	314	394	+3	+16	12.2	12.3
	/162	664	19	34	244	314	394	+0.6	+3.3	2.6	pk7: 12
#3Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#4Luis Valbuenalast yr '18 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,527 PA	10	3,527	113	10	226	311	395	+13	+1	10.5	11.2
	/162	664	21	2	226	311	395	+2.4	+0.1	2.0	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	3,232	100	78	211	301	374	+0	+0	6.1	5.8
	/162	664	21	16	211	301	374	+0.0	+0.0	1.2	pk7: 6
#5Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#6Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dario Reynoso (OGILVIE)	21	40	55	60	60	211/305/366	156	355	14	22	41%	11%	87	+0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Carlos Jimenez 2023 · A	20	38→43	46→55	53→50	45	188/278/321	133	289	14	16	37%	10%	68	-0.5	217/294/348	131	331	14	16	35%	9%	81	+0.4	229/308/399	169	310	21	18	31%	9%	95	+0.9
✕Daz Cameron 2018 · A	21	39→45	47→55	52→55	40	199/261/337	138	279	13	19	33%	6%	63	-0.8	203/270/332	129	293	11	17	33%	7%	66	-0.6	217/290/380	163	271	19	25	27%	8%	86	+0.5
●Trevor Story 2014 · A	21	37→47	46→60	55	36	186/242/313	127	290	13	13	39%	6%	50	-1.8	200/265/357	157	304	17	16	37%	7%	71	-0.3	247/315/451	204	301	24	25	26%	8%	113	+2.3
✕Max Muncy 2023 · A	20	38→45	48→55	50	41	195/268/337	143	297	17	12	38%	8%	67	-0.5	211/276/338	127	323	13	9	36%	7%	70	-0.3	226/295/388	162	313	20	6	32%	6%	90	+0.5
✕Romy Gonzalez 2019 · A	22	39→41	47→50	53→55	34	193/243/327	134	308	14	10	41%	6%	53	-1.5	200/254/318	118	309	12	12	37%	6%	56	-1.3	253/296/402	149	335	16	16	28%	5%	92	+0.6
✕Brewer Hicklen 2018 · A	22	46→43	42→55	55→60	37	214/276/325	112	332	8	16	36%	6%	66	-0.6	211/267/351	140	325	16	24	38%	5%	70	-0.3	219/291/395	177	297	25	40	34%	7%	90	+0.7
●Lane Thomas 2017 · A	21	37→47	40→55	50→55	39	173/249/266	93	316	8	14	44%	9%	40	-2.4	206/265/337	131	313	13	13	36%	7%	65	-0.7	248/309/423	176	306	20	21	25%	7%	104	+2.0
✕Keon Broxton 2011 · A	21	36→46	41→55	55→60	33	175/225/287	112	301	7	10	42%	6%	34	-2.8	192/248/291	99	309	9	15	38%	7%	45	-2.1	223/298/398	174	337	19	38	37%	9%	93	+1.0
✕Travis Demeritte 2017 · A	22	38→44	46→60	53→50	37	180/251/315	136	320	14	11	45%	8%	54	-1.4	196/259/355	159	295	18	7	38%	7%	68	-0.5	205/271/397	192	291	25	7	37%	8%	80	+0.3
✕Sean Henry 2006 · A	20	42→52	43→50	55	42	204/270/313	108	299	11	15	34%	8%	61	-1.0	227/282/354	127	289	11	19	24%	6%	76	+0.1	248/301/378	130	297	12	17	20%	6%	88	+0.7
●Drew Stubbs 2007 · A	22	42→51	41→50	54→60	41	199/272/296	98	308	9	15	36%	8%	58	-1.2	220/289/327	107	323	8	21	32%	8%	72	-0.2	240/313/369	129	324	14	37	28%	9%	90	+1.1
✕Troy Schreffler Jr. 2023 · A	22	46	40→50	53→60	38	204/276/301	98	346	7	11	40%	7%	61	-1.0	207/278/326	119	318	12	23	36%	8%	68	-0.5	188/257/305	117	288	13	29	37%	7%	52	-0.6
●Jerry Sands 2009 · A	21	35→45	50→60	51→45	45	191/275/338	147	260	19	8	33%	9%	71	-0.3	228/294/419	191	283	24	6	28%	8%	99	+1.7	225/292/420	195	273	25	7	27%	8%	97	+1.3
✕Casper Wells 2006 · A	21	41→46	43→60	55→50	33	178/255/293	115	350	9	9	48%	7%	50	-1.7	200/278/337	137	306	14	11	37%	7%	72	-0.2	228/301/438	210	281	24	7	27%	8%	103	+1.3
●Akil Baddoo 2021 · A	22	41→51	41→55	55	40	194/259/300	107	309	8	14	38%	8%	53	-1.5	242/317/390	148	323	14	21	27%	10%	100	+1.7	240/322/392	152	311	15	24	26%	11%	100	+1.2
✕Gage Workman 2022 · A	22	41→49	46→60	54→55	36	194/253/333	139	333	12	18	43%	7%	59	-1.1	192/245/336	144	346	15	21	46%	6%	56	-1.3	235/291/430	195	347	22	24	37%	7%	97	+1.1
✕Jasson Domínguez 2023 · AA	20	42→52	45→50	56→60	43	204/277/332	129	309	12	20	36%	8%	69	-0.4	234/307/374	140	323	15	28	30%	9%	92	+1.2	244/319/382	138	325	16	33	28%	10%	96	+1.1
✕Cayden Wallace 2023 · A	21	45→42	42→50	56→50	40	218/268/331	113	302	8	15	30%	6%	64	-0.8	215/273/337	122	287	11	12	27%	6%	68	-0.5	225/274/377	152	279	18	13	26%	5%	77	+0.1
✕Tucker Mitchell 2023 · A	22	38	44→50	51→45	35	182/259/292	110	306	12	11	42%	6%	53	-1.5	199/263/309	110	291	13	7	34%	6%	58	-1.2	187/246/280	93	268	12	5	34%	5%	40	-1.0
●Lewis Brinson 2014 · A	20	35→45	45→55	52→50	30	170/224/291	121	314	13	14	48%	6%	36	-2.7	221/271/366	145	325	16	14	35%	6%	75	-0.0	232/284/407	175	291	20	17	27%	6%	89	+0.7