Elijah Hainline — OGILVIE

Elijah HainlineSS Tulsa Drillers

Age 23 R/R 5'10" / 181 lbs AA HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION310 act + 206 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†84

AVG/OBP/SLG.205 / .318 / .324

PA206

HR4

SB8

K%30

BB%12

BABIP292

ISO120

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 44 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT44

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE65

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

DEFENSE44

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.4	$10M	+$9M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.5	$10M	+$9M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.6	$9M	+$9M
2031	Arb-1	$3M	+1.4	$8M	+$6M
2032	Arb-2	$4M	+1.2	$6M	+$4M
2033	Arb-3	$5M	+1.0	$5M	+$2M
Totals		$15M		$47M	+$39M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	114	90	7	1	0	1	21	43	2	8	1	78	265	122	388	44	128	38	18	210	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	114	85	10	1	0	2	26	30	2	8	1	118	336	200	536	82	148	26	23	275	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	2 teams	—	462	395	90	16	1	6	52	145	11	27	8	228	334	319	653	91	340	31	11	297	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	2 teams	—	462	374	108	21	2	8	73	105	11	27	8	289	419	420	839	131	379	23	16	380	149	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	AA	LAD	—	310	260	54	10	1	8	38	98	7	14	2	208	325	346	671	138	295	32	12	300	88	-4	+2	+0	+3	+9	1.0
YTD	23	AA	LAD	—	310	243	59	12	1	9	55	76	7	14	2	243	397	412	808	169	312	25	18	364	136	+13	+2	+0	+3	+9	2.7
ROS	23	AA	LAD	2%	206	175	36	7	1	4	25	63	4	8	1	205	318	324	642	120	288	30	12	295	84	-4	+1	-1	+2	+6	0.4
ROS	23	MLB	LAD	2%	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						284	25	0	277	70	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	23	AA	LAD	—	314	264	54	10	1	8	38	99	7	14	2	205	320	341	661	136	289	32	12	300	88	-4	+2	-0	+3	+9	1.0
TOT	23	AA	LAD	—	516	435	90	17	2	12	63	161	11	22	3	207	322	337	659	131	294	31	12	298	86	-8	+3	-1	+6	+15	1.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	LAD	28%	517	441	92	17	2	11	62	155	9	17	3	209	318	331	649	122	291	30	12	300	88	-7	+2	-4	+6	+15	1.2
2028	25	MLB	LAD	44%	531	454	98	18	2	13	63	155	9	17	3	216	323	350	673	134	291	29	12	304	91	-5	+2	-4	+6	+15	1.4
2029	26	MLB	LAD	53%	535	458	99	18	2	13	63	154	9	17	3	216	323	349	672	133	291	29	12	307	93	-4	+2	-4	+6	+15	1.5
2030	27	MLB	LAD	56%	535	458	100	19	2	13	63	154	9	17	3	218	325	354	678	135	291	29	12	307	93	-4	+2	-4	+6	+15	1.6
2031	28	MLB	LAD	58%	530	453	98	18	2	13	63	153	9	16	3	216	324	351	675	135	291	29	12	306	92	-4	+2	-4	+6	+15	1.4
2032	29	MLB	LAD	58%	524	447	96	18	2	12	63	152	9	15	3	215	324	345	668	130	290	29	12	304	91	-5	+2	-5	+6	+15	1.2
2033	30	MLB	LAD	58%	516	440	93	17	1	12	62	151	9	13	3	211	321	336	657	125	289	29	12	302	89	-6	+1	-6	+6	+15	1.0
2034	31	MLB	LAD	58%	507	433	90	17	1	11	61	150	8	11	2	208	317	328	645	120	287	30	12	298	86	-8	+1	-6	+5	+14	0.7
2035	32	MLB	LAD	57%	498	428	87	16	1	11	59	150	8	9	2	203	311	322	634	119	284	30	12	293	82	-10	+1	-7	+5	+14	0.4
2036	33	MLB	LAD	57%	442	379	75	13	1	9	53	135	7	6	1	198	308	309	616	111	280	31	12	287	78	-11	+1	-7	+5	+13	-0.0
2037	34	MLB	LAD	53%	396	340	66	11	1	8	47	124	6	4	1	194	303	303	606	109	274	31	12	279	71	-13	+0	-8	+4	+11	-0.5
2027	24	MLB	LAD	28%	147	125	26	5	0	3	18	44	3	5	1	208	322	320	642	112	287	30	12	284	75	-4	+1	-1	+2	+4	0.1
2028	25	MLB	LAD	44%	232	198	42	8	1	5	28	68	4	8	1	212	322	338	660	126	287	29	12	288	79	-6	+1	-2	+2	+7	0.3
2029	26	MLB	LAD	53%	281	241	51	9	1	7	33	81	5	9	2	212	319	344	663	133	287	29	12	290	80	-6	+1	-2	+3	+8	0.4
2030	27	MLB	LAD	56%	299	257	54	10	1	7	35	86	5	10	2	210	316	339	655	128	287	29	12	291	81	-6	+1	-2	+3	+8	0.5
2031	28	MLB	LAD	58%	307	262	55	10	1	7	37	89	5	9	2	210	319	336	655	126	287	29	12	290	80	-7	+1	-2	+3	+9	0.4
2032	29	MLB	LAD	58%	303	259	55	10	1	7	36	88	5	9	2	212	320	340	660	127	286	29	12	289	79	-7	+1	-3	+3	+9	0.3
2033	30	MLB	LAD	58%	297	254	54	10	1	7	36	87	5	8	2	213	322	343	665	130	285	29	12	286	77	-8	+1	-3	+3	+8	0.2
2034	31	MLB	LAD	58%	292	250	51	9	1	6	35	87	5	7	1	204	314	320	634	116	283	30	12	283	75	-8	+1	-4	+3	+8	0.0
2035	32	MLB	LAD	57%	286	245	50	9	1	6	34	86	5	5	1	204	313	322	636	118	280	30	12	278	71	-9	+1	-4	+3	+8	-0.2
2036	33	MLB	LAD	57%	254	218	44	8	1	5	30	78	4	4	1	202	310	317	626	115	276	31	12	272	66	-10	+0	-4	+3	+7	-0.4
2037	34	MLB	LAD	53%	210	180	34	6	0	4	25	66	3	2	0	189	298	289	587	100	270	31	12	264	60	-9	+0	-4	+2	+6	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2912	2493	516	94	9	64	347	861	49	76	15	207	316	329	645	122	286	30	12	284	75	-81	+9	-31	+31	+83	1.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	556	115	21	2	14	77	192	11	17	3	207	315	327	642	121	286	30	12	284	75	-18	+2	-7	+7	+18	0.3
Career	—			—	6313	5391	1127	206	19	137	757	1884	109	185	37	209	318	331	649	121	291	30	12	298	86	-100	+22	-58	+68	+179	11.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	555	116	21	2	14	78	194	11	19	4	209	318	330	648	121	291	30	12	298	86	-10	+2	-6	+7	+18	1.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	114	85	10	1	0	2	26	30	2	8	1	118	336	200	536	82	148	26	23	275	69	-4	+1	—	—	+3	0.0
2025	22	A+	Great Lakes Loons	—	171	139	38	6	1	4	26	36	3	7	3	273	399	417	816	144	337	21	15	365	138	+7	+0	—	—	+5	1.3
2025	22	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	291	235	70	15	1	4	47	69	8	20	5	298	431	421	852	123	405	24	16	389	156	+18	+2	—	—	+8	2.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#2Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	9	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
	/162	664	23	1	235	308	414	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
#3Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#4Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#5Luis Valbuenalast yr '18 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,527 PA	10	3,527	113	10	226	311	395	+13	+1	10.5	11.2
	/162	664	21	2	226	311	395	+2.4	+0.1	2.0	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	2,914	67	75	211	315	337	+30	-14	7.4	6.9
	/162	664	15	17	211	315	337	+6.8	-3.2	1.7	pk7: 6
#6Everth Cabreralast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,059 PA	6	2,059	12	136	247	316	328	+22	-1	5.1	5.1
	/162	664	4	44	247	316	328	+7.1	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Elijah Hainline (OGILVIE)	23	35→44	40→45	50	65	207/322/337	131	294	12	22	31%	12%	86	+1.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Logan Vick 2014 · A	23	48	41→45	52→50	56	225/323/333	108	304	7	15	26%	12%	89	+0.9	193/286/291	98	295	7	13	33%	11%	63	-0.8	143/250/225	82	230	6	13	36%	12%	30	-2.1
✕Taylor Motter 2013 · A	23	46→50	40→55	52→55	52	218/296/311	93	279	7	20	23%	10%	71	-0.3	238/292/357	119	285	11	20	20%	7%	81	+0.4	214/291/395	181	261	23	5	27%	9%	90	+0.6
✕Mario Lisson 2007 · A	23	45→49	44→55	55	47	219/296/340	121	292	11	22	27%	8%	79	+0.3	215/266/328	113	281	11	19	26%	5%	63	-0.9	231/301/377	146	300	19	8	28%	7%	90	+0.7
✕Anthony Seigler 2023 · A	24	40→39	42→50	46→55	56	195/303/310	115	269	9	11	28%	13%	76	+0.0	199/299/319	120	254	11	20	24%	12%	76	+0.0	226/317/363	137	277	12	28	21%	11%	91	+0.6
✕Nolan Fontana 2014 · A	23	42→43	39→40	52→50	58	198/312/287	89	285	6	14	30%	14%	73	-0.1	204/300/291	87	305	4	9	30%	12%	69	-0.4	184/288/308	124	252	11	12	29%	12%	68	-0.2
✕Dylan Moore 2017 · A	24	44→47	43→50	55→65	47	214/294/334	120	273	10	23	24%	8%	77	+0.1	206/272/327	121	267	11	18	26%	7%	66	-0.6	210/332/386	176	289	16	41	30%	12%	104	+1.0
●Jakob Marsee 2023 · A	22	44→48	43→50	58→60	54	209/313/325	116	289	9	21	28%	12%	83	+0.6	220/319/358	138	276	15	33	24%	11%	94	+1.3	216/315/358	142	266	16	40	24%	11%	89	+1.0
✕Zack Short 2018 · A	23	42→38	46→50	48→45	53	208/301/343	135	264	13	11	25%	11%	82	+0.5	198/289/339	141	285	14	8	33%	10%	77	+0.1	175/277/324	148	244	17	6	34%	11%	65	-0.5
✕José Caballero 2021 · A	24	45	43→45	52→70	46	221/293/334	113	279	10	25	24%	7%	76	+0.1	224/326/350	126	288	13	35	25%	11%	95	+1.4	225/318/339	114	299	10	63	26%	9%	86	+0.5
●Matt McLain 2022 · A	22	45→55	44→55	53→55	48	218/295/334	116	293	11	20	28%	9%	77	+0.1	236/317/422	186	323	21	22	31%	9%	109	+2.4	231/315/405	174	310	20	23	30%	9%	102	+1.7
✕Miguel Amaya 2022 · AA	23	44→42	44→50	50→40	49	214/303/331	117	278	11	7	26%	9%	81	+0.4	223/308/361	138	300	15	5	29%	8%	91	+1.1	228/299/368	140	271	16	1	22%	7%	86	+0.3
●Tyler Black 2023 · A	23	46→54	41→50	50→60	55	216/317/322	106	289	7	14	26%	12%	84	+0.6	241/332/395	154	315	14	30	26%	10%	108	+2.3	242/335/399	157	317	14	35	26%	10%	107	+1.7
✕Luis Santana 2023 · A	24	43	44→45	48→50	43	215/283/333	118	286	12	11	28%	7%	72	-0.2	206/263/326	120	268	13	7	28%	5%	62	-0.9	190/242/307	117	240	15	5	27%	4%	45	-1.1
✕Mark Mathias 2019 · AA	24	44→47	44→50	52→50	46	217/293/343	126	288	11	10	27%	8%	79	+0.3	231/291/365	134	292	12	13	24%	7%	83	+0.6	246/320/384	138	320	15	17	26%	9%	98	+1.0
✕Juan Mora 2022 · A	22	47	44→45	55	46	225/302/347	122	301	11	14	27%	8%	83	+0.6	226/284/337	111	307	10	9	28%	5%	73	-0.1	224/280/333	110	298	10	8	27%	5%	68	-0.2
✕Nick Senzel 2017 · A	22	47→56	44→50	51→50	46	228/291/356	128	301	9	16	26%	8%	81	+0.4	248/302/388	140	329	12	14	27%	7%	93	+1.3	253/307/401	148	331	14	16	26%	7%	96	+0.9
●Rafael Lantigua 2022 · A	24	46→55	46→45	53→55	46	228/295/364	136	304	13	20	29%	8%	85	+0.7	249/321/362	113	327	10	18	24%	9%	95	+1.4	253/329/353	100	328	8	18	23%	10%	92	+1.1
●Drew Stubbs 2008 · A	23	44→51	42→50	49→60	42	209/279/317	108	313	9	14	34%	8%	66	-0.6	231/299/350	119	325	10	27	30%	8%	82	+0.5	240/313/369	129	324	14	37	28%	9%	90	+1.1
✕Travis Jones 2010 · AA	24	44→47	44→45	49→50	47	216/291/336	119	284	12	16	27%	8%	76	+0.1	213/280/326	113	296	11	13	30%	7%	69	-0.4	186/255/296	110	258	13	10	32%	7%	49	-0.8
✕Austin Martin 2022 · AA	23	51→52	40	51→60	52	235/345/330	95	323	7	14	26%	10%	98	+1.6	226/318/310	84	284	6	25	21%	9%	82	+0.5	265/358/344	79	323	3	22	17%	11%	104	+1.1