Jose Vasquez — OGILVIE

Jose Vasquez P Ontario Tower Buzzers

Age 21 RHP 6'4" / 200 lbs A

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 18 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 147139vR 131

ERA6.01

FIP6.01

K%19.8%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%-0.2%

ROS IP18

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 18 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	11	6	26	146	26	32	1	55%	2.4	12.1%	27.4%	-15.3%	1.0%	11.62	6.07	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	11	6	26	146	26	32	1	55%	2.4	12.1%	27.4%	-15.3%	1.0%	11.62	6.07	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Twins	11	6	26	146	26	32	1	55%	2.4	17.8%	21.9%	-4.1%	0.7%	11.62	5.26	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	11	3	31	140	45	15	2	27%	2.8	21.9%	13.4%	8.5%	2.1%	4.99	4.12	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	11	3	31	140	45	15	2	27%	2.8	21.9%	13.4%	8.5%	2.1%	4.99	4.12	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL Twins	11	3	31	140	45	15	2	27%	2.8	32.1%	10.7%	21.4%	1.4%	4.99	2.48	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	15	8	31	173	38	34	7	53%	2.0	14.9%	24.6%	-9.6%	4.8%	13.79	7.57	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	15	8	31	173	38	34	7	53%	2.0	14.9%	24.6%	-9.6%	4.8%	13.79	7.57	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	ACL Dodgers	15	8	31	173	38	34	7	53%	2.0	22.0%	19.7%	2.3%	4.0%	13.79	6.92	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	A MLE	Ontario Tower Buzzers	31	0	35	180	41	40	1	0%	1.1	16.3%	27.0%	-10.8%	0.7%	9.00	5.55	—
YTD	21	A MLE	Ontario Tower Buzzers	31	0	35	180	41	40	1	0%	1.1	16.3%	27.0%	-10.8%	0.7%	9.00	5.55	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	21	ROK RAW	LAD	15	0	15	86	17	21	0	0%	1.0	19.8%	24.4%	-4.7%	0.0%	13.50	4.52	—
2026	21	A RAW	LAD	16	0	20	94	24	19	1	0%	1.3	25.5%	20.2%	5.3%	1.1%	5.75	4.09	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	LAD	34	0	36	152	32	25	5	0%	1.1	21.2%	16.6%	4.6%	3.0%	5.60	5.43	-0.3
2027	22	MLB CTX	LAD	17	0	18	76	16	13	2	0%	1.1	21.2%	16.6%	4.6%	3.0%	5.60	5.43	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		17	0	18	75	16	12	2	0%	1.0	21.2%	16.6%	4.6%	3.0%	5.60	5.05	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	181	136	23	0%	1.1	21.2%	16.6%	4.6%	3.0%	5.60	5.05	-1.2
Career	—	MLE		68	17	123	639	103	150	14	25%	1.8	16.2%	23.5%	-7.3%	2.2%	9.76	5.90	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		111	28	200	1042	169	244	23	25%	1.8	16.2%	23.5%	-7.3%	2.2%	9.76	5.90	-2.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jose Vasquez (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.01	19.8%	20.0%	3.1%	—	5.43	21.2%	4.6%	36	-0.58	—	—	—
Jordan Brink R 2016 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	18.3%	19.2%	3.6%	.233	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	132	84
James Acuna R 2021 · 5.12 FIP	23	SU	5.12	21.3%	17.0%	3.0%	.302	4.33	19.4%	4.6%	60	-0.79	4.33	107	82
Jackson Rose R 2018 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	17.3%	17.2%	2.8%	.267	4.77	23.5%	16.5%	56	-0.55	3.33	147	82
Jaydenn Estanista R 2023 · 6.67 FIP	21	SU	6.67	16.7%	25.7%	3.1%	.348	4.95	21.5%	5.6%	143	-1.72	4.59	230	82
Paul Gervase R 2022 · 4.91 FIP	22	SU	4.91	20.3%	16.2%	2.7%	.345	3.79	29.0%	15.6%	152	-1.12	3.38	209	82
Yovanny Cabrera R 2022 · 6.15 FIP	21	SU	6.15	17.5%	19.5%	3.8%	.274	4.91	18.2%	1.9%	128	-1.24	4.39	243	82
Conor Grady R 2021 · 5.28 FIP	22	SU	5.28	17.2%	19.0%	2.2%	.242	4.62	16.9%	5.1%	96	-0.66	4.62	108	81
Juan Martinez R 2021 · 5.12 FIP	20	SW	5.12	17.4%	20.8%	1.6%	.314	5.54	15.4%	-0.3%	31	+0.42	4.03	122	81
Keegan Collett R 2019 · 5.05 FIP	21	SW	5.05	21.9%	24.6%	1.2%	.321	4.68	29.1%	9.0%	84	-0.37	3.93	184	81
Marcus Crescentini R 2015 · 5.80 FIP	22	SU	5.80	21.8%	21.9%	3.2%	.365	3.95	23.3%	11.6%	123	-1.85	2.74	150	81
Jonathan Jimenez R 2023 · 5.41 FIP	19	SU	5.41	16.4%	16.2%	3.0%	.333	5.09	14.1%	2.2%	178	-0.32	3.49	189	81
Andrew Schultz R 2019 · 5.25 FIP	22	SU	5.25	20.9%	17.8%	3.0%	.345	4.59	23.0%	4.7%	45	-0.66	3.10	167	81
Jordy Luciano R 2022 · 4.97 FIP	21	SU	4.97	24.9%	22.3%	2.1%	.306	5.33	17.1%	-4.8%	80	+0.36	4.97	104	80
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	80
Elison Joseph R 2022 · 4.91 FIP	21	SU	4.91	19.6%	20.3%	1.6%	.310	4.33	24.8%	6.9%	138	-0.58	3.32	217	80
Brandon Dufault R 2021 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	22.1%	15.9%	3.8%	.278	4.83	21.0%	4.2%	66	-0.49	4.38	152	80
Cory Thompson R 2017 · 5.42 FIP	22	SU	5.42	15.2%	15.7%	2.9%	.289	4.34	16.3%	10.6%	131	-1.08	3.59	218	80
José Mesa Jr. R 2016 · 5.41 FIP	22	SU	5.41	22.4%	17.2%	3.7%	.311	4.00	22.8%	9.6%	113	-1.41	3.33	176	80
Sandy Gaston R 2023 · 6.60 FIP	21	SW	6.60	17.7%	24.0%	3.6%	.295	4.96	22.7%	4.4%	131	-1.64	4.17	310	80
Tommy McCollum R 2021 · 6.21 FIP	22	SU	6.21	17.1%	27.2%	2.0%	.235	3.80	26.4%	10.9%	112	-2.41	2.90	219	80

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	27	20.8%	17.7%	1.16	5.74
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91