Ben Gobbel
1B Salt Lake Bees| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24 | AA/A+LAA | 402 | .251/.307/.396 | 13 | 14 | 55 | — | .210/.254/.324 |
| 2025 | 25 | AA/A+LAA | 491 | .262/.332/.443 | 17 | 11 | 68 | — | .214/.270/.356 |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA/AALAA | 337 | .268/.345/.419 | 10 | 5 | 79 | — | .237/.294/.357 |
| 2027PROJ10% MLB | 27 | MLBLAA | 16 | .219/.272/.340 | 0 | 0 | 72 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ31% MLB | 28 | MLBLAA | 69 | .219/.272/.339 | 2 | 1 | 72 | -0.2 |
Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 45
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 22 | ROK | ACL Angels | — | 56 | 49 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 184 | 273 | 204 | 477 | 20 | 231 | 20 | 7 | 228 | -9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 255 | 221 | 59 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 64 | 6 | 14 | 3 | 267 | 362 | 412 | 774 | 145 | 353 | 25 | 11 | 348 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | ROK | ACL Angels | — | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 273 | 467 | 364 | 830 | 91 | 375 | 20 | 27 | 392 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 255 | 241 | 55 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 10 | 59 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 228 | 268 | 357 | 625 | 129 | 270 | 23 | 4 | 278 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Tri-City Dust Devils | — | 147 | 130 | 38 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 292 | 374 | 469 | 843 | 177 | 320 | 15 | 7 | 377 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 280 | 252 | 62 | 14 | 0 | 8 | 20 | 62 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 246 | 317 | 397 | 713 | 151 | 295 | 22 | 7 | 319 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | A+ | Tri-City Dust Devils | — | 211 | 190 | 54 | 15 | 0 | 9 | 14 | 45 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 284 | 352 | 505 | 858 | 221 | 331 | 21 | 7 | 376 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | — | 283 | 251 | 68 | 11 | 0 | 8 | 23 | 68 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 271 | 344 | 410 | 754 | 139 | 335 | 24 | 8 | 335 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AA | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 54 | 47 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 255 | 352 | 468 | 820 | 213 | 294 | 20 | 9 | 364 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 22 | ROK MLE | ACL Angels | — | 56 | 51 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 137 | 200 | 157 | 357 | 20 | 170 | 29 | 4 | 155 | -9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A MLE | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 255 | 229 | 47 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 87 | 6 | 14 | 3 | 205 | 283 | 310 | 594 | 105 | 308 | 34 | 7 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | ROK MLE | ACL Angels | — | 15 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 231 | 333 | 308 | 641 | 77 | 288 | 33 | 13 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 255 | 244 | 46 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 74 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 189 | 220 | 287 | 507 | 98 | 236 | 29 | 3 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ MLE | Tri-City Dust Devils | — | 147 | 134 | 33 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 246 | 313 | 388 | 701 | 142 | 282 | 20 | 5 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 280 | 259 | 53 | 13 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 75 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 205 | 259 | 324 | 583 | 120 | 256 | 27 | 5 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | A+ MLE | Tri-City Dust Devils | — | 211 | 194 | 44 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 60 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 227 | 286 | 397 | 683 | 170 | 288 | 28 | 5 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 283 | 259 | 62 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 82 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 239 | 294 | 344 | 638 | 104 | 316 | 29 | 5 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AA MLE | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 54 | 49 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 224 | 296 | 429 | 725 | 204 | 260 | 24 | 6 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | ROK MLE | ACL Angels | — | 56 | 51 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 137 | 200 | 157 | 357 | 20 | 194 | 29 | 4 | 155 | -9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | ROK RAW | ACL Angels | — | 56 | 49 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 184 | 273 | 204 | 477 | 20 | 231 | 20 | 7 | 228 | -9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 270 | 242 | 50 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 91 | 6 | 14 | 3 | 207 | 286 | 310 | 596 | 103 | 311 | 34 | 8 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 270 | 232 | 62 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 67 | 6 | 14 | 3 | 267 | 368 | 409 | 778 | 142 | 354 | 25 | 11 | 351 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 402 | 377 | 79 | 12 | 0 | 11 | 15 | 103 | 9 | 14 | 4 | 210 | 257 | 