Yovanny Cabrera — OGILVIE

Yovanny Cabrera P South Bend Cubs

Age 25 RHP 6'2" / 180 lbs A+

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 136128vR 120

ERA5.43

FIP5.43

K%18.8%

BB%15.4%

K-BB%3.4%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs 2	19	5	42	180	48	31	1	26%	2.2	18.1%	21.5%	-3.4%	0.8%	4.32	4.72	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs 2	19	5	42	180	48	31	1	26%	2.2	26.7%	17.2%	9.4%	0.6%	4.32	3.34	—
2021	20	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	12	10	42	192	41	21	4	83%	3.5	14.5%	13.7%	0.8%	2.9%	6.70	5.18	—
2021	20	ROK RAW	ACL Cubs	12	10	42	192	41	21	4	83%	3.5	21.4%	10.9%	10.4%	2.1%	6.70	3.89	—
2022	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	2	31	149	37	24	4	12%	1.9	17.5%	19.5%	-1.9%	3.8%	5.23	6.15	—
2022	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	16	2	31	149	37	24	4	12%	1.9	24.8%	16.1%	8.7%	2.7%	5.23	4.71	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	0	72	312	80	42	5	0%	2.1	19.1%	15.8%	3.3%	2.1%	3.73	4.63	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	0	72	312	80	42	5	0%	2.1	19.1%	15.8%	3.3%	2.1%	3.73	4.63	—
2023	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	34	0	72	312	80	42	5	0%	2.1	25.6%	13.5%	12.2%	1.6%	3.73	3.53	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	33	0	45	207	49	30	5	0%	1.4	18.2%	16.7%	1.6%	3.3%	3.97	5.49	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	33	0	45	207	49	30	5	0%	1.4	18.2%	16.7%	1.6%	3.3%	3.97	5.49	—
2024	23	A+ RAW	South Bend Cubs	33	0	45	207	49	30	5	0%	1.4	23.7%	14.5%	9.2%	2.4%	3.97	4.36	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	7	0	11	50	8	8	0	0%	1.5	12.3%	18.4%	-6.1%	0.0%	5.91	4.39	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	7	0	11	50	8	8	0	0%	1.5	12.3%	18.4%	-6.1%	0.0%	5.91	4.39	—
2025	24	A+ RAW	South Bend Cubs	7	0	11	50	8	8	0	0%	1.5	16.0%	16.0%	0.0%	0.0%	5.91	3.85	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	25	MLB	CHC	1	0	1	4	1	1	0	0%	1.0	18.8%	15.4%	3.4%	2.9%	5.43	5.43	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	CHC	39	0	41	172	34	25	5	0%	1.0	19.8%	14.8%	5.0%	2.9%	5.29	5.27	-0.3
2027	26	MLB CTX	CHC	17	0	18	76	15	11	2	0%	1.1	19.8%	14.8%	5.0%	2.9%	5.29	5.27	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		17	0	18	74	15	11	2	0%	1.0	19.8%	14.8%	5.0%	2.9%	5.29	4.89	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	171	125	23	0%	1.1	19.8%	14.8%	5.0%	2.9%	5.29	4.89	-0.8
Career	—	MLE		121	17	243	1090	190	187	26	14%	2.0	17.4%	17.2%	0.3%	2.4%	4.67	5.10	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		100	14	200	898	157	154	21	14%	2.0	17.4%	17.2%	0.3%	2.4%	4.67	5.10	-1.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Yovanny Cabrera (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.43	18.8%	15.4%	2.9%	—	5.27	19.8%	5.0%	41	-0.16	—	—	—
Andrew McInvale R 2022 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	17.6%	15.9%	2.8%	.324	6.44	24.5%	10.0%	23	+1.29	4.92	103	87
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	83
Kevin Kopps R 2022 · 4.56 FIP	25	SU	4.56	20.2%	15.1%	2.3%	.278	4.42	16.0%	3.7%	182	-0.14	3.46	237	82
Yordy Cabrera R 2016 · 4.99 FIP	25	SU	4.99	15.8%	17.2%	1.9%	.321	4.17	13.7%	2.7%	140	-0.82	3.43	159	82
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	82
Jake Gilbert R 2022 · 4.65 FIP	25	SU	4.65	18.2%	16.2%	1.9%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	4.14	103	82
Ray Gaither R 2023 · 4.89 FIP	25	SU	4.89	18.1%	16.4%	2.3%	.278	4.19	17.7%	6.6%	90	-0.70	3.90	164	81
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.37	14.7%	3.6%	156	+0.91	4.46	215	81
Tanner Duncan R 2019 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	17.5%	14.8%	3.4%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	3.28	123	81
Sean Wymer R 2022 · 4.71 FIP	25	SU	4.71	18.2%	14.1%	2.5%	.227	—	—	—	—	—	4.18	188	81
Marc Brakeman R 2018 · 4.67 FIP	24	SU	4.67	18.3%	13.7%	2.5%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	3.85	156	81
Danny Reynolds R 2016 · 4.72 FIP	25	SU	4.72	16.6%	16.8%	1.6%	.263	3.71	16.0%	4.3%	88	-1.01	3.29	165	80
Jarret Whorff R 2023 · 4.24 FIP	24	SW	4.24	19.5%	14.2%	1.8%	.287	4.36	19.2%	10.6%	193	+0.12	3.92	257	80
Ryan Conroy R 2022 · 4.75 FIP	25	SU	4.75	19.3%	12.6%	3.1%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	106	80
Derek Eitel R 2015 · 4.35 FIP	27	SU	4.35	18.1%	13.9%	1.8%	.338	4.26	19.7%	5.0%	113	-0.09	3.96	138	79
Tyler Burch R 2023 · 4.92 FIP	25	SU	4.92	15.0%	12.6%	2.7%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	119	79
Yaramil Hiraldo R 2021 · 4.86 FIP	25	SU	4.86	18.5%	15.5%	2.5%	.270	—	—	—	—	—	2.88	153	79
Everhett Hazelwood R 2023 · 5.70 FIP	24	SU	5.70	19.0%	15.4%	4.1%	.343	9.36	17.5%	0.6%	14	+3.66	5.23	117	79
Jordan Brink R 2016 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	18.3%	19.2%	3.6%	.233	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	132	79
David Holman R 2017 · 5.53 FIP	27	SU	5.53	15.6%	12.7%	3.9%	.324	5.45	9.6%	0.5%	107	-0.08	5.28	129	79

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	28	19.5%	15.0%	1.12	5.33
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91