Jeff Criswell P Albuquerque Isotopes
Age 27 RHP 6'4" / 236 lbs AAA
2026 ROS PROJECTION24 act + 60 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123114vR 105
ERA4.49
FIP4.61
K%25.7%
BB%10.2%
K-BB%15.4%
ROS IP60
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 84 IP
K: +1.9 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+2KBB: -1.9 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-2BBCONTACT: -3.1 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-3CONTACTSTAM: +8.2 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+8STAMTotal WAR: +0.54 (84 IP)+0.5WAR
0.10.0-0.2-0.3262829
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†6060
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p6295.4
Whiff%
p9039.0%
K%
p9031.0%
xwOBA vs
p200.348
SI (3%)
CU (3%)
CH (14%)
SL-1.0 (33%)
FB-3.1 (43%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202122A+Lansing Lugnuts5512501241100%2.418.5%9.2%9.3%2.7%4.504.20
202122A+Lansing Lugnuts5512501241100%2.424.0%8.0%16.0%2.0%4.503.18
202223MIX3 levels2421118499119441388%4.919.9%10.1%9.8%4.8%4.035.36
202223MIX3 levels2421118499119441388%4.923.8%8.8%15.0%2.6%4.033.63
202324AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes2926121569135693290%4.220.9%12.7%8.1%5.5%7.515.97
202324AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes2926121569135693290%4.223.7%12.1%11.6%5.6%7.516.02
202425MIX2 levels4807736411035180%1.627.5%10.0%17.5%4.4%5.354.45+0.4
202425MIX2 levels4807736411035180%1.630.2%9.6%20.6%4.9%5.354.64+0.3
▸ 2026 Season
202627MLBColorado Rockies223241133215314%1.124.3%14.5%9.8%2.5%6.294.27+0.1
ROS27MLBCOL57060252652690%1.025.7%10.2%15.4%3.6%4.494.61-0.0
ROS27MLBCOL57060253652690%1.125.7%10.2%15.4%3.6%4.494.61-0.0
2026 TOT27MLBCOL8436597411226.5%11.2%15.3%3.3%5.014.51+0.5
2026 FULL27MLBCOL6226197411237.1%15.6%21.5%4.7%6.824.51+0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202728MLBCOL57060253642690%1.125.3%10.3%15.0%3.7%4.584.66-0.1
202829MLBCOL54057242592590%1.124.6%10.4%14.2%3.8%4.704.80-0.2
202930MLBCOL51054227542490%1.123.8%10.7%13.2%3.9%4.864.98-0.3
202728MLBCOL54057241612590%1.125.3%10.3%15.0%3.7%4.584.66-0.1
202829MLBCOL51054228562490%1.124.6%10.4%14.2%3.8%4.704.80-0.2
202930MLBCOL49051215512380%1.023.8%10.7%13.2%3.9%4.864.98-0.3
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career22702441034262108390%1.125.4%10.5%14.9%3.8%4.464.37+2.9
/ 200 IP186020084821589320%1.125.4%10.5%14.9%3.8%4.464.37+2.4
Career1285535315953551807643%2.822.2%11.3%11.0%4.7%5.695.26+0.6
/ 200 IP73312009042011024343%2.822.2%11.3%11.0%4.7%5.695.26+0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Jeff Criswell (OGILVIE) 4.61 25.7%10.2%3.6% 4.81 24.6%14.2%171 +0.20
Coleman Huntley III R 2027 · 4.14 FIP 28 SW 4.14 20.2%7.4%3.3%.348 3.66 23.4%13.2%86 -0.48 2.38 160 73
Taylor Grover R 2025 · 4.89 FIP 26 SW 4.89 20.0%10.9%3.8%.320 4.92 16.2%8.9%14 +0.03 3.63 239 73
Roberto Gómez R 2026 · 4.13 FIP 27 SW 4.13 18.4%8.9%2.7%.315 5.25 13.8%4.9%18 +1.12 4.13 115 72
Derek Gordon R 2024 · 4.72 FIP 25 SW 4.72 19.9%9.3%3.9%.315 4.72 146 72
Dylan King R 2024 · 4.28 FIP 25 SW 4.28 26.7%9.8%4.0%.266 4.28 121 71
Bud Norris R 2029 · 4.90 FIP 30 SW 4.90 18.8%8.2%4.3%.327 3.85 24.2%15.5%233 -1.05 3.52 316 71
Dawson Netz R 2024 · 4.42 FIP 25 SP- 4.42 23.3%10.7%3.5%.225 4.42 102 70
Cristofer Ogando R 2026 · 4.96 FIP 27 SU 4.96 26.8%10.9%5.0%.281 4.83 20.6%9.0%53 -0.13 3.23 179 69
J.P. France R 2026 · 4.64 FIP 27 SW 4.64 24.9%10.9%4.1%.301 4.41 18.7%8.6%205 -0.23 4.11 563 69
David Lebron R 2026 · 5.07 FIP 27 SU 5.07 26.7%14.7%4.3%.278 4.18 144 68
Jordan Lyles R 2026 · 3.89 FIP 27 SW 3.89 22.6%6.7%3.4%.284 4.94 20.2%12.1%379 +1.05 3.38 1,080 68
Sam Lewis R 2026 · 3.43 FIP 27 SP- 3.43 21.0%10.8%1.3%.246 2.10 224 68
Esmil Rogers R 2028 · 3.51 FIP 29 SW 3.51 18.5%8.9%1.6%.348 2.88 21.7%17.9%40 -0.63 2.88 199 68
Luke Farrell R 2026 · 4.26 FIP 27 SW 4.26 24.9%11.7%3.2%.269 4.61 22.1%10.6%25 +0.35 3.84 584 67
Jake Stinnett R 2026 · 4.07 FIP 27 SW 4.07 21.1%12.2%2.2%.301 2.88 356 67
Jack Perkins R 2025 · 3.98 FIP 26 SW 3.98 27.3%8.7%3.8%.314 2.95 324 67
Cory Abbott R 2026 · 4.95 FIP 27 SW 4.95 23.8%13.2%4.0%.300 5.28 22.6%11.7%151 +0.33 3.70 703 67
Austin Ross R 2026 · 3.86 FIP 27 SU 3.86 22.9%8.0%3.1%.295 3.60 12.4%5.2%127 -0.26 3.19 269 67
DJ Baxendale R 2026 · 3.68 FIP 27 SW 3.68 18.1%6.0%2.4%.355 5.84 20.0%8.3%49 +2.16 2.81 426 66
Nick Morreale R 2026 · 3.92 FIP 27 SW 3.92 19.0%8.5%2.5%.271 3.72 11.7%-1.1%14 -0.20 2.97 280 66

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION45824.9%10.4%1.454.65
José Ruiz ('24)55222.2%10.4%1.414.41
Robert Stephenson ('23)65726.2%9.9%1.394.33
Noé Ramirez ('22)55224.8%9.0%1.334.19
Bud Norris ('18)47922.7%9.2%1.285.07
Travis Wood ('17)38520.8%9.8%1.344.72
Heath Hembree ('22)74525.6%9.4%1.584.22