Ryan Harbin
P
FCL Pirates
Age 24
RHP
6'4" / 228 lbs
ROK
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 38 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123114vR 105
ERA4.61
FIP4.61
K%23.8%
BB%13.7%
K-BB%10.1%
ROS IP38
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 39 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 17 | ROK | GCL Pirates | 4 | 3 | 10 | 48 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 75% | 2.4 | 14.6% | 16.7% | -2.1% | 2.1% | 9.31 | 5.12 | — |
| 2019 | 17 | ROK | GCL Pirates | 4 | 3 | 10 | 48 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 75% | 2.4 | 14.6% | 16.7% | -2.1% | 2.1% | 9.31 | 5.48 | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | FCL Pirates Black | 5 | 5 | 14 | 73 | 17 | 9 | 1 | 100% | 2.9 | 15.8% | 15.4% | 0.4% | 2.0% | 7.53 | 4.82 | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | FCL Pirates Black | 5 | 5 | 14 | 73 | 17 | 9 | 1 | 100% | 2.9 | 23.3% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 1.4% | 7.53 | 3.52 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 9 | 0 | 16 | 72 | 15 | 10 | 1 | 0% | 1.8 | 14.4% | 18.9% | -4.5% | 2.2% | 4.41 | 5.50 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 9 | 0 | 16 | 72 | 15 | 10 | 1 | 0% | 1.8 | 20.8% | 13.9% | 6.9% | 1.4% | 4.41 | 3.90 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 35 | 0 | 54 | 233 | 68 | 29 | 4 | 0% | 1.6 | 21.9% | 14.5% | 7.4% | 1.7% | 3.15 | 4.04 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 35 | 0 | 54 | 233 | 68 | 29 | 4 | 0% | 1.6 | 29.2% | 12.4% | 16.7% | 1.7% | 3.15 | 3.16 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 33 | 1 | 43 | 198 | 65 | 28 | 5 | 3% | 1.3 | 24.3% | 15.9% | 8.5% | 3.0% | 4.98 | 4.68 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 33 | 1 | 43 | 198 | 65 | 28 | 5 | 3% | 1.3 | 32.8% | 14.1% | 18.7% | 2.5% | 4.98 | 3.54 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 50 | 1 | 63 | 288 | 92 | 46 | 3 | 2% | 1.3 | 25.6% | 17.7% | 7.9% | 1.5% | 4.69 | 3.98 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 50 | 1 | 63 | 288 | 92 | 46 | 3 | 2% | 1.3 | 31.9% | 16.0% | 16.0% | 1.0% | 4.69 | 2.99 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | ROK | FCL Pirates | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 0.3 | — | — | — | — | 27.00 | — | — |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | PIT | 7 | 7 | 38 | 163 | 39 | 22 | 4 | 100% | 5.5 | 23.8% | 13.7% | 10.1% | 2.6% | 4.61 | 4.61 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | PIT | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.8% | 13.7% | 10.1% | 2.6% | 4.61 | 4.61 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | PIT | — | — | 39 | 165 | 40 | 22 | 4 | — | — | 24.1% | 13.5% | 10.6% | 2.5% | 4.80 | 4.57 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | PIT | 37 | 0 | 39 | 165 | 40 | 20 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.1% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 2.6% | 4.48 | 4.42 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | PIT | 16 | 0 | 17 | 72 | 17 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.1% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 2.6% | 4.48 | 4.42 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 16 | 0 | 17 | 70 | 17 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.1% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 2.6% | 4.48 | 4.04 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 204 | 108 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.1% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 2.6% | 4.48 | 4.04 | +3.2 | ||
| Career | — | 137 | 11 | 202 | 914 | 203 | 149 | 18 | 8% | 1.5 | 22.2% | 16.3% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 4.78 | 4.38 | +2.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 136 | 11 | 200 | 906 | 201 | 148 | 18 | 8% | 1.5 | 22.2% | 16.3% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 4.78 | 4.38 | +2.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ryan Harbin (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.61 | 23.8% | 13.7% | 2.6% | — | 4.42 | 24.1% | 11.9% | 39 | -0.19 | — | — | — |
| Harrison Cohen R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.55 | 22.4% | 13.4% | 3.0% | .282 | 4.01 | 23.3% | 9.5% | 99 | -0.54 | 2.09 | 146 | 93 |
| Logan VanWey R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.06 | 23.9% | 14.0% | 2.2% | .301 | 4.32 | 26.4% | 12.7% | 125 | +0.26 | 3.63 | 172 | 91 |
| Ben Hecht R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.56 | 22.7% | 12.9% | 3.2% | .293 | 7.95 | 14.1% | -11.4% | 13 | +3.39 | 4.55 | 155 | 90 |
| Craig Schlitter R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.76 | 22.7% | 15.4% | 3.0% | .298 | 4.44 | 14.7% | 4.2% | 171 | -0.32 | 4.07 | 222 | 90 |
| Aaron Kurcz R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.23 | 22.4% | 13.6% | 2.4% | .331 | 4.29 | 16.1% | 8.0% | 105 | +0.06 | 3.44 | 213 | 89 |
| Max Alba R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.24 | 20.6% | 12.6% | 2.3% | .290 | 5.06 | 17.4% | 10.5% | 207 | +0.82 | 4.24 | 262 | 88 |
| Luis Ramirez R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.58 | 24.0% | 12.6% | 1.7% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 104 | 88 |
| Cole Gordon R 2025 · 4.16 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.16 | 22.0% | 12.7% | 2.4% | .243 | 5.20 | 20.9% | 9.5% | 83 | +1.04 | 4.16 | 112 | 88 |
| Eduardo Herrera R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.32 | 25.5% | 15.7% | 2.5% | .284 | 4.44 | 16.7% | -5.0% | 31 | +0.12 | 4.32 | 127 | 88 |
| Jake Gilbert R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.18 | 22.1% | 15.2% | 1.9% | .314 | 4.59 | 18.2% | 2.0% | 53 | +0.41 | 4.18 | 103 | 88 |
| Peter Tago R 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.73 | 24.4% | 14.0% | 1.7% | .303 | 3.43 | 23.6% | 8.3% | 39 | -0.30 | 3.24 | 207 | 88 |
| Brandon Johnson R 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.88 | 22.4% | 14.2% | 3.4% | .327 | 4.57 | 21.7% | 10.8% | 163 | -0.31 | 3.44 | 224 | 88 |
| Cameron Gann R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.16 | 21.4% | 12.4% | 2.4% | .296 | 5.44 | 21.1% | 6.8% | 23 | +1.28 | 3.52 | 146 | 87 |
| Mason Vinyard R 2026 · 3.71 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.71 | 22.7% | 13.6% | 1.5% | .270 | 4.00 | 21.4% | 6.5% | 108 | +0.29 | 3.58 | 169 | 87 |
| Colin McKee R 2026 · 5.08 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.08 | 24.2% | 14.7% | 3.9% | .330 | 4.37 | 27.7% | 12.9% | 97 | -0.71 | 4.10 | 148 | 87 |
| Tyler Mitzel R 2025 · 4.21 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.21 | 24.1% | 12.0% | 3.0% | .245 | 4.19 | 22.4% | 14.3% | 96 | -0.02 | 3.95 | 142 | 87 |
| Jay Driver R 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.43 | 21.4% | 13.3% | 2.6% | .259 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 135 | 87 |
| Dakota Mekkes R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.51 | 23.1% | 15.4% | 2.6% | .290 | 4.81 | 16.7% | 1.8% | 70 | +0.30 | 2.99 | 246 | 87 |
| Shane Broyles R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.95 | 24.3% | 15.3% | 1.8% | .328 | 3.42 | 26.4% | 17.1% | 108 | -0.53 | 3.10 | 218 | 87 |
| Todd Van Steensel R 2026 · 3.69 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.69 | 22.5% | 11.6% | 1.9% | .294 | 3.33 | 19.3% | 6.5% | 157 | -0.36 | 2.87 | 223 | 87 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 39 | 24.0% | 13.0% | 1.00 | 4.54 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |
| Greg Holland ('21) | 6 | 45 | 25.4% | 12.3% | 0.87 | 4.03 |
| Keegan Thompson ('24) | 4 | 57 | 23.0% | 11.3% | 1.19 | 3.64 |
| Lucas Sims ('24) | 6 | 47 | 27.6% | 11.6% | 1.24 | 4.22 |