329 | 586 | 119 | 259 | 26 | 4 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 402 | 371 | 93 | 15 | 0 | 13 | 21 | 81 | 9 | 14 | 4 | 251 | 307 | 396 | 703 | 146 | 289 | 20 | 5 | 314 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 491 | 453 | 97 | 25 | 0 | 13 | 23 | 134 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 214 | 270 | 355 | 626 | 141 | 274 | 27 | 5 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 491 | 442 | 116 | 29 | 0 | 17 | 34 | 107 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 262 | 332 | 443 | 775 | 181 | 310 | 22 | 7 | 343 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 337 | 308 | 73 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 95 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 237 | 294 | 347 | 642 | 110 | 314 | 28 | 5 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 337 | 298 | 80 | 13 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 79 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 268 | 345 | 419 | 765 | 151 | 329 | 23 | 8 | 340 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | ROK MLE | ACL Angels | — | 56 | 52 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 135 | 200 | 154 | 354 | 19 | 170 | 29 | 4 | 155 | -9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 270 | 241 | 50 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 91 | 6 | 14 | 3 | 207 | 286 | 311 | 597 | 104 | 307 | 34 | 8 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 402 | 375 | 79 | 12 | 0 | 11 | 15 | 103 | 9 | 14 | 4 | 211 | 257 | 331 | 588 | 120 | 253 | 26 | 4 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 491 | 453 | 97 | 25 | 0 | 13 | 23 | 134 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 214 | 270 | 355 | 626 | 141 | 270 | 27 | 5 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 337 | 309 | 73 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 95 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 236 | 294 | 346 | 641 | 110 | 307 | 28 | 5 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 402 | 375 | 79 | 12 | 0 | 11 | 15 | 103 | 9 | 14 | 4 | 211 | 257 | 331 | 588 | 120 | 253 | 26 | 4 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 491 | 453 | 97 | 25 | 0 | 13 | 23 | 134 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 214 | 270 | 355 | 626 | 141 | 270 | 27 | 5 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 337 | 309 | 73 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 95 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 236 | 294 | 346 | 641 | 110 | 307 | 28 | 5 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB MLE | LAA | 10% | 380 | 351 | 78 | 15 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 102 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 221 | 273 | 342 | 615 | 121 | 282 | 27 | 5 | 275 | 72 | -13 | +0 | +0 | -7 | +8 | 0.1 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB CTX | LAA | 10% | 16 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 219 | 272 | 340 | 612 | 121 | 280 | 25 | 6 | 274 | 72 | -1 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 28 | MLB MLE | LAA | 31% | 222 | 205 | 45 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 59 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 220 | 273 | 341 | 614 | 120 | 282 | 27 | 5 | 275 | 72 | -7 | +0 | -1 | -4 | +5 | -0.7 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB CTX | LAA | 31% | 69 | 65 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 219 | 272 | 339 | 612 | 120 | 279 | 26 | 4 | 274 | 72 | -2 | +0 | -0 | -1 | +1 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 69 | 65 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 231 | 275 | 369 | 645 | 138 | 289 | 26 | 4 | 274 | 65 | -2 | +0 | -0 | -1 | +1 | -0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 612 | 141 | 28 | 0 | 19 | 28 | 170 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 230 | 274 | 369 | 643 | 139 | 288 | 26 | 4 | 274 | 65 | -21 | +2 | -2 | -12 | +14 | -2.0 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1933 | 1779 | 383 | 73 | 3 | 44 | 98 | 539 | 43 | 51 | 15 | 215 | 273 | 334 | 607 | 119 | 281 | 28 | 5 | 265 | 65 | -12 | +0 | -1 | -7 | +8 | -1.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 598 | 129 | 25 | 1 | 15 | 33 | 181 | 14 | 17 | 5 | 216 | 272 | 336 | 609 | 120 | 281 | 28 | 5 | 265 | 65 | -21 | +1 | -1 | -12 | +14 | -2.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAASalt Lake Bees · 283 PAwOBA .330 → .283 (−47)K% 24.0% → 28.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.03% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 28.83% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.77% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 5.38% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.77% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 1.67% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.78% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.045 | ×1.003 | 26.11% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.01% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.045 | ×1.003 | 5.23% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.045 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.37% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 3.07% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.045.
Result: wOBA .330 → .283; ISO .139 → .104; BABIP .335 → .316. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 AARocket City Trash Pandas · 54 PAwOBA .348 → .290 (−58)K% 20.4% → 24.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.37% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 24.85% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.41% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.978 | 4.93% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.70% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.978 | 3.04% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.44% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.978 | 17.50% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.56% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.978 | 4.94% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.78% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.978 | 2.39% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.56% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 4.35% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .348 → .290; ISO .213 → .176; BABIP .294 → .260. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AARocket City Trash Pandas · 280 PAwOBA .311 → .253 (−58)K% 22.1% → 26.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.14% | ÷1.011 | ×1.220 | — | — | 26.72% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.14% | ÷1.020 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.988 | 4.71% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.14% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.988 | 1.78% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.05% | ÷1.048 | ×0.920 | ×0.981 | ×0.988 | 17.91% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.37% | ÷0.929 | ×0.910 | ×0.981 | ×0.988 | 7.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.028 | ×0.880 | ×0.981 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.21% | ÷1.028 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 3.24% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 110, 2B 86, 3B 106, K 102, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.981.
Result: wOBA .311 → .253; ISO .151 → .124; BABIP .295 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Tri-City Dust Devils · 211 PAwOBA .365 → .290 (−75)K% 21.3% → 28.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.33% | ÷1.019 | ×1.350 | — | — | 28.25% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.64% | ÷0.975 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.968 | 4.68% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.84% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.968 | 2.23% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.69% | ÷1.019 | ×0.910 | ×1.037 | ×0.968 | 18.55% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.34% | ÷0.975 | ×0.830 | ×1.037 | ×0.968 | 8.84% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.820 | ×1.037 | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.21% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.968 | 4.99% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 104, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 104, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.037.
Result: wOBA .365 → .290; ISO .221 → .171; BABIP .331 → .288. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AARocket City Trash Pandas · 255 PAwOBA .271 → .217 (−53)K% 23.1% → 29.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.14% | ÷0.974 | ×1.220 | — | — | 28.99% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.92% | ÷0.966 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 2.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.18% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 0.99% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.98% | ÷1.016 | ×0.920 | ×0.985 | ×0.998 | 19.56% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.85% | ÷1.072 | ×0.910 | ×0.985 | ×0.998 | 3.21% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.045 | ×0.880 | ×0.985 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.40% | ÷0.976 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 3.60% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 103, 2B 114, 3B 109, K 95, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.
Result: wOBA .271 → .217; ISO .129 → .100; BABIP .270 → .236. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Tri-City Dust Devils · 147 PAwOBA .367 → .305 (−62)K% 15.0% → 19.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.97% | ÷1.018 | ×1.350 | — | — | 19.84% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.48% | ÷1.018 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.978 | 5.10% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.08% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.978 | 3.23% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.15% | ÷0.969 | ×0.910 | ×0.980 | ×0.978 | 20.84% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.41% | ÷0.950 | ×0.830 | ×0.980 | ×0.978 | 6.20% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.820 | ×0.980 | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.63% | ÷0.916 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.978 | 4.10% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 94, 2B 90, 3B 130, K 104, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.980.
Result: wOBA .367 → .305; ISO .177 → .150; BABIP .320 → .282. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AInland Empire 66ers · 255 PAwOBA .341 → .265 (−76)K% 25.1% → 34.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.10% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 34.12% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.59% | ÷0.970 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.980 | 7.38% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.35% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.980 | 1.80% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.48% | ÷1.026 | ×0.920 | ×1.017 | ×0.980 | 22.76% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.01% | ÷1.016 | ×0.830 | ×1.017 | ×0.980 | 5.70% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.91% | ÷1.049 | ×0.910 | ×1.017 | ×0.980 | 1.65% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.18% | ÷0.897 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.980 | 2.78% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 105, 2B 103, 3B 110, K 100, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.017.
Result: wOBA .341 → .265; ISO .145 → .114; BABIP .353 → .308. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKACL Angels · 15 PAwOBA .384 → .264 (−120)K% 20.0% → 30.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.00% | ÷0.955 | ×1.440 | — | — | 30.17% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 26.67% | ÷0.978 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.955 | 16.14% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷0.970 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.955 | 20.17% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.50% | ÷1.001 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 8.59% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.961 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.910 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 94, 2B 100, 3B 92, K 91, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 19.5 → −4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .384 → .264; ISO .091 → .063; BABIP .375 → .288. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).