Erick Reynoso
P
Visalia Rawhide
Age 23
RHP
6'4" / 185 lbs
A
peak 0.4 · 2028
2026 ROS PROJECTION20 act + 62 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 169160vR 151
ERA6.75
FIP6.75
K%13.7%
BB%22.1%
K-BB%-8.4%
ROS IP62
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 81 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | ACL D-backs Red | 12 | 7 | 34 | 159 | 25 | 26 | 3 | 58% | 2.8 | 10.7% | 20.4% | -9.7% | 3.2% | 6.95 | 6.52 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | ACL D-backs Red | 12 | 7 | 34 | 159 | 25 | 26 | 3 | 58% | 2.8 | 15.7% | 16.4% | -0.6% | 1.9% | 6.95 | 5.09 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | ROK | ACL D-backs | 11 | 7 | 39 | 177 | 34 | 32 | 5 | 64% | 3.6 | 13.1% | 22.6% | -9.5% | 5.3% | 5.03 | 7.76 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | ROK | ACL D-backs | 11 | 7 | 39 | 177 | 34 | 32 | 5 | 64% | 3.6 | 19.2% | 18.1% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 5.03 | 5.46 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A | Visalia Rawhide | 21 | 16 | 76 | 337 | 68 | 58 | 10 | 76% | 3.6 | 14.9% | 20.3% | -5.4% | 2.5% | 4.40 | 5.76 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A | Visalia Rawhide | 21 | 16 | 76 | 337 | 68 | 58 | 10 | 76% | 3.6 | 20.2% | 17.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.40 | 5.32 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | A | Visalia Rawhide | 13 | 1 | 20 | 90 | 21 | 23 | 1 | 8% | 1.5 | 17.3% | 30.2% | -12.9% | 1.4% | 5.03 | 6.25 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | ARI | 59 | 0 | 62 | 260 | 36 | 57 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 13.7% | 22.1% | -8.4% | 3.0% | 6.75 | 6.75 | -1.6 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 13.7% | 22.1% | -8.4% | 3.0% | 6.75 | 6.75 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 23 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 81 | 350 | 57 | 80 | 9 | — | — | 16.2% | 23.0% | -6.8% | 2.5% | 6.33 | 6.63 | -1.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | ARI | 60 | 0 | 63 | 266 | 42 | 51 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.8% | 19.2% | -3.4% | 2.9% | 6.32 | 6.19 | -1.2 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | ARI | 61 | 0 | 64 | 270 | 46 | 47 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.0% | 17.3% | -0.3% | 2.9% | 5.98 | 5.84 | -0.9 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | ARI | 61 | 0 | 64 | 270 | 48 | 46 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.7% | 16.9% | 0.8% | 2.9% | 5.80 | 5.73 | -0.8 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | ARI | 26 | 0 | 27 | 114 | 18 | 22 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.8% | 19.2% | -3.4% | 2.9% | 6.32 | 6.19 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | ARI | 40 | 0 | 42 | 177 | 30 | 31 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.0% | 17.3% | -0.3% | 2.9% | 5.98 | 5.84 | -0.6 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | ARI | 49 | 0 | 51 | 215 | 38 | 36 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.7% | 16.9% | 0.8% | 2.9% | 5.80 | 5.73 | -0.7 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 114 | 0 | 120 | 506 | 86 | 89 | 15 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.0% | 17.5% | -0.5% | 2.9% | 5.98 | 5.49 | -0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 143 | 148 | 25 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.0% | 17.5% | -0.5% | 2.9% | 5.98 | 5.49 | -0.2 | ||
