Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | DSL Cubs 2 | 19 | 5 | 42 | 180 | 48 | 31 | 1 | 26% | 2.2 | 18.1% | 21.5% | -3.4% | 0.8% | 4.32 | 4.72 | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | DSL Cubs 2 | 19 | 5 | 42 | 180 | 48 | 31 | 1 | 26% | 2.2 | 26.7% | 17.2% | 9.4% | 0.6% | 4.32 | 3.34 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | ACL Cubs | 12 | 10 | 42 | 192 | 41 | 21 | 4 | 83% | 3.5 | 14.5% | 13.7% | 0.8% | 2.8% | 6.70 | 5.16 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | ACL Cubs | 12 | 10 | 42 | 192 | 41 | 21 | 4 | 83% | 3.5 | 21.4% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 2.1% | 6.70 | 3.89 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 16 | 2 | 31 | 149 | 37 | 24 | 4 | 12% | 1.9 | 17.5% | 19.5% | -1.9% | 4.0% | 5.23 | 6.27 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 16 | 2 | 31 | 149 | 37 | 24 | 4 | 12% | 1.9 | 24.8% | 16.1% | 8.7% | 2.7% | 5.23 | 4.71 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 0 | 72 | 312 | 80 | 42 | 5 | 0% | 2.1 | 19.1% | 15.8% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.73 | 4.65 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 0 | 72 | 312 | 80 | 42 | 5 | 0% | 2.1 | 25.6% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 1.6% | 3.73 | 3.53 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | 33 | 0 | 45 | 207 | 49 | 30 | 5 | 0% | 1.4 | 18.2% | 16.7% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 3.97 | 5.70 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | 33 | 0 | 45 | 207 | 49 | 30 | 5 | 0% | 1.4 | 23.7% | 14.5% | 9.2% | 2.4% | 3.97 | 4.36 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | 7 | 0 | 11 | 50 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0% | 1.5 | 12.3% | 18.4% | -6.1% | 0.0% | 5.91 | 4.39 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | 7 | 0 | 11 | 50 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0% | 1.5 | 16.0% | 16.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.91 | 3.85 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | CHC | 15 | 0 | 16 | 68 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.6% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 2.9% | 4.71 | 4.71 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | CHC | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.9% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 2.9% | 4.66 | 4.65 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | CHC | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.9% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 2.9% | 4.66 | 4.65 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 8 | 0 | 9 | 36 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.9% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 2.9% | 4.66 | 4.27 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 186 | 93 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.9% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 2.9% | 4.66 | 4.27 | +2.6 | ||
| Career | — | 121 | 17 | 243 | 1090 | 190 | 187 | 27 | 14% | 2.0 | 17.4% | 17.2% | 0.3% | 2.5% | 4.67 | 5.16 | +0.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 100 | 14 | 200 | 898 | 157 | 154 | 22 | 14% | 2.0 | 17.4% | 17.2% | 0.3% | 2.5% | 4.67 | 5.16 | +0.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Yovanny Cabrera (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.71 | 21.6% | 11.5% | 2.9% | — | 4.65 | 21.9% | 10.8% | 20 | -0.06 | — | — | — |
| Chris Jefferson R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.74 | 22.4% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .330 | 4.97 | 16.5% | 3.9% | 101 | +1.23 | 3.74 | 140 | 85 |
| Barrett Loseke R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.36 | 21.7% | 10.1% | 3.3% | .311 | 5.39 | 24.0% | 10.9% | 22 | +1.03 | 4.36 | 152 | 82 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2027 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.91 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.01 | 3.21 | 161 | 81 |
| Jordan Milbrath R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.04 | 19.9% | 10.4% | 2.4% | .272 | 3.57 | 19.6% | 9.7% | 129 | -0.47 | 3.26 | 386 | 81 |
| Ryan Conroy R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.73 | 19.3% | 12.6% | 3.0% | .361 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.86 | 106 | 81 |
| Brad Deppermann R 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.65 | 17.1% | 9.6% | 3.2% | .289 | 3.44 | 20.0% | 7.8% | 45 | -1.21 | 1.94 | 143 | 81 |
| Dylan Hall R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.02 | 21.0% | 13.2% | 1.9% | .305 | 7.93 | 15.1% | 2.4% | 58 | +3.91 | 3.54 | 153 | 80 |
| Easton Sikorski R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.24 | 21.1% | 10.6% | 2.9% | .286 | 6.43 | 14.1% | 7.0% | 24 | +2.19 | 4.09 | 183 | 80 |
| Trevor Martin R 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.57 | 18.8% | 12.0% | 2.8% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.15 | 321 | 80 |
| Cody Tucker R 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.98 | 22.0% | 12.0% | 4.0% | .272 | 5.11 | 15.8% | -1.9% | 40 | +0.13 | 4.98 | 105 | 80 |
| Jackson Hicks R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.94 | 22.6% | 10.5% | 2.6% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 116 | 80 |
| Jarret Whorff R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.26 | 18.9% | 10.2% | 2.7% | .271 | 4.65 | 19.5% | 11.5% | 99 | +0.39 | 3.81 | 233 | 80 |
| Hunter Mann R 2025 · 4.27 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.27 | 19.6% | 11.5% | 2.5% | .256 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.01 | 135 | 80 |
| Jason Stoffel R 2027 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.54 | 23.4% | 10.1% | 2.1% | .267 | 3.70 | 27.2% | 19.2% | 59 | +0.16 | 3.54 | 103 | 79 |
| Cameron Gann R 2025 · 4.16 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.16 | 21.4% | 12.4% | 2.4% | .296 | 5.44 | 21.1% | 6.8% | 23 | +1.28 | 3.52 | 146 | 79 |
| Ben Hecht R 2025 · 4.56 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.56 | 22.7% | 12.9% | 3.2% | .293 | 7.95 | 14.1% | -11.4% | 13 | +3.39 | 4.55 | 155 | 79 |
| Carter Rustad R 2026 · 4.84 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.84 | 19.1% | 8.6% | 4.1% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.35 | 101 | 79 |
| Dakota Donovan R 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.70 | 21.9% | 10.3% | 2.1% | .291 | 3.67 | 18.9% | 6.4% | 50 | -0.03 | 3.17 | 153 | 79 |
| Austin Ross R 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.51 | 20.7% | 9.6% | 3.5% | .281 | 4.91 | 21.2% | 5.7% | 55 | +0.40 | 4.51 | 121 | 79 |
| Brayden Spears R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.25 | 19.9% | 10.9% | 2.6% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.07 | 105 | 79 |