Mauricio Veliz
P
Quad Cities River Bandits
Age 24
RHP
6'2" / 220 lbs
A+
peak 0.3 · 2027
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 67 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 153144vR 134
ERA5.98
FIP5.98
K%11.2%
BB%14.6%
K-BB%-3.4%
ROS IP67
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 67 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | DSL Royals White | 12 | 11 | 34 | 157 | 28 | 11 | 4 | 92% | 2.8 | 12.1% | 8.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 6.35 | 5.14 | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | DSL Royals White | 12 | 11 | 34 | 157 | 28 | 11 | 4 | 92% | 2.8 | 17.8% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 2.5% | 6.35 | 3.95 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK | ACL Royals | 13 | 5 | 46 | 184 | 37 | 12 | 4 | 38% | 3.5 | 13.7% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 2.36 | 4.54 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK | ACL Royals | 13 | 5 | 46 | 184 | 37 | 12 | 4 | 38% | 3.5 | 20.1% | 6.5% | 13.6% | 2.2% | 2.36 | 3.41 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A | Columbia Fireflies | 22 | 20 | 98 | 443 | 68 | 38 | 10 | 91% | 4.5 | 11.4% | 10.1% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 4.76 | 4.79 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A | Columbia Fireflies | 22 | 20 | 98 | 443 | 68 | 38 | 10 | 91% | 4.5 | 15.3% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 2.3% | 4.76 | 4.20 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 17 | 55 | 279 | 46 | 37 | 5 | 94% | 3.1 | 11.9% | 15.9% | -4.0% | 2.2% | 8.02 | 5.30 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 17 | 55 | 279 | 46 | 37 | 5 | 94% | 3.1 | 16.5% | 13.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 8.02 | 4.63 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 5 | 66 | 307 | 52 | 36 | 7 | 16% | 2.1 | 13.4% | 12.5% | 0.9% | 2.8% | 6.17 | 5.10 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 5 | 66 | 307 | 52 | 36 | 7 | 16% | 2.1 | 16.9% | 11.7% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 6.17 | 4.55 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | MLB | KC | 12 | 12 | 67 | 284 | 32 | 41 | 8 | 100% | 5.6 | 11.2% | 14.6% | -3.4% | 2.9% | 5.98 | 5.98 | -1.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | KC | 12 | 12 | 68 | 287 | 40 | 39 | 8 | 100% | 5.7 | 13.8% | 13.5% | 0.3% | 2.9% | 5.69 | 5.61 | -0.7 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | KC | 11 | 11 | 68 | 287 | 44 | 38 | 8 | 100% | 6.2 | 15.3% | 13.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 5.50 | 5.44 | -0.6 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | KC | 5 | 5 | 29 | 122 | 17 | 16 | 4 | 100% | 5.8 | 13.8% | 13.5% | 0.3% | 2.9% | 5.69 | 5.61 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | KC | 8 | 8 | 45 | 190 | 29 | 25 | 6 | 100% | 5.6 | 15.3% | 13.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 5.50 | 5.44 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 13 | 13 | 74 | 314 | 46 | 42 | 9 | 100% | 5.7 | 14.7% | 13.2% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 5.57 | 5.13 | -0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 124 | 113 | 24 | 100% | 5.9 | 14.7% | 13.2% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 5.57 | 5.13 | +0.6 | ||
| Career | — | 96 | 58 | 299 | 1370 | 169 | 156 | 37 | 60% | 3.1 | 12.3% | 11.4% | 0.9% | 2.7% | 5.48 | 4.97 | +1.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 64 | 39 | 200 | 917 | 113 | 105 | 24 | 60% | 3.1 | 12.3% | 11.4% | 0.9% | 2.7% | 5.48 | 4.97 | +1.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Mauricio Veliz (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.98 | 11.2% | 14.6% | 2.9% | — | 5.53 | 14.6% | 1.3% | 136 | -0.46 | — | — | — |
| Wirkin Estevez R 2026 · 5.36 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.36 | 10.7% | 13.4% | 2.7% | .316 | 4.42 | 12.3% | 3.5% | 179 | -0.94 | 4.24 | 238 | 90 |
| Sam Whiting R 2026 · 5.13 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.13 | 14.3% | 15.1% | 2.4% | .309 | 7.73 | 17.8% | 2.4% | 17 | +2.60 | 4.17 | 152 | 85 |
| Tyler Brashears R 2025 · 5.54 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.54 | 12.1% | 13.0% | 3.3% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 156 | 84 |
| Paul Clemens R 2029 · 5.36 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.36 | 14.3% | 14.1% | 3.1% | .310 | 4.76 | 16.9% | 7.3% | 200 | -0.60 | 4.76 | 247 | 81 |
| LJ Brewster R 2025 · 4.90 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.90 | 9.4% | 11.0% | 2.2% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.25 | 143 | 80 |
| Ted Stuka R 2026 · 5.78 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.78 | 12.4% | 23.4% | 1.4% | .262 | 6.34 | 15.9% | -13.1% | 41 | +0.56 | 5.51 | 105 | 80 |
| Dawson Netz R 2026 · 5.27 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.27 | 16.4% | 12.9% | 3.5% | .321 | 4.42 | 23.3% | 12.6% | 51 | -0.85 | 4.42 | 102 | 79 |
| Boone Whiting R 2027 · 5.21 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.21 | 11.3% | 13.9% | 2.4% | .337 | 4.78 | 10.9% | 4.8% | 132 | -0.43 | 4.78 | 227 | 78 |
| Andrew Thurman R 2026 · 6.01 FIP | 24 | SP- | 6.01 | 14.4% | 16.9% | 3.6% | .291 | 2.59 | 16.8% | 9.6% | 25 | -3.42 | 2.59 | 237 | 78 |
| Oscar Verdugo R 2027 · 6.84 FIP | 25 | SP- | 6.84 | 10.5% | 13.9% | 5.2% | .241 | 6.16 | 10.8% | -1.8% | 74 | -0.68 | 5.39 | 144 | 78 |
| Zach Willeman R 2025 · 5.55 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.55 | 10.8% | 15.0% | 2.6% | .296 | 5.10 | 21.3% | 7.8% | 108 | -0.45 | 4.15 | 264 | 78 |
| Dennis O'Grady R 2028 · 5.19 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.19 | 13.5% | 11.0% | 3.4% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.79 | 157 | 77 |
| Dane Myers R 2025 · 5.39 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.39 | 12.2% | 11.5% | 3.4% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.34 | 125 | 76 |
| Cooper Adams R 2026 · 5.35 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.35 | 13.0% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .275 | 3.92 | 22.5% | 11.6% | 118 | -1.43 | 2.99 | 197 | 76 |
| Holt Jones R 2026 · 5.30 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.30 | 16.1% | 17.9% | 2.4% | .285 | 4.38 | 20.9% | 5.2% | 137 | -0.92 | 4.13 | 217 | 76 |
| Cullen Kafka R 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.88 | 14.2% | 12.1% | 2.6% | .330 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.68 | 148 | 75 |
| Cobi Johnson R 2025 · 5.34 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.34 | 16.0% | 14.8% | 3.1% | .257 | 4.62 | 19.9% | 1.4% | 41 | -0.72 | 4.62 | 140 | 75 |
| Danny Flatt R 2024 · 5.31 FIP | 22 | SP- | 5.31 | 12.9% | 12.3% | 3.2% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.31 | 112 | 74 |
| Zach Linginfelter R 2026 · 5.72 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.72 | 19.1% | 16.0% | 4.0% | .295 | 4.94 | 18.8% | -0.6% | 46 | -0.78 | 3.58 | 109 | 74 |
| Ramsey David R 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.23 | 18.6% | 17.4% | 2.7% | .219 | 7.27 | 19.1% | -0.7% | 30 | +2.04 | 5.23 | 107 | 74 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 68 | 13.4% | 13.7% | 1.13 | 5.72 |
| Eddie Butler ('18) | 4 | 62 | 13.3% | 9.8% | 1.49 | 5.74 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Dylan Covey ('23) | 4 | 73 | 15.4% | 9.9% | 1.53 | 6.14 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |