Antonio Florido — OGILVIE

Antonio Florido P Lakeland Flying Tigers

Age 21 RHP 6'1" / 175 lbs A

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 19 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 136128vR 119

ERA5.40

FIP5.40

K%20.9%

BB%16.6%

K-BB%4.3%

ROS IP20

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 19 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	13	6	21	112	14	18	3	46%	1.6	8.5%	20.1%	-11.6%	3.8%	9.00	6.99	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Tigers 1	13	6	21	112	14	18	3	46%	1.6	12.5%	16.1%	-3.6%	2.7%	9.00	6.20	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	6	2	9	45	6	7	2	33%	1.6	13.3%	15.6%	-2.2%	4.4%	8.68	6.38	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	6	2	9	45	6	7	2	33%	1.6	13.3%	15.6%	-2.2%	4.4%	8.68	6.38	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Tigers 2	6	2	9	45	6	7	2	33%	1.6	13.3%	15.6%	-2.2%	4.4%	8.68	6.85	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	12	12	46	206	42	35	1	100%	3.8	13.9%	21.2%	-7.4%	0.6%	2.93	4.96	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	12	12	46	206	42	35	1	100%	3.8	13.9%	21.2%	-7.4%	0.6%	2.93	4.96	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL Tigers 1	12	12	46	206	42	35	1	100%	3.8	20.4%	17.0%	3.4%	0.5%	2.93	3.84	—
2025	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	0	29	122	37	15	1	0%	1.4	21.7%	15.5%	6.2%	1.4%	4.08	4.00	—
2025	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	0	29	122	37	15	1	0%	1.4	21.7%	15.5%	6.2%	1.4%	4.08	4.00	—
2025	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	20	0	29	122	37	15	1	0%	1.4	30.3%	12.3%	18.0%	0.8%	4.08	2.54	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	16	0	18	92	20	22	1	0%	1.1	17.3%	36.9%	-19.5%	2.0%	7.00	7.42	—
YTD	21	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	16	0	18	92	20	22	1	0%	1.1	17.3%	36.9%	-19.5%	2.0%	7.00	7.42	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	21	ROK RAW	DET	6	0	7	28	5	2	0	0%	1.1	17.9%	7.1%	10.7%	0.0%	1.35	2.50	—
2026	21	A RAW	DET	10	0	11	64	15	20	1	0%	1.1	23.4%	31.2%	-7.8%	1.6%	10.32	5.94	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	DET	41	0	44	184	40	26	5	0%	1.1	22.0%	14.1%	7.9%	2.8%	5.10	4.97	-0.2
2027	22	MLB CTX	DET	20	0	21	89	20	13	3	0%	1.1	22.0%	14.1%	7.9%	2.8%	5.10	4.97	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		20	0	21	90	20	13	3	0%	1.1	22.0%	14.1%	7.9%	2.8%	5.10	4.59	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	187	122	28	0%	1.1	22.0%	14.1%	7.9%	2.8%	5.10	4.59	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		67	20	123	577	86	126	11	30%	1.8	15.0%	21.8%	-6.9%	1.9%	5.27	5.66	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		109	33	200	938	141	205	18	30%	1.8	15.0%	21.8%	-6.9%	1.9%	5.27	5.66	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Antonio Florido (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.40	20.9%	16.6%	2.9%	—	4.97	22.0%	7.9%	44	-0.43	—	—	—
James Acuna R 2021 · 5.12 FIP	23	SU	5.12	21.3%	17.0%	3.0%	.302	4.33	19.4%	4.6%	60	-0.79	4.33	107	85
Blake Holub R 2022 · 4.55 FIP	23	SU	4.55	21.7%	15.3%	2.4%	.339	3.76	23.1%	12.3%	156	-0.79	3.23	254	85
Brandon Dufault R 2021 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	22.1%	15.9%	3.8%	.278	4.83	21.0%	4.2%	66	-0.49	4.38	152	84
Paul Gervase R 2022 · 4.91 FIP	22	SU	4.91	20.3%	16.2%	2.7%	.345	3.79	29.0%	15.6%	152	-1.12	3.38	209	84
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	84
Osiel Rodriguez R 2023 · 4.82 FIP	21	SU	4.82	22.7%	15.7%	3.0%	.263	5.62	22.0%	7.6%	56	+0.80	3.38	124	83
Tyler Santana R 2021 · 4.28 FIP	23	SU	4.28	20.3%	15.1%	1.8%	.333	4.37	16.0%	5.7%	259	+0.09	3.37	399	83
Tommy DeJuneas R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	21	SU	4.72	19.1%	15.5%	2.3%	.357	4.59	20.8%	4.9%	100	-0.13	3.93	178	83
Cre Finfrock R 2018 · 4.27 FIP	22	SW	4.27	17.9%	16.5%	1.1%	.286	4.63	23.0%	11.3%	38	+0.36	4.27	103	83
Morgan McSweeney R 2021 · 5.36 FIP	23	SU	5.36	21.9%	16.3%	3.7%	.295	5.17	18.2%	4.9%	93	-0.19	3.20	213	82
José Mesa Jr. R 2016 · 5.41 FIP	22	SU	5.41	22.4%	17.2%	3.7%	.311	4.00	22.8%	9.6%	113	-1.41	3.33	176	82
Jordy Luciano R 2022 · 4.97 FIP	21	SU	4.97	24.9%	22.3%	2.1%	.306	5.33	17.1%	-4.8%	80	+0.36	4.97	104	82
Kasey Ford R 2021 · 4.89 FIP	23	SU	4.89	20.3%	14.5%	3.0%	.310	4.26	21.9%	5.8%	98	-0.63	2.53	114	82
Adam Ravenelle R 2015 · 4.32 FIP	22	SU	4.32	19.6%	14.8%	1.8%	.322	5.06	17.1%	4.3%	130	+0.74	4.32	165	82
Tyler Smith R 2018 · 5.30 FIP	22	SU	5.30	17.8%	14.3%	3.4%	.329	4.35	19.8%	7.8%	94	-0.95	3.44	121	82
Daniel Procopio R 2017 · 4.33 FIP	21	SU	4.33	23.4%	18.8%	1.5%	.283	4.43	20.5%	6.5%	81	+0.10	4.16	103	81
Tanner Cooper R 2021 · 4.71 FIP	21	SW	4.71	17.1%	14.1%	2.3%	.338	5.15	14.4%	6.7%	121	+0.44	4.51	148	81
Andrew Schultz R 2019 · 5.25 FIP	22	SU	5.25	20.9%	17.8%	3.0%	.345	4.59	23.0%	4.7%	45	-0.66	3.10	167	81
Jordan Brink R 2016 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	18.3%	19.2%	3.6%	.233	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	132	81
Rolddy Muñoz R 2021 · 4.32 FIP	21	SU	4.32	21.4%	13.7%	2.4%	.342	3.54	21.1%	9.8%	149	-0.78	3.18	287	81

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	32	21.7%	14.9%	1.10	5.19
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99