Will Childers
P
Nashville Sounds
Age 25
RHP
6'4" / 225 lbs
AAA
2026 ROS PROJECTION26 act + 42 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125116vR 106
ERA4.67
FIP4.67
K%21.4%
BB%11.7%
K-BB%9.8%
ROS IP42
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 69 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 22 | A | Carolina Mudcats | 14 | 8 | 59 | 263 | 42 | 27 | 7 | 57% | 4.2 | 11.8% | 12.1% | -0.3% | 3.0% | 5.95 | 5.30 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Carolina Mudcats | 14 | 8 | 59 | 263 | 42 | 27 | 7 | 57% | 4.2 | 16.0% | 10.3% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 5.95 | 4.59 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 0 | 52 | 222 | 56 | 18 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 1.7% | 4.15 | 3.50 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 0 | 52 | 222 | 56 | 18 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 25.2% | 8.1% | 17.1% | 1.8% | 4.15 | 2.98 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 54 | 0 | 65 | 266 | 68 | 35 | 7 | 0% | 1.2 | 21.3% | 14.1% | 7.1% | 2.4% | 3.20 | 4.39 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 54 | 0 | 65 | 266 | 68 | 35 | 7 | 0% | 1.2 | 25.6% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 2.6% | 3.20 | 4.03 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | 24 | 1 | 26 | 119 | 23 | 9 | 5 | 4% | 1.1 | 17.0% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 4.6% | 5.47 | 5.21 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | MIL | 40 | 0 | 42 | 178 | 38 | 21 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.4% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 2.8% | 4.67 | 4.67 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | MIL | 4 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.4% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 2.8% | 4.67 | 4.67 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | MIL | — | — | 69 | 297 | 61 | 30 | 10 | — | — | 20.6% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 3.3% | 4.98 | 4.88 | -0.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | MIL | — | — | 4 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 0 | — | — | 21.4% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 2.8% | 4.67 | 4.29 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | MIL | 40 | 0 | 42 | 178 | 39 | 20 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.8% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 2.8% | 4.62 | 4.61 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | MIL | 40 | 0 | 42 | 176 | 39 | 20 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.9% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 2.9% | 4.62 | 4.63 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | MIL | 38 | 0 | 40 | 171 | 37 | 19 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.9% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 3.0% | 4.66 | 4.70 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | MIL | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.8% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 2.8% | 4.62 | 4.61 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | MIL | 27 | 0 | 28 | 118 | 26 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.9% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 2.9% | 4.62 | 4.63 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | MIL | 30 | 0 | 31 | 131 | 29 | 15 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.9% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 3.0% | 4.66 | 4.70 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 79 | 0 | 83 | 352 | 77 | 40 | 10 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.8% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 2.9% | 4.64 | 4.27 | +0.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 185 | 96 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.8% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 2.9% | 4.64 | 4.27 | +2.6 | ||
| Career | — | 135 | 9 | 202 | 870 | 153 | 99 | 24 | 7% | 1.5 | 17.5% | 11.4% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 4.54 | 4.55 | +2.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 134 | 9 | 200 | 861 | 151 | 98 | 23 | 7% | 1.5 | 17.5% | 11.4% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 4.54 | 4.55 | +2.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Will Childers (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.67 | 21.4% | 11.7% | 2.8% | — | 4.65 | 21.9% | 10.5% | 124 | -0.02 | — | — | — |
| Jesus Pirela R 2027 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.91 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.01 | 3.21 | 161 | 91 |
| Chris Jefferson R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.74 | 22.4% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .330 | 4.97 | 16.5% | 3.9% | 101 | +1.23 | 3.74 | 140 | 89 |
| Dylan Hall R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.02 | 21.0% | 13.2% | 1.9% | .305 | 7.93 | 15.1% | 2.4% | 58 | +3.91 | 3.54 | 153 | 89 |
| Ben Hecht R 2025 · 4.56 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.56 | 22.7% | 12.9% | 3.2% | .293 | 7.95 | 14.1% | -11.4% | 13 | +3.39 | 4.55 | 155 | 88 |
| Barrett Loseke R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.36 | 21.7% | 10.1% | 3.3% | .311 | 5.39 | 24.0% | 10.9% | 22 | +1.03 | 4.36 | 152 | 88 |
| Cameron Gann R 2025 · 4.16 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.16 | 21.4% | 12.4% | 2.4% | .296 | 5.44 | 21.1% | 6.8% | 23 | +1.28 | 3.52 | 146 | 88 |
| Taylor Floyd R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.14 | 21.7% | 10.8% | 2.7% | .331 | 4.88 | 18.1% | 8.6% | 167 | +0.74 | 3.34 | 334 | 87 |
| Jackson Hicks R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.94 | 22.6% | 10.5% | 2.6% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 116 | 87 |
| Jason Stoffel R 2027 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.54 | 23.4% | 10.1% | 2.1% | .267 | 3.70 | 27.2% | 19.2% | 59 | +0.16 | 3.54 | 103 | 87 |
| Nolan Riggs R 2026 · 4.61 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.61 | 20.7% | 14.0% | 2.7% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.36 | 132 | 87 |
| Dakota Donovan R 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.70 | 21.9% | 10.3% | 2.1% | .291 | 3.67 | 18.9% | 6.4% | 50 | -0.03 | 3.17 | 153 | 87 |
| Easton Sikorski R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.24 | 21.1% | 10.6% | 2.9% | .286 | 6.43 | 14.1% | 7.0% | 24 | +2.19 | 4.09 | 183 | 87 |
| Gavin Hollowell R 2026 · 4.35 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.35 | 21.7% | 10.7% | 3.1% | .273 | 3.78 | 28.1% | 13.4% | 81 | -0.57 | 2.30 | 208 | 87 |
| Guido Knudson R 2026 · 3.49 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.49 | 20.7% | 11.1% | 1.3% | .255 | 4.83 | 17.5% | 6.7% | 47 | +1.34 | 3.49 | 106 | 87 |
| Tyler Mitzel R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.95 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 2.0% | .323 | 4.34 | 23.4% | 17.9% | 58 | +0.39 | 3.95 | 142 | 87 |
| Ryan Conroy R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.73 | 19.3% | 12.6% | 3.0% | .361 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.86 | 106 | 86 |
| Cody Tucker R 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.98 | 22.0% | 12.0% | 4.0% | .272 | 5.11 | 15.8% | -1.9% | 40 | +0.13 | 4.98 | 105 | 86 |
| Pat Light R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.11 | 21.1% | 13.1% | 2.1% | .276 | 4.66 | 11.8% | -2.3% | 55 | +0.55 | 4.11 | 172 | 86 |
| Austin Ross R 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.51 | 20.7% | 9.6% | 3.5% | .281 | 4.91 | 21.2% | 5.7% | 55 | +0.40 | 4.51 | 121 | 86 |
| Grant Hartwig R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.85 | 21.2% | 10.8% | 2.1% | .330 | 4.04 | 20.2% | 9.4% | 96 | +0.19 | 2.54 | 214 | 86 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 42 | 21.8% | 11.4% | 1.10 | 4.64 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |
| Keegan Thompson ('24) | 4 | 57 | 23.0% | 11.3% | 1.19 | 3.64 |