Elijah Hainline

SS Tulsa Drillers
Age 24 R/R 5'10" / 181 lbs AA HR +8%BB -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
Overview
AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2034
OGV OFP40OGV rank#366ETA2029MLB%2%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202421ALAA114.118/.336/.2002825—.087/.257/.130
202522A+/A2 orgs462.289/.419/.42082788—.235/.338/.331
202623AALAD479.245/.392/.395131885—.212/.324/.333
2027PROJMLE24MLBLAD4.206/.313/.32000850.0
2028PROJ28% MLB25MLBLAD74.210/.316/.33222890.2
2029PROJ44% MLB26MLBLAD192.212/.316/.33955900.6
Next 3 projected WAR 0.9Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034
2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$3M2032Arb-2$3M2033Arb-3$4M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA
BB%95
Chase%94
wOBA74
wRC+72
ISO51
Speed47
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.3 / P90 13, comp-based) · star 3% · didn't stick 83%
CompsAndrew Navigato (age 24) · Corey Joyce (age 24) · Zack Short (age 24)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†85
AVG/OBP/SLG.206 / .313 / .320
PA4
HR0
K%25
BB%12
BABIP281
ISO117
MLB%2%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -3.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-4BATRUN: +0.6 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +1.9 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+2FLDPOS: +2.2 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: +0.70+0.7WAR
0.00.51.00.00.20.60.70.70.40.327282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$10M ctrl surplus
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2028
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2033
First FA Year   2034
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.2$0.7M+$0.0M
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.6$2M+$1M
2030Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.7$2M+$2M
2031Arb-1$3M+0.7$2M+$0.0M (cut)
2032Arb-2$3M+0.4$1M+$0.0M (cut)
2033Arb-3$4M+0.3$0.8M+$0.0M (cut)
Totals $2M $9M +$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202421 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes — 11485 10102 26302 81 118336200536 82148 2623 275 25 — — — — — —
202522 A+Great Lakes Loons — 171139 38614 26363 73 273399417816 144337 2115 365 92 — — — — — —
202522 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes — 291235 701514 47698 205 298431421852 123405 2416 389 86 — — — — — —
202623 AATulsa Drillers — 479380 9316113 841228 185 245392395787 150321 2518 356 85 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202421 A MLERancho Cucamonga Quakes — 11492 8101 19422 81 87257130387 43130 3717 205 25 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLEGreat Lakes Loons — 171147 35513 18473 73 238333347680 109312 2711 304 92 — — — — — —
202522 A MLERancho Cucamonga Quakes — 291249 581113 33958 205 233341321663 88355 3311 296 86 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLETulsa Drillers — 479405 8614111 591498 185 212324333657 121293 3112 294 85 — — — — — —
202421 A MLERancho Cucamonga Quakes — 11492 8101 19422 81 87257130387 43140 3717 205 25 — — — — — —
202421 A RAWRancho Cucamonga Quakes — 11485 10102 26302 81 118336200536 82148 2623 275 25 — — — — — —
202522 A MLE2 teams — 462396 941726 5114211 278 237341336676 98351 3111 299 88 — — — — — —
202522 A RAW2 teams — 462374 1082128 7310511 278 289419420839 131379 2316 380 88 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLETulsa Drillers — 479405 8614111 591498 185 212324333657 121301 3112 294 85 — — — — — —
202623 AA RAWTulsa Drillers — 479380 9316113 841228 185 245392395787 150321 2518 356 85 — — — — — —
202421 A MLERancho Cucamonga Quakes — 11492 8101 19422 81 87257130387 43130 3717 205 25 — — — — — —
202522 A MLE2 teams — 462397 941726 5114211 278 237341335676 98339 3111 299 88 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLETulsa Drillers — 479409 8614111 591498 185 210324330654 120293 3112 294 85 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202421 A MLERancho Cucamonga Quakes — 11492 8101 19422 81 87257130387 43130 3717 205 25 — — — — — —
202522 A MLE2 teams — 462397 941726 5114211 278 237341335676 98339 3111 299 88 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLETulsa Drillers — 479409 8614111 591498 185 210324330654 120293 3112 294 85 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202724 MLB MLELAD 2% 380326 691218 451106 103 209316323639 114287 2912 294 85 -7 +1 +3 +4 +8 0.7
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202724 MLB CTXLAD 2% 44 0000 010 00 206313320634 114281 250 292 85 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202825 MLB MLELAD 28% 260223 48816 31744 72 213318335653 122288 2812 299 89 -4 +1 +2 +3 +6 0.8
202926 MLB MLELAD 44% 439379 8114110 511246 123 215319341660 126288 2812 302 90 -5 +1 +4 +5 +10 1.5
203027 MLB MLELAD 50% 444384 8114110 511256 113 216318342660 126287 2811 301 90 -5 +1 +4 +5 +10 1.5
203128 MLB MLELAD 55% 443384 8215110 501246 103 216316341657 126287 2811 300 89 -6 +1 +3 +5 +10 1.3
203229 MLB MLELAD 56% 321278 601117 36904 62 215314339652 124286 2811 298 88 -5 +0 +2 +3 +7 0.8
203330 MLB MLELAD 56% 314272 581017 35894 42 212311331641 119284 2811 293 85 -6 +0 +1 +3 +7 0.5
203431 MLB MLELAD 57% 297258 53916 33854 21 208306321627 113281 2911 288 81 -7 +0 -0 +3 +6 0.3
202825 MLB CTXLAD 28% 7464 13202 9211 21 210316332647 122282 2812 297 89 -1 +0 +1 +1 +2 0.2
202926 MLB CTXLAD 44% 192165 35605 22543 51 212316339655 126282 2811 299 90 -2 +1 +2 +2 +4 0.6
203027 MLB CTXLAD 50% 224193 41715 26633 62 213316340655 127282 2812 299 90 -3 +0 +2 +2 +5 0.7
203128 MLB CTXLAD 55% 242209 45716 28683 52 213314338652 126281 2812 298 89 -3 +0 +2 +3 +5 0.7
203229 MLB CTXLAD 56% 178154 32604 20502 31 212311336647 124280 2811 296 88 -3 +0 +1 +2 +4 0.4
203330 MLB CTXLAD 56% 176152 31504 20502 21 209308328636 119279 2811 291 85 -3 +0 +0 +2 +4 0.3
203431 MLB CTXLAD 57% 168145 30504 19482 11 205303318622 113276 2911 286 81 -4 -0 -0 +2 +4 0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 12541082 22738230 14435416 249 210312332643 122280 2811 295 85 -19 +1 +8 +13 +27 3.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650561 11820116 751838 125 210312335647 125279 2812 295 85 -10 +1 +4 +7 +14 1.6
Career— MLE — 37833251 6891201178 441110558 11132 212317328644 116292 2912 295 85 -40 +4 +18 +29 +59 7.2
/ 162G— MLE — 650559 11821213 7619010 195 211317326642 114292 2912 295 85 -10 +1 +4 +7 +14 1.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AATulsa Drillers · 479 PAwOBA .351 → .294 (−57)K% 25.5% → 31.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.47%÷1.000×1.220——31.07%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.54%÷1.000×0.700—×1.01212.42%
HBP% /PA1.67%—×0.870—×1.0121.47%
Singles /BIP24.42%÷1.000×0.920×1.007×1.01222.89%
Doubles /BIP6.20%÷1.000×0.840×1.007×1.0125.31%
Triples /BIP0.39%÷1.000×0.940×1.007×1.0120.37%
Home runs /BIP5.04%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0124.08%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.

Result: wOBA .351 → .294; ISO .150 → .127; BABIP .321 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes · 291 PAwOBA .381 → .296 (−85)K% 23.7% → 32.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.71%÷0.987×1.360——32.67%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.15%÷0.981×0.690—×0.99011.25%
HBP% /PA2.75%—×0.780—×0.9902.12%
Singles /BIP30.12%÷1.004×0.920×1.008×0.99027.55%
Doubles /BIP9.04%÷1.054×0.830×1.008×0.9907.10%
Triples /BIP0.60%÷1.150×0.910×1.008×0.9900.48%
Home runs /BIP2.41%÷1.055×0.800—×0.9901.81%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 101, 2B 111, 3B 130, K 97, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.

Result: wOBA .381 → .296; ISO .123 → .090; BABIP .405 → .355. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Great Lakes Loons · 171 PAwOBA .360 → .304 (−57)K% 21.1% → 27.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.05%÷0.980×1.270——27.28%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.20%÷1.023×0.710—×0.99810.54%
HBP% /PA1.75%—×0.790—×0.9981.38%
Singles /BIP26.21%÷1.000×0.920×1.031×0.99824.83%
Doubles /BIP5.83%÷0.927×0.810×1.031×0.9985.24%
Triples /BIP0.97%÷1.150×0.850×1.031×0.9980.74%
Home runs /BIP3.88%÷0.992×0.800—×0.9983.12%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 100, 2B 85, 3B 130, K 96, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.031.

Result: wOBA .360 → .304; ISO .144 → .120; BABIP .337 → .312. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes · 114 PAwOBA .273 → .205 (−68)K% 26.3% → 37.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.32%÷0.964×1.360——37.12%
BB% (unintentional) /PA22.81%÷0.943×0.690——16.69%
HBP% /PA1.75%—×0.780——1.37%
Singles /BIP12.73%÷1.072×0.920×1.031—11.26%
Doubles /BIP1.82%÷0.973×0.830×1.031—1.60%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.973×0.910×1.031—0.00%
Home runs /BIP3.64%÷1.072×0.800——2.71%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 114, 1B 114, 2B 95, 3B 95, K 93, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.031.

Result: wOBA .273 → .205; ISO .082 → .059; BABIP .148 → .130. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).