Jeff Criswell — OGILVIE

Jeff Criswell P Albuquerque Isotopes

Age 27 RHP 6'4" / 236 lbs AAA ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION39 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122114vR 106

ERA4.54

FIP4.70

K%24.7%

BB%9.6%

K-BB%15.1%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 45 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†6060

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p6295.4

Whiff%

p9039.0%

p9031.0%

xwOBA vs

p200.348

SI (3%)

CU (3%)

CH (14%)

SL-1.0 (33%)

FB-3.1 (43%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	22	A+ MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	5	5	12	50	12	4	1	100%	2.4	18.5%	9.2%	9.3%	2.6%	4.50	4.14	—
2021	22	A+ RAW	Lansing Lugnuts	5	5	12	50	12	4	1	100%	2.4	24.0%	8.0%	16.0%	2.0%	4.50	3.18	—
2022	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	24	21	118	499	119	44	13	88%	4.9	19.9%	10.1%	9.8%	4.0%	4.03	4.90	—
2022	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	24	21	118	499	119	44	13	88%	4.9	23.8%	8.8%	15.0%	2.6%	4.03	3.63	—
2023	24	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	29	26	121	569	135	69	32	90%	4.2	19.7%	10.9%	8.8%	5.8%	7.51	6.02	—
2023	24	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	29	26	121	569	135	69	32	90%	4.2	19.7%	10.9%	8.8%	5.8%	7.51	6.02	—
2023	24	AAA RAW	Albuquerque Isotopes	29	26	121	569	135	69	32	90%	4.2	23.7%	12.1%	11.6%	5.6%	7.51	6.02	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	48	0	77	364	110	35	18	0%	1.6	26.3%	8.9%	17.4%	4.8%	5.35	4.66	-0.1
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	48	0	77	364	110	35	18	0%	1.6	26.3%	8.9%	17.4%	4.8%	5.35	4.66	-0.1
2024	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	48	0	77	364	110	35	18	0%	1.6	30.2%	9.6%	20.6%	4.9%	5.35	4.64	-0.1
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			16	0	24	105	30	12	6	0%	1.5	28.6%	11.4%	17.1%	5.7%	3.04	5.38	-0.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	27	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	33	3	39	172	44	21	8	9%	1.2	21.2%	11.2%	10.0%	4.0%	5.95	4.93	—
YTD	27	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	33	3	39	172	44	21	8	9%	1.2	21.2%	11.2%	10.0%	4.0%	5.95	4.93	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	27	A+ RAW	COL	2	2	2	9	4	0	0	100%	1.0	44.4%	0.0%	44.4%	0.0%	9.00	-0.65	—
2026	27	AA RAW	COL	2	0	2	8	2	1	1	0%	1.0	25.0%	12.5%	12.5%	12.5%	4.50	9.43	—
2026	27	AAA RAW	COL	26	1	31	137	35	17	5	4%	1.2	25.5%	12.4%	13.1%	3.6%	6.03	4.52	—
2026	27	MLB RAW	COL	3	0	4	18	3	3	2	0%	1.3	16.7%	16.7%	0.0%	11.1%	4.50	9.90	—
SO FAR	27	MLB RAW	COL	3	0	4	18	3	3	2	0%	1.3	16.7%	16.7%	0.0%	11.1%	4.50	9.90	—
ROS	27	MLB MLE	COL	5	0	6	24	6	2	1	0%	1.1	24.7%	9.6%	15.1%	3.8%	4.54	4.70	-0.0
ROS	27	MLB CTX	COL	6	0	6	25	6	2	1	0%	1.0	24.7%	9.6%	15.1%	3.8%	4.54	4.70	-0.0
2026 TOT	27	MLB MLE	COL	—	—	45	196	50	23	9	—	—	25.5%	11.9%	13.6%	4.5%	5.77	4.90	-0.2
FULL	27	MLB A+C	COL	—	—	10	41	50	23	9	—	—	122.9%	57.4%	65.5%	21.9%	27.00	12.03	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	COL	57	0	60	253	62	25	10	0%	1.1	24.4%	9.7%	14.7%	3.8%	4.64	4.74	-0.1
2028	29	MLB MLE	COL	54	0	57	242	57	24	9	0%	1.1	23.8%	9.9%	13.9%	3.9%	4.77	4.87	-0.2
2027	28	MLB CTX	COL	54	0	57	241	59	23	9	0%	1.1	24.4%	9.7%	14.7%	3.8%	4.64	4.74	-0.1
2028	29	MLB CTX	COL	51	0	54	228	54	23	9	0%	1.1	23.8%	9.9%	13.9%	3.9%	4.77	4.87	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		127	0	141	598	149	60	25	0%	1.1	24.9%	10.1%	14.8%	4.2%	4.42	4.57	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		181	0	200	852	212	85	36	0%	1.1	24.9%	10.1%	14.8%	4.2%	4.42	4.57	-0.0
Career	—	MLE		139	55	368	1654	353	169	79	40%	2.6	21.3%	10.2%	11.1%	4.8%	5.67	5.21	-0.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		76	30	200	899	192	92	43	40%	2.6	21.3%	10.2%	11.1%	4.8%	5.67	5.21	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jeff Criswell (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.70	24.7%	9.6%	3.8%	—	4.80	24.1%	14.3%	117	+0.10	—	—	—
Coleman Huntley III R 2021 · 3.85 FIP	28	SW	3.85	20.2%	7.4%	2.8%	.348	3.56	23.4%	13.2%	86	-0.29	2.38	160	76
Taylor Grover R 2017 · 4.93 FIP	26	SW	4.93	20.0%	10.9%	3.9%	.320	4.89	16.2%	8.9%	14	-0.04	3.68	239	75
Derek Gordon R 2016 · 4.62 FIP	25	SW	4.62	19.9%	9.3%	3.7%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	4.62	146	75
Bud Norris R 2015 · 4.68 FIP	30	SW	4.68	18.8%	8.2%	3.9%	.327	3.78	24.2%	15.5%	233	-0.90	3.51	316	74
Cristofer Ogando R 2021 · 4.83 FIP	27	SU	4.83	26.8%	10.9%	4.8%	.281	4.90	20.6%	9.0%	53	+0.07	3.23	179	73
Dylan King R 2022 · 3.78 FIP	25	SW	3.78	26.7%	9.8%	3.1%	.266	—	—	—	—	—	3.78	121	72
Roberto Gómez R 2017 · 3.95 FIP	27	SW	3.95	18.4%	8.9%	2.3%	.315	5.25	13.8%	4.9%	18	+1.30	3.95	115	72
Mitch Neunborn R 2023 · 3.65 FIP	26	SP-	3.65	24.5%	9.5%	2.6%	.232	5.15	17.6%	6.7%	202	+1.50	3.65	245	71
Austin Ross R 2016 · 3.81 FIP	27	SU	3.81	22.9%	8.0%	3.0%	.295	3.67	12.4%	5.2%	127	-0.14	3.16	269	71
Chris Kachmar R 2023 · 4.82 FIP	26	SW	4.82	20.5%	7.8%	4.5%	.319	4.67	18.2%	7.1%	248	-0.15	4.29	360	71
Nick Merkel R 2023 · 3.99 FIP	25	SU	3.99	22.8%	7.1%	3.5%	.284	3.44	20.7%	10.3%	129	-0.55	3.15	205	71
Nolan Clenney R 2023 · 4.79 FIP	27	SU	4.79	22.6%	10.1%	4.2%	.341	4.58	17.2%	7.5%	71	-0.21	3.73	223	71
Jake Stinnett R 2019 · 4.23 FIP	27	SW	4.23	21.1%	12.2%	2.5%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	2.88	356	70
Jorge Reyes R 2015 · 4.58 FIP	27	SW	4.58	15.9%	8.5%	3.2%	.307	3.49	14.2%	6.2%	129	-1.09	3.39	227	69
Esmil Rogers R 2015 · 3.51 FIP	29	SW	3.51	18.5%	8.9%	1.6%	.348	2.86	21.7%	17.9%	40	-0.65	2.86	199	69
Ryan Brasier R 2016 · 3.68 FIP	28	SU	3.68	25.0%	7.7%	3.1%	.289	3.09	24.2%	17.9%	130	-0.59	2.31	426	69
Heath Hembree R 2016 · 3.74 FIP	27	SU	3.74	21.1%	7.2%	2.8%	.292	4.03	27.3%	18.8%	162	+0.29	2.58	382	69
Dugan Darnell R 2023 · 4.64 FIP	26	SU	4.64	22.6%	9.6%	4.1%	.302	3.25	23.1%	15.4%	94	-1.39	2.50	238	69
Jordan Milbrath R 2019 · 4.01 FIP	27	SU	4.01	21.5%	9.5%	2.8%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	3.19	386	68
José A. Váldez R 2017 · 4.39 FIP	27	SU	4.39	21.6%	8.3%	3.8%	.325	4.15	18.8%	6.4%	153	-0.24	4.02	328	68

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	58	24.3%	9.7%	1.49	4.65
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Mike Mayers ('23)	1.2	47	24.3%	7.8%	1.50	4.47
Robert Stephenson ('23)	1.7	57	26.2%	9.9%	1.39	4.33
Austin Voth ('24)	1.7	58	22.2%	8.2%	1.50	4.63
Colin Poche ('24)	1.0	52	27.0%	9.2%	1.34	3.63