Zach Bryant
P
Frisco RoughRiders
Age 28
RHP
6'1" / 210 lbs
AA
2026 ROS PROJECTION36 act + 59 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131122vR 112
ERA4.95
FIP4.95
K%18.4%
BB%11.0%
K-BB%7.4%
ROS IP59
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 95 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 21 | ROK | AZL Cubs 2 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 32 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 1.6 | 34.4% | 9.4% | 25.0% | 0.0% | 1.12 | 1.38 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | ROK | AZL Cubs 2 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 32 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 1.6 | 34.4% | 9.4% | 25.0% | 0.0% | 1.12 | 1.48 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Greenville Drive | 37 | 0 | 48 | 195 | 65 | 18 | 6 | 0% | 1.3 | 25.7% | 10.6% | 15.1% | 4.9% | 3.54 | 4.97 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Greenville Drive | 37 | 0 | 48 | 195 | 65 | 18 | 6 | 0% | 1.3 | 33.3% | 9.2% | 24.1% | 3.1% | 3.54 | 3.14 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | 28 | 0 | 33 | 154 | 30 | 24 | 9 | 0% | 1.2 | 15.8% | 17.1% | -1.4% | 7.0% | 7.64 | 7.76 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | 28 | 0 | 33 | 154 | 30 | 24 | 9 | 0% | 1.2 | 19.5% | 15.6% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.64 | 7.01 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 3 | 34 | 152 | 34 | 14 | 5 | 13% | 1.5 | 18.0% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 3.7% | 4.76 | 4.82 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 3 | 34 | 152 | 34 | 14 | 5 | 13% | 1.5 | 22.4% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 3.3% | 4.76 | 4.25 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | 32 | 0 | 48 | 215 | 50 | 21 | 6 | 0% | 1.5 | 18.8% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 2.7% | 6.14 | 4.36 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | 32 | 0 | 48 | 215 | 50 | 21 | 6 | 0% | 1.5 | 23.3% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 2.8% | 6.14 | 3.95 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | 27 | 0 | 36 | 158 | 32 | 16 | 5 | 0% | 1.3 | 16.4% | 11.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.75 | 5.21 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | TEX | 56 | 0 | 59 | 249 | 46 | 27 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.4% | 11.0% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 4.95 | 4.95 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | TEX | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.4% | 11.0% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 4.95 | 4.95 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 28 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 95 | 407 | 78 | 43 | 12 | — | — | 19.1% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 3.1% | 4.87 | 5.05 | +0.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 28 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 18.4% | 11.0% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 4.95 | 4.57 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | TEX | 54 | 0 | 56 | 237 | 44 | 26 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.7% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 3.1% | 4.97 | 5.02 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | TEX | 50 | 0 | 53 | 223 | 42 | 25 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.7% | 11.2% | 7.5% | 3.3% | 5.05 | 5.14 | -0.4 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | TEX | 17 | 0 | 18 | 76 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.7% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 3.1% | 4.97 | 5.02 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | TEX | 26 | 0 | 27 | 114 | 21 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.7% | 11.2% | 7.5% | 3.3% | 5.05 | 5.14 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 44 | 0 | 46 | 194 | 36 | 22 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.7% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 5.02 | 4.71 | -0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 157 | 96 | 26 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.7% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 5.02 | 4.71 | +1.6 | ||
| Career | — | 152 | 3 | 208 | 906 | 179 | 105 | 38 | 2% | 1.4 | 19.8% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 5.11 | 5.19 | +0.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 146 | 3 | 200 | 873 | 173 | 102 | 36 | 2% | 1.4 | 19.8% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 5.11 | 5.19 | +0.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Zach Bryant (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.95 | 18.4% | 11.0% | 3.0% | — | 5.08 | 18.7% | 7.6% | 109 | +0.13 | — | — | — |
| Ryan Cook R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.69 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.1% | .297 | 4.04 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.65 | 4.04 | 102 | 93 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.39 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.65 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.26 | 4.39 | 101 | 89 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.96 | 20.1% | 11.6% | 3.8% | .275 | 7.33 | 13.9% | -1.9% | 30 | +2.37 | 3.78 | 180 | 88 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 87 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2028 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.30 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.57 | 1.30 | 218 | 87 |
| Luis Mateo R 2025 · 4.33 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.33 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.4% | .309 | 5.34 | 8.6% | -4.8% | 43 | +1.01 | 3.43 | 160 | 86 |
| Jhan Mariñez R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.99 | 17.2% | 8.8% | 2.2% | .309 | 4.16 | 21.2% | 13.3% | 48 | +0.17 | 3.23 | 253 | 86 |
| Josh Zeid R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.21 | 16.6% | 12.5% | 1.7% | .302 | 5.16 | 16.9% | 5.7% | 194 | +0.95 | 4.21 | 265 | 85 |
| Beck Wheeler R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.09 | 15.3% | 12.2% | 3.2% | .347 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.42 | 173 | 84 |
| Wil Browning R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.58 | 17.9% | 13.1% | 2.4% | .359 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.12 | 162 | 84 |
| Rob Scahill R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.83 | 16.9% | 7.7% | 2.1% | .288 | 3.34 | 17.9% | 10.1% | 171 | -0.49 | 2.93 | 201 | 83 |
| Logan Bawcom R 2026 · 4.27 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.27 | 18.2% | 10.7% | 2.5% | .298 | 5.09 | 15.0% | 6.4% | 164 | +0.82 | 3.76 | 399 | 83 |
| Ronald Peña R 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.51 | 20.5% | 12.6% | 2.8% | .355 | 4.54 | 16.5% | 6.1% | 39 | +0.03 | 3.57 | 187 | 83 |
| Drew Hayes R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.12 | 13.8% | 10.1% | 1.7% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.34 | 117 | 83 |
| Mike Adams R 2025 · 5.26 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.26 | 17.1% | 11.2% | 4.0% | .326 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.66 | 109 | 82 |
| Javy Guerra R 2028 · 4.25 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.25 | 21.3% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .303 | 3.99 | 19.5% | 13.0% | 193 | -0.26 | 2.95 | 260 | 82 |
| Francisco Mendoza R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.11 | 17.9% | 7.7% | 2.8% | .344 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 120 | 82 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2029 · 5.03 FIP | 31 | SU | 5.03 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 4.3% | .253 | 3.84 | 17.2% | 8.0% | 67 | -1.19 | 3.73 | 132 | 82 |
| Collin Balester R 2027 · 4.25 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.25 | 14.2% | 9.3% | 2.1% | .240 | 3.40 | 21.2% | 15.4% | 43 | -0.85 | 3.40 | 116 | 82 |
| David Goforth R 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.23 | 13.6% | 10.2% | 3.6% | .282 | 3.92 | 14.1% | 5.5% | 68 | -1.31 | 3.92 | 256 | 82 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 56 | 18.6% | 11.1% | 1.21 | 4.99 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |