Jake Gelof3B Tulsa Drillers
Age 24 R/R 6'0" / 195 lbs AA HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
2026 ROS PROJECTION310 act + 206 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†72
AVG/OBP/SLG.181 / .269 / .356
PA206
HR8
K%37
BB%11
BABIP253
ISO175
MLB%2%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -12.5 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-12BATRUN: +1.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.8 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +14.6 runs (Replacement-level credit)+15REPTotal WAR: +0.50+0.5WAR
0.00.51.00.00.30.50.60.5+$14M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 55
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT35
scouting grade only
POWER55
scouting grade only
EYE50
scouting grade only
SPEED50
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2029
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2034
First FA Year   2035
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.6$2M+$1M
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.5$1M+$0.9M
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $2M $3M +$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202321 A2 teams — 154139 21614 14650 41 151229295524 144239 429 247 47 — — — — — —
202321 A2 teams — 154133 30926 20460 41 226327459785 233293 3013 344 121 — — — — — —
202422 A+3 teams — 534464 741929 541663 214 159251267519 108215 3110 237 39 — — — — — —
202422 A+3 teams — 534441 9222412 771233 214 209330358688 150251 2314 308 94 — — — — — —
202523 A+2 teams — 385346 6023013 331441 119 173247353600 179242 379 261 58 — — — — — —
202523 A+2 teams — 385330 7629017 491021 119 230332473804 242273 2613 350 126 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD24 AALAD — 310269 5010015 361220 61 186282390672 204255 3912 294 83 -6 +1 +0 +1 +9 0.5
YTD24 AALAD — 310253 5913017 52950 61 233364486850 253288 3117 370 141 +14 +1 +0 +1 +9 2.6
ROS24 AALAD 2% 206182 33808 22770 41 181269356625 175256 3711 279 72 -7 +0 +0 +1 +6 0.0
ROS24 MLBLAD 2% 44 0000 010 00 252 250 274 68 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
FULL24 AALAD — 314273 5010015 361230 61 183278385663 201250 3911 294 83 -6 +1 +0 +1 +9 0.5
TOT24 AALAD — 516451 8318023 581990 102 184277376653 193255 3911 288 79 -12 +1 +0 +2 +15 0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202725 MLBLAD 31% 370328 6315114 381321 72 192278372650 180263 3610 287 78 -9 +1 +0 +1 +10 0.3
202826 MLBLAD 45% 407361 7117115 421411 72 197282374656 177266 3510 291 81 -9 +1 +0 +1 +12 0.5
202927 MLBLAD 49% 420371 7317115 441432 82 197285369655 173267 3410 293 82 -8 +1 +0 +1 +12 0.6
203028 MLBLAD 52% 425376 7317115 441442 72 194282364646 170267 3410 293 82 -9 +1 -1 +2 +12 0.5
202725 MLBLAD 31% 115102 19504 12410 21 186272353625 167259 3610 281 74 -3 +0 +0 +0 +3 0.0
202826 MLBLAD 45% 181159 31707 19631 31 195285371656 176261 3510 285 76 -5 +0 +0 +1 +5 0.1
202927 MLBLAD 49% 207183 34807 21711 41 186273344617 158263 3410 286 77 -5 +0 +0 +1 +6 0.2
203028 MLBLAD 52% 219193 38908 23741 41 197286368654 171263 3411 286 77 -6 +0 -0 +1 +6 0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 726641 12229026 752503 134 190278357635 167260 3410 285 76 -20 +1 -0 +3 +21 0.4
/ 162G— — 650574 10926023 672243 124 190278355634 166260 3410 285 76 -17 +1 -0 +2 +18 0.4
Career— — 29012567 468122793 291101210 6923 182268344612 162252 3510 274 68 -105 +5 -1 +10 +82 -0.9
/ 162G— — 650575 10527221 652272 155 183267346614 163252 3510 274 68 -24 +1 -0 +2 +18 -0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202321 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes — 137120 27815 16410 21 225316433750 208293 3012 330 111 +2 +0 — — +4 0.6
202321 ROKACL Dodgers — 1713 3111 450 20 2314126921.104 462286 2924 457 208 +2 +0 — — +0 0.3
202422 A+Great Lakes Loons — 346296 551608 39722 174 186285321606 135209 2111 271 66 -13 +2 — — +10 -0.2
202422 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes — 11787 27432 27310 30 310474494968 184439 2623 421 180 +11 +1 — — +3 1.5
202422 INTLGlendale Desert Dogs — 7158 10212 11201 10 172314345659 172216 2815 300 88 -1 +0 — — +2 0.1
202523 A+Great Lakes Loons — 362313 7024016 44961 117 224321454775 230263 2712 339 118 +7 -1 — — +10 1.7
202523 ROKACL Dodgers — 2317 6501 560 02 3535008241.324 471455 2622 521 257 +4 -1 — — +1 0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA
83,2679864221297378+16+3611.011.4
/1626642013+3.2+7.32.2pk7: 12
#2Ian Stewartlast yr '14
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,646 PA
61,6466017230317416+6+26.26.2
/162664247+2.4+0.92.5pk7: 6
#3J.P. Arencibialast yr '15
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA
51,650782213260414+29-44.24.2
/162664311+11.9-1.71.7pk7: 4
#4Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#5Adam Rosaleslast yr '17
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA
91,7564716227293367+6+83.03.5
/162664186+2.4+3.01.1pk7: 4
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA
61,6334033232299363+6-140.90.9
/1626641613+2.4-5.80.4pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons
27282713196280373+3+10.90.9
/1626642412+2.4+0.90.8pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Jake Gelof (OGILVIE) 24 35 55 50 50 184/277/376 193255 2310 39% 11% 79 +0.5 ————————— —————————
✕Travis Demeritte
2019 · AA 		24 36→44 51→60 46→50 39 190/252/349 158279 197 38% 7% 63 -0.8 217/282/399 182317 238 37% 8% 89 +1.0 209/274/39218330423937%8%80+0.2
✕Drew Robinson
2016 · AAA 		24 36→40 50→55 48→50 45 190/268/346 156268 1712 35% 9% 69 -0.4 213/285/388 175304 2012 35% 9% 87 +0.8 213/286/393179309201236%9%85+0.5
✕Jabari Henry
2016 · AA 		25 36→40 51→55 46→45 46 191/276/352 161267 197 34% 10% 75 -0.0 196/264/341 145281 186 35% 7% 66 -0.6 174/240/31414023521235%6%46-1.3
✕Jake Rogers
2019 · AA 		24 37→40 46→60 48→45 40 191/253/320 128266 149 33% 7% 56 -1.3 208/281/378 170286 215 33% 8% 83 +0.6 213/288/42921627131133%8%98+0.8
✕Zack Short
2019 · AA 		24 39→38 49→50 47→45 50 199/291/349 150269 169 31% 11% 80 +0.4 196/288/337 141280 157 33% 10% 76 +0.1 180/281/31513524116931%11%66-0.5
✕Chris Williams
2021 · A 		24 36→30 49→60 49→40 48 187/277/335 148272 175 36% 11% 71 -0.3 188/268/347 159301 204 41% 9% 70 -0.3 179/261/36818925028440%9%71-0.2
✕Jeferson Morales
2023 · A 		24 38→45 47→50 49→50 43 195/276/331 137262 149 30% 7% 69 -0.4 215/289/349 134277 139 26% 7% 79 +0.3 221/296/35713627513823%7%81+0.2
✕Will Wilson
2022 · AA 		24 36→38 47→50 51→45 39 189/255/321 133280 168 37% 7% 57 -1.2 201/261/333 132277 176 32% 7% 63 -0.8 194/254/30811425415429%7%50-1.2
✕Kendall Simmons
2023 · A 		23 36 47→50 49→50 38 189/255/325 136272 1510 35% 6% 59 -1.1 206/270/351 145304 169 36% 6% 72 -0.2 198/264/34714929417737%6%65-0.2
✕Jeremy Sy
2015 · A 		25 38 51→55 50 47 202/277/365 162255 1912 29% 8% 78 +0.2 210/278/329 119300 1213 32% 8% 69 -0.4 199/270/2899029981534%8%50-0.8
✕Sean Roby
2022 · A 		24 37→32 49→55 49→30 41 194/264/339 145283 175 37% 8% 66 -0.6 187/243/353 166301 243 44% 6% 61 -1.0 165/216/33216725727147%5%41-1.0
✕Brandon Meredith
2014 · A 		24 42→36 48→50 46→45 46 211/292/355 144284 158 30% 9% 82 +0.5 207/281/345 138281 167 30% 8% 75 -0.0 193/268/33514225318530%8%63-0.4
●Andrew Navigato
2022 · AA 		24 41→38 45→60 46→50 44 204/280/325 122284 1213 31% 8% 69 -0.4 220/279/399 179271 2214 27% 6% 88 +0.9 220/277/428209258271727%5%92+0.8
✕Carlos Narváez
2023 · A 		24 36→45 46→50 46→45 45 182/272/307 125283 146 38% 10% 62 -0.9 207/290/338 131291 147 32% 9% 77 +0.1 212/294/34913628516629%9%79+0.2
✕Joe DeCarlo
2018 · A 		24 36→37 49→55 43→30 42 191/274/336 146272 183 35% 8% 70 -0.3 203/272/335 132292 153 34% 7% 68 -0.5 180/245/28510526012034%6%40-0.8
●Jeremiah Jackson
2023 · AA 		23 37→47 48→60 48→55 41 195/256/339 145267 1612 33% 7% 63 -0.9 222/268/400 178287 2415 31% 5% 83 +0.6 235/274/422187292261529%5%88+0.8
✕Devin Harris
2012 · A 		24 37→39 50→60 50→40 37 196/250/352 156289 186 38% 6% 63 -0.8 202/252/372 170279 203 34% 6% 69 -0.4 207/250/40019326524332%5%72-0.1
✕Jesús Bastidas
2023 · AA 		24 41 50 45→50 40 211/280/359 148289 1912 33% 7% 78 +0.2 207/275/357 150271 1812 30% 6% 76 +0.0 200/269/348148259181330%5%68-0.5
✕Sicnarf Loopstok
2016 · A 		23 40→38 48→55 53→50 39 206/266/349 143284 169 32% 6% 69 -0.4 214/278/357 143300 1610 33% 6% 76 +0.1 212/284/37516329120933%7%83+0.3
✕Yusuf Carter
2009 · A 		24 36→33 48→50 50 34 191/232/333 142279 1613 37% 5% 50 -1.7 219/259/358 139313 179 34% 5% 67 -0.5 231/270/37214131918533%5%73-0.1