| Career | — | 57 | 31 | 168 | 763 | 106 | 168 | 24 | 54% | 3.0 | 13.9% | 22.0% | -8.1% | 3.1% | 5.13 | 6.44 | -2.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 68 | 37 | 200 | 907 | 126 | 200 | 28 | 54% | 3.0 | 13.9% | 22.0% | -8.1% | 3.1% | 5.13 | 6.44 | -2.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Erick Reynoso (OGILVIE) | — | — | 6.75 | 13.7% | 22.1% | 3.0% | — | 5.92 | 16.8% | -0.9% | 191 | -0.83 | — | — | — |
| Drew Conover R 2026 · 6.30 FIP | 23 | SW | 6.30 | 15.6% | 29.8% | 1.4% | .272 | 5.34 | 11.7% | -3.6% | 96 | -0.96 | 4.52 | 135 | 84 |
| Ted Stuka R 2027 · 5.78 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.78 | 12.4% | 23.4% | 1.4% | .262 | 6.34 | 15.9% | -13.1% | 41 | +0.56 | 5.51 | 105 | 84 |
| Pedro Garcia R 2026 · 6.06 FIP | 23 | SW | 6.06 | 12.6% | 24.0% | 1.8% | .242 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.35 | 144 | 80 |
| Zach Linginfelter R 2027 · 5.72 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.72 | 19.1% | 16.0% | 4.0% | .295 | 4.94 | 18.8% | -0.6% | 46 | -0.78 | 3.58 | 109 | 76 |
| Kendy Richard R 2024 · 5.98 FIP | 21 | SW | 5.98 | 12.0% | 16.0% | 3.4% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.33 | 141 | 76 |
| Erling Moreno R 2025 · 6.08 FIP | 22 | SP- | 6.08 | 7.8% | 18.2% | 2.4% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.72 | 213 | 76 |
| Yorman Galindez R 2026 · 5.60 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.60 | 15.9% | 17.0% | 3.1% | .350 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.56 | 176 | 75 |
| Michael Petersen R 2026 · 5.81 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.81 | 14.8% | 17.5% | 3.2% | .336 | 4.28 | 18.7% | 5.9% | 122 | -1.53 | 3.05 | 381 | 74 |
| Denis Diaz R 2025 · 6.60 FIP | 22 | SW | 6.60 | 12.8% | 19.4% | 3.9% | .326 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.39 | 129 | 73 |
| Nic Swanson R 2026 · 6.33 FIP | 23 | SP- | 6.33 | 18.5% | 15.9% | 5.1% | .302 | 4.59 | 18.6% | 7.7% | 284 | -1.74 | 4.09 | 414 | 73 |
| Jake Miller R 2026 · 5.95 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.95 | 7.5% | 18.0% | 2.2% | .216 | 4.50 | 17.0% | 6.0% | 146 | -1.45 | 3.72 | 191 | 72 |
| Miguel Medrano R 2026 · 5.56 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.56 | 17.7% | 15.5% | 3.6% | .299 | 6.01 | 18.1% | -0.5% | 50 | +0.45 | 2.73 | 232 | 72 |
| Chance Huff R 2026 · 5.78 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.78 | 11.8% | 11.4% | 4.1% | .312 | 5.14 | 15.7% | -0.0% | 151 | -0.64 | 4.35 | 235 | 72 |
| Tom Robson R 2026 · 5.76 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.76 | 10.9% | 16.3% | 2.8% | .355 | 3.17 | 15.8% | 7.1% | 35 | -2.59 | 3.17 | 132 | 72 |
| Huei-Sheng Lin R 2026 · 5.84 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.84 | 16.6% | 14.9% | 4.1% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.59 | 120 | 71 |
| Ruben Castillo R 2026 · 5.64 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.64 | 15.0% | 15.5% | 3.4% | .350 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.33 | 140 | 71 |
| Andre Sanchez R 2025 · 6.21 FIP | 22 | SP- | 6.21 | 11.0% | 18.8% | 3.0% | .340 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.93 | 209 | 71 |
| Oscar Verdugo R 2028 · 6.84 FIP | 25 | SP- | 6.84 | 10.5% | 13.9% | 5.2% | .241 | 6.16 | 10.8% | -1.8% | 74 | -0.68 | 5.39 | 144 | 71 |
| Fernando Baez R 2026 · 6.58 FIP | 23 | SP- | 6.58 | 18.6% | 18.8% | 4.9% | .322 | 4.51 | 26.9% | 7.8% | 94 | -2.07 | 3.43 | 129 | 71 |
| Diego Dugarte R 2024 · 7.34 FIP | 21 | SP- | 7.34 | 11.3% | 19.9% | 4.9% | .271 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 114 | 71 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 63 | 16.1% | 18.8% | 1.14 | 6.21 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |