Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Phillies Red | 9 | 1 | 15 | 71 | 16 | 13 | 2 | 11% | 1.7 | 15.3% | 22.9% | -7.6% | 3.6% | 7.20 | 6.69 | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Phillies Red | 9 | 1 | 15 | 71 | 16 | 13 | 2 | 11% | 1.7 | 22.5% | 18.3% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 7.20 | 5.30 | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Phillies Red | 9 | 7 | 26 | 138 | 32 | 24 | 1 | 78% | 2.9 | 15.8% | 21.7% | -6.0% | 1.2% | 6.31 | 5.20 | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Phillies Red | 9 | 7 | 26 | 138 | 32 | 24 | 1 | 78% | 2.9 | 23.2% | 17.4% | 5.8% | 0.7% | 6.31 | 3.92 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | DSL Phillies White | 12 | 12 | 45 | 202 | 37 | 34 | 1 | 100% | 3.8 | 12.5% | 21.0% | -8.6% | 1.0% | 4.96 | 5.27 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | DSL Phillies White | 12 | 12 | 45 | 202 | 37 | 34 | 1 | 100% | 3.8 | 18.3% | 16.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 4.96 | 4.00 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | ROK | FCL Phillies | 15 | 1 | 29 | 155 | 38 | 30 | 7 | 7% | 1.9 | 16.7% | 24.2% | -7.5% | 6.3% | 13.19 | 8.23 | -1.2 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | PHI | 26 | 0 | 27 | 113 | 14 | 23 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 12.4% | 20.3% | -7.9% | 2.9% | 6.58 | 6.58 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 12.4% | 20.3% | -7.9% | 2.9% | 6.58 | 6.58 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 20 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 55 | 268 | 52 | 53 | 10 | — | — | 19.4% | 19.8% | -0.4% | 3.8% | 9.99 | 7.43 | -1.9 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | PHI | 27 | 0 | 28 | 119 | 17 | 21 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.7% | 17.9% | -3.2% | 2.8% | 6.17 | 6.05 | -0.5 |
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | PHI | 13 | 0 | 14 | 59 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 14.7% | 17.9% | -3.2% | 2.8% | 6.17 | 6.05 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 13 | 0 | 14 | 58 | 9 | 10 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 14.7% | 17.9% | -3.2% | 2.8% | 6.17 | 5.67 | -0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 130 | 145 | 29 | 0% | 1.1 | 14.7% | 17.9% | -3.2% | 2.8% | 6.17 | 5.67 | -0.6 | ||
| Career | — | 45 | 21 | 115 | 566 | 84 | 126 | 16 | 47% | 2.5 | 14.8% | 22.3% | -7.5% | 2.8% | 7.61 | 6.24 | -1.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 78 | 37 | 200 | 987 | 146 | 220 | 28 | 47% | 2.5 | 14.8% | 22.3% | -7.5% | 2.8% | 7.61 | 6.24 | -2.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Pedro Peralta (OGILVIE) | — | — | 6.58 | 12.4% | 20.3% | 2.9% | — | 6.05 | 14.7% | -3.2% | 28 | -0.53 | — | — | — |
| Mason McGwire R 2026 · 6.65 FIP | 20 | SP- | 6.65 | 11.7% | 21.2% | 3.4% | .298 | 3.50 | 23.5% | 12.6% | 52 | -3.15 | 3.50 | 128 | 88 |
| Erick Reynoso R 2026 · 6.52 FIP | 20 | SP- | 6.52 | 10.7% | 20.4% | 3.2% | .305 | 6.42 | 14.7% | -7.7% | 135 | -0.10 | 5.76 | 168 | 87 |
| Reynardo Cruz R 2026 · 5.65 FIP | 20 | SW | 5.65 | 16.1% | 18.2% | 2.9% | .252 | 4.79 | 16.3% | -1.2% | 66 | -0.86 | 3.94 | 216 | 86 |
| Felipito Santos R 2026 · 7.57 FIP | 20 | SP- | 7.57 | 4.3% | 25.3% | 3.0% | .358 | 5.37 | 13.7% | -5.9% | 58 | -2.20 | 4.82 | 106 | 86 |
| Esteban Luna R 2025 · 5.87 FIP | 19 | SW | 5.87 | 10.1% | 18.6% | 2.3% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.76 | 111 | 84 |
| Jose Garces R 2026 · 7.28 FIP | 20 | SW | 7.28 | 11.0% | 34.2% | 1.4% | .277 | 6.33 | 14.7% | -0.6% | 83 | -0.95 | 3.49 | 178 | 84 |
| Jose Vasquez R 2026 · 7.21 FIP | 20 | SP- | 7.21 | 14.9% | 24.6% | 4.1% | .330 | 5.83 | 13.4% | -17.1% | 15 | -1.38 | 4.20 | 102 | 83 |
| Gillian Wernet R 2025 · 5.46 FIP | 19 | SP- | 5.46 | 11.2% | 16.6% | 2.2% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.65 | 107 | 82 |
| Jose Alberto Rivera R 2026 · 5.65 FIP | 20 | SW | 5.65 | 16.1% | 19.2% | 2.7% | .185 | 3.69 | 20.3% | 9.9% | 115 | -1.96 | 3.41 | 163 | 82 |
| Leudy Martinez R 2025 · 5.99 FIP | 19 | SW | 5.99 | 15.2% | 22.0% | 2.5% | .292 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.40 | 116 | 82 |
| Lisander Brito R 2026 · 5.60 FIP | 20 | SP- | 5.60 | 14.1% | 15.0% | 3.3% | .309 | 3.23 | 18.9% | 5.3% | 21 | -2.37 | 3.23 | 101 | 82 |
| Alison Zacarias R 2026 · 7.71 FIP | 20 | SW | 7.71 | 10.1% | 29.6% | 3.1% | .250 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.34 | 105 | 81 |
| Bryant Salgado R 2027 · 5.50 FIP | 21 | SW | 5.50 | 14.2% | 20.4% | 1.8% | .219 | 4.92 | 15.9% | 3.5% | 89 | -0.58 | 4.92 | 110 | 81 |
| Reny Artiles R 2026 · 7.63 FIP | 20 | SW | 7.63 | 10.3% | 32.7% | 2.3% | .298 | 5.07 | 16.4% | -0.9% | 80 | -2.56 | 3.91 | 165 | 81 |
| Justin Militello R 2026 · 5.39 FIP | 20 | SW | 5.39 | 9.6% | 19.9% | 1.1% | .376 | 5.45 | 15.4% | -2.8% | 68 | +0.06 | 5.11 | 100 | 81 |
| Jorge Juan R 2026 · 5.47 FIP | 20 | SW | 5.47 | 14.7% | 24.8% | 0.8% | .323 | 4.62 | 25.5% | 14.0% | 38 | -0.85 | 3.32 | 238 | 81 |
| Juan Soto R 2026 · 6.40 FIP | 20 | SW | 6.40 | 8.9% | 24.0% | 1.8% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.06 | 102 | 81 |
| David Bracho R 2025 · 5.92 FIP | 19 | SW | 5.92 | 10.9% | 21.6% | 1.8% | .263 | 5.56 | 17.3% | -1.3% | 58 | -0.36 | 4.17 | 136 | 80 |
| Hamlet Garcia R 2026 · 5.91 FIP | 20 | SW | 5.91 | 17.8% | 21.8% | 2.8% | .346 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.53 | 104 | 80 |
| Ismael Maldonado R 2026 · 5.87 FIP | 20 | SU | 5.87 | 9.8% | 16.4% | 2.8% | .280 | 6.60 | 13.5% | -3.6% | 89 | +0.73 | 5.87 | 119 | 80 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 27 | 13.6% | 19.1% | 1.10 | 6.37 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |