Ryan Harbin — OGILVIE

Ryan Harbin P FCL Pirates

Age 24 RHP 6'4" / 228 lbs ROK

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 38 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125117vR 109

ERA4.86

FIP4.86

K%23.8%

BB%15.7%

K-BB%8.1%

ROS IP38

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 38 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5560

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	17	ROK MLE	GCL Pirates	4	3	10	48	7	8	1	75%	2.4	14.6%	16.7%	-2.1%	2.1%	9.31	5.12	—
2019	17	ROK RAW	GCL Pirates	4	3	10	48	7	8	1	75%	2.4	14.6%	16.7%	-2.1%	2.1%	9.31	5.48	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates Black	5	5	14	73	17	9	1	100%	2.9	15.8%	15.4%	0.4%	2.0%	7.53	4.79	—
2021	19	ROK RAW	FCL Pirates Black	5	5	14	73	17	9	1	100%	2.9	23.3%	12.3%	11.0%	1.4%	7.53	3.52	—
2022	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	9	0	16	72	15	10	1	0%	1.8	14.4%	18.9%	-4.5%	2.2%	4.41	5.47	—
2022	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	9	0	16	72	15	10	1	0%	1.8	20.8%	13.9%	6.9%	1.4%	4.41	3.90	—
2023	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	0	54	233	68	29	4	0%	1.6	21.9%	14.5%	7.4%	1.9%	3.15	4.14	—
2023	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	0	54	233	68	29	4	0%	1.6	21.9%	14.5%	7.4%	1.9%	3.15	4.14	—
2023	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	35	0	54	233	68	29	4	0%	1.6	29.2%	12.4%	16.7%	1.7%	3.15	3.16	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	33	1	43	198	65	28	5	3%	1.3	24.3%	15.9%	8.5%	3.2%	4.98	4.84	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	33	1	43	198	65	28	5	3%	1.3	24.3%	15.9%	8.5%	3.2%	4.98	4.84	—
2024	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	33	1	43	198	65	28	5	3%	1.3	32.8%	14.1%	18.7%	2.5%	4.98	3.54	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	50	1	63	288	92	46	3	2%	1.3	25.3%	16.9%	8.5%	1.3%	4.69	3.84	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	50	1	63	288	92	46	3	2%	1.3	25.3%	16.9%	8.5%	1.3%	4.69	3.84	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	50	1	63	288	92	46	3	2%	1.3	31.9%	16.0%	16.0%	1.0%	4.69	2.99	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	1	1	0	2	1	0	0	100%	0.3	—	—	—	—	27.00	—	—
YTD	24	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	1	1	0	2	1	0	0	100%	0.3	—	—	—	—	27.00	—	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	24	ROK RAW	PIT	1	1	0	2	1	0	0	100%	0.3	50.0%	0.0%	50.0%	0.0%	27.00	-1.12	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	PIT	55	0	58	244	59	33	6	0%	1.0	24.1%	13.7%	10.4%	2.6%	4.68	4.60	-0.0
2028	26	MLB MLE	PIT	55	0	58	244	59	33	6	0%	1.0	24.2%	13.4%	10.9%	2.6%	4.60	4.56	-0.0
2027	25	MLB CTX	PIT	27	0	28	118	28	16	3	0%	1.0	24.1%	13.7%	10.4%	2.6%	4.68	4.60	-0.0
2028	26	MLB CTX	PIT	38	0	40	169	41	23	4	0%	1.1	24.2%	13.4%	10.9%	2.6%	4.60	4.56	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		65	0	68	286	69	39	7	0%	1.0	24.2%	13.5%	10.7%	2.6%	4.63	4.20	+0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	203	115	21	0%	1.1	24.2%	13.5%	10.7%	2.6%	4.63	4.20	+0.8
Career	—	MLE		137	11	202	914	202	147	19	8%	1.5	22.1%	16.0%	6.1%	2.1%	4.78	4.39	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		136	11	200	906	200	145	19	8%	1.5	22.1%	16.0%	6.1%	2.1%	4.78	4.39	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ryan Harbin (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.86	23.8%	15.7%	2.6%	—	4.58	24.2%	10.6%	115	-0.28	—	—	—
Craig Schlitter R 2016 · 4.53 FIP	24	SU	4.53	22.7%	15.4%	2.5%	.298	4.67	14.7%	4.2%	171	+0.14	4.25	222	93
Jake Gilbert R 2021 · 4.14 FIP	24	SU	4.14	22.1%	15.2%	1.8%	.314	4.65	18.2%	2.0%	53	+0.51	4.14	103	90
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.21	22.0%	8.7%	119	-0.35	2.12	165	89
Logan VanWey R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	23.9%	14.0%	2.7%	.301	3.86	25.0%	14.1%	144	-0.48	3.15	191	89
Tanner Jacobson R 2023 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.8%	13.8%	2.1%	.313	4.89	21.1%	5.4%	115	+0.80	4.09	168	89
Dakota Mekkes R 2019 · 4.58 FIP	24	SU	4.58	23.1%	15.4%	2.7%	.290	4.85	16.7%	1.8%	70	+0.27	2.94	246	89
Shane Broyles R 2016 · 4.03 FIP	24	SU	4.03	24.3%	15.3%	1.9%	.328	3.62	26.4%	17.1%	108	-0.41	3.34	218	88
Colin McKee R 2018 · 5.00 FIP	24	SU	5.00	24.2%	14.7%	3.8%	.330	4.35	27.7%	12.9%	97	-0.65	4.18	148	88
Andrew McInvale R 2021 · 4.92 FIP	24	SU	4.92	26.4%	16.3%	3.6%	.278	5.66	20.3%	5.0%	58	+0.74	4.92	103	88
Kevin Kopps R 2022 · 4.56 FIP	25	SU	4.56	20.2%	15.1%	2.3%	.278	4.42	16.0%	3.7%	182	-0.14	3.46	237	88
Tyler Schimpf R 2019 · 4.04 FIP	23	SU	4.04	24.3%	15.9%	1.8%	.300	5.63	24.1%	7.1%	58	+1.59	3.37	126	87
Brandon Johnson R 2023 · 4.94 FIP	24	SU	4.94	22.4%	14.2%	3.5%	.327	4.49	22.0%	11.9%	189	-0.45	3.35	250	87
Aaron Kurcz R 2015 · 3.98 FIP	24	SU	3.98	22.4%	13.6%	1.9%	.331	4.05	16.1%	8.0%	105	+0.07	3.31	213	87
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	87
Tommy Kahnle R 2015 · 4.13 FIP	25	SU	4.13	23.8%	14.8%	2.1%	.284	2.58	30.9%	21.0%	165	-1.55	1.53	458	87
Ben Hecht R 2019 · 4.51 FIP	24	SU	4.51	22.7%	12.9%	3.1%	.293	7.98	14.1%	-11.4%	13	+3.47	4.39	155	87
Carlos Contreras R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	24	SU	4.29	22.2%	15.6%	2.0%	.271	4.46	11.9%	2.4%	40	+0.17	4.29	107	86
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	86
Mason Vinyard R 2023 · 3.73 FIP	24	SU	3.73	22.7%	13.6%	1.5%	.270	4.67	19.3%	5.9%	147	+0.94	3.60	207	86
Hunter Parsons R 2021 · 5.38 FIP	24	SU	5.38	21.4%	15.3%	3.9%	.247	4.80	21.5%	10.0%	115	-0.58	4.73	183	86

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	51	24.1%	14.1%	1.00	4.70
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91