Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | DSL Rangers Blue | 12 | 9 | 33 | 153 | 45 | 31 | 0 | 75% | 2.8 | 20.0% | 25.3% | -5.3% | 0.0% | 5.73 | 4.62 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | DSL Rangers Blue | 12 | 9 | 33 | 153 | 45 | 31 | 0 | 75% | 2.8 | 29.4% | 20.3% | 9.2% | 0.0% | 5.73 | 3.19 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | ROK | DSL Rangers Red | 6 | 5 | 16 | 88 | 18 | 15 | 1 | 83% | 2.7 | 13.9% | 21.3% | -7.4% | 1.0% | 8.82 | 5.20 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | ROK | DSL Rangers Red | 6 | 5 | 16 | 88 | 18 | 15 | 1 | 83% | 2.7 | 20.5% | 17.0% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 8.82 | 4.45 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | MLB | TEX | 2 | 2 | 11 | 47 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 100% | 5.5 | 22.8% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 2.9% | 4.45 | 4.45 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | TEX | 4 | 4 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 100% | 5.0 | 23.6% | 9.5% | 14.1% | 2.9% | 4.34 | 4.28 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | TEX | 2 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 5.0 | 23.6% | 9.5% | 14.1% | 2.9% | 4.34 | 4.28 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 4.9 | 23.6% | 9.5% | 14.1% | 2.9% | 4.34 | 3.90 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 37 | 37 | 200 | 844 | 203 | 81 | 20 | 100% | 5.3 | 23.6% | 9.5% | 14.1% | 2.9% | 4.34 | 3.90 | +3.5 | ||
| Career | — | 18 | 14 | 49 | 241 | 43 | 58 | 1 | 78% | 2.7 | 17.8% | 23.9% | -6.1% | 0.4% | 6.75 | 4.83 | -0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 73 | 57 | 200 | 977 | 174 | 233 | 4 | 78% | 2.7 | 17.8% | 23.9% | -6.1% | 0.4% | 6.75 | 4.83 | +1.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Pedro Belisario (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.45 | 22.8% | 10.2% | 2.9% | — | 4.28 | 23.6% | 14.1% | 20 | -0.17 | — | — | — |
| Tommy Sommer L 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.59 | 23.9% | 9.3% | 4.2% | .196 | 5.30 | 18.6% | 6.1% | 205 | +0.71 | 4.20 | 230 | 81 |
| Ryan Williamson L 2027 · 4.10 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.10 | 18.4% | 5.9% | 3.3% | .286 | 5.67 | 18.4% | 5.8% | 102 | +1.57 | 4.10 | 123 | 79 |
| Mac Lardner L 2027 · 4.63 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.63 | 18.9% | 8.5% | 3.7% | .332 | 4.35 | 17.5% | 8.1% | 119 | -0.28 | 3.54 | 186 | 75 |
| Kash Mayfield L 2025 · 4.36 FIP | 21 | SP | 4.36 | 23.3% | 11.4% | 3.3% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.23 | 109 | 75 |
| Bailey Horn L 2027 · 5.16 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.16 | 19.7% | 12.7% | 3.9% | .300 | 4.71 | 22.7% | 9.5% | 152 | -0.45 | 4.13 | 265 | 74 |
| Sonny Vargas L 2024 · 4.43 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.43 | 21.0% | 10.1% | 3.3% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.20 | 165 | 74 |
| Jason Blanchard L 2029 · 4.24 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.24 | 24.8% | 14.2% | 2.6% | .382 | 4.08 | 21.7% | 10.6% | 156 | -0.16 | 2.44 | 171 | 74 |
| Hogan Harris L 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.73 | 20.5% | 10.6% | 1.9% | .235 | 3.64 | 27.4% | 12.7% | 74 | -0.09 | 3.14 | 473 | 74 |
| Jimmy Robbins L 2028 · 3.89 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.89 | 23.3% | 11.3% | 2.4% | .286 | 4.89 | 18.1% | 2.5% | 99 | +1.00 | 3.89 | 176 | 73 |
| Bryan Sammons L 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.60 | 22.7% | 10.5% | 2.0% | .275 | 3.91 | 18.4% | 8.4% | 228 | +0.31 | 3.53 | 688 | 73 |
| Hunter Barco L 2027 · 3.51 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.51 | 23.4% | 10.0% | 2.0% | .275 | 3.79 | 22.7% | 10.5% | 150 | +0.28 | 3.51 | 212 | 73 |
| T.J. Sikkema L 2028 · 4.71 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.71 | 21.9% | 9.0% | 4.2% | .298 | 4.64 | 16.9% | 7.4% | 231 | -0.07 | 3.39 | 300 | 72 |
| Sebastian Gongora L 2027 · 3.80 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.80 | 21.8% | 14.0% | 1.4% | .335 | 3.81 | 18.5% | 11.0% | 84 | +0.01 | 3.80 | 152 | 71 |
| Wyatt Crowell L 2026 · 3.35 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.35 | 23.0% | 14.2% | 0.7% | .247 | 4.91 | 19.9% | 1.4% | 160 | +1.56 | 3.35 | 198 | 71 |
| Matt Mikulski L 2027 · 4.80 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.80 | 19.4% | 10.0% | 3.8% | .360 | 5.95 | 16.3% | -2.8% | 144 | +1.15 | 4.80 | 223 | 70 |
| Rylan Kaufman L 2026 · 4.35 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.35 | 19.3% | 12.1% | 2.4% | .305 | 4.69 | 18.9% | 4.5% | 131 | +0.34 | 4.01 | 212 | 70 |
| Jackson Wolf L 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.72 | 27.0% | 13.6% | 4.0% | .423 | 4.71 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 357 | -0.01 | 3.99 | 572 | 70 |
| Dalton Pence L 2026 · 3.32 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.32 | 23.8% | 9.6% | 1.8% | .271 | 3.89 | 22.0% | 13.9% | 71 | +0.57 | 3.32 | 153 | 70 |
| Jake Miller L 2026 · 5.19 FIP | 22 | SP- | 5.19 | 17.2% | 14.1% | 3.2% | .345 | 3.04 | 22.5% | 16.3% | 99 | -2.15 | 3.01 | 143 | 69 |
| Matt Osterberg L 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.89 | 20.2% | 12.3% | 1.7% | .255 | 4.14 | 15.6% | 9.3% | 274 | +0.25 | 3.59 | 294 | 69 |