Angel Reyes
P
Erie SeaWolves
Age 28
RHP
6'2" / 205 lbs
AA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 42 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 130121vR 112
ERA4.93
FIP4.93
K%19.4%
BB%10.7%
K-BB%8.7%
ROS IP42
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 42 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 20 | ROK | GCL Tigers West | 15 | 0 | 23 | 103 | 25 | 16 | 1 | 0% | 1.6 | 16.5% | 19.4% | -2.9% | 1.4% | 3.09 | 4.91 | — |
| 2018 | 20 | ROK | GCL Tigers West | 15 | 0 | 23 | 103 | 25 | 16 | 1 | 0% | 1.6 | 24.3% | 15.5% | 8.7% | 1.0% | 3.09 | 3.57 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A | West Michigan Whitecaps | 46 | 0 | 60 | 267 | 64 | 34 | 4 | 0% | 1.3 | 17.7% | 15.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.60 | 4.86 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A | West Michigan Whitecaps | 46 | 0 | 60 | 267 | 64 | 34 | 4 | 0% | 1.3 | 24.0% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 1.5% | 3.60 | 3.53 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | West Michigan Whitecaps | 40 | 0 | 59 | 252 | 54 | 17 | 5 | 0% | 1.5 | 16.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 3.6% | 3.51 | 4.68 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | West Michigan Whitecaps | 40 | 0 | 59 | 252 | 54 | 17 | 5 | 0% | 1.5 | 21.4% | 6.7% | 14.7% | 2.0% | 3.51 | 3.24 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 3 | 47 | 204 | 36 | 22 | 4 | 10% | 1.6 | 13.3% | 12.6% | 0.7% | 3.1% | 3.99 | 5.25 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 3 | 47 | 204 | 36 | 22 | 4 | 10% | 1.6 | 17.6% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 2.0% | 3.99 | 4.07 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | A+ | West Michigan Whitecaps | 34 | 4 | 56 | 254 | 45 | 25 | 2 | 12% | 1.6 | 13.6% | 11.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 4.50 | 4.09 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | A+ | West Michigan Whitecaps | 34 | 4 | 56 | 254 | 45 | 25 | 2 | 12% | 1.6 | 17.7% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 0.8% | 4.50 | 3.30 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 35 | 4 | 67 | 306 | 51 | 34 | 7 | 11% | 1.9 | 13.3% | 12.3% | 0.9% | 3.9% | 5.40 | 5.66 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 35 | 4 | 67 | 306 | 51 | 34 | 7 | 11% | 1.9 | 16.7% | 11.1% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 5.40 | 4.46 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | DET | 40 | 0 | 42 | 178 | 35 | 19 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.4% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 3.2% | 4.93 | 4.93 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | DET | 38 | 0 | 40 | 170 | 33 | 18 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.6% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 3.3% | 4.95 | 5.00 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | DET | 12 | 0 | 13 | 55 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.6% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 3.3% | 4.95 | 5.00 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 12 | 0 | 13 | 53 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.6% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 3.3% | 4.95 | 4.62 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 159 | 95 | 32 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.6% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 3.3% | 4.95 | 4.62 | +1.8 | ||
| Career | — | 200 | 11 | 312 | 1386 | 208 | 172 | 38 | 6% | 1.6 | 15.0% | 12.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.15 | 4.93 | +1.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 128 | 7 | 200 | 888 | 133 | 110 | 25 | 6% | 1.6 | 15.0% | 12.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.15 | 4.93 | +1.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Angel Reyes (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.93 | 19.4% | 10.7% | 3.2% | — | 5.00 | 19.6% | 8.8% | 40 | +0.07 | — | — | — |
| Ryan Cook R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.69 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.1% | .297 | 4.04 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.65 | 4.04 | 102 | 89 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.96 | 20.1% | 11.6% | 3.8% | .275 | 7.33 | 13.9% | -1.9% | 30 | +2.37 | 3.78 | 180 | 88 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 88 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2028 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.30 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.57 | 1.30 | 218 | 87 |
| Luis Mateo R 2025 · 4.33 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.33 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.4% | .309 | 5.34 | 8.6% | -4.8% | 43 | +1.01 | 3.43 | 160 | 86 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.39 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.65 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.26 | 4.39 | 101 | 85 |
| Rob Scahill R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.83 | 16.9% | 7.7% | 2.1% | .288 | 3.34 | 17.9% | 10.1% | 171 | -0.49 | 2.93 | 201 | 84 |
| Jhan Mariñez R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.99 | 17.2% | 8.8% | 2.2% | .309 | 4.16 | 21.2% | 13.3% | 48 | +0.17 | 3.23 | 253 | 84 |
| Ronald Peña R 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.51 | 20.5% | 12.6% | 2.8% | .355 | 4.54 | 16.5% | 6.1% | 39 | +0.03 | 3.57 | 187 | 82 |
| Mike Adams R 2025 · 5.26 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.26 | 17.1% | 11.2% | 4.0% | .326 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.66 | 109 | 82 |
| Joe Colón J R 2025 · 4.04 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.04 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.1% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 113 | 82 |
| Francisco Mendoza R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.11 | 17.9% | 7.7% | 2.8% | .344 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 120 | 82 |
| Josh Zeid R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.21 | 16.6% | 12.5% | 1.7% | .302 | 5.16 | 16.9% | 5.7% | 194 | +0.95 | 4.21 | 265 | 81 |
| Wil Browning R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.58 | 17.9% | 13.1% | 2.4% | .359 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.12 | 162 | 81 |
| Javy Guerra R 2028 · 4.25 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.25 | 21.3% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .303 | 3.99 | 19.5% | 13.0% | 193 | -0.26 | 2.95 | 260 | 81 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2027 · 4.07 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.07 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .241 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.01 | 3.28 | 149 | 81 |
| Beck Wheeler R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.09 | 15.3% | 12.2% | 3.2% | .347 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.42 | 173 | 81 |
| A.J. Schugel R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.18 | 20.1% | 8.1% | 3.2% | .307 | 6.22 | 17.6% | 10.6% | 13 | +2.04 | 2.75 | 299 | 81 |
| Grant Sides R 2025 · 3.89 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.89 | 22.4% | 11.9% | 2.1% | .247 | 3.24 | 21.7% | 11.9% | 47 | -0.65 | 3.24 | 159 | 81 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2029 · 5.03 FIP | 31 | SU | 5.03 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 4.3% | .253 | 3.84 | 17.2% | 8.0% | 67 | -1.19 | 3.73 | 132 | 81 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 41 | 19.5% | 10.8% | 1.25 | 4.94 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |