Pedro Belisario — OGILVIE

Pedro Belisario P DSL Rangers Red

Age 23 LHP 6'1" / 160 lbs ROK peak 0.1 · 2028

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 10 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 115123vR 131

ERA5.16

FIP5.16

K%22.0%

BB%15.0%

K-BB%7.0%

ROS IP10

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 10 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	12	9	33	153	45	31	0	75%	2.8	20.0%	25.3%	-5.3%	0.0%	5.73	4.62	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers Blue	12	9	33	153	45	31	0	75%	2.8	29.4%	20.3%	9.2%	0.0%	5.73	3.19	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	6	5	16	88	18	15	1	83%	2.7	13.9%	21.3%	-7.4%	1.3%	8.82	5.32	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	6	5	16	88	18	15	1	83%	2.7	13.9%	21.3%	-7.4%	1.3%	8.82	5.32	—
2025	21	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers Red	6	5	16	88	18	15	1	83%	2.7	20.5%	17.0%	3.4%	1.1%	8.82	4.45	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	23	MLB	TEX	2	2	10	42	9	6	1	100%	5.0	22.0%	15.0%	7.0%	3.0%	5.16	5.16	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	TEX	4	4	20	84	19	11	2	100%	5.0	22.7%	13.1%	9.5%	3.0%	4.94	4.85	+0.0
2028	24	MLB CTX	TEX	2	2	9	38	9	5	1	100%	4.5	22.7%	13.1%	9.5%	3.0%	4.94	4.85	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		2	2	9	36	8	5	1	100%	4.3	22.7%	13.1%	9.5%	3.0%	4.94	4.47	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		36	36	200	844	187	117	23	100%	5.6	22.7%	13.1%	9.5%	3.0%	4.94	4.47	+1.0
Career	—	MLE		18	14	49	241	43	58	1	78%	2.7	17.8%	23.9%	-6.1%	0.5%	6.75	4.87	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		73	57	200	977	174	233	5	78%	2.7	17.8%	23.9%	-6.1%	0.5%	6.75	4.87	+0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Pedro Belisario (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.16	22.0%	15.0%	3.0%	—	4.85	22.7%	9.5%	20	-0.31	—	—	—
Erik Rivera L 2024 · 5.71 FIP	23	SP-	5.71	19.0%	14.6%	4.3%	.255	4.74	23.9%	6.3%	106	-0.97	4.42	141	81
Liam Sullivan L 2023 · 5.78 FIP	21	SP	5.78	25.7%	20.5%	4.1%	.290	5.79	20.9%	7.2%	141	+0.01	4.45	156	81
Jason Blanchard L 2022 · 4.02 FIP	25	SP-	4.02	24.8%	14.2%	2.2%	.382	3.81	21.6%	10.9%	156	-0.21	2.44	171	79
Bailey Horn L 2021 · 4.99 FIP	23	SP-	4.99	19.7%	12.7%	3.6%	.300	4.60	22.3%	10.3%	152	-0.39	3.90	265	78
Luke Fox L 2024 · 5.24 FIP	22	SP	5.24	21.8%	19.2%	2.8%	.284	4.16	21.4%	8.1%	125	-1.08	3.60	156	78
Jordan Woods L 2024 · 4.51 FIP	20	SP	4.51	20.5%	10.3%	3.3%	.329	4.18	20.5%	8.3%	139	-0.33	3.92	170	75
Caden Grice L 2024 · 4.33 FIP	22	SP	4.33	23.1%	15.7%	2.2%	.282	5.05	17.9%	2.3%	83	+0.72	4.33	133	73
Larson Kindreich L 2022 · 4.27 FIP	23	SP-	4.27	24.3%	18.6%	1.6%	.275	4.96	22.3%	6.1%	149	+0.69	4.16	214	73
Jeremy Wu-Yelland L 2021 · 4.44 FIP	22	SP	4.44	19.6%	14.6%	2.1%	.266	3.90	20.3%	3.7%	33	-0.54	2.93	175	73
Nate Savino L 2024 · 5.85 FIP	22	SP	5.85	16.8%	18.8%	3.2%	.244	4.83	14.9%	2.0%	130	-1.02	4.26	176	72
Brad Mills L 2010 · 4.22 FIP	25	SW	4.22	18.4%	12.2%	2.0%	.273	5.37	19.8%	7.7%	18	+1.15	4.22	243	69
Antonio Bastardo L 2009 · 4.73 FIP	23	SP	4.73	17.9%	8.5%	3.8%	.297	3.04	33.0%	22.1%	129	-1.69	2.47	404	69
Adam Tulloch L 2023 · 4.51 FIP	23	SP-	4.51	20.3%	14.1%	2.4%	.313	4.62	18.1%	1.5%	150	+0.11	4.24	246	69
Ian Seymour L 2022 · 4.90 FIP	23	SP	4.90	23.0%	16.3%	3.0%	.450	3.05	24.2%	17.6%	310	-1.85	2.87	495	69
Nate Peterson L 2023 · 4.46 FIP	23	SP-	4.46	18.4%	11.4%	2.7%	.284	5.04	17.2%	5.3%	241	+0.58	4.27	315	69
Brent Headrick L 2021 · 4.36 FIP	23	SP	4.36	22.9%	14.0%	2.6%	.383	4.55	24.0%	17.0%	227	+0.19	2.36	414	69
Bodi Rascon L 2023 · 4.92 FIP	22	SP	4.92	17.5%	14.5%	2.7%	.264	5.66	11.5%	-8.3%	43	+0.74	4.18	218	68
Jared Beck L 2023 · 4.15 FIP	23	SP-	4.15	21.1%	15.9%	1.5%	.338	6.15	20.1%	-8.4%	82	+2.00	4.15	158	68
Mac Lardner L 2021 · 4.75 FIP	23	SP-	4.75	18.9%	8.5%	4.0%	.332	4.34	17.5%	8.1%	119	-0.41	3.66	186	67
Kyle Backhus L 2021 · 4.31 FIP	23	SP	4.31	15.2%	11.3%	1.9%	.280	3.49	23.1%	11.6%	153	-0.82	2.78	268	67