Erick Reynoso — OGILVIE

Erick Reynoso P Visalia Rawhide

Age 23 RHP 6'4" / 185 lbs A

2026 ROS PROJECTION31 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 166158vR 150

ERA7.02

FIP7.02

K%13.7%

BB%23.9%

K-BB%-10.2%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 37 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL2020

CMD2020

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	20	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs Red	12	7	34	159	25	26	3	58%	2.8	10.7%	20.4%	-9.7%	2.9%	6.95	6.37	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs Red	12	7	34	159	25	26	3	58%	2.8	10.7%	20.4%	-9.7%	2.9%	6.95	6.37	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	ACL D-backs Red	12	7	34	159	25	26	3	58%	2.8	15.7%	16.4%	-0.6%	1.9%	6.95	5.09	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	11	7	39	177	34	32	5	64%	3.6	13.1%	22.6%	-9.5%	4.5%	5.03	7.34	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	11	7	39	177	34	32	5	64%	3.6	13.1%	22.6%	-9.5%	4.5%	5.03	7.34	—
2024	21	ROK RAW	ACL D-backs	11	7	39	177	34	32	5	64%	3.6	19.2%	18.1%	1.1%	2.8%	5.03	5.46	—
2025	22	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	21	16	76	337	68	58	10	76%	3.6	14.9%	20.3%	-5.4%	3.0%	4.40	6.06	—
2025	22	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	21	16	76	337	68	58	10	76%	3.6	14.9%	20.3%	-5.4%	3.0%	4.40	6.06	—
2025	22	A RAW	Visalia Rawhide	21	16	76	337	68	58	10	76%	3.6	20.2%	17.2%	3.0%	3.0%	4.40	5.32	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	24	1	31	143	33	34	2	4%	1.3	17.1%	28.1%	-11.0%	1.8%	4.88	6.21	—
YTD	23	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	24	1	31	143	33	34	2	4%	1.3	17.1%	28.1%	-11.0%	1.8%	4.88	6.21	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	23	A RAW	ARI	24	1	31	143	33	34	2	4%	1.3	23.1%	23.8%	-0.7%	1.4%	4.88	4.93	—
ROS	23	MLB MLE	ARI	5	0	5	22	3	5	1	0%	1.0	13.7%	23.9%	-10.2%	3.0%	7.02	7.02	-0.1
2026 TOT	23	MLB MLE	ARI	—	—	37	165	36	39	3	—	—	21.8%	23.8%	-2.0%	1.6%	5.19	6.32	-0.7
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	ARI	66	0	70	295	47	60	9	0%	1.1	15.8%	20.5%	-4.7%	3.0%	6.53	6.39	-1.3
2028	25	MLB MLE	ARI	67	0	71	299	51	55	9	0%	1.1	17.0%	18.3%	-1.3%	3.0%	6.15	6.00	-1.1
2029	26	MLB MLE	ARI	67	0	71	299	53	53	9	0%	1.1	17.7%	17.8%	-0.2%	3.0%	5.96	5.89	-1.0
2030	27	MLB MLE	ARI	66	0	70	294	52	52	9	0%	1.1	17.8%	17.7%	0.1%	3.0%	5.90	5.88	-1.0
2031	28	MLB MLE	ARI	64	0	68	285	50	51	9	0%	1.1	17.7%	17.8%	-0.2%	3.1%	5.94	5.97	-1.0
2032	29	MLB MLE	ARI	61	0	64	272	47	49	9	0%	1.1	17.4%	18.1%	-0.6%	3.3%	6.04	6.10	-1.1
2027	24	MLB CTX	ARI	29	0	30	127	20	26	4	0%	1.0	15.8%	20.5%	-4.7%	3.0%	6.53	6.39	-0.6
2028	25	MLB CTX	ARI	45	0	47	198	34	36	6	0%	1.0	17.0%	18.3%	-1.3%	3.0%	6.15	6.00	-0.7
2029	26	MLB CTX	ARI	53	0	56	236	42	42	7	0%	1.1	17.7%	17.8%	-0.2%	3.0%	5.96	5.89	-0.8
2030	27	MLB CTX	ARI	56	0	59	249	44	44	8	0%	1.1	17.8%	17.7%	0.1%	3.0%	5.90	5.88	-0.8
2031	28	MLB CTX	ARI	57	0	60	253	45	45	8	0%	1.1	17.7%	17.8%	-0.2%	3.1%	5.94	5.97	-0.9
2032	29	MLB CTX	ARI	56	0	59	249	43	45	8	0%	1.1	17.4%	18.1%	-0.6%	3.3%	6.04	6.10	-1.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		296	0	311	1312	228	239	40	0%	1.0	17.4%	18.2%	-0.8%	3.1%	6.04	5.63	-3.9
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	147	154	26	0%	1.0	17.4%	18.2%	-0.8%	3.1%	6.04	5.63	-2.5
Career	—	MLE		68	31	180	816	115	181	25	46%	2.6	14.1%	22.2%	-8.1%	3.1%	5.10	6.42	-7.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		76	34	200	907	128	201	28	46%	2.6	14.1%	22.2%	-8.1%	3.1%	5.10	6.42	-3.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Erick Reynoso (OGILVIE)	—	—	7.02	13.7%	23.9%	3.0%	—	6.09	16.8%	-2.1%	211	-0.93	—	—	—
Garrett Apker R 2023 · 6.24 FIP	23	SW	6.24	15.0%	18.8%	3.7%	.343	4.93	18.9%	5.2%	53	-1.31	4.01	101	87
Pedro Garcia R 2018 · 6.06 FIP	23	SW	6.06	12.6%	24.0%	1.8%	.242	—	—	—	—	—	3.35	144	78
Jordan Brink R 2016 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	18.3%	19.2%	3.6%	.233	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	132	76
Rubén Menes R 2023 · 6.12 FIP	21	SP-	6.12	13.1%	21.9%	2.5%	.257	4.94	15.6%	2.1%	100	-1.18	3.39	112	75
Denis Diaz R 2017 · 6.35 FIP	22	SW	6.35	12.8%	19.4%	3.4%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	3.39	129	73
Erling Moreno R 2019 · 6.02 FIP	22	SP-	6.02	7.8%	18.2%	2.3%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	2.72	213	72
Elian Rodriguez R 2019 · 7.63 FIP	22	SW	7.63	14.2%	25.0%	4.7%	.388	5.60	18.3%	-3.6%	40	-2.03	5.60	109	72
Alexis Liebano R 2023 · 6.15 FIP	20	SU	6.15	11.8%	24.2%	1.8%	.312	6.00	17.7%	3.8%	112	-0.15	4.80	142	71
Gabe Emmett R 2023 · 6.05 FIP	22	SP-	6.05	13.5%	16.7%	3.6%	.271	5.32	14.6%	-3.6%	45	-0.73	4.60	163	71
Jordan Mikel R 2022 · 6.04 FIP	23	SW	6.04	12.8%	11.6%	4.7%	.229	3.65	20.1%	11.3%	115	-2.39	3.04	195	71
Eury Rosado R 2023 · 6.56 FIP	22	SW	6.56	17.8%	18.2%	4.8%	.351	—	—	—	—	—	3.83	109	71
Mason Denaburg R 2023 · 7.92 FIP	23	SU	7.92	11.9%	28.1%	4.1%	.314	4.48	13.9%	-2.1%	56	-3.44	4.48	151	71
Taylor Hawkins R 2017 · 5.98 FIP	23	SU	5.98	7.4%	19.5%	1.9%	.293	—	—	—	—	—	5.38	112	71
Jake Miller R 2023 · 6.02 FIP	23	SP-	6.02	7.5%	18.0%	2.3%	.216	4.75	16.0%	6.0%	157	-1.27	3.64	202	70
Nic Swanson R 2022 · 6.18 FIP	23	SP-	6.18	18.5%	15.9%	4.8%	.302	4.74	18.6%	7.7%	284	-1.44	4.29	438	70
Alex Santos II R 2023 · 6.17 FIP	21	SW	6.17	16.8%	17.5%	4.1%	.335	4.57	24.8%	8.5%	106	-1.60	3.51	313	70
German Taveras R 2016 · 6.41 FIP	23	SU	6.41	10.9%	15.7%	4.1%	.325	—	—	—	—	—	4.57	108	70
Huei-Sheng Lin R 2022 · 6.28 FIP	23	SW	6.28	16.6%	14.9%	4.9%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	4.59	120	69
Miguel Mora R 2023 · 6.90 FIP	21	SU	6.90	10.5%	26.8%	2.4%	.330	—	—	—	—	—	2.95	151	69
Oscar Verdugo R 2015 · 6.33 FIP	25	SP-	6.33	10.5%	13.9%	4.3%	.241	5.78	10.8%	-1.8%	74	-0.55	5.01	144	69

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.4	68	16.8%	19.1%	1.19	6.21
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82