Quinn McDaniel
2B Cedar Rapids Kernels| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | A+SF | 511 | .236/.347/.390 | 13 | 40 | 45 | — | .163/.252/.265 |
| 2025 | 22 | A+SF | 428 | .227/.334/.355 | 9 | 14 | 47 | — | .171/.259/.263 |
| 2026 | 23 | AA/A+/AMIN | 323 | .286/.386/.435 | 6 | 15 | 85 | — | .237/.318/.352 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 24 | MLBMIN | 1 | .195/.277/.299 | 0 | 0 | 64 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ30% MLB | 25 | MLBMIN | 70 | .199/.281/.309 | 1 | 2 | 68 | -0.1 | |
| 2029PROJ44% MLB | 26 | MLBMIN | 124 | .201/.283/.315 | 2 | 4 | 70 | -0.1 |
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 40
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 20 | A | San Jose Giants | — | 55 | 45 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 267 | 377 | 511 | 888 | 244 | 360 | 35 | 15 | 376 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | ACL Giants Black | — | 70 | 48 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 16 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 250 | 478 | 479 | 957 | 229 | 300 | 23 | 29 | 426 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ | Eugene Emeralds | — | 511 | 433 | 102 | 20 | 4 | 13 | 67 | 166 | 7 | 40 | 7 | 236 | 347 | 390 | 737 | 155 | 346 | 32 | 13 | 332 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ | Eugene Emeralds | — | 428 | 366 | 83 | 14 | 3 | 9 | 52 | 123 | 7 | 14 | 4 | 227 | 334 | 355 | 689 | 128 | 314 | 29 | 12 | 314 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AA | Wichita Wind Surge | — | 123 | 97 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 26 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 216 | 382 | 268 | 650 | 52 | 286 | 21 | 20 | 318 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 173 | 153 | 44 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 37 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 288 | 366 | 451 | 817 | 163 | 360 | 21 | 10 | 361 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | — | 27 | 26 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 538 | 538 | 962 | 1.500 | 423 | 545 | 11 | 0 | 623 | 252 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 20 | A MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 55 | 47 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 28 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 191 | 283 | 362 | 645 | 170 | 318 | 51 | 11 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK MLE | ACL Giants Black | — | 70 | 56 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 161 | 319 | 286 | 605 | 125 | 220 | 33 | 17 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ MLE | Eugene Emeralds | — | 511 | 453 | 74 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 47 | 231 | 7 | 40 | 7 | 163 | 252 | 265 | 517 | 102 | 296 | 45 | 9 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ MLE | Eugene Emeralds | — | 428 | 380 | 65 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 38 | 155 | 7 | 14 | 4 | 171 | 259 | 263 | 522 | 92 | 260 | 36 | 9 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AA MLE | Wichita Wind Surge | — | 123 | 104 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 32 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 192 | 317 | 240 | 557 | 48 | 266 | 26 | 15 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ MLE | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 173 | 158 | 36 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 47 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 228 | 291 | 342 | 632 | 114 | 306 | 27 | 8 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A MLE | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | — | 27 | 26 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 500 | 500 | 923 | 1.423 | 423 | 477 | 15 | 0 | 540 | 252 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 125 | 103 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 51 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 184 | 311 | 359 | 671 | 175 | 280 | 41 | 14 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 125 | 93 | 24 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 28 | 35 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 258 | 434 | 495 | 929 | 237 | 327 | 28 | 22 | 404 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ MLE | Eugene Emeralds | — | 511 | 453 | 74 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 47 | 231 | 7 | 40 | 7 | 163 | 252 | 265 | 517 | 102 | 301 | 45 | 9 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ RAW | Eugene Emeralds | — | 511 | 433 | 102 | 20 | 4 | 13 | 67 | 166 | 7 | 40 | 7 | 236 | 347 | 390 | 737 | 155 | 346 | 32 | 13 | 332 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ MLE | Eugene Emeralds | — | 428 | 380 | 65 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 38 | 155 | 7 | 14 | 4 | 171 | 259 | 263 | 522 | 92 | 264 | 36 | 9 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ RAW | Eugene Emeralds | — | 428 | 366 | 83 | 14 | 3 | 9 | 52 | 123 | 7 | 14 | 4 | 227 | 334 | 355 | 689 | 128 | 314 | 29 | 12 | 314 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 323 | 289 | 69 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 30 | 83 | 2 | 15 | 3 | 239 | 315 | 356 | 671 | 118 | 315 | 26 | 9 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 323 | 276 | 79 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 43 | 66 | 2 | 15 | 3 | 286 | 386 | 435 | 821 | 149 | 354 | 20 | 13 | 367 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 125 | 105 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 51 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 181 | 311 | 352 | 664 | 171 | 263 | 41 | 14 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ MLE | Eugene Emeralds | — | 511 | 452 | 74 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 47 | 231 | 7 | 40 | 7 | 164 | 252 | 265 | 518 | 102 | 296 | 45 | 9 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ MLE | Eugene Emeralds | — | 428 | 380 | 65 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 38 | 155 | 7 | 14 | 4 | 171 | 259 | 263 | 522 | 92 | 260 | 36 | 9 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 323 | 288 | 69 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 30 | 83 | 2 | 15 | 3 | 240 | 315 | 358 | 672 | 118 | 305 | 26 | 9 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 21 | A+ MLE | Eugene Emeralds | — | 511 | 452 | 74 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 47 | 231 | 7 | 40 | 7 | 164 | 252 | 265 | 518 | 102 | 296 | 45 | 9 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ MLE | Eugene Emeralds | — | 428 | 380 | 65 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 38 | 155 | 7 | 14 | 4 | 171 | 259 | 263 | 522 | 92 | 260 | 36 | 9 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 323 | 288 | 69 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 30 | 83 | 2 | 15 | 3 | 240 | 315 | 358 | 672 | 118 | 305 | 26 | 9 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB MLE | MIN | 0% | 373 | 332 | 64 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 118 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 195 | 277 | 299 | 575 | 104 | 278 | 32 | 9 | 263 | 64 | -16 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +8 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB CTX | MIN | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 195 | 277 | 299 | 576 | 104 | 278 | 0 | 0 | 263 | 64 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 25 | MLB MLE | MIN | 30% | 231 | 206 | 41 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 72 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 199 | 280 | 309 | 589 | 110 | 279 | 31 | 9 | 269 | 68 | -9 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +5 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB MLE | MIN | 44% | 281 | 250 | 50 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 86 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 201 | 283 | 315 | 597 | 113 | 280 | 31 | 9 | 272 | 70 | -10 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +6 | -0.2 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB MLE | MIN | 49% | 303 | 269 | 55 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 28 | 92 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 202 | 284 | 317 | 600 | 114 | 280 | 30 | 9 | 273 | 71 | -11 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +7 | -0.2 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB MLE | MIN | 52% | 316 | 281 | 56 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 29 | 96 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 203 | 283 | 316 | 600 | 114 | 279 | 30 | 9 | 273 | 71 | -11 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +7 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB CTX | MIN | 30% | 70 | 63 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 199 | 281 | 309 | 590 | 110 | 279 | 31 | 9 | 269 | 68 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +2 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB CTX | MIN | 44% | 124 | 111 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 38 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 201 | 283 | 315 | 598 | 114 | 280 | 31 | 9 | 272 | 70 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +3 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB CTX | MIN | 49% | 149 | 133 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 45 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 202 | 284 | 317 | 601 | 115 | 280 | 30 | 9 | 273 | 71 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +3 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB CTX | MIN | 52% | 163 | 146 | 29 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 49 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 203 | 283 | 317 | 600 | 114 | 279 | 30 | 9 | 273 | 71 | -6 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +4 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 506 | 453 | 90 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 46 | 154 | 4 | 14 | 3 | 199 | 278 | 309 | 587 | 110 | 276 | 30 | 9 | 272 | 64 | -18 | +2 | -0 | +2 | +11 | -0.4 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 582 | 116 | 19 | 5 | 12 | 59 | 198 | 5 | 18 | 4 | 199 | 279 | 311 | 590 | 112 | 277 | 30 | 9 | 272 | 64 | -23 | +2 | -0 | +2 | +14 | -0.5 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2716 | 2407 | 464 | 74 | 20 | 50 | 255 | 929 | 30 | 114 | 23 | 193 | 278 | 302 | 581 | 110 | 287 | 34 | 9 | 263 | 64 | -49 | +4 | -1 | +5 | +29 | -1.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 576 | 112 | 18 | 5 | 12 | 61 | 222 | 7 | 27 | 6 | 194 | 280 | 306 | 585 | 111 | 289 | 34 | 9 | 263 | 64 | -24 | +2 | -0 | +2 | +14 | -0.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 A+Cedar Rapids Kernels · 173 PAwOBA .354 → .281 (−74)K% 21.4% → 27.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.39% | ÷1.000 | ×1.270 | — | — | 27.16% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.40% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 7.30% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.58% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.988 | 0.45% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.972 | ×0.988 | 22.08% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.90% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×0.972 | ×0.988 | 5.36% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.45% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | ×0.972 | ×0.988 | 2.81% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.59% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 2.04% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.972.
Result: wOBA .354 → .281; ISO .163 → .126; BABIP .360 → .306. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 AAWichita Wind Surge · 123 PAwOBA .311 → .260 (−52)K% 21.1% → 25.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.14% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.79% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 20.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 14.40% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.81% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 0.72% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.35% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.011 | ×1.012 | 23.85% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.82% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | ×1.011 | ×1.012 | 2.42% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.940 | ×1.011 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.41% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 1.14% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.
Result: wOBA .311 → .260; ISO .052 → .044; BABIP .286 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 AFort Myers Mighty Mussels · 27 PAwOBA .627 → .540 (−87)K% 11.1% → 15.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.11% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 15.11% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 39.13% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.980 | 35.28% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.35% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.980 | 3.54% |
| Triples /BIP | 8.70% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.980 | 7.75% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.70% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.980 | 6.82% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .627 → .540; ISO .423 → .348; BABIP .545 → .477. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Eugene Emeralds · 428 PAwOBA .307 → .238 (−69)K% 28.7% → 36.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.74% | ÷1.070 | ×1.350 | — | — | 36.26% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.92% | ÷0.950 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 8.89% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.64% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.998 | 1.32% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.46% | ÷1.011 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 20.02% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.76% | ÷1.048 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 4.32% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.23% | ÷0.909 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 1.06% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.70% | ÷0.980 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.998 | 3.13% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 102, 2B 110, 3B 82, K 114, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .307 → .238; ISO .128 → .099; BABIP .314 → .260. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Eugene Emeralds · 511 PAwOBA .326 → .235 (−91)K% 32.5% → 45.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.49% | ÷0.968 | ×1.350 | — | — | 45.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.11% | ÷1.024 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 9.20% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.37% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×1.012 | 1.12% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.34% | ÷1.016 | ×0.910 | ×0.966 | ×1.012 | 21.32% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.49% | ÷0.950 | ×0.830 | ×0.966 | ×1.012 | 6.40% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.50% | ÷1.150 | ×0.820 | ×0.966 | ×1.012 | 1.04% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.87% | ÷1.010 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.012 | 4.05% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 103, 2B 90, 3B 130, K 94, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.966.
Result: wOBA .326 → .235; ISO .155 → .108; BABIP .346 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKACL Giants Black · 70 PAwOBA .423 → .300 (−123)K% 22.9% → 32.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.86% | ÷1.001 | ×1.440 | — | — | 32.88% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 28.57% | ÷0.979 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.985 | 17.83% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.43% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 1.01% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.88% | ÷1.053 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.985 | 16.78% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.25% | ÷1.017 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 4.36% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.38% | ÷1.031 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.985 | 6.98% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 111, 2B 103, 3B 100, K 100, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .423 → .300; ISO .229 → .178; BABIP .300 → .220. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ASan Jose Giants · 55 PAwOBA .380 → .284 (−96)K% 34.5% → 50.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 34.55% | ÷0.935 | ×1.360 | — | — | 50.25% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.55% | ÷1.011 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 10.08% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.77% | ÷1.049 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.015 | 27.38% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.005 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.85% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.015 | 3.95% |
| Home runs /BIP | 11.54% | ÷0.890 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 10.52% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 110, 2B 101, 3B 80, K 87, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .380 → .284; ISO .244 → .191; BABIP .360 → .318. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).