Bryan Sanchez — OGILVIE

Bryan Sanchez P FCL Nationals

Age 23 RHP 6'1" / 175 lbs ROK

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 140132vR 124

ERA5.62

FIP5.62

K%18.2%

BB%16.0%

K-BB%2.2%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	16	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	13	5	24	114	23	20	1	38%	1.8	13.7%	21.9%	-8.2%	1.2%	5.62	5.39	—
2019	16	ROK RAW	DSL Nationals	13	5	24	114	23	20	1	38%	1.8	20.2%	17.5%	2.6%	0.9%	5.62	4.22	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	9	8	19	87	21	7	0	89%	2.1	16.4%	10.1%	6.4%	0.0%	3.79	2.99	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	FCL Nationals	9	8	19	87	21	7	0	89%	2.1	24.1%	8.0%	16.1%	0.0%	3.79	1.99	—
2023	20	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	12	6	34	165	35	27	5	50%	2.8	15.7%	19.3%	-3.6%	4.3%	6.42	6.58	—
2023	20	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	12	6	34	165	35	27	5	50%	2.8	15.7%	19.3%	-3.6%	4.3%	6.42	6.58	—
2023	20	A RAW	Fredericksburg Nationals	12	6	34	165	35	27	5	50%	2.8	21.2%	16.4%	4.8%	3.0%	6.42	5.36	—
2024	21	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	24	8	50	250	42	39	4	33%	2.1	12.4%	18.4%	-6.0%	1.9%	6.66	5.44	—
2024	21	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	24	8	50	250	42	39	4	33%	2.1	12.4%	18.4%	-6.0%	1.9%	6.66	5.44	—
2024	21	A RAW	Fredericksburg Nationals	24	8	50	250	42	39	4	33%	2.1	16.8%	15.6%	1.2%	1.6%	6.66	4.80	—
2025	22	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	13	0	15	75	24	9	4	0%	1.2	21.8%	15.0%	6.8%	5.6%	9.39	6.25	—
2025	22	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	13	0	15	75	24	9	4	0%	1.2	21.8%	15.0%	6.8%	5.6%	9.39	6.25	—
2025	22	ROK RAW	FCL Nationals	13	0	15	75	24	9	4	0%	1.2	32.0%	12.0%	20.0%	5.3%	9.39	5.12	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	23	MLB	WSH	1	0	1	4	1	1	0	0%	1.0	18.2%	16.0%	2.2%	3.0%	5.62	5.62	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	WSH	44	0	46	195	38	27	6	0%	1.0	19.7%	13.9%	5.8%	3.0%	5.32	5.20	-0.3
2028	25	MLB MLE	WSH	44	0	47	197	40	25	6	0%	1.1	20.5%	12.5%	8.0%	3.0%	5.07	4.95	-0.2
2027	24	MLB CTX	WSH	19	0	20	84	17	12	3	0%	1.1	19.7%	13.9%	5.8%	3.0%	5.32	5.20	-0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	WSH	30	0	31	131	27	16	4	0%	1.0	20.5%	12.5%	8.0%	3.0%	5.07	4.95	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		48	0	51	214	43	28	6	0%	1.1	20.2%	13.0%	7.2%	3.0%	5.17	4.67	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	170	111	24	0%	1.1	20.2%	13.0%	7.2%	3.0%	5.17	4.67	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		71	27	142	691	103	123	18	38%	2.0	14.9%	17.8%	-2.8%	2.5%	6.34	5.48	-0.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		100	38	200	973	145	173	25	38%	2.0	14.9%	17.8%	-2.8%	2.5%	6.34	5.48	-1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Bryan Sanchez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.62	18.2%	16.0%	3.0%	—	5.07	20.1%	6.9%	93	-0.55	—	—	—
Jordan Brink R 2016 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	18.3%	19.2%	3.6%	.233	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	132	87
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	82
Joey Matulovich R 2019 · 5.52 FIP	22	SW	5.52	19.8%	14.6%	4.1%	.378	5.04	20.5%	8.9%	133	-0.48	3.22	201	81
Josh White R 2023 · 5.12 FIP	22	SW	5.12	17.7%	13.9%	3.2%	.244	3.19	27.2%	16.7%	182	-1.93	1.90	247	81
Garrett Apker R 2023 · 6.24 FIP	23	SW	6.24	15.0%	18.8%	3.7%	.343	4.93	18.9%	5.2%	53	-1.31	4.01	101	80
Blake Holub R 2022 · 4.55 FIP	23	SU	4.55	21.7%	15.3%	2.4%	.339	3.76	23.1%	12.3%	156	-0.79	3.23	254	79
Jhonny Polanco R 2015 · 4.75 FIP	23	SW	4.75	18.9%	14.2%	2.6%	.283	4.06	21.3%	5.7%	48	-0.69	4.06	116	78
Victor Simeon R 2023 · 5.53 FIP	22	SW	5.53	20.3%	15.7%	3.9%	.333	3.87	25.6%	5.4%	81	-1.66	3.22	180	78
Blake Quinn R 2017 · 5.41 FIP	23	SW	5.41	16.9%	15.3%	3.3%	.328	4.42	17.1%	3.3%	48	-0.99	4.42	122	78
Alec Barger R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SW	4.55	21.7%	13.6%	2.8%	.289	4.17	21.3%	9.4%	148	-0.38	3.85	242	78
Drake Fellows R 2023 · 5.66 FIP	25	SW	5.66	17.1%	20.4%	2.6%	.367	4.91	14.2%	5.1%	266	-0.75	4.32	277	78
Cole Percival R 2022 · 5.21 FIP	23	SU	5.21	15.4%	14.5%	2.9%	.297	4.27	17.9%	5.9%	182	-0.94	3.58	327	77
Heath Slatton R 2017 · 5.56 FIP	23	SW	5.56	17.9%	12.9%	4.3%	.382	—	—	—	—	—	2.46	120	76
James Acuna R 2021 · 5.12 FIP	23	SU	5.12	21.3%	17.0%	3.0%	.302	4.33	19.4%	4.6%	60	-0.79	4.33	107	76
Eury Rosado R 2023 · 6.56 FIP	22	SW	6.56	17.8%	18.2%	4.8%	.351	—	—	—	—	—	3.83	109	76
Nick Lockhart R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	22	SW	4.63	16.1%	10.6%	2.8%	.274	—	—	—	—	—	4.44	140	75
Luis Rujano R 2023 · 4.68 FIP	20	SW	4.68	17.1%	16.6%	1.7%	.309	4.74	17.4%	0.9%	149	+0.06	4.54	202	74
Eli Saul R 2023 · 5.41 FIP	21	SW	5.41	12.6%	14.2%	2.9%	.305	5.39	13.8%	-2.9%	98	-0.02	5.30	157	74
Jon Keller R 2016 · 5.48 FIP	23	SW	5.48	15.3%	20.9%	1.9%	.265	3.84	8.9%	-2.9%	15	-1.64	3.64	156	74
Todd Peterson R 2021 · 5.11 FIP	23	SW	5.11	18.4%	10.3%	4.1%	.279	4.83	15.0%	4.3%	124	-0.28	4.45	175	74

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.5	36	19.8%	13.6%	1.15	5.26
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77