Humberto Cruz
P
Lake Elsinore Storm
Age 19
RHP
6'1" / 170 lbs
A
peak 0.3 · 2027
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 22 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131122vR 113
ERA4.97
FIP4.97
K%18.4%
BB%9.8%
K-BB%8.6%
ROS IP23
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 22 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | ACL Padres | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 1.0 | 25.0% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 2.57 | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | ACL Padres | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 1.0 | 25.0% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 2.60 | — |
| 2025 | 18 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 14 | 38 | 171 | 35 | 17 | 8 | 100% | 2.7 | 14.6% | 12.1% | 2.6% | 6.7% | 7.58 | 7.09 | — |
| 2025 | 18 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 14 | 38 | 171 | 35 | 17 | 8 | 100% | 2.7 | 20.5% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 4.7% | 7.58 | 5.34 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 19 | MLB | SD | 4 | 4 | 23 | 95 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 100% | 5.7 | 18.4% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 3.3% | 4.97 | 4.97 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB | SD | 4 | 4 | 24 | 100 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 100% | 5.9 | 20.1% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 3.2% | 4.79 | 4.70 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 20 | MLB | SD | 2 | 2 | 12 | 51 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 100% | 6.0 | 20.1% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 3.2% | 4.79 | 4.70 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3 | 3 | 12 | 49 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 100% | 3.9 | 20.1% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 3.2% | 4.79 | 4.32 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 43 | 43 | 200 | 844 | 172 | 86 | 34 | 100% | 4.6 | 20.1% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 3.2% | 4.79 | 4.32 | +2.5 | ||
| Career | — | 16 | 16 | 40 | 179 | 27 | 22 | 12 | 100% | 2.5 | 15.1% | 12.1% | 3.0% | 6.4% | 7.20 | 6.89 | -1.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 80 | 80 | 200 | 895 | 135 | 108 | 58 | 100% | 2.5 | 15.1% | 12.1% | 3.0% | 6.4% | 7.20 | 6.89 | -3.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Humberto Cruz (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.97 | 18.4% | 9.8% | 3.3% | — | 4.70 | 20.1% | 10.9% | 24 | -0.27 | — | — | — |
| Richard Fernandez R 2026 · 5.35 FIP | 19 | SP | 5.35 | 15.1% | 9.3% | 4.3% | .309 | 4.28 | 16.5% | -0.2% | 85 | -1.07 | 3.66 | 136 | 85 |
| Moises Castillo R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.58 | 18.1% | 11.7% | 2.8% | .269 | 4.08 | 19.4% | 5.0% | 65 | -0.50 | 3.77 | 101 | 82 |
| Jordany Ventura R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 19 | SP | 4.08 | 16.8% | 8.9% | 2.3% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.08 | 219 | 81 |
| Daniel Espino R 2025 · 4.31 FIP | 18 | SP | 4.31 | 20.5% | 11.8% | 2.6% | .194 | 3.49 | 32.5% | 21.4% | 110 | -0.82 | 3.35 | 145 | 81 |
| Carson Fulmer R 2028 · 4.04 FIP | 21 | SP | 4.04 | 21.4% | 11.5% | 2.4% | .259 | 4.87 | 17.1% | 4.0% | 364 | +0.83 | 3.84 | 879 | 81 |
| Randry De Leon R 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 19 | SP | 4.64 | 18.0% | 11.5% | 2.9% | .284 | 4.99 | 20.4% | 1.4% | 59 | +0.35 | 4.37 | 132 | 81 |
| Jharold Clemente R 2027 · 5.08 FIP | 20 | SP | 5.08 | 17.5% | 13.6% | 3.2% | .258 | 5.35 | 13.3% | 4.3% | 92 | +0.27 | 3.91 | 116 | 81 |
| Felix Arronde R 2026 · 5.08 FIP | 19 | SP | 5.08 | 20.7% | 9.9% | 4.5% | .371 | 4.23 | 16.7% | 7.3% | 278 | -0.85 | 4.13 | 397 | 81 |
| Aneury Lora R 2025 · 3.93 FIP | 18 | SP | 3.93 | 16.6% | 11.1% | 1.5% | .339 | 4.01 | 15.1% | 5.9% | 114 | +0.08 | 3.92 | 171 | 81 |
| Xavier Lopez R 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 19 | SP | 3.93 | 14.9% | 9.6% | 1.6% | .365 | 4.95 | 13.4% | 0.4% | 89 | +1.02 | 3.93 | 109 | 80 |
| Juan Bello R 2025 · 3.83 FIP | 18 | SP | 3.83 | 18.3% | 6.9% | 2.5% | .256 | 3.93 | 18.2% | 7.6% | 155 | +0.10 | 3.83 | 187 | 80 |
| Mauricio Veliz R 2026 · 5.14 FIP | 19 | SP | 5.14 | 12.1% | 8.8% | 3.6% | .307 | 4.85 | 12.1% | 1.0% | 189 | -0.29 | 4.54 | 282 | 80 |
| Jonathan Stiever R 2028 · 4.39 FIP | 21 | SP | 4.39 | 22.9% | 9.7% | 3.6% | .308 | 4.32 | 20.7% | 14.2% | 219 | -0.07 | 3.96 | 247 | 80 |
| Jeff Criswell R 2029 · 4.20 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.20 | 18.5% | 9.2% | 2.7% | .242 | 5.37 | 22.2% | 11.1% | 306 | +1.17 | 4.20 | 336 | 80 |
| John Swanda R 2026 · 5.08 FIP | 19 | SP | 5.08 | 13.0% | 6.4% | 4.1% | .333 | 4.75 | 14.6% | 5.8% | 116 | -0.33 | 3.56 | 262 | 79 |
| Jimmy Lambert R 2028 · 3.99 FIP | 21 | SP | 3.99 | 16.2% | 9.5% | 1.9% | .394 | 4.06 | 17.2% | 9.0% | 305 | +0.07 | 3.44 | 526 | 79 |
| Gio Arriera R 2026 · 5.41 FIP | 19 | SP | 5.41 | 15.1% | 13.9% | 3.3% | .333 | 4.46 | 15.5% | 2.0% | 79 | -0.95 | 4.46 | 185 | 79 |
| Luis Serna R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 19 | SP | 4.06 | 18.4% | 11.8% | 1.9% | .288 | 4.14 | 20.5% | 10.3% | 148 | +0.08 | 2.80 | 248 | 79 |
| Marco Raya R 2026 · 4.77 FIP | 19 | SP | 4.77 | 21.4% | 10.3% | 4.0% | .250 | 4.47 | 20.0% | 8.0% | 254 | -0.30 | 3.83 | 358 | 78 |
| Zach Haake R 2028 · 4.13 FIP | 21 | SP | 4.13 | 16.4% | 8.6% | 2.4% | .205 | 4.50 | 20.2% | 6.8% | 121 | +0.37 | 3.40 | 272 | 78 |