Mauricio Veliz — OGILVIE

Mauricio Veliz P Quad Cities River Bandits

Age 24 RHP 6'2" / 220 lbs A+ peak 0.3 · 2028

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 147139vR 131

ERA6.02

FIP6.02

K%11.2%

BB%14.9%

K-BB%-3.7%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 5 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3030

CTRL4040

CMD3030

K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	19	ROK MLE	DSL Royals White	12	11	34	157	28	11	4	92%	2.8	12.1%	8.8%	3.4%	3.6%	6.35	5.14	—
2021	19	ROK RAW	DSL Royals White	12	11	34	157	28	11	4	92%	2.8	17.8%	7.0%	10.8%	2.5%	6.35	3.95	—
2022	20	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	13	5	46	184	37	12	4	38%	3.5	13.7%	8.2%	5.5%	2.9%	2.36	4.59	—
2022	20	ROK RAW	ACL Royals	13	5	46	184	37	12	4	38%	3.5	20.1%	6.5%	13.6%	2.2%	2.36	3.41	—
2023	21	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	22	20	98	443	68	38	10	91%	4.5	11.4%	10.1%	1.2%	2.7%	4.76	4.90	—
2023	21	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	22	20	98	443	68	38	10	91%	4.5	11.4%	10.1%	1.2%	2.7%	4.76	4.90	—
2023	21	A RAW	Columbia Fireflies	22	20	98	443	68	38	10	91%	4.5	15.3%	8.6%	6.8%	2.3%	4.76	4.20	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	17	55	279	46	37	5	94%	3.1	11.9%	15.9%	-4.0%	2.2%	8.02	5.33	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	17	55	279	46	37	5	94%	3.1	11.9%	15.9%	-4.0%	2.2%	8.02	5.33	—
2024	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	18	17	55	279	46	37	5	94%	3.1	16.5%	13.3%	3.2%	1.8%	8.02	4.63	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	5	66	307	52	36	7	16%	2.1	13.4%	12.5%	0.9%	2.8%	6.17	5.07	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	5	66	307	52	36	7	16%	2.1	13.4%	12.5%	0.9%	2.8%	6.17	5.07	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	31	5	66	307	52	36	7	16%	2.1	16.9%	11.7%	5.2%	2.3%	6.17	4.55	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	24	MLB	KC	1	1	5	21	2	3	1	100%	5.0	11.2%	14.9%	-3.7%	2.9%	6.02	6.02	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	KC	12	12	68	287	40	39	8	100%	5.7	13.8%	13.7%	0.1%	2.9%	5.73	5.64	-0.6
2028	26	MLB MLE	KC	11	11	68	287	44	38	8	100%	6.2	15.3%	13.3%	2.0%	2.9%	5.54	5.47	-0.4
2029	27	MLB MLE	KC	11	11	67	283	44	37	8	100%	6.1	15.7%	13.2%	2.5%	3.0%	5.46	5.45	-0.4
2030	28	MLB MLE	KC	11	11	65	274	43	36	8	100%	5.9	15.8%	13.2%	2.6%	3.1%	5.48	5.50	-0.4
2027	25	MLB CTX	KC	5	5	29	122	17	17	4	100%	5.8	13.8%	13.7%	0.1%	2.9%	5.73	5.64	-0.2
2028	26	MLB CTX	KC	8	8	45	190	29	25	6	100%	5.6	15.3%	13.3%	2.0%	2.9%	5.54	5.47	-0.3
2029	27	MLB CTX	KC	9	9	52	220	35	29	7	100%	5.8	15.7%	13.2%	2.5%	3.0%	5.46	5.45	-0.3
2030	28	MLB CTX	KC	9	9	55	232	37	31	7	100%	6.1	15.8%	13.2%	2.6%	3.1%	5.48	5.50	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		30	30	181	764	117	102	23	100%	6.0	15.3%	13.3%	2.0%	3.0%	5.53	5.12	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	129	113	25	100%	6.0	15.3%	13.3%	2.0%	3.0%	5.53	5.12	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		96	58	299	1370	169	156	38	60%	3.1	12.3%	11.4%	0.9%	2.7%	5.48	5.01	-1.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		64	39	200	917	113	105	25	60%	3.1	12.3%	11.4%	0.9%	2.7%	5.48	5.01	-1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Mauricio Veliz (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.02	11.2%	14.9%	2.9%	—	5.52	14.9%	1.6%	203	-0.50	—	—	—
Wirkin Estevez R 2016 · 5.39 FIP	24	SW	5.39	10.7%	13.4%	2.7%	.316	4.46	12.3%	3.5%	179	-0.93	4.37	238	90
Tyler Brashears R 2017 · 5.47 FIP	23	SW	5.47	12.1%	13.0%	3.2%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	3.58	156	84
Oscar Verdugo R 2015 · 6.33 FIP	25	SP-	6.33	10.5%	13.9%	4.3%	.241	5.78	10.8%	-1.8%	74	-0.55	5.01	144	83
Paul Clemens R 2015 · 5.37 FIP	27	SP-	5.37	14.3%	14.1%	3.1%	.310	4.62	16.9%	7.3%	200	-0.75	4.58	247	81
LJ Brewster R 2017 · 5.07 FIP	23	SW	5.07	9.4%	11.0%	2.5%	.266	—	—	—	—	—	4.41	143	80
Ted Stuka R 2021 · 5.72 FIP	24	SW	5.72	12.4%	23.4%	1.3%	.262	6.22	15.9%	-13.1%	41	+0.50	5.36	105	80
Chance Huff R 2023 · 5.57 FIP	23	SW	5.57	11.8%	11.4%	3.7%	.312	5.08	15.7%	0.2%	155	-0.49	4.31	238	79
Boone Whiting R 2015 · 5.33 FIP	25	SP-	5.33	11.3%	13.9%	2.6%	.337	4.88	10.9%	4.8%	132	-0.45	4.88	227	78
Zach Willeman R 2019 · 5.57 FIP	23	SW	5.57	10.8%	15.0%	2.7%	.296	4.98	21.3%	7.8%	108	-0.59	4.05	264	78
Dennis O'Grady R 2015 · 4.95 FIP	26	SW	4.95	13.5%	11.0%	2.9%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	157	77
Andrew Thurman R 2016 · 6.31 FIP	24	SP-	6.31	14.4%	16.9%	4.2%	.291	2.59	16.8%	9.6%	25	-3.72	2.59	264	77
Dane Myers R 2019 · 5.32 FIP	23	SW	5.32	12.2%	11.5%	3.3%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	4.26	125	76
Holt Jones R 2023 · 5.06 FIP	24	SP-	5.06	16.1%	17.9%	1.9%	.285	4.01	21.7%	7.0%	161	-1.05	3.37	241	76
Will Childers R 2023 · 5.41 FIP	22	SP-	5.41	11.8%	12.1%	3.2%	.305	4.45	19.3%	8.7%	150	-0.96	3.60	209	76
Zach Linginfelter R 2021 · 5.53 FIP	24	SP-	5.53	19.1%	16.0%	3.7%	.295	5.01	18.8%	-0.6%	46	-0.52	3.62	109	75
Cobi Johnson R 2019 · 5.52 FIP	23	SP-	5.52	16.0%	14.8%	3.5%	.257	4.54	19.9%	1.4%	41	-0.98	4.54	140	74
Cullen Kafka R 2023 · 4.95 FIP	24	SW	4.95	14.2%	12.1%	2.8%	.330	—	—	—	—	—	3.64	148	74
Pedro Garcia R 2018 · 6.06 FIP	23	SW	6.06	12.6%	24.0%	1.8%	.242	—	—	—	—	—	3.35	144	74
David Whitehead R 2016 · 6.00 FIP	24	SW	6.00	10.7%	19.2%	2.5%	.328	—	—	—	—	—	4.35	217	74
Sam Gibbons R 2016 · 4.86 FIP	22	SP-	4.86	10.6%	11.5%	2.2%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	3.22	197	73

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	67	14.4%	13.7%	1.14	5.65
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Eddie Butler ('18)	1.2	62	13.3%	9.8%	1.49	5.74
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Dylan Covey ('23)	1.5	73	15.4%	9.9%	1.53	6.14
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48