Jake Gelof

3B Tulsa Drillers
Age 25 R/R 6'0" / 195 lbs AA HR +8%BB -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
Overview
AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036
OGV OFP35OGV rank#546ETA2029MLB%2%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202422A+/A/INTL3 orgs534.209/.330/.358122156—.167/.255/.275
202523A+/ROKLAD385.230/.332/.473171164—.174/.248/.351
202624AALAD522.271/.393/.5653410109—.220/.313/.449
2027PROJMLE25MLBLAD4.206/.289/.40200930.0
2028PROJ39% MLB26MLBLAD173.207/.291/.40283940.3
2029PROJ53% MLB27MLBLAD243.208/.291/.399104940.5
Next 3 projected WAR 0.8Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA
ISO95
BB%92
wOBA90
wRC+90
Chase%64
Whiff%43
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.3 / P90 5.3, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 81%
CompsJonny DeLuca (age 25) · Nelson Velázquez (age 25) · Michael Chavis (age 25)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†93
AVG/OBP/SLG.206 / .289 / .402
PA4
HR0
K%25
BB%10
BABIP258
ISO194
MLB%2%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -1.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: +0.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: +0.50+0.5WAR
0.00.51.00.00.30.50.50.30.127282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$11M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 55
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT35
scouting grade only
POWER55
scouting grade only
EYE50
scouting grade only
SPEED50
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.5$2M+$1.0M
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.3$0.9M+$0.3M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $2M $3M +$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202321 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes — 137120 27815 16410 21 225316433750 208293 3012 330 47 — — — — — —
202321 ROKACL Dodgers — 1713 3111 450 20 2314126921.104 462286 2924 457 83 — — — — — —
202422 A+Great Lakes Loons — 346296 551608 39722 174 186285321606 135209 2111 271 32 — — — — — —
202422 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes — 11787 27432 27310 30 310474494968 184439 2623 421 105 — — — — — —
202422 INTLGlendale Desert Dogs — 7158 10212 11201 10 172314345659 172216 2815 300 89 — — — — — —
202523 A+Great Lakes Loons — 362313 7024016 44961 117 224321454775 230263 2712 339 61 — — — — — —
202523 ROKACL Dodgers — 2317 6501 560 02 3535008241.324 471455 2622 521 114 — — — — — —
202624 AATulsa Drillers — 522425 11523034 841412 101 271393565958 294310 2716 408 109 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202321 A MLERancho Cucamonga Quakes — 137124 20613 12570 21 161235298534 137256 429 237 47 — — — — — —
202321 ROK MLEACL Dodgers — 1715 3111 270 20 200294600894 400195 4112 291 83 — — — — — —
202422 A+ MLEGreat Lakes Loons — 346308 461306 27922 174 149223250473 101178 278 216 32 — — — — — —
202422 A MLERancho Cucamonga Quakes — 11795 21331 19440 30 221351347698 126357 3816 323 105 — — — — — —
202523 A+ MLEGreat Lakes Loons — 362327 5619012 301251 117 171243339582 168225 358 258 61 — — — — — —
202523 ROK MLEACL Dodgers — 2319 4301 390 02 211318526844 316278 3913 337 114 — — — — — —
202624 AA MLETulsa Drillers — 522450 9919028 591722 101 220313449762 229261 3311 329 109 — — — — — —
202321 A MLE2 teams — 154139 22624 14640 41 158235317552 158250 429 243 51 — — — — — —
202321 A RAW2 teams — 154133 30926 20460 41 226327459785 233293 3013 344 51 — — — — — —
202422 A+ MLE3 teams — 534465 791939 531573 214 170259282541 112224 2910 243 51 — — — — — —
202422 A+ RAW3 teams — 534441 9222412 771233 214 209330358688 150251 2314 308 51 — — — — — —
202523 A+ MLE2 teams — 385346 6123013 331331 119 176250355605 179234 359 263 64 — — — — — —
202523 A+ RAW2 teams — 385330 7629017 491021 119 230332473804 242273 2613 350 64 — — — — — —
202624 AA MLETulsa Drillers — 522450 9919028 591722 101 220313449762 229272 3311 329 109 — — — — — —
202624 AA RAWTulsa Drillers — 522425 11523034 841412 101 271393565958 294310 2716 408 109 — — — — — —
202321 A MLE2 teams — 154139 22624 14640 41 158235317552 158249 429 243 51 — — — — — —
202422 A+ MLE3 teams — 534473 791939 531573 214 167259277536 110223 2910 243 51 — — — — — —
202523 A+ MLE2 teams — 385348 6123013 331331 119 175250353603 178228 359 263 64 — — — — — —
202624 AA MLETulsa Drillers — 522456 9919028 591722 101 217313443756 226261 3311 329 109 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202422 A+ MLE3 teams — 534473 791939 531573 214 167259277536 110223 2910 243 51 — — — — — —
202523 A+ MLE2 teams — 385348 6123013 331331 119 175250353603 178228 359 263 64 — — — — — —
202624 AA MLETulsa Drillers — 522456 9919028 591722 101 217313443756 226261 3311 329 109 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202725 MLB MLELAD 2% 380338 7116116 381191 72 208291401692 193263 3110 306 93 -3 +1 +0 +1 +8 0.5
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202725 MLB CTXLAD 2% 44 0000 010 00 206289402691 196258 250 306 93 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202826 MLB MLELAD 39% 447397 8419119 451382 82 209292401693 192264 3110 307 94 -3 +1 +0 +2 +10 0.9
202927 MLB MLELAD 53% 463412 8719119 461422 82 210293399691 188265 3110 306 94 -4 +1 +0 +2 +10 0.9
203028 MLB MLELAD 60% 469418 8819119 461432 72 210292394686 184266 3010 305 92 -4 +1 -1 +2 +10 0.8
203129 MLB MLELAD 62% 468417 8719118 461422 62 209290388679 179265 3010 302 90 -5 +0 -1 +2 +10 0.6
203230 MLB MLELAD 63% 294263 5412011 28891 31 208288381669 173264 3010 298 88 -4 +0 -2 +1 +6 0.1
202826 MLB CTXLAD 39% 173153 32708 17531 31 207291402693 194259 3110 307 94 -1 +0 +0 +1 +4 0.3
202927 MLB CTXLAD 53% 243216 4510010 24741 41 208291399690 191260 3010 306 94 -2 +0 +0 +1 +5 0.5
203028 MLB CTXLAD 60% 281250 5211012 28851 41 208290395685 187260 3010 304 92 -3 +0 -0 +1 +6 0.5
203129 MLB CTXLAD 62% 289258 5311012 28881 31 207289389677 182260 3010 301 90 -3 +0 -1 +1 +6 0.3
203230 MLB CTXLAD 63% 185164 33707 18561 21 206286381668 176259 3010 297 88 -3 +0 -1 +1 +4 0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 11711041 21546049 1153565 165 207289392680 185259 3010 303 84 -12 +1 -3 +4 +25 1.7
/ 162G— A+C — 650578 12026027 641983 93 208290393683 185261 3010 303 84 -7 +1 -1 +2 +14 0.9
Career— MLE — 39463493 7001649149 391124616 8225 200284380664 180258 3210 293 84 -22 +3 -4 +8 +51 3.7
/ 162G— MLE — 650575 11527125 642053 144 200283381664 181256 3210 293 84 -6 +1 -1 +2 +14 1.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AATulsa Drillers · 522 PAwOBA .405 → .329 (−76)K% 27.0% → 33.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.01%÷1.000×1.220——32.95%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.90%÷1.000×0.700—×1.01211.26%
HBP% /PA0.38%—×0.870—×1.0120.34%
Singles /BIP20.42%÷1.000×0.920×0.950×1.01218.06%
Doubles /BIP8.10%÷1.000×0.840×0.950×1.0126.54%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.940×0.950×1.0120.00%
Home runs /BIP11.97%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0129.69%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .405 → .329; ISO .294 → .243; BABIP .310 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Great Lakes Loons · 362 PAwOBA .334 → .258 (−75)K% 26.5% → 34.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.52%÷0.980×1.270——34.36%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.15%÷1.023×0.710—×0.9988.42%
HBP% /PA0.28%—×0.790—×0.9980.22%
Singles /BIP13.82%÷1.000×0.920×0.968×0.99812.29%
Doubles /BIP11.06%÷0.927×0.810×0.968×0.9989.34%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.850×0.968×0.9980.00%
Home runs /BIP7.37%÷0.992×0.800—×0.9985.93%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 100, 2B 85, 3B 130, K 96, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.968.

Result: wOBA .334 → .258; ISO .230 → .179; BABIP .263 → .225. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKACL Dodgers · 23 PAwOBA .531 → .337 (−194)K% 26.1% → 37.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.09%÷0.993×1.440——37.84%
BB% (unintentional) /PA21.74%÷0.997×0.620—×0.96513.04%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×0.9650.00%
Singles /BIP0.00%÷0.996×0.820—×0.9650.00%
Doubles /BIP45.45%÷1.102×0.720—×0.96528.66%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.060×0.720—×0.9650.00%
Home runs /BIP9.09%÷1.187×0.780—×0.9655.76%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 99, 2B 120, 3B 112, K 99, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .531 → .337; ISO .471 → .305; BABIP .455 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Great Lakes Loons · 346 PAwOBA .272 → .216 (−55)K% 20.8% → 26.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.81%÷0.990×1.270——26.70%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.27%÷1.037×0.710—×1.0127.81%
HBP% /PA0.58%—×0.790—×1.0120.46%
Singles /BIP13.84%÷1.004×0.920×0.950×1.01212.20%
Doubles /BIP7.14%÷0.950×0.810×0.950×1.0125.86%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.948×0.850×0.950×1.0120.00%
Home runs /BIP3.57%÷1.036×0.800—×1.0122.79%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 101, 2B 90, 3B 90, K 98, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .272 → .216; ISO .135 → .108; BABIP .209 → .178. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes · 117 PAwOBA .420 → .323 (−97)K% 26.5% → 37.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.50%÷0.964×1.360——37.37%
BB% (unintentional) /PA22.22%÷0.943×0.690——16.26%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780——0.00%
Singles /BIP32.14%÷1.072×0.920×0.950—26.21%
Doubles /BIP7.14%÷0.973×0.830×0.950—5.79%
Triples /BIP5.36%÷0.973×0.910×0.950—4.76%
Home runs /BIP3.57%÷1.072×0.800——2.67%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 114, 1B 114, 2B 95, 3B 95, K 93, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .420 → .323; ISO .184 → .145; BABIP .439 → .357. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes · 137 PAwOBA .324 → .237 (−87)K% 29.9% → 41.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA29.93%÷0.973×1.360——41.83%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.68%÷0.976×0.690—×1.0158.38%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780—×1.0150.00%
Singles /BIP16.46%÷0.955×0.920×0.950×1.01515.29%
Doubles /BIP10.13%÷0.990×0.830×0.950×1.0158.18%
Triples /BIP1.27%÷0.900×0.910×0.950×1.0151.23%
Home runs /BIP6.33%÷1.025×0.800—×1.0155.02%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 91, 2B 98, 3B 80, K 95, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .324 → .237; ISO .208 → .146; BABIP .293 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ROKACL Dodgers · 17 PAwOBA .446 → .291 (−155)K% 29.4% → 42.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA29.41%÷1.005×1.440——42.16%
BB% (unintentional) /PA23.53%÷0.992×0.620—×0.98514.49%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×0.9850.00%
Singles /BIP0.00%÷0.965×0.820—×0.9850.00%
Doubles /BIP12.50%÷1.032×0.720—×0.9858.59%
Triples /BIP12.50%÷0.980×0.720—×0.9859.04%
Home runs /BIP12.50%÷1.005×0.780—×0.9859.56%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 93, 2B 106, 3B 96, K 101, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .446 → .291; ISO .462 → .314; BABIP .286 → .195. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .