Brailyn Paulino — OGILVIE

Brailyn Paulino P FCL Cardinals

Age 20 RHP 6'0" / 185 lbs ROK

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 11 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 147139vR 131

ERA6.02

FIP6.02

K%19.2%

BB%20.1%

K-BB%-0.9%

ROS IP11

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 11 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	16	6	29	147	28	20	4	38%	1.8	13.0%	17.0%	-4.1%	4.1%	8.48	6.40	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	16	6	29	147	28	20	4	38%	1.8	13.0%	17.0%	-4.1%	4.1%	8.48	6.40	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals	16	6	29	147	28	20	4	38%	1.8	19.0%	13.6%	5.4%	2.7%	8.48	5.05	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	15	1	24	123	22	29	1	7%	1.6	12.2%	29.5%	-17.3%	0.9%	6.38	6.28	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	15	1	24	123	22	29	1	7%	1.6	12.2%	29.5%	-17.3%	0.9%	6.38	6.28	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals	15	1	24	123	22	29	1	7%	1.6	17.9%	23.6%	-5.7%	0.8%	6.38	5.43	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	10	0	15	74	14	12	1	0%	1.5	12.9%	20.3%	-7.4%	1.6%	6.60	5.48	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	10	0	15	74	14	12	1	0%	1.5	12.9%	20.3%	-7.4%	1.6%	6.60	5.48	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	FCL Cardinals	10	0	15	74	14	12	1	0%	1.5	18.9%	16.2%	2.7%	1.4%	6.60	4.50	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	15	0	14	76	9	15	1	0%	0.9	8.1%	24.7%	-16.6%	1.8%	6.43	6.56	—
YTD	20	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	15	0	14	76	9	15	1	0%	0.9	8.1%	24.7%	-16.6%	1.8%	6.43	6.56	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	20	ROK RAW	STL	15	0	14	76	9	15	1	0%	0.9	11.8%	19.7%	-7.9%	1.3%	6.43	5.32	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	STL	22	0	23	96	19	16	3	0%	1.0	20.3%	16.9%	3.4%	2.9%	5.64	5.50	-0.2
2027	21	MLB CTX	STL	10	0	11	46	9	8	1	0%	1.1	20.3%	16.9%	3.4%	2.9%	5.64	5.50	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		11	0	11	47	10	8	1	0%	1.0	20.3%	16.9%	3.4%	2.9%	5.64	5.12	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	179	143	18	0%	1.1	20.3%	16.9%	3.4%	2.9%	5.64	5.12	-1.3
Career	—	MLE		56	7	82	420	50	95	10	12%	1.5	11.8%	22.6%	-10.8%	2.3%	7.16	6.23	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		137	17	200	1029	122	233	24	12%	1.5	11.8%	22.6%	-10.8%	2.3%	7.16	6.23	-2.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Brailyn Paulino (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.02	19.2%	20.1%	2.9%	—	5.50	20.3%	3.4%	23	-0.52	—	—	—
Elison Joseph R 2021 · 5.31 FIP	20	SU	5.31	17.4%	19.2%	2.3%	.254	4.55	23.5%	6.8%	133	-0.76	3.32	217	88
Daniel Lloyd R 2021 · 5.40 FIP	20	SU	5.40	20.4%	22.4%	2.2%	.367	4.15	18.0%	8.5%	226	-1.25	3.59	319	87
Jonathan Jimenez R 2023 · 5.41 FIP	19	SU	5.41	16.4%	16.2%	3.0%	.333	5.09	14.1%	2.2%	178	-0.32	3.49	189	87
Jackson Rose R 2018 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	17.3%	17.2%	2.8%	.267	4.77	23.5%	16.5%	56	-0.55	3.33	147	87
Erian Rodriguez R 2022 · 5.51 FIP	20	SU	5.51	16.2%	19.8%	2.3%	.378	4.16	16.2%	3.6%	241	-1.35	3.81	287	85
Greg Weissert R 2016 · 5.22 FIP	21	SU	5.22	19.4%	19.3%	2.4%	.382	3.80	23.0%	10.3%	126	-1.42	2.57	481	84
Samuel Fabian R 2023 · 6.61 FIP	20	SU	6.61	16.8%	27.4%	2.7%	.352	4.33	17.2%	4.8%	64	-2.28	4.21	120	84
Andrew Schultz R 2019 · 5.25 FIP	22	SU	5.25	20.9%	17.8%	3.0%	.345	4.59	23.0%	4.7%	45	-0.66	3.10	167	84
Angel Reyes R 2018 · 4.91 FIP	20	SU	4.91	16.5%	19.4%	1.4%	.328	4.51	17.1%	5.7%	119	-0.40	3.99	308	84
Pedro Peralta R 2023 · 6.77 FIP	17	SU	6.77	15.3%	22.9%	3.8%	.300	6.07	14.3%	-7.4%	106	-0.70	5.13	121	84
Adrian Rodriguez R 2021 · 6.92 FIP	20	SU	6.92	23.1%	34.0%	2.7%	.368	5.46	23.1%	-1.6%	93	-1.46	2.43	148	83
Paul Gervase R 2022 · 4.91 FIP	22	SU	4.91	20.3%	16.2%	2.7%	.345	3.79	29.0%	15.6%	152	-1.12	3.38	209	83
Nick Kuzia R 2017 · 5.18 FIP	21	SU	5.18	16.5%	15.2%	2.8%	.361	5.35	17.6%	6.6%	60	+0.17	4.54	231	83
Ismael Aquino R 2019 · 4.89 FIP	20	SU	4.89	17.0%	16.5%	2.1%	.354	5.58	14.1%	-1.5%	14	+0.69	3.99	122	83
Marcus Crescentini R 2015 · 5.80 FIP	22	SU	5.80	21.8%	21.9%	3.2%	.365	3.95	23.3%	11.6%	123	-1.85	2.74	150	83
Ryan Harbin R 2022 · 5.47 FIP	20	SU	5.47	14.4%	18.9%	2.2%	.317	4.19	23.9%	8.1%	156	-1.28	3.84	185	83
Tommy McCollum R 2021 · 6.21 FIP	22	SU	6.21	17.1%	27.2%	2.0%	.235	3.80	26.4%	10.9%	112	-2.41	2.90	219	83
Danny Hilario R 2023 · 5.65 FIP	18	SU	5.65	17.8%	19.4%	2.9%	.241	3.68	17.2%	6.9%	68	-1.97	3.58	107	83
Juan Martinez R 2021 · 5.12 FIP	20	SW	5.12	17.4%	20.8%	1.6%	.314	5.54	15.4%	-0.3%	31	+0.42	4.03	122	83
Over Galue R 2021 · 5.01 FIP	20	SW	5.01	17.5%	17.0%	2.2%	.346	4.16	18.2%	3.6%	94	-0.85	4.16	122	83